Nephrometry scores to predict oncological outcomes following partial nephrectomy (UroCCR Study 70).

PURPOSE: Partial nephrectomy (PN) for large or complex renal tumors can be difficult and associated with a higher risk of recurrence than radical nephrectomy. We aim to evaluate the clinical useful of nephrometry scores for predicting oncological outcomes in a large cohort of patients who underwent PN for renal cell carcinomas. METHODS: Our analysis included patients who underwent PN for renal cell carcinoma in 21 French academic centers (2010-2020). RENAL, PADUA, and SPARE scores were calculated based on preoperative imaging. Uni- and multivariate cox models were performed to identify predictors of recurrence-free survival and overall survival. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to identify models with the highest discrimination. Decision curve analyses (DCAs) determined the net benefit associated with their use. RESULTS: A total of 1927 patients were analyzed with a median follow-up of 32 months (14-45). RENAL score (p = 0.01), age (p = 0.002), histological type (p = 0.001), high nuclear grade (p = 0.001), necrotic component (p < 0.001), and positive margins (p = 0.005) were significantly related to recurrence in multivariate analyses. The discriminative performance of the 3 radiological scores was modest (65, 63, and 63%, respectively). All 3 scores showed good calibration, which, however, deteriorated with time. Decision curve analysis of the three models for the prediction of overall and recurrence-free survival was similar for all three scores and of limited clinical relevance. CONCLUSION: The association between nephrometry scores and oncological outcomes after NP is very weak. The use of these scores for predicting oncological outcomes in routine practice is therefore of limited clinical value.

Oncologic surveillance after surgical treatment for clinically localized kidney cancer: UroCCR study n. 129.

BACKGROUND: In 2021, the EAU Guidelines implemented a novel, expert opinion-based follow-up scheme, with a three-risk-category system for clear cell (cc) and non-cc renal cell carcinoma (non-ccRCC) after surgery with curative intent. We aimed to validate the novel follow-up scheme and provide data-driven recurrence estimates according to risk groups, to confirm or implement the oncologic surveillance strategy. METHODS: We identified 5,320 patients from a prospectively maintained database involving 28 French referral centers. The risk of recurrence, as either loco-regional or distant, was evaluated with the Kaplan-Meier method for each group (low- intermediate- or high-risk) according to ccRCC or non-ccRCC histology. The noncumulative distribution of recurrences was graphically investigated through the LOWESS smoother. RESULTS: Two thousand two hundred ninety-three (58%), 926 (23%), and 738 (19%) had low-, intermediate, and high-risk ccRCC, and 683 (50%), 297 (22%), and 383 (28%) had low-, intermediate, and high-risk non-ccRCC, respectively. Median follow-up for survivors was 46 months. Overall, 661 patients experienced recurrence. Over time, the noncumulative risk of recurrence was approximately 10% for low-risk cc-RCC, non-ccRCC, and intermediate-risk non-ccRCC, with non-significant difference among the three recurrence functions (P=0.9). At 5-year, time point after which imaging should be de-intensified to biennial, the noncumulative risks of recurrence were: for intermediate risk ccRCC and non-ccRCC: 15% and 11%, respectively; for high-risk ccRCC and non-ccRCC: 24% and 8%, respectively. Among high-risk non-ccRCC patients there were 9 recurrences at 3-month. There was no significant difference between the recurrence function of high-risk non-ccRCC patients with negative imaging at 3-month and the one of intermediate-risk ccRCC (P=0.3). CONCLUSIONS: Given the relatively low recurrence risk of patients with intermediate-risk non-ccRCC, those individuals could be followed up with a similar strategy to the low-risk category. Similarly, patients with high-risk non-ccRCC with negative imaging at 3-month, could be followed up similarly to intermediate-risk ccRCC after the 3-month time point.