Calendar-period trends in cervical precancer and cancer diagnoses since the introduction of human papillomavirus and cytology co-testing into routine cervical cancer screening at Kaiser Permanente Northern California.

OBJECTIVES: The longer-term impact of introducing human papillomavirus (HPV) testing into routine cervical cancer screening on precancer and cancer rates by histologic type has not been well described. Calendar trends in diagnoses were examined using data from Kaiser Permanente Northern California, which introduced triennial HPV and cytology co-testing in 2003 for women aged ≥30 years. METHODS: We examined trends in cervical precancer (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 [CIN3] and adenocarcinoma in situ [AIS]) and cancer (squamous cell carcinoma [SCC] and adenocarcinoma [ADC]) diagnoses per 1000 screened during 2003-2018. We examined ratios of squamous vs. glandular diagnoses (SCC:ADC and CIN3:AIS). RESULTS: CIN3 and AIS diagnoses increased approximately 2% and 3% annually, respectively (ptrend < 0.001 for both). While SCC diagnoses decreased by 5% per annually (ptrend < 0.001), ADC diagnoses did not change. These patterns were generally observed within each age group (30-39, 40-49, and 50-64 years). ADC diagnoses per 1000 screened did not change even among those who underwent co-testing starting in 2003-2006. SCC:ADC decreased from approximately 2.5:1 in 2003-2006 to 1.3:1 in 2015-2018 while the CIN3:AIS remained relatively constant, ∼10:1. CONCLUSIONS: Since its introduction at KPNC, co-testing increased the detection of CIN3 over time, which likely caused a subsequent reduction of SCC. However, there has been no observed decrease in ADC. One possible explanation for lack of effectiveness against ADC is the underdiagnosis of AIS. Novel strategies to identify and treat women at high risk of ADC need to be developed and clinically validated.

Recommendations for Use of p16/Ki67 Dual Stain for Management of Individuals Testing Positive for Human Papillomavirus.

OBJECTIVES: The Enduring Consensus Cervical Cancer Screening and Management Guidelines Committee developed recommendations for dual stain (DS) testing with CINtec PLUS Cytology for use of DS to triage high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive results. METHODS: Risks of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse were calculated according to DS results among individuals testing HPV-positive using data from the Kaiser Permanente Northern California cohort and the STudying Risk to Improve DisparitiES study in Mississippi. Management recommendations were based on clinical action thresholds developed for the 2019 American Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology Risk-Based Management Consensus Guidelines. Resource usage metrics were calculated to support decision-making. Risk estimates in relation to clinical action thresholds were reviewed and used as the basis for draft recommendations. After an open comment period, recommendations were finalized and ratified through a vote by the Consensus Stakeholder Group. RESULTS: For triage of positive HPV results from screening with primary HPV testing (with or without genotyping) or with cytology cotesting, colposcopy is recommended for individuals testing DS-positive. One-year follow-up with HPV-based testing is recommended for individuals testing DS-negative, except for HPV16- and HPV18-positive results, or high-grade cytology in cotesting, where immediate colposcopy referral is recommended. Risk estimates were similar between the Kaiser Permanente Northern California and STudying Risk to Improve DisparitiES populations. In general, resource usage metrics suggest that compared with cytology, DS requires fewer colposcopies and detects cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or worse earlier. CONCLUSIONS: Dual stain testing with CINtec PLUS Cytology is acceptable for triage of HPV-positive test results. Risk estimates are portable across different populations.

Primary human papillomavirus testing versus CO-testing: clinical outcomes in populations with different disease prevalence.

Implementation of primary human papillomavirus (HPV) testing has been slow in the US perhaps due to concerns of decreased sensitivity compared with concurrent HPV and cytology testing (cotesting). We used the National Breast and Cervical Cancer Early Detection Program (NBCCEDP) and the Kaiser Permanente of Northern California (KPNC) cohort to quantify potential trade-offs with primary HPV compared with cotesting in four US populations with differing precancer/cancer prevalence. In all settings, cotesting required more lab tests and more colposcopies compared to primary HPV testing. Additional cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 or cancer (CIN3+) immediately detected from cotesting vs primary HPV decreased with decreasing population-average CIN3+ prevalence, from 71 per 100,000 screened among never/rarely screened individuals in the NBCCEDP (prevalence = 1,212 per 100,000) to 4 per 100,000 screened among individuals with prior HPV-negative results in KPNC (prevalence = 86 per 100,000). These data suggest that cotesting confer an unfavorable benefit-to-harm ratio over primary HPV testing.

Evaluation of Pre-Analytical Variables for Human Papillomavirus Primary Screening from Self-Collected Vaginal Swabs.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) primary screening is an effective approach to assessing cervical cancer risk. Self-collected vaginal swabs can expand testing access, but the data defining analytical performance criteria necessary for adoption of self-collected specimens are limited, especially for those occurring outside the clinic, where the swab remains dry during transport. Here, we evaluated the performance of self-collected vaginal swabs for HPV detection using the Cobas 6800. There was insignificant variability between swabs self-collected by the same individual (n = 15 participants collecting 5 swabs per participant), measured by amplification of HPV and human ß-globin control DNA. Comparison of self-collected vaginal swab and provider-collected cervical samples (n = 144 pairs) proved highly concordant for HPV detection (total agreement = 90.3%; positive percentage agreement = 84.2%). There was no relationship between the number of dry storage days and amplification of HPV (n = 68; range, 4 to 41 days). Exposure of self-collected dry swabs to extreme summer and winter temperatures did not affect testing outcomes. A second internal control (RNase P) demonstrated that lack of amplification for ß-globin from self-collected specimens was consistent with poor, but not absent, cellularity. These data suggest that self-collected vaginal samples enable accurate clinical HPV testing, and that extended ambient dry storage or exposure to extreme temperatures does not influence HPV detection. Furthermore, lack of ß-globin amplification in HPV-negative samples accurately identified participants who required recollection.