Comparison of Proportional Mortality Between Korean Atomic Bomb Survivors and the General Population During 1992-2019.

BACKGROUND: Atomic bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in Japan in August 1945 were estimated to have killed approximately 70,000 Koreans. In Japan, studies on the health status and mortality of atomic bomb survivors compared with the non-exposed population have been conducted. However, there have been no studies related to the mortality of Korean atomic bomb survivors. Therefore, we aimed to study the cause of death of atomic bomb survivors compared to that of the general population. METHODS: Of 2,299 atomic bomb survivors registered with the Korean Red Cross, 2,176 were included in the study. In the general population, the number of deaths by age group was calculated from 1992 to 2019, and 6,377,781 individuals were assessed. Causes of death were categorized according to the Korean Standard Classification of Diseases. To compare the proportional mortality between the two groups, the P value for the ratio test was confirmed, and the Cochran-Armitage trend test and χ² test were performed to determine the cause of death according to the distance from the hypocenter. RESULTS: Diseases of the circulatory system were the most common cause of death (25.4%), followed by neoplasms (25.1%) and diseases of the respiratory system (10.6%) in atomic bomb survivors who died between 1992 and 2019. The proportional mortality associated with respiratory diseases, nervous system diseases, and other diseases among atomic bomb survivors was higher than that of the general population. Of the dead people between 1992 and 2019, the age at death of survivors who were exposed at a close distance was younger than those who were exposed at a greater distance. CONCLUSION: Overall, proportional mortality of respiratory diseases and nervous system diseases was high in atomic bomb survivors, compared with the general population. Further studies on the health status of Korean atomic bomb survivors are needed.

Validation of self-reported morbidities of the Korean Atomic Bomb Survivor Cohort.

Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the agreement of disease status collected through a survey of the Korean Atomic Bomb Survivor Cohort (K-ABC), compared with medical claim records from the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database and the Korean Central Cancer Registry (KCCR). Methods: Data on the lifetime physician-diagnosed morbidities of 1,215 K-ABC participants were collected through an interviewer-administered questionnaire between 2020 and 2022. Survey data were linked to the NHIS and KCCR databases. Eleven diseases were included for validation. We evaluated the following indicators: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), accuracy, the area under the curve (AUC), and the kappa coefficient. Results: The mean (standard deviation) age was 62.1 (18.7) years, and 42.6% of the participants were aged ≥70 years. Hypertension and cataracts showed the highest prevalence rates (33.8% and 28.8%, respectively). Hypertension, diabetes, and cancer demonstrated high sensitivity (>0.8) and specificity (>0.9), whereas diabetes, cancer, myocardial infarction, angina pectoris, and asthma exhibited high accuracy (>0.9). In contrast, arthritis, allergic rhinitis, and asthma showed low sensitivity (<0.4) and kappa values (<0.3). In the participants aged ≥70 years, the kappa value was ≥0.4 for all diseases except arthritis, allergic rhinitis, and asthma. Conclusion: The results from this initial analysis showed relatively high agreement between the survey and NHIS/KCCR databases, especially for hypertension, diabetes, and cancer. Our findings suggest that the information on morbidities collected through the questionnaires in this cohort was valid for both younger and older individuals.

Cohort Study Protocol: A Cohort of Korean Atomic Bomb Survivors and Their Offspring.

In 1945, atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Approximately 70 000 Koreans are estimated to have been exposed to radiation from atomic bombs at that time. After Korea's Liberation Day, approximately 23 000 of these people returned to Korea. To investigate the long-term health and hereditary effects of atomic bomb exposure on the offspring, cohort studies have been conducted on atomic bomb survivors in Japan. This study is an ongoing cohort study to determine the health status of Korean atomic bomb survivors and investigate whether any health effects were inherited by their offspring. Atomic bomb survivors are defined by the Special Act On the Support for Korean Atomic Bomb Victims, and their offspring are identified by participating atomic bomb survivors. As of 2024, we plan to recruit 1500 atomic bomb survivors and their offspring, including 200 trios with more than 300 people. Questionnaires regarding socio-demographic factors, health behaviors, past medical history, laboratory tests, and pedigree information comprise the data collected to minimize survival bias. For the 200 trios, whole-genome analysis is planned to identify de novo mutations in atomic bomb survivors and to compare the prevalence of de novo mutations with trios in the general population. Active follow-up based on telephone surveys and passive follow-up with linkage to the Korean Red Cross, National Health Insurance Service, death registry, and Korea Central Cancer Registry data are ongoing. By combining pedigree information with the findings of trio-based whole-genome analysis, the results will elucidate the hereditary health effects of atomic bomb exposure.

The Association Between Metabolic Syndrome and Colorectal Cancer Risk by Obesity Status in Korean Women: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine the association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) in Korean women with obesity. METHODS: Cancer-free women (n=6 142 486) aged 40-79 years, who underwent National Health Insurance Service health examinations in 2009 and 2010 were included. The incidence of CRC was followed until 2018. The hazard ratio (HR) of MetS for the incidence of colon and rectal cancer was analyzed according to body mass index (BMI) categories, adjusting for confounders such as women's reproductive factors. In addition, the heterogeneity of associations across BMI categories was assessed. RESULTS: Women with MetS were at increased risk of colon and rectal cancer compared to women without MetS (HR, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16 to 1.23 and HR,1.15; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.20), respectively. The HR of MetS for colon cancer across BMI categories was 1.12 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.19), 1.14 (95% CI, 1.08 to 1.20), and 1.16 (95% CI, 1.12 to 1.21) in women with BMIs <23.0 kg/m2, 23.0-24.9 kg/m2, and ≥25.0 kg/m2, respectively. The HR of MetS for rectal cancer across corresponding BMI categories was 1.16 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.26), 1.14 (95% CI, 1.05 to 1.23), and 1.13 (95% CI, 1.06 to 1.20). The heterogeneity of associations across BMI categories was not significant in either colon or rectal cancer (p=0.587 for colon cancer and p=0.927 for rectal cancer). CONCLUSIONS: Women with MetS were at increased risk of colon and rectal cancer. Clinical and public health strategies should be considered for primary CRC prevention with an emphasis on improving women's metabolic health across all BMI groups.

Association of the Interaction Between Mammographic Breast Density, Body Mass Index, and Menopausal Status With Breast Cancer Risk Among Korean Women.

Importance: Evidence suggests that breast density and body mass index (BMI) are strong breast cancer risk factors; however, their interactive associations are unknown. Elucidation of these interactive associations may help to increase understanding of the causes of breast cancer and find effective interventions for susceptible subgroups. Objective: To explore the association of the interaction of mammographic breast density and BMI with breast cancer risks among premenopausal and postmenopausal women. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective observational cohort study used population-based data of the Korean National Cancer Screening Program embedded in the National Health Insurance Service database to evaluate the breast cancer risk of 3 248 941 premenopausal cancer-free women and 4 373 473 postmenopausal cancer-free women aged 40 years or older who underwent mammographic screening between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2013, and were followed up until December 31, 2018. Statistical analysis was performed from June 1 to July 15, 2021. Exposures: Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS)-defined breast density (with a scale from 1 to 4, where 1 indicates almost entirely fat, 2 indicates scattered fibroglandular densities, 3 indicates heterogeneously dense tissue, and 4 indicates extremely dense tissue) and BMI levels classified according to the World Health Organization Asia-Pacific Region classification. Main Outcomes and Measures: Adjusted relative risk (aRR) of breast cancer during the follow-up period and interactions in additive and multiplicative scales. The study end point was the development of breast cancer. Results: Of 3 248 941 premenopausal women (mean [SD] age, 44.6 [4.3] years) and 4 373 473 postmenopausal women (mean [SD] age, 59.6 [8.4] years) aged 40 years or older, 34 466 cases of breast cancer were identified among the premenopausal women, and 30 816 cases of breast cancer were identified among the postmenopausal women. Increased breast density was associated with an increased risk of breast cancer in both premenopausal and postmenopausal women across the BMI categories. Among premenopausal women, those in BI-RADS category 4 had an approximately 2-fold higher risk of breast cancer irrespective of BMI (all women: aRR, 2.36 [95% CI, 2.24-2.49]; underweight: aRR, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.25-2.59]; normal weight: aRR, 2.10 [95% CI, 1.93-2.28]; overweight: aRR, 2.47 [95% CI, 2.27-2.68]; obese: aRR, 2.87 [95% CI, 2.49-3.32]) than those with underweight status and in BI-RADS category 1. However, an association between BMI and the risk of breast cancer was found only in the postmenopausal women in all breast density categories compared with underweight women with BI-RADS category 1 (BI-RADS category 4, all women: aRR, 2.91 [95% CI, 2.78-3.04]; underweight: aRR, 2.74 [95% CI, 1.89-3.98]; normal weight: aRR, 3.05 [95% CI, 2.82-3.30]; overweight: aRR, 2.85 [95% CI, 2.67-3.04]; obese: aRR, 2.52 [95% CI, 2.22-2.88]). When the combined associations of breast density and BMI with the risk of breast cancer were considered, a high breast density and high BMI had a significant positive interaction on the additive scale for both premenopausal and postmenopausal women, especially the latter (premenopausal women: adjusted relative excess risk due to interaction, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.35-0.71]; postmenopausal women: adjusted relative excess risk due to interaction, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.26-2.10]). Conclusions and Relevance: This study suggests that breast density and BMI interact synergistically to augment breast cancer risk, with a stronger association found among postmenopausal women. Both factors should be incorporated into risk stratification in a population-based screening for public health significance. Women with overweight or obesity and dense breast tissue might benefit from tailored early screening strategies to detect breast cancer.

Time-variant reproductive number of COVID-19 in Seoul, Korea.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate time-variant reproductive number (Rt) of coronavirus disease 19 based on either number of daily confirmed cases or their onset date to monitor effectiveness of quarantine policies. METHODS: Using number of daily confirmed cases from January 23, 2020 to March 22, 2020 and their symptom onset date from the official website of the Seoul Metropolitan Government and the district office, we calculated Rt using program R's package "EpiEstim". For asymptomatic cases, their symptom onset date was considered as -2, -1, 0, +1, and +2 days of confirmed date. RESULTS: Based on the information of 313 confirmed cases, the epidemic curve was shaped like 'propagated epidemic curve'. The daily Rt based on Rt_c peaked to 2.6 on February 20, 2020, then showed decreased trend and became <1.0 from March 3, 2020. Comparing both Rt from Rt_c and from the number of daily onset cases, we found that the pattern of changes was similar, although the variation of Rt was greater when using Rt_c. When we changed assumed onset date for asymptotic cases (-2 days to +2 days of the confirmed date), the results were comparable. CONCLUSIONS: Rt can be estimated based on Rt_c which is available from daily report of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Estimation of Rt would be useful to continuously monitor the effectiveness of the quarantine policy at the city and province levels.