Asthma control in the United States: relationships between short-acting ß2-agonist and systemic corticosteroid use.

BACKGROUND: Asthma control assessment is based on impairment (current symptoms) and risk (exacerbation history). OBJECTIVE: To understand the extent of uncontrolled asthma, we assessed relationships between prescription fills for systemic corticosteroids (SCS) and short-acting ß2-agonists (SABA) as risk and impairment markers, respectively. METHODS: Annual SCS and SABA fills among US patients with asthma were evaluated by a retrospective analysis of IQVIA Longitudinal Access and Adjudication Data. Patient severity was assigned based on GINA step-therapy level. Exacerbations were evaluated by SCS fills within 12 months of a first asthma prescription fill. Uncontrolled asthma was defined as ≥2 SCS and/or ≥3 SABA fills annually. Individual patient relationships between SCS and SABA fills were assessed by Pearson's correlation coefficient. RESULTS: 4,506,527 patients were included: 15% had ≥2 SCS fills, 29% had ≥3 SABA fills, 37% fulfilled either or both criteria. If only SCS were assessed, 22% treated as mild-to-moderate and 27% as severe asthma would have been misclassified as controlled. If only SABA use was evaluated, 8% treated as mild-to-moderate and 11% as severe asthma would have been misclassified. Overall, 81% of uncontrolled asthma occurred in patients treated for mild-to-moderate disease. Among patients with ≥2 SCS fills, mean SABA fills were 2.9; the correlation between SCS and SABA fills per patient was significant but weak (r=0.18; p<0.001). CONCLUSION: High symptom burden and SCS exposures are not limited to severe asthma but are also characteristic in patients treated for mild-to-moderate disease. Both impairment and risk assessments are required to understand the full extent of uncontrolled asthma across disease severities.

Assessing meaningful change in the Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire.

BACKGROUND: The Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) is a 10-item, yes/no, equally weighted control tool. Lower scores indicate better control. Moreover, 7 impairment items reflect previous 2-week symptoms, and 3 risk items assess previous 12-month exacerbations. The Follow-up AIRQ for use between annual assessments has a 3-month recall period for exacerbation items. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the responsiveness of the AIRQ over time and identify a minimal important difference (MID). METHODS: The AIRQ longitudinal study data were analyzed from patients with asthma aged 12 years and older. Anchor-based methods assessed differences in AIRQ scores relative to Patient Global Impression of Change, the accepted MIDs for St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire and Asthma Control Test, and exacerbation occurrence over 12 months. Baseline and 12-month data reflected 12-month recall AIRQ scores; Follow-up AIRQ scores were used for 3-, 6-, and 9-month analyses. RESULTS: A total of 1070 patients were included. The Patient Global Impression of Change rating of "much improved" was associated with AIRQ mean score changes from baseline to months 3, 6, 9, and 12 of -2.0, -1.9, -1.9, and -1.8, respectively. The mean AIRQ score change among patients who met the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire MID (≥4-point decrease) was -1.8 at 6 and 12 months. The AIRQ mean scores decreased from baseline by -2.2 to -2.5 points at months 3, 6, 9, and 12 for patients who met the Asthma Control Test MID (≥ 3-point increase). A 2-point higher baseline AIRQ score was associated with a 1.7 odds ratio of 12-month exacerbation occurrence (95% CI, 1.53-1.89). CONCLUSION: A change score of 2 is recommended as the AIRQ MID.

Advancing assessment of asthma control with a composite tool: The Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire.

BACKGROUND: National and international asthma guidelines and reports do not include control tools that combine impairment assessment with exacerbation history in one instrument. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the performance of the composite Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) in assessing both domains of control and predicting exacerbation risk compared with the Global Initiative for Asthma (GINA) 4-question symptom control tool (GINA SCT), Asthma Control Test (ACT), and physician expert opinion (EO) informed by GINA SCT responses and appraisal of GINA-identified risk factors for poor asthma outcomes. METHODS: Multivariable logistic regressions evaluated AIRQ and GINA SCT as predictors of ACT. McNemar's test compared the proportion of patients categorized at baseline as completely or well-controlled by each assessment but with current impairment or previous-year and subsequent-year exacerbations. RESULTS: The analysis included 1064 patients aged 12 years or older; mean (SD) age 43.8 years (19.3); 70% female; 79% White; and 6% Hispanic or Latino. AIRQ and GINA SCT were highly predictive of ACT well-controlled vs not well-controlled and very poorly controlled (receiver operator characteristic area under curve AIRQ = 0.90, GINA SCT = 0.86, P = .03 AIRQ vs GINA SCT) and ACT very poorly controlled vs well-controlled and not well-controlled asthma (receiver operator characteristic area under curve AIRQ = 0.91, GINA SCT = 0.87, P = .01 AIRQ vs GINA SCT). AIRQ rated fewer patients as having completely or well-controlled asthma who had current impairment (P < .01) or with previous-year and subsequent-year exacerbations (P < .001) than did GINA SCT, ACT, and EO. CONCLUSION: AIRQ performs better in assessing both domains of current control and predicting exacerbation risk than do control tools and EO informed by GINA SCT and risk factors for poor asthma outcomes.

The Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire enhances the assessment of asthma control.

BACKGROUND: Asthma control is often overestimated in routine practice, and despite advances in the understanding of immunopathology and the availability of new precision therapies, the burden of disease remains unacceptably high. OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of the Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) with patient and physician assessments and the Asthma Control Test (ACT) in identifying asthma control. METHODS: Baseline data from a longitudinal study of the AIRQ were analyzed. Patients with asthma in the United States aged 12 years and older followed in 24 specialty practices and 1 specialty-affiliated primary care clinic were enrolled between May and November 2019. At entry, participants completed AIRQ and ACT, and participants and physicians completed 5-point Likert scale assessments of control. RESULTS: A total of 1112 participants were enrolled (mean [SD] age = 43.9 [19.3] years, 70% of the female sex, 78% White). Overall, 62% of participants rated themselves as well- or completely controlled, and 54% were rated comparably by physicians. The ACT classified 49% of participants as well-controlled, with 35% similarly categorized by AIRQ. Previous-year exacerbations were experienced by 32% of participants who self-rated as well- or completely controlled, 30% who were rated as well- or completely controlled by physicians, and 29% assessed as well-controlled by ACT, but only 15% of those classified as well-controlled by AIRQ. CONCLUSION: The burden of asthma is substantial in patients cared for by asthma specialists, and asthma control is overestimated by patients, physicians, and the symptom-based ACT. The AIRQ assesses risk in addition to symptom control and may serve to improve asthma control determination by assessing previous exacerbations.

Cannabis-related allergies: An international overview and consensus recommendations.

Cannabis is the most widely used recreational drug in the world. Cannabis sativa and Cannabis indica have been selectively bred to develop their psychoactive properties. The increasing use in many countries has been accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Cannabis can provoke both type 1 and type 4 allergic reactions. Officially recognized allergens include a pathogenesis-related class 10 allergen, profilin, and a nonspecific lipid transfer protein. Other allergens may also be relevant, and recognition of allergens may vary between countries and continents. Cannabis also has the potential to provoke allergic cross-reactions to plant foods. Since cannabis is an illegal substance in many countries, research has been hampered, leading to challenges in diagnosis since no commercial extracts are available for testing. Even in countries such as Canada, where cannabis is legalized, diagnosis may rely solely on the purchase of cannabis for prick-to-prick skin tests. Management consists of avoidance, with legal issues hindering the development of other treatments such as immunotherapy. Education of healthcare professionals is similarly lacking. This review aimed to summarize the current status of cannabis allergy and proposes recommendations for the future management of this global issue.

Mapping geographic variability of severe uncontrolled asthma in the United States: Management implications.

BACKGROUND: The US population-level data on asthma morbidity and mortality are available primarily through state-level surveys. We hypothesize that considerable county-level heterogeneity may be obscured by state-level data, thus impeding focused initiatives to improve asthma outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To assess heterogeneity in the prevalence of uncontrolled, severe, and severe uncontrolled asthma by evaluating state- and county-level morbidity reflected in large administrative claims data sets and identify relationships between pharmacotherapy-based morbidity and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's asthma mortality data. METHODS: Asthma prevalence and morbidity were identified using medical and pharmacy claims from the IQVIA Longitudinal Access and Adjudication Data database (July 2015-June 2018). Heat maps ranked the prevalence of severe uncontrolled asthma by deciles in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, plus 2935 counties. Mortality in states (2016) and 3147 counties (1999-2018) was similarly mapped and ranked and contrasted with claims-based morbidity. RESULTS: Among 4,506,527 individuals with asthma, 640,936 (14.2%) received age-specific therapy for severe asthma. Of those with severe asthma, 144,232 (22.5%) filled 2 or more annual courses of systemic steroids and were designated as having severe uncontrolled asthma. Most states with high mortality had relatively few patients with severe uncontrolled asthma. A marked correlation between mortality and morbidity and trends by urban vs rural and metropolitan status were found at the county level. CONCLUSION: Intrastate heterogeneity in the morbidity and mortality of severe uncontrolled asthma at the county level is not evident in state-level analyses. Increased local awareness of systemic corticosteroid use as an indicator of uncontrolled asthma should prompt regional educational and public health efforts to improve outcomes.

Evaluating construct validity of the Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire using a 3-month exacerbation recall.

BACKGROUND: Recurrent assessment of asthma control is essential to evaluating disease stability and intervention impacts. An assessment that can be administered between annual clinic visits is needed. The Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) is a cross-sectionally validated, 10-item, yes or no, composite control tool evaluating previous 2-week symptoms and previous 12-month exacerbations. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the construct validity of the AIRQ using a 3-month recall period for exacerbation-based risk questions and retaining the 2-week recall for symptom-based impairment items. METHODS: At baseline, patients completed the AIRQ with 12-month recall exacerbation items, Asthma Control Test (ACT), St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ), and global self-assessments of asthma risk, control, and symptom severity. Patient-reported exacerbations were captured monthly. The AIRQ with 3-month recall exacerbation items, ACT, and global self-assessments was administered at months 3, 6, and 9, and SGRQ at month 6. RESULTS: A total of 1112 patients aged 12 years or older were enrolled (mean [SD] age, 43.9 [19.5] years). The AIRQ and each administration of the AIRQ with 3-month recall exacerbation items classified asthma control similarly to an ACT plus exacerbation validation standard. For both AIRQ versions, SGRQ scores were higher with worsening asthma control (P < .001). At months 3, 6, and 9, worse AIRQ control levels were associated with higher proportions of patients with 1 or more and 2 or more exacerbations in the previous 3 months and patient global self-assessments indicating greater asthma morbidity (all P < .001). CONCLUSION: The AIRQ using exacerbation risk items with a 3-month recall period exhibits construct validity for classifying current asthma control and can be administered between annual AIRQ assessments.

Trafficking of the human ether-a-go-go-related gene (hERG) potassium channel is regulated by the ubiquitin ligase rififylin (RFFL).

The QT interval is an important diagnostic feature on surface electrocardiograms because it reflects the duration of the ventricular action potential. A previous genome-wide association study has reported a significant linkage between a single-nucleotide polymorphism ∼11.7 kb downstream of the gene encoding the RING finger ubiquitin ligase rififylin (RFFL) and variability in the QT interval. This, along with results in animal studies, suggests that RFFL may have effects on cardiac repolarization. Here, we sought to determine the role of RFFL in cardiac electrophysiology. Adult rabbit cardiomyocytes with adenovirus-expressed RFFL exhibited reduced rapid delayed rectifier current (IKr). Neonatal rabbit cardiomyocytes transduced with RFFL-expressing adenovirus exhibited reduced total expression of the potassium channel ether-a-go-go-related gene (rbERG). Using transfections of 293A cells and Western blotting experiments, we observed that RFFL and the core-glycosylated form of the human ether-a-go-go-related gene (hERG) potassium channel interact. Furthermore, RFFL overexpression led to increased polyubiquitination and proteasomal degradation of hERG protein and to an almost complete disappearance of IKr, which depended on the intact RING domain of RFFL. Blocking the ER-associated degradation (ERAD) pathway with a dominant-negative form of the ERAD core component, valosin-containing protein (VCP), in 293A cells partially abolished RFFL-mediated hERG degradation. We further substantiated the link between RFFL and ERAD by showing an interaction between RFFL and VCP in vitro We conclude that RFFL is an important regulator of voltage-gated hERG potassium channel activity and therefore cardiac repolarization and that this ubiquitination-mediated regulation requires parts of the ERAD pathway.

Tiotropium in children and adolescents with asthma.

BACKGROUND: Asthma is a major cause of morbidity in children, despite the availability of various treatments. In adults, tiotropium-a long-acting muscarinic antagonist-as add-on therapy to an inhaled corticosteroid with or without a long-acting ß2-agonist provides clinical benefit with a safety profile similar to placebo. OBJECTIVE: To review published evidence on the efficacy and safety of tiotropium as add-on a long-acting muscarinic antagonist therapy in children and adolescents with asthma that is uncontrolled despite use of an inhaled corticosteroid with or without additional controller medication(s). METHODS: We searched PubMed from inception until June 12, 2018, for randomized controlled trials of children and adolescents aged 1 to 17 years treated with tiotropium and reporting a primary outcome of any pulmonary function test and a secondary outcome of adverse events. RESULTS: Overall, 7 randomized controlled trials of 1902 preschool children (aged 1-5 years; n = 102), school-age children (aged 6-11 years; n = 905), and adolescents (aged 12-17 years; n = 895) with moderate to severe asthma were included in the analysis. Once-daily tiotropium (5, 2.5, or 1.25 µg) improved lung function parameters, including peak and trough forced expiratory volume in 1 second, vs placebo. Commonly reported adverse events across treatment groups included asthma worsening or exacerbations, decreased peak expiratory flow rate, nasopharyngitis, viral respiratory tract infection, and respiratory tract infection. CONCLUSION: Once-daily tiotropium as add-on therapy is efficacious and safe in adolescents and children with moderate to severe asthma. These results support the expanded indication by regulatory authorities for add-on tiotropium in patients 6 years or older.

The Asthma Controller Step-down Yardstick.

Asthma guidelines recommend a control-based approach to disease management in which the assessment of impairment and risk is linked to step-based therapy. Using this model, controller treatment is adjusted-upward or downward-according to a patient's level of asthma control over time. Strategies for stepping up controller therapy are well described, and the adult and pediatric Asthma Yardsticks provide operational recommendations based on patient profiles. Strategies for stepping down controller treatment are less clear, although stepping down to the minimum effective therapy is important and should be considered when a patient's asthma has been well controlled for an adequate period as defined by risk and impairment. This Yardstick presents recommendations for when and how to step down asthma controller therapy according to guideline-defined control levels. The objective is to provide clinicians who treat patients with asthma with a practical and clinically relevant framework for implementing a step-down in controller therapy.

Annual review of selected scientific literature: A report of the Committee on Scientific Investigation of the American Academy of Restorative Dentistry.

This comprehensive review of the 2018 dental literature is provided to inform busy dentists about progress in the profession. Developed by the Committee on Scientific Investigation of the American Academy of Restorative Dentistry, each author brings discipline-specific expertise to one of the 8 sections of the report including (1) prosthodontics; (2) periodontics, alveolar bone, and peri-implant tissues; (3) implant dentistry; (4) dental materials and therapeutics; (5) occlusion and temporomandibular disorders; (6) sleep-related breathing disorders; (7) oral medicine and oral and maxillofacial surgery; and (8) dental caries and cariology. The report targets important information that will likely influence day-to-day treatment decisions. Each review is not intended to stand alone but to update interested readers so that they may visit source materials if greater detail is desired. As the profession continues its march toward evidence-based clinical decision-making, an already voluminous library of potentially valuable dental literature continues to grow. It is the intention of this review and its authors to provide assistance in navigating the extensive dental literature published in 2018. It is our hope that readers find this work useful in the clinical management of patients moving forward.

The pediatric asthma yardstick: Practical recommendations for a sustained step-up in asthma therapy for children with inadequately controlled asthma.

Current asthma guidelines recommend a control-based approach to management involving assessment of impairment and risk followed by implementation of treatment strategies individualized according to the patient's needs and preferences. However, for children with asthma, achieving control can be elusive. Although tools are available to help children (and families) track and manage day-to-day symptoms, when and how to implement a longer-term step-up in care is less clear. Furthermore, treatment is challenged by the 3 age groups of childhood-adolescence (12-18 years old), school age (6-11 years old), and young children (≤5 years old)-and what works for 1 age group might not be the best approach for another. The Pediatric Asthma Yardstick provides an in-depth assessment of when and how to step-up therapy for the child with not well or poorly controlled asthma. Development of this tool follows others in the Yardstick series, presenting patient profiles and step-up strategies based on current guidance documents, but modified according to newer data and the authors' combined clinical experience. The objective is to provide clinicians who treat children with asthma practical and clinically relevant recommendations for each step-up and each intervention, with the intent of helping practitioners better treat their pediatric patients with asthma, particularly those who do not always respond to recommended therapies.

Rates and Patterns of Comorbidity Among First-Year College Students With ADHD.

The purpose of this study was to examine rates and patterns of non-attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (non-ADHD) psychiatric diagnoses among a large group of 1st-year college students with and without ADHD. A total of 443 participants, including 214 men and 229 women ranging in age from 18 to 22 years of age (M = 18.2), were recruited from 9 colleges involved in a large-scale, multisite longitudinal investigation. Non-Hispanic Caucasian students represented 67.5% of the total sample. A comprehensive multimethod assessment approach was used in conjunction with expert panel review to determine both ADHD and comorbidity status. Significantly higher rates of overall comorbidity were found among college students with well-defined ADHD, with 55.0% exhibiting at least one comorbid diagnosis and 31.8% displaying two or more, relative to the corresponding rates of non-ADHD diagnoses among Comparison students, which were 11.2% and 4.0%, respectively. These differences in overall comorbidity rates were, in large part, attributable to the increased presence of depressive and anxiety disorders, especially major depressive disorder (active or in partial remission) and generalized anxiety disorder, among the students with ADHD. Within the ADHD group, differential comorbidity rates were observed as a function of ADHD presentation type and gender but not ethnic/racial diversity status. The current findings fill a gap in the literature and shed new light on the rates and patterns of comorbidity among emerging adults with ADHD in their 1st year of college. Implications for providing clinical and support services to college students with ADHD are discussed.

Annual review of selected scientific literature: A report of the Committee on Scientific Investigation of the American Academy of Restorative Dentistry.

PROBLEM: There are countless numbers of scientific studies published in countless scientific journals on subjects related to restorative dentistry. PURPOSE: The purpose of this article is to review pertinent scientific studies published in 2017 on topics of interest to restorative dentists. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The authors, considered to be experts in their disciplines searched the scientific literature in 7 different areas (prosthodontics, periodontics, dental materials, occlusion and temporomandibular disorders, sleep-disordered breathing, oral medicine and oral and maxillofacial surgery and dental caries). Pertinent articles were either identified and referenced or reviewed. RESULTS: A total of 437 articles in 7 disciplines were identified or reviewed. CONCLUSIONS: An impressive amount of scientific literature related to restorative dentistry was published in 2017. The evidence presented in this article can assist dentists in the practice of contemporary evidence-based dentistry.

A novel method of standardized myocardial infarction in aged rabbits.

The incidence of both myocardial infarction (MI) and sudden cardiac death increases with age. Here, we describe the development of a minimally invasive large animal model of MI that can be applied to young or aged animals. We demonstrate that rabbit coronary anatomy is highly variable, more so than described in previous literature. In this work, we categorize the coronary pattern of 37 young rabbits and 64 aged rabbits. Aged rabbits had a higher degree of branching from the left main coronary artery. Standardizing the model across age cohorts required a new approach, targeting an area of myocardium rather than a specific vessel. Here, we present a method for achieving a reproducible infarct size, one that yielded a consistent scar encompassing ~30% of the apical left ventricular free wall. The model's consistency allowed for more valid comparisons of MI sequelae between age cohorts.NEW & NOTEWORTHY This study describes the coronary angiographic imaging of young and aged rabbits. We developed and improved a novel minimally invasive approach for coil embolization that targets a specific area of myocardium and yielded a consistent scar encompassing ~30% of the left ventricular free wall of young and aged rabbit hearts.

Annual review of selected scientific literature: Report of the committee on scientific investigation of the American Academy of Restorative Dentistry.

This review was conducted to assist the busy dentist in keeping abreast of the latest scientific information regarding the clinical practice of dentistry. Each of the authors, who are considered experts in their disciplines, was asked to peruse the scientific literature in their discipline published in 2016 and review the articles for important information that may affect treatment decisions. Comments on experimental methodology, statistical evaluation, and the overall validity of conclusions are included with many of the reviews. The reviews are not meant to stand alone but are intended to inform the interested reader about what has been discovered in the past year. The readers are then invited to go to the source, if they want more detail.

Annual review of selected scientific literature: Report of the committee on scientific investigation of the American Academy of Restorative Dentistry.

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: It is clear the contemporary dentist is confronted with a blizzard of information regarding materials and techniques from journal articles, advertisements, newsletters, the internet, and continuing education events. While some of that information is sound and helpful, much of it is misleading at best. PURPOSE: This review identifies and discusses the most important scientific findings regarding outcomes of dental treatment to assist the practitioner in making evidence-based choices. This review was conducted to assist the busy dentist in keeping abreast of the latest scientific information regarding the clinical practice of dentistry. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Each of the authors, who are considered experts in their disciplines, was asked to peruse the scientific literature published in 2015 in their discipline and review the articles for important information that may have an impact on treatment decisions. Comments on experimental methodology, statistical evaluation, and overall validity of the conclusions are included in many of the reviews. RESULTS: The reviews are not meant to stand alone but are intended to inform the interested reader about what has been discovered in the past year. The readers are then invited to go to the source if they wish more detail. CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of the scientific literature published in 2015 is divided into 7 sections, dental materials, periodontics, prosthodontics, occlusion and temporomandibular disorders, sleep-disordered breathing, cariology, and implant dentistry.

Impact of Lung Function on Asthma Exacerbation Rates in Children Treated with Dupilumab: The VOYAGE Study.

Background: Severe, uncontrolled asthma and asthma exacerbations in children are associated with abnormal lung function and airway development, and increased risk of chronic obstructive lung disease in adulthood. The rationale for this post hoc analysis was to explore the relationship between changes in asthma exacerbation rates and lung function in children treated with dupilumab. Methods: This post hoc analysis included children aged 6 to 11 years with uncontrolled, moderate-to-severe type 2 asthma (blood eosinophils ≥150 cells/µL or fractional exhaled nitric oxide ≥20 ppb) who received dupilumab or placebo in the phase 3 LIBERTY ASTHMA VOYAGE study (NCT02948959). Endpoints were the proportion of patients achieving clinically meaningful improvements (≥5% or ≥10%) in pre-bronchodilator percent-predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second (ppFEV1) by Week 12, annualized severe asthma exacerbation rates from Week 12-52, and mean change from baseline in ppFEV1 to Week 12. Results: At Week 12 of VOYAGE, 141/236 (60%) of children treated with dupilumab and 57/114 (50%) of children receiving placebo showed improvements of ≥5% in ppFEV1; 106/236 (45%) children receiving dupilumab and 36/114 (32%) receiving placebo achieved improvements in ppFEV1 ≥10%. During the Week 12-52 treatment period, dupilumab vs placebo significantly reduced severe exacerbation rates in all subgroups by 52-60% (all P<0.05). Dupilumab treatment resulted in rapid and sustained improvements in ppFEV1 (Week 12 least squares mean difference [95% CI] vs placebo: 3.54 [0.30, 6.78] percentage points; P=0.03) in children who achieved improvements of ≥5%. Conclusion: Dupilumab vs placebo significantly improved pre-bronchodilator ppFEV1, with a higher proportion of patients achieving a clinically meaningful response at Week 12. Dupilumab also significantly reduced severe exacerbation rates, independent of pre-bronchodilator ppFEV1 response at Week 12. Trial Registration: NCT02948959.

Impact of Clinical Characteristics and Biomarkers on Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire Exacerbation Prediction Ability.

BACKGROUND: Complex models combining impairment-based control assessments with clinical characteristics and biomarkers have been developed to predict asthma exacerbations. The composite Asthma Impairment and Risk Questionnaire (AIRQ) with adjustments for demographics (age, sex, race, and body mass index) predicts 12-month exacerbation occurrence similarly to these more complex models. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether AIRQ exacerbation prediction is enhanced when models are adjusted for a wider range of clinical characteristics and biomarkers. METHODS: Patients aged 12 years and older completed monthly online surveys regarding exacerbation-related oral corticosteroid use, emergency department or urgent care visits, and hospitalizations. Univariate logistic regressions to predict exacerbations were performed with sociodemographics, comorbidities, exacerbation history, lung function, blood eosinophils, IgE, and FeNO. Significant (P ≤ .05) variables were included in multivariable logistic regressions with and without AIRQ control categories to predict 12-month exacerbations (log odds ratio [95% Wald confidence interval]). Model performances were compared. RESULTS: Over 12 months, 1,070 patients (70% female; mean [SD] age, 43.9 [19.4] years; 22% non-White; body mass index [SD], 30.6 [8.7]) completed one or more survey (mean [SD], 10.5 [2.8] surveys). In the multivariable analysis, AIRQ control category adjusted for significant clinical characteristics and biomarkers was predictive of one or more exacerbations: odds ratio (95% CI) not well-controlled versus well-controlled: 1.93 (1.41-2.62), very poorly controlled versus well-controlled: 3.81 (2.65-5.47). Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) for this more complex model of exacerbation prediction (AUC = 0.72) did not differ from AIRQ (AUC = 0.70). Models with AIRQ performed better than those without AIRQ (AUC = 0.67; P < .05). CONCLUSION: Costly and time-consuming complex modeling with clinical characteristics and biomarkers does not enhance the strong exacerbation prediction ability of AIRQ.