Effectiveness of self-sampling human papillomavirus test on precancer detection and screening uptake in Japan: The ACCESS randomized controlled trial.

Japan is lagging in cervical cancer prevention. The effectiveness of a self-sampling human papillomavirus (HPV) test, a possible measure to overcome this situation, has not yet been evaluated. A randomized controlled trial was performed to evaluate the effectiveness of a self-sampling HPV test on detection of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+) and screening uptake. Women between 30 and 58 years old who did not participate in the cervical cancer screening program for ≥3 years were eligible and assigned to the intervention group (cytology or self-sampling HPV test) or control group (cytology). Participants assigned to the intervention group were sent a self-sampling kit according to their ordering (opt-in strategy). A total of 7337 and 7772 women were assigned to the intervention and control groups, respectively. Screening uptake in the intervention group was significantly higher than that in the control group (20.0% vs. 6.4%; risk ratio: 3.10; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.82, 3.42). The compliance rate with cytology triage for HPV-positive women was 46.8% (95% CI: 35.5%, 58.4%). CIN2+ was detected in five and four participants in the intervention and control groups, respectively; there was no difference for intention-to-screen analysis (risk ratio: 1.32; 95% CI: 0.36, 4.93). Self-sampling of HPV test increased screening uptake; however, no difference was observed in the detection of CIN2+, probably due to the low compliance rate for cytology triage in HPV-positive women. Efforts to increase cytology triage are essential to maximize precancer detections.

Recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Overall survival is considered as one of the most important endpoints of treatment efficacy but often requires long follow-up. This study aimed to determine the validity of recurrence-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in patients with surgically resectable advanced oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). METHODS: Patients with OSCC who received neoadjuvant cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil, or docetaxel, cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil, at 58 Japanese oesophageal centres certified by the Japan Esophageal Society were reviewed retrospectively. The correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival was assessed using Kendall's τ. RESULTS: The study included 3154 patients. The 5-year overall and recurrence-free survival rates were 56.6 and 47.7% respectively. The primary analysis revealed a strong correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival (Kendall's τ 0.797, 95% c.i. 0.782 to 0.812) at the individual level. Subgroup analysis showed a positive relationship between a more favourable pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy and a higher τ value. In the meta-regression model, the adjusted R2 value at the institutional level was 100 (95% c.i. 40.2 to 100)%. The surrogate threshold effect was 0.703. CONCLUSION: There was a strong correlation between recurrence-free and overall survival in patients with surgically resectable OSCC who underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and this was more pronounced in patients with a better response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Multifocal motor neuropathy in Japan: A nationwide survey on prevalence, clinical profiles, and treatment.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Multifocal motor neuropathy (MMN) is a rare disease for which epidemiological and clinical data are limited. We conducted a nationwide survey to determine disease prevalence, incidence, clinical profile, and current treatment status in Japan. METHODS: A nationwide survey was conducted in 2021 using an established epidemiological method. Questionnaires were sent to all neurology and pediatric neurology departments in Japan. An initial questionnaire was administered to determine the number of patients with and incidence of MMN. A second questionnaire was administered to collect detailed clinical information. The European Federation of Neurological Societies/Peripheral Nerve Society 2010 guidelines were used as diagnostic criteria. RESULTS: The estimated number of patients with MMN was 507. The estimated prevalence was 0.40 per 100,000 individuals. Detailed clinical profiles were available for 120 patients. The male-to-female ratio was 2.3:1 and the median onset age was 42 years. The median disease duration at diagnosis was 25 months. Most patients presented with upper limb-dominant muscle weakness. Motor nerve conduction blocks were found in 62% of patients and positive anti-GM1 IgM antibody results in 54%. A total of 117 (98%) patients received immunoglobulin therapy, and 91% of them showed improvement. At the time of the last visit (median, 82 months from treatment initiation), 89 (74%) patients were receiving maintenance immunoglobulin therapy. A slight progression of neurological deficits was observed during follow-up. DISCUSSION: Most patients with MMN in Japan received induction and maintenance immunoglobulin therapies, which appear to suppress long-term disease progression.

Prevalence and clinical profiles of anti-myelin-associated glycoprotein neuropathy in Japan: A nationwide survey study of 133 patients.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of anti-myelin-associated glycoprotein (MAG) neuropathy and the current status of such patients in Japan. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide survey in 2021 using established epidemiological methods. Questionnaires were sent to all neurology and pediatric neurology departments throughout Japan to identify patients with anti-MAG neuropathy. An initial questionnaire was used to determine the number of patients, with a second one used to collect detailed clinical information. RESULTS: The estimated number of patients with anti-MAG neuropathy was 353, with a prevalence of 0.28 per 100,000 and an incidence of 0.05 per 100,000. The detailed clinical profiles of 133 patients were available. The median (range) age of onset was 67 (30-87) years, with a prominent peak in the age range 66-70 years, and the male-to-female ratio was 3.6. Most patients had distal sensory-predominant polyneuropathy, and neuropathic pain (50%), or sensory ataxia (42%), while 18% had Waldenström's macroglobulinemia or multiple myeloma. Intravenous immunoglobulin was the most frequently used treatment (65%), but the response rate was <50%, whereas rituximab was given in 32% of patients, and 64% of these showed improvement. At the last visit, 27% of patients could not walk independently. CONCLUSIONS: This study on anti-MAG neuropathy provides updated insights into the epidemiology of this disease, clinical profiles, and treatment approaches in Japan. Rituximab therapy, used for only one-third of the patients, demonstrated efficacy. During the final visit, a quarter of the patients were unable to walk independently. Further studies are warranted to determine the optimal management of this rare and intractable disorder.

Comparison between asymptotic and re-randomisation tests under non-proportional hazards in a randomised controlled trial using the minimisation method.

BACKGROUND: Pocock-Simon's minimisation method has been widely used to balance treatment assignments across prognostic factors in randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Previous studies focusing on the survival outcomes have demonstrated that the conservativeness of asymptotic tests without adjusting for stratification factors, as well as the inflated type I error rate of adjusted asymptotic tests conducted in a small sample of patients, can be relaxed using re-randomisation tests. Although several RCTs using minimisation have suggested the presence of non-proportional hazards (non-PH) effects, the application of re-randomisation tests has been limited to the log-rank test and Cox PH models, which may result in diminished statistical power when confronted with non-PH scenarios. To address this issue, we proposed two re-randomisation tests based on a maximum combination of weighted log-rank tests (MaxCombo test) and the difference in restricted mean survival time (dRMST) up to a fixed time point τ , both of which can be extended to adjust for randomisation stratification factors. METHODS: We compared the performance of asymptotic and re-randomisation tests using the MaxCombo test, dRMST, log-rank test, and Cox PH models, assuming various non-PH situations for RCTs using minimisation, with total sample sizes of 50, 100, and 500 at a 1:1 allocation ratio. We mainly considered null, and alternative scenarios featuring delayed, crossing, and diminishing treatment effects. RESULTS: Across all examined null scenarios, re-randomisation tests maintained the type I error rates at the nominal level. Conversely, unadjusted asymptotic tests indicated excessive conservatism, while adjusted asymptotic tests in both the Cox PH models and dRMST indicated inflated type I error rates for total sample sizes of 50. The stratified MaxCombo-based re-randomisation test consistently exhibited robust power across all examined scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: The re-randomisation test is a useful alternative in non-PH situations for RCTs with minimisation using the stratified MaxCombo test, suggesting its robust power in various scenarios.

Delivering the diagnosis of multiple system atrophy: a multicenter survey on Japanese neurologists' perspectives.

BACKGROUND: Multiple system atrophy (MSA) is a progressive, incurable, life-threatening neurodegenerative disease uniquely characterized by the risk of sudden death, which makes diagnosis delivery challenging for neurologists. Empirical studies on breaking a diagnosis of MSA are scarce, with no guidelines currently established. This study aimed to investigate neurologists' current practices and experiences in delivering the diagnosis of MSA. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter online survey and employed a mixed-methods (quantitative and qualitative) study design in which responses to open-ended questions were analyzed qualitatively using critical incident technique. RESULTS: Among the 194 neurologists surveyed, 166 opened the survey (response rate = 85.6%), of whom 144 respondents across various Japanese regions completed the survey. Accordingly, 92.3% and 82.8% of the participating neurologists perceived delivering the diagnosis of MSA and explaining the risk of sudden death as difficult, respectively. Factors independently associated with difficulties in diagnosis delivery included explaining the importance of the family decision making process in life-prolonging treatment, perceived difficulties in delivering information regarding the risk of sudden death, and perceived difficulties in differential diagnosis of MSA. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings showed that the majority of neurologists perceived delivering the diagnosis of MSA and explaining the risk of sudden death as difficult, which could have been associated with the difficulty of breaking the diagnosis of MSA. Difficulty in conveying bad news in MSA are caused by various factors, such as empathic burden on neurologists caused by the progressive and incurable nature of MSA, the need to explain complex and important details, including the importance of the family decision-making process in life-prolonging treatment, difficulty of MSA diagnosis, and communication barriers posed by mental status and cognitive impairment in patients or their family members. Neurologists consider various factors in explaining the risk of sudden death (e.g., patient's personality, mental state, and degree of acceptance and understanding) and adjust their manner of communication, such as limiting their communication on such matters or avoiding the use of the term "sudden death" in the early stages of the disease. Although neurologists endeavor to meet the basic standards of good practice, there is room for the multiple aspects for improvement.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on gastric surgery in Japan: A nationwide study using interrupted time-series analyses.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Changes in the number of surgeries for gastric cancer during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have been reported, but data are insufficient to understand the impact at the national level. This study aimed to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on gastric surgery in Japan. METHODS: Insurance claims data registered from January 2015 to January 2021 were used. Changes in the number of endoscopic resections and gastrectomies for gastric cancer were estimated using an interrupted time-series analysis. RESULTS: The number of endoscopic resections significantly decreased in July 2020 (-1565; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -2022, -1108) and January 2021 (-539; 95% CI: -970, -109), and the number of laparoscopic surgeries significantly decreased in July 2020 (-795; 95% CI: -1097, -492), October 2020 (-313; 95% CI: -606, -19), and January 2021 (-507; 95% CI: -935, -78). Meanwhile, the number of open gastrectomies remained unchanged, and the number of robot-assisted gastrectomies steadily increased since their coverage by public health insurance in April 2018. CONCLUSIONS: The decreased number of endoscopic resections and laparoscopic surgeries in Japan suggests a decline in early-stage gastric cancer diagnosis, likely due to the suspension of gastric cancer screening and diagnostic testing during the pandemic. Meanwhile, the number of open and robot-assisted gastrectomies remained unchanged and increased, respectively, indicating that these applications were not affected by the pandemic-related medical crisis. These findings highlight that procedures for cancer diagnosis, including screening, should still be provided during pandemics.

Live two-way video versus face-to-face treatment for depression, anxiety, and obsessive-compulsive disorder: A 24-week randomized controlled trial.

AIM: Live two-way video, easily accessible from home via smartphones and other devices, is becoming a new way of providing psychiatric treatment. However, lack of evidence for real-world clinical setting effectiveness hampers its approval by medical insurance in some countries. Here, we conducted the first large-scale pragmatic, randomized controlled trial to determine the effectiveness of long-term treatment for multiple psychiatric disorders via two-way video using smartphones and other devices, which are currently the primary means of telecommunication. METHODS: This randomized controlled trial compared two-way video versus face-to-face treatment for depressive disorder, anxiety disorder, and obsessive-compulsive disorder in the subacute/maintenance phase during a 24-week period. Adult patients with the above-mentioned disorders were allocated to either a two-way video group (≥50% video sessions) or a face-to-face group (100% in-person sessions) and received standard treatment covered by public medical insurance. The primary outcome was the 36-Item Short-Form Health Survey Mental Component Summary (SF-36 MCS) score. Secondary outcomes included all-cause discontinuation, working alliance, adverse events, and the severity rating scales for each disorder. RESULTS: A total of 199 patients participated in this study. After 24 weeks of treatment, two-way video treatment was found to be noninferior to face-to-face treatment regarding SF-36 MCS score (48.50 vs 46.68, respectively; p < 0.001). There were no significant differences between the groups regarding most secondary end points, including all-cause discontinuation, treatment efficacy, and satisfaction. CONCLUSION: Two-way video treatment using smartphones and other devices, was noninferior to face-to-face treatment in real-world clinical settings. Modern telemedicine, easily accessible from home, can be used as a form of health care.

A comprehensive appraisal of HER2 heterogeneity in HER2-amplified and HER2-low colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to elucidate the clinicopathological and molecular features of HER2-amplified and HER2-low colorectal cancers (CRCs). We also characterised HER2 expression statuses in CRCs focusing on their intratumoral heterogeneity and alterations in metastatic lesions to establish practical HER2 status assessment. METHODS: We evaluated 1009 CRCs for HER2 expression and HER2 amplification by immunohistochemistry and FISH, respectively, and correlated the results to clinicopathological and molecular data. For HER2-positive tumours, HER2 expression in metastatic lesions was also assessed. RESULTS: Twenty-five HER2-amplified (2.5%) and 46 HER2-low tumours (4.6%) were identified. HER2-amplified tumours consistently lacked a mucinous component and HER2-low tumours tended to be in the right colon, but no other clinicopathological features were noted. KRAS, NRAS or BRAF mutations were detected in only two HER2-amplified tumours (8%), whereas 23 HER2-low tumours (50%) had one of these mutations. Most HER2-amplified and HER2-low tumours showed a homogeneous or mosaic HER2 expression pattern and a clustered heterogeneous expression pattern was rather rare. HER2 expression was maintained in most metastatic lesions in both HER2-amplified (93%) and HER2-low tumours (81%). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that biopsy-based assessment of primary lesions is appropriate for the identification of CRC patients eligible for systemic HER2-targeted therapy.

Diagnostic Value of Adding Magnifying Chromoendoscopy to Magnifying Narrow-Band Imaging Endoscopy for Colorectal Polyps.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study examined the additional value of magnifying chromoendoscopy (MCE) on magnifying narrow-band imaging endoscopy (M-NBI) in the optical diagnosis of colorectal polyps. METHODS: A multicenter prospective study was conducted at 9 facilities in Japan and Germany. Patients with colorectal polyps scheduled for resection were included. Optical diagnosis was performed by M-NBI first, followed by MCE. Both diagnoses were made in real time. MCE was performed on all type 2B lesions classified according to the Japan NBI Expert Team classification and other lesions at the discretion of endoscopists. The diagnostic accuracy and confidence of M-NBI and MCE for colorectal cancer (CRC) with deep invasion (≥T1b) were compared on the basis of histologic findings after resection. RESULTS: In total, 1173 lesions were included between February 2018 and December 2020, with 654 (5 hyperplastic polyp/sessile serrated lesion, 162 low-grade dysplasia, 403 high-grade dysplasia, 97 T1 CRCs, and 32 ≥T2 CRCs) examined using MCE after M-NBI. In the diagnostic accuracy for predicting CRC with deep invasion, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy for M-NBI were 63.1%, 94.2%, 61.6%, 94.5%, and 90.2%, respectively, and for MCE they were 77.4%, 93.2%, 62.5%, 96.5%, and 91.1%, respectively. The sensitivity was significantly higher in MCE (P < .001). However, these additional values were limited to lesions with low confidence in M-NBI or the ones diagnosed as ≥T1b CRC by M-NBI. CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter prospective study, we demonstrated the additional value of MCE on M-NBI. We suggest that additional MCE be recommended for lesions with low confidence or the ones diagnosed as ≥T1b CRC. Trials registry number: UMIN000031129.

Diverse and divergent functions of IL-32ß and IL-32γ isoforms in the regulation of malignant pleural mesothelioma cell growth and the production of VEGF-A and CXCL8.

In this study, we sought to elucidate the roles of the interleukin (IL)-32ß and IL-32γ in mesothelioma cell growth, and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-A and C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 8 (CXCL8) expression. IL-32 elicited a growth-promoting effect against one of the six mesotheliomas lines and exerted diverse regulatory functions in VEGF-A and CXCL8 secretion from mesotheliomas stimulated with or without IL-17A. Retroviral-mediated transduction of mesothelioma lines with IL-32γ resulted in enhanced IL-32ß expression, which facilitated or suppressed the in vitro growth, and VEGF-A and CXCL8 expression. Overexpressed IL-32ß-augmented growth and VEGF-A and CXCL8 production were mainly mediated through the phosphatidylinositol-3 kinase (PI3K) signaling pathway. On the other hand, overexpressed IL-32ß-deceased growth was mediated through mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway. NCI-H2373IL-32γ tumors grew faster than NCI-H2373Neo tumors in a xenograft model, which was associated with increased vascularity. These findings indicate that IL-32 are involved in the regulation of growth and angiogenic factor production in mesotheliomas.

Randomised phase II trial of trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) plus ramucirumab (RAM) versus trifluridine/tipiracil for previously treated patients with advanced gastric or esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (RETRIEVE study, WJOG15822G).

BACKGROUND: Trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) prolongs survival in the third- or later-line treatment for advanced gastric cancer (GC), esophagogastric junction (EGJ) adenocarcinoma, and colorectal cancer. While single-arm phase II trials showed promising outcomes of FTD/TPI plus ramucirumab (RAM) as third- or later-line treatments for advanced GC or EGJ cancer, there have been no clinical trials to directly compare FTD/TPI plus RAM with FTD/TPI monotherapy. Therefore, we have started a randomised phase II trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of FTD/TPI plus RAM compared with FTD/TPI monotherapy as third- or later-line treatments in patients with advanced GC and EGJ adenocarcinoma. METHODS: This RETREVE trial (WJOG15822G) is a prospective, open-label, randomised, multicentre phase II trial comparing FTD/TPI plus RAM versus FTD/TPI monotherapy in a third- or later-line setting. Eligibility criteria include age of > 20 years; performance status of 0 or 1; unresectable or recurrent gastric or EGJ adenocarcinoma; confirmed HER2 status; refractory or intolerant to fluoropyrimidine, taxane or irinotecan; refractory to RAM (not intolerant); and at least a measurable lesion per RECIST 1.1. FTD/TPI (35 mg/m2 twice daily, evening of day 1 to morning of day 6 and evening of day 8 to morning of day 13) was administered orally every 4 weeks, and RAM (8 mg/kg) was administered intravenously every 2 weeks. The primary endpoint is progression-free survival (PFS), and the secondary endpoints are overall survival, objective response rate, disease control rate, and safety. The expected hazard ratio of PFS is set as 0.7, assuming 4-month PFS rate of 27% in FTD/TPI monotherapy and 40% in FTD/TPI plus RAM. The number of subjects was 110, with a one-sided alpha error of 0.10 and power of 0.70. DISCUSSION: This study will clarify the additional effect of RAM continuation beyond disease progression on FTD/TPI in the third- or later-line setting for patients with advanced GC or EGJ cancer. TRIAL REGISTRATION: jRCTs041220120.

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease in a nationwide survey.

BACKGROUND: To our knowledge, no nationwide epidemiological study of myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) has been conducted. OBJECTIVE: We examined the epidemiology and clinical features of MOGAD in Japan. METHODS: We distributed questionnaires on the clinical characteristics of patients with MOGAD to neurology, pediatric-neurology, and neuro-ophthalmology facilities throughout Japan. RESULTS: In total, 887 patients were identified. The estimated number of total and newly diagnosed MOGAD patients was 1,695 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1483-1907] and 487 (95% CI: 414-560), respectively. The estimated prevalence and incidence were 1.34/100,000 (95% CI: 1.18-1.51) and 0.39/100,000 (95% CI: 0.32-0.44), respectively. The median age at onset was 28 years (range: 0-84 years). At onset, optic neuritis was present in approximately 40% of patients, irrespective of the onset age. Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis was more frequent in younger patients, whereas brainstem encephalitis, encephalitis, and myelitis were more frequent in elderly patients. Immunotherapy was highly effective. CONCLUSION: The prevalence and incidence rates of MOGAD in Japan are similar to those in other countries. Notable characteristics such as the preferential occurrence of acute disseminated encephalomyelitis in children exist; however, general characteristics including symptoms and treatment response are common irrespective of the onset age.

Evaluating the efficacy of post-operative chemotherapy after curative resection of stage IV gastric cancer with synchronous oligo metastasis: a multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of oligo-metastasis in gastric cancer (GC) is weakly recommended for patients without other incurable factors in the Japanese GC Treatment Guidelines. While post-operative chemotherapy is the standard treatment in patients with stage II or III GC, its efficacy for resected stage IV GC is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of post-operative chemotherapy after curative resection of GC with oligo-metastasis. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients with GC who were diagnosed with synchronous oligo-metastasis at 20 institutions in Japan between 2007 and 2012. The selection criteria were: adenocarcinoma, stage IV with oligo-metastasis at liver or lymph node without other distant metastasis, curative resection including synchronous oligo-metastasis, and no prior treatment of GC before surgery. RESULTS: A total of 110 patients were collected. Of the 94 eligible patients, 84 underwent gastrectomy with surgical resection of oligo-metastasis (39 [41%] liver metastasis and 55, [59%] distant lymph node metastasis), followed by post-operative chemotherapy with S-1 (S1: n = 55), S1 plus cisplatin (CS: n = 22), or Others (n = 7). Moreover, 10 patients did not receive post-operative chemotherapy (Non-Cx). The median overall survival (OS) was 35.2 and 11.1 months in the post-operative chemotherapy and Non-Cx groups (hazard ratio, 3.56; 95% confidence interval, 1.74-7.30; p < 0.001), respectively. In multivariable analysis, Non-Cx and age over 70 years were identified as poor prognostic factors for OS (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Curative resection followed by post-operative chemotherapy in patients with GC with synchronous oligo-metastasis showed favorable survival.

Pattern of disease progression during third-line or later chemotherapy with nivolumab associated with poor prognosis in advanced gastric cancer: a multicenter retrospective study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Accelerated tumor growth during immunotherapy in pre-existing measurable lesions, hyperprogressive disease (HPD), has been reported. However, progression of non-measurable lesions and new lesions are frequently observed in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC). METHODS: This retrospective study involved AGC patients at 24 Japanese institutions who had measurable lesions and received nivolumab after ≥ 2 lines of chemotherapy. HPD was defined as a ≥ two-fold increase in the tumor growth rate of measurable lesions. The pattern of disease progression was classified according to new lesions in different organs and ascites appeared/increase of ascites. RESULTS: Of 245 patients, 147 (60.0%) showed progressive disease (PD) as the best response and 41 (16.7%) showed HPD during nivolumab monotherapy. There was no significant difference in overall survival (OS) between patients with HPD and those with PD other than HPD (median OS 5.0 vs 4.8 months; hazard ratio [HR] 1.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.6-1.5; p = 1.0). Fifty-three patients developed new lesions in different organs and 58 had appearance/increase of ascites; these patients showed shorter OS than those without each of these features (median OS 3.3 vs 7.1 months, HR 1.8, 95% CI 1.2-2.7, p = 0.0031 for new lesions, and 3.0 vs 7.8 months, HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.8-3.8, p < 0.0001 for ascites). Thirty-one patients who had both features showed the worst prognosis (median OS 2.6 months). CONCLUSIONS: New lesions in different organs and appearance/increase of ascites, rather than the original definition of HPD, are the patterns of disease progression associated with poor prognosis in AGC patients receiving nivolumab whose best response was PD.

Bias in Odds Ratios From Logistic Regression Methods With Sparse Data Sets.

BACKGROUND: Logistic regression models are widely used to evaluate the association between a binary outcome and a set of covariates. However, when there are few study participants at the outcome and covariate levels, the models lead to bias of the odds ratio (OR) estimated using the maximum likelihood (ML) method. This bias is known as sparse data bias, and the estimated OR can yield impossibly large values because of data sparsity. However, this bias has been ignored in most epidemiological studies. METHODS: We review several methods for reducing sparse data bias in logistic regression. The primary aim is to evaluate the Bayesian methods in comparison with the classical methods, such as the ML, Firth's, and exact methods using a simulation study. We also apply these methods to a real data set. RESULTS: Our simulation results indicate that the bias of the OR from the ML, Firth's, and exact methods is considerable. Furthermore, the Bayesian methods with hyper-É¡ prior modeling of the prior covariance matrix for regression coefficients reduced the bias under the null hypothesis, whereas the Bayesian methods with log F-type priors reduced the bias under the alternative hypothesis. CONCLUSION: The Bayesian methods using log F-type priors and hyper-É¡ prior are superior to the ML, Firth's, and exact methods when fitting logistic models to sparse data sets. The choice of a preferable method depends on the null and alternative hypothesis. Sensitivity analysis is important to understand the robustness of the results in sparse data analysis.

The body mass index change is associated with death or hemodialysis transfer in Japanese patients initiating peritoneal dialysis.

A decreased body mass index (BMI) over time is associated with a poor prognosis for patients on hemodialysis. We aimed to examine whether this association also applies to patients with peritoneal dialysis (PD). BMI change was defined as the percentage change in the BMI between the time of PD catheter insertion and six months after its insertion. The association between the BMI change and all-cause mortality or PD discontinuation from six months after PD catheter insertion until October 2021 was investigated. This retrospective cohort study included 122 patients (aged 61.1 ± 12.1 years; 90 males) who underwent PD catheter insertion between January 2008 and March 2020. The median follow-up period was 43.1 (21.2-78.8) months. The median six-month percentage change in the BMI was -2.14 (-5.56-1.84)%, and patients were categorized into tertiles based on their BMI changes. The fully-adjusted Cox regression analysis revealed a significantly higher rate of PD discontinuation or all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR): 2.48; 95%; confidence interval (CI): 1.41-4.37) in patients with the lowest tertile (T1, BMI change: < -4.13%) compared to patients with the middle tertile (T2, BMI change: -4.13%-0.67%). The risk was not significantly higher in patients with the highest tertile (T3, BMI change: >0.67%) than those in the T2 group (HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 0.66-2.11). A decreased BMI over time is independently associated with HD transfer or all-cause mortality among patients initiating PD, which highlights the importance of the 6-month BMI change as a novel prognostic marker.

Group multi-component programme based on cognitive behavioural therapy and positive psychology for family caregivers of people with dementia: a randomised controlled study (3C study).

BACKGROUND: Caregivers of people with dementia frequently experience an elevated level of psychological distress and burden. This study aimed to examine the effectiveness of a group-format multi-component programme which is based on cognitive behavioural therapy and positive psychology. METHODS: Family caregivers of dementia were allocated (1:1) to the intervention group and the wait-list control group, stratified by age (<65 years, ≥65 years) and care status (at home or in an institution). The intervention group received a six-session, 10-week, group-format programme. The primary outcome was the Hospital Anxiety Depression Scale (HADS). Secondary outcomes were the short-version of the Zarit Burden Interview (personal strain and role strain), Neuropsychiatric Inventory Questionnaire, Dementia Caregiver Positive Feeling Scale, and Self-Compassionate Reactions Inventory. The evaluations were conducted at baseline, 10 weeks (post-intervention), and 14 weeks (follow-up). RESULTS: The analyses were performed with 64 registered participants. In the whole sample, no significant effect was observed on HADS. There was medium effect on role strain (P = 0.04, partial η2  = 0.08). Positive feelings of caregiving increased after the intervention but were not maintained at follow-up. In the subgroup analysis of caregivers under 65 years of age, a statistically significant effect was observed for personal strain (P = 0.03, partial η2 = 0.16). An interaction effect was also found for the total score of positive feelings of caregiving (P < 0.05, partial η2 = 0.02) and the meaning of caregiving (P = 0.02, partial η2 = 0.10). CONCLUSIONS: This programme did not show significant improvement in depression and anxiety of caregivers of dementia; however, it reduced the burden of their role conflict (role strain) and yielded favourable short-term effects on the positive feelings and the meaning of caregiving among the participants. Also, the programme effectively reduced the personal strain of caregivers under 65 years.

Noninvasive risk stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia with malignant potential by serum apolipoprotein-A2-isoforms.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are premalignant lesions of pancreatic cancer. An accurate serum biomarker, which allows earlier identification of asymptomatic individuals with high-risk for developing cancer, is of urgent need. Apolipoprotein A2-isoforms (apoA2-i) have previously been identified as biomarkers in pancreatic cancer. This study investigates a potential clinical application of the serum apoA2-i for risk stratification of IPMN and associated cancer. The concentrations of apoA2-i were retrospectively determined in 523 patient sera specimen, composed of 305 IPMNs with preinvasive lesions with different grades of dysplasia and invasive cancer, 140 pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, 78 with other cystic lesions and healthy controls cohorts, using an apoA2-i enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kit. The diagnostic performance of serum apoA2-i was assessed and compared to routine clinical marker CA 19-9. ApoA2-i levels were significantly reduced in all IPMN samples regardless of stage compared to healthy controls. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of IPMNs with high-grade dysplasia and IPMN with associated carcinoma revealed the area under curve (AUC) of 0.91 and >0.94, respectively. The respective sensitivities were 70% and 83% with a specificity of 95%, and significantly higher than the gold standard biomarker CA 19-9. AUC values of apoA2-i for detecting IPMN-associated carcinoma of colloid and ductal subtypes were 0.990 and 0.885, respectively. ApoA2-i has the potential to early detect the risk of malignancy of patients with IPMN. The serological apoA2-i test in combination with imaging modalities could help improve the diagnosis of IPMN malignancy. Further validation in larger and independent international cohort studies is needed.

Alpha-actinin-4 (ACTN4) gene amplification is a predictive biomarker for adjuvant chemotherapy with tegafur/uracil in stage I lung adenocarcinomas.

Although adjuvant tegafur/uracil (UFT) is recommended for patients with completely resected stage I non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in Japan, only one-third of cases has received adjuvant chemotherapy (ADJ) according to real-world data. Therefore, robust predictive biomarkers for selecting ADJ or observation (OBS) without ADJ are needed. Patients who underwent complete resection of stage I lung adenocarcinoma with or without adjuvant UFT were enrolled. The status of ACTN4 gene amplification was analyzed by FISH. Statistical analyses to determine whether the status of ACTN4 gene amplification affected recurrence-free survival (RFS) were carried out. Formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded samples from 1136 lung adenocarcinomas were submitted for analysis of ACTN4 gene amplification. Ninety-nine (8.9%) of 1114 cases were positive for ACTN4 gene amplification. In the subgroup analysis of patients aged 65 years or older, the ADJ group had better RFS than the OBS group in the ACTN4-positive cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 0.084, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.009-0.806; P = .032). The difference in RFS between the ADJ group and the OBS group was not significant in ACTN4-negative cases (all ages: HR, 1.214; 95% CI, 0.848-1.738; P = .289). Analyses of ACTN4 gene amplification contributed to the decision regarding postoperative ADJ for stage I lung adenocarcinomas, preventing recurrence, improving the quality of medical care, preventing the unnecessary side-effects of ADJ, and saving medical costs.