Cost-effectiveness of COVID rapid diagnostic tests for patients with severe/critical illness in low- and middle-income countries: A modeling study.

BACKGROUND: Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for coronavirus disease (COVID) are used in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) to inform treatment decisions. However, to date, it is unclear when this use is cost-effective. Existing analyses are limited to a narrow set of countries and uses. The aim of this study is to assess the cost-effectiveness of COVID RDTs to inform the treatment of patients with severe illness in LMICs, considering real world practice. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We assessed the cost-effectiveness of COVID testing across LMICs using a decision tree model, differentiating results by country income level, Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) prevalence, and testing scenario (none, RDTs, polymerase chain reaction tests-PCRs and combinations). LMIC experts defined realistic care pathways and treatment options. Using a healthcare provider perspective and net monetary benefit approach, we assessed both intended (COVID symptom alleviation) and unintended (treatment side effects) health and economic impacts for each testing scenario. We included the side effects of corticosteroids, which are often the only available treatment for COVID. Because side effects depend both on the treatment and the patient's underlying illness (COVID or COVID-like illnesses, such as influenza), we considered the prevalence of COVID-like illnesses in our analyses. We found that SARS-CoV-2 testing of patients with severe COVID-like illness can be cost-effective in all LMICs, though only in some circumstances. High influenza prevalence among suspected COVID cases improves cost-effectiveness, since incorrectly provided corticosteroids may worsen influenza outcomes. In low- and some lower-middle-income countries, only patients with a high index of suspicion for COVID should be tested with RDTs, while other patients should be presumed to not have COVID. In some lower-middle-income and upper-middle-income countries, suspected severe COVID cases should almost always be tested. Further, in these settings, negative test results in patients with a high initial index of suspicion should be confirmed through PCR and, during influenza outbreaks, positive results in patients with a low initial index of suspicion should also be confirmed with a PCR. The use of interleukin-6 receptor blockers, when supported by testing, may also be cost-effective in higher-income LMICs. The cost at which they would be cost-effective in low-income countries ($162 to $406 per treatment course) is below current prices. The primary limitation of our analysis is substantial uncertainty around some of the parameters in our model due to limited data, most notably on current COVID mortality with standard of care, and insufficient evidence on the impact of corticosteroids on patients with severe influenza. CONCLUSIONS: COVID testing can be cost-effective to inform treatment of LMIC patients with severe COVID-like disease. The optimal algorithm is driven by country income level and health budgets, the level of suspicion that the patient may have COVID, and influenza prevalence. Further research to better characterize the unintended effects of corticosteroids, particularly on influenza cases, could improve decision making around the treatment of those with COVID-like symptoms in LMICs.

Risk factors for sustained virological non-suppression among children and adolescents living with HIV in Zimbabwe and Malawi: a secondary data analysis.

BACKGROUND: We investigated risk factors for sustained virological non-suppression (viral load ≥ 1000 copies/ml on two tests 48 weeks apart) among children and adolescents accessing HIV care in public sector clinics in Harare, Zimbabwe and Blantyre, Malawi. METHODS: Participants were enrolled between 2016 and 2019, were aged 6-19 years, living with HIV, had chronic lung disease (FEV z-score < -1) and had taken antiretroviral therapy (ART) for at least six months. We used multivariate logistic regression to identify risk factors for virological non-suppression after 48 weeks, among participants who were non-suppressed at enrolment. RESULTS: At enrolment 258 participants (64.6%) were on first-line ART and 152/347 (43.8%) had virological non-suppression. After 48 weeks 114/313 (36.4%) were non-suppressed. Participants non-suppressed at baseline had almost ten times higher odds of non-suppression at follow-up (OR = 9.9, 95%CI 5.3-18.4, p < 0.001). Of those who were non-suppressed at enrolment, 87/136 (64.0%) were still non-suppressed at 48 weeks. Among this group non-suppression at 48 weeks was associated with not switching ART regimen (adjusted OR = 5.55; 95%CI 1.41-21.83); p = 0.014) and with older age. Twelve participants switched regimen in Zimbabwe and none in Malawi. CONCLUSIONS: Viral non-suppression was high among this group and many with high viral load were not switched to a new regimen, resulting in continued non-suppression after 48 weeks. Further research could determine whether improved adherence counselling and training clinicians on regimen switches can improve viral suppression rates in this population. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Secondary cohort analysis of data from BREATHE trial (Clinicaltrials.gov NCT02426112 ).

Prevalence and antimicrobial resistance profiles of respiratory microbial flora in African children with HIV-associated chronic lung disease.

BACKGROUND: HIV-associated chronic lung disease (CLD) is common among children living with HIV (CLWH) in sub-Saharan Africa, including those on antiretroviral therapy (ART). However, the pathogenesis of CLD and its possible association with microbial determinants remain poorly understood. We investigated the prevalence, and antibiotic susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Staphylococcus aureus (SA), Haemophilus influenzae (HI), and Moraxella catarrhalis (MC) among CLWH (established on ART) who had CLD (CLD+), or not (CLD-) in Zimbabwe and Malawi. METHODS: Nasopharyngeal swabs (NP) and sputa were collected from CLD+ CLWH (defined as forced-expiratory volume per second z-score < - 1 without reversibility post-bronchodilation with salbutamol), at enrolment as part of a randomised, placebo-controlled trial of azithromycin (BREATHE trial - NCT02426112 ), and from age- and sex-matched CLD- CLWH. Samples were cultured, and antibiotic susceptibility testing was conducted using disk diffusion. Risk factors for bacterial carriage were identified using questionnaires and analysed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 410 participants (336 CLD+, 74 CLD-) were enrolled (median age, 15 years [IQR = 13-18]). SP and MC carriage in NP were higher in CLD+ than in CLD- children: 46% (154/336) vs. 26% (19/74), p = 0.008; and 14% (49/336) vs. 3% (2/74), p = 0.012, respectively. SP isolates from the NP of CLD+ children were more likely to be non-susceptible to penicillin than those from CLD- children (36% [53/144] vs 11% [2/18], p = 0.036). Methicillin-resistant SA was uncommon [4% (7/195)]. In multivariate analysis, key factors associated with NP bacterial carriage included having CLD (SP: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2 [95% CI 1.1-3.9]), younger age (SP: aOR 3.2 [1.8-5.8]), viral load suppression (SP: aOR 0.6 [0.4-1.0], SA: 0.5 [0.3-0.9]), stunting (SP: aOR 1.6 [1.1-2.6]) and male sex (SA: aOR 1.7 [1.0-2.9]). Sputum bacterial carriage was similar in both groups (50%) and was associated with Zimbabwean site (SP: aOR 3.1 [1.4-7.3], SA: 2.1 [1.1-4.2]), being on ART for a longer period (SP: aOR 0.3 [0.1-0.8]), and hot compared to rainy season (SP: aOR 2.3 [1.2-4.4]). CONCLUSIONS: CLD+ CLWH were more likely to be colonised by MC and SP, including penicillin-non-susceptible SP strains, than CLD- CLWH. The role of these bacteria in CLD pathogenesis, including the risk of acute exacerbations, should be further studied.

Patient-incurred cost of inpatient treatment for Tuberculosis in rural Malawi.

OBJECTIVES: To mitigate the economic burden of tuberculosis (TB), it is important to fully understand the costs of TB treatment from the patient perspective. We therefore sought to quantify the patient-incurred cost of TB treatment in rural Malawi, with specific focus on costs borne by patients requiring inpatient hospitalisation. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of 197 inpatients and 156 outpatients being treated for TB in rural Malawi. We collected data on out-of-pocket costs and lost wages, including costs to guardians. Costs for inpatient TB treatment were estimated and compared to costs for outpatient TB treatment. We then explored the equity distribution of inpatient TB treatment cost using concentration curves. RESULTS: Despite free government services, inpatients were estimated to incur a mean of $137 (standard deviation: $147) per initial TB episode, corresponding to >50% of annual household spending among patients in the lowest expenditure quintile. Non-medical hospitalisation costs accounted for 88% of this total. Patients treated entirely as outpatients incurred estimated costs of $25 (standard deviation: $15) per episode. The concentration curves showed that, among individuals hospitalised for an initial TB episode, poorer patients shouldered a much greater proportion of inpatient TB treatment costs than wealthier ones (concentration index: -0.279). CONCLUSION: Patients hospitalised for TB in resource-limited rural Malawi experience devastating costs of TB treatment. Earlier diagnosis and treatment must be prioritised if we are to meet goals of effective TB control, avoidance of catastrophic costs and provision of appropriate patient-centred care in such settings.

OBJECTIFS: Pour atténuer la charge économique de la tuberculose (TB), il est important de bien comprendre les coûts du traitement de la TB du point de vue du patient. Nous avons donc cherché à quantifier les coûts encourus par les patients pour le traitement de la TB dans les zones rurales du Malawi, en mettant l'accent sur les coûts supportés par les patients nécessitant une hospitalisation. MÉTHODES: Nous avons mené une enquête transversale auprès de 197 patients hospitalisés et 156 patients ambulatoires traités pour la TB dans les régions rurales du Malawi. Nous avons collecté des données sur les dépenses payées directement de la poche et les pertes de salaire, y compris les coûts pour les gardiens des malades. Les coûts du traitement anti-TB des patients hospitaliser ont été estimés et comparés aux ceux des patients ambulatoires. Nous avons ensuite exploré la répartition des équités propres au coût du traitement de la TB des patients hospitalisés en utilisant des courbes de concentration. RÉSULTATS: Malgré les services gratuits du gouvernement, les patients hospitalisés encouraient en moyenne estimée de 137 $ (écart-type: 147 $) par épisode initial de TB, ce qui correspond à >50% des dépenses annuelles des ménages chez les patients du quintile de dépenses le plus bas. Les frais d'hospitalisation non médicaux représentaient 88% de ce total. Les patients traités entièrement en ambulatoire encouraient des coûts estimés à 25 $ (écart type: 15 $) par épisode. Les courbes de concentration ont montré que, parmi les personnes hospitalisées pour un premier épisode de TB, les patients les plus pauvres supportaient une proportion beaucoup plus élevée des coûts de traitement de la TB en hospitalisation que les plus riches (indice de concentration: -0,279). CONCLUSION: Les patients hospitalisés pour la TB dans les régions rurales pauvres du Malawi connaissent des coûts dévastateurs pour le traitement de la TB. Le diagnostic et le traitement précoces doivent être priorisés si nous voulons atteindre des objectifs de contrôle efficace de la TB, d'évitement des coûts catastrophiques et de prestation de soins appropriés centrés sur le patient dans de tels contextes .

Screening for Tuberculosis With Xpert MTB/RIF Assay Versus Fluorescent Microscopy Among Adults Newly Diagnosed With Human Immunodeficiency Virus in Rural Malawi: A Cluster Randomized Trial (Chepetsa).

BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) remains the leading cause of death among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected individuals globally. Screening for TB at the point of HIV diagnosis with a high-sensitivity assay presents an opportunity to reduce mortality. METHODS: We performed a cluster randomized trial of TB screening among adults newly diagnosed with HIV in 12 primary health clinics in rural Thyolo, Malawi. Clinics were allocated in a 1:1 ratio to perform either point-of-care Xpert MTB/RIF assay (Xpert) or point-of-care light-emitting diode fluorescence microscopy (LED-FM) for individuals screening positive for TB symptoms. Asymptomatic participants were offered isoniazid preventive therapy in both arms. Investigators, but not clinic staff or participants, were masked to allocation. Our primary outcome was the incidence rate ratio (RR) of all-cause mortality within 12 months of HIV diagnosis. RESULTS: Prevalent TB was diagnosed in 24 of 1001 (2.4%) individuals enrolled in clinics randomized to Xpert, compared with 10 of 841 (1.2%) in clinics randomized to LED-FM. All-cause mortality was 22% lower in the Xpert arm than in the LED-FM arm (6.7 vs 8.6 per 100 person-years; RR, 0.78 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .58-1.06]). A planned subgroup analysis suggested that participants with more advanced HIV (World Health Organization clinical stage 3 or 4) disease had lower mortality in clinics randomized to Xpert than to LED-FM (RR, 0.43 [95% CI, .22-.87]). CONCLUSIONS: In rural Malawi, using point-of-care Xpert MTB/RIF to test symptomatic patients for TB at the time of HIV diagnosis reduced all-cause 12-month mortality among individuals with advanced HIV. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT01450085.

Psychometric performance of the Chichewa versions of the EQ-5D-Y-3L and EQ-5D-Y-5L among healthy and sick children and adolescents in Malawi.

OBJECTIVES: The EuroQol Group has developed an extended version of the EQ-5D-Y-3L with five response levels for each of its five dimensions (EQ-5D-Y-5L). The psychometric performance has been reported in several studies for the EQ-5D-Y-3L but not for the EQ-5D-Y-5L. This study aimed to psychometrically evaluate the EQ-5D-Y-3L and EQ-5D-Y-5L Chichewa (Malawi) versions. METHODS: The EQ-5D-Y-3L, EQ-5D-Y-5L and PedsQL™ 4.0 Chichewa versions were administered to children and adolescents aged 8-17 years in Blantyre, Malawi. Both of the EQ-5D-Y versions were evaluated for missing data, floor/ceiling effects, and validity (convergent, discriminant, known-group and empirical). RESULTS: A total of 289 participants (95 healthy, and 194 chronic and acute) self-completed the questionnaires. There was little problem with missing data (< 5%) except in children aged 8-12 years particularly for the EQ-5D-Y-5L. Ceiling effects was generally reduced in moving from the EQ-5D-Y-3L to the EQ-5D-Y-5L. For both EQ-5D-Y-3L and EQ-5D-Y-5L, convergent validity tested with PedsQL™ 4.0 was found to be satisfactory (correlation ≥ 0.4) at scale level but mixed at dimension /sub-scale level. There was evidence of discriminant validity (p > 0.05) with respect to gender and age, but not for school grade (p < 0.05). For empirical validity, the EQ-5D-Y-5L was 31-91% less efficient than the EQ-5D-Y-3L at detecting differences in health status using external measures. CONCLUSIONS: Both versions of the EQ-5D-Y-3L and EQ-5D-Y-5L had issues with missing data in younger children. Convergent validity, discriminant validity with respect to gender and age, and known-group validity of either measures were also met for use among children and adolescents in this population, although with some limitations (discriminant validity by grade and empirical validity). The EQ-5D-Y-3L seems particularly suited for use in younger children (8-12 years) and the EQ-5D-Y-5L in adolescents (13-17 years). However, further psychometric testing is required for test re-test reliability and responsiveness that could not be carried out in this study due to COVID-19 restrictions.

Sputum bacterial load and bacterial composition correlate with lung function and are altered by long-term azithromycin treatment in children with HIV-associated chronic lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Long-term azithromycin (AZM) treatment reduces the frequency of acute respiratory exacerbation in children and adolescents with HIV-associated chronic lung disease (HCLD). However, the impact of this treatment on the respiratory bacteriome is unknown. METHOD: African children with HCLD (defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 s z-score (FEV1z) less than - 1.0 with no reversibility) were enrolled in a placebo-controlled trial of once-weekly AZM given for 48-weeks (BREATHE trial). Sputum samples were collected at baseline, 48 weeks (end of treatment) and 72 weeks (6 months post-intervention in participants who reached this timepoint before trial conclusion). Sputum bacterial load and bacteriome profiles were determined using 16S rRNA gene qPCR and V4 region amplicon sequencing, respectively. The primary outcomes were within-participant and within-arm (AZM vs placebo) changes in the sputum bacteriome measured across baseline, 48 weeks and 72 weeks. Associations between clinical or socio-demographic factors and bacteriome profiles were also assessed using linear regression. RESULTS: In total, 347 participants (median age: 15.3 years, interquartile range [12.7-17.7]) were enrolled and randomised to AZM (173) or placebo (174). After 48 weeks, participants in the AZM arm had reduced sputum bacterial load vs placebo arm (16S rRNA copies/µl in log10, mean difference and 95% confidence interval [CI] of AZM vs placebo - 0.54 [- 0.71; - 0.36]). Shannon alpha diversity remained stable in the AZM arm but declined in the placebo arm between baseline and 48 weeks (3.03 vs. 2.80, p = 0.04, Wilcoxon paired test). Bacterial community structure changed in the AZM arm at 48 weeks compared with baseline (PERMANOVA test p = 0.003) but resolved at 72 weeks. The relative abundances of genera previously associated with HCLD decreased in the AZM arm at 48 weeks compared with baseline, including Haemophilus (17.9% vs. 25.8%, p < 0.05, ANCOM ω = 32) and Moraxella (1% vs. 1.9%, p < 0.05, ANCOM ω = 47). This reduction was sustained at 72 weeks relative to baseline. Lung function (FEV1z) was negatively associated with bacterial load (coefficient, [CI]: - 0.09 [- 0.16; - 0.02]) and positively associated with Shannon diversity (0.19 [0.12; 0.27]). The relative abundance of Neisseria (coefficient, [standard error]: (2.85, [0.7], q = 0.01), and Haemophilus (- 6.1, [1.2], q < 0.001) were positively and negatively associated with FEV1z, respectively. An increase in the relative abundance of Streptococcus from baseline to 48 weeks was associated with improvement in FEV1z (3.2 [1.11], q = 0.01) whilst an increase in Moraxella was associated with decline in FEV1z (-2.74 [0.74], q = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: AZM treatment preserved sputum bacterial diversity and reduced the relative abundances of the HCLD-associated genera Haemophilus and Moraxella. These bacteriological effects were associated with improvement in lung function and may account for reduced respiratory exacerbations associated with AZM treatment of children with HCLD. Video Abstract.

The ethics of testing a test: randomized trials of the health impact of diagnostic tests for infectious diseases.

In the last decade, many new rapid diagnostic tests for infectious diseases have been developed. In general, these new tests are developed with the intent to optimize feasibility and population health, not accuracy alone. However, unlike drugs or vaccines, diagnostic tests are evaluated and licensed on the basis of accuracy, not health impact (eg, reduced morbidity or mortality). Thus, these tests are sometimes recommended or scaled up for purposes of improving population health without randomized evidence that they do so. We highlight the importance of randomized trials to evaluate the health impact of novel diagnostics and note that such trials raise distinctive ethical challenges of equipoise, equity, and informed consent. We discuss the distinction between equipoise for patient-important outcomes versus diagnostic accuracy, the equity implications of evaluating health impact of diagnostics under routine conditions, and the importance of offering reasonable choices for informed consent in diagnostic trials.

Cross-Cultural Adaptation of the Beta EQ-5D-Y-5L Into Chichewa (Malawi).

OBJECTIVES: The EuroQol Group is developing a new EQ-5D-Y-5L version with 5 severity levels for each of the 5 dimensions. The 5 severity levels describe different health severities and there is a potential for severity level inversion. This article aims to report the process of cross-cultural adaptation of the beta EQ-5D-Y-5L into Chichewa (Malawi) using the card ranking exercise, which has been added to the EQ-5D-Y-5L translation protocol. METHODS: To assess the correct hierarchical ordering of severity levels, the adaptation followed the EQ-5D-Y-5L translation protocol. Cognitive interviews were undertaken to establish conceptual equivalence. Thereafter, 4 iterations of ranking exercises were conducted, leading to amendments of the translated Chichewa version to arrive at a final version. RESULTS: The iterations were assessed by 18 participants aged 8 to 14 years. Health proved to be a difficult concept to translate as was "discomfort." Cognitive interviews identified further conceptual issues, particularly with the "looking after myself" dimension. Considerations about lack of soap or water indicated that some children did not fully comprehend this dimension as being about the ability to wash and dress themselves. The iterative card ranking exercise detected severity level inversion between "a little bit" and "some," and between "a lot" and "extreme" and alternative Chichewa words/phrases were then tested. Ultimately, the intended hierarchical severity ranking was achieved and an acceptable Chichewa version was produced. CONCLUSIONS: Conceptual and linguistic equivalence to the English EQ-5D-Y-5L was established for the Chichewa EQ-5D-Y-5L version. The card ranking exercise was instrumental in correcting severity level inversion and supporting the comprehensible translation.

Adherence to additional medication for management of HIV-associated comorbidities among older children and adolescents taking antiretroviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: Management of co-morbidities among persons living with HIV is an emerging priority, which may require additional medication over and above life-long antiretroviral therapy (ART). We explored factors associated with adherence to the trial drug among children and adolescents with perinatally acquired HIV taking antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the Bronchopulmonary Function in Response to Azithromycin Treatment for Chronic Lung Disease in HIV-Infected Children (BREATHE) trial. METHODS: The BREATHE trial recruited 6-19 year olds with perinatally acquired HIV and co-morbid chronic lung disease as measured by FEV1. This two-site trial was individually randomised (1:1), double-blind and placebo-controlled. Participants received a once-weekly weight-based dose of 1-5 tablets of azithromycin (AZM: 250mg) or placebo, taken orally. We used pharmacy dispensing records and count of returned pills to measure adherence to study medication. Logistic regression was used to explore factors associated with adherence coverage. Poisson regression with Lexis expansion for time was used to explore whether adherence modified the effect of azithromycin on the incidence of acute respiratory exacerbation, a secondary outcome of the trial. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02426112. RESULTS: The 347 participants (median age 15.3, 51% male) consumed 14,622 doses of study medication over 16,220 person-weeks under study. Adherence was higher for those randomised to AZM (73.4%) than placebo (68.4%) and declined over the 48 weeks of the study (Score test for trend <0.02). Those with unsuppressed HIV viral load at baseline had 2.08 (95% CI: 1.19, 3.63) times the odds of non-adherence than those with viral suppression. Differences were also observed between trial sites. CONCLUSION: The majority of children and adolescents tolerated the addition of a once-weekly dose of medication to their pill burden. Barriers in adhering to treatment for co-morbid conditions are likely common to barriers in adhering to ART. Control of co-morbidities will therefore present additional challenges in HIV care.

Cost of wastewater-based environmental surveillance for SARS-CoV-2: Evidence from pilot sites in Blantyre, Malawi and Kathmandu, Nepal.

Environmental surveillance of rivers and wastewater for SARS-CoV-2 detection has been explored as an innovative way to surveil the pandemic. This study estimated the economic costs of conducting wastewater-based environmental surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 to inform decision making if countries consider continuing these efforts. We estimated the cost of two SARS-CoV-2 environmental surveillance pilot studies conducted in Blantyre, Malawi, and Kathmandu, Nepal. The cost estimation accounted for the consumables, equipment, and human resource time costs used for environmental surveillance from sample selection until pathogen detection and overhead costs for the projects. Costs are reported in 2021 US$ and reported as costs per month, per sample and person per year. The estimated costs for environmental surveillance range from $6,175 to $8,272 per month (Blantyre site) and $16,756 to $30,050 (Kathmandu site). The number of samples processed per month ranged from 84 to 336 at the Blantyre site and 96 to 250 at the Kathmandu site. Consumables costs are variable costs influenced by the number of samples processed and are a large share of the monthly costs for ES (ranging from 39% to 72%). The relatively higher costs per month for the Kathmandu site were attributable to the higher allocation of dedicated human resources and equipment to environmental surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 compared to the Blantyre site where these resources were shared with other activities. The average cost per sample ranged from $25 to $74 (Blantyre) and $120 to $175 (Kathmandu). There were associated economies of scale for human resources and equipment costs with increased sample processing and sharing of resources with other activities. The cost per person in the catchment area per year ranged from $0.07 to $0.10 in Blantyre and $0.07 to $0.13 in Kathmandu. Environmental surveillance may be a low-cost early warning signal for SARS-CoV-2 that can complement other SARS-CoV2 monitoring efforts.

The impact of long-term azithromycin on antibiotic resistance in HIV-associated chronic lung disease.

Selection for resistance to azithromycin (AZM) and other antibiotics such as tetracyclines and lincosamides remains a concern with long-term AZM use for treatment of chronic lung diseases (CLD). We investigated the impact of 48 weeks of AZM on the carriage and antibiotic resistance of common respiratory bacteria among children with HIV-associated CLD. Nasopharyngeal (NP) swabs and sputa were collected at baseline, 48 and 72 weeks from participants with HIV-associated CLD randomised to receive weekly AZM or placebo for 48 weeks and followed post-intervention until 72 weeks. The primary outcomes were prevalence and antibiotic resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Staphylococcus aureus (SA), Haemophilus influenzae (HI) and Moraxella catarrhalis (MC) at these timepoints. Mixed-effects logistic regression and Fisher's exact test were used to compare carriage and resistance, respectively. Of 347 (174 AZM, 173 placebo) participants (median age 15 years (IQR 13-18), female 49%), NP carriage was significantly lower in the AZM (n=159) compared to placebo (n=153) arm for SP (18% versus 41%, p<0.001), HI (7% versus 16%, p=0.01) and MC (4% versus 11%, p=0.02); SP resistance to AZM (62% (18 out of 29) versus 13% (8 out of 63), p<0.0001) or tetracycline (60% (18 out of 29) versus 21% (13 out of 63), p<0.0001) was higher in the AZM arm. Carriage of SA resistant to AZM (91% (31 out of 34) versus 3% (1 out of 31), p<0.0001), tetracycline (35% (12 out of 34) versus 13% (4 out of 31), p=0.05) and clindamycin (79% (27 out of 34) versus 3% (1 out of 31), p<0.0001) was also significantly higher in the AZM arm and persisted at 72 weeks. Similar findings were observed for sputa. The persistence of antibiotic resistance and its clinical relevance for future infectious episodes requiring treatment needs further investigation.

A New Approach to Assessing Children's Interpretation of Severity Qualifiers in a Multi-Attribute Utility Instrument-The EQ-5D-Y-5L: Development and Testing.

INTRODUCTION: The beta EQ-5D-Y-5L is a new patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) for children aged 8-15 years that is currently under development by the EuroQol Group. The EQ-5D-Y-5L is similar to the EQ-5D-Y but has five levels of severity per dimension rather than three. The increased number of levels increases the granularity of the responses but possibly has also increased the difficulty of distinguishing between levels. The EuroQoL's Version Management Committee (VMC) required a robust method to determine how well children distinguish between the five EQ-5D-Y-5L ordinal severity qualifiers (i.e. 'no problems' through to 'extreme problems'), which are a critical aspect of both health measurement and the valuation of health states. OBJECTIVE: This paper describes the development, testing, selection, and piloting of such a method. METHODS: Following a literature review and consultation with the wider VMC and a Language Support Services agency, a range of exercises were developed to assess the ordering and comprehension of the five severity qualifiers. Three exercises were pre-tested with children in Spain and New Zealand. One exercise, preferred and understood by children, was then piloted. RESULTS: Five children in Spain and 11 in New Zealand tested the three exercises. In both countries, all children found the three exercises easy to understand and complete. Of the 12 children who expressed a preference, nine said they preferred the card ranking. Card ranking also allowed the interviewer to observe difficult choices being made as the children physically rearranged the card order until they settled on their final order. Following rigorous assessment of translatability and cultural portability by an independent Language Support Service, card ranking was piloted in South Africa (n = 9) and in Indonesia (n = 10), where it highlighted severity qualifier order inversions that would otherwise not have been detected. CONCLUSION: The card ranking exercise was found to be a preferred and acceptable means of testing the ordering of translations of severity qualifiers among children. Additional formal testing of the exercise in other countries and languages is now underway. The approach developed and tested by the VMC for cognitive debriefing of beta EQ-5D-Y-5L language/country versions may also be useful in determining the adequacy of translated qualifiers in debriefing of adult EQ-5D-5L versions and other PROMs.

A Systematic Literature Review of Preference-Based Health-Related Quality-of-Life Measures Applied and Validated for Use in Childhood and Adolescent Populations in Sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVES: Consideration of health status in children and adolescents now includes broader concepts such as health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL). Globally, there is a need for relevant preference-based HRQoL measures (PBMs) for use in children and adolescents, yet measurement of HRQoL in these groups presents particular challenges. This article systematically reviews the available generic childhood PBMs and their application and cross-cultural validation in sub-Saharan African (sSA). METHODS: A systematic review of published literature from January 1, 1990, to February 8, 2017, was conducted using MEDLINE (through OvidSP), EMBASE (OvidSP), EconLit (EBSCOhost), PsycINFO, Web of Science, and PubMed. RESULTS: A total of 220 full-text articles were included in a qualitative synthesis. Ten generic childhood PBMs were identified, of which 9 were adapted from adult versions and only 1 was developed specifically for children. None of the measures were originally developed in sSA or other resource-constrained settings. The Health Utilities Index Mark 3 (HUI3) and the EQ-5D-Y were the only measures that had been applied in sSA settings. Further, the HUI3 and the EQ-5D-Y were the only generic childhood PBM that attempted to establish cross-cultural validation in sSA. Five of the 6 of these validation studies were conducted using the EQ-5D-Y in a single country, South Africa. CONCLUSIONS: The findings show that application of generic childhood PBMs in sSA settings has hitherto been limited to the HUI3 and EQ-5D-Y. Most adaptations of existing measures take an absolutist approach, which assumes that measures can be used across cultures. Nevertheless, there is also need to ensure linguistic and conceptual equivalence and undertake validation across a range of sSA cultural contexts.

Effect of azithromycin on incidence of acute respiratory exacerbations in children with HIV taking antiretroviral therapy and co-morbid chronic lung disease: a secondary analysis of the BREATHE trial.

BACKGROUND: In the BREATHE trial weekly azithromycin decreased the rate of acute respiratory exacerbations (AREs) compared to placebo among children and adolescents with HIV-associated chronic lung disease (CLD) taking antiretroviral therapy (ART). The aim of this analysis was to identify risk factors associated with AREs and mediators of the effect of azithromycin on AREs. METHODS: The primary outcome of this analysis was the rate of AREs by study arm up to 49 weeks. We analysed rates using Poisson regression with random intercepts. Interaction terms were fitted for potential effect modifiers. Participants were recruited from Zimbabwe and Malawi between15 June 2016 and 4 September 2018. FINDINGS: We analysed data from 345 participants (171 allocated to azithromycin and 174 allocated to placebo). Rates of AREs were higher among those with an abnormally high respiratory rate at baseline (adjusted rate ratio (aRR) 2.08 95% CI 1.10-3.95 p-value 0.02) and among those with a CD4 cell count <200 cells/mm3 (aRR 2.71; 95% CI 1.27-5.76; p-value 0.008). We found some evidence for variation in the effect of azithromycin by sex (p-value for interaction=0.07); males had a greater reduction in the rate of ARE with azithromycin treatment than females. We found that azithromycin had a greater impact on reducing AREs in participants with chronic respiratory symptoms at baseline, those on 1st line ART, with a FEV1 score >-2 and participants without baseline resistance to azithromycin. However, there was no statistical evidence for interaction due to low statistical power. INTERPRETATION: These may represent subgroups who may benefit the most from treatment with weekly azithromycin, which could help guide targeted treatment. FUNDING: There was no funding source for this post hoc analysis.

Screening for Tuberculosis Among Adults Newly Diagnosed With HIV in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: New tools, including light-emitting diode (LED) fluorescence microscopy and the molecular assay Xpert MTB/RIF, offer increased sensitivity for tuberculosis (TB) in persons with HIV but come with higher costs. Using operational data from rural Malawi, we explored the potential cost-effectiveness of on-demand screening for TB in low-income countries of Sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN AND METHODS: Costs were empirically collected in 4 clinics and in 1 hospital using a microcosting approach, through direct interview and observation from the national TB program perspective. Using decision analysis, newly diagnosed persons with HIV were modeled as being screened by 1 of the 3 strategies: Xpert, LED, or standard of care (ie, at the discretion of the treating physician). RESULTS: Cost-effectiveness of TB screening among persons newly diagnosed with HIV was largely determined by 2 factors: prevalence of active TB among patients newly diagnosed with HIV and volume of testing. In facilities screening at least 50 people with a 6.5% prevalence of TB, or at least 500 people with a 2.5% TB prevalence, Xpert is likely to be cost-effective. At lower prevalence-including that observed in Malawi-LED microscopy may be the preferred strategy, whereas in settings of lower TB prevalence or small numbers of eligible patients, no screening may be reasonable (such that resources can be deployed elsewhere). CONCLUSIONS: TB screening at the point of HIV diagnosis may be cost-effective in low-income countries of Sub-Saharan Africa, but only if a relatively large population with high prevalence of TB can be identified for screening.