Geographical distribution of Typhoid using Geographic Information System (GIS) during 2009-2014 in Iran.

Background: Salmonella induced infections remain one of the most important health problems worldwide. The purpose of this study is to investigate the incidence and geographical distribution of typhoid using GIS and to predict its incidence in Iran in 2021. Methods: This study is a descriptive analytical study. Information on pertussis was obtained from the Center for Communicable Diseases Control during 2009-2015. In the next step, ArcGIS 9.3 was used to prepare geographic maps of the disease incidence and frequency Therefore, using the Raster Calculator tool, the disease prediction map was drawn. Results: The results showed that the highest incidence of typhoid during 2009-2014 was in Kermanshah, Lorestan, Hamadan, Kurdistan, and Ilam provinces. The incidence of typhoid in Iran increased during 2009-2010. The annual incidence of typhoid decreased from 0.85 per 100,000 in 2010 to 0.5 in 2014. Based on the modeling results for Iran, Kermanshah, Lorestan, Kurdistan, Ilam and Hamadan provinces with 92.17%, 46.56%, 31.74%, 25.62% and 22.96% of their areas (Km2) are at high risk for typhoid in the coming years, respectively. Conclusion: Considering that the provinces of Kermanshah, Lorestan, Kurdistan, Ilam, and Hamadan are at risk of typhoid incidence in the coming years in Iran, and given that salmonella infections have a direct relationship with the individual's health status and individual's environmental health and socioeconomic status, improving the health status and disease control in carriers as well as improving the socio-economic status of the population living in these areas can prevent the disease in the years to come.

A Report on Statistics of an Online Self-screening Platform for COVID-19 and Its Effectiveness in Iran.

BACKGROUND: The most recent emerging infectious disease, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), is pandemic now. Iran is a country with community transmission of the disease. Telehealth tools have been proved to be useful in controlling public health disasters. We developed an online self-screening platform to offer a population-wide strategy to control the massive influx to medical centers. METHODS: We developed a platform operating based on given history by participants, including sex, age, weight, height, location, primary symptoms and signs, and high risk past medical histories. Based on a decision-making algorithm, participants were categorized into four levels of suspected cases, requiring diagnostic tests, supportive care, not suspected cases. We made comparisons with Iran STEPs (STEPwise approach to Surveillance) 2016 study and data from the Statistical Centre of Iran to assess population representativeness of data. Also, we made a comparison with officially confirmed cases to investigate the effectiveness of the platform. A multilevel mixed-effects Poisson regression was used to check the association of visiting platform and deaths caused by COVID-19. RESULTS: About 310 000 individuals participated in the online self-screening platform in 33 days. The majority of participants were in younger age groups, and males involved more. A significant number of participants were screened not to be suspected or needing supportive care, and only 10.4% of males and 12.0% of females had suspected results of COVID-19. The penetration of the platform was assessed to be acceptable. A correlation coefficient of 0.51 was calculated between suspected results and confirmed cases of the disease, expressing the platform's effectiveness. CONCLUSION: Implementation of a proper online self-screening tool can mitigate population panic during wide-spread epidemics and relieve massive influx to medical centers. Also, an evidence-based education platform can help fighting infodemic. Noticeable utilization and verified effectiveness of such platform validate the potency of telehealth tools in controlling epidemics and pandemics.

Epidemiological Characteristics and Trend in the Incidence of Human Brucellosis in Iran from 2009 to 2017.

BACKGROUND: The development of preventive measures and promotion of healthcare delivery systems for disease management is dependent on detecting the incidence rates of the diseases and important risk factors. The current study aimed to determine some epidemiological indices and trends of the human brucellosis incidence in Iran between 2009 and 2017. STUDY DESIGN: A descriptive cross-sectional study. METHODS: In the current study, online data were gathered from all cases of brucellosis who were potentially or definitely diagnosed and registered in medical centers, hospitals, laboratories, and private clinics in all districts of Iran. Epidemiologic questionnaires were used to collect data on demographic and background characteristics, risk factors, high-risk behaviors, and lab test results, respectively, based on the national brucellosis control plan. RESULTS: A total of 138,448 cases of brucellosis have been studied in Iran from 2009 to 2017. The highest (25.89) and the lowest (12.07) incidence rates were observed in 2014 and 2009, respectively. In this nine-year study, the highest incidences were reported in the Hamedan, Lorestan, Kordestan, and Kermanshah provinces. The cumulative percentages of the disease were estimated for different variables at the following rates: by gender: 57.9% for males; by age groups: 36.2% and 16.7% for the 25-44 and16-24 years age groups, respectively; by occupation: 33.2% for housewives; and by residential area: 75.7% for rural residents. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the obtained results, although the incidence of human brucellosis in Iran has declined since 2015, the number of cases has remained high.

COVID-19 in patients with diabetes: factors associated with worse outcomes.

Purpose: Diabetes is one of the major comorbidities associated with COVID-19. We aimed to determine the clinical and epidemiological factors associated with the mortality of COVID-19 in diabetic patients in Iran, and also the impact of prescribed antiviral and antibiotics on patients' status. Methods: In this study, we used the national registry of hospitalized patients with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) Symptoms with diabetes from February 18, 2020, to December 22, 2020. Demographic, clinical features, treatments, concurrent comorbidities, and their associations with mortality and severity outcomes were assessed using logistic regression. Results: 78,554 diabetic in-patients with SARS symptoms were included from 31 provinces of whom 37,338 were PCR positive for COVID-19. Older age and male gender are associated with COVID-19 mortality in diabetic patients. CVD is the most frequent comorbidity (42%). CVD, kidney disease, liver disease, and COPD are associated comorbidities which increased the risk of mortality. The mortality rate is higher in diabetic patients comparing to patients with no comorbidities, particularly in younger age groups. The frequency of antiviral, and antibiotics in COVID-19 positive patients was 34%, and 31%, respectively. Antibiotic treatment has no association with mortality in COVID-19 patients. Conclusions: Diabetic patients indicate higher mortality comparing to patients without any underlying comorbidities. Restrict strategies on increasing effective health care utilization must be considered in diabetic patients, especially in those with parallel underlying comorbidities. Regarding the antibiotic resistance issue and the noticeable use of antibiotics in diabetic patients, it is recommended to prioritize an antibiotic guideline prescription in COVID-19 patients for better stewardship by countries.

The Communicable Diseases Surveillance System in Iran: Challenges and Opportunities.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to determine the challenges and opportunities of the Communicable Diseases Surveillance System (CDSS) in Iran. METHODS: This qualitative study was conducted using semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions (FGD) with 64 participants from October 2016 to April 2017. Purposeful sampling was used to recruit participants. The collected data were analyzed via the content analysis method. Data analysis was performed using MAXQDA10 software. RESULTS: The results of this qualitative study were categorized in two parts: Challenges and opportunities. The CDSS is facing challenges in the fields of stewardship, reporting, information analysis, information, interventions, and education. Good infrastructures and structure, the technical support provided by the Centre for Communicable Disease Control (CCDC), the achievements of the CDSS, and the suitable electronic systems are among the opportunities of CDSS. CONCLUSION: The results of this study showed that CDSS has several major challenges. Authorities and policymakers must not ignore communicable diseases and their management tools, including CDSS because of their focus on non-communicable diseases. Some important strategies to overcome the challenges of CDSS can be the following: motivating policy makers to put emphasis on communicable diseases as a national security issue, the ratification and modification of laws and regulations on reporting, the involvement of the CDSS in the accreditation of hospitals and the renewal of the license for healthcare professionals, and motivating organizations outside the health sector to participate in the programs through inter-institutional agreements.

Malaria Four-year Epidemiological Trends in Sistan and Baluchistan Province, Iran.

INTRODUCTION: Malaria is one of the foremost public health concerns in Iran, where more than 90% of malaria cases are reported in the southern and south-eastern areas of the country. The aim of this study was to assess the epidemiological trends of malaria over a four-year period in in the Sistan and Baluchistan province in south east of Iran. METHODS: This descriptive epidemiological study examined malaria trends in Sistan and Baluchistan province from 2011 to 2014. The study used data collected in accordance with the Iranian Ministry of Health's malaria control and elimination protocol. This protocol has digitized the data reporting system for malaria, and all information were sent online to the Center of Disease Control in the Ministry of Health. In this manner, information on malaria cases in Sistan and Baluchistan were made available for the researchers to analyze. Descriptive and comparative analyses were conducted using the SPSS version 13. RESULTS: Annual incidence rates reported in 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014 showed the prevalence of 89.9, 43.9, 38.3 and 36.6 (per 100,000 persons), respectively. Across all 4 years, the highest numbers of cases were found in persons 16-25 years old and among males. Most of the infected individuals were villagers and workers. In total, 64.8% of patients were Iranian and 29.5% were Pakistani. The highest number of cases was diagnosed in the cities of Sarbaz and Chabahar, with 1,742 and 1,707 cases, respectively. The results showed that over the last 4 years, 50.8% of cases have entered into Iran from foreign countries. The majority of cases involved parasites in the trophozoite stage of the life cycle. In terms of surveillance, passive care was reported in the majority of cases, and vivax malaria had the highest prevalence in comparison with other types. CONCLUSION: The findings are showing that the care, control and treatment system applied to Sistan and Baluchistan province has had a positive effect on decreasing the prevalence rate of Malaria disease. Meanwhile, it is recommended to policy makers to provide more health controls for border entries, stop irregular immigration and apply more precise case searches in order to have a complete and on time treatment in a way that the chain of transmission of the disease would be cut. Health education and knowledge-ability promotion programs are better to be set in order to develop self-protection and environment improvement among people.

Epidemiological status of malaria in Iran, 2011-2014.

OBJECTIVES: To aim to determine the status and epidemiological aspects of malaria in Iran in favour of gaining a better understanding of the national control of malaria. METHODS: This epidemiological study examined the status of malaria from 2011 to 2014 in Iran. Data were collected from the Ministry of Health's protocol for controlling and eliminating malaria, which is currently in use. This malaria information reporting system is automated in all Iranian provinces and cities, and all information is submitted online to the center for communicable disease control in the Ministry of Health. Information about malaria is available for researchers to evaluate. RESULTS: The incidence rates decreased from 2011 to 2014. There were 4.76, 2.12, 1.80, and 1.59 per 100000 people, respectively from 2011 to 2014. During the four-year period (2011-2014), the highest numbers of cases occurred in those aged 16-25 years, by age, and in men, by sex. Most of the cases were workers and located in rural areas. An average 52.58% of cases were Iranian. The highest incidence rates from 2011 to 2014 were located in Sistan and Baluchestan province. There were 89.94, 43.9, 38.3, and 30.66 per 100000 people. The highest numbers of malaria cases were recorded in the cities Sarbaz, Nickshahr, and Chabahar in Sistan and Baluchestan province and Bandar Abbas, Bandar Jask, and Bandar Lengeh in Hormozgan province. During the four-year period, 57.05% of cases were caused by imported factors. The majority of cases were related to the trophozoite lifecycle of parasites. Regarding surveillance, there was inactive care in the majority of cases. Vivax malaria was the most prevalent. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the recently declining trend in reported cases, the expansion of local transmission, especially in areas with cross-border travel, is very worrying. Improved malaria control interventions can be effective for elimination of malaria in Iran; these can include programs to control border travel and focused interventions for high incidence areas and high-risk groups such as rural residents, men, workers, and people <35 years old.