Factors associated with peptic ulcer perforations in Uganda: a multi-hospital cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: Perforated peptic ulcer is the worst complication of peptic ulcer disease whose burden is disproportionately higher in low-income settings. However, there is paucity of published data on the patterns of perforated peptic ulcer in the region. The aim of this study was to determine the factors associated with anatomical patterns of peptic ulcer perforation, as well as the clinical, socio-demographic, and anatomical patterns among patients in Uganda. METHODS: This was a cross sectional study that enrolled 81 consecutive patients with perforated peptic ulcers. Using a structured pretested questionnaire the social demographic and clinical characteristics were obtained. At surgery, the patterns of the perforations were determined. Logistic regression was done in SPSS version 22 to determine the factors associated with the anatomical patterns. RESULTS: Perforated peptic ulcer disease was more prevalent among males (79.5%), peasants (56.8%) and those from rural areas (65.4%). Majority of study participants were of blood group O (43.2%). Gastric perforations were more common (74.1%). Majority of the perforations were found anteriorly (81.5%). Being a casual laborer was independently associated with lower odds of having a gastric perforation compared to being a peasant farmer (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Public health campaigns aimed at prevention of peptic ulcer perforations should prioritize the males, peasants and those living in rural areas. When a patient in our setting is suspected to have a peptic ulcer perforation, the anterior part of the stomach should be considered as the most likely site involved more so in peasant farmers.

Role of the revised Baux score in predicting mortality among burn patients in an African low-income country: a multicentre prospective cohort.

Introduction: Burn injury is a major cause of mortality. Majority of the burns occur in low and middle-income countries like Uganda. Uganda has a limited number of burn centres and medical resources, making a predictor of mortality necessary in allocation of the limited resources. Although the revised Baux (r-Baux) score has been validated and used in many high income countries, no study has assessed its role in an African low-income country; the reason this study was done. Methods: This was a prospective multicentre cohort that enroled 101 burn patients with moderate and severe burns admitted in three tertiary hospitals in western Uganda. Follow-up was done until discharge, documenting mortality. A receiver operator characteristic curve was used to determine the role of r-Baux score in predicting mortality. Results: This study included 101 patients, with a mean age of 21.3 (SD=16.8) years. The majority of the participants were male (69.3%). The area under the curved for r-Baux score's prediction of mortality was 0.943 (P<0.001). The most appropriate cut-off was determined to be 74.5. At this cut-off, r-Baux score predicted mortality with a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 83.5%. After controlling for burn severity using Poisson regression, a patient with r-Baux score greater than 74.5 was 1.358 times more likely to die (adjusted risk ratio=1.358, 95% CI=1.195-1.543, P<0.001). Conclusion: The r-Baux score was found to be excellent at predicting mortality among burn patients in Uganda and therefore should be done for all patients at admission, in order to predict mortality and do proper planning.