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Posttransplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) and prediabetes represent serious complications after kidney transplantation and are associated with increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. We assessed the predictive performance of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) compared with plasma glucose and hemoglobin A1c in 46 kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) without known preexisting diabetes mellitus. CGM (14-day recording duration) was performed on days 8, 30, 45, 60, 90, and 180 posttransplant. Eight patients (17%) developed PTDM and nine (20%) impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), as diagnosed by oral glucose tolerance test (oGTT)-derived 2-hour plasma glucose (2hPG) or glucose-lowering therapy on day 90. CGM-readouts percent of time >140 mg/dL (%TAR (140 mg/dL)) and percent of time >180 mg/dL (%TAR (180 mg/dL)) showed excellent in-sample test characteristics regarding PTDM from day 8 onward (days 8-90 receiver operating characteristic area under the curve: 0.88-0.99) and regarding PTDM/IGT with the commencement of maintenance immunosuppression from day 30 onward (days 30-90 receiver operating characteristic area under the curve: 0.88-0.91). Exploratory CGM-%TAR (140 mg/dL)-screening thresholds of 31.8% on day 8 and 13.2% on day 30 yielded sensitivities/specificities of 88%/83% for PTDM and 94%/78% for PTDM/IGT on day 90, respectively. Although our findings need to be replicated in studies with larger sample sizes, CGM bears promising potential to facilitate clinical practice and research regarding PTDM.
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BACKGROUND: Current continuous kidney replacement therapy (CKRT) protocols ignore physiological renal compensation for hypercapnia. This study aimed to explore feasibility, safety, and clinical benefits of pCO2-adapted CKRT for hypercapnic acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) patients with indication for CKRT. METHODS: We enrolled mechanically ventilated hypercapnic ARDS patients (pCO2 > 7.33 kPa) receiving regional citrate anticoagulation (RCA) based CKRT in a prospective, randomized-controlled pilot-study across five intensive care units at the Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Germany. Patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to the control group with bicarbonate targeted to 24 mmol/l or pCO2-adapted-CKRT with target bicarbonate corresponding to physiological renal compensation. Study duration was six days. Primary outcome was bicarbonate after 72 h. Secondary endpoints included safety and clinical endpoints. Endpoints were assessed in all patients receiving treatment. RESULTS: From September 2021 to May 2023 40 patients (80% male) were enrolled. 19 patients were randomized to the control group, 21 patients were randomized to pCO2-adapted-CKRT. Five patients were excluded before receiving treatment: three in the control group (consent withdrawal, lack of inclusion criteria fulfillment (n = 2)) and two in the intervention group (lack of inclusion criteria fulfillment, sudden unexpected death) and were therefore not included in the analysis. Median plasma bicarbonate 72 h after randomization was significantly higher in the intervention group (30.70 mmol/l (IQR 29.48; 31.93)) than in the control group (26.40 mmol/l (IQR 25.63; 26.88); p < 0.0001). More patients in the intervention group received lung protective ventilation defined as tidal volume < 8 ml/kg predicted body weight. Thirty-day mortality was 10/16 (63%) in the control group vs. 8/19 (42%) in the intervention group (p = 0.26). CONCLUSION: Tailoring CKRT to physiological renal compensation of respiratory acidosis appears feasible and safe with the potential to improve patient care in hypercapnic ARDS. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial was registered in the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS00026177) on September 9, 2021 and is now closed.
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Dióxido de Carbono , Hipercapnia , Terapia de Substituição Renal , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Projetos Piloto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hipercapnia/terapia , Hipercapnia/tratamento farmacológico , Idoso , Dióxido de Carbono/sangue , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Dióxido de Carbono/uso terapêutico , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/tratamento farmacológico , Estudos Prospectivos , Terapia de Substituição Renal/métodos , Terapia de Substituição Renal/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/organização & administração , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Respiração Artificial/métodos , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Terapia de Substituição Renal Contínua/métodos , Terapia de Substituição Renal Contínua/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This analysis addresses the characteristics of two emergency department (ED) patient populations defined by three model diseases (hip fractures, respiratory, and cardiac symptoms) making use of survey (primary) and routine (secondary) data from hospital information systems (HIS). Our aims were to identify potential systematic inconsistencies between both data samples and implications of their use for future ED-based health services research. METHODS: The research network EMANET prospectively collected primary data (n=1442) from 2017-2019 and routine data from 2016 (n=9329) of eight EDs in a major German city. Patient populations were characterized using socio-structural (age, gender) and health- and care-related variables (triage, transport to ED, case and discharge type, multi-morbidity). Statistical comparisons between descriptive results of primary and secondary data samples for each variable were conducted using binomial test, chi-square goodness-of-fit test, or one-sample t-test according to scale level. RESULTS: Differences in distributions of patient characteristics were found in nearly all variables in all three disease populations, especially with regard to transport to ED, discharge type and prevalence of multi-morbidity. Recruitment conditions (e.g., patient non-response), project-specific inclusion criteria (e.g., age and case type restrictions) as well as documentation routines and practices of data production (e.g., coding of diagnoses) affected the composition of primary patient samples. Time restrictions of recruitment procedures did not generate meaningful differences regarding the distribution of characteristics in primary and secondary data samples. CONCLUSIONS: Primary and secondary data types maintain their advantages and shortcomings in the context of emergency medicine health services research. However, differences in the distribution of selected variables are rather small. The identification and classification of these effects for data interpretation as well as the establishment of monitoring systems in the data collection process are pivotal. TRIAL REGISTRATION: DRKS00011930 (EMACROSS), DRKS00014273 (EMAAGE), NCT03188861 (EMASPOT).
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Medicina de Emergência , Multimorbidade , Humanos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Triagem/métodosRESUMO
The prevalence of meralgia paresthetica (MP), which is caused by compression of the lateral femoral cutaneous nerve (LFCN), has been increasing over recent decades. Since guidelines and large-scale studies are lacking, there are substantial regional differences in diagnostics and management in MP care. Our study aims to report on current diagnostic and therapeutic strategies as well as time trends in clinical MP management in Germany. Patients hospitalized in Germany between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2018, with MP as their primary diagnosis were identified using the International Classification of Disease (ICD-10) code G57.1 and standardized operations and procedures codes (OPS). A total of 5828 patients with MP were included. The rate of imaging studies increased from 44% in 2005 to 79% in 2018 (p < 0.001) and that of non-imaging diagnostic studies from 70 to 93% (p < 0.001). Among non-imaging diagnostics, the rates of evoked potentials and neurography increased from 20%/16% in 2005 to 36%/23% in 2018 (p < 0.001, respectively). Rates of surgical procedures for MP decreased from 53 to 37% (p < 0.001), while rates of non-surgical procedures increased from 23 to 30% (p < 0.001). The most frequent surgical interventions were decompressive procedures at a mean annual rate of 29% (± 5) throughout the study period, compared to a mean annual rate of 5% (± 2) for nerve transection procedures. Between 2005 and 2018, in-hospital MP care in Germany underwent significant changes. The rates of imaging, evoked potentials, neurography, and non-surgical management increased. The decompression of the LFCN was substantially more frequent than that of the LFCN transection, yet both types of intervention showed a substantial decrease in in-hospital prevalence over time.
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Neuropatia Femoral , Síndromes de Compressão Nervosa , Humanos , Neuropatia Femoral/diagnóstico , Neuropatia Femoral/cirurgia , Estudos de Coortes , Síndromes de Compressão Nervosa/diagnóstico , Síndromes de Compressão Nervosa/cirurgia , Nervo Femoral , Procedimentos Neurocirúrgicos/métodosRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of extracorporeal cytokine reduction by CytoSorb (CytoSorbents, Monmouth Junction, NJ) on COVID-19-associated vasoplegic shock. DESIGN: Prospective, randomized controlled pilot study. SETTING: Eight ICUs at three sites of the tertiary-care university hospital Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin. PATIENTS: COVID-19 patients with vasoplegic shock requiring norepinephrine greater than 0.2 µg/kg/min, C-reactive protein greater than 100 mg/L, and indication for hemodialysis. INTERVENTIONS: Randomization of 1:1 to receive CytoSorb for 3-7 days or standard therapy. To account for inadvertent removal of antibiotics, patients in the treatment group received an additional dose at each adsorber change. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary endpoint was time until resolution of vasoplegic shock, estimated by Cox-regression. Secondary endpoints included mortality, interleukin-6 concentrations, and catecholamine requirements. The study was registered in the German Registry of Clinical Trials (DRKS00021447). From November 2020 to March 2021, 50 patients were enrolled. Twenty-three patients were randomized to receive CytoSorb and 26 patients to receive standard of care. One patient randomized to cytokine adsorption was excluded due to withdrawal of informed consent. Resolution of vasoplegic shock was observed in 13 of 23 patients (56.5%) in the CytoSorb and 12 of 26 patients (46.2%) in the control group after a median of 5 days (interquartile range [IQR], 4-5 d) and 4 days (IQR, 3-5 d). The hazard ratio (HR) for the primary endpoint, adjusted for the predefined variables age, gender, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation-therapy, or time from shock onset to study inclusion was HR, 1.23 (95% CI, 0.54-2.79); p = 0.63. The mortality rate was 78% in the CytoSorb and 73% in the control group (unadjusted HR, 1.17 [95% CI, 0.61-2.23]; p = 0.64). The effects on inflammatory markers, catecholamine requirements, and the type and rates of adverse events were similar between the groups. CONCLUSIONS: In severely ill COVID-19 patients, CytoSorb did not improve resolution of vasoplegic shock or predefined secondary endpoints.
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COVID-19 , Choque , COVID-19/terapia , Citocinas , Humanos , Insuficiência de Múltiplos Órgãos/terapia , Norepinefrina , Projetos Piloto , Estudos Prospectivos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
The number of patients returning to dialysis after graft failure increases. Surprisingly, little is known about the clinical and immunological outcomes of this cohort. We retrospectively analyzed 254 patients after kidney allograft loss between 1997 and 2017 and report clinical outcomes such as mortality, relisting, retransplantations, transplant nephrectomies, and immunization status. Of the 254 patients, 49% had died 5 years after graft loss, while 27% were relisted, 14% were on dialysis and not relisted, and only 11% were retransplanted 5 years after graft loss. In the complete observational period, 111/254 (43.7%) patients were relisted. Of these, 72.1% of patients were under 55 years of age at time of graft loss and only 13.5% of patients were ≥65 years. Age at graft loss was associated with relisting in a logistic regression analysis. In the complete observational period, 42 patients (16.5%) were retransplanted. Only 4 of those (9.5%) were ≥65 years at time of graft loss. Nephrectomy had no impact on survival, relisting, or development of dnDSA. Patients after allograft loss have a high overall mortality. Immunization contributes to long waiting times. Only a very limited number of patients are retransplanted especially when ≥65 years at time of graft loss.
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Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Transplante de Rim , Rejeição de Enxerto , Humanos , Transplante de Rim/efeitos adversos , Reoperação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Self-reported health (SRH) and life satisfaction (LS) are patient-reported outcomes (PROs) that independently predict mortality and morbidity in older adults. Emergency department (ED) visits due to serious health problems or accidents might pose critical life events for patients. This study aimed (a) to characterize older patients' SRH and LS during the distinct event of an ED stay, and (b) to analyze concomitant associations of PROs with ED patients' sociodemographic, disease-specific and care-related variables. METHODS: Study personnel recruited mostly older ED patients from three disease groups during a two-year period (2017-2019) in eight EDs in central Berlin, Germany, in the context of the health services research network EMANet. Cross-sectional data from the baseline patient survey and associated secondary data from hospital information systems were analyzed. Multilevel linear regression models with random intercept were applied to assess concomitant associations with SRH (scale: 0 (worst) to 100 (best)) and LS (scale: 0 (not at all satisfied) to 10 (completely satisfied)) as outcomes, including sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The final sample comprised N = 1435 participants. Mean age was 65.18 (SD: 16.72) and 50.9% were male. Mean ratings of SRH were 50.10 (SD: 23.62) while mean LS scores amounted to 7.15 (SD: 2.50). Better SRH and higher LS were found in patients with cardiac symptoms (SRH: ß = 4.35, p = .036; LS: ß = 0.53, p = .006). Worse SRH and lower LS were associated with being in need of nursing care (SRH: ß = - 7.52, p < .001; LS: ß = - 0.59, p = .003) and being unemployed (SRH: ß = - 8.54, p = .002; LS: ß = - 1.27, p < .001). Sex, age, number of close social contacts, and hospital stays in the previous 6 months were additionally related to the outcomes. Sensitivity analyses largely supported results of the main sample. CONCLUSIONS: SRH and LS were associated with different sociodemographic and disease-related variables in older ED patients. Nursing care dependency and unemployment emerged as significant factors relating to both outcomes. Being able to identify especially vulnerable patients in the ED setting might facilitate patient-centered care and prevent negative health outcomes. However, further longitudinal research needs to analyze trajectories in both outcomes and suitable intervention possibilities in the ED setting. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EMANet sub-studies were registered separately: German Clinical Trials Register (EMAAge: DRKS00014273, registration date: May 16, 2018; https://www.drks.de/drks_web/navigate.do?navigationId=trial.HTML&TRIAL_ID=DRKS00014273; EMACROSS: DRKS00011930, registration date: April 25, 2017; https://www.drks.de/drks_web/navigate.do?navigationId=trial.HTML&TRIAL_ID=DRKS00011930); ClinicalTrials.gov (EMASPOT: NCT03188861, registration date: June 16, 2017; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03188861?term=NCT03188861&draw=2&rank=1).
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Satisfação do Paciente , Satisfação Pessoal , Idoso , Berlim , Estudos Transversais , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , AutorrelatoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Emergency department (ED) consultations are on the rise, and frequently consultations by non-urgent patients have been held accountable. Self-referred walk-in (SRW) consulters supposedly represent a predominantly less urgent patient population. The EMACROSS study aimed to explore consultation determinants and motives in SRW patients with respiratory symptoms. METHODS: Multicenter survey of adult ED patients with respiratory complaints in eight emergency departments in central Berlin, Germany. Secondary hospital records data including diagnoses was additionally assessed. Characteristics of SRW and non-SRW patients were compared. Determinants of SRW consultation were evaluated by binary logistic regression. Consultation motives were analyzed descriptively. As a supplemental approach, network analysis (lasso-regularized mixed graphical model) was performed to explore connections between consultation determinants, consultation features and motives. RESULTS: Between June 2017 and November 2018, n = 472 participants were included, the median age was 55 years (range 18-96), 53.2% of patients were male and n = 185 cases (39.2%) were SRW consulters. The SRW group showed lower proportions of potentially severe (pneumonia and respiratory failure, p < 0.001, χ2 test) and chronic pulmonary conditions. Determinants of SRW consultation identified by logistic regression were younger age (p < 0.001), tertiary education (p = 0.032), being a first-generation migrant (p = 0.002) or tourist (p = 0.008), having no regular primary care provider (p = 0.036) and no chronic pulmonary illness (p = 0.017). The area under the curve (AUC) for the model was 0.79. Personal distress and access problems in ambulatory care were stated most frequently as consultation motives in the SRW group; network analysis showed the scarcity of associations between demographic and medical SRW determinants and motives triggering the actual decision to consult. CONCLUSIONS: As to "who" consults, this study identified demographic and medical predictors of SRW utilization. The said markers seem only remotely connected to "why" people decide for SRW visits. To alleviate ED crowding by addressing frequent SRW consultation motives, interventions focused on the ability for symptom self-assessment and at better-accessible alternative care seem sensible. TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register ( DRKS00011930 ); date: 2017/04/25.
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Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Assistência Ambulatorial , Berlim/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica , Aglomeração , Feminino , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Motivação , Autocuidado , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Background: Hip fractures in older people are a common health problem often associated with malnutrition that might affect outcomes. Screening for malnutrition is not a routine examination in emergency departments (ED). This analysis of the EMAAge study, a prospective, multicenter cohort study, aimed to evaluate the nutritional status of older patients (≥ 50 years) with hip fracture, factors associated with malnutrition risk, and the association between malnutrition and the six-months mortality. Methods: Risk of malnutrition was evaluated using the Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire. Clinical data as well as data on depression and physical activity were determined. Mortality was captured for the first six months after the event. To assess factors associated with malnutrition risk we used a binary logistic regression. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess the association of malnutrition risk with six-month survival adjusted for other relevant risk factors. Results: The sample consisted of N = 318 hip fracture patients aged 50 to 98 (68% women). The prevalence of malnutrition risk was 25.3% (n = 76) at the time of injury. There were no differences in triage categories or routine parameters measured in the ED that could point to malnutrition. 89% of the patients (n = 267) survived for six months. The mean survival time was longer in those without malnutrition risk (171.9 (167.1-176.9) days vs. 153.1 (140.0-166.2) days). The Kaplan Meier curves and the unadjusted Cox regression (Hazard Ratio (HR) 3.08 (1.61-5.91)) showed differences between patients with and patients without malnutrition risk. In the adjusted Cox regression model, risk of death was associated with malnutrition risk (HR 2.61, 1.34-5.06), older age (70-76 years: HR 2.5 (0.52-11.99); 77-82 years: HR 4.25 (1.15-15.62); 83-99 years: HR 3.82 (1.05-13.88)) and a high burden of comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥3: HR 5.4 (1.53-19.12)). Conclusion: Risk of malnutrition was associated with higher mortality after hip fracture. ED parameters did not differentiate between patients with nutritional deficiencies and those without. Therefore, it is particularly important to pay attention to malnutrition in EDs to detect patients at risk of adverse outcomes and to initiate early interventions.
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Background: Hip fractures are a major public health problem with increasing relevance in aging societies. They are associated with high mortality rates, morbidity, and loss of independence. The aim of the EMAAge study was to determine the impact of hip fractures on patient-reported health-related quality of life (HRQOL), and to identify potential risk factors for worse outcomes. Methods: EMAAge is a multicenter, prospective cohort study of patients who suffered a hip fracture. Patients or, if necessary, proxies were interviewed after initial treatment and after six months using standardized questionnaires including the EQ-5D-5L instrument, the Oxford Hip Score, the PHQ-4, the Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire, and items on patients living situation. Medical data on diagnoses, comorbidities, medications, and hospital care were derived from hospital information systems. Results: A total of 326 patients were included. EQ-5D index values decreased from a mean of 0.70 at baseline to 0.63 at six months. The mean self-rated health on the EQ-VAS decreased from 69.9 to 59.4. Multivariable linear regression models revealed three relevant associated factors with the six-months EQ-5D index: symptoms of depression and anxiety, pre-fracture limitations in activities of daily living, and no referral to a rehabilitation facility had a negative impact. In addition, the six-months EQ-VAS was negatively associated with polypharmacy, living in a facility, and migration background. Conclusions: Hip fractures have a substantial negative impact on patients HRQOL. Our results suggest that there are modifying factors that need further investigation including polypharmacy and migration background. Structured and timely rehabilitation seems to be a protective factor.
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Fraturas do Quadril , Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Atividades Cotidianas , Estudos Prospectivos , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , ComorbidadeRESUMO
AIMS: Telemedical interventions in heart failure patients intend to avoid unfavourable, indication-related events by an early, individualized care, which reacts to the current patients need. However, telemedical support is an expensive intervention, and usually only patients with high risk for unfavourable follow-up events will be able to profit from it. Möckel et al. therefore adapted a new design which we call 'prognostic-efficacy-combination design'. This design allows to define a biomarker cut-off and to perform a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in a biomarker-selected population within a single study. However, so far, it has not been evaluated if this double use of the control group for biomarker cut-off definition and efficacy assessment within the RCT leads to a bias in treatment effect estimation. In this methodological research work, we therefore want to evaluate whether the 'prognostic-efficacy-combination design' leads to biased treatment effect estimates and also compare it to alternative designs. If there is a bias, we further want to analyse its magnitude under different parameter settings. METHODS: We perform a systematic Monte Carlo simulation study to investigate among others potential bias, root mean square error and sensitivity, and specificity as well as the total treatment effect estimate in various realistic trial scenarios that mimic and vary the true data characteristics of the published TIM-HF2 Trial. In particular, we vary the event proportion, the sample size, the biomarker distribution, and the lower bound for the sensitivity. RESULTS: The results show that indeed the proposed design leads to some bias in the effect estimators, indicating an overestimation of the effect. However, this bias is relatively small in most scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: The 'prognostic-efficacy-combination design' can generally be recommended for clinical applications due to its efficiency compared to two separate trials. We recommend a sufficiently large sample size depending on the trial scenario. Our simulation code can be adapted to explore suitable sample sizes for other settings.
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Projetos de Pesquisa , Humanos , Biomarcadores , PrognósticoRESUMO
Background: Remote patient management (RPM) in heart failure (HF) patients has been investigated in several prospective randomized trials. The Telemedical Interventional Management in Heart Failure II (TIM-HF2)-trial showed reduced all-cause mortality and hospitalizations in heart failure (HF) patients using remote patient management (RPM) vs. usual care (UC). We report the trial's results for prespecified eGFR-subgroups. Methods: TIM-HF2 was a prospective, randomized, controlled, parallel-group, unmasked (with randomization concealment), multicenter trial. A total of 1,538 patients with stable HF were enrolled in Germany from 2013 to 2017 and randomized to RPM (+UC) or UC. Using CKD-EPI-formula at baseline, prespecified subgroups were defined. In RPM, patients transmitted their vital parameters daily. The telemedical center reviewed and co-operated with the patient's General Practitioner (GP) and cardiologist. In UC, patients were treated by their GPs or cardiologist applying the current guidelines for HF management and treatment. The primary endpoint was the percentage of days lost due to unplanned cardiovascular hospitalizations or death, secondary outcomes included hospitalizations, all-cause, and cardiovascular mortality. Results: Our sub analysis showed no difference between RPM and UC in both eGFR-subgroups for the primary endpoint (<60 ml/min/1.73 m2: 40.9% vs. 43.6%, p = 0.1, ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2 26.5 vs. 29.3%, p = 0.36). In patients with eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, 1-year-survival was higher in RPM than UC (89.4 vs. 84.6%, p = 0.02) with an incident rate ratio (IRR) 0.67 (p = 0.03). In the recurrent event analysis, HF hospitalizations and all-cause death were lower in RPM than UC in both eGFR-subgroups (<60 ml/min/1.73 m2: IRR 0.70, p = 0.02; ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2: IRR 0.64, p = 0.04). In a cox regression analysis, age, NT-pro BNP, eGFR, and BMI were associated with all-cause mortality. Conclusion: RPM may reduce all-cause mortality and HF hospitalizations in patients with HF and eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. HF hospitalizations and all-cause death were lower in RPM in both eGFR-subgroups in the recurrent event analysis. Further studies are needed to investigate and confirm this finding.
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BACKGROUND: In this retrospective routine data analysis, we investigate the number of emergency department (ED) consultations during the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 in Germany compared to the previous year with a special focus on numbers of myocardial infarction and acute heart failure. METHODS: Aggregated case numbers for the two consecutive years 2019 and 2020 were obtained from 24 university hospitals and 9 non-university hospitals in Germany and assessed by age, gender, triage scores, disposition, care level and by ICD-10 codes including the tracer diagnoses myocardial infarction (I21) and heart failure (I50). RESULTS: A total of 2,216,627 ED consultations were analyzed, of which 1,178,470 occurred in 2019 and 1,038,157 in 2020. The median deviation in case numbers between 2019 and 2020 was - 14% [CI (- 11)-(- 16)]. After a marked drop in all cases in the first COVID-19 wave in spring 2020, case numbers normalized during the summer. Thereafter starting in calendar week 39 case numbers constantly declined until the end of the year 2020. The decline in case numbers predominantly concerned younger [- 16%; CI (- 13)-(- 19)], less urgent [- 18%; CI (- 12)-(- 22)] and non-admitted cases [- 17%; CI (- 13)-(- 20)] in particular during the second wave. During the entire observation period admissions for chest pain [- 13%; CI (- 21)-2], myocardial infarction [- 2%; CI (- 9)-11] and heart failure [- 2%; CI (- 10)-6] were less affected and remained comparable to the previous year. CONCLUSIONS: ED visits were noticeably reduced during both SARS-CoV-2 pandemic waves in Germany but cardiovascular diagnoses were less affected and no refractory increase was noted. However, long-term effects cannot be ruled out and need to be analysed in future studies.
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COVID-19 , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Infarto do Miocárdio , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Análise de Dados , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Humanos , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Pandemias , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
BACKGROUND: In this study, we investigate the number of emergency room consultations during the COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 in Germany compared to figures from the previous year. METHODS: Case numbers from calendar weeks 1 through 22 of the two consecutive years 2019 and 2020 were obtained from 29 university hospitals and 7 non-university hospitals in Germany. Information was also obtained on the patients' age, sex, and urgency, along with the type of case (outpatient/inpatient), admitting ward, and a small number of tracer diagnoses (I21, myocardial infarction; J44, COPD; and I61, I63, I64, G45, stroke /TIA), as well as on the number of COVID-19 cases and of tests performed for SARS-CoV-2, as a measure of the number of cases in which COVID-19 was suspected or at least included in the differential diagnoses. RESULTS: A total of 1 022 007 emergency room consultations were analyzed, of which 546 940 took place in 2019 and 475 067 in 2020. The number of consultations with a positive test for the COVID-19 pathogen was 3122. The total number of emergency room consultations in the observation period was 13% lower in 2020 than in 2019, with a maximum drop by 38% coinciding with the highest number of COVID-19 cases (calendar week 14; 572 cases). After the initiation of interpersonal contact restrictions in 2020, there was a marked drop in COVID-19 case numbers, by a mean of -240 cases per week per emergency room (95% confidence interval [-284; -128]). There was a rise in case numbers thereafter, by a mean of 17 patients per week [14; 19], and the number of cases of myocardial infarction returned fully to the level seen in 2019. CONCLUSION: In Germany, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a significant drop in medical emergencies of all kinds presenting to the nation's emergency departments. A recovery effect began to be seen as early as calendar week 15, but the levels seen in 2019 were not yet reached overall by calendar week 22; only the prevalence of myocardial infarction had renormalized by then. The reasons for this require further investigation.