The relationship between interstitial lung abnormalities, mortality, and multimorbidity: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) are associated with increased mortality. It is unclear whether multimorbidity accounts for the mortality association or how strongly ILA is associated with mortality relative to other common age-associated diseases. We determined the association of ILA with all-cause mortality adjusted for multimorbidity, compared mortality associated with ILA and prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cancer and also determined the association between ILA and these diseases. METHODS: We measured ILA (none, indeterminant, definite) using blinded reads of CT images, prevalent chronic diseases and potential confounders in two observational cohorts, the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) (n=2449) and Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility - Reykjavik Study (AGES-Reykjavik) (n=5180). We determined associations with mortality using Cox proportional hazards models and between ILA and diseases with multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Over a median (IQR) follow-up of 8.8 (1.4) years in FHS and 12.0 (7.7) years in AGES-Reykjavik, in adjusted models, ILAs were significantly associated with increased mortality (HR, 95% CI 1.95, 1.23 to 3.08, p=0.0042, in FHS; HR 1.60, 1.41 to 1.82, p<0.0001, in AGES-Reykjavik) adjusted for multimorbidity. In both cohorts, the association of ILA with mortality was of similar magnitude to the association of most other diseases. In adjusted models, ILAs were associated only with prevalent kidney disease (OR, 95% CI 1.90, 1.01 to 3.57, p=0.0452) in FHS and with prevalent CVD (OR 1.42, 1.12 to 1.81, p=0.0040) in AGES-Reykjavik. CONCLUSIONS: ILAs were associated with mortality adjusted for multimorbidity and were similarly associated with increased mortality compared with several common chronic diseases. ILAs were not consistently associated with the prevalence of these diseases themselves.

The Proteomic Profile of Interstitial Lung Abnormalities.

Rationale: Knowledge on biomarkers of interstitial lung disease is incomplete. Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) are radiologic changes that may present in its early stages. Objectives: To uncover blood proteins associated with ILAs using large-scale proteomics methods. Methods: Data from two prospective cohort studies, the AGES-Reykjavik (Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik) study (N = 5,259) for biomarker discovery and the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of COPD) study (N = 4,899) for replication, were used. Blood proteins were measured using DNA aptamers, targeting more than 4,700 protein analytes. The association of proteins with ILAs and ILA progression was assessed with regression modeling, as were associations with genetic risk factors. Adaptive Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator models were applied to bootstrap data samples to discover sets of proteins predictive of ILAs and their progression. Measurements and Main Results: Of 287 associations, SFTPB (surfactant protein B) (odds ratio [OR], 3.71 [95% confidence interval (CI), 3.20-4.30]; P = 4.28 × 10-67), SCGB3A1 (Secretoglobin family 3A member 1) (OR, 2.43 [95% CI, 2.13-2.77]; P = 8.01 × 10-40), and WFDC2 (WAP four-disulfide core domain protein 2) (OR, 2.42 [95% CI, 2.11-2.78]; P = 4.01 × 10-36) were most significantly associated with ILA in AGES-Reykjavik and were replicated in COPDGene. In AGES-Reykjavik, concentrations of SFTPB were associated with the rs35705950 MUC5B (mucin 5B) promoter polymorphism, and SFTPB and WFDC2 had the strongest associations with ILA progression. Multivariate models of ILAs in AGES-Reykjavik, ILAs in COPDGene, and ILA progression in AGES-Reykjavik had validated areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.880, 0.826, and 0.824, respectively. Conclusions: Novel, replicated associations of ILA, its progression, and genetic risk factors with numerous blood proteins are demonstrated as well as machine-learning-based models with favorable predictive potential. Several proteins are revealed as potential markers of early fibrotic lung disease.

Lung function impairment and risk of incident heart failure: the NHLBI Pooled Cohorts Study.

AIMS: The aim is to evaluate associations of lung function impairment with risk of incident heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were pooled across eight US population-based cohorts that enrolled participants from 1987 to 2004. Participants with self-reported baseline cardiovascular disease were excluded. Spirometry was used to define obstructive [forced expiratory volume in 1 s/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) <0.70] or restrictive (FEV1/FVC ≥0.70, FVC <80%) lung physiology. The incident HF was defined as hospitalization or death caused by HF. In a sub-set, HF events were sub-classified as HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; EF <50%) or preserved EF (HFpEF; EF ≥50%). The Fine-Gray proportional sub-distribution hazards models were adjusted for sociodemographic factors, smoking, and cardiovascular risk factors. In models of incident HF sub-types, HFrEF, HFpEF, and non-HF mortality were treated as competing risks. Among 31 677 adults, there were 3344 incident HF events over a median follow-up of 21.0 years. Of 2066 classifiable HF events, 1030 were classified as HFrEF and 1036 as HFpEF. Obstructive [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.27] and restrictive physiology (adjusted HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.27-1.62) were associated with incident HF. Obstructive and restrictive ventilatory defects were associated with HFpEF but not HFrEF. The magnitude of the association between restrictive physiology and HFpEF was similar to associations with hypertension, diabetes, and smoking. CONCLUSION: Lung function impairment was associated with increased risk of incident HF, and particularly incident HFpEF, independent of and to a similar extent as major known cardiovascular risk factors.

Interstitial lung abnormalities are associated with decreased mean telomere length.

BACKGROUND: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) share many features with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis; however, it is not known if ILA are associated with decreased mean telomere length (MTL). METHODS: Telomere length was measured with quantitative PCR in the Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) and Age Gene/Environment Susceptibility Reykjavik (AGES-Reykjavik) cohorts and Southern blot analysis was used in the Framingham Heart Study (FHS). Logistic and linear regression were used to assess the association between ILA and MTL; Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association between MTL and mortality. RESULTS: In all three cohorts, ILA were associated with decreased MTL. In the COPDGene and AGES-Reykjavik cohorts, after adjustment there was greater than twofold increase in the odds of ILA when comparing the shortest quartile of telomere length to the longest quartile (OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.5-3.4, p=0.0001, and OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.4-4.9, p=0.003, respectively). In the FHS, those with ILA had shorter telomeres than those without ILA (-767 bp, 95% CI 76-1584 bp, p=0.03). Although decreased MTL was associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.6, p=0.01) in COPDGene, the effect estimate was less than that noted with ILA. There was no consistent association between MTL and risk of death when comparing the shortest quartile of telomere length in COPDGene and AGES-Reykjavik (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.4-1.7, p=0.6, and HR 1.2, 95% CI 0.6-2.2, p=0.5, respectively). CONCLUSION: ILA are associated with decreased MTL.

The Association of Aging Biomarkers, Interstitial Lung Abnormalities, and Mortality.

Rationale: The association between aging and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis has been established. The associations between aging-related biomarkers and interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) have not been comprehensively evaluated.Objectives: To evaluate the associations among aging biomarkers, ILA, and all-cause mortality.Methods: In the FHS (Framingham Heart Study), we evaluated associations among plasma biomarkers (IL-6, CRP [C-reactive protein], TNFR [tumor necrosis factor α receptor II], GDF15 [growth differentiation factor 15], cystatin-C, HGBA1C [Hb A1C], insulin, IGF1 [insulin-like growth factor 1], and IGFBP1 [IGF binding protein 1] and IGFBP3]), ILA, and mortality. Causal inference analysis was used to determine whether biomarkers mediated age. GDF15 results were replicated in the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) Study.Measurements and Main Results: In the FHS, there were higher odds of ILA per increase in natural log-transformed GDF15 (odds ratio [95% confidence interval], 3.4 [1.8-6.4]; P = 0.0002), TNFR (3.1 [1.6-5.8]; P = 0.004), IL-6 (1.8 [1.4-2.4]; P < 0.0001), and CRP (1.7 [1.3-2.0]; P < 0.0001). In the FHS, after adjustment for multiple comparisons, no biomarker was associated with increased mortality, but the associations of GDF15 (hazard ratio, 2.0 [1.1-3.5]; P = 0.02), TNFR (1.8 [1.0-3.3]; P = 0.05), and IGFBP1 (1.3 [1.1-1.7]; P = 0.01) approached significance. In the COPDGene Study, higher natural log-transformed GDF15 was associated with ILA (odds ratio, 8.1 [3.1-21.4]; P < 0.0001) and mortality (hazard ratio, 1.6 [1.1-2.2]; P = 0.01). Causal inference analysis showed that the association of age with ILA was mediated by IL-6 (P < 0.0001) and TNFR (P = 0.002) and was likely mediated by GDF15 (P = 0.008) in the FHS and was mediated by GDF15 (P = 0.001) in the COPDGene Study.Conclusions: Some aging-related biomarkers are associated with ILA. GDF15, in particular, may explain some of the associations among age, ILA, and mortality.

Association Between Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry and Clinical Outcomes in US Adults.

Importance: Chronic lung diseases are a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Unlike chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, clinical outcomes associated with proportional reductions in expiratory lung volumes without obstruction, otherwise known as preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm), are poorly understood. Objective: To examine the prevalence, correlates, and clinical outcomes associated with PRISm in US adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study was a retrospective study with harmonized pooled data from 9 US general population-based cohorts (enrollment, 65 251 participants aged 18 to 102 years of whom 53 701 participants had valid baseline lung function) conducted from 1971-2011 (final follow-up, December 2018). Exposures: Participants were categorized into mutually exclusive groups by baseline lung function. PRISm was defined as the ratio of forced expiratory volume in the first second to forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) greater than or equal to 0.70 and FEV1 less than 80% predicted; obstructive spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio of less than 0.70; and normal spirometry FEV1:FVC ratio greater than or equal to 0.7 and FEV1 greater than or equal to 80% predicted. Main Outcomes and Measures: Main outcomes were all-cause mortality, respiratory-related mortality, coronary heart disease (CHD)-related mortality, respiratory-related events (hospitalizations and mortality), and CHD-related events (hospitalizations and mortality) classified by adjudication or validated administrative criteria. Absolute risks were adjusted for age and smoking status. Poisson and Cox proportional hazards models comparing PRISm vs normal spirometry were adjusted for age, sex, race and ethnicity, education, body mass index, smoking status, cohort, and comorbidities. Results: Among all participants (mean [SD] age, 53.2 [15.8] years, 56.4% women, 48.5% never-smokers), 4582 (8.5%) had PRISm. The presence of PRISm relative to normal spirometry was significantly associated with obesity (prevalence, 48.3% vs 31.4%; prevalence ratio [PR], 1.68 [95% CI, 1.55-1.82]), underweight (prevalence, 1.4% vs 1.0%; PR, 2.20 [95% CI, 1.72-2.82]), female sex (prevalence, 60.3% vs 59.0%; PR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.01-1.13]), and current smoking (prevalence, 25.2% vs 17.5%; PR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.22-1.45]). PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was significantly associated with greater all-cause mortality (29.6/1000 person-years vs 18.0/1000 person-years; difference, 11.6/1000 person-years [95% CI, 10.0-13.1]; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.42-1.59]), respiratory-related mortality (2.1/1000 person-years vs 1.0/1000 person-years; difference, 1.1/1000 person-years [95% CI, 0.7-1.6]; adjusted HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.54-2.48]), CHD-related mortality (5.4/1000 person-years vs 2.6/1000 person-years; difference, 2.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 2.1-3.4]; adjusted HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.36-1.77]), respiratory-related events (12.2/1000 person-years vs 6.0/1000 person-years; difference, 6.2/1000 person-years [95% CI, 4.9-7.5]; adjusted HR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.69-2.14]), and CHD-related events (11.7/1000 person-years vs 7.0/1000 person-years; difference, 4.7/1000 person-years [95% CI, 3.7-5.8]; adjusted HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.18-1.42]). Conclusions and Relevance: In a large, population-based sample of US adults, baseline PRISm, compared with normal spirometry, was associated with a small but statistically significant increased risk for mortality and adverse cardiovascular and respiratory outcomes. Further research is needed to explore whether this association is causal.

Discriminative Accuracy of FEV1:FVC Thresholds for COPD-Related Hospitalization and Mortality.

Importance: According to numerous current guidelines, the diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) requires a ratio of the forced expiratory volume in the first second to the forced vital capacity (FEV1:FVC) of less than 0.70, yet this fixed threshold is based on expert opinion and remains controversial. Objective: To determine the discriminative accuracy of various FEV1:FVC fixed thresholds for predicting COPD-related hospitalization and mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) Pooled Cohorts Study harmonized and pooled data from 4 US general population-based cohorts (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study; Cardiovascular Health Study; Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study; and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). Participants aged 45 to 102 years were enrolled from 1987 to 2000 and received follow-up longitudinally through 2016. Exposures: Presence of airflow obstruction, which was defined by a baseline FEV1:FVC less than a range of fixed thresholds (0.75 to 0.65) or less than the lower limit of normal as defined by Global Lung Initiative reference equations (LLN). Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a composite of COPD hospitalization and COPD-related mortality, defined by adjudication or administrative criteria. The optimal fixed FEV1:FVC threshold was defined by the best discrimination for these COPD-related events as indexed using the Harrell C statistic from unadjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Differences in C statistics were compared with respect to less than 0.70 and less than LLN thresholds using a nonparametric approach. Results: Among 24 207 adults in the pooled cohort (mean [SD] age at enrollment, 63 [10.5] years; 12 990 [54%] women; 16 794 [69%] non-Hispanic white; 15 181 [63%] ever smokers), complete follow-up was available for 11 077 (77%) at 15 years. During a median follow-up of 15 years, 3925 participants experienced COPD-related events over 340 757 person-years of follow-up (incidence density rate, 11.5 per 1000 person-years), including 3563 COPD-related hospitalizations and 447 COPD-related deaths. With respect to discrimination of COPD-related events, the optimal fixed threshold (0.71; C statistic for optimal fixed threshold, 0.696) was not significantly different from the 0.70 threshold (difference, 0.001 [95% CI, -0.002 to 0.004]) but was more accurate than the LLN threshold (difference, 0.034 [95% CI, 0.028 to 0.041]). The 0.70 threshold provided optimal discrimination in the subgroup analysis of ever smokers and in adjusted models. Conclusions and Relevance: Defining airflow obstruction as FEV1:FVC less than 0.70 provided discrimination of COPD-related hospitalization and mortality that was not significantly different or was more accurate than other fixed thresholds and the LLN. These results support the use of FEV1:FVC less than 0.70 to identify individuals at risk of clinically significant COPD.

Decline in Consultant Availability in Massachusetts Emergency Departments: 2005 to 2014.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Emergency department (ED) consultation is a common practice. There are few data on consultant availability or changes in availability over time, which may hinder resource planning and allocation. We conduct serial surveys of Massachusetts EDs to investigate these trends. METHODS: We surveyed ED directors in Massachusetts in 2006 (n=61 EDs), 2009 (n=63), and 2015 (n=63) about ED characteristics in the previous year, including specialty-specific consultant availability in person (yes/no) and continuous consultant availability (yes/no). We tested trends in consultant availability (P for trend) and used multivariable logistic regression to calculate odds of continuous availability in 2014 versus 2005. RESULTS: Response rates were greater than 80% each year. From 2005 to 2014, there was an increase in the median number of annual ED visits from 32,025 (interquartile range [IQR] 23,000 to 50,000) to 42,000 (IQR 26,000 to 59,300), number of full-time attending physicians from 11 (IQR 8 to 16) to 12 (IQR 8 to 22), and number of full-time ED nurses from 27 (IQR 17 to 54) to 42 (IQR 25 to 65). In adjusted models, there was a significantly reduced odds of consultant availability in 2014 versus 2005 for general surgery (odds ratio [OR] 0.05; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.01 to 0.35), neurology (OR 0.39; 95% CI 0.17 to 0.86), obstetrics/gynecology (OR 0.40; 95% CI 0.16 to 0.97), orthopedics (OR 0.34; 95% CI 0.13 to 0.89), pediatrics (OR 0.19; 95% CI 0.06 to 0.54), plastic surgery (OR 0.10; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.32), and psychiatry (OR 0.25; 95% CI 0.12 to 0.52). CONCLUSION: In Massachusetts EDs between 2005 and 2014, ED consultant availability significantly declined despite accounting for other ED characteristics.

Adenoid cystic carcinoma of the lacrimal gland.

PURPOSE: This is a retrospective analysis of the 50-year University of Florida experience treating adenoid cystic carcinoma of the lacrimal gland with radiation therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 1965 and 2015, 8 patients with adenoid cystic carcinoma of the lacrimal gland received radiation therapy with curative intent. Four patients received postoperative radiation therapy and 4 received definitive radiation therapy alone. The median follow-up was 3.3 years (range, 0.3 to 11.2 years). RESULTS: All 4 patients who received postoperative radiation therapy received 74.4 Gy. The 4 patients who received radiation therapy alone received a median dose of 72.3 Gy (range, 70.0 to 74.4 Gy). The overall survival rates at 5 and 10 years were 25% and 13%, respectively. The cause-specific survival rates at 5 and 10 years were 29% and 14%, respectively. The local control and freedom from metastases rates at 5 and 10 years were both 43%. Local recurrences occurred in 50% of patients, and distant metastatic disease occurred in 38% of patients. No patients experienced acute complications of treatment that warranted a treatment break. Two patients experienced bone exposure as late complications of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study illustrate the propensity for adenoid cystic carcinoma of the lacrimal gland to recur both locally and with distant metastases despite aggressive local treatment measures. This study also demonstrates the relatively poor outcomes for individuals with this type of tumor.

An electronic alert to decrease Kayexalate ordering.

Important safety concerns have recently emerged regarding the use of sodium polystyrene sulfonate (Kayexalate), a cation-exchange resin commonly used for the treatment of hyperkalemia. We implemented an electronic alert system at a tertiary care academic medical center to warn providers of the safety concerns of Kayexalate. We assessed the number of Kayexalate prescriptions per month, as well as the number of grams of Kayexalate ordered per month, one year before versus one year after implementing the alert. The mean (±SD) number of Kayexalate orders decreased from 123 (±12) to 76 (±14) orders/month (38% absolute reduction, p < 0.001) after implementing the alert. Additionally, the mean (±SD) amount of Kayexalate prescribed decreased from 3332 (±329) to 1885 (±358) g/month (43% absolute reduction, p < 0.001). We conclude that an electronic alert is an effective tool to decrease Kayexalate ordering.