The state of health in the European Union (EU-27) in 2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND: The European Union (EU) faces many health-related challenges. Burden of diseases information and the resulting trends over time are essential for health planning. This paper reports estimates of disease burden in the EU and individual 27 EU countries in 2019, and compares them with those in 2010. METHODS: We used the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study estimates and 95% uncertainty intervals for the whole EU and each country to evaluate age-standardised death, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs) and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates for Level 2 causes, as well as life expectancy and healthy life expectancy (HALE). RESULTS: In 2019, the age-standardised death and DALY rates in the EU were 465.8 deaths and 20,251.0 DALYs per 100,000 inhabitants, respectively. Between 2010 and 2019, there were significant decreases in age-standardised death and YLL rates across EU countries. However, YLD rates remained mainly unchanged. The largest decreases in age-standardised DALY rates were observed for "HIV/AIDS and sexually transmitted diseases" and "transport injuries" (each -19%). "Diabetes and kidney diseases" showed a significant increase for age-standardised DALY rates across the EU (3.5%). In addition, "mental disorders" showed an increasing age-standardised YLL rate (14.5%). CONCLUSIONS: There was a clear trend towards improvement in the overall health status of the EU but with differences between countries. EU health policymakers need to address the burden of diseases, paying specific attention to causes such as mental disorders. There are many opportunities for mutual learning among otherwise similar countries with different patterns of disease.

Severity of illness and risk of mortality from all patient refined-diagnosis related groups: Two scales of different concepts or two sides of the same coin?

All patient refined-diagnosis related groups (APR-DRGs) includes severity of illness (SOI) and risk of mortality (ROM) subclasses. For predictions, both subscales are used together or interchangeably. We aimed to compare SOI and ROM by evaluating the reliability and agreement between both. We performed a retrospective observational study using mainland Portuguese public hospitalisations of adult patients from 2011 to 2016. Reliability (quadratic weighted kappa) and agreement (proportion of agreement) between SOI and ROM were analysed overall and by APR-DRG. While overall reliability and agreement between SOI and ROM were high (weighted kappa: 0.717, 95% CI 0.717-0.718; proportion of agreement: 69.0%, 95% CI 69.0-69.0) there was high heterogeneity across APR-DRGs, ranging from 0.016 to 0.846 on reliability and from 23.1% to 94.8% on agreement. Most of APR-DRGs (263 out of 284) showed a higher proportion of episodes with ROM level above the SOI level than the opposite. In conclusion, SOI and Risk of Mortality measures must be clearly distinguished and are 'two scales of different concepts' rather than 'two sides of the same coin'. However, this is more evident for some APR-DRGs than for others.

Burden of infectious disease studies in Europe and the United Kingdom: a review of methodological design choices.

This systematic literature review aimed to provide an overview of the characteristics and methods used in studies applying the disability-adjusted life years (DALY) concept for infectious diseases within European Union (EU)/European Economic Area (EEA)/European Free Trade Association (EFTA) countries and the United Kingdom. Electronic databases and grey literature were searched for articles reporting the assessment of DALY and its components. We considered studies in which researchers performed DALY calculations using primary epidemiological data input sources. We screened 3053 studies of which 2948 were excluded and 105 studies met our inclusion criteria. Of these studies, 22 were multi-country and 83 were single-country studies, of which 46 were from the Netherlands. Food- and water-borne diseases were the most frequently studied infectious diseases. Between 2015 and 2022, the number of burden of infectious disease studies was 1.6 times higher compared to that published between 2000 and 2014. Almost all studies (97%) estimated DALYs based on the incidence- and pathogen-based approach and without social weighting functions; however, there was less methodological consensus with regards to the disability weights and life tables that were applied. The number of burden of infectious disease studies undertaken across Europe has increased over time. Development and use of guidelines will promote performing burden of infectious disease studies and facilitate comparability of the results.

Factors associated with non-pharmaceutical interventions compliance during COVID-19 pandemic: a Portuguese cross-sectional survey.

BACKGROUND: The use of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) is one of the main tools used in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic response, including physical distancing, frequent hand washing, face mask use, respiratory hygiene and use of contact tracing apps. Literature on compliance with NPI during the COVID-19 pandemic is limited. METHODS: We studied this compliance and associated factors in Portugal, between 28th October 2020 and 11th January 2021 (Portuguese second and third waves of the pandemic), using logistic regressions. Data were collected through a web-based survey and included questions regarding NPI compliance, COVID-19-related concerns, perception of institutions' performance, agreement with the measures implemented and socio-demographic characteristics. RESULTS: From the 1263 eligible responses, we found high levels of compliance among all COVID-19 related NPI, except for the contact tracing app. Females and older participants showed the highest compliance levels, whereas the opposite was observed for previously infected participants. There was heterogeneity of COVID-19 NPI compliance across Portuguese regions and a clear gradient between concern, government performance's perception or agreement and compliance. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggested areas for further study with important implications for pandemic management and communication, for future preparedness, highlighting other factors to be accounted for when recommending policy measures during public health threats.

Validity of the Paediatric Canadian Triage Acuity Scale in a Tertiary Hospital: An Analysis of Severity Markers' Variability.

With the increasing influx of patients and frequent overcrowding, the adoption of a valid triage system, capable of distinguishing patients who need urgent care, from those who can wait safely is paramount. Hence, the aim of this study is to evaluate the validity of the Paediatric Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (PaedCTAS) in a Portuguese tertiary hospital. Furthermore, we aim to study the performance and appropriateness of the different surrogate severity markers to validate triage. This is a retrospective study considering all visits to the hospital's Paediatric Emergency Department (PED) between 2014 and 2019. This study considers cut-offs on all triage levels for dichotomization in order to calculate validity measures e.g. sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios, ROC curves; using hospital admission, admission to intensive care and the use of resources as outcomes/markers of severity. Over the study period there were 0.2% visits triaged as Level 1, 5.7% as Level 2, 39.4% as Level 3, 50.5% as Level 4, 4.2% as Level 5, from a total of 452,815 PED visits. The area under ROC curve was 0.96, 0.71, 0.76, 0.78, 0.59 for the surrogate markers: "Admitted to intensive care"; "Admitted to intermediate care"; "Admitted to hospital"; "Investigations performed in the PED" and "Uses PED resources", respectively. The association found between triage levels and the surrogate markers of severity suggests that the PedCTAS is highly valid. Different surrogate outcome markers convey different degrees of severity, hence different degrees of urgency. Therefore, the cut-offs to calculate validation measures and the thresholds of such measures should be chosen accordingly.

Indicators for local health plan monitoring and evaluation: A modified Delphi consensus.

OBJECTIVE: There is still a lack of health indicators for monitoring and evaluating health planning at the local level. In Portugal, local health plans (LHP) include a prioritized set of health priorities, which should be monitored and evaluated. This study is an example of a low-resource method to identify and reuse indicators for LHP monitoring and evaluation already collected for other purposes. DESIGN AND SAMPLE: A modified Delphi consensus method was applied, with three rounds of email rating questionnaires and a final meeting, between January 2018 and January 2019. The Delphi panel consisted of eight members from the Planning and Administration Group of the Espinho/Gaia Local Public Health Unit. MEASUREMENTS: Panelists were asked to assess the indicators' validity for monitoring diseases/determinants from a pre-selected list of potential binomials between 140 PHC indicators and 15 diseases/determinants. RESULTS: After four rounds, there was consensus in considering 141 binomials (34.0%) as appropriate, diabetes mellitus being the disease with more appropriate indicators. CONCLUSION: This study portrays the applicability of a commonly used, easy and low-resource method in a Portuguese Local Public Health Unit to select and reuse primary health care indicators for LHP monitoring and evaluation.

All Patient Refined-Diagnosis Related Groups' (APR-DRGs) Severity of Illness and Risk of Mortality as predictors of in-hospital mortality.

The aims of this study were to assess All-Patient Refined Diagnosis-Related Groups' (APR-DRG) Severity of Illness (SOI) and Risk of Mortality (ROM) as predictors of in-hospital mortality, comparing with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI) scores. We performed a retrospective observational study using mainland Portuguese public hospitalizations of adult patients from 2011 to 2016. Model discrimination (C-statistic/ area under the curve) and goodness-of-fit (R-squared) were calculated. Our results comprised 4,176,142 hospitalizations with 5.9% in-hospital deaths. Compared to the CCI and ECI models, the model considering SOI, age and sex showed a statistically significantly higher discrimination in 49.6% (132 out of 266) of APR-DRGs, while in the model with ROM that happened in 33.5% of APR-DRGs. Between these two models, SOI was the best performer for nearly 20% of APR-DRGs. Some particular APR-DRGs have showed good discrimination (e.g. related to burns, viral meningitis or specific transplants). In conclusion, SOI or ROM, combined with age and sex, perform better than more widely used comorbidity indices. Despite ROM being the only score specifically designed for in-hospital mortality prediction, SOI performed better. These findings can be helpful for hospital or organizational models benchmarking or epidemiological analysis.

Risk factors and their contribution to population health in the European Union (EU-28) countries in 2007 and 2017.

BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study has generated a wealth of data on death and disability outcomes in Europe. It is important to identify the disease burden that is attributable to risk factors and, therefore, amenable to interventions. This paper reports the burden attributable to risk factors, in deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), in the 28 European Union (EU) countries, comparing exposure to risks between them, from 2007 to 2017. METHODS: Retrospective descriptive study, using secondary data from the GBD 2017 Results Tool. For the EU-28 and each country, attributable (all-cause) age-standardized death and DALY rates, and summary exposure values are reported. RESULTS: In 2017, behavioural and metabolic risk factors showed a higher attributable burden compared with environmental risks, with tobacco, dietary risks and high systolic blood pressure standing out. While tobacco and air quality improved significantly between 2007 and 2017 in both exposure and attributable burden, others such as childhood maltreatment, drug use or alcohol use did not. Despite significant heterogeneity between EU countries, the EU-28 burden attributable to risk factors decreased in this period. CONCLUSION: Accompanying the improvement of population health in the EU-28, a comparable trend is visible for attributable burden due to risk factors. Besides opportunities for mutual learning across countries with different disease/risk factors patterns, good practices (i.e. tobacco control in Sweden, air pollution mitigation in Finland) might be followed. On the opposite side, some concerning cases must be highlighted (i.e. tobacco in Bulgaria, Latvia and Estonia or drug use in Czech Republic).

The state of health in the European Union (EU-28) in 2017: an analysis of the burden of diseases and injuries.

BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Disease study has generated a wealth of data on death and disability in Europe. At a time of change for the European Union and European Region of WHO, with a new Health Commissioner and Regional Director, respectively, a review of health trends can contribute to identify outstanding needs and gaps. This paper reports a summary of the burden of disease in the European Union (EU) in 2017 (compared with 2007). METHODS: For the whole EU and each country, mortality by causes of death, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and life expectancies are reported. RESULTS: In 2017, the age-standardized mortality and DALY rates were of 452.6 and 19 663.3 per 100 000 inhabitants, respectively. The diseases contributing most to mortality were ischaemic heart disease (IHD), dementias and stroke, while low back pain and IHD accounted for the highest burden of DALYs. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, there was an improvement in the state of health in the EU but substantial differences between countries remain. Cardiovascular diseases still represent the major burden, although there have been substantial improvements. There are many opportunities for mutual learning among otherwise similar countries with different patterns of disease.

Problems and Barriers during the Process of Clinical Coding: a Focus Group Study of Coders' Perceptions.

Coded data are the basis of information systems in all countries that rely on Diagnosis Related Groups in order to reimburse/finance hospitals, including both administrative and clinical data. To identify the problems and barriers that affect the quality of the coded data is paramount to improve data quality as well as to enhance its usability and outcomes. This study aims to explore problems and possible solutions associated with the clinical coding process. Problems were identified according to the perspective of ten medical coders, as the result of four focus groups sessions. This convenience sample was sourced from four public hospitals in Portugal. Questions relating to problems with the coding process were developed from the literature and authors' expertise. Focus groups sessions were taped, transcribed and analyzed to elicit themes. Variability in the documents used for coding, illegibility of hand writing when coding on paper, increase of errors due to an extra actor in the coding process when transcribed from paper, difficulties in the diagnoses' coding, coding delay and unavailability of resources and tools designed to help coders, were some of the problems identified. Some problems were identified and solutions such as the standardization of the documents used for coding an episode, the adoption of the electronic coding, the development of tools to help coding and audits, and the recognition of the importance of coding by the management were described as relevant factors for the improvement of the quality of data.

Trends in the incidence and mortality of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder for the last four decades in the USA: a SEER-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: Transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) accounts for around 95% of bladder cancers and is the 4th most common cancer among men and the tenth most common in women, in the US. There is a constant need to clarify current TCC incidence and mortality rates among different population groups for better clinical practice guidelines. We aimed to describe the TCC incidence and incidence-based mortality by demographic and tumor-related characteristics over the last 40 years in the US. METHODS: We obtained data from the SEER 18 registries to study TCC cases that were diagnosed between the years 1973 and 2014. We calculated incidence rates and incidence-based mortality rates in different demographic and tumor-related characteristics and expressed rates by 100,000 person-years. We then calculated the annual changes in incidence and incidence-based mortality rates and displayed them as annual percent changes (APCs). RESULTS: There were 182,114 patients with TCC between 1973 and 2014 in the United States. Overall incidence rates of TCC increased 0.16% (95% CI, 0.02-0.30, p = .02) per year over the study period. However, the incidence declined significantly since 2007; (95%CI,-1.89- -0.77, p < .001), except among the elderly and African Americans, which increased significantly over the study period. Overall TCC mortality rates did not change over the study period. However, since 2000 it started to decrease significantly. CONCLUSION: TCC incidence and incidence-based mortality rates had been showing significant increases over the previous decades. However, significant declines in both incidence and incidence-based mortality rates have been observed over the recent years, except in some patients with certain racial groups. Improved understanding of the etiological and ecological factors of TCC could lead to further declines in incidence and incidence-based mortality rates.

Spontaneous Viral Clearance in Sixteen HIV-Infected Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Spontaneous viral clearance of the chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients is a rare event. We aimed to identify the clinical, therapeutic, demographic, and laboratory features associated with spontaneous HCV clearance in 16 HIV-infected patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC, the largest case series, to our knowledge). METHODS: This case series study reports the findings from 16 HIV/HCV coinfected patients with CHC who experienced spontaneous clearance of HCV infection. Patients were monitored between 2000 and 2013 in the Infectious Diseases Outpatient Clinic at the Centro Hospitalar S. João, Porto, Portugal. RESULTS: Apart from antiretroviral therapy (ART), all patients were also consuming other potential hepatotoxic drugs (e.g., alcohol, illicit drugs, methadone, and antituberculosis medication). In all but 1 of the 16 HIV-infected patients with CHC, viral remission was associated with a temporary suspension of the ART. All patients showed a sustained HCV viral clearance. CONCLUSION: A possible drug-induced liver injury and/or suspension of ART may, in some cases, contribute to increasing the chances of spontaneous HCV clearance in HIV-infected patients with CHC.

Eating disorders-Related hospitalizations in Portugal: A nationwide study from 2000 to 2014.

INTRODUCTION: Recent evidence suggests that incidence of Anorexia nervosa (AN) has remained stable over the last decades in Western Europe, while decreasing for Bulimia nervosa (BN). It is well-known that most individuals with an ED (Eating disorder) do not seek medical treatment. OBJECTIVE: The present study analyses hospitalizations related with EDs held in mainland Portuguese public hospitals between 2000 and 2014. METHOD: A retrospective observational study was performed gathering all inpatient episodes with primary or secondary diagnosis of ED. Number of patients, gender, mean age at discharge, suicide-attempts related hospitalizations, in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and mean charges were analyzed. RESULTS: There were a total of 4,485 hospitalizations with an associated ED. AN was the most frequent ED (n = 2,806). Suicide attempt-related hospitalizations were most common among patients with BN (10.1% of BN hospitalizations) or AN (5.2% of AN hospitalizations). DISCUSSION: AN has higher in-hospital mortality than BN. We observed a higher proportion of suicide related hospitalizations in BN when compared to AN. Although pica, rumination disorder, and psychogenic vomiting represent a smaller portion of all EDs, this study was the first to describe hospitalization trends for this set of EDs for a 15-year period, to the best of our knowledge.

Atrial Fibrillation as an Ischemic Stroke Clinical and Economic Burden Modifier: A 15-Year Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for ischemic stroke (IS). Patients with AF may undergo preventive therapy. Although the AF impact in the clinical burden of IS has been studied, information is lacking in Southern Europe and there are no studies about the impact in potential years of life lost. Moreover, no nationwide or long-term study analyzed the economic burden of IS stratified by AF. OBJECTIVE: To study the impact of AF in the clinical and economic burden of IS. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using nationwide administrative data for all public hospitalizations in mainland Portugal from 2000 to 2014. We considered IS hospitalizations stratified by the presence of AF as secondary diagnosis. RESULTS: Of the total 275,173 IS hospitalizations, 22.6% reported AF. The total number of IS hospitalizations increased from 14,836 in 2000 to 19,561 in 2014 (32% increase), with an increase of 138% in the AF group (from 2,411 to 5,727). In-hospital mortality decreased from 13.6% to 11.5% and was consistently higher in the AF group (17.3% vs. 11.1%). Mean charges were also higher in the AF group (€2297 vs. €2191). Age-adjusted potential years of life lost rate was higher in the group without AF (39.6 vs. 7.5). CONCLUSIONS: AF-associated IS hospitalizations more than doubled in the studied 15-year period. Also, AF was responsible for higher in-hospital mortality and hospitalization charges. These facts highlight the need for early detection of AF and preventive treatment to limit IS occurrence, its associated burden, and poorer health outcomes.

Burden of Burns in Brazil from 2000 to 2014: A Nationwide Hospital-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Burns are a major public health concern, affecting mostly low- and middle-income countries. However, there is a lack of epidemiological studies on burns in these countries, particularly in Latin American countries. Our aim was to analyze nationwide demographic, epidemiological and economic characteristics of hospitalized burn patients in Brazil. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted including inpatients admitted with a diagnosis of burns (ICD-10:T20-T31) from all hospitals in Brazil from 2000 to 2014. We calculated hospitalization and in-hospital mortality rates. Length of stay (LoS), charges and premature mortality were also assessed. RESULTS: A total of 412,541 burn hospitalizations were found, with a hospitalization rate of 14.56 hospitalizations/100,000 inhabitants/year. This rate is decreasing since 2003, mostly due to the reduction among children and elderly. Children below 5 years old accounted for 24% of all admissions. In-hospital mortality rate was 8.1% and median LoS was 5 days. Mean hospitalization charge was 856 international dollars. Substantial regional discrepancies were found in several indicators. CONCLUSION: In this first Latin American nationwide study of burn patients, a decreasing trend of hospitalization rate and a low charge contrasted with a high in-hospital mortality rate. This latter indicator, associated with a low LoS, may raise concerns regarding the quality of healthcare. Important discrepancies were found between regions, which may indicate important differences in regard to healthcare access and risk of burns. Targeting effective prevention, improving healthcare quality and providing more widespread and accurate burn registry are recommended.

Hospitalisations with Hidradenitis Suppurativa: An Increasing Problem That Deserves Closer Attention.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS), a chronic inflammatory skin disease of the hair follicle, can lead to scarring and disability. With an estimated European prevalence of 1%, few epidemiological studies of HS have been performed, and none focused on hospitalisations. We aimed to study the time trends of HS hospitalisations and to evaluate the demographic characteristics, hospital incidence rate, readmissions, length of stay, comorbidities and risk factors of hospitalised HS patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational study using a national administrative database in Portugal, with discharges between 2000 and 2014. All the inpatients aged 5 years or more with a diagnosis of HS were included. Variables analysed were age, sex, admission and discharge date, discharge outcome and diagnoses. RESULTS: A total of 1,177 patients were hospitalised in this time period (48 were aged 18 years or younger) with a male-to-female ratio of 1:1.17. There was a hospital incidence rate of 0.83 patients with HS per 100,000 person-years (95% CI = 0.78-0.88). The age group with the highest incidence rate was 20-29 years among women and 40-49 years among men. We recorded an increasing trend in the number of new hospitalised patients and in the hospital incidence rate of HS. Tobacco was the most common comorbidity/risk factor. Eighty-three percent of our population underwent HS surgery. CONCLUSION: This hospital-based incidence study showed that admission for HS is increasing and that the majority of the HS inpatients were surgical cases. In the future, prospective studies will be important to assess risk factors for hospitalisations and complications.

[Complications of Hypogastric Arteries Embolization in EVAR]. / Complicações Secundárias à Embolização da Artéria Ilíaca Interna no EVAR.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this paper is dedicated to assess the risks of the embolization of the hypogastric arteries following the endovascular management of aorto-iliac aneurysms, looking at the incidence and nature of the most common complications, in the unilateral "versus" bilateral embolization with coils. METHODS: A systematic review of the literature was made on the subject, including the outcome of patients who underwent unilateral versus bilateral embolization of hypogastric arteries with coils in the EVAR. RESULTS: The most common complications were buttock claudication and erectile disfunction, with an estimation respectively of 28% and 15%, independently of the unilateral or bilateral procedure. Less commonly, colonic ischemia was found in 2%, as well as spinal cord ischemia, also found in 2%. CONCLUSIONS: The embolization of the hypoastric arteries may extend the field of utilization of the EVAR, however it cannot be regarded as an innocuous procedure. This systematic review suggests that more complications can be expected in patients who underwent bilateral versus unilateral embolization, namely related to buttock claudication. However, a similar evidence could not be demonstrated with erectile disfunction.

The value of healthy ageing: Estimating the economic value of health using time use data.

INTRODUCTION: Economic arguments in favour of investing in health and health care are important for policy making, yet demonstrating the potential economic gains associated with health at older ages can be empirically challenging due to older peoples' limited attachment to the labour market. METHODS: We develop a novel method to quantify the economic value of health through time use data. Using data on people aged 65 years-old and older from the United Kingdom Time Use Survey (UKTUS) 2014-15, we apply survey-weighted generalized linear models to predict the time spent in non-market productive activities conditional on characteristics including age and self-perceived health. We weight these estimates of predicted minutes spent in each activity using household satellite accounts to quantify the monetary value of time spent engaging in non-market productive activities according to health status and simulate the monetary impact of health gains at older ages. RESULTS: Both age and self-perceived health status were associated with minutes spent in many non-market productive activities. Summing the monetized predictions of minutes spent across all types of activities indicates that being in "very good" instead of "very bad" self-perceived health is associated with an additional production of 439£, 629£ and 598£ (in real 2015 GBP) per month for an average individual aged 65 to 74 years-old, 75 to 84 years-old and 85 years-old and older, respectively. Using our simulation model, if 10% of older people in "very bad" health in the United Kingdom were to transition to "very good" health it could lead to an increase of up to 278£ million through the production of non-market activities. CONCLUSIONS: Health at older ages creates considerable economic value which is not observed using standard national accounting measures. Our method to quantify the monetary value of health can be adapted to other settings to make the economic case for investing in healthy ageing.

Politics and confidence toward the COVID-19 vaccination: A Brazilian cross-sectional study.

This study has the aim of assessing the Brazilian perceptions, influencing factors and political positioning on the confidence concerning COVID-19 vaccination. To achieve the objective, the methods rely on a cross-sectional survey of Brazilian citizens, distributed through different social networks. The sample is composed of 1,670 valid responses, collected from almost all Brazilian states and state capitals. To analyze the data and give a clear view of the variables' relationship, the study used bivariate and comparative graphs. Results show a higher level of confidence in vaccines from Pfizer and AstraZeneca, while the lower level of confidence is associated with vaccines from Sinopharm and Sputinik5. Vaccine efficacy is the most significant influencing factor that helps in the decision to get vaccinated. Also, individuals are less willing to get vaccinated if their political preferences are related to the right-wing. The results led to three main health and social implications: i) the vaccination strategy campaigns should take in count vaccine efficacy and political aspects; ii) the vaccination process should be adapted to regions with different political positions; and iii) a reinforcement in the educational policies of the vaccine's importance to the public health, to avoid the politization of a health issue.

Long-term mental health care in Portugal: A portrait of the first years of activity.

INTRODUCTION: In Portugal, a reform to implement Long-term mental health care (LTMHC) started in 2017 allowing patients with severe mental illness receiving psychosocial rehabilitation to regain their autonomy and be reintegrated into their communities. AIM: To describe the first steps of the Portuguese LTMHC implementation and to assess the relationship between the LTMHC's demand (referrals) and supply (vacancies and occupancy). METHODS: We conducted a national retrospective observational study to analyse the LTMHC referrals, vacancies and occupancy between mid-2017 (LTMHC establishment) and December 2022. We described and analysed the associated indicators through time and geography, as well as performed a simultaneous regression model to evaluate the relationship between supply and demand. RESULTS: There were 1,192 referrals to the LTMHC, of which 99 (8.3%) were made for childhood and adolescence structures. The maximum support residence (RAMa, 'Residência de apoio máximo'), designed for patients with higher disabilities, had the highest number of referrals. Additionally, since the opening of vacancies in different institutions, residential structures became quickly saturated. On the other hand, domiciliary services were those with the lowest occupancy. Our estimates support that the vacancies (supply) are induced by the referrals (demand), and referrals are also related to the location of LTMHC facilities. CONCLUSION: LTMHC is still in the initial stage of development in Portugal, and it is expected to receive financial support through the Recovery and Resilience Programme. According to the occupancy rates and referrals made, residential structures seem to be a priority, being also important to explore the partial use of domiciliary services. The geographical distribution of vacancies can also be a concern, considering the important proximity to the community in LTMHC.