The cardiovascular-dialysis nexus: the transition to dialysis is a treacherous time for the heart.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients require dialysis to manage the progressive complications of uraemia. Yet, many physicians and patients do not recognize that dialysis initiation, although often necessary, subjects patients to substantial risk for cardiovascular (CV) death. While most recognize CV mortality risk approximately doubles with CKD the new data presented here show that this risk spikes to >20 times higher than the US population average at the initiation of chronic renal replacement therapy, and this elevated CV risk continues through the first 4 months of dialysis. Moreover, this peak reflects how dialysis itself changes the pathophysiology of CV disease and transforms its presentation, progression, and prognosis. This article reviews how dialysis initiation modifies the interpretation of circulating biomarkers, alters the accuracy of CV imaging, and worsens prognosis. We advocate a multidisciplinary approach and outline the issues practitioners should consider to optimize CV care for this unique and vulnerable population during a perilous passage.

Occupational heat exposure and the risk of chronic kidney disease of nontraditional origin in the United States.

Occupational heat exposure is linked to the development of kidney injury and disease in individuals who frequently perform physically demanding work in the heat. For instance, in Central America, an epidemic of chronic kidney disease of nontraditional origin (CKDnt) is occurring among manual laborers, whereas potentially related epidemics have emerged in India and Sri Lanka. There is growing concern that workers in the United States suffer with CKDnt, but reports are limited. One of the leading hypotheses is that repetitive kidney injury caused by physical work in the heat can progress to CKDnt. Whether heat stress is the primary causal agent or accelerates existing underlying pathology remains contested. However, the current evidence supports that heat stress induces tubular kidney injury, which is worsened by higher core temperatures, dehydration, longer work durations, muscle damaging exercise, and consumption of beverages containing high levels of fructose. The purpose of this narrative review is to identify occupations that may place US workers at greater risk of kidney injury and CKDnt. Specifically, we reviewed the scientific literature to characterize the demographics, environmental conditions, physiological strain (i.e., core temperature increase, dehydration, heart rate), and work durations in sectors typically experiencing occupational heat exposure, including farming, wildland firefighting, landscaping, and utilities. Overall, the surprisingly limited available evidence characterizing occupational heat exposure in US workers supports the need for future investigations to understand this risk of CKDnt.

Arteriovenous Vascular Access-Related Procedural Burden Among Incident Hemodialysis Patients in the United States.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: As the proportion of arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) compared with arteriovenous grafts (AVGs) in the United States has increased, there has been a concurrent increase in interventions. We explored AVF and AVG maturation and maintenance procedural burden in the first year of hemodialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients initiating hemodialysis from July 1, 2012, to December 31, 2014, and having a first-time AVF or AVG placement between dialysis initiation and 1 year (N = 73,027), identified using the US Renal Data System (USRDS). PREDICTORS: Patient characteristics. OUTCOME: Successful AVF/AVG use and intervention procedure burden. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: For each group, we analyzed interventional procedure rates during maturation maintenance phases using Poisson regression. We used proportional rate modeling for covariate-adjusted analysis of interventional procedure rates during the maintenance phase. RESULTS: During the maturation phase, 13,989 of 57,275 patients (24.4%) in the AVF group required intervention, with therapeutic interventional requirements of 0.36 per person. In the AVG group 2,904 of 15,572 patients (18.4%) required intervention during maturation, with therapeutic interventional requirements of 0.28 per person. During the maintenance phase, in the AVF group 12,732 of 32,115 patients (39.6%) required intervention, with a therapeutic intervention rate of 0.93 per person-year. During maintenance phase, in the AVG group 5,928 of 10,271 patients (57.7%) required intervention, with a therapeutic intervention rate of 1.87 per person-year. For both phases, the intervention rates for AVF tended to be higher on the East Coast while those for AVG were more uniform geographically. LIMITATIONS: This study relies on administrative data, with monthly recording of access use. CONCLUSIONS: During maturation, interventions for both AVFs and AVGs were relatively common. Once successfully matured, AVFs had lower maintenance interventional requirements. During the maturation and maintenance phases, there were geographic variations in AVF intervention rates that warrant additional study.

Burden and Cost of Caring for US Veterans With CKD: Initial Findings From the VA Renal Information System (VA-REINS).

Kidney disease is a common, complex, costly, and life-limiting condition. Most kidney disease registries or information systems have been limited to single institutions or regions. A national US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Renal Information System (VA-REINS) was recently developed. We describe its creation and present key initial findings related to chronic kidney disease (CKD) without kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Data from the VA's Corporate Data Warehouse were processed and linked with national Medicare data for patients with CKD receiving KRT. Operational definitions for VA user, CKD, acute kidney injury, and kidney failure were developed. Among 7 million VA users in fiscal year 2014, CKD was identified using either a strict or liberal operational definition in 1.1 million (16.4%) and 2.5 million (36.3%) veterans, respectively. Most were identified using an estimated glomerular filtration rate laboratory phenotype, some through proteinuria assessment, and very few through International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision coding. The VA spent ∼$18 billion for the care of patients with CKD without KRT, most of which was for CKD stage 3, with higher per-patient costs by CKD stage. VA-REINS can be leveraged for disease surveillance, population health management, and improving the quality and value of care, thereby enhancing VA's capacity as a patient-centered learning health system for US veterans.

Dietary Factors and Prevention: Risk of End-Stage Kidney Disease by Fruit and Vegetable Consumption.

BACKGROUND: The association between fruit and vegetable (FV) intake and the risk of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) has not been examined in the general population and fully explored in chronic kidney disease (CKD). We prospectively evaluated this relationship in US representative sample of adults and evaluated consistency by the presence or absence, and severity, of CKD. METHODS: We used data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (1988-1994) linked with the US Renal Data System, including 14,725 adults aged ≥20 years and with follow-up for ESKD through 2008. Daily FV intake was ascertained using a food frequency questionnaire. We examined the association between selected categories of FV intake and ESKD using a Fine Gray competing risk model adjusting for sociodemographics, lifestyle, clinical and nutritional factors, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and albuminuria. We evaluated whether risk varied in individuals with severe versus any CKD. RESULTS: 230 participants (1.5%) developed ESKD during follow-up. In the adjusted model, compared to highest intake, those in lowest categories of FV intake had a higher risk of ESKD, for <2 times/day (1.45 [1.24-1.68], 2 to <3 times/day (1.40 [1.18-1.61]), 3 to <4 times/day (1.25 [1.04-1.46]), and 4 to <6 times/day (1.14 [0.97-1.31]). There was suggestion of heterogeneity (p for interaction = 0.03) with possible stronger inverse association in patients with CKD than those without CKD. After stratification, we obtained similar strong inverse association when we examined ESKD incidence across intake of FVs in participants with CKD stages 1-4 (n = 5,346) and specifically in those with CKD stages 3-4 (n = 1,084). CONCLUSIONS: Low intake of FVs was associated with higher risk of ESKD in US adults with and without CKD, supporting an emerging body of literature on the potential benefits of plant-rich diets for prevention of ESKD.

Differential risk factor profile of diabetes and atherosclerosis in rural, sub-urban and urban regions of South India: The KMCH-Non-communicable disease studies.

AIMS: South Asia has emerged rapidly as an epicentre of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) specifically diabetes and cardiovascular diseases. The prevalence rate, risk factors and aetiology of NCDs in different socio-demographic settings are not clearly understood. This study was performed to assess the prevalence of diabetes and atherosclerosis and their risk factors in urban, sub-urban and rural communities of South India. METHODS: Three communities [Nallampatti (rural), Thadagam (sub-urban) and Kalapatti (urban)] in South India were selected for participation in the KMCH-NCD Studies. Study volunteers were administered a detailed questionnaire, underwent anthropometric measurements, clinical measurements including blood pressure, glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c ), non-fasting lipid profile and serum creatinine. Carotid intima-media thickness was measured using B-mode ultrasound. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to understand the association of risk factors with diabetes and atherosclerosis. RESULTS: A total of 2976 native participants, ≥20 years of age were screened. The prevalence of diabetes was 16%, 26% and 23% respectively in the rural, sub-urban and urban study populations. Association of obesity with diabetes was observed in only urban population while hypertension and dyslipidaemia showed association in both urban and semi-urban populations. Association of diabetes with atherosclerosis was observed in urban and semi-urban populations. Hypertension in semi-urban and obesity and dyslipidaemia in urban population showed association with atherosclerosis. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes and atherosclerosis burden reported in the three different communities were higher than previous reports, especially in rural and sub-urban regions. No traditional risk factor is identified to be associated with prevalence of diabetes and atherosclerosis in rural population. These findings suggest an urgent need for investigation into the role of non-traditional risk factors like environmental or occupational exposures may help to better understand the aetiology of diseases in non-urbanized communities.

Predictors of kidney function recovery among incident ESRD patients.

BACKGROUND: ESRD is considered an irreversible loss of renal function, yet some patients will recover kidney function sufficiently to come off dialysis. Potentially modifiable predictors of kidney recovery, such as dialysis prescription, have not been fully examined. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using United States Renal Data System (USRDS) data to identify incident hemodialysis (HD) patients between 2012 and 2016, the first 4 years for which dialysis treatment data is available. The primary outcome was kidney recovery within 1 year of ESRD and HD initiation, defined by a specific recovery code and survival off dialysis for at least 30 days. Patient and treatment characteristics were compared between those that recovered versus those that remained dialysis-dependent. A time-dependent survival model was used to identify independent predictors of kidney recovery. RESULTS: During the study period, there were 372,387 incident HD patients with available data, among whom 16,930 (4.5%) recovered to dialysis-independence. Compared to non-recovery, a higher proportion of patients with kidney recovery were of white race, and non-Hispanic ethnicity. Both groups had a similar age distribution. Patients with an acute kidney injury diagnosis as primary cause of ESRD were most likely to recover, but the most common ESRD diagnosis among recovering patients was type 2 diabetes (29.8% of recovery cases). Higher eGFR and lower albumin at ESRD initiation were associated with increased likelihood of recovery. When examining HD ultrafiltration rate (UFR), each quintile above the first quintile was associated with a progressively lower likelihood of recovery (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.43-0.48 for highest versus lowest quintile, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: We identified non-modifiable and potentially modifiable factors associated with kidney recovery which may assist clinicians in counseling and monitoring incident ESRD patients with a greater chance to gain dialysis-independence. Clinical trials are warranted to examine the impact of dialysis prescription on subsequent kidney function recovery.

Obstetric Deliveries in US Women With ESKD: 2002-2015.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Women with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) have decreased fertility and are at increased risk for pregnancy complications. This study examined secular trends and outcomes of obstetric deliveries in a US cohort of women with ESKD. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Women aged 18 to 44 years with ESKD and registered in the US Renal Data System from 2002 to 2015. EXPOSURE: ESKD modality (hemodialysis [HD], peritoneal dialysis, transplantation). OUTCOMES: Infant delivery, preterm delivery, cesarean delivery. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Unadjusted delivery rates were expressed as number of delivering women per 1,000 patient-years among women aged 18 to 44 years within each year during the study period, stratified by ESKD modality. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate associations of delivery, preterm delivery, and cesarean delivery with patient characteristics. RESULTS: The delivery rate in women undergoing HD and women with a kidney transplant increased from 2.1 to 3.6 and 3.1 to 4.6 per 1,000 patient-years, respectively (P<0.001 for each). The delivery rate in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis was lower and did not increase significantly (P=0.9). Women with a transplant were less likely to deliver preterm compared with women undergoing HD (OR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.84-1.00), though more likely have a cesarean delivery (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06-1.31). For deliveries occurring in the 2012 to 2015 period, 75% of women treated with HD were prescribed 4 or fewer outpatient HD treatments per week and 25% were prescribed 5-plus treatments per week in the 30 days before delivery. LIMITATIONS: Ascertainment of outcomes and comorbid conditions using administrative claims data. CONCLUSIONS: The delivery rate in women of reproductive age with ESKD increased from 2002 to 2015 among those treated with transplantation or HD. Women with a functioning transplant were less likely to deliver preterm, but more likely to have a cesarean delivery. Prescriptions for outpatient intensified HD for pregnant women with ESKD were infrequent in 2012 to 2015.

CKD Awareness Among US Adults by Future Risk of Kidney Failure.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are often unaware of their disease status. Efforts to improve CKD awareness may be most effective if focused on persons at highest risk for progression to kidney failure. STUDY DESIGN: Serial cross-sectional surveys. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Nonpregnant adults (aged≥20 years) with CKD glomerular filtration rate categories 3-4 (G3-G4) who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2016 (n = 3,713). PREDICTOR: 5-year kidney failure risk, estimated using the Kidney Failure Risk Equation. Predicted risk was categorized as minimal (<2%), low (2%-<5%), intermediate (5%-<15%), or high (≥15%). OUTCOME: CKD awareness, defined by answering "yes" to the question "Have you ever been told by a doctor or other health professional that you had weak or failing kidneys?" ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Prevalence of CKD awareness was estimated within each risk group using complex sample survey methods. Associations between Kidney Failure Risk Equation risk and CKD awareness were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. CKD awareness was compared with awareness of hypertension and diabetes during the same period. RESULTS: In 2011 to 2016, unadjusted CKD awareness was 9.6%, 22.6%, 44.7%, and 49.0% in the minimal-, low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively. In adjusted analyses, these proportions did not change over time. Awareness of CKD, including among the highest risk group, remains consistently below that of hypertension and diabetes and awareness of these conditions increased over time. LIMITATIONS: Imperfect sensitivity of the "weak or failing kidneys" question for ascertaining CKD awareness. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults with CKD G3-G4 who have 5-year estimated risks for kidney failure of 5%-<15% and≥15%, approximately half were unaware of their kidney disease, a gap that has persisted nearly 2 decades.

Incidence of ESKD Among Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders Living in the 50 US States and Pacific Island Territories.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders (NHPI) have been reported to have the highest rates of incident end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) compared with other races in the United States. However, these estimates were likely biased upward due to the exclusion of nearly half the NHPI population that reports multiple races in the US Census. We sought to estimate the incidence rate of ESKD, including individuals reporting multiple races, and describe the clinical characteristics of incident cases by race and location. STUDY DESIGN: Health care database study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: US residents of the 50 states and 3 Pacific Island territories of the United States whose ESKD was recorded in the US Renal Data System (USRDS) between 2007 and 2016, as well as US residents recorded in the 2010 Census. PREDICTORS: Age, sex, race, body mass index, primary cause of ESKD, comorbid conditions, estimated glomerular filtration rate, pre-ESKD nephrology care, and hemoglobin A1c level among ESKD cases. OUTCOME: Initiation of maintenance dialysis or transplantation for kidney failure. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Crude ESKD incidence rates (cases/person-years) were estimated using both single- and multiple-race reporting. RESULTS: Even after inclusion of multirace reporting, NHPI had the highest ESKD incidence rate among all races in the 50 states (921 [95% CI, 904-938] per million population per year)-2.7 times greater than whites and 1.2 times greater than blacks. Also using multirace reporting, the NHPI ESKD incident rate in the US territories was 941 (95% CI, 895-987) per million population per year. Diabetes was listed as the primary cause of ESKD most frequently for NHPI and American Indians/Alaska Natives. Sensitivity analysis adjusting for age and sex demonstrated greater differences in rates between NHPI and other races. Diabetes was the primary cause of ESKD in 60% of incident NHPI cases. Patients with ESKD living in the territories had received less pre-ESKD nephrology care than had patients living in the 50 states. LIMITATIONS: Different methods of race classification in the USRDS versus the US Census. CONCLUSIONS: NHPI living in the 50 US states and Pacific territories had the highest rates of ESKD incidence compared with other races. Further research and efforts are required to understand the reasons for and define how best to address this racial disparity.

Surgeon Characteristics and Dialysis Vascular Access Outcomes in the United States: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: An arteriovenous fistula (AVF) is the preferred access for most patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis, but maturation failure remains a challenge. Surgeon characteristics have been proposed as contributors to AVF success. We examined variation in AVF placement and AVF outcomes by surgeon and surgeon characteristics. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: National Medicare claims and web-based data submitted by dialysis facilities on maintenance hemodialysis patients from 2009 through 2015. EXPOSURES: Patient characteristics, including demographics and comorbid conditions; surgeon characteristics, including specialty, prior volume of AVF placements, and years since medical school graduation. OUTCOMES: Percent of access placements that were an AVF from 2009 to 2015 (designated AVF placement), and percent of AVFs with successful use within 6 months of placement (maturation) from 2013 to 2014. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multilevel logistic regression models examining the association of surgeon characteristics with the outcomes, adjusted for patient characteristics and dialysis facilities as random effects. RESULTS: Among 4,959 surgeons placing 467,827 accesses, median AVF placement was 71% (IQR, 59%-84%). More recent year of medical school graduation and general surgery specialty (vs vascular, cardiothoracic, or transplantation surgery) were associated with higher odds of AVF placement. Among 2,770 surgeons placing 49,826 AVFs, the median AVF maturation rate was 59% (IQR, 44%-71%). More recent year of medical school graduation, but not surgical specialty, was associated with higher odds of AVF maturation. Greater prior volume of AVF placement was associated with higher odds of AVF maturation: OR of 1.46 (95% CI, 1.37-1.57) for highest (>84 AVF placements in 2years) versus lowest (<14) volume quintile. LIMITATIONS: The study relied on administrative data, limiting capture of some factors affecting access outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: There is substantial surgeon-level variation in AVF placements and AVF maturation. Surgeons' prior volume of AVF placements is strongly associated with AVF maturation.

Quality of Care in Chronic Kidney Disease and Incidence of End-stage Renal Disease in Older Patients: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The quality of care received by a growing number of older patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) has not been adequately examined. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess the quality of CKD care among older patients and to clarify its association with the incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD). RESEARCH DESIGN: This was a population-based cohort study. SUBJECTS: Older (65 y and above) CKD patients diagnosed between October 2010 and September 2014 from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims of Japan. MEASURES: A composite quality score (QS) of 3 quality measures for CKD care during the 6 months after CKD diagnosis was computed. The validated quality measures included urine testing for proteinuria, nutritional guidance, and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs avoidance. To assess the association between the QS and ESRD incidence, we used instrumental variable analysis after stratification for the history of diabetes. RESULTS: Among the 890,773 older CKD patients, 2.9% progressed to ESRD (incidence rate of 12.5 per thousand person-years). In total, 59.9% underwent urine testing, 4.5% received nutritional guidance, and 91.2% avoided regular use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. An instrumental variable analysis revealed that a higher QS was associated with-lower ESRD incidence in patients diagnosed with diabetes (hazard ratio: 0.25, 95% confidence interval: 0.24-0.27 for each point higher score) but not in patients without a diagnosis of diabetes (hazard ratio: 0.99, 95% confidence interval: 0.92-1.05). CONCLUSION: Among older CKD patients, quality of CKD care varied between patients, and better quality of CKD care was associated with a lower ESRD incidence in patients with diabetes but not in nondiabetic patients.

Temporal trends in acute kidney injury across health care settings in the Irish health system: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Complete ascertainment of the true rates of acute kidney injury (AKI) and emerging trends are essential for planning of preventive strategies within health systems. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study from 2005 to 2014 using data from regional laboratory information systems to determine incidence rates of AKI and severity Stages 1-3 in the Irish health system. Multivariable models were developed to explore annual trends and the contributions of demographic factors, clinical measures, geographic factors and location of medical supervision expressed as adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: From 2005 to 2014, incidence rates of AKI increased from 6.1% (5.8-6.3) to 13.2% (12.7-13.8) per 100 patient-years in men and from 5.0% (4.8-5.2) to 11.5% (11.0-12.0) in women, P < 0.001. Stage 1 AKI accounted for the greatest growth in incidence, from 4.4% (95% CI 4.3-4.6) in 2005 to 10.1% (95% CI 9.8-10.5) in 2014 (P < 0.001 for trend). Compared with 2005, patients in 2014 were more likely to experience AKI [OR 4.53 (95% CI 4.02-5.1) for Stage 1, OR 5.22 (4.16-6.55) for Stage 2 and OR 4.11 (3.05-5.54) for Stage 3], adjusting for changing demographic and clinical profiles. Incidence rates of AKI increased in all locations of medical supervision during the period of observation, but were greatest for inpatient [OR 19.11 (95% CI 17.69-20.64)] and emergency room settings [OR 5.97 (95% CI 5.56-6.42)] compared with a general practice setting (referent). CONCLUSION: Incidence rates of AKI have increased substantially in the Irish health system, which were not accounted for by changing demographic patterns, clinical profiles or location of medical supervision.

An analysis of hot spots of ESRD in the United States: Potential presence of CKD of unknown origin in the USA?

We hypothesized that high incidence rates of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in certain counties of the U.S. are partly due to patients with a type of ESRD resembling chronic kidney disease of uncertain etiology (CKDu), which has been observed in Central America and other countries. Using data on 338,126 incident ESRD patients from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) (2011 - 2013) and the Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Supplement on county-level variables (2006), we describe both patient-level and county-level characteristics in counties with the highest quartile of ESRD incidence rate standardized for age, sex, and race (> 420 cases/million population/year) compared to the rest of the U.S. and two specific "hotspots" of ESRD: the San Joaquin Valley and the Rio Grande Valley. Logistic regression was used to examine characteristics associated with patients who had either missing cause of ESRD or "unknown" listed as the primary cause of ESRD. High incidence rates of ESRD were observed in southern Texas, the Southeast and parts of California (including the San Joaquin valley area), while low rates were seen in the Northwest and the Mountain Regions. The median crude incidence rate of ESRD was 335 (range 0 - 2,341) new cases per million population per year among counties. Significant predictors of missing/unknown primary cause of ESRD included: older age, white or unknown race, non-Hispanic ethnicity, lack of comorbidities at ESRD onset, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at initiation, and lack of pre-dialysis care. Large areas of the U.S. have very high rates of ESRD incidence. We cannot confirm that CKDu is present in the U.S. based on this preliminary work. This topic therefore requires further investigation, as many of these patients may well be undocumented aliens working as farm laborers and therefore not registered in the USRDS.
.

Chronic disease burdens of incident U.S. dialysis patients, 1996 - 2015
.

INTRODUCTION: The United States Renal Data System has collected data on incident hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients since 1995, allowing prevalence of chronic diseases over the past 20 years to be measured. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All first-time HD/PD patients 1996 - 2015 were analyzed. Diabetes and cardiovascular diseases were grouped into single variables. Prevalence of each condition was evaluated with logistic regression. Odds ratios (OR) for a 5-year difference in year of dialysis initiation were calculated. Models were adjusted for age, sex, and race, with interactions between modality and year. One- and 5-year mortality were calculated. RESULTS: Age increased among 1,847,212 HD and 156,965 PD patients; PD patients were younger. First-year mortality fell from 24.4 to 21.1% in HD patients and from 17.1 to 8.5% in PD. 5-year mortality fell from 65.9 to 58.6% in HD patients and from 56.3 to 40.4% in PD. Hypertension increased (OR = 1.34 for HD, 1.35 for PD), as did diabetes (OR = 1.16 for HD, 1.06 for PD) and cancer (OR = 1.09 for HD, 1.10 for PD). Cardiovascular disease decreased in PD (OR = 0.87) only. Stroke decreased (OR = 0.98 for HD, 0.90 for PD), as did peripheral vascular disease (OR = 0.91 for HD, 0.82 for PD). Lung disease increased in HD (OR = 1.10) but decreased in PD (OR = 0.97). DISCUSSION: Mortality and cardiovascular disease burden have declined for dialysis patients in the United States despite an aging population that is increasingly hypertensive and diabetic. Comorbid disease burdens among HD and PD patients have diverged over time, with PD patients having fewer comorbid conditions.

Exploring reasons for state-level variation in incidence of dialysis-requiring acute kidney injury (AKI-D) in the United States.

BACKGROUND: There is considerable state-level variation in the incidence of dialysis-requiring acute kidney injury (AKI-D). However, little is known about reasons for this geographic variation. METHODS: National cross-sectional state-level ecological study based on State Inpatient Databases (SID) and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) in 2011. We analyzed 18 states and six chronic health conditions (diabetes mellitus [diabetes], hypertension, chronic kidney disease [CKD], arteriosclerotic heart disease [ASHD], cancer (excluding skin cancer), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD]). Associations between each of the chronic health conditions and AKI-D incidence was assessed using Pearson correlation and multiple regression adjusting for mean age, the proportion of males, and the proportion of non-Hispanic whites in each state. RESULTS: The state-level AKI-D incidence ranged from 190 to 1139 per million population. State-level differences in rates of hospitalization with chronic health conditions (mostly < 3-fold difference in range) were larger than the state-level differences in prevalence for each chronic health condition (mostly < 2.5-fold difference in range). A significant correlation was shown between AKI-D incidence and prevalence of diabetes, ASHD, and COPD, as well as between AKI-D incidence and rate of hospitalization with hypertension. In regression models, after adjusting for age, sex, and race, AKI-D incidence was associated with prevalence of and rates of hospitalization with five chronic health conditions--diabetes, hypertension, CKD, ASHD and COPD--and rates of hospitalization with cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this ecological analysis suggest that state-level variation in AKI-D incidence may be influenced by state-level variations in prevalence of and rates of hospitalization with several chronic health conditions. For most of the explored chronic conditions, AKI-D correlated stronger with rates of hospitalizations with the health conditions rather than with their prevalences, suggesting that better disease management strategies that prevent hospitalizations may translate into lower incidence of AKI-D.

Cramping, crashing, cannulating, and clotting: a qualitative study of patients' definitions of a "bad run" on hemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Hemodialysis sessions frequently become unstable from complications such as intradialytic hypotension and untoward symptoms. Previous patient safety initiatives promote prevention of treatment complications; yet, they have placed little specific focus on avoidable session instability. A patient-centered definition of session instability grounded in patient experiences, and an understanding of patient perceptions of causes and solutions to instability, may enable such efforts. METHODS: Twenty-five participants participated in three focus groups and/or a survey. They were purposively sampled for variation in region of residence, and sensitivity to patient well-being. Focus group recordings were analyzed using descriptive coding, in vivo coding, and thematic analysis. RESULTS: Patients define unstable sessions ("bad runs") as those in which they experience severe discomfort or unanticipated events that interfere with their ability to receive therapy. Bad runs were characterized primarily by cramping, low blood pressure ("crashing"), cannulation-related difficulties ("bad sticks"), and clotting of the dialysis circuit or vascular access. Patients believed that cramping and crashing could be explained by both patient and clinician behavior: patient fluid consumption and providers' fluid removal goals. Patients felt that the responsibility for cannulation-related problems lay with dialysis staff, and they asked for different staff or self-cannulated as solutions. Clotting was viewed as an idiosyncratic issue with one's body, and perceived solutions were clinician-driven. Patients expressed concern about "bad runs" on their ability to achieve fluid balance. CONCLUSIONS: Findings point to novel priorities for efforts to enhance hemodialysis session stability, and areas in which patients can be supported to become involved in such efforts.

Projecting ESRD Incidence and Prevalence in the United States through 2030.

BACKGROUND: Population rates of obesity, hypertension, diabetes, age, and race can be used in simulation models to develop projections of ESRD incidence and prevalence. Such projections can inform long-range planning for ESRD resources needs. METHODS: We used an open compartmental simulation model to estimate the incidence and prevalence of ESRD in the United States through 2030 on the basis of wide-ranging projections of population obesity and ESRD death rates. Population trends in age, race, hypertension, and diabetes were on the basis of data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the US Census. RESULTS: The increase in ESRD incidence rates within age and race groups has leveled off and/or declined in recent years, but our model indicates that population changes in age and race distribution, obesity and diabetes prevalence, and ESRD survival will result in a 11%-18% increase in the crude incidence rate from 2015 to 2030. This incidence trend along with reductions in ESRD mortality will increase the number of patients with ESRD by 29%-68% during the same period to between 971,000 and 1,259,000 in 2030. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of ESRD will increase in the United States population through 2030 due to demographic, clinical, and lifestyle shifts in the population and improvements in RRT. Planning for ESRD resource allocation should allow for substantial continued growth in the population of patients with ESRD. Future interventions should be directed to preventing the progression of CKD to kidney failure.

Outcomes Associated With Apixaban Use in Patients With End-Stage Kidney Disease and Atrial Fibrillation in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) on dialysis were excluded from clinical trials of direct oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation (AF). Recent data have raised concerns regarding the safety of dabigatran and rivaroxaban, but apixaban has not been evaluated despite current labeling supporting its use in this population. The goal of this study was to determine patterns of apixaban use and its associated outcomes in dialysis-dependent patients with ESKD and AF. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries included in the United States Renal Data System (October 2010 to December 2015). Eligible patients were those with ESKD and AF undergoing dialysis who initiated treatment with an oral anticoagulant. Because of the small number of dabigatran and rivaroxaban users, outcomes were only assessed in patients treated with apixaban or warfarin. Apixaban and warfarin patients were matched (1:3) based on prognostic score. Differences between groups in survival free of stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, gastrointestinal bleeding, intracranial bleeding, and death were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analyses. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were derived from Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 25 523 patients (45.7% women; 68.2±11.9 years of age), including 2351 patients on apixaban and 23 172 patients on warfarin. An annual increase in apixaban prescriptions was observed after its marketing approval at the end of 2012, such that 26.6% of new anticoagulant prescriptions in 2015 were for apixaban. In matched cohorts, there was no difference in the risks of stroke/systemic embolism between apixaban and warfarin (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.69-1.12; P=0.29), but apixaban was associated with a significantly lower risk of major bleeding (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.59-0.87; P<0.001). In sensitivity analyses, standard-dose apixaban (5 mg twice a day; n=1034) was associated with significantly lower risks of stroke/systemic embolism and death as compared with either reduced-dose apixaban (2.5 mg twice a day; n=1317; HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.37-0.98; P=0.04 for stroke/systemic embolism; HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.45-0.92; P=0.01 for death) or warfarin (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.42-0.97; P=0.04 for stroke/systemic embolism; HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.46-0.85; P=0.003 for death). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with ESKD and AF on dialysis, apixaban use may be associated with a lower risk of major bleeding compared with warfarin, with a standard 5 mg twice a day dose also associated with reductions in thromboembolic and mortality risk.

Elevated serum anion gap in adults with moderate chronic kidney disease increases risk for progression to end-stage renal disease.

Acid retention associated with reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR) exacerbates nephropathy progression in partial nephrectomy models of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and might be reflected in patients with CKD with reduced estimated GFR (eGFR) by increased anion gap (AG). We explored the presence of AG and its association with CKD in 14,924 adults aged ≥20 yr with eGFR ≥ 15 ml·min-1·1.73 m-2 enrolled in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III, 1988-1994, using multivariable regression analysis. The model was adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics, diabetes, and hypertension. We further examined the association between AG and incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) using frailty models, adjusting for demographics, clinical factors, body mass index, serum albumin, bicarbonate, eGFR, and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio by following 558 adults with moderate CKD for 12 yr via the United States Renal Data System. Laboratory measures determined AG using the traditional, albumin-corrected, and full AG definitions. Individuals with moderate CKD (eGFR: 30-59 ml·min-1·1.73 m-2) had a greater AG than those with eGFR ≥ 60 ml·min-1·1.73 m-2 in multivariable regression analysis with adjustment for covariates. We found a graded relationship between the adjusted mean for all three definitions of AG and eGFR categories (P trend < 0.0001). During followup, 9.2% of adults with moderate CKD developed ESRD. Those with AG in the highest tertile had a higher risk of ESRD after adjusting for covariates in a frailty model [relative hazard (95% confidence interval) for traditional AG: 1.76 (1.16-2.32)] compared with those in the middle tertile. The data suggest that high AG, even after adjusting for serum bicarbonate, is a contributing acid-base mechanism to CKD progression in adults with moderate chronic kidney disease.