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BACKGROUND: We evaluated clinical and laboratory findings among patients with nonsevere or severe dengue in Puerto Rico to examine whether clinical manifestations vary by age. METHODS: During 2012-2014, we enrolled patients who arrived at the emergency department with fever or history of fever within 7 days of presentation. Serum samples were tested for dengue virus (DENV) by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and IgM enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Severe dengue was defined as severe plasma leakage or shock, severe bleeding, or organ involvement at presentation, during hospitalization, or follow-up. RESULTS: Of 1089 dengue patients identified, 281 (26%) were severe. Compared to those with nonsevere dengue, patients with severe dengue were more often aged 10-19 years (55% vs 40%, P < .001) and hospitalized (87% vs 30%, P < .001). Severe plasma leakage or shock was more common among children aged 0-9 (59%) or 10-19 years (86%) than adults (49%) (P < .01). Severe bleeding was less common among 10-19 year olds (24%) compared to 0-9 year olds (45%) and adults (52%; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Severe plasma leakage was the most common presentation among children, highlighting important differences from adults. Vaccination against dengue could help prevent severe dengue among children in Puerto Rico.
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Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Dengue Grave , Adulto , Criança , Humanos , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue Grave/epidemiologia , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , FebreRESUMO
Emerging epidemics are challenging to track. Only a subset of cases is recognized and reported, as seen with the Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic where large proportions of infection were asymptomatic. However, multiple imperfect indicators of infection provide an opportunity to estimate the underlying incidence of infection. We developed a modeling approach that integrates a generic Time-series Susceptible-Infected-Recovered epidemic model with assumptions about reporting biases in a Bayesian framework and applied it to the 2016 Zika epidemic in Puerto Rico using three indicators: suspected arboviral cases, suspected Zika-associated Guillain-Barré Syndrome cases, and blood bank data. Using this combination of surveillance data, we estimated the peak of the epidemic occurred during the week of August 15, 2016 (the 33rd week of year), and 120 to 140 (50% credible interval [CrI], 95% CrI: 97 to 170) weekly infections per 10,000 population occurred at the peak. By the end of 2016, we estimated that approximately 890,000 (95% CrI: 660,000 to 1,100,000) individuals were infected in 2016 (26%, 95% CrI: 19% to 33%, of the population infected). Utilizing multiple indicators offers the opportunity for real-time and retrospective situational awareness to support epidemic preparedness and response.
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Epidemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologia , Zika virus , Biologia Computacional , Bases de Dados Factuais , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Estatísticos , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Porto RicoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Death in patients with chikungunya is rare and has been associated with encephalitis, hemorrhage, and septic shock. We describe clinical, histologic, and immunohistochemical findings in individuals who died following chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infection. METHODS: We identified individuals who died in Puerto Rico during 2014 following an acute illness and had CHIKV RNA detected by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction in a pre- or postmortem blood or tissue specimen. We performed histopathology and immunohistochemistry (IHC) for CHIKV antigen on tissue specimens and collected medical data via record review and family interviews. RESULTS: Thirty CHIKV-infected fatal cases were identified (0.8/100 000 population). The median age was 61 years (range: 6 days-86 years), and 19 (63%) were male. Death occurred a median of 4 days (range: 1-29) after illness onset. Nearly all (93%) had at least 1 comorbidity, most frequently hypertension, diabetes, or obesity. Nine had severe comorbidities (eg, chronic heart or kidney disease, sickle cell anemia) or coinfection (eg, leptospirosis). Among 24 fatal cases with tissue specimens, 11 (46%) were positive by IHC. CHIKV antigen was most frequently detected in mesenchymal tissues and mononuclear cells including tissue macrophages, blood mononuclear cells, splenic follicular dendritic cells, and Kupffer cells. Common histopathologic findings were intra-alveolar hemorrhage and edema in the lung, chronic or acute tenosynovitis, and increased immunoblasts in the spleen. CHIKV infection likely caused fatal septic shock in 2 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Evaluation of tissue specimens provided insights into the pathogenesis of CHIKV, which may rarely result in septic shock and other severe manifestations.
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Febre de Chikungunya , Vírus Chikungunya , Diabetes Mellitus , Febre de Chikungunya/complicações , Febre de Chikungunya/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Porto RicoRESUMO
Zika virus (ZIKV) is a member of the Flaviviridae family, which includes other clinically notable viruses such as the 4 dengue virus serotypes (DENV-1-4). Distinguishing DENVs from ZIKV using the established serologic assays widely used for monitoring DENV transmission is difficult because of antibody cross-reactivity between these closely related flaviviruses. We describe a modified and improved recombinant envelope domain III-based serologic assay for detecting ZIKV type-specific antibodies in regions with endemic DENV transmission. When the assay was used to measure ZIKV seroprevalence in 2017 among children 9-14 years of age living in a region of the Philippines with endemic DENV transmission, we observed a ZIKV seroprevalence of 18%. Investigators should consider using the ZIKV envelope domain III-based assay, which is simple and readily adaptable for use in standard clinical and public health laboratories, to assess ZIKV seroprevalence in areas with endemic DENV transmission.
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Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Infecção por Zika virus , Zika virus , Anticorpos Antivirais , Criança , Reações Cruzadas , Dengue/diagnóstico , Dengue/epidemiologia , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Humanos , Filipinas/epidemiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Zika virus/genética , Infecção por Zika virus/diagnóstico , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologiaRESUMO
We reconstructed the 2016-2017 Zika virus epidemic in Puerto Rico by using complete genomes to uncover the epidemic's origin, spread, and evolutionary dynamics. Our study revealed that the epidemic was propelled by multiple introductions that spread across the island, intricate evolutionary patterns, and ≈10 months of cryptic transmission.
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Epidemias , Infecção por Zika virus , Zika virus , Evolução Molecular , Humanos , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Zika virus/genética , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: To estimate the frequency and duration of detectable Zika virus (ZIKV) RNA in human body fluids, we prospectively assessed a cohort of newly infected participants in Puerto Rico. METHODS: We evaluated samples obtained from 150 participants (including 55 men) in whom ZIKV RNA was detected on reverse-transcriptase-polymerase-chain-reaction (RT-PCR) assay in urine or blood in an enhanced arboviral clinical surveillance site. We collected serum, urine, saliva, semen, and vaginal secretions weekly for the first month and then at 2, 4, and 6 months. All specimens were tested by means of RT-PCR, and serum was tested with the use of anti-ZIKV IgM enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Among the participants with ZIKV RNA in any specimen at week 4, biweekly collection continued until all specimens tested negative. We used parametric Weibull regression models to estimate the time until the loss of ZIKV RNA detection in each body fluid and reported the findings in medians and 95th percentiles. RESULTS: The medians and 95th percentiles for the time until the loss of ZIKV RNA detection were 14 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 11 to 17) and 54 days (95% CI, 43 to 64), respectively, in serum; 8 days (95% CI, 6 to 10) and 39 days (95% CI, 31 to 47) in urine; and 34 days (95% CI, 28 to 41) and 81 days (95% CI, 64 to 98) in semen. Few participants had detectable ZIKV RNA in saliva or vaginal secretions. CONCLUSIONS: The prolonged time until ZIKV RNA clearance in serum in this study may have implications for the diagnosis and prevention of ZIKV infection. Current sexual-prevention guidelines recommend that men use condoms or abstain from sex for 6 months after ZIKV exposure; in 95% of the men in this study, ZIKV RNA was cleared from semen after about 3 months. (Funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.).
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Investigation of a dengue case in a laboratory worker in North Carolina, USA, revealed that the case-patient prepared high-titer dengue virus stocks soon before illness onset. Improper doffing of gloves with an open finger wound likely resulted in cutaneous exposure. This case reinforces recommendations for enhanced precautions when working with high-titer dengue virus.
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Vírus da Dengue , Dengue , Dengue/diagnóstico , Dengue/epidemiologia , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Humanos , Laboratórios , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Dengue and Zika viruses are closely related mosquitoborne flaviviruses with similar transmission cycles, distribution throughout the tropics and subtropics, and disease manifestations including fever, rash, myalgia, and arthralgia. For patients with suspected dengue or Zika virus disease, nucleic acid amplification tests (NAATs) are the preferred method of diagnosis. Immunoglobulin M (IgM) antibody testing can identify additional infections and remains an important tool for the diagnosis of these diseases, but interpreting the results is complicated by cross-reactivity, and determining the specific timing of infection can be difficult. These limitations are a particular challenge for pregnant women in determining whether Zika virus infection occurred during or before the pregnancy.This report summarizes existing and new guidance on dengue and Zika virus diagnostic testing for patients with a clinically compatible illness who live in or recently traveled to an area where there is risk for infection with both viruses. CDC recommendations for screening of asymptomatic pregnant women with possible Zika virus exposure are unchanged. For symptomatic nonpregnant persons, dengue and Zika virus NAATs should be performed on serum collected ≤7 days after symptom onset. Dengue and Zika virus IgM antibody testing should be performed on NAAT-negative serum specimens or serum collected >7 days after onset of symptoms. For symptomatic pregnant women, serum and urine specimens should be collected as soon as possible within 12 weeks of symptom onset for concurrent dengue and Zika virus NAATs and IgM antibody testing. Positive IgM antibody test results with negative NAAT results should be confirmed by neutralizing antibody tests when clinically or epidemiologically indicated, including for all pregnant women. Data on the epidemiology of viruses known to be circulating at the location of exposure and clinical findings should be considered when deciding which tests to perform and for interpreting results.Patients with clinically suspected dengue should receive appropriate management to monitor and treat shock and hemorrhage. Women with laboratory evidence of possible Zika virus infection during pregnancy and their infants should be evaluated and managed for possible adverse outcomes. Dengue and Zika virus disease are nationally notifiable conditions, and cases should be reported to public health authorities.
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Vírus da Dengue/isolamento & purificação , Dengue/diagnóstico , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina , Infecção por Zika virus/diagnóstico , Zika virus/isolamento & purificação , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. , Coinfecção , Dengue/epidemiologia , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/virologia , Medição de Risco , Doença Relacionada a Viagens , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Dengue is a potentially fatal acute febrile illness caused by any of four mosquito-transmitted dengue viruses (DENV-1 to DENV-4) belonging to the family Flaviviridae and endemic throughout the tropics. Competent mosquito vectors of DENV are present in approximately one half of all U.S. counties. To describe epidemiologic trends in travel-associated and locally acquired dengue cases in the United States, CDC analyzed cases reported from the 50 states and District of Columbia to the national arboviral surveillance system (ArboNET). Cases are confirmed by detection of 1) virus RNA by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) in any body fluid or tissue, 2) DENV antigen in tissue by a validated assay, 3) DENV nonstructural protein 1 (NS1) antigen, or 4) immunoglobulin M (IgM) anti-DENV antibody if the patient did not report travel to an area with other circulating flaviviruses. When travel to an area with other flaviviruses was reported, IgM-positive cases were defined as probable. During 2010-2017, totals of 5,009 (93%) travel-associated and 378 (7%) locally acquired confirmed or probable dengue cases were reported to ArboNET. Cases were equally distributed between males and females, and median age was 41 years. Eighteen (three per 1,000) fatal cases were reported, all among travelers. Travelers should review country-specific recommendations (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices/watch/dengue-asia) for reducing their risk for DENV infection, including using insect repellent and staying in residences with air conditioning or screens on windows and doors.
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Dengue/epidemiologia , Doença Relacionada a Viagens , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Dengue/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Little is known about the prevalence or incidence of Zika virus (ZIKV) infection in settings affected by the 2015-2016 Zika pandemic and associated risk factors. We assessed these factors among household contacts of patients with ZIKV disease enrolled in a cohort study in Puerto Rico during 2016-2017. METHODS: Household contacts of index case patients completed a questionnaire and gave specimens for real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and immunoglobulin M enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay testing to detect ZIKV infection. We measured the prevalence of ZIKV infection among contacts and associated individual and household factors, examined sexual transmission using a sexual-networks approach, and assessed incident infection among initially uninfected household contacts 2-4 months later. RESULTS: Of 366 contacts, 34.4% had evidence of ZIKV infection at enrollment, including 11.2% by RT-PCR. Having open doors and windows that were either screened (prevalence ratio [PR], 2.1 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.2-3.6]) or unscreened (PR, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.5-4.1]) was associated with increased prevalence. Sexual partners were more likely to both be RT-PCR positive relative to other relationships (odds ratio, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.1-4.5]). At follow-up, 6.1% of contacts had evidence of incident infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified sexual contact as a risk factor for ZIKV infection. Persons living with ZIKV-infected individuals should be a focus of public health efforts.
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Características da Família , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Imunoglobulina M , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos , Saúde Pública , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento Sexual , Adulto Jovem , Zika virus/patogenicidadeRESUMO
Zika virus (ZIKV) has recently caused a large epidemic in the Americas that is associated with birth defects. Although ZIKV is primarily transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes, ZIKV RNA is detectable in blood and semen of infected individuals for weeks or months, during which sexual and other modes of transmission are possible. However, viral RNA is usually detectable longer than infectious virus is present. We determined the frequency of isolation of infectious virus from semen and serum samples prospectively obtained from a cohort of patients in Puerto Rico. We confirmed isolation of infectious virus on the basis of a tissue culture cytopathic effect, an increase in virus genome copy equivalents (GCE), and positive results of immunofluorescence analysis; virus in infected cells was quantitated by flow cytometry. These criteria confirmed the presence of infectious virus in semen specimens from 8 of 97 patients for up to 38 days after initial detection when virus loads are >1.4 × 106 genome copy equivalents/mL. Two serum isolates were obtained from 296 patients. These findings can help guide important prevention guidelines for persons that may potentially be infectious and transmit ZIKV sexually.
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RNA Viral/isolamento & purificação , Sêmen/virologia , Infecção por Zika virus/sangue , Zika virus/isolamento & purificação , Animais , Linhagem Celular Tumoral , Chlorocebus aethiops , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Porto Rico , RNA Viral/sangue , Manejo de Espécimes , Células Vero , Carga Viral , Replicação Viral , Zika virus/fisiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The burden of leptospirosis in Puerto Rico remains unclear due to underreporting. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey and rodent trapping was performed in a community within San Juan, Puerto Rico to determine the seroprevalence and risk factors for Leptospira infection. The microscopic agglutination test was used to detect anti-Leptospira antibodies as a marker of previous infection. We evaluated Leptospira carriage by quantitative polymerase chain reaction among rodents trapped at the community site. RESULTS: Of 202 study participants, 55 (27.2%) had Leptospira agglutinating antibodies. Among the 55 seropositive individuals, antibodies were directed most frequently against serogroups Icterohaemorrhagiae (22.0%) and Autumnalis (10.6%). Of 18 captured rodents, 11 (61.1%) carried pathogenic Leptospira (Leptospira borgpetersenii, 7 and Leptospira interrogans, 2). Four participants showed their highest titer against an isolate obtained from a rodent (serogroup Ballum). Increasing household distance to the canal that runs through the community was associated with decreased risk of infection (odds ratio = 0.934 per 10-meter increase; 95% confidence interval, .952-.992). CONCLUSIONS: There are high levels of Leptospira exposure in an urban setting in Puerto Rico, for which rodents may be an important reservoir for transmission. Our findings indicate that prevention should focus on mitigating risk posed by infrastructure deficiencies such as the canal.
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Reservatórios de Doenças , Leptospira interrogans/isolamento & purificação , Leptospira/isolamento & purificação , Leptospirose/epidemiologia , Roedores/microbiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , População Urbana , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Dengue was first reported in Puerto Rico in 1899 and sporadically thereafter. Following outbreaks in 1963 and 1969, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has worked closely with the Puerto Rico Department of Health to monitor and reduce the public health burden of dengue. During that time, evolving epidemiologic scenarios have provided opportunities to establish, improve, and expand disease surveillance and interventional research projects. These initiatives have enriched the tools available to the global public health community to understand and combat dengue, including diagnostic tests, methods for disease and vector surveillance, and vector control techniques. Our review serves as a guide to organizations seeking to establish dengue surveillance and research programs by highlighting accomplishments, challenges, and lessons learned during more than a century of dengue surveillance and research conducted in Puerto Rico.
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Aedes/virologia , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Mosquitos Vetores/virologia , Vigilância da População , Pesquisa , Aedes/fisiologia , Animais , Dengue/patologia , História do Século XIX , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Controle de Mosquitos , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Pesquisa/tendências , Fatores de TempoAssuntos
Colecistite/etiologia , Dengue/diagnóstico , Adulto , Colecistite/diagnóstico , Colecistite/cirurgia , Doenças Transmissíveis Importadas , Cuba , Dengue/complicações , Dengue/epidemiologia , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Evolução Fatal , Feminino , Florida/epidemiologia , Honduras , Humanos , Testes de Função Hepática , RNA Viral/sangue , ViagemRESUMO
Background: During the outbreak of Zika virus (ZIKV) disease in Puerto Rico in 2016, nonpregnant women aged 20-39 years were disproportionately identified with ZIKV disease. We used household-based cluster investigations to determine whether this disparity was associated with age- or sex-dependent differences in the rate of ZIKV infection or reported symptoms. Methods: Participation was offered to residents of households within a 100-m radius of the residences of a convenience sample of 19 laboratory-confirmed ZIKV disease cases. Participants answered a questionnaire and provided specimens for diagnostic testing by reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Results: Among 367 study participants, 114 (31.1%) were laboratory positive for ZIKV infection, of whom 30% reported a recent illness (defined as self-reported rash or arthralgia) attributable to ZIKV infection. Age and sex were not associated with ZIKV infection. Female sex (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR], 2.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.40, 3.67), age <40 years (aPR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.55, 3.70), and asthma (aPR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.12, 2.37) were independently associated with symptomatic infection. Conclusions: Although neither female sex nor age were associated with an increased prevalence of ZIKV infection, both were associated with symptomatic infection. Further investigation to identify a potential mechanism of age- and sex-dependent differences in reporting symptomatic ZIKV infection is warranted.
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Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologia , Zika virus/patogenicidade , Adulto , Idoso , Surtos de Doenças , Características da Família , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , Prevalência , Porto Rico/epidemiologiaRESUMO
A prospective cohort of women with reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) confirmed Zika virus infection aged 18-39 years in Puerto Rico found that pregnant women have about a 3-fold longer estimated median detection of Zika virus RNA in serum, which can increase definitive diagnosis of infection and facilitate timely and appropriate clinical management.
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Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/virologia , RNA Viral/sangue , Infecção por Zika virus/diagnóstico , Zika virus/isolamento & purificação , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Gestantes , Estudos Prospectivos , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Postmortem examination results of a patient with Guillain-Barré syndrome and confirmed Zika virus infection revealed demyelination of the sciatic and cranial IV nerves, providing evidence of the acute demyelinating inflammatory polyneuropathy Guillain-Barré syndrome variant. Lack of evidence of Zika virus in nervous tissue suggests that pathophysiology was antibody mediated without neurotropism.
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Autopsia , Coinfecção/virologia , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/complicações , Infecção por Zika virus/complicações , Idoso , Coinfecção/patologia , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/patologia , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/virologia , Humanos , Masculino , Porto Rico , Infecção por Zika virus/patologia , Infecção por Zika virus/virologiaRESUMO
The U.S. territory of American Samoa has experienced recent outbreaks of illnesses caused by viruses transmitted by Aedes species mosquitoes, including dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus. In November 2016, a traveler from the Solomon Islands tested positive for infection with dengue virus type 2 (DENV-2). Additional dengue cases were identified in the subsequent weeks through passive and active surveillance. Suspected dengue cases were tested locally with a dengue rapid diagnostic test (RDT) for DENV nonstructural protein 1 (NS1). Specimens from RDT-positive cases and patients meeting the dengue case definition were tested by real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (real-time RT-PCR) at Hawaii State Laboratories. During November 2016-October 2018, a total of 3,240 patients were tested for evidence of DENV infection (118 by RDT-NS1 alone, 1,089 by real-time RT-PCR alone, and 2,033 by both methods), 1,081 (33.4%) of whom tested positive for dengue (19.5 per 1,000 population). All 941 real-time RT-PCR-positive specimens were positive for DENV-2. The monthly number of laboratory-confirmed cases peaked at 120 during December 2017. Among laboratory-confirmed dengue cases, 380 (35.2%) patients were hospitalized; one patient, who was transferred to American Samoa for care late in his illness, died. The public health response to this outbreak included disposal of solid waste to remove mosquito breeding sites, indoor residual spraying of pesticides in schools, reinforcement of dengue patient management education, and public education on mosquito avoidance and seeking medical care for symptoms of dengue.
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Vírus da Dengue/isolamento & purificação , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/virologia , Surtos de Doenças , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Samoa Americana/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Vírus da Dengue/classificação , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) is an uncommon autoimmune disorder that follows infection or vaccination, and increased incidence has been reported during Zika virus (ZIKV) transmission. During the 2016 ZIKV epidemic, the Puerto Rico Department of Health (PRDH) implemented the Enhanced GBS Surveillance System (EGBSSS). Here, we describe EGBSSS implementation and evaluate completeness, validity, and timeliness. METHODS: GBS cases were identified using passive surveillance and discharge diagnostic code for GBS. Completeness was evaluated by capture-recapture methods. Sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) for confirmed GBS cases were calculated for both case identification methods. Median time to completion of key time steps were compared by quarter (Q1-4) and hospital size. RESULTS: A total of 122 confirmed GBS cases with onset of neurologic illness in 2016 were identified. Capture-recapture methodology estimated that four confirmed GBS cases were missed by both identification methods. Identification of cases by diagnostic code had a higher sensitivity than passive surveillance (89% vs. 80%), but a lower PPV (60% vs. 72%). There was a significant decrease from Q1 to Q3 in median time from hospital admission to case reporting (11 days vs. 2 days, p = 0.032) and from Q2 to Q3 in median time from specimen receipt to arbovirus laboratory test reporting (35 days vs. 26 days, p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: EGBSSS provided complete, valid, and increasingly timely surveillance data, which guided public health action and supported healthcare providers during the ZIKV epidemic. This evaluation provides programmatic lessons for GBS surveillance and emergency response surveillance.
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Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População/métodos , Saúde Pública , Infecção por Zika virus/epidemiologia , Epidemias , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/virologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Porto Rico/epidemiologia , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
To assist with public health preparedness activities, we estimated the number of expected cases of Zika virus in Puerto Rico and associated healthcare needs. Estimated annual incidence is 3.2-5.1 times the baseline, and long-term care needs are predicted to be 3-5 times greater than in years with no Zika virus.