Longitudinal Risk Management for Patients with Increased Risk for Breast Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to characterize longitudinal care management and evaluate the relationship between various patient factors and the likelihood of choosing risk-reducing behaviors in women with increased risk of developing breast cancer. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted to evaluate all adult female patients who had at least one clinic visit with a surgical provider for discussion of breast cancer risk assessment between January, 2017 to July, 2020 at an academic center. Patients with prior history of breast cancer were excluded. Patient details and strategies pursued at clinic visits were recorded. A time-to-event analysis was performed, and hazard ratios were determined to characterize associations between patient characteristics and time to pursuing risk-reducing care management. RESULTS: There were 283 participants with at least one follow-up visit and 48 (17.0%) ultimately changed their initial strategy to either chemoprevention or prophylactic mastectomy. Patients with gene mutations were 6 times more likely to engage in risk-reducing management compared to those without (hazard ratio (HR) 5.99, P < 0.001). Those with histories of high-risk proliferative changes (HR 7.62, P < 0.001) and hysterectomy (HR 2.99, P = 0.019) were also more likely to engage in risk-reducing management. Age, race, and increased predicted risk of developing breast cancer (estimated by various calculators) were not associated with increased likelihood of engaging in risk-reducing strategies. CONCLUSION: Known gene mutations, history of high-risk proliferative changes, and prior hysterectomy were factors associated with women who were more likely to engage in risk-reducing strategies. These findings, when paired with patient reported outcome measures, may help guide shared decision-making.

The Accuracy of Interqual Criteria in Determining the Observation versus Inpatient Status in Older Adults with Syncope.

BACKGROUND: McKesson's InterQual criteria are widely used in hospitals to determine if patients should be classified as observation or inpatient status, but the accuracy of the criteria is unknown. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine whether InterQual criteria accurately predicted length of stay (LOS) in older patients with syncope. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of a cohort study of adults ≥60 years of age who had syncope. We calculated InterQual criteria and classified the patient as observation or inpatient status. Outcomes were whether LOS were less than or greater than 2 midnights. RESULTS: We analyzed 2361 patients; 1227 (52.0%) patients were male and 1945 (82.8%) were white, with a mean age of 73.2 ± 9.0 years. The median LOS was 32.6 h (interquartile range 24.2-71.8). The sensitivity of InterQual criteria for LOS was 60.8% (95% confidence interval 57.9-63.6%) and the specificity was 47.8% (95% confidence interval 45.0-50.5%). CONCLUSIONS: In older adults with syncope, those who met InterQual criteria for inpatient status had longer LOS compared with those who did not; however, the accuracy of the criteria to predict length of stay over 2 days is poor, with a sensitivity of 60% and a specificity of 48%. Future research should identify criteria to improve LOS prediction.

Comparison of 30-Day Serious Adverse Clinical Events for Elderly Patients Presenting to the Emergency Department With Near-Syncope Versus Syncope.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Controversy remains in regard to the risk of adverse events for patients presenting with syncope compared with near-syncope. The purpose of our study is to describe the difference in outcomes between these groups in a large multicenter cohort of older emergency department (ED) patients. METHODS: From April 28, 2013, to September 21, 2016, we conducted a prospective, observational study across 11 EDs in adults (≥60 years) with syncope or near-syncope. A standardized data extraction tool was used to collect information during their index visit and at 30-day follow-up. Our primary outcome was the incidence of 30-day death or serious clinical events. Data were analyzed with descriptive statistics and multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusting for relevant demographic or historical variables. RESULTS: A total of 3,581 patients (mean age 72.8 years; 51.6% men) were enrolled in the study. There were 1,380 patients (39%) presenting with near-syncope and 2,201 (61%) presenting with syncope. Baseline characteristics revealed a greater incidence of congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, previous arrhythmia, nonwhite race, and presenting dyspnea in the near-syncope compared with syncope cohort. There were no differences in the primary outcome between the groups (near-syncope 18.7% versus syncope 18.2%). A multivariate logistic regression analysis identified no difference in 30-day serious outcomes for patients with near-syncope (odds ratio 0.94; 95% confidence interval 0.78 to 1.14) compared with syncope. CONCLUSION: Near-syncope confers risk to patients similar to that of syncope for the composite outcome of 30-day death or serious clinical event.

Clinical Benefit of Hospitalization for Older Adults With Unexplained Syncope: A Propensity-Matched Analysis.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Many adults with syncope are hospitalized solely for observation and testing. We seek to determine whether hospitalization versus outpatient management for older adults with unexplained syncope is associated with a reduction in postdisposition serious adverse events at 30 days. METHODS: We performed a propensity score analysis using data from a prospective, observational study of older adults with unexplained syncope or near syncope who presented to 11 emergency departments (EDs) in the United States. We enrolled adults (≥60 years) who presented with syncope or near syncope. We excluded patients with a serious diagnosis identified in the ED. Clinical and laboratory data were collected on all patients. The primary outcome was rate of post-ED serious adverse events at 30 days. RESULTS: We enrolled 2,492 older adults with syncope and no serious ED diagnosis from April 2013 to September 2016. Mean age was 73 years (SD 8.9 years), and 51% were women. The incidence of serious adverse events within 30 days after the index visit was 7.4% for hospitalized patients and 3.19% for discharged patients, representing an unadjusted difference of 4.2% (95% confidence interval 2.38% to 6.02%). After propensity score matching on risk of hospitalization, there was no statistically significant difference in serious adverse events at 30 days between the hospitalized group (4.89%) and the discharged group (2.82%) (risk difference 2.07%; 95% confidence interval -0.24% to 4.38%). CONCLUSION: In our propensity-matched sample of older adults with unexplained syncope, for those with clinical characteristics similar to that of the discharged cohort, hospitalization was not associated with improvement in 30-day serious adverse event rates.

Upper airway reconstruction using long-range optical coherence tomography: Effects of airway curvature on airflow resistance.

OBJECTIVES: Adenotonsillectomy (AT) is commonly used to treat upper airway obstruction in children, but selection of patients who will benefit most from AT is challenging. The need for diagnostic evaluation tools without sedation, radiation, or high costs has motivated the development of long-range optical coherence tomography (LR-OCT), providing real-time cross-sectional airway imaging during endoscopy. Since the endoscope channel location is not tracked in conventional LR-OCT, airway curvature must be estimated and may affect predicted airway resistance. The study objective was to assess effects of three realistic airway curvatures on predicted airway resistance using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) in LR-OCT reconstructions of the upper airways of pediatric patients, before and after AT. METHODS: Eight subjects (five males, three females, aged 4-9 years) were imaged using LR-OCT before and after AT during sedated endoscopy. Three-dimensional (3D) airway reconstructions included three airway curvatures. Steady-state, inspiratory airflow simulations were conducted under laminar conditions, along with turbulent simulations for one subject using the k-ω turbulence model. Airway resistance (pressure drop/flow) was compared using two-tailed Wilcoxon signed rank tests. RESULTS: Regardless of the airway curvatures, CFD findings corroborate a surgical end-goal with computed post-operative airway resistance significantly less than pre-operative (P < 0.01). The individual resistances did not vary significantly for different airway curvatures (P > 0.25). Resistances computed using turbulent simulations differed from laminar results by less than ∼5%. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that reconstruction of the upper airways from LR-OCT imaging data may not need to account for airway curvature to be predictive of surgical effects on airway resistance. Lasers Surg. Med. 51:150-160, 2019. © 2018 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Orthostatic vital signs do not predict 30 day serious outcomes in older emergency department patients with syncope: A multicenter observational study.

BACKGROUND: Syncope is a common chief complaint among older adults in the Emergency Department (ED), and orthostatic vital signs are often a part of their evaluation. We assessed whether abnormal orthostatic vital signs in the ED are associated with composite 30-day serious outcomes in older adults presenting with syncope. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a prospective, observational study at 11 EDs in adults ≥ 60 years who presented with syncope or near syncope. We excluded patients lost to follow up. We used the standard definition of abnormal orthostatic vital signs or subjective symptoms of lightheadedness upon standing to define orthostasis. We determined the rate of composite 30-day serious outcomes, including those during the index ED visit, such as cardiac arrhythmias, myocardial infarction, cardiac intervention, new diagnosis of structural heart disease, stroke, pulmonary embolism, aortic dissection, subarachnoid hemorrhage, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, hemorrhage/anemia requiring transfusion, with major traumatic injury from fall, recurrent syncope, and death) between the groups with normal and abnormal orthostatic vital signs. RESULTS: The study cohort included 1974 patients, of whom 51.2% were male and 725 patients (37.7%) had abnormal orthostatic vital signs. Comparing those with abnormal to those with normal orthostatic vital signs, we did not find a difference in composite 30-serious outcomes (111/725 (15.3%) vs 184/1249 (14.7%); unadjusted odds ratio, 1.05 [95%CI, 0.81-1.35], p = 0.73). After adjustment for gender, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure (CHF), history of arrhythmia, dyspnea, hypotension, any abnormal ECG, physician risk assessment, medication classes and disposition, there was no association with composite 30-serious outcomes (adjusted odds ratio, 0.82 [95%CI, 0.62-1.09], p = 0.18). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of older adult patients presenting with syncope who were able to have orthostatic vital signs evaluated, abnormal orthostatic vital signs did not independently predict composite 30-day serious outcomes.

QTc prolongation as a marker of 30-day serious outcomes in older patients with syncope presenting to the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND: Syncope is a common chief complaint in the ED, and the electrocardiogram (ECG) is a routine diagnostic tool in the evaluation of syncope. We assessed whether increasingly prolonged QTc intervals are associated with composite 30-day serious outcomes in older adults presenting to the ED with syncope. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a prospective, observational study at 11 EDs in adults 60 years or older who presented with syncope or near syncope. We excluded patients presenting without an ECG, measurement of QTc, non-sinus rhythm, bundle branch block or those without 30-day follow-up. We categorized QTc cutoffs into values of <451; 451-470; 471-500, and >500 ms. We determined the rate of composite 30-day serious outcomes including ED serious outcomes and 30-day arrhythmias not identified in ED. RESULTS: The study cohort included 2609 patients. There were 1678 patients (64.3%) that had QTc intervals <451 ms; 544 (20.8%) were 451-470 ms; 302 (11.6%) were 471-500 ms, and 85 (3.3%) had intervals >500 ms. Composite 30-day serious outcomes was associated with increasingly prolonged QTc intervals (13.0%, 15.3%, 18.2%, 22.4%, p = 0.01), but this association did not persist in multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort of older patients presenting with syncope, increased QTc interval was a marker of but was not independently predictive of composite 30-day serious outcomes.

Recurrent syncope is not an independent risk predictor for future syncopal events or adverse outcomes.

Almost 20% of patients with syncope will experience another event. It is unknown whether recurrent syncope is a marker for a higher or lower risk etiology of syncope. The goal of this study is to determine whether older adults with recurrent syncope have a higher likelihood of 30-day serious clinical events than patients experiencing their first episode. METHODS: This study is a pre-specified secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective, observational study conducted at 11 emergency departments in the US. Adults 60 years or older who presented with syncope or near syncope were enrolled. The primary outcome was occurrence of 30-day serious outcome. The secondary outcome was 30-day serious cardiac arrhythmia. In multivariate analysis, we assessed whether prior syncope was an independent predictor of 30-day serious events. RESULTS: The study cohort included 3580 patients: 1281 (35.8%) had prior syncope and 2299 (64.2%) were presenting with first episode of syncope. 498 (13.9%) patients had 1 prior episode while 771 (21.5%) had >1 prior episode. Those with recurrent syncope were more likely to have congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, previous diagnosis of arrhythmia, and an abnormal ECG. Overall, 657 (18.4%) of the cohort had a serious outcome by 30 days after index ED visit. In multivariate analysis, we found no significant difference in risk of events (adjusted odds ratio 1.09; 95% confidence interval 0.90-1.31; p = 0.387). CONCLUSION: In older adults with syncope, a prior history of syncope within the year does not increase the risk for serious 30-day events.

Long-Range Optical Coherence Tomography of the Neonatal Upper Airway for Early Diagnosis of Intubation-related Subglottic Injury.

RATIONALE: Subglottic edema and acquired subglottic stenosis are potentially airway-compromising sequelae in neonates following endotracheal intubation. At present, no imaging modality is capable of in vivo diagnosis of subepithelial airway wall pathology as signs of intubation-related injury. OBJECTIVES: To use Fourier domain long-range optical coherence tomography (LR-OCT) to acquire micrometer-resolution images of the airway wall of intubated neonates in a neonatal intensive care unit setting and to analyze images for histopathology and airway wall thickness. METHODS: LR-OCT of the neonatal laryngotracheal airway was performed a total of 94 times on 72 subjects (age, 1-175 d; total intubation, 1-104 d). LR-OCT images of the airway wall were analyzed in MATLAB. Medical records were reviewed retrospectively for extubation outcome. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Backward stepwise regression analysis demonstrated a statistically significant association between log(duration of intubation) and both laryngeal (P < 0.001; multiple r(2) = 0.44) and subglottic (P < 0.001; multiple r(2) = 0.55) airway wall thickness. Subjects with positive histopathology on LR-OCT images had a higher likelihood of extubation failure (odds ratio, 5.9; P = 0.007). Longer intubation time was found to be significantly associated with extubation failure. CONCLUSIONS: LR-OCT allows for high-resolution evaluation and measurement of the airway wall in intubated neonates. Our data demonstrate a positive correlation between laryngeal and subglottic wall thickness and duration of intubation, suggestive of progressive soft tissue injury. LR-OCT may ultimately aid in the early diagnosis of postintubation subglottic injury and help reduce the incidences of failed extubation caused by subglottic edema or acquired subglottic stenosis in neonates. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT 00544427).

Detecting Fast Progressors: Comparing a Bayesian Longitudinal Model to Linear Regression for Detecting Structural Changes in Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: Demonstrate that a novel Bayesian hierarchical spatial longitudinal (HSL) model identifies macular superpixels with rapidly deteriorating ganglion cell complex (GCC) thickness more efficiently than simple linear regression (SLR). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Tertiary Glaucoma Center. SUBJECTS: One hundred eleven eyes (111 patients) with moderate to severe glaucoma at baseline and ≥4 macular optical coherence tomography scans and ≥2 years of follow-up. OBSERVATION PROCEDURE: Superpixel-patient-specific GCC slopes and their posterior variances in 49 superpixels were derived from our latest Bayesian HSL model and Bayesian SLR. A simulation cohort was created with known intercepts, slopes, and residual variances in individual superpixels. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We compared HSL and SLR in the fastest progressing deciles on (1) proportion of superpixels identified as significantly progressing in the simulation study and compared to SLR slopes in cohort data; (2) root mean square error (RMSE), and SLR/HSL RMSE ratios. RESULTS: Cohort- In the fastest decile of slopes per SLR, 77% and 80% of superpixels progressed significantly according to SLR and HSL, respectively. The SLR/HSL posterior SD ratio had a median of 1.83, with 90% of ratios favoring HSL. Simulation- HSL identified 89% significant negative slopes in the fastest progressing decile vs 64% for SLR. SLR/HSL RMSE ratio was 1.36 for the fastest decile of slopes, with 83% of RMSE ratios favoring HSL. CONCLUSION: The Bayesian HSL model improves the estimation efficiency of local GCC rates of change regardless of underlying true rates of change, particularly in fast progressors.

Comparison of Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer and Ganglion Cell Complex Rates of Change in Patients with Moderate to Advanced Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To compare ganglion cell complex (GCC) and retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) rates of change (RoC) in eyes with central or moderate to advanced glaucoma. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: 918 matched macular and RNFL OCT scan pairs from 109 eyes (109 patients) enrolled in the Advanced Glaucoma Progression Study with ≥2 years of follow-up and ≥4 OCT scans. METHODS: We exported GCC and RNFL thickness measurements in 49 central macular superpixels and 12 RNFL clock-hour sectors, respectively. We applied our latest Bayesian hierarchical longitudinal model to estimate population and subject-specific baseline thickness (intercepts) and rates of change (RoC) in macular superpixels and RNFL sectors. Global RNFL and GCC RoC were analyzed in a single bivariate longitudinal model to properly compare them accounting for the correlation between their RoC. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportion of significant negative (deteriorating) and positive (improving) RoC expressed in µm/year. Standardized RoC were calculated by dividing RoC by the corresponding population SD. Analyses were repeated in eyes with visual field mean deviation (MD) ≤-6 and >-6 dB. RESULTS: Average (SD) 24-2 visual field MD and follow-up length were -8.6 (6.3) dB and 4.2 (0.5) years, respectively. Global RNFL RoC (-0.70 µm/year) were faster than GCC (-0.44 µm/year) (p<.001); corresponding normalized RoC were not significantly different (p=0.052). In bivariate analysis, patients with a significant negative global RNFL RoC (n=63, 57%) or GCC (n=56, 51%) frequently did so for both outcomes (n=49, 45%). The average proportion of significantly decreasing RNFL sectors within an eye was 30.7% in eyes with MD >-6 dB compared to 20.5% in those with MD ≤-6 dB (p=0.014); the proportions for GCC superpixels were 21.1% vs. 18.7%, respectively (p=0.63). CONCLUSIONS: Both GCC and RNFL measures can detect structural progression in glaucoma patients with central damage or moderate to advanced glaucoma. The clinical utility of RNFL imaging decreases with worsening severity of glaucoma.

A Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial Longitudinal Model Improves Estimation of Local Macular Rates of Change in Glaucomatous Eyes.

Purpose: Demonstrate that a novel Bayesian hierarchical spatial longitudinal (HSL) model improves estimation of local macular ganglion cell complex (GCC) rates of change compared to simple linear regression (SLR) and a conditional autoregressive (CAR) model. Methods: We analyzed GCC thickness measurements within 49 macular superpixels in 111 eyes (111 patients) with four or more macular optical coherence tomography scans and two or more years of follow-up. We compared superpixel-patient-specific estimates and their posterior variances derived from the latest version of a recently developed Bayesian HSL model, CAR, and SLR. We performed a simulation study to compare the accuracy of intercept and slope estimates in individual superpixels. Results: HSL identified a significantly higher proportion of significant negative slopes in 13/49 superpixels and a significantly lower proportion of significant positive slopes in 21/49 superpixels than SLR. In the simulation study, the median (tenth, ninetieth percentile) ratio of mean squared error of SLR [CAR] over HSL for intercepts and slopes were 1.91 (1.23, 2.75) [1.51 (1.05, 2.20)] and 3.25 (1.40, 10.14) [2.36 (1.17, 5.56)], respectively. Conclusions: A novel Bayesian HSL model improves estimation accuracy of patient-specific local GCC rates of change. The proposed model is more than twice as efficient as SLR for estimating superpixel-patient slopes and identifies a higher proportion of deteriorating superpixels than SLR while minimizing false-positive detection rates. Translational Relevance: The proposed HSL model can be used to model macular structural measurements to detect individual glaucoma progression earlier and more efficiently in clinical and research settings.

Long-range optical coherence tomography of pediatric airway during drug induced sleep endoscopy: A preliminary report.

OBJECTIVE: Drug induced sleep endoscopy (DISE) is often performed for pediatric obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) when initial diagnostic studies do not provide adequate information for therapy. However, DISE scoring is subjective and with limitations. This proof-of-concept study demonstrates the use of a novel long-range optical coherence tomography (LR-OCT) system during DISE of two pediatric patients. METHODS: LR-OCT was used to visualize the airway of pediatric patients during DISE. At the conclusion of DISE, the OCT probe was guided in the airway under endoscopic visual guidance, and cross-sectional images were acquired at the four VOTE locations. Data processing involved image resizing and alignment, followed by rendering of three-dimensional (3D) volumetric models of the airways. RESULTS: Two patients were included in this study. Patient one had 18.4%, 20.9%, 72.3%, and 97.3% maximal obstruction at velum, oropharynx, tongue base, and epiglottis, while patient two had 40.2%, 41.4%, 8.0%, and 17.5% maximal obstruction at these regions, respectively. Three-dimensional reconstructions of patients' airways were also constructed from the OCT images. CONCLUSION: This proof-of-concept study demonstrates the successful evaluation of pediatric airway during DISE using LR-OCT, which accurately identified sites and degrees of obstruction with respective 3D airway reconstruction.

Comparison of Ganglion Cell Layer and Inner Plexiform Layer Rates of Change in Suspected and Established Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: We compared ganglion cell layer (GCL) and inner plexiform layer (IPL) rates of change (RoC) in patients with glaucoma suspect (GS) and established glaucoma (EG) to test the hypothesis that IPL thickness changes would occur earlier than GCL changes in eyes with early damage. DESIGN: Prospective, cohort study. METHODS: A total of 64 GS eyes (46 patients) and 112 EG eyes (112 patients) with ≥2 years of follow-up and ≥3 macular optical coherence tomography scans were included. GCL and IPL superpixel thickness measurements were exported. A Bayesian hierarchical model with random intercepts/slopes and random residual variances was fitted to estimate RoC in individual superpixels. Normalized RoC and proportions of superpixels with significantly negative and positive GCL and IPL RoC were compared within the groups. RESULTS: The average (SD) follow-up time and number of scans were 3.5 (0.7) years and 4.2 (1.0), respectively, in the GS group and 3.6 (0.4) years and 7.3 (1.1) in the EG group. Mean (SD) normalized RoC was faster for GCL than IPL (-0.69 [0.05] vs -0.33 [0.04]) in the GS group, whereas it was faster for IPL (-0.47 [0.03] vs -0.28 [0.02]) in EG eyes. GCL RoC were significantly negative in 24 of 36 superpixels compared with 8 of 36 for IPL (P < .001) in GS eyes. In the EG group, 23 of 36 superpixels had significant negative IPL RoC compared with 13 of 36 superpixels for GCL (P = .006). CONCLUSIONS: GCL thickness is more likely to demonstrate change over time compared with IPL in glaucoma suspects. There is no evidence of preferential IPL thinning in eyes with suspected early glaucoma damage.

Comparing Rates of Change in Moderate to Advanced Glaucoma: Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer Versus Bruch Membrane Opening-Minimum Rim Width.

PURPOSE: To compare rates of change (RoC) of peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) and Bruch membrane opening-based minimum rim width (BMO-MRW) thickness in moderate-to-advanced glaucoma. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. METHODS: Longitudinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) optic nerve head volume scans of 113 eyes of 113 glaucoma patients with moderate-to-advanced or central damage were exported. This study estimated and compared global and sectoral RoC with linear mixed effects models and simple linear regression (SLR) of RNFL and BMO-MRW thickness. Permutation analyses were used to test significance of RoC in the SLR model. It also compared longitudinal signal-to-noise ratios (LSNR) defined as RoC divided by residual standard deviation (SD) between the two groups. RESULTS: Mean (SD) follow-up and median (IQR) OCT scan sessions were 5.2 (1.3) years and 10 (8-11), respectively. Baseline average (SD) visual field mean deviation was -9.2 (5.8) dB. Based on SLR, a higher proportion of significant negative RNFL RoC was observed compared to BMO-MRW in the inferotemporal (35% vs 20%; P = .015) and inferonasal (42% vs 17%; P < .001) sectors. Permutation analyses also demonstrated a higher proportion of worsening RNFL RoC than BMO-MRW in the inferotemporal (P = .026) and inferonasal (P < .001) sectors along with overall lower positive RoC. Longitudinal signal-to-noise ratios for RNFL were significantly more negative than for BMO-MRW globally, and in the inferotemporal, inferonasal, and superonasal sectors (P ≤ .01). CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal RNFL OCT measurements are more likely to detect structural change and demonstrate better LSNR compared with BMO-MRW in eyes with central or moderate-to-advanced glaucoma damage at baseline.

Association of Blood Pressure With Rates of Macular Ganglion Cell Complex Thinning in Patients With Glaucoma.

Importance: There are scarce data on the association of blood pressure measures with subsequent macular structural rates of change in patients with glaucoma. Objective: To investigate the association of baseline blood pressure measures with rates of change of the macular ganglion cell complex in patients with central or moderate to advanced glaucoma damage at baseline. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study, conducted from August 2021 to August 2022, used data from patients in the Advanced Glaucoma Progression Study at the University of California, Los Angeles. Participants were between 39 and 80 years of age and had more than 4 macular imaging tests and 2 or more years of follow-up. Exposures: A diagnosis of glaucoma with either central damage or a visual field mean deviation worse than -6 dB. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the association of blood pressure measures with ganglion cell complex rates of change. Macular ganglion cell complex thickness rates of change were estimated with a bayesian hierarchical model. This model included relevant demographic and clinical factors. Blood pressure measures, intraocular pressure, and their interactions were added to the model to assess the association of baseline blood pressure measures with global ganglion cell complex rates of change. Results: The cohort included 105 eyes from 105 participants. The mean (SD) age, 10-2 visual field mean deviation, and follow-up time were 66.9 (8.5) years, -8.3 (5.3) dB, and 3.6 (0.4) years, respectively, and 67 patients (63.8%) were female. The racial and ethnic makeup of the cohort was 15 African American (14.3%), 23 Asian (21.9%), 12 Hispanic (11.4%), and 55 White (52.4%) individuals based on patient self-report. In multivariable analyses, female sex, history of taking blood pressure medications, higher intraocular pressure, thicker central corneal thickness, shorter axial length, higher contrast sensitivity at 12 cycles per degree, and higher baseline 10-2 visual field mean deviation were associated with faster ganglion cell complex thinning. Lower diastolic blood pressure was associated with faster rates of ganglion cell complex thinning at higher intraocular pressures. For intraocular pressures of 8 and of 16 mm Hg (10% and 90% quantiles, respectively), every 10 mm Hg-lower increment of diastolic blood pressure was associated with 0.011 µm/y slower and -0.130 µm/y faster rates of ganglion cell complex thinning, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, a combination of lower diastolic blood pressure and higher intraocular pressure at baseline was associated with faster rates of ganglion cell complex thinning. These findings support consideration of evaluating and addressing diastolic blood pressure as a therapeutic measure in patients with glaucoma if supported by appropriate clinical trials.

Multivariate Longitudinal Modeling of Macular Ganglion Cell Complex: Spatiotemporal Correlations and Patterns of Longitudinal Change.

Purpose: To investigate spatiotemporal correlations among ganglion cell complex (GCC) superpixel thickness measurements and explore underlying patterns of longitudinal change across the macular region. Design: Longitudinal cohort study. Subjects: One hundred eleven eyes from 111 subjects from the Advanced Glaucoma Progression Study with ≥ 4 visits and ≥ 2 years of follow-up. Methods: We further developed our proposed Bayesian hierarchical model for studying longitudinal GCC thickness changes across macular superpixels in a cohort of glaucoma patients. Global priors were introduced for macular superpixel parameters to combine data across superpixels and better estimate population slopes and intercepts. Main Outcome Measures: Bayesian residual analysis to inspect cross-superpixel correlations for subject random effects and residuals. Principal component analysis (PCA) to explore underlying patterns of longitudinal macular change. Results: Average (standard deviation [SD]) follow-up and baseline 10-2 visual field mean deviation were 3.6 (0.4) years and -8.9 (5.9) dB, respectively. Superpixel-level random effects and residuals had the greatest correlations with nearest neighbors; correlations were higher in the superior than in the inferior region and strongest among random intercepts, followed by random slopes, residuals, and residual SDs. PCA of random intercepts showed a first large principal component (PC) across superpixels that approximated a global intercept, a second PC that contrasted the superior and inferior macula, and a third PC, contrasting inner and nasal superpixels with temporal and peripheral superpixels. PCs for slopes, residual SDs, and residuals were remarkably similar to those of random intercepts. Conclusions: Introduction of cross-superpixel random intercepts and slopes is expected to improve estimation of population and subject parameters. Further model enhancement may be possible by including cross-superpixel random effects and correlations to address spatiotemporal relationships in longitudinal data sets.

Ganglion Cell Complex: The Optimal Measure for Detection of Structural Progression in the Macula.

PURPOSE: To test the hypothesis that macular ganglion cell complex (GCC) thickness from optical coherence tomography (OCT) provides a stronger change signal regardless of glaucoma severity compared with other macular measures. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. METHODS: Eyes were from 112 patients with moderate to severe glaucoma at baseline from a tertiary glaucoma center. In each 3° × 3° macular superpixel, a hierarchical Bayesian random intercept and slope model with random residual variance was fit to longitudinal full macular thickness (FMT), outer retina layers, GCC, ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (GCIPL), and ganglion cell layer (GCL) measurements. We estimated population- and individual-level slopes and intercepts. Proportions of substantial worsening and improving superpixel slopes were compared between layers and in superpixels with mild to moderate vs severe damage (total deviation of corresponding visual field location ≥ -8 vs < -8 dB). RESULTS: Mean (SD) follow-up time and baseline 10-2 visual field mean deviation were 3.6 (0.4) years and -8.9 (5.9) dB, respectively. FMT displayed the highest proportion of significant negative slopes (1932/3519 [54.9%]), followed by GCC (1286/3519 [36.5%]), outer retina layers (1254/3519 [35.6%]), (GCIPL) (1075/3518 [30.6%]), and (GCL) (698/3518 [19.8%]). Inner macular measures detected less worsening in the severe glaucoma group; yet GCC (223/985 [22.6%]) identified the highest proportion (GCIPL: 183/985 [18.6%]; GCL: 106/985 [10.8%]). Proportions of positive rates were small and comparable among all measures. CONCLUSIONS: GCC is the optimal macular measure for detection of structural change in eyes with moderate to severe glaucoma. Although a higher proportion of worsening superpixels was observed for FMT, a large portion of FMT change could be attributed to changes in outer retina layers.

Association of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Diagnoses With Pediatric Traumatic Brain Injury: A Meta-analysis.

Importance: There are conflicting accounts about the risk for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) following traumatic brain injury (TBI), possibly owing to variations between studies in acute TBI severity or when ADHD was assessed postinjury. Analysis of these variations may aid in identifying the risk. Objective: To conduct a meta-analysis of studies assessing ADHD diagnoses in children between ages 4 and 18 years following concussions and mild, moderate, or severe TBI. Data Sources: PubMed, PsycInfo, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (1981-December 19, 2019) were searched including the terms traumatic brain injury, brain injuries, closed head injury, blunt head trauma, concussion, attention deficit disorders, ADHD, and ADD in combination with childhood, adolescence, pediatric, infant, child, young adult, or teen. Study Selection: Limited to English-language publications in peer-reviewed journals and patient age (4-18 years). Differences about inclusion were resolved through consensus of 3 authors. Data Extraction and Synthesis: MOOSE guidelines for abstracting and assessing data quality and validity were used. Odds ratios with 95% credible intervals (CrIs) are reported. Main Outcomes and Measures: The planned study outcome was rate of ADHD diagnoses. Results: A total of 12 374 unique patients with TBI of all severity levels and 43 491 unique controls were included in the 24 studies in this review (predominantly male: TBI, 61.8%; noninjury control, 60.9%; other injury control, 66.1%). The rate of pre-TBI ADHD diagnoses was 16.0% (95% CrI, 11.3%-21.7%), which was significantly greater than the 10.8% (95% CrI, 10.2%-11.4%) incidence of ADHD in the general pediatric population. Compared with children without injuries, the odds for ADHD were not significantly increased following concussion (≤1 year: OR, 0.32; 95% CrI, 0.05-1.13), mild TBI (≤1 year: OR, 0.56; 0.16-1.43; >1 year: OR, 1.07; 95% CrI, 0.35-2.48), and moderate TBI (≤1 year: OR, 1.28; 95% CrI, 0.35-3.34; >1 year: OR, 3.67; 95% CrI, 0.83-10.56). The odds for ADHD also were not significantly increased compared with children with other injuries following mild TBI (≤1 year: OR, 1.07; 95% CrI, 0.33-2.47; >1 year: OR, 1.18; 95% CrI, 0.32-3.12) and moderate TBI (≤1 year: OR, 2.34; 95% CrI, 0.78-5.47; >1 year: OR, 3.78; 95% CrI, 0.93-10.33). In contrast, the odds for ADHD following severe TBI were increased at both time points following TBI compared with children with other injuries (≤1 year: OR, 4.81; 95% CrI, 1.66-11.03; >1 year: OR, 6.70; 95% CrI, 2.02-16.82) and noninjured controls (≤1 year: OR, 2.62; 95% CrI, 0.76-6.64; >1 year: OR, 6.25; 95% CrI, 2.06-15.06), as well as those with mild TBI (≤1 year OR, 5.69; 1.46-15.67: >1 year OR, 6.65; 2.14-16.44). Of 5920 children with severe TBI, 35.5% (95% CrI, 20.6%-53.2%) had ADHD more than 1 year postinjury. Conclusions and Relevance: This study noted a significant association between TBI severity and ADHD diagnosis. In children with severe but not mild and moderate TBI, there was an association with an increase in risk for ADHD. The high rate of preinjury ADHD in children with TBI suggests that clinicians should carefully review functioning before a TBI before initiating treatment.

Estimating Ganglion Cell Complex Rates of Change With Bayesian Hierarchical Models.

Purpose: Develop a hierarchical longitudinal regression model for estimating local rates of change of macular ganglion cell complex (GCC) measurements with optical coherence tomography (OCT). Methods: We enrolled 112 eyes with four or more macular OCT images and ≥2 years of follow-up. GCC thickness measurements within central 6 × 6 superpixels were extracted from macular volume scans. We fit data from each superpixel separately with several hierarchical Bayesian random-effects models. Models were compared with the Watanabe-Akaike information criterion. For our preferred model, we estimated population and individual slopes and intercepts (baseline thickness) and their correlation. Results: Mean (SD) follow-up time and median (interquartile range) baseline 24-2 visual field mean deviation were 3.6 (0.4) years and -6.8 (-12.2 to -4.3) dB, respectively. The random intercepts and slopes model with random residual variance was the preferred model. While more individual and population negative slopes were observed in the paracentral and papillomacular superpixels, superpixels in the superotemporal and inferior regions displayed the highest correlation between baseline thickness and rates of change (r = -0.43 to -0.50 for the top five correlations). Conclusions: A Bayesian linear hierarchical model with random intercepts/slopes and random variances is an optimal initial model for estimating GCC slopes at population and individual levels. This novel model is an efficient method for estimating macular rates of change and probability of glaucoma progression locally. Translational Relevance: The proposed Bayesian hierarchical model can be applied to various macular outcomes from different OCT devices and to superpixels of variable sizes to estimate local rates of change and progression probability.