Collateral damage: the impact on outcomes from cancer surgery of the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Cancer diagnostics and surgery have been disrupted by the response of health care services to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Progression of cancers during delay will impact on patients' long-term survival. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We generated per-day hazard ratios of cancer progression from observational studies and applied these to age-specific, stage-specific cancer survival for England 2013-2017. We modelled per-patient delay of 3 and 6 months and periods of disruption of 1 and 2 years. Using health care resource costing, we contextualise attributable lives saved and life-years gained (LYGs) from cancer surgery to equivalent volumes of COVID-19 hospitalisations. RESULTS: Per year, 94 912 resections for major cancers result in 80 406 long-term survivors and 1 717 051 LYGs. Per-patient delay of 3/6 months would cause attributable death of 4755/10 760 of these individuals with loss of 92 214/208 275 life-years, respectively. For cancer surgery, average LYGs per patient are 18.1 under standard conditions and 17.1/15.9 with a delay of 3/6 months (an average loss of 0.97/2.19 LYGs per patient), respectively. Taking into account health care resource units (HCRUs), surgery results on average per patient in 2.25 resource-adjusted life-years gained (RALYGs) under standard conditions and 2.12/1.97 RALYGs following delay of 3/6 months. For 94 912 hospital COVID-19 admissions, there are 482 022 LYGs requiring 1 052 949 HCRUs. Hospitalisation of community-acquired COVID-19 patients yields on average per patient 5.08 LYG and 0.46 RALYGs. CONCLUSIONS: Modest delays in surgery for cancer incur significant impact on survival. Delay of 3/6 months in surgery for incident cancers would mitigate 19%/43% of LYGs, respectively, by hospitalisation of an equivalent volume of admissions for community-acquired COVID-19. This rises to 26%/59%, respectively, when considering RALYGs. To avoid a downstream public health crisis of avoidable cancer deaths, cancer diagnostic and surgical pathways must be maintained at normal throughput, with rapid attention to any backlog already accrued.

Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy for Oligoprogression in Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer: Early Toxicity Analysis of the TRAP Trial.

AIMS: To assess toxicity and patient quality of life after stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) to oligoprogressive disease (OPD) in patients with metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) on androgen receptor targeted agents (ARTA). MATERIAL AND METHODS: This phase II trial enrolled patients with metastatic CRPC with ≤ 2 oligoprogressive lesions in bone, lymph node, lung, or prostate. All patients were receiving systemic treatment with abiraterone or enzalutamide at the time of oligoprogression. All patients received SBRT to the OPD site(s) and continued the current ARTA. Patients received 30 Gy in 5 fractions (alternate days) to the OPD site. The primary endpoint of the trial is to assess if SBRT to OPD sites results in progression free survival of >6 months. The primary endpoint for this toxicity analysis is the rate of grade 3 or higher adverse events at any timepoint up to 6 months after SBRT. Secondary endpoints included comparing pre- and post-SBRT patient-related outcomes reported using visual analogue scale scores and EQ-5D health questionnaire. RESULTS: Forty enrolled patients had at least 6 months of follow-up at the time of analysis. Grade 3 or higher toxicity from any cause recorded using common terminology criteria for adverse events and radiation therapy oncology group was found in 8/40 (20%) of patients, but only 1/40 (2.5%) was deemed possibly related to SBRT. There was no significant difference in mean EQ5D visual analogue scale score from baseline to each timepoint after SBRT (p = 0.449). CONCLUSION: In this prospective phase II clinical trial for OPD whilst on ARTA in the CRPC setting, we report low grade ≥ 3 toxicity after SBRT. There is no discernible change in patient-reported quality of life due to SBRT treatment. The final results of progression-free survival and toxicity of SBRT treatment will be reported once further follow-up is complete.

Metastasis-directed Therapy in Prostate Cancer: Prognostic Significance of the ESTRO/EORTC Classification in Oligometastatic Bone Disease.

AIMS: Oligometastatic disease (OMD) represents a spectrum of clinical scenarios and various classification systems have been proposed. Bone-only OMD can occur in patients with advanced prostate cancer and validated decision-making tools are needed to assist patient selection for metastasis-directed therapy. The aim of the present study was to determine the prognostic utility of a classification system for OMD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective review was conducted of all patients with bone-only oligometastatic prostate cancer treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) since November 2011. SBRT was delivered using CyberKnife® and gantry-based linear accelerator platforms. All patients were classified into oligometastatic states based on the European Society for Radiotherapy and Oncology/European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (ESTRO/EORTC) classification system. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were carried out to determine the prognostic utility of this classification system. RESULTS: In total, 105 patients with 145 osseous metastases were treated over 119 sessions. The median follow-up after SBRT was 23 months (interquartile range 10-39.8). Twelve patients had died after a median time of 31 months. The 3-year metastatic progression-free survival was 23% (95% confidence interval 13-32) and the 3-year overall survival was 88% (95% confidence interval 80-96). Patients in a metachronous oligometastatic state were 4.50 (95% confidence interval 1.19-17.10, P = 0.03) times more likely to experience metastatic progression compared with those with synchronous oligometastases, and 6.69 (95% confidence interval 1.05-42.50, P = 0.04) times more likely to experience any failure. Hazard ratio magnitudes increased for patients in a repeat oligometastatic state. The multivariate model for both metastatic progression-free survival and failure-free survival found prostate-specific antigen doubling time <4 months (P = 0.002; P = 0.05) to independently predict for progression. CONCLUSION: The ESTRO/EORTC classification of OMD predicts for progression in patients treated with SBRT for bone-only oligometastatic prostate cancer at our institution. Further validation in prospective series over multiple tumour sites is needed. These characterisation factors should be assessed in patients considered for metastasis-directed therapy together with established prognostic features.

Clinical Outcomes of Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy With Immediate Versus Delayed Hormone Therapy in Men With Oligometastatic Recurrence of Prostate Cancer.

AIMS: Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) with the delayed option of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is the current treatment paradigm in men relapsed with oligometastatic prostate cancer based on the outcome of a phase II randomised controlled study. The immediate (concomitant) use of ADT in this clinical setting potentially augments the efficacy of SBRT by improving systemic disease control. The aim of this study was to compare the clinical outcomes of these two treatment strategies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eighty-eight patients with up to three oligometastases and controlled primary disease who had been treated using SBRT with immediate or delayed ADT were included in this retrospective analysis. Progression-free survival (PFS), widespread failure-free survival (WFFS) and freedom from further interventions (FFFI) were assessed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard regression methods. Toxicity was evaluated using Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) v4.0. RESULTS: Thirty-nine patients (44.3%) were treated with SBRT and immediate ADT (continuous ADT, n = 7; intermittent ADT, n = 32) and 49 (55.7%) with SBRT and delayed ADT. The median follow-up was 24 months (interquartile range 13.5-37.0 months). PFS in the immediate and delayed ADT groups were 26 months and 16 months, respectively (P < 0.007). The median WFFS in the immediate ADT group was not reached compared with 21 months in the delayed ADT group (P = 0.025). The 1- and 2-year FFFI in the immediate ADT group were 88% and 64.1%, respectively, significantly higher than those in the delayed ADT group (63.8% and 30.2%, respectively, P < 0.002). Acute toxicities of grade 1-2 occurred in 17.9% of the immediate ADT group and 18.4% of the delayed ADT group (P = 0.96). Only one case of grade 3 late toxicity (pelvic insufficiency) was identified in this study. CONCLUSIONS: SBRT with concomitant ADT improves PFS, WFFS and FFFI as compared with SBRT with delayed ADT; this finding needs validation in a prospective, randomised study.