An experience- and preference-based EQ-5D-3L value set derived using 18 months of longitudinal data in patients who sustained a fracture: results from the ICUROS.

INTRODUCTION: EQ-5D-3L preference-based value sets are predominately based on hypothetical health states and derived in cross-sectional settings. Therefore, we derived an experience-based value set from a prospective observational study. METHODS: The International Costs and Utilities Related to Osteoporotic fractures Study (ICUROS) was a multinational study on fragility fractures, prospectively collecting EQ-5D-3L and Time trade-off (TTO) within two weeks after fracture (including pre-fracture recall), and at 4, 12, and 18 months thereafter. We derived an EQ-5D-3L value set by regressing the TTO values on the ten impairment levels in the EQ-5D-3L. We explored the potential for response shift and whether preferences for domains vary systematically with prior impairment in that domain. Finally, we compared the value set to 25 other EQ-5D-3L preference-based value sets. RESULTS: TTO data were available for 12,954 EQ-5D-3L health states in 4683 patients. All coefficients in the value set had the expected sign, were statistically significant, and increased monotonically with severity of impairment. We found evidence for response shift in mobility, self-care, and usual activities. The value set had good agreement with the only other experience- and preference-based value set, but poor agreement with all hypothetical value sets. CONCLUSIONS: We present an experience- and preference-based value set with high face validity. The study indicates that response shift may be important to account for when deriving value sets. Furthermore, the study suggests that perspective (experienced versus hypothetical) is more important than country setting or demographics for valuation of EQ-5D-3L health states.

Establishment and Utility of SwedAD: A Nationwide Swedish Registry for Patients with Atopic Dermatitis Receiving Systemic Pharmacotherapy.

SwedAD, a Swedish nationwide registry for patients with atopic dermatitis receiving systemic pharmacotherapy, was launched on 1 September 2019. We describe here the establishment of a user-friendly registry to the benefit of patients with atopic dermatitis. By 5 November 2022, 38 clinics had recorded 931 treatment episodes in 850 patients with an approximate national coverage rate of 40%. Characteristics at enrolment included median Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI) 10.2 (interquartile range 4.0, 19.4), Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure (POEM) 18.0 (10.0, 24.0), Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) 11.0 (5.0, 19.0) and Peak Itch Numerical Rating Scale-11 (NRS-11) 6.0 (3.0, 8.0). At 3 months, median EASI was 3.2 (1.0, 7.3) and POEM, DLQI, and NRS-11 were improved. Regional coverage varied, reflecting the distribution of dermatologists, the ratio of public to private healthcare, and difficulties in recruiting certain clinics. This study highlights the importance of a nationwide registry when managing systemic pharmacotherapy of atopic dermatitis.

Costs of patient management over 18 months following a hip, clinical vertebral, distal forearm, or proximal humerus fragility fracture in France-results from the ICUROS study.

This observational study prospectively assessed direct and indirect costs related to patient management over 18 months following hip, clinical vertebral, humeral, or distal forearm fracture events in France. It appears that their levels were much higher than the previous estimates, raising the burden of osteoporosis-related fractures on public health expenditures. INTRODUCTION: This prospective observational study assessed the costs related to patient management over the 18-month period following the event of a hip, clinical vertebral, humeral, or distal forearm fracture in France. METHODS: Individuals aged ≥ 50 years old with the diagnosis of a fragility fracture in six French University Hospitals were enrolled in the International Costs and Utilities Related to Osteoporotic Fractures Study (ICUROS). All resources used over the defined period and related to fracture and the underlying osteoporosis management were collected by questionnaires at baseline, 4 months, 12 months, and 18 months. Information was collected by direct or phone contact completed by patients' records and interviews of partner, family, and general practitioners. Costs were estimated from a societal perspective, including direct and indirect costs. We implemented recursive partitioning analysis (RPA), a statistical learning algorithm to identify predictors of costs. RESULTS: Four hundred thirty-one patients (mean age 72.5 years; 84.6% women) were evaluated. Among them, 17.6% had a prior fracture in the last 5 years. Approximately half of the whole group lived alone in the community, and 56.8% were from a low- or middle-income category. Over the 18-month period of evaluation, total costs (including initial fracture-related and follow-up ones) were 23 926 €, 14 561 €, and 6 905 € for the hip, clinical vertebral, and distal forearm fracture, respectively. Over a year, costs related to a humeral fracture were 10 319 €. The RPA identified mobility impairment prior to fracture as a predictor of increase in costs related to fracture. CONCLUSIONS: Our study for the first time prospectively assessed total costs related to the four main osteoporotic fractures in France. It appears that their levels were much higher than previous estimates, raising the burden of osteoporosis-related fractures on public health expenditures.

Thirty years of hip fracture incidence in Austria: is the worst over?

Nationwide hip fracture incidence in the Austrian population was assessed over a period of 30 years (1989-2018), including 20 years data from a previous study and a recent 10 years follow-up. While absolute numbers in men continued to increase, absolute numbers in women and age-standardized incidences in both men and women decreased. PURPOSE: In the Austrian population ≥ 50 years, nationwide hip fracture incidences over a period of 20 years (1989-2008) have shown an initial steep increase, followed by a leveling-off during the last few years of observation. The purpose of the present study was to follow up on hip fracture incidences for another 10 years (2009-2018) and to analyze trends over the entire period of 30 years. METHODS: ICD-10 code classes S72.0, S72.1, and S72.2 were applied. All data were retrieved from the Statistics Austria database and its hospital discharge register. Annual absolute numbers, crude and age-standardized incidences, and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were stratified by sex and 5-year age intervals, and calculated by using a correction factor for multiple registrations. RESULTS: Total number of hip fracture cases increased from 13,984 (2009) to 14,640 (2015), and decreased thereafter to 14,457 (2018), despite a persistent increase in men. Age-standardized incidences peaked at 476/100,000 (2010), followed by a decrease to 408/100,000 (2018). The observed overall decrease was mainly driven by the female population. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) yielded a statistically significant average annual decrease of age-standardized incidences in both women and men (∆IRR 0.984; 0.981-0.987). CONCLUSION: While absolute numbers of hip fracture in women showed a slight decrease during the last 10 years of observation, numbers in men continued to increase. Age-standardized incidences nevertheless decreased in both men and women, which may be interpreted as a trend in the right direction. However, due to the rapid aging of the population, it cannot be precluded that this trend will be compromised during the next few decades.

The Impact of Systemic Treatment of Atopic Dermatitis on Depressive Symptoms: A Prospective Clinical Cohort Study

Information on depressive symptoms among patients with atopic dermatitis (AD) undergoing systemic treatment in a real-world setting is scarce. This prospective real-world clinical cohort study analysed data from SwedAD, a Swedish national register comprising patients with AD undergoing systemic treatment. Data were collected at baseline (n = 120) and at follow-up at 6 months (range 3-9 months, n = 59), and 12 months (10 months or later, n = 36). Depression was assessed with the Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale-Self-report (MADRS-S) and AD with the Eczema Area Severity Index, the Patient-Oriented Eczema Measure, the Dermatology Life Quality Index and evaluation of pruritus. More than half of patients with moderate-to-severe AD had depressive symptoms at baseline, 24% presented with moderate-to-severe depression and 3% had pronounced suicidal ideation. Systemic treatment of AD significantly reduced both depression and AD symptoms at 6 months, and this positive effect remained at 12 months. In conclusion, depressive symptoms are common among adults with moderate-to-severe AD. Systemic treatment of AD significantly reduced depressive symptoms in parallel with AD symptoms.

Personal Income Before and After Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is associated with serious morbidity and labor force absenteeism, but little is known of the long-term impact of the disease on personal income. OBJECTIVES: To assess long-term consequences of MS on personal salary and disposable income. METHODS: Patients with MS in Sweden were identified in a nationwide, disease-specific register and matched with general population controls. We assessed mean annual personal gross salary and disposable income each year before and after index (i.e., the MS diagnosis date) using data from national registers. RESULTS: The final sample consisted of 5,472 patients and 54,195 controls (mean age 39 years; 70% females). There was no significant difference in gross salary between patients and controls in any year within the pre-index period. In contrast, on average during follow-up post diagnosis, patients with MS had €5,130 less gross salary per year compared with controls, ranging from a loss of €2,430 the first year to €9,010 after 11 years. Within 10 years after index, 45% of patients had at least one record of zero gross salary, compared with 32% for controls. Mean annual disposable income was comparable between patients and controls across follow-up, with significant differences only at years 9 and 10 post-index. CONCLUSIONS: We show that many patients with MS in Sweden lose their ability to support for themselves financially but still have a relatively high disposable income because of social transfers. Our findings underscore the detrimental impact of MS on affected patients and the considerable economic burden of disease to society.

Quality of life after hip, vertebral, and distal forearm fragility fractures measured using the EQ-5D-3L, EQ-VAS, and time-trade-off: results from the ICUROS.

INTRODUCTION: The International Costs and Utilities Related to Osteoporotic fractures Study is a multinational observational study set up to describe the costs and quality of life (QoL) consequences of fragility fracture. This paper aims to estimate and compare QoL after hip, vertebral, and distal forearm fracture using time-trade-off (TTO), the EuroQol (EQ) Visual Analogue Scale (EQ-VAS), and the EQ-5D-3L valued using the hypothetical UK value set. METHODS: Data were collected at four time-points for five QoL point estimates: within 2 weeks after fracture (including pre-fracture recall), and at 4, 12, and 18 months after fracture. Health state utility values (HSUVs) were derived for each fracture type and time-point using the three approaches (TTO, EQ-VAS, EQ-5D-3L). HSUV were used to estimate accumulated QoL loss and QoL multipliers. RESULTS: In total, 1410 patients (505 with hip, 316 with vertebral, and 589 with distal forearm fracture) were eligible for analysis. Across all time-points for the three fracture types, TTO provided the highest HSUVs, whereas EQ-5D-3L consistently provided the lowest HSUVs directly after fracture. Except for 13-18 months after distal forearm fracture, EQ-5D-3L generated lower QoL multipliers than the other two methods, whereas no equally clear pattern was observed between EQ-VAS and TTO. On average, the most marked differences between the three approaches were observed immediately after the fracture. CONCLUSIONS: The approach to derive QoL markedly influences the estimated QoL impact of fracture. Therefore the choice of approach may be important for the outcome and interpretation of cost-effectiveness analysis of fracture prevention.

Second-line treatment persistence and costs among patients with immune-mediated rheumatic diseases treated with subcutaneous TNF-alpha inhibitors.

The objective of this study was to describe treatment persistence with second-line subcutaneous tumor necrosis factor-alpha inhibitors (SC-TNFis) in patients with immune-mediated rheumatic diseases (IMRDs) in Sweden, and the impact of non-persistence on healthcare costs. This retrospective observational study was based on Swedish national health register data. Adults were identified through filled prescriptions for adalimumab (ADA), etanercept (ETA), certolizumab pegol (CZP) and golimumab (GLM). Persistence was estimated over 3 years for propensity score-matched (PSM) cohorts using non-parametric survival analysis. Unadjusted comparisons of costs comprised specialized outpatient care, inpatient care, and medication. In total, N = 845 patients were identified and three PSM cohorts were generated (GLM vs. ADA, ETA, and CZP, respectively). GLM exhibited higher persistence than ADA over the study period (p = 0.040), and numerically higher persistence than ETA and CZP for 36 and 30 months, respectively. Persistent and non-persistent patients had similar mean total cost at 12 month pre-treatment ($5185 vs. $5064, p = 0.750). During the 12 month post-treatment initiation, persistent patients had lower mean total costs ($4377 vs. $6605), corresponding to a cost difference of $2228 (p < 0.001). In second-line treatment with SC-TNFis for IMRDs in Sweden, GLM exhibited significantly higher persistence than ADA over the course of the study. Similarly, GLM showed numerically higher persistence than ETA and CZP, which is concurrent with results observed in first-line SC-TNFi treatment. Considering the lower healthcare costs for persistent patients, the choice of second-line SC-TNFi among eligible patients may merit careful consideration given its impact on patients and payers.

Sick leave and disability pension before and after diagnosis of multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is associated with considerable morbidity and serious disability, but little is known of the long-term impact of the disease on work ability. OBJECTIVES: To assess sick leave (short-term absence) and disability pension (long-term absence) before and after diagnosis of MS. METHODS: Patients with MS in Sweden were identified in a nationwide disease-specific register and matched with general population controls. Sick leave and disability pension were measured before and after index (i.e. the MS diagnosis date). RESULTS: The final sample comprised 6092 patients and 60,345 controls (mean age 39 years; 70% female). The mean annual prevalence of sick leave ranged from 12% the first year after index to 23% after 11 years among patients and from 13% to 13% among controls. Corresponding estimates for disability pension were 12% and 55% for patients and 7% and 9% for controls. Significant differences in sick leave were observed up to 15 years before index and 3 years for disability pension. CONCLUSION: Patients with MS in Sweden have elevated levels of sick leave and disability pension up to 15 years before disease diagnosis. Our results highlight the burden of disease on affected patients and society and underscore the substantial unmet medical need.

Economic Burden of Psoriasis and Potential Cost Offsets with Biologic Treatment: A Swedish Register Analysis.

Estimates of direct and indirect costs of psoriasis are limited. The aim of this study was to estimate: (i) costs in patients with psoriasis compared with controls; and (ii) impact on costs from initiating biologics. The study extracted data from Swedish administrative registers and compared 31,043 patients with 111,645 sex-, age- and residency-matched referents. Mean direct and indirect costs were estimated as US dollars (USD) 1,365 (62%) and USD 3,319 (50%) higher in patients compared with referents, respectively. The study included 352 patients treated with biologics who had at least 1-year follow-up before and after initiation of biologics. Among the 193 patients persistent with biologics for one year, 1-year costs of biologics were estimated at USD 23,293 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 22,372-24,199). This cost was partially offset, with savings in direct cost estimated to range from USD -1135 (95% CI -2,050 to -328) to USD -4,422 (95% CI -6,552 to -2,771), depending on assumptions. The corresponding estimates for indirect costs savings were from USD -774 (95% CI -2,019-535) to USD -1,875 (95% CI -3,650 to -188). The study suggests that psoriasis is associated with substantial costs, which may be modifiable with treatment.

Treatment persistence among patients with immune-mediated rheumatic disease newly treated with subcutaneous TNF-alpha inhibitors and costs associated with non-persistence.

The main objective of this study was to describe real-world treatment persistence with subcutaneous tumor necrosis factor-alpha inhibitors (SC-TNFi) in patients with ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, or rheumatoid arthritis [collectively immune-mediated rheumatic disease, (IMRD)] in Sweden. A secondary objective was to describe potential effects on health care resource utilization (HCRU) cost from non-persistence. Patients were identified through filled prescriptions for adalimumab (ADA), etanercept (ETA), certolizumab pegol (CZP), and golimumab (GLM) between 5/6/2010 and 12/31/2012 from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register. Persistence was estimated using survival analysis. Costs were derived from HCRU and comprised specialized outpatient care, inpatient care and non-disease-modifying antirheumatic drug medications. A total of 4903 patients were identified (ADA: 1823, ETA: 1704, CZP: 622, GLM: 754). Comparisons over 3 years showed that GLM had significantly higher persistence than ADA (p = 0.022) and ETA (p = 0.004). The mean difference in non-biologic HCRU costs between persistent and non-persistent patients was higher after compared to before the start of biologic therapy. SC-TNFi-naïve IMRD patients initiating treatment with GLM had significantly higher persistence rates than patients initiating treatment with ADA or ETA in Sweden. Furthermore, persistence rates observed in the study were lower than those observed in clinical trials, highlighting the need for an all-party (provider-patient-payer-drug manufacturer) engagement and development of programs to increase persistence rates in clinical practice, thus leading to improved clinical outcomes. In addition, the results of this study indicate that persistence to treatment with SC-TNFi may be associated with cost offsets in terms of non-biologic costs.

Increased cause-specific mortality in patients with mild and severe psoriasis: a population-based Swedish register study.

Several studies have shown excess risk for a number of comorbidities in patients with psoriasis compared with the general population, but data on cause-specific mortality in this patient population are limited. The aim of this study was to estimate the associations of psoriasis and 12 specific causes of death and all-cause mortality in patients with mild and severe psoriasis. The study was based on data from Swedish administrative registers and compared the risk of death in 39,074 patients with psoriasis with 154,775 sex-, age- and residency-matched referents using Cox proportional hazards models. In patients with mild and severe psoriasis, the strongest associations were observed for deaths due to kidney disease (hazard ratio [HR]=2.20, p < 0.01) and liver disease (HR = 4.26, p < 0.001), respectively. Whilst cardiovascular disease was the main driver of excess mortality in absolute terms, the risks for other causes of death were also substantially elevated in patients with psoriasis compared with matched referents.

Microscopic Colitis and Risk of Incident Psoriasis: A Nationwide Population-Based Matched Cohort Study.

Background: Microscopic colitis (MC) has been associated with several immune-mediated diseases including psoriasis, but earlier research has been limited to psoriasis occurring before MC. Data from large-scale cohort studies investigating MC and risk of future psoriasis are lacking. Objective: To examine the association between MC and psoriasis. Methods: In a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study in Sweden from 2007 to 2021, we identified 8404 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed in 2007-2017), 37,033 matched reference individuals, and 8381 siblings without MC. Information on MC was obtained through the ESPRESSO cohort (a Swedish histopathology database with nationwide coverage). Using Cox regression, we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for psoriasis up until 2021. Results: During a median follow-up of 9.2 years (interquartile range = 6.7-11.7), 179 MC patients and 440 reference individuals were diagnosed with psoriasis (241.1 vs 131.8 events per 100,000 person-years), corresponding to one extra case of psoriasis in 91 patients with MC over 10 years. After adjustment for the matching variables (birth year, sex, county of residence, and calendar period) and level of education, we computed an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.82 (95% CI = 1.53-2.17). Stratified by sex, estimates were similar and when examining the aHR across different lengths of follow-up, we found significantly elevated estimates up to 10 years after MC diagnosis. Compared to MC-free siblings, the aHR was 1.85 (95% CI = 1.36-2.51). Conclusion: Patients with MC are at an almost doubled risk of psoriasis compared to the general population. Clinicians need to consider psoriasis in MC patients with skin lesions.

Tumor-Stroma Proportion to Predict Chemoresistance in Patients With Ovarian Cancer.

IMPORTANCE: Platinum-based chemotherapy is the backbone of standard-of-care treatment for patients with advanced-stage, high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC), the most common form of ovarian cancer; however, one-third of patients have or acquire chemoresistance toward platinum-based therapies. OBJECTIVE: To demonstrate the utility of tumor-stroma proportion (TSP) as a predictive biomarker of chemoresistance of HGSC, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This prognostic study leveraged tumors from patients with HGSC in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort (1993-2013) and an independent cohort of resected clinical specimens from patients with HGSC (2004-2014) available in diagnostic and tissue microarray formats from the University of Tübingen in Germany. Data analysis was conducted from January 2021 to January 2024. EXPOSURE: Diagnosis of HGSC. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Principal outcome measures were the ability of TSP to predict platinum chemoresistance, PFS, and OS. Using hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides from the Tübingen cohort (used for routine diagnostic assessment from surgical specimens) as well as tissue microarrays, representative sections of tumors for scoring of TSP were identified using previously evaluated cutoffs of 50% stroma or greater (high TSP) and less than 50% stroma (low TSP). Digitized slides from the TCGA Cohort were analyzed and scored in a similar fashion. Kaplan-Meier time-to-event functions were fit to estimate PFS and OS. RESULTS: The study included 103 patients (mean [SD] age, 61.6 [11.1] years) from the TCGA cohort and 192 patients (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 63.7 [11.1] years) from the Tübingen cohort. In the TCGA cohort, there was no significant association of TSP levels with chemoresistance, PFS, or OS. However, in the Tübingen cohort, high TSP was associated with significantly shorter PFS (HR, 1.586; 95% CI, 1.093-2.302; P = .02) and OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.867; 1.249-2.789; P = .002). Patients with chemoresistant tumors were twice as likely to have high TSP as compared to patients with chemosensitive tumors (HR, 2.861; 95% CI, 1.256-6.515; P = .01). In tissue microarrays from 185 patients from the Tübingen cohort, high TSP was again associated with significantly shorter PFS (HR, 1.675; 95% CI, 1.012-2.772 P = .04) and OS (HR, 2.491; 95% CI, 1.585-3.912; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this prognostic study, TSP was a consistent and reproducible marker of clinical outcome measures of HGSC, including PFS, OS, and platinum chemoresistance. Accurate and cost-effective predictive biomarkers of platinum chemotherapy resistance are needed to identify patients most likely to benefit from standard treatments, and TSP can easily be implemented and integrated into prospective clinical trial design and adapted to identify patients who are least likely to benefit long-term from conventional platinum-based cytotoxic chemotherapy treatment at the time of initial diagnosis.

Identifying Predictors of First-Line Subcutaneous TNF-Inhibitor Persistence in Patients with Inflammatory Arthritis: A Decision Tree Analysis by Indication.

INTRODUCTION: Treatment persistence is a proxy for efficacy, safety and patient satisfaction, and a switch in treatment or treatment discontinuation has been associated with increased indirect and direct costs in inflammatory arthritis (IA). Hence, there are both clinical and economic incentives for the identification of factors associated with treatment persistence. Until now, studies have mainly leveraged traditional regression analysis, but it has been suggested that novel approaches, such as statistical learning techniques, may improve our understanding of factors related to treatment persistence. Therefore, we set up a study using nationwide Swedish high-coverage administrative register data with the objective to identify patient groups with distinct persistence of subcutaneous tumor necrosis factor inhibitor (SC-TNFi) treatment in IA, using recursive partitioning, a statistical learning algorithm. METHODS: IA was defined as a diagnosis of rheumatic arthritis (RA), ankylosing spondylitis/unspecified spondyloarthritis (AS/uSpA) or psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Adult swedish biologic-naïve patients with IA initiating biologic treatment with a SC-TNFi (adalimumab, etanercept, certolizumab or golimumab) between May 6, 2010, and December 31, 2017. Treatment persistence of SC-TNFi was derived based on prescription data and a defined standard daily dose. Patient characteristics, including age, sex, number of health care contacts, comorbidities and treatment, were collected at treatment initiation and 12 months before treatment initiation. Based on these characteristics, we used recursive partitioning in a conditional inference framework to identify patient groups with distinct SC-TNFi treatment persistence by IA diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 13,913 patients were included. Approximately 50% had RA, while 27% and 23% had AS/uSpA and PsA, respectively. The recursive partitioning algorithm identified sex and treatment as factors associated with SC-TNFi treatment persistence in PsA and AS/uSpA. Time on treatment in the groups with the lowest treatment persistence was similar across all three indications (9.5-11.3 months), whereas there was more variation in time on treatment across the groups with the highest treatment persistence (18.4-48.9 months). CONCLUSIONS: Women have low SC-TNFi treatment persistence in PsA and AS/uSpA whereas male sex and golimumab are associated with high treatment persistence in these indications. The factors associated with treatment persistence in RA were less distinct but may comprise disease activity and concurrent conventional systemic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) treatment.

Clinical Significance of the Stromatic Component in Ovarian Cancer: Quantity Over Quality in Outcome Prediction.

Background: The tumor stroma is composed of a complex network of non-cancerous cells and extracellular matrix elements that collectively are crucial for cancer progression and treatment response. Within the realm of ovarian cancer, the expression of the stromal gene cluster has been linked to poorer progression-free and overall survival rates. However, in the age of precision medicine and genome sequencing, the notion that the simple measurement of tumor-stroma proportion alone can serve as a biomarker for clinical outcome is a topic that continues to generate controversy and provoke discussion. Our current study reveals that it is the quantity of stroma, rather than its quality, that serves as a clinically significant indicator of patient outcome in ovarian cancer. Methods: This study leveraged the High-Grade-Serous-Carcinoma (HGSC) cohort of the publicly accessible Cancer Genome Atlas Program (TCGA) along with an independent cohort comprising HGSC clinical specimens in diagnostic and Tissue Microarray formats. Our objective was to investigate the correlation between the Tumor-Stroma-Proportion (TSP) and progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and response to chemotherapy. We assessed these associations using H&E-stained slides and tissue microarrays. Our analysis employed semi-parametric models that accounted for age, metastases, and residual disease as controlling factors. Results: We found that high TSP (>50% stroma) was associated with significantly shorter progression-free survival (PFS) (p=0.016) and overall survival (OS) (p=0.006). Tumors from patients with chemoresistant tumors were twice as likely to have high TSP as compared to tumors from chemosensitive patients (p=0.012). In tissue microarrays, high TSP was again associated with significantly shorter PFS (p=0.044) and OS (p=0.0001), further confirming our findings. The Area Under the ROC curve for the model predicting platinum was estimated at 0.7644. Conclusions: In HGSC, TSP was a consistent and reproducible marker of clinical outcome measures, including PFS, OS, and platinum chemoresistance. Assessment of TSP as a predictive biomarker that can be easily implemented and integrated into prospective clinical trial design and adapted to identify, at time of initial diagnosis, patients who are least likely to benefit long-term from conventional platinum-based cytotoxic chemotherapy treatment.

Treatment Persistence in Patients Cycling on Subcutaneous Tumor Necrosis Factor-Alpha Inhibitors in Inflammatory Arthritis: A Retrospective Study.

INTRODUCTION: Biologic treatments including subcutaneous tumor necrosis factor-alpha inhibitors (SC-TNFis) have greatly improved disease management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and ankylosing spondylitis (AS) (collectively inflammatory arthritis, IA). Nevertheless, some patients discontinue their first-line treatment; for them, one option may be a subsequent line of the same treatment class (i.e., cycling). The aim of this study was to assess treatment persistence between first- and second-line therapy in Swedish IA patients cycling on SC-TNFis. METHODS: Using data from the Swedish Health Data Registers, adult IA patients filling prescriptions between May 1, 2010, and October 31, 2016, for a SC-TNFi (adalimumab, etanercept, certolizumab and golimumab) were included. Treatment persistence was derived based on information from filled prescriptions and a 60-day grace period. Unadjusted and adjusted marginal Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to estimate the relative risk of discontinuation across treatment lines, using robust sandwich covariance matrix estimates to account for intrapatient dependence (i.e., multiple treatment lines per patient). The analysis was restricted to the first two lines of treatment. RESULTS: Of the eligible patients, 3181 were identified as cyclers. Among these, most were female (68%), and 46%, 28% and 26% were diagnosed with RA, AS and PsA, respectively. Both the unadjusted and adjusted analyses showed that the relative risk of discontinuing SC-TNFi treatment was significantly lower in second compared to first line (hazard ratio; 0.60 [0.57, 0.63] and HR; 0.59 [0.56, 0.62]). This finding was also consistent across IA indications. CONCLUSIONS: In this study of patients cycling on SC-TNFis in IA, persistence was greater in second- compared to first-line treatment. The finding was consistent across all IA indications. Hence, patients who discontinue their first-line treatment may still benefit from treatment with an alternative SC-TNFi as a second-line therapy in IA.