Randomized Trial for Evaluation in Secondary Prevention Efficacy of Combination Therapy-Statin and Eicosapentaenoic Acid (RESPECT-EPA).

BACKGROUND: Low plasma levels of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) are associated with cardiovascular events. This trial aimed to assess the clinical benefits of icosapent ethyl in patients with coronary artery disease, a low EPA/arachidonic acid (AA) ratio, and statin treatment. METHODS: In this prospective, multicenter, randomized, open-label, blinded end-point study, patients with stable coronary artery disease and a low EPA/AA ratio (<0.4) were randomized to EPA (1800 of icosapent ethyl administered daily) or control group. The primary end point was a composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal ischemic stroke, unstable angina pectoris, and coronary revascularization. The secondary composite end points of coronary events included sudden cardiac death, fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring emergency hospitalization and coronary revascularization, or coronary revascularization. RESULTS: Overall, 3884 patients were enrolled at 95 sites in Japan. Among them, 2506 patients had a low EPA/AA ratio, and 1249 and 1257 patients were randomized to the EPA and control group, respectively. The median EPA/AA ratio was 0.243 (interquartile range, 0.180-0.314) and 0.235 (interquartile range, 0.163-0.310) in the EPA and control group, respectively. Over a median period of 5 years, the primary end point occurred in 112 of 1225 patients (9.1%) and 155 of 1235 patients (12.6%) in the EPA and control group, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62-1.00]; P=0.055). Meanwhile, the secondary composite end point of coronary events in the EPA group was significantly lower (81/1225 [6.6%] versus 120/1235 [9.7%] patients; hazard ratio, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.55-0.97]). Adverse events did not differ between the groups, but the rate of new-onset atrial fibrillation was significantly higher in the EPA group (3.1% versus 1.6%; P=0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Icosapent ethyl treatment resulted in a numerically lower risk of cardiovascular events that did not reach statistical significance in patients with chronic coronary artery disease, a low EPA/AA ratio, and statin treatment. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/; Unique identifier: UMIN000012069.

Effectiveness of sublingual immunotherapy in pediatric cedar pollinosis: A real-world database study.

BACKGROUND: Pediatric allergic rhinitis (AR), including cedar pollinosis (CP), is increasing in Japan. We investigated the effects of sublingual immunotherapy (SLIT), which has limited studies of its effectiveness in real-world settings, on children with CP. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used a claim database in 2018-2021. Children aged ≤15 years with CP records in 2019 were eligible and were followed up through 2021. We included 2962 CP children undergoing SLIT and 547 who were not. The medication score was used to evaluate SLIT effectiveness in the cedar pollen dispersal season each year. Adverse events and the occurrence of allergic diseases were also evaluated. RESULTS: Medication score was higher in the SLIT group during the index period but lower in 2021 compared to the non-SLIT group (mean ± standard deviation: 5.17 ± 2.39 and 4.74 ± 2.38 in 2019, 3.13 ± 2.30 and 3.55 ± 2.48 in 2021, respectively). The adjusted mean difference between groups from 2019 to 2021 was -0.62 (95% confidence interval: -0.86 to -0.39, p < .0001), and the medication score was reduced in the SLIT group (risk ratio: 1.2: 1.1 to 1.3). The occurrence of adverse events involving abdominal disorders (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.64: 0.51 to 0.81), asthma exacerbation (aOR: 0.37: 0.24 to 0.57), and allergic diseases involving hay fever unrelated to CP (aOR: 0.60: 0.45 to 0.80) or asthma (aOR: 0.71: 0.58 to 0.86) was lower in the SLIT group. CONCLUSION: In children with CP, SLIT is effective, well tolerated, and could decrease the occurrence of other allergic diseases.

Pregnancy and lactation-associated osteoporosis as a major type of premenopausal osteoporosis: a retrospective cohort study based on real-world data.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancy and lactation-associated osteoporosis (PLO), as well as premenopausal osteoporosis, might be a predictor of future fracture. This study aimed to describe the clinical features of PLO as a subtype of premenopausal osteoporosis and to evaluate medical interventions for it. METHODS: From an administrative claims database including 4,224,246 people in Japan, we classified women for whom the date of childbirth had been defined and who had suffered low-trauma fracture between the ages of 18-47 years as the premenopausal osteoporosis group. A fracture site for which the odds ratio for fractures occurring between 5 months before and 12 months after childbirth (around childbirth) was greater than 1 was considered the PLO site. We classified patients with a fracture at the PLO site around childbirth as the PLO group. The control group consisted of 500 women without fragility fractures. We investigated some drugs and diseases to explore fracture-causing factors, as well as medical interventions such as osteoporosis diagnosis, bone densitometry, anti-osteoporosis pharmacotherapy, and lactation inhibitors. RESULTS: In total, 231 parous women were classified into the premenopausal osteoporosis group. The most common fracture was vertebral fracture and was likely to occur around childbirth, followed by distal radius and sacral fractures, which were rare around childbirth. Considering vertebral, pelvic, and proximal femoral fractures as PLO sites, 56 women with 57 PLO fractures were classified into the PLO group. The incidence of PLO was estimated at 460 per million deliveries. Ovulation disorder and high maternal age were associated with the development of PLO. Vertebral fracture was the most common PLO fracture. It was mainly diagnosed a few months, and possibly up to 1 year, postpartum. PLO patients with vertebral fractures underwent more medical interventions than did those with other fractures, but they were still inadequate. CONCLUSIONS: PLO with vertebral fracture was one of the major types of premenopausal osteoporosis. The prevalence of PLO is considered to be higher than previously thought, indicating the presence of potentially overlooked patients. More timely interventions for PLO might lead to the improved management of latent patients with premenopausal osteoporosis and reduce future fracture risk.

Study protocol and baseline characteristics of Randomized trial for Evaluation in Secondary Prevention Efficacy of Combination Therapy-Statin and Eicosapentaenoic Acid: RESPECT-EPA, the combination of a randomized control trial and an observational biomarker study.

BACKGROUND: Omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) have been a hot topic since the Japan EPA Lipid Intervention Study (JELIS), the first landmark study using a highly purified eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA), indicated that EPA could decrease the incidence of cardiovascular events. Over 20 years have passed since the JELIS was conducted, and the standard treatment for dyslipidemia has altered significantly since then. The JELIS subjects did not undertake the current risk management especially current standard statins and did not exclusively target secondary prevention patients. In addition, the subjects included are relatively high EPA population. Furthermore, the clinical implication of the plasma EPA/arachidonic acid (AA) ratio as a biomarker has not yet been validated. Therefore, the Randomized trial for Evaluation in Secondary Prevention Efficacy of Combination Therapy - Statin and EPA (RESPECT-EPA) was planned and is currently underway in Japan. METHODS: The RESPECT-EPA comprises two parts: the open-label randomized controlled trial (RCT) and biomarker study (prospective cohort study design). The RCT included patients with a low EPA/AA ratio. These patients were then randomized to highly purified EPA (1800 mg/day) or control groups. The primary endpoint was cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal ischemic stroke, unstable angina pectoris, and clinically indicated coronary revascularization. The biomarker study assesses the EPA/AA ratio's usefulness as a biomarker for cardiovascular events prediction. RESULTS: In the RCT, a total of 2,460 patients were enrolled in 95 sites in Japan. Patients' baseline characteristics were similar between intervention and control groups in the RCT. The baseline median EPA/AA ratio was 0.243 and 0.235, respectively. A total of 1,314 patients were participated in the observational part, and the baseline median EPA/AA ratio was 0.577. CONCLUSIONS: After this study is completed, we will have further evidence on whether a highly purified EPA is effective in reducing cardiovascular events for secondary prevention or not, as well as whether if EPA/AA ratio is a predictor for future cardiovascular events. This study was registered in the University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN000012069).

Control of Diabetes Mellitus and Long-Term Prognosis in Stroke Patients: The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between diabetes control status and long-term prognosis after stroke incidence remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the effect of diabetes status at admission on long-term survival in patients with first-ever stroke. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry in Japan. Patients were classified according to their diabetes status and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) value at hospital admission into the following: (1) free of diabetes (no history of diabetes and HbA1c <6.5%); (2) good control (history of diabetes and HbA1c <7%; free of history and 6.5% ≤HbA1c <7%); and (3) poor control (with or without a history of diabetes and HbA1c ≥7%). Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association between diabetes status and long-term survival from stroke onset. Additionally, we also evaluated the association between diabetes status and conditional survival, beginning 29 days after stroke onset. RESULTS: A total of 6,331 first-ever stroke patients were eligible for this study. Among study patients, the mean (±SD) age was 72.85 ± 13.19 years, and the mean (±SD) follow-up year was 2.76 ± 1.66 years; additionally, 42.09% of patients were women. Among patients with all strokes, considering the free-of-diabetes group as the reference group, the adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for mortality was 1.26 (1.10, 1.44) in the good control group and 1.22 (1.05, 1.41) in the poor control group. Among patients with ischemic stroke, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.24 (1.06, 1.46) in good control group and 1.27 (1.08, 1.50) in poor control group. After excluding patients who died within 28 days, the adjusted hazard ratio for conditional mortality in the poor control group was 1.31 (1.12, 1.54) among all stroke patients and 1.29 (1.08, 1.54) among ischemic stroke patients. No significant associations were observed between diabetic status and long-term mortality in intracerebral hemorrhage patients. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that first-ever stroke patients with diabetes exhibited a higher risk of all-cause mortality than those without diabetes, particularly in the overall stroke and ischemic stroke populations. Additionally, in stroke populations after 28 days of onset, high risk of long-term mortality was stated in stroke patients with poor HbA1c control.

Epidemiology of Acute Aortic Dissection in a General Population of 1.4 Million People in Japan　- Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry.

BACKGROUND: Acute aortic dissection (AAD) is a life-threatening cardiovascular disease, with a reported incidence rate ranging from 2.5 to 7.2 per 100,000 person-years in several population-based registries in Western countries, but epidemiological data are lacking in Japan.Methods and Results: The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry is an ongoing multicenter population-based registry of cerebro-cardiovascular diseases. We enrolled patients who developed AAD, defined by any imaging examination method from 2014 to 2015 in Shiga Prefecture. Death certificates were used to identify cases that were not registered at acute care hospitals. The incidence rates of AAD were calculated by age categories and adjusted using standard populations for comparison. We evaluated differences in patient characteristics between Stanford type A-AAD and type B-AAD subtypes. A total of 402 incident cases with AAD were analyzed. The age-adjusted incidence rates using the 2015 Japanese population and the 2013 European Standard Population were 15.8 and 12.2 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Compared with cases of type B-AAD, those with type A-AAD were older (75.0 vs. 69.9 years, P=0.001) and more likely to be women (62.3% vs. 28.6%, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Population-based incidence rates of AAD in Japan appear to be higher than in previous reports from Western countries. Incident cases with type A-AAD were older and female predominance.

Trends in Prescribing Antipsychotics for Children and Adolescents in Japan: A Descriptive Epidemiological Study Using a Large-Scale Pharmacy Dataset.

Little is known about antipsychotic prescription patterns among children and adolescents in Japan, particularly in outpatient settings. We investigated the prevalence and trends of antipsychotic prescription for outpatients aged ≤ 17 years receiving a first antipsychotic prescription from 2006 to 2012 based on a large-scale dispensation dataset. Measurements included age, sex, department of diagnosis and treatment, type of prescription (monotherapy or polytherapy), antipsychotic dosage, and concomitant psychotropic drugs. Of the 10,511 patients, 65.1% were aged 13-17 years, and 52.9% were males. Second-generation antipsychotic monotherapy prescriptions increased from 53.8% in 2006 to 78.3% in 2012. Risperidone was the most frequently prescribed antipsychotic, followed by aripiprazole and olanzapine. Approximately 25.0% of patients were prescribed an initial dose less than recommended. Second-generation antipsychotic monotherapy is currently the most frequent prescription pattern among outpatients aged ≤ 17 years receiving an initial antipsychotic prescription.

Risk factors for pneumonitis in advanced extrapulmonary cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Immune-mediated pneumonitis has a high mortality rate; however, information regarding the related risk factors remains limited. This study aimed to analyze risk factors for pneumonitis, including smoking and lung metastasis (LM), in patients with extrapulmonary primary tumors. METHODS: Data of 110 patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) (nivolumab/pembrolizumab) for treating extrapulmonary primary tumors at the Shiga University of Medical Science Hospital between January 2015 and December 2019 were retrospectively collected. The association between the onset of pneumonitis and treatment-related factors was analyzed by logistic regression. The severity of pneumonitis was graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0. Risk factors, such as the absence or presence of interstitial lung disease (ILD) and LM, or other clinical factors, including smoking status before ICI administration, were analyzed. RESULTS: Multivariate analyses indicated that the amount of smoking was significantly associated with an increase in the development of all-grade pneumonitis types (odds ratio (OR) = 20.33, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 20.03-20.66; p = 0.029). LM and ILD were significantly related to an increase in the development of symptomatic pneumonitis (≥ Grade 2) (OR = 10.08, 95% CI = 1.69-199.81; p = 0.076, and OR = 6.76, 95% CI = 1.13-40.63; p = 0.037, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-screening for ILD and LM and recognizing patients' smoking history is important for determining the risk of ICI-induced pneumonitis and allowing safe ICI administration.

Seasonal Variation in Incidence of Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese: The Shiga Stroke Registry.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to investigate seasonal variation in stroke incidence using data from a large-scale stroke registry of general population in current Japan. METHODS: Shiga Stroke Registry (SSR) is an ongoing population-based registry of stroke that occurred in the Shiga Prefecture in central Honshu, Japan. A total 6,688 cases of first-ever stroke, with onset dates ranging from 1 January 2011 to 31 December in 2013 were included in this study. Incidence rates of first-ever stroke in each season were estimated using the person-year approach and adjusted for age and sex using the Poisson regression models. RESULTS: From 2011 to 2013, we identified a total of 6,688 stroke cases (3,570 men, 3,118 women), of which 4,480 cases had ischemic stroke (2,518 men, 1,962 women), 1,588 had intracerebral hemorrhage (857 men, 731 women) and 563 had subarachnoid hemorrhage (166 men, 397 women). Age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates of total stroke were 151 (95% confidence interval [CI] 144-160, p = <0.001 vs. summer) in spring, 130 (95% CI 122-137) in summer, 141 (95% CI 133-149, p = 0.020 vs. summer) in autumn and 170 (95% CI 161-179, p = <0.001 vs. summer) in winter. Seasonal variation was more pronounced in intracerebral hemorrhage than in ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: In the present large-scale stroke registry of general population, incidence rates of stroke were highest in winter and lowest in summer in current Japan.

School-based routine screenings of electrocardiograms for the diagnosis of long QT syndrome.

AIMS: School-based routine screenings of electrocardiograms (ECGs) have been performed upon admission to primary school (PS), junior high school (JHS), and high school (HS) in Japan. Though ECGs with prolonged QT intervals are occasionally found, the role of regular ECG screening tests in identifying long QT syndrome (LQTS) remains to be determined. We investigated the usefulness of the ECG screenings by comparing the results of genetic tests between students who showed QT-prolongation in the screenings and patients with LQTS. METHODS AND RESULTS: We genetically screened 341 students (106 PS, 173 JHS, and 62 HS). Of these, 230 subjects showed QT-prolongation during regular screenings (S-S group), and the other 111 patients were clinically consulted with suspected LQTS by paediatricians (C-C group). Genotype-phenotype relationships were compared between the two groups. The positive rates in the genetic tests were comparable among the two groups; however, symptomatic subjects were significantly fewer in the S-S group than the C-C group (3% vs. 70%). Compared to the genotype-negative subjects, the positive subjects showed significantly longer QTc (P < 0.0001) and more frequently presented LQTS risk scores with ≥3.5 points (P < 0.0001). Lethal arrhythmic events (LAE) occurred only in the C-C group; 18 subjects experienced LAE and 83% of them were found to carry variant(s) in the LQTS-related genes. CONCLUSION: The school-based ECG screenings are effective in identifying young patients with LQTS who require genetic analysis. If individuals are screened at a younger age, we can identify patients at risk earlier and provide preventative treatments.

Relationship of leisure-time and household physical activity level and type with cardiovascular disease: secondary analysis of the Takashima Study data.

BACKGROUND: High levels of participation in leisure-time and household physical activity lower the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), although it is unclear whether the number of activity types is related to new-onset CVD. We aimed to evaluate the effect of the amount of leisure-time physical activity and the number of types of leisure-time physical activities on the risk of CVD incidence. METHODS: From 2002 to 2003, 3,741 participants without any history of CVD participated in the Takashima Study. Data on the amount of leisure-time and household physical activity and the types of leisure-time and household physical activity were obtained from a self-administered questionnaire. Hazard ratios for CVD (acute myocardial infarction and stroke) incidence (follow-up data from 2002 to 2013), according to the participation level and number of activity types, were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: The mean age of the subjects was 58.7 ± 13.1 years. During the mean follow-up period of 8.0 ± 1.1 years, 92 participants developed CVD. An inverse dose-response relationship was noted between the amount of leisure-time and household physical activity and CVD events. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, lifestyle-related diseases, and the amount of physical activity other than leisure-time and household, the risk of CVD onset was compared by dividing the participants into two groups by the level of participation; the highest activity group had an adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 0.40 (0.20-0.82) compared to the lowest activity group. Compared to participants who engaged in 0-1 type of activity, participants who engaged in two or more types of activities had a multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) of 0.31 (0.12-0.79). CONCLUSION: Increasing the amount of leisure-time and household physical activity and promoting engagement in two or more types of such activities may reduce the rate of CVD incidence in the Japanese general population.

Association between adherence to warfarin and thrombotic events in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome in Japan: A claims-based retrospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate adherence and persistence to warfarin therapy among patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) and investigate the association between adherence and thrombotic events in those patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Japan Medical Data Center claims database from 2005 to 2018. Patients with APS receiving warfarin treatment were included in this study. Adherence and persistence were evaluated using the proportion of days covered (PDS) and refill gap methods, respectively. Demographic characteristics of patients were obtained. Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank tests and Cox regression models were used to examine the association between adherence or persistence and time to thrombotic events. RESULTS: A total of 186 patients (mean age: 46.5 ± 12.4 years, females 68.8%) were included in this study. No significant differences were observed in risk factors for thrombosis and cardiovascular diseases among groups. Most patients were adherent (91.4%) and persistent (88.2%) to warfarin treatment. Adherent and persistent patients had a significantly higher rate of thrombotic event-free survival than nonadherent and nonpersistent patients (p < 0.05). Multivariable Cox regression showed that the risk of thrombotic events was higher in nonadherent patients (with a hazard ratio of 3.23 [95% confidence interval CI: 1.15-9.11]) and in nonpersistent patients (with a hazard ratio of 3.45 [95% CI: 1.35-8.82]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with APS, nonadherence and nonpersistence to warfarin treatment was associated with a higher risk of thrombotic events, suggesting the careful monitoring of those patients.

Association between Stress-Coping Strategy and Functional Disability in the General Older Adult Population: The Takashima Study.

BACKGROUND: Both physical and psychological factors have been associated with functional disability. However, the associations between stress-coping strategies and future functional disability remain unclear. METHODS: We analyzed 2,924 participants who did not have incidence of functional disability or death within the first 3 years of the baseline survey and were aged 65 years or more at the end of follow-up. Stress-coping strategies were assessed via a self-administered questionnaire (emotional expression, emotional support seeking, positive thought, problem-solving, and disengagement) in a baseline survey from 2006 to 2014. Levels of coping strategies were classified as low, middle, and high based of frequency. Functional disability decline was followed up using the long-term-care insurance program until November 1, 2019. Functional disability decline was defined as a new long-term-care insurance program certification. Cox proportional hazards model with competing risk analysis for death was used to evaluate associations between coping strategy levels and functional disability. RESULTS: During the follow-up period, we observed 341 cases of functional disability and 73 deaths without previous incidence of functional disability. A significant inverse association between "positive thought" and "problem-solving" and future functional disability was observed. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for functional disability were 0.68 (0.51-0.92) for high levels of "positive thought" and 0.73 (0.55-0.95) for high levels of "problem-solving," compared with low levels of the coping strategies. The inverse association was stronger in men. CONCLUSIONS: Some subcomponents of stress-coping strategies might be associated with future incidence of functional disability among older adults.

Clinical epidemiology and pharmacoepidemiology studies with real-world databases.

Hospital-based registry data, including patients' information collected by academic societies or government based research groups, were previously used for clinical research in Japan. Now, real-world data routinely obtained in healthcare settings are being used in clinical epidemiology and pharmacoepidemiology. Real-world data include a database of claims originating from health insurance associations for reimbursement of medical fees, diagnosis procedure combinations databases for acute inpatient care in hospitals, a drug prescription database, and electronic medical records, including patients' medical information obtained by doctors, derived from electronic records of hospitals. In the past ten years, much evidence of clinical epidemiology and pharmacoepidemiology studies using real-world data has been accumulated. The purpose of this review was to introduce clinical epidemiology and pharmacoepidemiology approaches and studies using real-world data in Japan.

Relationship of Ambient Temperature Parameters to Stroke Incidence in a Japanese Population　- Takashima Stroke Registry, Japan, 1988-2010.

BACKGROUND: Using a population-based stroke registry system, we evaluated the relationship between ambient temperature parameters and stroke incidence in a Japanese population.Methods and Results:We analyzed data from the Takashima Stroke Registry, which records all stroke occurrences in Takashima City, Japan. The study period of 8,401 days was divided into quintiles of daily weather parameters, and the middle quintile was used as the reference category. Incidence rates (IR per 100,000 person-years) were calculated across the quintiles. Poisson regression analysis was used to calculate the effect of temperature parameters on stroke incidence. There were 2,405 first-ever strokes (1,294 men), including 1,625 ischemic, 545 cerebral hemorrhages, 213 subarachnoid hemorrhages, and 22 unclassified strokes. The stroke IR was higher in the middle quintile of average temperature, 357.3 (328.4-388.8), and for other parameters. After adjustment for age and sex, for all stroke, the incidence rate ratio (IRR) in the highest (Q5: IRR 0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.71-0.92) and the second-highest (Q4: IRR 0.80, 95% CI 0.71-0.91) quintile was lower than that in the middle quintile (Q3: Reference). Analogous results were observed for the minimum, maximum, and lag-days temperatures, also in the subtypes and across ≥65 years of age, also in females. CONCLUSIONS: Higher temperatures, irrespective of the parameter (average, minimum, or maximum), had a protective effect against stroke occurrence in Japan.

Inclusion of a gene-environment interaction between alcohol consumption and the aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 genotype in a risk prediction model for upper aerodigestive tract cancer in Japanese men.

The well-known gene-environment interaction between alcohol consumption and aldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) genotype in upper aerodigestive tract cancer risk may improve our ability to identify high-risk subjects. Here, we developed and validated risk prediction models for this cancer in Japanese men and evaluated whether adding the gene-environment interaction to the model improved the predictive performance. We developed two case-cohort datasets in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study: one from subjects in the baseline survey for model development (108 cases and 4049 subcohort subjects) and the second from subjects in the 5-year follow-up survey for model validation (31 cases and 1527 subcohort subjects). We developed an environmental model including age, smoking status, and alcohol consumption, and a gene-environment interaction model including age, smoking status, and the combination of alcohol consumption and the ALDH2 genotype. We found a statistically significant gene-environment interaction for alcohol consumption and the ALDH2 genotype. The c-index for the gene-environment interaction model (0.71) was slightly higher than that for the environmental model (0.67). The values of integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement for the gene-environment interaction model were also slightly higher than those for the environmental model. Goodness-of-fit tests suggested that the models were well calibrated. Results from external model validation by the 5-year follow-up survey were consistent with those from the model development by the baseline survey. The addition of a gene-environment interaction to a lifestyle-based model might improve the performance to estimate the probability of developing upper aerodigestive tract cancer for Japanese men.

A randomized study comparing docetaxel/cyclophosphamide (TC), 5-fluorouracil/epirubicin/cyclophosphamide (FEC) followed by TC, and TC followed by FEC for patients with hormone receptor-positive HER2-negative primary breast cancer.

PURPOSE: Our primary objective was to determine the benefit/risk of anthracycline-free regimens by comparing docetaxel + cyclophosphamide (TC) alone, fluorouracil + epirubicin + cyclophosphamide (FEC) followed by TC, or TC followed by FEC as a primary treatment for patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative BC. METHODS: We randomized patients with stage I-III HR-positive HER2-negative, operable BC to receive either six cycles of TC (TC6), three cycles of FEC followed by three cycles of TC (FEC-TC), or three cycles of TC followed by three cycles of FEC (TC-FEC). The primary endpoint was the pathological response. Secondary endpoints included clinical response, type of surgical procedure, recurrence, death, and adverse events (by NCI-Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v.3.0). We conducted all statistical analyses using SAS Version 9.2. RESULTS: We enrolled 195 patients and analyzed data from 193 as the intention-to-treat population. Pathological complete response rates were numerically higher in the TC6 group than in the other groups (p = 0.321). The breast conservation rate was significantly higher in the TC6 group (73%) than in the other groups (FEC-TC 51%, TC-FEC 45%, p = 0.007). Adverse events with grade > 3 were not common in the treatment groups (p = 0.569). The overall and distant disease-free survivals were similar among the groups with median follow-up of 5.80 years. CONCLUSIONS: Despite similar long-term efficacy and safety profile, the higher breast conservation rate in the TC6 group suggests that preoperative chemotherapy without an anthracycline may benefit patients with HR-positive HER2-negative BC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN000003283 https://upload.umin.ac.jp/cgi-open-bin/ctr_e/ctr_view.cgi?recptno=R000003873.

Two-Year Recurrence After First-Ever Stroke in a General Population of 1.4 Million Japanese Patients　- The Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry Study.

BACKGROUND: Despite many effective strategies for the prevention of recurrent stroke, individuals who survive an initial stroke have been shown to be at high risk of recurrent stroke. The aim of this study was to investigate the current status of stroke recurrence after first-ever stroke using a population-based stroke registry in Japan.Methods and Results:As part of the Shiga Stroke and Heart Attack Registry, the Shiga Stroke Registry is an ongoing population-based stroke registry study that covers approximately 1.4 million residents of Shiga Prefecture, Japan. A total of 1,883 first-ever stroke survivors at 28 days was registered in 2011 and followed-up until the end of 2013. Recurrence was defined as any type of stroke after 28 days from the onset of an index event. Two-year cumulative recurrence rates were estimated using cumulative incidence function methods. Over a mean 2.1-year follow-up period, 120 patients experienced recurrent stroke and 389 patients died without recurrence. The 2-year cumulative recurrence rate was higher in patients with index ischemic stroke (6.8%) than in those with index hemorrhagic stroke (3.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Two-year cumulative recurrence rate after first-ever stroke remained high, particularly among patients with ischemic stroke, in the present population-based registry study in a real-world setting in Japan. Further intensive secondary prevention strategies are required for these high-risk individuals.

Estimating the cost-effectiveness of screening for hepatitis C virus infection in Japan.

AIM: The management of hepatitis C virus (HCV) has changed with the advent of interferon (IFN)-free treatment and the declining prevalence of HCV infection, which may impact the cost-effectiveness of the screening. We aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness and clinical outcomes of three screening strategies in the Japanese general population: no screening, screening plus IFN-based therapy, and screening plus IFN-free therapy. METHODS: We developed a decision analytic Markov model for screening intervention and natural history of HCV. Model parameters were derived from published literature. A lifetime horizon and the healthcare payer perspective were taken. Subanalyses included high screening scenario with improved rates of screening and attending referral, in addition to heterogeneity analysis by age subgroup. RESULTS: In the base case, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio in the Japanese general population aged 40-89 years was ¥1 124 482 and ¥1 085 183 per quality-adjusted life year gained for screening plus IFN-free therapy compared with no screening and screening plus IFN-based therapy, respectively. Screening plus IFN-free therapy remained cost-effective below ¥5 000 000 per quality-adjusted life year gained in sensitivity analyses. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were lower in the younger population. Nearly 0.2% of HCV-related deaths were avoided by 1.5% of the general population screened followed by IFN-free therapy relative to no screening; the impact was greater with improved rates of screening and attending referral. CONCLUSIONS: Screening and subsequent IFN-free therapy for HCV appears to be cost-effective. Early diagnosis and treatment would produce a favorable incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Improved rates of screening and attending referral would result in further reduction of disease progression.

Plasma C-peptide and glycated albumin and subsequent risk of cancer: From a large prospective case-cohort study in Japan.

To elucidate the individual impacts of insulin and blood glucose on cancer risk, we investigated the association of plasma C-peptide, a surrogated marker of insulin and glycated albumin (GA), a more stable marker of blood glucose, with all-site and site-specific cancer risk by mutually accounting for their confounding effects. The study was prospectively conducted with nearly 4,000 cancer cases arising in our population-based cohort of 33,736 subjects who answered the baseline questionnaire and supplied blood samples. After exclusion of subjects with apparent DM, analysis was done in 3,036 cancer cases and 3,667 subcohort subjects. Among men and women combined, highest levels of C-peptide were statistically significantly associated with an increased risk of all-site [Hazard ratio (HR): 1.21; 95% confidence interval: 1.02-1.42], colon [1.73; 1.20-2.47], liver [3.23; 1.76-5.91], kidney, renal pelvis and ureter cancers [2.47; 1.07-5.69], compared to the respective lowest levels, after adjustment for GA levels. Among these C-peptide-related cancers, colon and liver cancers also showed an increased risk associated with elevated GA levels independently of C-peptide levels. The corresponding HRs for colon and liver cancers compared to the highest and lowest GA levels were 1.43 [1.02-2.00] and 2.02 [1.15-3.55], respectively. Effect modification by gender was only evident for the association between C-peptide and colon cancer (p for interaction = 0.04). Higher insulin levels, independently of higher blood glucose levels, may be relevant to DM-related carcinogenesis for several cancer sites. Examination of circulating insulin levels is a plausible option in evaluating cancer risk even in individuals who have not developed DM.