Markers of Myocardial Stress, Myocardial Injury, and Subclinical Inflammation and the Risk of Sudden Death.

BACKGROUND: The majority of sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs) occur in low-risk populations often as the first manifestation of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Biomarkers are screening tools that may identify subclinical cardiovascular disease and those at elevated risk for SCD. We aimed to determine whether the total to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein individually or in combination could identify individuals at higher SCD risk in large, free-living populations with and without cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We performed a nested case-control study within 6 prospective cohort studies using 565 SCD cases matched to 1090 controls (1:2) by age, sex, ethnicity, smoking status, and presence of cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: The median study follow-up time until SCD was 11.3 years. When examined as quartiles or continuous variables in conditional logistic regression models, each of the biomarkers was significantly and independently associated with SCD risk after mutually controlling for cardiac risk factors and other biomarkers. The mutually adjusted odds ratios for the top compared with the bottom quartile were 1.90 (95% CI, 1.30-2.76) for total to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, 2.59 (95% CI, 1.76-3.83) for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, 1.65 (95% CI, 1.12-2.44) for NT-proBNP, and 1.65 (95% CI, 1.13-2.41) for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. A biomarker score that awarded 1 point when the concentration of any of those 4 biomarkers was in the top quartile (score range, 0-4) was strongly associated with SCD, with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.56 (95% CI, 1.37-1.77) per 1-unit increase in the score. CONCLUSIONS: Widely available measures of lipids, subclinical myocardial injury, myocardial strain, and vascular inflammation show significant independent associations with SCD risk in apparently low-risk populations. In combination, these measures may have utility to identify individuals at risk for SCD.

Simple electrocardiographic measures improve sudden arrhythmic death prediction in coronary disease.

AIMS: To determine whether the combination of standard electrocardiographic (ECG) markers reflecting domains of arrhythmic risk improves sudden and/or arrhythmic death (SAD) risk stratification in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS AND RESULTS: The association between ECG markers and SAD was examined in a derivation cohort (PREDETERMINE; N = 5462) with adjustment for clinical risk factors, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and competing risk. Competing outcome models assessed the differential association of ECG markers with SAD and competing mortality. The predictive value of a derived ECG score was then validated (ARTEMIS; N = 1900). In the derivation cohort, the 5-year cumulative incidence of SAD was 1.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.9] and 6.2% (95% CI 4.5-8.3) in those with a low- and high-risk ECG score, respectively (P for Δ < 0.001). A high-risk ECG score was more strongly associated with SAD than non-SAD mortality (adjusted hazard ratios = 2.87 vs. 1.38 respectively; P for Δ = 0.003) and the proportion of deaths due to SAD was greater in the high vs. low risk groups (24.9% vs. 16.5%, P for Δ = 0.03). Similar findings were observed in the validation cohort. The addition of ECG markers to a clinical risk factor model inclusive of LVEF improved indices of discrimination and reclassification in both derivation and validation cohorts, including correct reclassification of 28% of patients in the validation cohort [net reclassification improvement 28 (7-49%), P = 0.009]. CONCLUSION: For patients with CHD, an externally validated ECG score enriched for both absolute and proportional SAD risk and significantly improved risk stratification compared to standard clinical risk factors including LVEF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01114269. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01114269.

Gender differences in prevalence and prognostic value of fragmented QRS complex.

BACKGROUND: Fragmented QRS (fQRS) on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is associated with scarred myocardium and adverse outcome. However, the data on gender differences in terms of its prevalence and prognostic value is sparse. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether gender differences in fQRS exist among subjects drawn from populations with different risk profiles. METHODS: We analyzed fQRS from 12-lead ECG in 953 autopsy-confirmed victims of sudden cardiac death (SCD) (78% men; 67.0 ± 11.4 yrs), 1900 coronary artery disease (CAD) patients with angiographically confirmed stenosis of ≥50% (70% men; 66.6 ± 9.0 yrs, 43% with previous myocardial infarction [MI]), and in 10,904 adults drawn from the Finnish adult general population (52% men; 44.0 ± 8.5 yrs). RESULTS: Prevalence of fQRS was associated with older age, male sex and the history and severity of prior cardiac disease of subjects. Among the general population fQRS was more commonly found among men in comparison to women (20.5% vs. 14.8%, p < 0.001). The prevalence of fQRS rose gradually along with the severity of prior cardiac disease in both genders, yet remained significantly higher in the male population: subjects with suspected or known cardiac disease (25.4% vs. 15.8% p < 0.001), CAD patients without prior MI (39.9% vs. 26.4%, p < 0.001), CAD patients with prior MI (42.9% vs. 31.2%, p < 0.001), and victims of SCD (56.4% vs. 44.4%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of QRS fragmentation varies in different populations. The fragmentation is clearly related to the underlying cardiac disease in both genders, however women seem to have significantly lower prevalence of fQRS in each patient population in comparison to men.

Fragmented QRS complex as a predictor of exercise-related sudden cardiac death.

INTRODUCTION: Little is known about the association between electrocardiographic abnormalities and exercise-related sudden cardiac death. Therefore, our aim was to identify possible electrocardiographic findings related to exercise-induced sudden cardiac death. METHODS AND RESULTS: The FinGesture study includes 3,989 consecutive sudden cardiac deaths in northern Finland between 1998 and 2012, out of whom a total of 647 subjects had a previously recorded electrocardiography acquired from the archives of Oulu University Hospital. In 276 of these cases the death was witnessed, and the activity at the time of death was either rest or physical exercise (PE); in 40 (14%) cases sudden cardiac death was exercise-related and in 236 (86%) cases death took place at rest. Fragmented QRS complex in at least two consecutive leads within anterior leads (V1-V3) was more common in the exercise-group compared to rest-group (17 of 40, 43% vs. 51 of 236, 22%, P  =  0.005). Pathologic Q wave in anterior leads was more common in the PE group (9 of 40, 23% vs. 26 of 236, 11%; P  =  0.044). Median QRS duration was prolonged in the exercise-group compared to the rest-group (100 milliseconds vs. 94 milliseconds, P = 0.047). QTc interval, the prevalence of inverted T-waves, or other electrocardiographic abnormalities did not differ significantly between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: As a conclusion, fragmented QRS complex in the anterior leads is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death during PE.

Inferolateral early repolarization among non-ischaemic sudden cardiac death victims.

Aim: Inferolateral early repolarization (ER) has been associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, this association is thought to be mainly due to ischaemic SCD. The association of ER and non-ischaemic SCD has not been studied. The aim was to evaluate whether inferolateral ER is associated with non-ischaemic SCD. Methods and results: Study population consists of 275 consecutive victims of non-ischaemic SCD with 12-lead ECG and control group of general population cohort with 10 864 subjects. Sudden cardiac deaths were verified as non-ischaemic by medicolegal autopsy. Hypertensive cardiomyopathy (HTCMP) (25%), alcohol related dilated cardiomyopathy (ACMP) (24%), obesity associated cardiomyopathy (OCMP) (23%), and idiopathic myocardial fibrosis (IMF) (15%) were the most common causes of non-ischaemic SCD. A structurally normal heart was seen in only 1.5%. The prevalence of inferolateral ER was 20.7% among patients with non-ischaemic SCD compared to 5.3% in the general population (P < 0.001). The ECG pattern was accompanied with a horizontal/descending ST segment in 95% of the cases. The prevalence of inferolateral ER was slightly higher in the HTCMP group (26%) and the ACMP group (24%) than in the IMF group (20%) and the OCMP group (13%). The history of previously diagnosed cardiac diseases was not higher among subjects with ER (55%) than those without (59%, P = 0.59). Conclusion: The prevalence of inferolateral ER among non-ischaemic SCD victims is high. Almost all ER patterns are accompanied with the malignant horizontal/descending ST segment morphology suggesting that inferolateral ER is not only associated with an ischaemic SCD but also a non-ischaemic SCD.

Diabetes, glucose tolerance, and the risk of sudden cardiac death.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes predisposes to sudden cardiac death (SCD). However, it is uncertain whether greater proportion of cardiac deaths are sudden among diabetes patients than other subjects. It is also unclear whether the risk of SCD is pronounced already early in the course of the disease. The relationship of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and SCD is scarcely documented. METHODS: A general population cohort of 10594 middle-aged subjects (mean age 44 years, 52.6 % male, follow-up duration 35-41 years) was divided into diabetes patients (n = 82), subjects with IGT (n = 3806, plasma glucose ≥9.58 mmol/l in one-hour glucose tolerance test), and controls (n = 6706). RESULTS: Diabetes patients had an increased risk of SCD after adjustment confounders (hazard ratio 2.62, 95 % confidence interval 1.46-4.70, p = 0.001) but risk for non-sudden cardiac death was similarly increased and the proportion of SCD of cardiac deaths was not increased. The SCD risk persisted after exclusion of subjects with baseline cardiac disease or non-fatal cardiac events during the follow-up. Subjects with IGT were at increased risk for SCD (univariate hazard ratio 1.51; 95 % confidence interval 1.31-1.74; p < 0.001) and also for non-sudden cardiac deaths and non-fatal cardiac events but adjustments for other risk factors attenuated these effects. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes was associated with increased risk of SCD but also the risk of non-sudden cardiac death was similarly increased. The proportion of cardiac deaths being sudden in subjects with diabetes was not increased. The higher SCD risk in diabetes patients was independent of known cardiac disease at baseline or occurrence of non-fatal cardiac event during the follow-up.

12-Lead electrocardiogram as a predictor of sudden cardiac death: from epidemiology to clinical practice.

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) causes a high burden of premature deaths in the population affecting subjects of all ages. The identification of subjects at high risk for SCD is of great importance as the prevention of many of these events would be possible with the treatment of underlying cardiac diseases and the use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD). However, the current selection of patients for ICD therapy is based solely on left ventricular ejection fraction, and thus a substantial portion of patients at high risk does not qualify for the therapy. Role of the standard electrocardiogram (ECG) in SCD risk stratification has been under active research during the last decade and multiple abnormalities of depolarization and repolarization on the ECG associated with an increased risk of SCD have been identified. In this review, we describe the basic pathophysiological principles behind these changes. We also review the current knowledge of the prognostic significance of ECG predictors of SCD in the general population, and in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), heart failure, cardiomyopathies, and in inheritable arrhythmia syndromes. Also, insights into the novel digital ECG signal processing techniques are provided.

Electrocardiographic T Wave Abnormalities and the Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Finnish Perspective.

The identification of patients at risk for sudden cardiac death (SCD) is still a significant challenge to clinicians and scientists. Noninvasive identification of high-risk patients has been of great interest, and several ventricular depolarization and repolarization abnormalities in the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) have been associated with increased vulnerability to lethal ventricular arrhythmias. Several benign and pathological conditions can induce changes in repolarization detected as alteration of the ST segment or T wave. Changes in the ST segment and T waves can be early markers of an underlying cardiovascular disease, and even minor ST-T abnormalities have predicted reduced survival and increased risk of SCD in the adult population. In this review, we will discuss the current knowledge of the SCD risk with standard 12-lead ECG T wave abnormalities in the general population, and possible T wave changes in various cardiac conditions predisposing to SCD.

Sensitivity and specificity of automated detection of early repolarization in standard 12-lead electrocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization (ER) is defined as an elevation of the QRS-ST junction in at least two inferior or lateral leads of the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Our purpose was to create an algorithm for the automated detection and classification of ER. METHODS: A total of 6,047 electrocardiograms were manually graded for ER by two experienced readers. The automated detection of ER was based on quantification of the characteristic slurring or notching in ER-positive leads. The ER detection algorithm was tested and its results were compared with manual grading, which served as the reference. RESULTS: Readers graded 183 ECGs (3.0%) as ER positive, of which the algorithm detected 176 recordings, resulting in sensitivity of 96.2%. Of the 5,864 ER-negative recordings, the algorithm classified 5,281 as negative, resulting in 90.1% specificity. Positive and negative predictive values for the algorithm were 23.2% and 99.9%, respectively, and its accuracy was 90.2%. Inferior ER was correctly detected in 84.6% and lateral ER in 98.6% of the cases. CONCLUSIONS: As the automatic algorithm has high sensitivity, it could be used as a prescreening tool for ER; only the electrocardiograms graded positive by the algorithm would be reviewed manually. This would reduce the need for manual labor by 90%.

Prognostic significance of prolonged PR interval in the general population.

AIMS: Prolonged PR interval, or first degree AV block, has been traditionally regarded as a benign electrocardiographic finding in healthy individuals, until recent studies have suggested that it may be associated with increased mortality and morbidity. The aim of this study was to further elucidate clinical and prognostic importance of prolonged PR interval in a large middle-aged population with a long follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated 12-lead electrocardiograms of 10 785 individuals aged 30-59 years (mean age 44 years, 52% males) recorded between 1966 and 1972, and followed the subjects for 30 ± 11 years. Prolonged PR interval was defined as PR >200 ms, with further analysis performed using PR ≥220 ms. Main endpoints were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and sudden cardiac death, and other endpoints included hospitalizations due to cardiovascular causes. During the baseline examination, prolonged PR interval >200 ms was present in 2.1% of the subjects, but PR interval normalized to ≤200 ms in 30% of these individuals during the follow-up. No increase in mortality or in hospitalizations due to coronary artery disease, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, or stroke was associated with prolonged PR interval (P = non-significant for all endpoints). These results were not changed after multivariate adjustment or in several subanalyses. CONCLUSION: In the middle-aged general population, prolonged PR interval normalizes in a substantial proportion of subjects during the time course, and it is not associated with an increased risk of all-cause or cardiovascular mortality.

Prevalence and prognostic significance of T-wave inversions in right precordial leads of a 12-lead electrocardiogram in the middle-aged subjects.

BACKGROUND: T-wave inversion in right precordial leads V(1) to V(3) is a relatively common finding in a 12-lead ECG of children and adolescents and is infrequently found also in healthy adults. However, this ECG pattern can also be the first presentation of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy. The prevalence and prognostic significance of T-wave inversions in the middle-aged general population are not well known. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated 12-lead ECGs of 10 899 Finnish middle-aged subjects (52% men, mean age 44 ± 8.5 years) recorded between 1966 and 1972 for the presence of inverted T waves and followed the subjects for 30 ± 11 years. Primary end points were all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and arrhythmic death. T-wave inversions in right precordial leads V(1) to V(3) were present in 54 (0.5%) of the subjects. In addition, 76 (0.7%) of the subjects had inverted T waves present only in leads other than V(1) to V(3). Right precordial T-wave inversions did not predict increased mortality (not significant for all end points). However, inverted T waves in leads other than V(1) to V(3) were associated with an increased risk of cardiac and arrhythmic death (P<0.001 for both). CONCLUSIONS: T-wave inversions in right precordial leads are relatively rare in the general population, and are not associated with adverse outcome. Increased mortality risk associated with inverted T waves in other leads may reflect the presence of an underlying structural heart disease.

Clinical significance of variants of J-points and J-waves: early repolarization patterns and risk.

The variations in the electrocardiographic patterns of J-point elevations, and the complex of J-points and J-waves in early repolarization (ER), in conjunction with disparities in associated sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk, have lead to a recognition of the need to carefully classify the spectrum of these observations. Many questions about the pathogenesis of J-wave patterns, and the associated magnitudes of risk, remain unanswered, especially in regard to the risk implications in certain high-prevalence subpopulations such as athletes, children, and adolescents. Interest in these electrocardiography (ECG) patterns has grown dramatically in recent years, in large part because of the frequency with which these patterns are observed on routine ECGs. In this review, we discuss the current knowledge on the prevalence of different J-point/J-wave patterns and estimates of the magnitude of mortality and SCD risk associated with J-point elevations and J-waves, in what has become known as ER patterns.

A randomized clinical trial of omega-3 fatty acid and vitamin D supplementation on electrocardiographic risk profiles.

Beneficial and adverse associations with arrhythmias have been reported for omega-3 fatty acids (omega-3 FA) and Vitamin D. The 12 lead electrocardiogram (ECG) contains quantitative measures reflecting diverse aspects of electrophysiology that might provide insights into mechanisms underlying these associations. In a pre-specified ancillary study of the VITaminD and omegA-3 (VITAL) trial, we examined the effect of 1 g of marine omega-3 FA per day, comprised of 460 mg eicosapentanoic acid and 380 mg of docosahexaenoic acid, and 2000 IU VitaminD3 per day on ECG characteristics associated with atrial and ventricular arrhythmias among individuals age 50 years or greater. A total of 911 study participants underwent ECGs at baseline and again at 2 years after the randomization. Individuals randomized to active omega-3 FA demonstrated significant net increase in PR-interval duration (p = 0.005) and P-wave duration (p = 0.03) as well significant net decrease in P-wave amplitude (p = 0.037) as compared to placebo. RMSSD increased to a greater extent in the omega-3 FA arm compared to placebo (p = 0.040). For Vitamin D3, the Cornell voltage increased to a lesser extent in the participants assigned to active treatment as compared to placebo (p = 0.044). There were no other significant differences in QRS, QTc, Cornell voltage or heart rate. Thus, randomized treatment with omega-3 FA supplements resulted in changes on the ECG that are potentially reflective of heightened vagal tone and/or slowing of intraatrial and AV conduction. Vitamin D3 supplementation resulted in modest reductions in progressive LV voltage suggestive of a potential antihypertrophic effect.Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT01169259, NCT02178410 (06/26/2010 and 06/30/2014).

Early repolarization: electrocardiographic phenotypes associated with favorable long-term outcome.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization (ER) in inferior/lateral leads of standard ECGs increases the risk of arrhythmic death. We tested the hypothesis that variations in the ST-segment characteristics after the ER waveforms may have prognostic importance. METHODS AND RESULTS: ST segments after ER were classified as horizontal/descending or rapidly ascending/upsloping on the basis of observations from 2 independent samples of young healthy athletes from Finland (n=62) and the United States (n=503), where ascending type was the dominant and common form of ER. Early repolarization was present in 27/62 (44%) of the Finnish athletes and 151/503 (30%) of the US athletes, and all but 1 of the Finnish (96%) and 91/107 (85%) of US athletes had an ascending/upsloping ST variant after ER. Subsequently, ECGs from a general population of 10 864 middle-aged subjects were analyzed to assess the prognostic modulation of ER-associated risk by ST-segment variations. Subjects with ER ≥0.1 mV and horizontal/descending ST variant (n=412) had an increased hazard ratio of arrhythmic death (relative risk 1.43; 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.94). When modeled for higher amplitude ER (>0.2 mV) in inferior leads and horizontal/descending ST-segment variant, the hazard ratio of arrhythmic death increased to 3.14 (95% confidence interval 1.56 to 6.30). However, in subjects with ascending ST variant, the relative risk for arrhythmic death was not increased (0.89; 95% confidence interval 0.52 to 1.55). CONCLUSIONS: ST-segment morphology variants associated with ER separates subjects with and without an increased risk of arrhythmic death in middle-aged subjects. Rapidly ascending ST segments after the J-point, the dominant ST pattern in healthy athletes, seems to be a benign variant of ER.

Long-term outcome associated with early repolarization on electrocardiography.

BACKGROUND: Early repolarization, which is characterized by an elevation of the QRS-ST junction (J point) in leads other than V(1) through V(3) on 12-lead electrocardiography, has been associated with vulnerability to ventricular fibrillation, but little is known about the prognostic significance of this pattern in the general population. METHODS: We assessed the prevalence and prognostic significance of early repolarization on 12-lead electrocardiography in a community-based general population of 10,864 middle-aged subjects (mean [+/-SD] age, 44+/-8 years). The primary end point was death from cardiac causes, and secondary end points were death from any cause and death from arrhythmia during a mean follow-up of 30+/-11 years. Early repolarization was stratified according to the degree of J-point elevation (> or = 0.1 mV or > 0.2 mV) in either inferior or lateral leads. RESULTS: The early-repolarization pattern of 0.1 mV or more was present in 630 subjects (5.8%): 384 (3.5%) in inferior leads and 262 (2.4%) in lateral leads, with elevations in both leads in 16 subjects (0.1%). J-point elevation of at least 0.1 mV in inferior leads was associated with an increased risk of death from cardiac causes (adjusted relative risk, 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 1.59; P=0.03); 36 subjects (0.3%) with J-point elevation of more than 0.2 mV in inferior leads had a markedly elevated risk of death from cardiac causes (adjusted relative risk, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.85 to 4.92; P<0.001) and from arrhythmia (adjusted relative risk, 2.92; 95% CI, 1.45 to 5.89; P=0.01). Other electrocardiographic risk markers, such as a prolonged QT interval corrected for heart rate (P=0.03) and left ventricular hypertrophy (P=0.004), were weaker predictors of the primary end point. CONCLUSIONS: An early-repolarization pattern in the inferior leads of a standard electrocardiogram is associated with an increased risk of death from cardiac causes in middle-aged subjects.

QRS-T angle as a predictor of sudden cardiac death in a middle-aged general population.

AIMS: Spatial QRS-T angle measured from a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) has been shown to predict cardiac mortality. However, there is a paucity of studies on the prognostic significance of frontal QRS-T angle, which is more readily available from the standard 12-lead ECG. The purpose of the present study was to investigate the importance of wide frontal QRS-T angle, QRS-axis, and T-wave axis as cardiac risk predictors in general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: We evaluated the 12-lead ECGs of 10 957 Finnish middle-aged subjects from the general population recorded between 1966 and 1972, and followed them for 30 ± 11 years. QRS-T angle 0 to 90°, QRS-axis -30 to 90°, and T-wave axis 0 to 90° were considered normal. The primary endpoint was death from arrhythmia, and the secondary endpoints were all-cause mortality and non-arrhythmic cardiac mortality. QRS-T angle ≥ 100° was present in 2.0% of the subjects, and it was associated with an increased risk of sudden arrhythmic death [relative risk (RR) 2.26; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.59-3.21; P< 0.001) and all-cause mortality (RR 1.57; CI 1.34-1.84; P< 0.001), but not with non-arrhythmic cardiac mortality (RR 1.34; CI 0.93-1.92; P= 0.13). The prognostic significance of wide QRS-T angle was mainly due to abnormal T-wave axis, which predicted death from arrhythmia (RR 2.13; CI 1.63-2.79; P< 0.001), all-cause mortality (RR 1.39; 1.24-1.55; P< 0.001), and non-arrhythmic cardiac death (RR 1.87; CI 1.50-2.34; P< 0.001). CONCLUSION: Frontal QRS-T angle ≥ 100° increases the risk of arrhythmic death, this being mainly the result of an altered T-wave axis.

Risk of sudden cardiac death associated with QRS, QTc, and JTc intervals in the general population.

BACKGROUND: QRS duration and corrected QT (QTc) interval have been associated with sudden cardiac death (SCD), but no data are available on the significance of repolarization component (JTc interval) of the QTc interval as an independent risk marker in the general population. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we sought to quantify the risk of SCD associated with QRS, QTc, and JTc intervals. METHODS: This study was conducted using data from 3 population cohorts from different eras, comprising a total of 20,058 individuals. The follow-up period was limited to 10 years and age at baseline to 30-61 years. QRS duration and QT interval (Bazett's) were measured from standard 12-lead electrocardiograms at baseline. JTc interval was defined as QTc interval - QRS duration. Cox proportional hazards models that controlled for confounding clinical factors identified at baseline were used to estimate the relative risk of SCD. RESULTS: During a mean period of 9.7 years, 207 SCDs occurred (1.1 per 1000 person-years). QRS duration was associated with a significantly increased risk of SCD in each cohort (pooled hazard ratio [HR] 1.030 per 1-ms increase; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.017-1.043). The QTc interval had borderline to significant associations with SCD and varied among cohorts (pooled HR 1.007; 95% CI 1.001-1.012). JTc interval as a continuous variable was not associated with SCD (pooled HR 1.001; 95% CI 0.996-1.007). CONCLUSION: Prolonged QRS durations and QTc intervals are associated with an increased risk of SCD. However, when the QTc interval is deconstructed into QRS and JTc intervals, the repolarization component (JTc) appears to have no independent prognostic value.

Electrocardiographic Risk Markers for Heart Failure in Women Versus Men.

Heart failure (HF) is one of the leading causes of hospitalization in the Western world. Women have a lower HF hospitalization rate and mortality compared with men. The role of electrocardiography as a risk marker of future HF in women is not well known. We studied association of electrocardiographic (ECG) risk factors for HF hospitalization in women from a large middle-aged general population with a long-term follow-up and compared the risk profile to men. Standard 12-lead ECG markers were analyzed from 10,864 subjects (49% women), and their predictive value for HF hospitalization was analyzed. During the follow-up (30 ± 11 years), a total of 1,743 subjects had HF hospitalization; of these, 861 were women (49%). Several baseline characteristics, such as age, body mass index, blood pressure, and history of previous cardiac disease predicted the occurrence of HF both in women and men (p <0.001 for all). After adjusting for baseline variables, ECG sign of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) (p <0.001), and atrial fibrillation (p <0.001) were the only baseline ECG variables that predicted future HF in women. In men, HF was predicted by fast heart rate (p = 0.008), T wave inversions (p <0.001), abnormal Q-waves (p = 0.002), and atrial fibrillation (p <0.001). Statistically significant gender interactions in prediction of HF were observed in ECG sign of LVH, inferolateral T wave inversions, and heart rate. In conclusion, ECG sign of LVH predicts future HF in middle-aged women, and T wave inversions and elevated heart rate are associated with HF hospitalization in men.

Electrocardiographic Risk Markers of Cardiac Death: Gender Differences in the General Population.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac death is one of the leading causes of death and sudden cardiac death (SCD) is estimated to cause approximately 50% of cardiac deaths. Men have a higher cardiac mortality than women. Consequently, the mechanisms and risk markers of cardiac mortality are not as well defined in women as they are in men. AIM: The aim of the study was to assess the prognostic value and possible gender differences of SCD risk markers of standard 12-lead electrocardiogram in three large general population samples. METHODS: The standard 12-lead electrocardiographic (ECG) markers were analyzed from three different Finnish general population samples including total of 20,310 subjects (49.9% women, mean age 44.8 ± 8.7 years). The primary endpoint was cardiac death, and SCD and all-cause mortality were secondary endpoints. The interaction effect between women and men was assessed for each ECG variable. RESULTS: During the follow-up (7.7 ± 1.2 years), a total of 883 deaths occurred (24.5% women, p < 0.001). There were 296 cardiac deaths (13.9% women, p < 0.001) and 149 SCDs (14.8% women, p < 0.001). Among those who had died due to cardiac cause, women had more often a normal electrocardiogram compared to men (39.0 vs. 27.5%, p = 0.132). After adjustments with common cardiovascular risk factors and the population sample, the following ECG variables predicted the primary endpoint in men: left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) with strain pattern (p < 0.001), QRS duration > 110 ms (p < 0.001), inferior or lateral T-wave inversion (p < 0.001) and inferolateral early repolarization (p = 0.033). In women none of the variables remained significant predictors of cardiac death in multivariable analysis, but LVH, QTc ≥ 490 ms and T-wave inversions predicted SCD (p < 0.047 and 0.033, respectively). In the interaction analysis, LVH (HR: 2.4; 95% CI: 1.2-4.9; p = 0.014) was stronger predictor of primary endpoint in women than in men. CONCLUSION: Several standard ECG variables provide independent information on the risk of cardiac mortality in men but not in women. LVH and T-wave inversions predict SCD also in women.