A genetic basis of mitochondrial DNAJA3 in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: NAFLD is the most common form of liver disease worldwide, but only a subset of individuals with NAFLD may progress to NASH. While NASH is an important etiology of HCC, the underlying mechanisms responsible for the conversion of NAFLD to NASH and then to HCC are poorly understood. We aimed to identify genetic risk genes that drive NASH and NASH-related HCC. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We searched genetic alleles among the 24 most significant alleles associated with body fat distribution from a genome-wide association study of 344,369 individuals and validated the top allele in 3 independent cohorts of American and European patients (N=1380) with NAFLD/NASH/HCC. We identified an rs3747579-TT variant significantly associated with NASH-related HCC and demonstrated that rs3747579 is expression quantitative trait loci of a mitochondrial DnaJ Heat Shock Protein Family (Hsp40) Member A3 ( DNAJA3 ). We also found that rs3747579-TT and a previously identified PNPLA3 as a functional variant of NAFLD to have significant additional interactions with NASH/HCC risk. Patients with HCC with rs3747579-TT had a reduced expression of DNAJA3 and had an unfavorable prognosis. Furthermore, mice with hepatocyte-specific Dnaja3 depletion developed NASH-dependent HCC either spontaneously under a normal diet or enhanced by diethylnitrosamine. Dnaja3 -deficient mice developed NASH/HCC characterized by significant mitochondrial dysfunction, which was accompanied by excessive lipid accumulation and inflammatory responses. The molecular features of NASH/HCC in the Dnaja3 -deficient mice were closely associated with human NASH/HCC. CONCLUSIONS: We uncovered a genetic basis of DNAJA3 as a key player of NASH-related HCC.

Integrating genetic variants into clinical models for hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification in cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Identifying individuals at higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance strategies. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the ability of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to refine HCC risk stratification. METHODS: Six SNPs in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, HSD17B13, APOE, and MBOAT7 affecting lipid turnover and one variant involved in the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway (WNT3A-WNT9A rs708113) were assessed in patients with alcohol-related and/or HCV-cured cirrhosis included in HCC surveillance programmes (prospective CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts). Their prognostic value for HCC occurrence was assessed using Fine-Gray models combined into a 7-SNP genetic risk score (GRS). The predictive ability of two clinical scores (a routine non-genetic model determined by multivariate analysis and the external aMAP score) with/without the GRS was evaluated by C-indices. The standardised net benefit was derived from decision curves. RESULTS: Among 1,145 patients, 86 (7.5%) developed HCC after 43.7 months. PNPLA3 and WNT3A-WNT9A variants were independently associated with HCC occurrence. The GRS stratified the population into three groups with progressively increased 5-year HCC incidence (Group 1 [n = 627, 5.4%], Group 2 [n = 276, 10.7%], and Group 3 [n = 242, 15.3%]; p <0.001). The multivariate model identified age, male sex, diabetes, platelet count, gamma-glutamyltransferase levels, albuminemia and the GRS as independent risk factors. The clinical model performance for 5-year HCC prediction was similar to that of the aMAP score (C-Index 0.769). The addition of the GRS to both scores modestly improved their performance (C-Indices of 0.786 and 0.783, respectively). This finding was confirmed by decision curve analyses showing only fair clinical net benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cirrhosis can be stratified into HCC risk classes by variants affecting lipid turnover and the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway. The incorporation of this genetic information modestly improves the performance of clinical scores. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The identification of patients at higher risk of developing liver cancer is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance. Risk assessment can be achieved by combining several clinical and biological parameters used in routine practice. The addition of patients' genetic characteristics can modestly improve this prediction and will ultimately pave the way for precision medicine in patients eligible for HCC surveillance, allowing physicians to trigger personalised screening strategies.

Common genetic variation in alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma: a case-control genome-wide association study.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma is a frequent consequence of alcohol-related liver disease, with variable incidence among heavy drinkers. We did a genome-wide association study (GWAS) to identify common genetic variants for alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma. METHODS: We conducted a two-stage case-control GWAS in a discovery cohort of 2107 unrelated European patients with alcohol-related liver disease aged 20-92 years recruited between Oct 22, 1993, and March 12, 2017. Cases were patients with alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosed by imaging or histology. Controls were patients with alcohol-related liver disease without hepatocellular carcinoma. We used an additive logistic regression model adjusted for the first ten principal components to assess genetic variants associated with alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma. We did another analysis with adjustment for age, sex, and liver fibrosis. New candidate associations (p<1 × 10-6) and variants previously associated with alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma were evaluated in a validation cohort of 1933 patients with alcohol-related liver disease aged 29-92 years recruited between July 21, 1995, and May 2, 2019. We did a meta-analysis of the two case-control cohorts. FINDINGS: The discovery cohort included 775 cases and 1332 controls. Of 7 962 325 variants assessed, we identified WNT3A-WNT9A (rs708113; p=1·11 × 10-8) and found support for previously reported regions associated with alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma risk at TM6SF2 (rs58542926; p=6·02 × 10-10), PNPLA3 (rs738409; p=9·29 × 10-7), and HSD17B13 (rs72613567; p=2·49 × 10-4). The validation cohort included 874 cases and 1059 controls and three variants were replicated: WNT3A-WNT9A (rs708113; p=1·17 × 10-3), TM6SF2 (rs58542926; p=4·06 × 10-5), and PNPLA3 (rs738409; p=1·17 × 10-4). All three variants reached GWAS significance in the meta-analysis: WNT3A-WNT9A (odds ratio 0·73, 95% CI 0·66-0·81; p=3·93 × 10-10), TM6SF2 (1·77, 1·52-2·07; p=3·84×10-13), PNPLA3 (1·34, 1·22-1·47; p=7·30 × 10-10). Adjustment for clinical covariates yielded similar results. We observed an additive effect of at-risk alleles on alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma. WNT3A-WNT9A rs708113 was not associated with liver fibrosis. INTERPRETATION: WNT3A-WNT9A is a susceptibility locus for alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma, suggesting an early role of the Wnt-ß-catenin pathway in alcohol-related hepatocellular carcinoma carcinogenesis. FUNDING: Ligue Nationale contre le Cancer, Bpifrance, INSERM, AFEF, CARPEM, Labex OncoImmunology, and Agence Nationale de la Recherche.

Bi-allelic hydroxymethylbilane synthase inactivation defines a homogenous clinico-molecular subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Acute intermittent porphyria (AIP), caused by heterozygous germline mutations of the heme synthesis pathway enzyme HMBS (hydroxymethylbilane synthase), confers a high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. Yet, the role of HMBS in liver tumorigenesis remains unclear. METHODS: Herein, we explore HMBS alterations in a large series of 758 HCC cases, including 4 patients with AIP. We quantify the impact of HMBS mutations on heme biosynthesis pathway intermediates and we investigate the molecular and clinical features of HMBS-mutated tumors. RESULTS: We identify recurrent bi-allelic HMBS inactivation, both in patients with AIP acquiring a second somatic HMBS mutation and in sporadic HCC with 2 somatic hits. HMBS alterations are enriched in truncating mutations, in particular in splice regions, leading to abnormal transcript structures. Bi-allelic HMBS inactivation results in a massive accumulation of its toxic substrate porphobilinogen and synergizes with CTNNB1-activating mutations, leading to the development of well-differentiated tumors with a transcriptomic signature of Wnt/ß-catenin pathway activation and a DNA methylation signature related to ageing. HMBS-inactivated HCC mostly affects females, in the absence of fibrosis and classical HCC risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: These data identify HMBS as a tumor suppressor gene whose bi-allelic inactivation defines a homogenous clinical and molecular HCC subtype. LAY SUMMARY: Heme (the precursor to hemoglobin, which plays a key role in oxygen transport around the body) synthesis occurs in the liver and involves several enzymes including hydroxymethylbilane synthase (HMBS). HMBS mutations cause acute intermittent porphyria, a disease caused by the accumulation of toxic porphyrin precursors. Herein, we show that HMBS inactivation is also involved in the development of liver cancers with distinct clinical and molecular characteristics.

A genetic risk score and diabetes predict development of alcohol-related cirrhosis in drinkers.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Only a minority of excess alcohol drinkers develop cirrhosis. We developed and evaluated risk stratification scores to identify those at highest risk. METHODS: Three cohorts (GenomALC-1: n = 1,690, GenomALC-2: n = 3,037, UK Biobank: relevant n = 6,898) with a history of heavy alcohol consumption (≥80 g/day (men), ≥50 g/day (women), for ≥10 years) were included. Cases were participants with alcohol-related cirrhosis. Controls had a history of similar alcohol consumption but no evidence of liver disease. Risk scores were computed from up to 8 genetic loci identified previously as associated with alcohol-related cirrhosis and 3 clinical risk factors. Score performance for the stratification of alcohol-related cirrhosis risk was assessed and compared across the alcohol-related liver disease spectrum, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). RESULTS: A combination of 3 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (PNPLA3:rs738409, SUGP1-TM6SF2:rs10401969, HSD17B13:rs6834314) and diabetes status best discriminated cirrhosis risk. The odds ratios (ORs) and (95% CIs) between the lowest (Q1) and highest (Q5) score quintiles of the 3-SNP score, based on independent allelic effect size estimates, were 5.99 (4.18-8.60) (GenomALC-1), 2.81 (2.03-3.89) (GenomALC-2), and 3.10 (2.32-4.14) (UK Biobank). Patients with diabetes and high risk scores had ORs of 14.7 (7.69-28.1) (GenomALC-1) and 17.1 (11.3-25.7) (UK Biobank) compared to those without diabetes and with low risk scores. Patients with cirrhosis and HCC had significantly higher mean risk scores than patients with cirrhosis alone (0.76 ± 0.06 vs. 0.61 ± 0.02, p = 0.007). Score performance was not significantly enhanced by information on additional genetic risk variants, body mass index or coffee consumption. CONCLUSIONS: A risk score based on 3 genetic risk variants and diabetes status enables the stratification of heavy drinkers based on their risk of cirrhosis, allowing for the provision of earlier preventative interventions. LAY SUMMARY: Excessive chronic drinking leads to cirrhosis in some people, but so far there is no way to identify those at high risk of developing this debilitating disease. We developed a genetic risk score that can identify patients at high risk. The risk of cirrhosis is increased >10-fold with just two risk factors - diabetes and a high genetic risk score. Risk assessment using this test could enable the early and personalised management of this disease in high-risk patients.

Nestin as a diagnostic and prognostic marker for combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) is a rare primary liver cancer (PLC) associated with a poor prognosis. Given the challenges in its identification and its clinical implications, biomarkers are critically needed. We aimed to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic value of the immunohistochemical expression of Nestin, a progenitor cell marker, in a large multicentric series of PLCs. METHODS: We collected 461 cHCC-CCA samples from 32 different clinical centers. Control cases included 368 hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) and 221 intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas (iCCAs). Nestin immunohistochemistry was performed on whole tumor sections. Diagnostic and prognostic performances of Nestin expression were determined using receiver-operating characteristic curves and Cox regression modeling. RESULTS: Nestin was able to distinguish cHCC-CCA from HCC with AUCs of 0.85 and 0.86 on surgical and biopsy samples, respectively. Performance was lower for the distinction of cHCC-CCA from iCCA (AUCs of 0.59 and 0.60). Nestin, however, showed a high prognostic value, allowing identification of the subset of cHCC-CCA ("Nestin High", >30% neoplastic cells with positive staining) associated with the worst clinical outcome (shorter disease-free and overall survival) after surgical resection and liver transplantation, as well as when assessment was performed on biopsies. CONCLUSION: We show in different clinical settings that Nestin has diagnostic value and that it is a useful biomarker to identify the subset of cHCC-CCA associated with the worst clinical outcome. Nestin immunohistochemistry may be used to refine risk stratification and improve treatment allocation for patients with this highly aggressive malignancy. LAY SUMMARY: There are different types of primary liver cancers (i.e. cancers that originate in the liver). Accurately identifying a specific subtype of primary liver cancer (and determining its associated prognosis) is important as it can have a major impact on treatment allocation. Herein, we show that a protein called Nestin could be used to refine risk stratification and improve treatment allocation for patients with combined hepatocellular carcinoma, a rare but highly aggressive subtype of primary liver cancer.

Plasma-Signature-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score to Predict Survival in Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a highly lethal condition and it is still a challenge to predict the outcome. We previously identified and validated a composite score of hepatic 123-gene prognostic signature and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score: gene signature-MELD. However, the need for liver biopsy limits its clinical application. Therefore, we aimed to identify a plasma protein-based surrogate of the gene signature and independently validate its prognostic capability. METHODS: All patients were diagnosed with severe AH at Cliniques universitaires de Bruxelles Hôpital Erasme (Brussels, Belgium), and the plasma samples were collected at admission before any treatment. The primary outcome was death or liver transplantation within 90 days. Using our computational pipeline, named translation of tissue expression to secretome (TexSEC), a hepatic-transcriptome-based prognostic signature was converted to a plasma-based secretome signature, which was optimized in 50 patients by comparing their hepatic molecular dysregulation status and combining it with the MELD score. The composite score was validated independently in 57 patients. RESULTS: The TexSEC and optimization process identified a 6-plasma-protein panel as a surrogate for the 123-gene signature. A composite score with the MELD score, the plasma-signature (ps)-MELD score, was created by using the coefficients of the gene signature-MELD equation. In the validation cohort, the high-risk ps-MELD (n = 23; 40%) was associated significantly with death or liver transplantation within 90 days (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.57; 95% CI, 2.15-9.30; P < .001). The ps-MELD score showed a stable, high prognostic association (time-dependent area under receiver operating characteristics curve, >0.80) and was well calibrated over time; it consistently outperformed existing clinical scores as indicated by various model performance indices. CONCLUSIONS: The high-risk ps-MELD score was associated with short-term survival in patients with severe AH.

Clinical Course and Risk Factors for Infection in Severe Forms of Alcohol-Associated Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Infection is a major driver of mortality in patients with advanced alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD). The epidemiology and clinical course of patients infected with life-threatening forms of ALD, including severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sAH) and decompensated alcohol-associated cirrhosis (DAC), and specific risk factors for infection remain mostly unknown. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this observational study, we assessed all infectious episodes occurring within a 90-day period from diagnosis in all consecutive patients with biopsy-proven sAH (modified Maddrey's discriminant function ≥ 32, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD] ≥ 18) and DAC (MELD ≥ 18) without alcohol-associated hepatitis in our tertiary hospital between 2003 and 2016. A total of 207 patients were included: 139 with sAH and 68 with DAC. One hundred seventeen (84%) patients with sAH and 41 (60%) patients with DAC experienced at least one infection episode at 90 days (P < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, factors associated with the development of infection were the presence of sAH and baseline MELD score. Bacterial infections represented the most common infection in the two groups, and only the MELD score was independently associated with the occurrence of bacterial infection. In both groups, pneumonia was the most prevalent bacterial infection, and gram-negative bacilli were the main pathogens. Invasive fungal infections (IFI) occurred in 20 (14.5%) patients with sAH and 3 (4.5%) with patients with DAC (P < 0.05). Multivariable regression showed that younger age, higher MELD, and corticosteroid therapy were independently associated with IFI. The 90-day cumulative incidence of death in patients infected with sAH and patients infected with DAC was 46% and 41.5%, respectively (P = 0.43). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with sAH are more susceptible to develop infection than those with DAC. In life-threatening forms of ALD, patients who were infected share a similar mortality rate. Corticosteroid treatment, not sAH, seems to be the main risk factor triggering IFI.

Combination of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and Lactate Predicts Death in Patients Treated With Salvage Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt for Refractory Variceal Bleeding.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data about the prognosis of salvage transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) using covered stents for refractory variceal bleeding caused by portal hypertension are scarce. We aimed to assess survival and to identify predictors of mortality in these patients. APPROACH AND RESULTS: One hundred sixty-four patients with cirrhosis from five centers treated with salvage TIPS between 2007 and 2017 were retrospectively divided into a derivation cohort (83 patients) and a validation cohort (81 patients). Comparisons were performed using the Mann-Whitney and Fischer's exact test. Six-week overall survival (OS) was correlated with variables on the day of the TIPS using Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank test and univariate/multivariate analyses using the Cox model. Eighty-three patients were included in the derivation cohort (male, 78%; age, 55 years, alcohol-associated cirrhosis, 88%; Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD], 19 [15-27]; arterial lactate, 3.7 mmol/L [2.0-8.3]). Six-week OS rate was 58%. At multivariate analysis, the MELD score (OR, 1.064; 95% CI, 1.005-1.126; P = 0.028) and arterial lactate (OR, 1.063; 95% CI, 1.013-1.114; P = 0.032) were associated with 6-week OS. Six-week OS rates were 100% in patients with arterial lactate ≤2.5 mmol/L and MELD score ≤ 15 and 5% in patients with lactate ≥12 mmol/L and/or MELD score ≥ 30. The 81 patients of the validation cohort had similar MELD and arterial lactate level but lower creatinine level (94 vs 106 µmol/L, P = 0.008); 6-week OS was 67%. Six-week OS rates were 86% in patients with arterial lactate ≤2.5 mmol/L and MELD score ≤ 15 and 10% for patients with lactate ≥12 mmol/L and/or MELD score ≥ 30. In the overall cohort, rebleeding rate was 15.8% at 6 weeks, and the acute-on-chronic liver failure grade (OR, 1.699; 95% CI, 1.056-1.663; P = 0.040) was independently associated with rebleeding. CONCLUSIONS: After salvage TIPS, 6-week mortality remains high and can be predicted by MELD score and lactate. Survival rate at 6 weeks was >85% in patients with arterial lactate ≤2.5 mmol/L and MELD score ≤ 15, while mortality was >90% for lactate ≥12 mmol/L and/or MELD score ≥ 30.

Vasomodulators and Liver Transplantation for Portopulmonary Hypertension: Evidence From a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Untreated portopulmonary hypertension (PoPH) carries a poor prognosis. Previous reports have described vasomodulator (VM) therapy and liver transplantation (LT) as treatment options. We aimed to provide summary estimates on the endpoints of pulmonary hemodynamics and survival in patients with PoPH, treated with different modalities. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We performed a systematic review with meta-analysis of mainly observational and case-control studies describing no treatment, VM, LT, or VM + LT in patients with PoPH. Twenty-six studies (1,019 patients) were included. Both VM and VM + LT improve pulmonary hemodynamics. A substantial proportion of patients treated with VM become eligible for LT (44%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 31-58). Pooled estimates for 1-, and 3-year postdiagnosis survival in patients treated with VM were 86% (95% CI, 81-90) and 69% (95% CI, 50-84) versus 82% (95% CI, 52-95) and 67% (95% CI, 53-78) in patients treated with VM + LT. Of note, studies reporting on the effect of VM mainly included Child-Pugh A/B patients, whereas studies reporting on VM + LT mainly included Child-Pugh B/C. Seven studies (238 patients) included both patients who received VM only and patients who received VM + LT. Risk of death in VM-only-treated patients was significantly higher than in patients who could be transplanted as well (odds ratio, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.4-8.8); however, importantly, patients who proceeded to transplant had been selected very strictly. In 50% of patients, VM can be discontinued post-LT (95% CI, 38-62). CONCLUSIONS: VM and VM + LT both improve pulmonary hemodynamics and prognosis in PoPH. In a strictly selected subpopulation of cases where LT is indicated based on severe liver disease and where LT is considered safe and feasible, treatment with VM + LT confers a better prognosis. Considering successful VM, 44% can proceed to LT, with half being able to postoperatively stop medication.

Update on NAFLD genetics: From new variants to the clinic.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of liver diseases in high-income countries and the burden of NAFLD is increasing at an alarming rate. The risk of developing NAFLD and related complications is highly variable among individuals and is determined by environmental and genetic factors. Genome-wide association studies have uncovered robust and reproducible associations between variations in genes such as PNPLA3, TM6SF2, MBOAT7, GCKR, HSD17B13 and the natural history of NAFLD. These findings have provided compelling new insights into the biology of NAFLD and highlighted potentially attractive pharmaceutical targets. More recently the development of polygenic risk scores, which have shown promising results for the clinical risk prediction of other complex traits (such as cardiovascular disease and breast cancer), have provided new impetus for the clinical validation of genetic variants in NAFLD risk stratification. Herein, we review current knowledge on the genetic architecture of NAFLD, including gene-environment interactions, and discuss the implications for disease pathobiology, drug discovery and risk prediction. We particularly focus on the potential clinical translation of recent genetic advances, discussing methodological hurdles that must be overcome before these discoveries can be implemented in everyday practice.

Epigenetic basis for monocyte dysfunction in patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Severe forms of alcohol-related liver disease are associated with increased susceptibility to infections which are associated with poor prognosis. The cellular and molecular mechanisms responsible for this altered host defense are incompletely understood. METHODS: We performed whole blood phenotypic analysis and ex vivo stimulation with various pathogen-associated molecular patterns (PAMPs). We included 34 patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (18 of whom had biopsy-proven severe alcoholic hepatitis [sAH]), 12 healthy controls and 11 patients with chronic alcohol consumption without significant liver disease. We also evaluated the transcriptomic (RNA-seq) and chromatin accessibility (ATAC-seq) profiles of CD14+ monocytes from a subset of patients. RESULTS: Circulating monocytes and conventional dendritic cells (DCs) from patients with sAH displayed complex alterations characterized by increased expression of both activating and inhibitory surface markers and an impaired pro-inflammatory response upon stimulation with PAMPs representative of gram-negative bacteria (lipopolysaccharide, Pam3CSK4) or fungal pathogens (Zymosan). Their decreased ability to produce more than 1 cytokine (polyfunctionality) upon PAMP stimulation correlated with the risk of developing infection at 28 days or mortality at 90 days. The presence of acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with sAH did not significantly modify the immune profile of monocytes and DCs. Moreover, CD14+ monocytes of patients with sAH displayed altered transcriptional and epigenomic profiles characterized by downregulation of key innate immune and metabolic pathways and upregulation of important immunomodulatory factors. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with sAH, the altered transcriptional program and functional properties of monocytes that contribute to patients' susceptibility to infection have strong epigenetic determinants. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis are at increased risk of infections, which contribute to the poor prognosis associated with the disease. Herein, we show that epigenetic determinants underly the immune cell dysfunction and inappropriate responses to pathogens that are associated with severe alcoholic hepatitis.

Long-term outcomes in patients with decompensated alcohol-related liver disease, steatohepatitis and Maddrey's discriminant function <32.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with alcoholic hepatitis and a modified Maddrey's discriminant function (mDF) <32 have a low risk of short-term mortality. However, few data exist concerning long-term outcomes. The aims of this study were to evaluate 5-year survival rates and to identify predictive factors for long-term prognosis in this patient population. METHODS: We studied patients from 2 centers who were admitted for hepatic decompensation (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or jaundice) and who had histological findings of steatohepatitis and an mDF <32. Clinical and biological parameters were recorded at the time of liver biopsy and alcohol consumption was recorded during follow-up. We performed Cox proportional hazard survival analysis to identify factors associated with 5-year survival. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-one patients were included (male: 64%, mean age: 51.5 ± 10.3 years, presence of cirrhosis: 84%). The median model for end-stage liver disease and mDF scores were 14 (IQR 11.7-16.1) and 19 (IQR 11.1-24), respectively. During follow-up, 30% of the patients remained abstinent. Survival rates at 1, 6, 12, 24, and 60 months were 96.7 ± 1.6%, 90.1 ± 2.7%, 80.8 ± 3.6%, 69.9 ± 4.3%, and 50.7 ± 4.9%, respectively. The majority of deaths (80%) were liver related. In multivariable analysis, encephalopathy at baseline and alcohol abstinence were predictive of 5-year survival. The 5-year survival rates of patients without and with encephalopathy at baseline were 60.5 ± 5.8% and 29.7 ± 8.0%, respectively, and the 5-year survival rates of abstinent and non-abstinent patients were 74.0 ± 8.0% and 40.9 ± 5.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate of patients with alcoholic hepatitis and an mDF <32 is around 50% at 5 years. Hepatic encephalopathy at baseline and lack of alcohol abstinence impair long-term prognosis. New treatment strategies, including measures to ensure abstinence, are required. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with alcoholic hepatitis that is of intermediate severity have a low risk of short-term mortality but not much is known regarding long-term outcomes for these patients. This study clearly indicates that patients with intermediate disease characteristics have poor long-term outcomes. The presence of hepatic encephalopathy at the time of diagnosis and the absence of alcohol abstinence during follow-up are factors that predict poor long-term mortality.

A 17-Beta-Hydroxysteroid Dehydrogenase 13 Variant Protects From Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development in Alcoholic Liver Disease.

Recently, a loss of function variant (rs72613567) in 17-beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase 13 (HSD17B13) has been identified as protective of nonalcoholic (NAFLD) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD). However, the role of this single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is currently unknown. A total of 3,315 European patients with HCC (n = 1,109) or without HCC, but with chronic liver disease (CLD; n = 2,206), from four centers were analyzed either by whole-exome sequencing (WES; exploratory cohort, 285 HCC) or genotyped for HSD17B13 rs72613567 (validation cohort, 824 HCC and all CLD). We included a control group of 33,337 healthy European individuals from the Exome Aggregation Consortium. We compared distribution of genotype using the chi-square test and logistic regression. In the exploratory cohort analyzed by WES, frequency of the TA allele of HSD17B13 rs72613567 was significantly decreased in HCC patients compared to healthy controls (P = 1.52 × 10-06 ). In the validation cohort, frequency of TA allele carriers was also decreased in patients with CLD and without HCC (39%) compared to healthy individuals (47%; P < 0.0001). The protective effect of the TA allele of HSD17B13 rs72613567 was identified in patients with ALD (odds ratio [OR] = 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.82; P < 0.0001), NAFLD (OR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.49-0.83; P = 0.0007), and hepatitis C (OR = 0.71; 95% CI, 0.60-0.85; P = 0.0002). In patients with ALD, the proportion of TA allele carriers with HCC was significantly lower (32%) than in CLD patients without HCC (40%), even after adjustment for age, sex, and fibrosis (OR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.46-0.87; P = 0.005). Conclusion: The HSD17B13 rs72613567 loss of function variant is protective of HCC development in patients with ALD.

Gene signature-MELD score and alcohol relapse determine long-term prognosis of patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: The gene-signature-model for end stage liver disease (gs-MELD) score has been shown to be a strong predictor of 6-month survival in severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH). Currently, only a few studies have evaluated the long-term prognosis of patients with severe AH. AIM: To assess the prognostic value of the gs-MELD score at 5 years in patients with severe AH. METHODS: Forty-eight consecutive patients with AH (25 males, median age 52 years [95% IC: 48-56]) were included. RESULTS: The median gs-MELD score was 2.6 (95% CI: 2.2-3.0). According to the gs-MELD score, 22 patients (46%) were considered to have a poor prognosis. During a median follow-up of 29 months (95% CI: 4-43), 19 patients (40%) were abstinent and 24 patients (50%) died. At 5 years, rates of survival were 61% (95% CI: 41-81) and 26% (95% CI: 11-55) in patients with low and high gs-MELD scores (P = .001), and 81% (95% CI: 58-96) and 22% (95% CI: 10-47) in abstainers and in consumers (P < .001) respectively. In multivariable competing risk regression modelling, gs-MELD score (subdistribution hazard ratio: 5.78, 95% CI: 2.17-15.38, P < .001) and recurrent alcohol consumption (subdistribution hazard ratio: 12.18, 95% CI: 3.16-46.95, P < .001) were independently associated with 5-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Both gs-MELD score and alcohol consumption drive AH long-term prognosis. The gs-MELD score may guide the development of molecularly targeted therapies in AH.

Perturbations in Mitochondrial Dynamics Are Closely Involved in the Progression of Alcoholic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Mitochondria play a fundamental role in the pathogenesis of alcoholic liver disease (ALD). The preservation of functional mitochondria during toxic alcohol insults is essential for cell survival and is maintained by key processes known as mitochondrial dynamics, including fragmentation and fusion, which are regulated by mitochondria-shaping proteins (MSP). We have shown mitochondrial dynamics to be distorted by alcohol in cellular and animal models, but the effect in humans remains unknown. METHODS: Hepatic gene expression of the main MSP involved in the mitochondrial fusion and fragmentation pathways was evaluated in patients with alcoholic hepatitis (AH) by DNA microarray (n = 15) and Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (n = 32). The activation of dynamin-1-like protein (Drp1) was also investigated in mitochondria isolated from liver biopsies of ALD patients (n = 8). The effects of alcohol on mitochondrial dynamics and on MSP protein expression were studied in human precision-cut liver slices (PCLS) exposed for 24 hours to increasing doses of ethanol (EtOH; 50 to 250 mM). RESULTS: A profound hyperactivation of the fragmentation pathway was observed in AH patients, with a significant increase in the expression of Drp1 and its adapters/receptors. The translocation of Drp1 to the mitochondria was also induced in patients with severe ALD and was affected in the PCLS with short-term exposure to EtOH but only mildly. The fusion pathway was not altered in ALD, and this was confirmed in the PCLS model. CONCLUSIONS: The present study reveals the role of mitochondrial dynamics in human ALD, confirming our previous observations in animal and cell culture models of ALD. Taken together, we show that alcohol has a significant impact on the fragmentation pathway, and we confirm Drp1 as a potential therapeutic target in severe ALD.

PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 variants as risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma across various etiologies and severity of underlying liver diseases.

Few single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been reproducibly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our aim was to test the association between nine SNPs and HCC occurrence. SNPs in genes linked to HCC (DEPDC5, GRIK1, KIF1B, STAT4, MICA, DLC1, DDX18) or to liver damage (PNPLA3-rs738409, TM6SF2-rs58542926) in GWAS were genotyped in discovery cohorts including 1,020 HCC, 2,021 controls with chronic liver disease and 2,484 healthy individuals and replication was performed in prospective cohorts of cirrhotic patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD, n = 249) and hepatitis C (n = 268). In the discovery cohort, PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 SNPs were associated with HCC (OR = 1.67 [CI95%:1.16-2.40], p = 0.005; OR = 1.45 [CI95%:1.08-1.94], p = 0.01) after adjustment for fibrosis, age, gender and etiology. In contrast, STAT4-rs7574865 was associated with HCC only in HBV infected patients (p = 0.03) and the other tested SNP were not linked with HCC risk. PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 variants were independently associated with HCC in patients with ALD (OR = 3.91 [CI95%:2.52-6.06], p = 1.14E-09; OR = 1.79 [CI95%:1.25-2.56], p = 0.001) but not with other etiologies. PNPLA3 SNP was also significantly associated with HCC developed on a nonfibrotic liver (OR = 2.19 [CI95%:1.22-3.92], p = 0.007). The association of PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 with HCC risk was confirmed in the prospective cohort with ALD. A genetic score including PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 minor alleles showed a progressive significant increased risk of HCC in ALD patients. In conclusion, PNPLA3-rs738409 and TM6SF2-rs58542926 are inherited risk variants of HCC development in patients with ALD in a dose dependent manner. The link between PNPLA3 and HCC on nonfibrotic liver suggests a direct role in liver carcinogenesis.

Combination of Gene Expression Signature and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score Predicts Survival of Patients With Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) have a high risk of death within 90 days. Corticosteroids, which can cause severe adverse events, are the only treatment that increases short-term survival. It is a challenge to predict outcomes of patients with severe AH. Therefore, we developed a scoring system to predict patient survival, integrating baseline molecular and clinical variables. METHODS: We obtained fixed liver biopsy samples from 71 consecutive patients diagnosed with severe AH and treated with corticosteroids from July 2006 through December 2013 in Brussels, Belgium (derivation cohort). Gene expression patterns were analyzed by microarrays and clinical data were collected for 180 days. We identified gene expression signatures and clinical data that are associated with survival without liver transplantation at 90 and 180 days after initiation of corticosteroid therapy. Findings were validated using liver biopsies from 48 consecutive patients with severe AH treated with corticosteroids, collected from March 2010 through February 2015 at hospitals in Belgium and Switzerland (validation cohort 1) and in liver biopsies from 20 patients (9 received corticosteroid treatment), collected from January 2012 through May 2015 in the United States (validation cohort 2). RESULTS: We integrated data on expression patterns of 123 genes and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores to assign patients to groups with poor survival (29% survived 90 days and 26% survived 180 days) and good survival (76% survived 90 days and 65% survived 180 days) (P < .001) in the derivation cohort. We named this assignment system the gene signature-MELD (gs-MELD) score. In validation cohort 1, the gs-MELD score discriminated patients with poor survival (43% survived 90 days) from those with good survival (96% survived 90 days) (P < .001). The gs-MELD score also discriminated between patients with a poor survival at 180 days (34% survived) and a good survival at 180 days (84% survived) (P < .001). The time-dependent area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for the score was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.73-0.99) for survival at 90 days, and 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.71-0.96) for survival at 180 days. This score outperformed other clinical models to predict survival of patients with severe AH in validation cohort 1. In validation cohort 2, the gs-MELD discriminated patients with a poor survival at 90 days (12% survived) from those with a good survival at 90 days (100%) (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: We integrated data on baseline liver gene expression pattern and the MELD score to create the gs-MELD scoring system, which identifies patients with severe AH, treated or not with corticosteroids, most and least likely to survive for 90 and 180 days.