Development and external validation of the DOAT and DOATS scores: simple decision support tools to identify disease progression among nonelderly patients with mild/moderate COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: During the fifth wave of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Japan, which took place between June and September 2021, a significant number of COVID-19 cases with deterioration occurred in unvaccinated individuals < 65 years old. However, the risk factors for COVID-19 deterioration in this specific population have not yet been determined. This study developed a prediction method to identify COVID-19 patients < 65 years old who are at a high risk of deterioration. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed data from 1,675 patients < 65 years old who were admitted to acute care institutions in Fukushima with mild-to-moderate-1 COVID-19 based on the Japanese disease severity criteria prior to the fifth wave. For validation, 324 similar patients were enrolled from 3 hospitals in Yamagata. Logistic regression analyses using cluster-robust variance estimation were used to determine predictors of disease deterioration, followed by creation of risk prediction scores. Disease deterioration was defined as the initiation of medication for COVID-19, oxygen inhalation, or mechanical ventilation starting one day or later after admission. RESULTS: The patients whose condition deteriorated (8.6%) tended to be older, male, have histories of smoking, and have high body temperatures, low oxygen saturation values, and comorbidities, such as diabetes/obesity and hypertension. Stepwise variable selection using logistic regression to predict COVID-19 deterioration retained comorbidities of diabetes/obesity (DO), age (A), body temperature (T), and oxygen saturation (S). Two predictive scores were created based on the optimism-corrected regression coefficients: the DOATS score, including all of the above risk factors, and the DOAT score, which was the DOATS score without oxygen saturation. In the original cohort, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCs) of the DOATS and DOAT scores were 0.81 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.85) and 0.80 (95% CI 0.76-0.84), respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUROCs for each score were both 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83), and the calibration slopes were both 0.80. A decision curve analysis confirmed the clinical practicability of both scores in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: We established two prediction scores that can quickly evaluate the risk of COVID-19 deterioration in mild/moderate patients < 65 years old.

Real-world clinical outcomes of treatment with casirivimab-imdevimab among patients with mild-to-moderate coronavirus disease 2019 during the Delta variant pandemic.

Background: Mutations of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) may reduce the efficacy of neutralizing monoclonal antibody therapy against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We here evaluated the efficacy of casirivimab-imdevimab in patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 during the Delta variant surge in Fukushima Prefecture, Japan. Methods: We enrolled 949 patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 who were admitted to hospital between July 24, 2021 and September 30, 2021. Clinical deterioration after admission was compared between casirivimab-imdevimab users (n = 314) and non-users (n = 635). Results: The casirivimab-imdevimab users were older (P < 0.0001), had higher body temperature (≥ 38°C) (P < 0.0001) and greater rates of history of cigarette smoking (P = 0.0068), hypertension (P = 0.0004), obesity (P < 0.0001), and dyslipidemia (P < 0.0001) than the non-users. Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that receiving casirivimab-imdevimab was an independent factor for preventing deterioration (odds ratio 0.448; 95% confidence interval 0.263-0.763; P = 0.0023). Furthermore, in 222 patients who were selected from each group after matching on the propensity score, deterioration was significantly lower among those receiving casirivimab-imdevimab compared to those not receiving casirivimab-imdevimab (7.66% vs 14.0%; p = 0.021). Conclusion: This real-world study demonstrates that casirivimab-imdevimab contributes to the prevention of deterioration in COVID-19 patients after hospitalization during a Delta variant surge.

Clinical effect of early administration of tocilizumab following the initiation of corticosteroid therapy for patients with COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) first broke out in Wuhan in December 2019, and has since caused a global pandemic. The efficacy of several drugs has been evaluated, and it is now evident that tocilizumab has a beneficial effect, especially combined with corticosteroids, in patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, the optimal timing of tocilizumab administration has not yet been established. The goal of the present study was to determine the optimal timing of tocilizumab administration after starting corticosteroid therapy in patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical characteristics of patients who were hospitalized for COVID-19 and treated with tocilizumab and corticosteroids in our hospital. The patients were divided into concurrent and sequential groups. The concurrent group received tocilizumab ≤24 h after corticosteroids, and the sequential group received tocilizumab >24 h after corticosteroid administration. RESULTS: The baseline clinical characteristics of tocilizumab administration were similar between the two groups. White blood cell counts were significantly lower and C-reactive protein levels were significantly higher in the concurrent group than the sequential group. In the concurrent group, tocilizumab administration led to a significant decrease in maximum body temperature. In addition, there were significantly more oxygen-free days in the concurrent group than in the sequential group. However, survival rate was not significantly different between the concurrent and the sequential groups. CONCLUSIONS: In the combination therapy with tocilizumab and corticosteroids, early administration of tocilizumab after starting corticosteroid treatment is effective when treating COVID-19.

Development of takotsubo cardiomyopathy with severe pulmonary edema before a cesarean section.

Takotsubo cardiomyopathy is an acute syndrome involving apical ballooning and consequent dysfunction of the left ventricle. Most cases of left ventricular dysfunction resolve within 1 month. We present the case of a 40-year-old woman who developed severe heart failure caused by takotsubo cardiomyopathy with severe left ventricular dysfunction during the perinatal period. Because of the presence of multiple myomas, she was scheduled to undergo a cesarean section under general anesthesia. However, after induction of general anesthesia, she had to be awakened because of the presence of a difficult airway. Because she exhibited insufficient oxygenation, she was transferred to the emergency center. Upon hospital admission, she expectorated large amounts of pink sputum, indicating severe pulmonary edema. Cesarean section was performed immediately. Echocardiography revealed severe left ventricular dysfunction. Full recovery of cardiac function required almost 1 month, after which she was discharged from the hospital without further complications. This is the first reported case of takotsubo cardiomyopathy induced by a failed intubation during a scheduled cesarean section. Takotsubo cardiomyopathy usually shows a good prognosis, but if this myopathy develops during the perinatal period, it can worsen because of excessive preload following the termination of fetoplacental circulation.

Activation intervals for a helicopter emergency medical service in Japan.

INTRODUCTION: Prehospital time is crucial for treating acute disease; therefore, it is important to activate helicopter emergency medical services (HEMS) promptly. We investigated the differences in the activation intervals (the time elapsed from receiving the emergency call to the time of HEMS request) under various conditions to evaluate the current status of HEMS-related prehospital triage in Japan. METHODS: We retrospectively investigated activation intervals under exogenous (trauma, n = 553; intoxication, n = 56; and burns, n = 32) and endogenous conditions (acute coronary syndrome [ACS], n = 47; and stroke, n = 173) between January 31, 2008, and January 31, 2012, by reviewing flight records. RESULTS: Activation intervals were trauma (14.3 ± 11.5 min), intoxication (10.3 ± 8.6 min), burns (15.0 ± 13.1 min), ACS (17.9 ± 14.6 min), and stroke (19.1 ± 13.1 min). One-way analysis of variance showed a significant difference between exogenous and endogenous groups (P < .001). Post-hoc analysis using Tukey's honestly significant difference test showed significant differences between ACS and intoxication (P < .05), stroke and intoxication (P < .001), and stroke and trauma (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Endogenous conditions had longer activation intervals, which may reflect a lack of mechanisms assessing their severity. We are considering developing new triage criteria for dispatchers.

[Case of iodism complicated with severe airway stenosis due to pharyngolaryngeal edema].

A 22-year-old man was admitted to our hospital with dilute iodine tincture poisoning. He had ingested 150 mL in a suicide attempt. On arrival, he was in need of urgent airway management as he was repeatedly vomiting. Although we had difficulty with endotracheal intubation because of remarkable pharyngolaryngeal mucosal edema induced by dilute iodine tincture, we managed to secure the airway. On the 2nd day, laryngoscope showed severe mucosal erosion from the upper to middle pharynx and epiglottis. On the 4th day, we performed a tracheoctomy in anticipation of prolonged airway management. On the 16th day, laryngoscopy showed improvement in each of the 2nd day findings. On the 30th day, the patient was transferred to a psychiatric hospital. Generally, iodine poisoning induces multiple organ disorders and there have been several reports describing iatrogenic iodine poisoning. However, cases of severe airway stenosis due to ingestion of iodine are very rare. Presently, members of the public can easily purchase dilute iodine tincture in Japan, therefore emergency medical personnel should be aware of iodine poisoning as a method of suicide attempt.

Real-world clinical outcomes of treatment with molnupiravir for patients with mild-to-moderate coronavirus disease 2019 during the Omicron variant pandemic.

It is unclear whether molnupiravir has a beneficial effect on vaccinated patients infected with the Omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). We here evaluated the efficacy of molnupiravir in patients with mild-to-moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) during the Omicron variant surge in Fukushima Prefecture, Japan. We enrolled patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 who were admitted to hospitals between January and April, 2022. Clinical deterioration after admission was compared between molnupiravir users (n = 230) and non-users (n = 690) after 1:3 propensity score matching. Additionally, we performed forward stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis to evaluate the association between clinical deterioration after admission and molnupiravir treatment in the 1:3 propensity score-matched subjects. The characteristics of participants in both groups were balanced as indicated by covariates with a standardized mean difference of < 0.1. Regarding comorbidities, there was no imbalance between the two groups, except for the presence of hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, and cardiac disease. The clinical deterioration rate was significantly lower in the molnupiravir users compared to the non-users (3.90% vs 8.40%; P = 0.034). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that receiving molnupiravir was a factor for preventing deterioration (odds ratio 0.448; 95% confidence interval 0.206-0.973; P = 0.042), independent of other covariates. This real-world study demonstrates that molnupiravir contributes to the prevention of deterioration in COVID-19 patients after hospitalization during the Omicron variant phase.

Development of delayed neurologic sequelae in acute carbon monoxide poisoning cases caused by briquette-based kotatsu: A case-control study.

ABSTRACT: Briquette-based kotatsu, a traditional Japanese heating system, is still used in rural areas and has been linked to the development of acute carbon monoxide (CO) poisoning. This study aimed to investigate the occurrence of delayed neurologic sequelae (DNS) in patients with acute CO poisoning caused by briquette-based kotatsu.This retrospective study included 17 patients treated for acute CO poisoning due to briquette-based kotatsu, between April 2017 and March 2020. Patients were divided into either a sequelae group (3 patients) or a non-sequelae group (14 patients) based on the presence or absence, respectively, of DNS. Demographic data, kotatsu characteristics, clinical findings, and therapies were compared between the 2 groups.Significant differences were noted in patient posture during their initial discovery. Specifically, all non-sequelae patients only had their legs under the kotatsu quilt and all sequelae patients had their entire bodies under the kotatsu quilt (P = .001). There were no statistically significant differences in carbon monoxide levels in hemoglobin (CO-Hb) or the creatine-kinase myocardial band (CK-MB), between the 2 groups; however, troponin-I levels were significantly higher in the sequelae group (P = .026). Abnormal head imaging findings were noted in 2 sequelae-group patients, with a significant difference between the groups (P = .025).We speculate that acute CO poisoning, caused by briquette-based kotatsu, may lead to DNS more frequently in patients in who cover their entire body with the kotatsu quilt and are found in this position. Patients should be warned about the dangers of acute CO poisoning when using briquette-based kotatsu.

Severe Coronavirus Disease 2019 That Recovered from Respiratory Failure by Treatment That Included High-dose Intravenous Immunoglobulin.

We herein report a case of severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in which high-dose intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) treatment achieved significant clinical improvement of deterioration of pulmonary inflammation after temporary clinical improvement. In the present case, clinical and radiological deterioration occurred despite a decrease in viral load, suggesting that deterioration was caused by reactivation of proinflammatory factors, such as tumor necrosis factor-α and interleukin-6, rather than direct viral effects. IVIg treatment may provide not only immunosuppressive effects but also inhibition of proinflammatory cytokines, indicating that treatment including IVIg may be effective by inhibiting cytokine storm in severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection.

Investigation of final destination hospitals for patients in helicopter emergency medical services (doctor-helicopter) in Fukushima Prefecture.

PURPOSE: In using an emergency medical service helicopter with an emergency medicine doctor on board (doctor-helicopter), transporting all patients to the University Hospital (base hospital for the helicopter) could cause a chronic bed shortage at the University Hospital. It is also disadvantageous for patients from distant areas. We investigated whether appropriate hospital selections are being carried out in Fukushima Prefecture. METHODS: The subjects of the study were patients who were transported by doctor-helicopter since the services started. We investigated the medical conditions of patients at emergency scenes, whether they were transported to a hospital inside or outside the region, the means of transportation, and the final destination hospital. RESULTS: There were 450 flights, of which 295 were to emergency scenes, involving 307 patients. The majority were trauma patients (191 patients, 62.2%). The final destination hospital was the University Hospital for 104 patients (33.9%); 99 patients (30.3%) were transported to three emergency and critical care medical centers (ECCMCs) in other regions. Most patients were transported to appropriate hospitals in the respective regions. The means of transportation from the emergency scene was by doctor-helicopter in the largest number of cases (223 patients, 72.6%), and the final destination hospital was ECCMCs in 81.6% of cases. CONCLUSION: Patients from emergency scenes are transported by doctor-helicopter to appropriate hospitals in the region, and hospitals in each region are cooperating with the doctor-helicopter operations.

EARLY STAGE RESPONSES OF INTENSIVE CARE UNITS DURING MAJOR DISASTERS: FROM THE EXPERIENCES OF THE GREAT EAST JAPAN EARTHQUAKE.

The present study investigated the role of intensive care units (ICU) during disasters, including the responses of our ICU following the Great East Japan Earthquake on March 11, 2011. Our ICU comprises 8 beds for postoperative inpatients and those with rapidly deteriorating conditions; 20 beds in an emergency unit for critically ill patients; and 17 beds for neonates. It is important to secure empty beds when a major disaster occurs, as was the case after the Great Hanshin Earthquake, due to the resulting large numbers of trauma patients. Therefore, each ICU section cooperated to ensure sufficient space for admissions following the Great East Japan Earthquake. However, unlike the Great Hanshin Earthquake, securing beds was ultimately unnecessary due to the nature of the recent disaster, which also consisted of a subsequent tsunami and nuclear accident. Therefore, air quality monitoring was required on this occasion due to the risk of environmental radioactive pollution from the nuclear disaster causing problems with artificial respiration management involving atmospheric air. The variability in damage arising during different disasters thus requires a flexible response from ICUs that handle seriously ill patients.

Usefulness of initial diagnostic tests carried out in the emergency department for blunt trauma.

AIM: To evaluate the usefulness of the initial diagnostic tests carried out in blunt trauma patients in our emergency department. METHODS: Blunt trauma patients admitted between October 2009 and October 2011 were retrospectively reviewed. A scoring system was developed (0 to 28 points) to differentiate between potential major trauma patients and physiologically stable patients. Patients were classified into three groups: Group I (minor trauma), revised trauma score normal and our score 0-14; Group II (potential major trauma), revised trauma score normal and our score 15-28; Group III (major trauma), revised trauma score low. The proportions of patients with positive initial diagnostic test results (blood tests, X-rays, and computed tomography) were determined in each group. RESULTS: The study included 1,291 patients (Group I, 1,019; Group II, 85; Group III, 187). Blood tests and X-rays were carried out frequently in all groups, but positive results were infrequent in Group I. Comparisons using Pearson's χ2-test showed significant differences in the proportions of patients with positive blood test, X-ray, and computed tomography results among the three groups. The proportions of patients with positive blood test and chest X-ray results were significantly lower in Group II than in Group III, but there were no significant differences in the proportions of patients with other positive results between these two groups. CONCLUSIONS: In physiologically stable blunt trauma patients, diagnostic tests should be selected only after careful patient evaluation. To achieve this, standardized criteria for the identification of minor trauma patients should be established.

Repeated embolization of intercostal arteries after blunt chest injury.

To deal with an arterial bleeding from the chest wall after a blunt chest injury, embolization of the bleeding arteries can be a valuable therapeutic option, which is less invasive than a thoracotomy. However, its results are variable, being highly operator-dependent. In the present case, we performed successful emergency embolization of the 4th and 5th intercostal arteries for persistent hemorrhage following blunt trauma to the chest. Several days after the first embolization, secondary embolization was required for treating a pseudoaneurysm that was formed in the 5th intercostal artery. Although the mechanisms underlying pseudoaneurysm formation are not clearly understood, its rupture is potentially fatal. Therefore, it is essential to carefully follow-up patients who experience blunt chest injury to avoid this serious complication.

Establishment and implementation of an effective rule for the interpretation of computed tomography scans by emergency physicians in blunt trauma.

INTRODUCTION: Computed tomography (CT) can detect subtle organ injury and is applicable to many body regions. However, its interpretation requires significant skill. In our hospital, emergency physicians (EPs) must interpret emergency CT scans and formulate a plan for managing most trauma cases. CT misinterpretation should be avoided, but we were initially unable to completely accomplish this. In this study, we proposed and implemented a precautionary rule for our EPs to prevent misinterpretation of CT scans in blunt trauma cases. METHODS: WE ESTABLISHED A SIMPLE PRECAUTIONARY RULE, WHICH ADVISES EPS TO INTERPRET CT SCANS WITH PARTICULAR CARE WHEN A COMPLICATED INJURY IS SUSPECTED PER THE FOLLOWING CRITERIA: 1) unstable physiological condition; 2) suspicion of injuries in multiple regions of the body (e.g., brain injury plus abdominal injury); 3) high energy injury mechanism; and 4) requirement for rapid movement to other rooms for invasive treatment. If a patient meets at least one of these criteria, the EP should exercise the precautions laid out in our newly established rule when interpreting the CT scan. Additionally, our rule specifies that the EP should request real-time interpretation by a radiologist in difficult cases. We compared the accuracy of EPs' interpretations and resulting patient outcomes in blunt trauma cases before (January 2011, June 2012) and after (July 2012, January 2013) introduction of the rule to evaluate its efficacy. RESULTS: Before the rule's introduction, emergency CT was performed 1606 times for 365 patients. We identified 44 cases (2.7%) of minor misinterpretation and 40 (2.5%) of major misinterpretation. After introduction, CT was performed 820 times for 177 patients. We identified 10 cases (1.2%) of minor misinterpretation and two (0.2%) of major misinterpretation. Real-time support by a radiologist was requested 104 times (12.7% of all cases) and was effective in preventing misinterpretation in every case. Our rule decreased both minor and major misinterpretations in a statistically significant manner. In particular, it conspicuously decreased major misinterpretations. CONCLUSION: Our rule was easy to practice and effective in preventing EPs from missing major organ injuries. We would like to propose further large-scale multi-center trials to corroborate these results.

Patient questionnaire following closure of tracheotomy fistula: percutaneous vs. surgical approaches.

BACKGROUND: Tracheotomy is an indispensable component in intensive care management. Doctors in charge of the intensive care unit (ICU) usually decide whether tracheotomy should be performed. However, long-term follow-up of a closed fistula by these doctors is rarely continued in most cases. Doctors in charge of the ICU should be interested in the long-term prognosis of tracheotomy. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether different tracheotomy procedures affect the long-term outcome of a closed tracheal fistula. METHODS: We mailed questionnaires to patients undergoing tracheotomy in Fukushima Medical University Hospital between January 2008 and December 2010. Questions concerned problems related to perception, laryngeal function, and the appearance of a closed fistula. Patients were classified into percutaneous tracheotomy (PT) group and surgical tracheotomy (ST) group. We evaluated the statistical significance of differences in the frequency and degree of each problem between the two groups. A door-to-door objective evaluation using the original scoring system was then performed for patients who replied to the mailed questionnaire. We evaluated the percentage of patients with high scores as well as the mean scores for problems with function and appearance. RESULTS: We received completed questionnaires from 28/40 patients in the PT group and 35/55 patients in the ST group. There were no significant differences in age, mean hospital stay, or APACHE II score between the groups. Regarding problems with appearance, the outcomes of PT were significantly better than those of ST with respect to self-evaluation (p = 0.04) and the frequency (p = 0.03) and degree (p = 0.02) of scar unevenness according to door-to-door evaluation. However, there were no significant differences in the frequency or degree of self-evaluation in problems with perception and function between the two groups. There were no significant differences in the frequency or degree of door-to-door evaluation of problems with function. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that PT might be superior to ST with respect to problems with long-term appearance. Continuous follow-up of closed tracheal fistulas can help assure that patients recovering from a critical condition experience a better return to their former lives. A systematic follow-up of post-critical-care patients is required.

Two cases of acute atraumatic compartment syndrome complicated with severe heat stroke.

Acute compartment syndrome is a life-threatening complication in trauma patients. Not only regional neuromuscular disability, but also systemic organ disorders can result from prolonged tissue ischemia. In this report, we describe 2 cases of acute atraumatic compartment syndrome complicated with severe heat stroke. In both cases, emergency fasciotomy was rapidly performed after recognition of the syndrome, but serious regional neuromuscular disabilities remained. Microvascular endothelial injury is an important mechanism of acute atraumatic compartment syndrome. Thrombi diffusely formed in the compartmental space hinder establishment of reperfusion even after fasciotomy. Furthermore, disruption of fibrinolysis due to heat stroke could enhance this damage.