Does EQ-5D Tell the Whole Story? Statistical Methods for Comparing the Thematic Coverage of Clinical and Generic Outcome Measures, With Application to Breast Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to develop the following: (1) methods for assessing claims in any specific application that a generic outcome measure, such as EQ-5D is deficient in its coverage of 1 or more specified domains, and (2) a simple method of judging whether any such deficiency is likely to be quantitatively important enough to call into question evaluations based on the generic instrument. Also to demonstrate the applicability of the methods in the important area of breast cancer. METHODS: The methodology requires a data set with observations from a generic instrument (eg, EQ-5D) and also a more comprehensive clinical instrument (eg, FACT-B [Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy - Breast]). A standardized 3-component statistical analysis is proposed for investigating the claim that the generic measure inadequately captures some specified dimension covered by the latter instrument. A theoretically based upper bound on the bias induced by deficient coverage is derived based on the assumption that the designers of the (k-dimensional) generic instrument did succeed in identifying the k most important domains. RESULTS: Data from the MARIANNE breast cancer trial were analyzed and results suggested that impacts on personal appearance and relationships may be inadequately represented by EQ-5D. Nevertheless, the indications are that the bias in quality-adjusted life-year differences from deficient coverage by EQ-5D is likely to be modest. CONCLUSIONS: The methodology offers a systematic approach to determining whether there is clear evidence consistent with any claim that a generic outcome measure such as EQ-5D misses an important specific domain. The approach is readily implementable using data sets that are available in many randomized controlled trials.

Should We Consider Including a Value for "Hope" as an Additional Benefit Within Health Technology Assessment?

Health technology assessment (HTA) typically uses average health-related quality of life gain as its main measure of benefit used in economic evaluation. Nevertheless, there have been calls to consider novel aspects of benefit including the "value of hope," defined as a patients' potential preferences for a wider distribution of treatment benefit with a positive skew, in the hope that they will be one of the lucky ones. The value of hope may also derive from feeling hopeful as a positive mental state, which may be missing from current measures of health-related quality of life. The value attributed to feeling hopeful could be related to, or additional to, the value derived from possible risk-seeking preferences. Here, we reflect upon the strength of the case for the inclusion of the "value of hope" taking a critical look at the commonly referenced evidence for including the "value of hope" as risk-seeking preferences. We also draw attention to other conceptions of hope-as an emotion, a cognitive process, or a combination of both-and reflect upon the potential of including these broader notions of hope into HTA. The case for the inclusion of the "value of hope" based on risk-seeking preferences is weak. We suggest research questions that could give further evidence on whether hope is an important missing value from HTA.

A Discrete Choice Experiment to Elicit General Population Preferences Around the Factors Influencing the Choice to Make Clinical Negligence Claims.

OBJECTIVES: This article determines public stated preferences around different factors that influence the choice to make clinical negligence claims against a national healthcare system. METHODS: A large online survey was conducted using a discrete choice experiment (DCE) with the UK general population (N = 1013). DCE tasks involved a single profile and participants chose whether to make a claim for compensation (yes/no) after one of 3 randomly allocated patient safety incident (PSI) "scenarios" of different severities (mild, moderate, severe). DCE attributes described the actions of the healthcare system after a PSI and characteristics of the clinical negligence claims process. The data were modeled separately for each scenario (mild, moderate, severe) using logistic regression. Marginal effects and the probability of making a claim in a baseline case were estimated. RESULTS: Probability of choosing to claim was reduced by receipt of an apology, investigation and prevention of recurrence of the PSI, and longer time until claim decision and increased by an easy and straightforward claims process and high chance of compensation and for the mild scenario higher compensation amounts. Marginal effects and baseline case probabilities differed by scenario severity. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest the actions of the healthcare system after a PSI and characteristics of the claims process have a larger impact on the probability of making a claim for milder PSIs. For more severe PSIs, a larger probability of making a claim was observed, and the choice was less influenced by the actions of the healthcare system after the PSI and characteristics of the claims process.

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Remdesivir for the Treatment of Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19 in England and Wales.

OBJECTIVES: COVID-19 is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. This study aims to synthesize evidence to assess the cost-effectiveness of remdesivir (RDV) for the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in England and Wales. METHODS: A probabilistic cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted informed by 2 large trials and uses a partitioned survival approach to assess short- and long-term clinical consequences and costs associated with COVID-19 in a hypothetical cohort of hospitalized patients requiring supplemental oxygen at the start of treatment. Given that it is uncertain whether RDV reduces death, 2 analyses are presented, assuming RDV either reduces death or does not. Published sources were used for long-term clinical, quality of life, and cost parameters. RESULTS: Under the assumption that RDV reduces death, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for RDV is estimated at £11 881 per quality-adjusted life-year gained compared with standard of care (SoC) (probabilistic incremental cost-effectiveness ratio £12 400). The probability for RDV to be cost-effective is 74% at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £20 000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. RDV was no longer cost-effective when the hazard ratio for overall survival compared with SoC was >0·915. CONCLUSIONS: Results from this study suggest that using RDV for the treatment of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 is likely to represent a cost-effective use of National Health Service resources at current willingness-to-pay threshold in England and Wales, only if it prevents death. Results needs to be interpreted caution as vaccination was introduced and the SoC and evidence available have also evolved considerably since the analysis is conducted.

Convergent validity of EQ-5D with core outcomes in dementia: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: To explore through a systematic review, the convergent validity of EQ-5D (EQ-5D-3L and EQ-5D-5L (total score and dimensions)) with core outcomes in dementia and investigate how this may be impacted by rater-type; with the aim of informing researchers when choosing measures to use in dementia trials. METHODS: To identify articles relevant to the convergent validity of EQ-5D with core dementia outcomes, three databases were electronically searched to September 2022. Studies were considered eligible for inclusion within the review if they included individual level data from people with dementia of any type, collected self and/or proxy reported EQ-5D and collected at least one core dementia outcome measure. Relevant data such as study sample size, stage of dementia and administration of EQ-5D was extracted, and a narrative synthesis was adopted. RESULTS: The search strategy retrieved 271 unique records, of which 30 met the inclusion criteria for the review. Twelve different core outcome measures were used to capture dementia outcomes: cognition, function, and behaviour/mood across the studies. Most studies used EQ-5D-3L (n = 27). Evidence related to the relationship between EQ-5D and measures of function and behaviour/mood was the most robust, with unanimous directions of associations, and more statistically significant findings. EQ-5D dimensions exhibited associations with corresponding clinical outcomes, whereby relationships were stronger with proxy-EQ-5D (than self-report). CONCLUSION: Measuring health-rated quality of life in dementia populations is a complex issue, particularly when considering balancing the challenges associated with both self and proxy report. Published evidence indicates that EQ-5D shows evidence of convergent validity with the key dementia outcomes, therefore capturing these relevant dementia outcomes. The degree of associations with clinical measures was stronger when considering proxy-reported EQ-5D and differed by EQ-5D dimension type. This review has revealed that, despite the limited targeted psychometric evidence pool and reliance on clinical and observational studies, EQ-5D exhibits convergent validity with other dementia outcome measures.

Assessing the psychometric performance of EQ-5D-5L in dementia: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: EQ-5D is widely used for valuing changes in quality of life for economic evaluation of interventions for people with dementia. There are concerns about EQ-5D-3L in terms of content validity, poor inter-rater agreement and reliability in the presence of cognitive impairment, but there is also evidence to support its use with this population. An evidence gap remains regarding the psychometric properties of EQ-5D-5L. OBJECTIVES: To report psychometric evidence around EQ-5D-5L in people with dementia. METHODS: A systematic review identified primary studies reporting psychometric properties of EQ-5D-5L in people with dementia. Searches were completed up to November 2020. Study selection, data extraction and quality assessment were undertaken independently by at least 2 researchers. RESULTS: Evidence was extracted from 20 articles from 14 unique studies covering a range of dementia severity. Evidence of known group validity from 5 of 7 studies indicated that EQ-5D-5L distinguishes severity of disease measured by cognitive impairment, depression, level of dependence and pain. Convergent validity (9 studies) showed statistically significant correlations of weak and moderate strengths, between EQ-5D-5L scores and scores on other key measures. Statistically significant change was observed in only one of 6 papers that allowed this property to be examined. All seven studies showed a lack of inter-rater reliability between self and proxy reports with the former reporting higher EQ-5D-5L scores than those provided by proxies. Five of ten studies found EQ-5D-5L to be acceptable, assessed by whether the measure could be completed by the PwD and/or by the amount of missing data. As dementia severity increased, the feasibility of self-completing EQ-5D-5L decreased. Three papers reported on ceiling effects, two found some evidence in support of ceiling effects, and one did not. CONCLUSIONS: EQ-5D-5L seems to capture the health of people with dementia on the basis of known-group validity and convergent validity, but evidence is inconclusive regarding the responsiveness of EQ-5D-5L. As disease progresses, the ability to self-complete EQ-5D-5L is diminished.

Mapping the EORTC QLQ-C30 to EQ-5D-3L in patients with breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The types of outcomes measured collected in clinical studies and those required for cost-effectiveness analysis often differ. Decision makers routinely use quality adjusted life years (QALYs) to compare the benefits and costs of treatments across different diseases and treatments using a common metric. QALYs can be calculated using preference-based measures (PBMs) such as EQ-5D-3L, but clinical studies often focus on objective clinician or laboratory measured outcomes and non-preference-based patient outcomes, such as QLQ-C30. We model the relationship between the generic, preference-based EQ-5D-3L and the cancer specific quality of life questionnaire, QLQ-C30 in patients with breast cancer. This will result in a mapping that allows users to convert QLQ-C30 scores into EQ-5D-3L scores for the purposes of cost-effectiveness analysis or economic evaluation. METHODS: We use data from a randomized trial of 602 patients with HER2-positive advanced breast cancer provided 3766 EQ-5D-3L observations. Direct mapping using adjusted, limited dependent variable mixture models (ALDVMM) is compared to a random effects linear regression and indirect mapping using seemingly unrelated ordered probit models. EQ-5D-3L was estimated as a function of the summary scales of the QLQ-C30 and other patient characteristics. RESULTS: A four component mixture model outperformed other models in terms of summary fit statistics. A close fit to the observed data was observed across the range of disease severity. Simulated data from the model closely aligned to the original data and showed that mapping did not significantly underestimate uncertainty. In the simulated data, 22.15% were equal to 1 compared to 21.93% in the original data. Variance was 0.0628 in the simulated data versus 0.0693 in the original data. The preferred mapping is provided in Excel and Stata files for the ease of users. CONCLUSION: A four component adjusted mixture model provides reliable, non-biased estimates of EQ-5D-3L from the QLQ-C30, to link clinical studies to economic evaluation of health technologies for breast cancer. This work adds to a growing body of literature demonstrating the appropriateness of mixture model based approaches in mapping.

A Review of the Psychometric Performance of Selected Child and Adolescent Preference-Based Measures Used to Produce Utilities for Child and Adolescent Health.

OBJECTIVE: This review examined the psychometric performance of 4 generic child- and adolescent-specific preference-based measures that can be used to produce utilities for child and adolescent health. METHODS: A systematic search was undertaken to identify studies reporting the psychometric performance of the Child Health Utility (CHU9D), EQ-5D-Y (3L or 5L), and Health Utilities Index Mark 2 (HUI2) or Mark 3 (HUI3) in children and/or adolescents. Data were extracted to assess known-group validity, convergent validity, responsiveness, reliability, acceptability, and feasibility. Data were extracted separately for the dimensions and utility index where this was reported. RESULTS: The review included 76 studies (CHU9D n = 12, EQ-5D-Y-3L n = 20, HUI2 n = 26,HUI3 n = 43), which varied considerably across conditions and sample size. EQ-5D-Y-3L had the largest amount of evidence of good psychometric performance in proportion to the number of studies examining performance. The majority of the evidence related to EQ-5D-Y-3L was based on dimensions. CHU9D was assessed in fewer studies, but the majority of studies found evidence of good psychometric performance. Evidence for HUI2 and HUI3 was more mixed, but the studies were more limited in sample size and statistical power, which was likely to have affected performance. CONCLUSIONS: The heterogeneity of published studies means that the evidence is based on studies across a range of countries, populations and conditions, using different study designs, different languages, different value sets and different statistical techniques. Evidence for CHU9D in particular is based on a limited number of studies. The findings raise concerns about the comparability of self-report and proxy-report responses to generate utility values for children and adolescents.

An International Comparison of EQ-5D-5L and EQ-5D-3L for Use in Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the impact of using EQ5D-5L (5L) compared with EQ5D-3L (3L) in cost-effectiveness analyses in 6 countries with 3L and 5L values: Germany, Japan, Korea, The Netherlands, China, and Spain. METHODS: Eight cost-effectiveness analyses based on clinical studies with 3L provided 11 pairwise comparisons. We estimated cost-effectiveness by applying the appropriate country values for 3L to observed responses. We re-estimated cost-effectiveness for each country by predicting the 5L tariff score for each respondent, for each country, using a previously published mapping method. We compared results in terms of impact on estimated incremental quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gain and cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS: For most countries the impact of moving from 3L to 5L is to lower the incremental QALY gain in the majority of comparisons. The only exception to this was Japan, where 4 out of 11 cases (37%) saw lower QALYs gained when using 5L. The mean and median reductions in health gain, in those case studies where 5L does lead to lower health gain, are largest in The Netherlands (84% mean reduction, 41% median reduction), Germany (68% and 27%), and Spain (30% and 31%). For most countries, those studies where 5L leads to lower health gain see larger reductions than the gains in studies showing the opposite tendency. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, 3L and 5L are not interchangeable in these countries. Differences between results are large, but the direction of change can be unpredictable. These findings should prompt further investigation into the reasons for differences.

The EQ-5D-5L Value Set for England: Findings of a Quality Assurance Program.

OBJECTIVES: Five-level EuroQol 5-dimensional questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L) values for several countries now exist. Decision makers require confidence in the underlying data and statistical analyses before advocating their use. Independent quality assurance of the published English value set is reported here. METHODS: Data from 996 participants, and code to run published statistical models, were provided for inspection. The main elements of the study were 10 lead-time trade-off (TTO) experiments and 7 discrete choice experiments (DCEs). Data quality was examined and tested with respect to subsequent assumptions made in the statistical analysis. We examined the statistical analysis including model specification and estimation methods. RESULTS: The TTO experiments covered less than 3% of the possible 3125 5-level health states. There is strong evidence, both direct (self-reported) and indirect (poor data quality), that many participants found tasks difficult or did not engage effectively. Forty-seven percent of respondents valued more than 20% of states inconsistently, which is double the 3-level rate. The DCEs covered 12.5% of possible states and 0.01% of possible 2-state comparisons. The design precludes examination of inconsistent responses. Several aspects of the statistical model conflict with the data and underlying experimental design. The model is unidentified. The Bayesian approach relies on unjustified, informative priors. There is a clear failure to achieve convergence. CONCLUSION: Significant limitations are identified with the quality of the valuation data and the subsequent statistical analysis that underpin the English EQ-5D-5L value set. A new program of further development, including a new data collection initiative, should be considered to put the EQ-5D-5L on a sufficiently firm evidential basis for healthcare decision making.

A Review of the Methods Used to Generate Utility Values in NICE Technology Assessments for Children and Adolescents.

OBJECTIVE: This review summarizes and critically examines methods used to generate utilities for child and adolescent health states in previous National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) technology assessments (TA) and highly specialized technology (HST) evaluations. METHODS: We identified all NICE TA and HST evaluations in which the licensed indication for the technology included people younger than 18 and included in the review all evaluations using a cost-utility analysis. RESULTS: The review includes 40 TA and HST evaluations. Most assessments generated utility values with the EQ-5D scored using the adult version of the EQ-5D either exclusively (n = 16) or alongside other utility measures and direct elicitation methods of patient own utility (n = 17), although 7 did not use the EQ-5D. Eight assessments used both the EQ-5D child- and adolescent-specific preference-based measures: Health Utilities Index Mark 2 (n = 6), child- and adolescent-specific preference-based measure for atopic dermatitis (n = 1), and youth version of the EQ-5D (EQ-5D-Y) valued using the adult EQ-5D value set (n = 1) or generated using mapping and valued using the adult EQ-5D value set (n = 2). Some cost-utility analyses used age adjustment (utility subtractions, weights, and published mapping formulae) from the adult EQ-5D UK population norms to reflect the general population or disease-free health for children and adolescents (n = 9), and 1 assessment assumed full health (utility value of 1). CONCLUSION: The review found limited use of child and adolescent population-specific measures to generate health state utility values for children and adolescents in NICE technology assessments. Often assessments involve the use of an adult-specific measure to reflect the health of children.

Identifying the Need for Good Practices in Health Technology Assessment: Summary of the ISPOR HTA Council Working Group Report on Good Practices in HTA.

The systematic use of evidence to inform healthcare decisions, particularly health technology assessment (HTA), has gained increased recognition. HTA has become a standard policy tool for informing decision makers who must manage the entry and use of pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and other technologies (including complex interventions) within health systems, for example, through reimbursement and pricing. Despite increasing attention to HTA activities, there has been no attempt to comprehensively synthesize good practices or emerging good practices to support population-based decision-making in recent years. After the identification of some good practices through the release of the ISPOR Guidelines Index in 2013, the ISPOR HTA Council identified a need to more thoroughly review existing guidance. The purpose of this effort was to create a basis for capacity building, education, and improved consistency in approaches to HTA-informed decision-making. Our findings suggest that although many good practices have been developed in areas of assessment and some other key aspects of defining HTA processes, there are also many areas where good practices are lacking. This includes good practices in defining the organizational aspects of HTA, the use of deliberative processes, and measuring the impact of HTA. The extent to which these good practices are used and applied by HTA bodies is beyond the scope of this report, but may be of interest to future researchers.

Use of MRI in the diagnosis of fetal brain abnormalities in utero (MERIDIAN): a multicentre, prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In-utero MRI (iuMRI) has shown promise as an adjunct to ultrasound but the comparative diagnostic performance has been poorly defined. We aimed to assess whether the diagnostic accuracy and confidence of the prenatal diagnosis of fetal brain abnormalities is improved with iuMRI and assess the clinical impact and patient acceptability of iuMRI. METHODS: We did a multicentre, prospective, cohort study in the UK, at 16 fetal medicine centres, of pregnant women aged 16 years or older whose fetus had a brain abnormality detected by ultrasound at a gestational age of 18 weeks or more, had no contraindications to iuMRI, and consented to enter the study. Women carrying a fetus suspected of having a brain anomaly on ultrasound had iuMRI done within 14 days of ultrasound. The findings were reviewed by two independent panels and used to estimate diagnostic accuracy and confidence by comparison with outcome diagnoses. Changes in diagnosis, prognosis, and clinical management brought about by iuMRI and patient acceptability were assessed. FINDINGS: Participants were recruited between July 29, 2011, and Aug 31, 2014. The cohort was subdivided by gestation into the 18 weeks to less than 24 weeks fetus cohort (n=369) and into the 24 weeks or older fetus cohort (n=201). Diagnostic accuracy was improved by 23% (95% CI 18-27) in the 18 weeks to less than 24 weeks group and 29% (23-36) in the 24 weeks and older group (p<0·0001 for both groups). The overall diagnostic accuracy was 68% for ultrasound and 93% for iuMRI (difference 25%, 95% CI 21-29). Dominant diagnoses were reported with high confidence on ultrasound in 465 (82%) of 570 cases compared with 544 (95%) of 570 cases on iuMRI. IuMRI provided additional diagnostic information in 387 (49%) of 783 cases, changed prognostic information in at least 157 (20%), and led to changes in clinical management in more than one in three cases. IuMRI also had high patient acceptability with at least 95% of women saying they would have an iuMRI study if a future pregnancy were complicated by a fetal brain abnormality. INTERPRETATION: iuMRI improves diagnostic accuracy and confidence for fetal brain anomalies and leads to management changes in a high proportion of cases. This finding, along with the high patient acceptability, leads us to propose that any fetus with a suspected brain abnormality on ultrasound should have iuMRI to better inform counselling and management decisions. FUNDING: National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Mapping the FACT-B Instrument to EQ-5D-3L in Patients with Breast Cancer Using Adjusted Limited Dependent Variable Mixture Models versus Response Mapping.

BACKGROUND: Preference-based measures of health, such as the three-level EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire (EQ-5D-3L), are required to calculate quality-adjusted life-years for use in cost-effectiveness analysis, but are often not recorded in clinical studies. In these cases, mapping can be used to estimate preference-based measures. OBJECTIVES: To model the relationship between the EQ-5D-3L and the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy-Breast Cancer (FACT-B) instrument, comparing indirect and direct mapping methods, and the use of FACT-B summary score versus FACT-B subscale scores. METHODS: We used data from three clinical studies for advanced breast cancer providing 11,958 observations with full information on FACT-B and the EQ-5D-3L. We compared direct mapping using adjusted limited dependent variable mixture models (ALDVMMs) with indirect mapping using seemingly unrelated ordered probit models. The EQ-5D-3L was estimated as a function of FACT-B and other patient-related covariates. RESULTS: The use of FACT-B subscale scores was better than using the total FACT-B score. A good fit to the observed data was observed across the entire range of disease severity in all models. ALDVMMs outperformed the indirect mapping. The breast cancer-specific scale had a strong influence in predicting the pain/discomfort and self-care dimensions of the EQ-5D-3L. CONCLUSIONS: This article adds to the growing literature that demonstrates the performance of the ALDVMM method for mapping. Regardless of which model is used, the subscales of FACT-B should be included as independent variables wherever possible. The breast cancer-specific subscale of FACT-B is important in predicting the EQ-5D-3L. This suggests that generic cancer measures should not be used for utility mapping in patients with breast cancer.

Development of Methods for the Mapping of Utilities Using Mixture Models: Mapping the AQLQ-S to the EQ-5D-5L and the HUI3 in Patients with Asthma.

BACKGROUND: Studies have shown that methods based on mixture models work well when mapping clinical to preference-based methods. OBJECTIVES: To develop these methods in different ways and to compare performance in a case study. METHODS: Data from 856 patients with asthma allowed mapping between the Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire and both the five-level EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire (EQ-5D-5L) and the health utilities index mark 3 (HUI3). Adjusted limited dependent variable mixture models and beta-based mixture models were estimated. Optional inclusion of the gap between full health and the next value as well as a mass point at the next feasible value were explored. RESULTS: In all cases, model specifications formally modeling the gap between full health and the next feasible value were an improvement on those that did not. Mapping to the HUI3 required more components in the mixture models than did mapping to the EQ-5D-5L because of its uneven distribution. The optimal beta-based mixture models mapping to the HUI3 included a probability mass at the utility value adjacent to full health. This is not the case when estimating the EQ-5D-5L, because of the low proportion of observations at this point. CONCLUSIONS: Beta-based mixture models marginally outperformed adjusted limited dependent variable mixture models with the same number of components in this data set. Nevertheless, they require a larger number of parameters and longer estimation time. Both mixture model types closely fit both EQ-5D-5L and HUI data. Standard mapping approaches typically lead to biased estimates of health gain. The mixture model approaches exhibit no such bias. Both can be used with confidence in applied cost-effectiveness studies. Future mapping studies in other disease areas should consider similar methods.

EQ-5D-5L versus EQ-5D-3L: The Impact on Cost Effectiveness in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVES: To model the relationship between the three-level (3L) and the five-level (5L) EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire and examine how differences have an impact on cost effectiveness in case studies. METHODS: We used two data sets that included the 3L and 5L versions from the same respondents. The EuroQol Group data set (n = 3551) included patients with different diseases and a healthy cohort. The National Data Bank data set included patients with rheumatoid disease (n = 5205). We estimated a system of ordinal regressions in each data set using copula models to link responses of the 3L instrument to those of the 5L instrument and its UK tariff, and vice versa. Results were applied to nine cost-effectiveness studies. RESULTS: Best-fitting models differed between the EuroQol Group and the National Data Bank data sets in terms of the explanatory variables, copulas, and coefficients. In both cases, the coefficients of the covariates and latent factors between the 3L and the 5L instruments were significantly different, indicating that moving between instruments is not simply a uniform re-alignment of the response levels for most dimensions. In the case studies, moving from the 3L to the 5L caused a decrease of up to 87% in incremental quality-adjusted life-years gained from effective technologies in almost all cases. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios increased, often substantially. Conversely, one technology with a significant mortality gain saw increased incremental quality-adjusted life-years. CONCLUSIONS: The 5L shifts mean utility scores up the utility scale toward full health and compresses them into a smaller range, compared with the 3L. Improvements in quality of life are valued less using the 5L than using the 3L. The 3L and the 5L can produce substantially different estimates of cost effectiveness. There is no simple proportional adjustment that can be made to reconcile these differences.

How to design the cost-effectiveness appraisal process of new healthcare technologies to maximise population health: A conceptual framework.

This paper presents a conceptual framework to analyse the design of the cost-effectiveness appraisal process of new healthcare technologies. The framework characterises the appraisal processes as a diagnostic test aimed at identifying cost-effective (true positive) and non-cost-effective (true negative) technologies. Using the framework, factors that influence the value of operating an appraisal process, in terms of net gain to population health, are identified. The framework is used to gain insight into current policy questions including (a) how rigorous the process should be, (b) who should have the burden of proof, and (c) how optimal design changes when allowing for appeals, price reductions, resubmissions, and re-evaluations. The paper demonstrates that there is no one optimal appraisal process and the process should be adapted over time and to the specific technology under assessment. Optimal design depends on country-specific features of (future) technologies, for example, effect, price, and size of the patient population, which might explain the difference in appraisal processes across countries. It is shown that burden of proof should be placed on the producers and that the impact of price reductions and patient access schemes on the producer's price setting should be considered when designing the appraisal process.

The Cost-Effectiveness of Antibiotic Prophylaxis for Patients at Risk of Infective Endocarditis.

BACKGROUND: In March 2008, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence recommended stopping antibiotic prophylaxis (AP) for those at risk of infective endocarditis (IE) undergoing dental procedures in the United Kingdom, citing a lack of evidence of efficacy and cost-effectiveness. We have performed a new economic evaluation of AP on the basis of contemporary estimates of efficacy, adverse events, and resource implications. METHODS: A decision analytic cost-effectiveness model was used. Health service costs and benefits (measured as quality-adjusted life-years) were estimated. Rates of IE before and after the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidance were available to estimate prophylactic efficacy. AP adverse event rates were derived from recent UK data, and resource implications were based on English Hospital Episode Statistics. RESULTS: AP was less costly and more effective than no AP for all patients at risk of IE. The results are sensitive to AP efficacy, but efficacy would have to be substantially lower for AP not to be cost-effective. AP was even more cost-effective in patients at high risk of IE. Only a marginal reduction in annual IE rates (1.44 cases in high-risk and 33 cases in all at-risk patients) would be required for AP to be considered cost-effective at £20 000 ($26 600) per quality-adjusted life-year. Annual cost savings of £5.5 to £8.2 million ($7.3-$10.9 million) and health gains >2600 quality-adjusted life-years could be achieved from reinstating AP in England. CONCLUSIONS: AP is cost-effective for preventing IE, particularly in those at high risk. These findings support the cost-effectiveness of guidelines recommending AP use in high-risk individuals.

Haemorrhoidal artery ligation versus rubber band ligation for the management of symptomatic second-degree and third-degree haemorrhoids (HubBLe): a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Optimum surgical intervention for low-grade haemorrhoids is unknown. Haemorrhoidal artery ligation (HAL) has been proposed as an efficacious, safe therapy while rubber band ligation (RBL) is a commonly used outpatient treatment. We compared recurrence after HAL versus RBL in patients with grade II-III haemorrhoids. METHODS: This multicentre, open-label, parallel group, randomised controlled trial included patients from 17 acute UK NHS trusts. We screened patients aged 18 years or older presenting with grade II-III haemorrhoids. We excluded patients who had previously received any haemorrhoid surgery, more than one injection treatment for haemorrhoids, or more than one RBL procedure within 3 years before recruitment. Eligible patients were randomly assigned (in a 1:1 ratio) to either RBL or HAL with Doppler. Randomisation was computer-generated and stratified by centre with blocks of random sizes. Allocation concealment was achieved using a web-based system. The study was open-label with no masking of participants, clinicians, or research staff. The primary outcome was recurrence at 1 year, derived from the patient's self-reported assessment in combination with resource use from their general practitioner and hospital records. Recurrence was analysed in patients who had undergone one of the interventions and been followed up for at least 1 year. This study is registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN41394716. FINDINGS: From Sept 9, 2012, to May 6, 2014, of 969 patients screened, 185 were randomly assigned to the HAL group and 187 to the RBL group. Of these participants, 337 had primary outcome data (176 in the RBL group and 161 in the HAL group). At 1 year post-procedure, 87 (49%) of 176 patients in the RBL group and 48 (30%) of 161 patients in the HAL group had haemorrhoid recurrence (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2·23, 95% CI 1·42-3·51; p=0·0005). The main reason for this difference was the number of extra procedures required to achieve improvement (57 [32%] participants in the RBL group and 23 [14%] participants in the HAL group had a subsequent procedure for haemorrhoids). The mean pain 1 day after procedure was 3·4 (SD 2·8) in the RBL group and 4·6 (2·8) in the HAL group (difference -1·2, 95% CI -1·8 to -0·5; p=0·0002); at day 7 the scores were 1·6 (2·3) in the RBL group and 3·1 (2·4) in the HAL group (difference -1·5, -2·0 to -1·0; p<0·0001). Pain scores did not differ between groups at 21 days and 6 weeks. 15 individuals reported serious adverse events requiring hospital admission. One patient in the RBL group had a pre-existing rectal tumour. Of the remaining 14 serious adverse events, 12 (7%) were among participants treated with HAL and two (1%) were in those treated with RBL. Six patients had pain (one treated with RBL, five treated with HAL), three had bleeding not requiring transfusion (one treated with RBL, two treated with HAL), two in the HAL group had urinary retention, two in the HAL group had vasovagal upset, and one in the HAL group had possible sepsis (treated with antibiotics). INTERPRETATION: Although recurrence after HAL was lower than a single RBL, HAL was more painful than RBL. The difference in recurrence was due to the need for repeat bandings in the RBL group. Patients (and health commissioners) might prefer such a course of RBL to the more invasive HAL. FUNDING: NIHR Health Technology Assessment programme.