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BACKGROUND: Active case finding (ACF) is a potentially promising approach for the early identification and treatment of tuberculosis patients. However, evidence on its cost-effectiveness, particularly in low- and middle-income countries, remains limited. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of a community-based ACF practice in Shenzhen, China. METHODS: We employed a Markov model-based decision analytic method to assess the costs and effectiveness of 3 tuberculosis detection strategies: passive case finding (PCF), basic ACF, and advanced ACF. The analysis was conducted from a societal perspective on a dynamic cohort over a 20-year horizon, focusing on active tuberculosis (ATB) prevalence and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: Compared to the PCF strategy, the basic and advanced ACF strategies effectively reduced ATB cases by 6.8 and 10.2 per 100 000 population, respectively, by the final year of this 20-year period. The ICER for the basic and advanced ACF strategies were ¥14 757 and ¥8217 per quality-adjusted life-year, respectively. Both values fell below the cost-effectiveness threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that the community-based ACF screening strategy, which targets individuals exhibiting tuberculosis symptoms, is cost-effective. This underscores the potential benefits of adopting similar community-based ACF strategies for symptomatic populations in tuberculosis-endemic areas.
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Análise Custo-Benefício , Cadeias de Markov , Tuberculose , Humanos , China/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/economia , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , PrevalênciaRESUMO
Little is known about environmental transmission of Mycobacterium kansasii. We retrospectively investigated potential environmental acquisition, primarily water sources, of M. kansasii among 216 patients with pulmonary disease from an industrial city in Taiwan during 2015-2017. We analyzed sputum mycobacterial cultures using whole-genome sequencing and used hierarchical Bayesian spatial network methods to evaluate risk factors for genetic relatedness of M. kansasii strains. The mean age of participants was 67 years; 24.1% had previously had tuberculosis. We found that persons from districts served by 2 water purification plants were at higher risk of being infected with genetically related M. kansasii isolates. The adjusted odds ratios were 1.81 (1.25-2.60) for the Weng Park plant and 1.39 (1.12-1.71) for the Fongshan plant. Those findings unveiled the association between water purification plants and M. kansasii pulmonary disease, highlighting the need for further environmental investigations to evaluate the risk for M. kansasii transmission.
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Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas , Mycobacterium kansasii , Filogeografia , Humanos , Mycobacterium kansasii/genética , Mycobacterium kansasii/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas/microbiologia , Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas/epidemiologia , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Idoso , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pneumopatias/microbiologia , Pneumopatias/epidemiologia , Filogenia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Fatores de Risco , Sequenciamento Completo do GenomaRESUMO
With a large population most susceptible to Omicron and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants, China faces uncertain scenarios if reopening its border. Thus, we aimed to predict the impact of combination preventative interventions on hospitalization and death. An age-stratified susceptible-infectious-quarantined-hospitalized-removed-susceptible (SIQHRS) model based on the new guidelines of COVID-19 diagnosis and treatment (the ninth edition) was constructed to simulate the transmission dynamics of Omicron within 365 days. At baseline, we assumed no interventions other than 60% booster vaccination in individuals aged ≤60 years and 80% in individuals aged >60 years, quarantine and hospitalization. Oral antiviral medications for COVID-19 and nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as social distancing and antigen self-testing were considered in subsequent scenarios. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to reflect different levels of interventions. A total of 0.73 billion cumulative quarantines (95% CI 0.53-0.83), 33.59 million hospitalizations (22.41-39.31), and 0.62 million deaths (0.40-0.75) are expected in 365 days. The case fatality rate with pneumonia symptoms (moderate, severe and critical illness) is expected to be 1.83% (1.68-1.99%) and the infected fatality rate is 0.38 (0.33-0.4). The highest existing hospitalization and ICU occupations are 3.11 (0.30-3.85) and 20.33 (2.01-25.20) times of capacity, respectively. Sensitivity analysis showed that interventions can be adjusted to meet certain conditions to reduce the total number of infections and deaths. In conclusion, after sufficient respiratory and ICU beds are prepared and the relaxed NPIs are in place, the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant would not seriously impact the health system.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Teste para COVID-19 , HospitalizaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The incidence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) remains critically high in countries of the former Soviet Union, where >20% of new cases and >50% of previously treated cases have resistance to rifampin and isoniazid. Transmission of resistant strains, as opposed to resistance selected through inadequate treatment of drug-susceptible tuberculosis (TB), is the main driver of incident MDR-TB in these countries. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a prospective, genomic analysis of all culture-positive TB cases diagnosed in 2018 and 2019 in the Republic of Moldova. We used phylogenetic methods to identify putative transmission clusters; spatial and demographic data were analyzed to further describe local transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Of 2,236 participants, 779 (36%) had MDR-TB, of whom 386 (50%) had never been treated previously for TB. Moreover, 92% of multidrug-resistant M. tuberculosis strains belonged to putative transmission clusters. Phylogenetic reconstruction identified 3 large clades that were comprised nearly uniformly of MDR-TB: 2 of these clades were of Beijing lineage, and 1 of Ural lineage, and each had additional distinct clade-specific second-line drug resistance mutations and geographic distributions. Spatial and temporal proximity between pairs of cases within a cluster was associated with greater genomic similarity. Our study lasted for only 2 years, a relatively short duration compared with the natural history of TB, and, thus, the ability to infer the full extent of transmission is limited. CONCLUSIONS: The MDR-TB epidemic in Moldova is associated with the local transmission of multiple M. tuberculosis strains, including distinct clades of highly drug-resistant M. tuberculosis with varying geographic distributions and drug resistance profiles. This study demonstrates the role of comprehensive genomic surveillance for understanding the transmission of M. tuberculosis and highlights the urgency of interventions to interrupt transmission of highly drug-resistant M. tuberculosis.
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Tuberculose , Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla/genética , Genótipo , Humanos , Moldávia/epidemiologia , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Filogenia , Filogeografia , Estudos Prospectivos , Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/microbiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Large-scale rural-to-urban migration has changed the epidemiology of tuberculosis (TB) in large Chinese cities. We estimated the contribution of TB importation, reactivation of latent infection, and local transmission to new TB cases in Shanghai, and compared the potential impact of intervention options. METHODS: We developed a transmission dynamic model of TB for Songjiang District, Shanghai, which has experienced high migration over the past 25 years. We calibrated the model to local demographic data, TB notifications, and molecular epidemiologic studies. We estimated epidemiological drivers as well as future outcomes of current TB policies and compared this base-case scenario with scenarios describing additional targeted interventions focusing on migrants or vulnerable residents. RESULTS: The model captured key demographic and epidemiological features of TB among migrant and resident populations in Songjiang District, Shanghai. Between 2020 and 2035, we estimate that over 60% of TB cases will occur among migrants and that approximately 43% of these cases will result from recent infection. While TB incidence will decline under current policies, we estimate that additional interventions-including active screening and preventive treatment for migrants-could reduce TB incidence by an additional 20% by 2035. CONCLUSIONS: Migrant-focused TB interventions could produce meaningful health benefits for migrants, as well as for young residents who receive indirect protection as a result of reduced TB transmission in Shanghai. Further studies to measure cost-effectiveness are needed to evaluate the feasibility of these interventions in Shanghai and similar urban centers experiencing high migration volumes.
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Migrantes , Tuberculose , China/epidemiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/prevenção & controle , População UrbanaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Part of tuberculosis (TB) patients were missed if symptomatic screening was based on the main TB likely symptoms. This study conducted to compare the yield and relative costs of different TB screening algorithms in active case-finding in the whole population in China. METHODS: The study population was screened based on the TB likely symptoms through a face-to-face interview in selected 27 communities from 10 counties of 10 provinces in China. If the individuals had any of the enhanced TB likely symptoms, both chest X-ray and sputum tests were carried out for them furtherly. We used the McNemar test to analyze the difference in TB detection among four algorithms in active case-finding. Of four algorithms, two were from WHO recommendations including 1a/1c, one from China National Tuberculosis Program, and one from this study with the enhanced TB likely symptoms. Furthermore, a two-way ANOVA analysis was performed to analyze the cost difference in the performance of active case-finding adjusted by different demographic and health characteristics among different algorithms. RESULTS: Algorithm with the enhanced TB likely symptoms defined in this study could increase the yield of TB detection in active case-finding, compared with algorithms recommended by WHO (p < 0.01, Kappa 95% CI: 0. 93-0.99) and China NTP (p = 0.03, Kappa 95% CI: 0.96-1.00). There was a significant difference in the total costs among different three algorithms WHO 1c/2/3 (F = 59.13, p < 0.01). No significant difference in the average costs for one active TB case screened and diagnosed through the process among Algorithms 1c/2/3 was evident (F = 2.78, p = 0.07). The average costs for one bacteriological positive case through algorithm WHO 1a was about two times as much as the costs for one active TB case through algorithms WHO 1c/2/3. CONCLUSIONS: Active case-finding based on the enhanced symptom screening is meaningful for TB case-finding and it could identify more active TB cases in time. The findings indicated that this enhanced screening approach cost more compared to algorithms recommend by WHO and China NTP, but the increased yield resulted in comparative costs per patient. And it cost much more that only smear/bacteriological-positive TB cases are screened in active case-finding.
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Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/economia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Criança , China/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Escarro , Tuberculose/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Population movement could extend multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) transmission and complicate its global prevalence. We sought to identify the high-risk populations and geographic sites of MDR-TB transmission in Shenzhen, the most common destination for internal migrants in China. METHODS: We performed a population-based, retrospective study in patients diagnosed with MDR-TB in Shenzhen during 2013-2017. By defining genomic clusters with a threshold of 12-single-nucleotide polymorphism distance based on whole-genome sequencing of their clinical strains, the clustering rate was calculated to evaluate the level of recent transmission. Risk factors were identified by multivariable logistic regression. To further delineate the epidemiological links, we invited the genomic-clustered patients to an in-depth social network investigation. RESULTS: In total, 105 (25.2%) of the 417 enrolled patients with MDR-TB were grouped into 40 genome clusters, suggesting recent transmission of MDR strains. The adjusted risk for student to have a clustered strain was 4.05 (95% confidence interval, 1.06-17.0) times greater than other patients. The majority (70%, 28/40) of the genomic clusters involved patients who lived in different districts, with residences separated by an average of 8.76 kilometers. Other than household members, confirmed epidemiological links were also identified among classmates and workplace colleagues. CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate that local transmission of MDR-TB is a serious problem in Shenzhen. While most transmission occurred between people who lived distant from each other, there was clear evidence that transmission occurred in schools and workplaces, which should be included as targeted sites for active case finding.The average residential distance between genomic-clustered cases was more than 8 kilometers, while schools and workplaces, identified as sites of transmission in this study, deserve increased vigilance for targeted case finding of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , China/epidemiologia , Genômica , Humanos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Estudos Retrospectivos , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , UrbanizaçãoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The internal rural-to-urban migration is one of the major challenges for tuberculosis (TB) control in China. Patient costs incurred during TB diagnosis and treatment could cause access and adherence barriers, particularly among migrants. Here, we estimated the prevalence of catastrophic costs of TB patients and its associated factors in an urban population with internal migrants in China. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey was conducted to enroll culture-confirmed pulmonary TB patients in Songjiang district, Shanghai, between December 1, 2014, and December 31, 2015. Consenting participants completed a questionnaire, which collected direct and indirect costs before and after the diagnosis of TB. The catastrophic cost was defined as the annual expenses of TB care that exceeds 20% of total household disposable income. We used logistic regression to identify factors associated with catastrophic costs. RESULTS: Overall, 248 drug-susceptible TB patients were enrolled, 70% (174/248) of them were from migrants. Migrant patients were significantly younger compared to resident patients. The total costs were 25,824 ($3689) and 13,816 ($1974) Chinese Yuan (RMB) in average for resident and migrant patients, respectively. The direct medical cost comprised about 70% of the total costs among both migrant and resident patients. Overall, 55% (132 of 248) of patients experienced high expenses (>10% of total household income), and 22% (55 of 248) experienced defined catastrophic costs. The reimbursement for TB care only reduced the prevalence of catastrophic costs to 20% (49 of 248). Meanwhile, 52% (90 of 174) of the internal migrants had no available local health insurance. Hospitalizations, no available insurance, and older age (> 45-year-old) contributed significantly to the occurrence of catastrophic costs. CONCLUSIONS: The catastrophic cost of TB service cannot be overlooked, despite the free policy. Migrants have difficulties benefiting from health insurance in urban cities. Interventions, including expanded medical financial assistance, are needed to secure universal TB care.
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Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Migrantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Tuberculose/economia , Adulto , Idoso , China/epidemiologia , Cidades , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Seguro Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos e Questionários , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/economia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/epidemiologiaRESUMO
The Beijing family is the most successful genotype of Mycobacterium tuberculosis and responsible for more than a quarter of the global tuberculosis epidemic. As the predominant genotype in East Asia, the Beijing family has been emerging in various areas of the world and is often associated with disease outbreaks and antibiotic resistance. Revealing the origin and historical dissemination of this strain family is important for understanding its current global success. Here we characterized the global diversity of this family based on whole-genome sequences of 358 Beijing strains. We show that the Beijing strains endemic in East Asia are genetically diverse, whereas the globally emerging strains mostly belong to a more homogenous subtype known as "modern" Beijing. Phylogeographic and coalescent analyses indicate that the Beijing family most likely emerged around 30,000 y ago in southern East Asia, and accompanied the early colonization by modern humans in this area. By combining the genomic data and genotyping result of 1,793 strains from across China, we found the "modern" Beijing sublineage experienced massive expansions in northern China during the Neolithic era and subsequently spread to other regions following the migration of Han Chinese. Our results support a parallel evolution of the Beijing family and modern humans in East Asia. The dominance of the "modern" Beijing sublineage in East Asia and its recent global emergence are most likely driven by its hypervirulence, which might reflect adaption to increased human population densities linked to the agricultural transition in northern China.
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Etnicidade , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Tuberculose/microbiologia , China , Genes Bacterianos , Humanos , Tuberculose/etnologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Understanding the transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis is essential for the development of efficient tuberculosis control strategies. China has the second-largest tuberculosis burden in the world. Recent transmission and infection with M. tuberculosis, particularly drug-resistant strains, may account for many new tuberculosis cases. METHODS: We performed a population-based molecular epidemiologic study of pulmonary tuberculosis in China during 1 July 2009 to 30 June 2012. We defined clusters as cases with identical variable number tandem repeat genotype patterns and identified the risk factors associated with clustering, by logistic regression. Relative transmission rates were estimated by the sputum smear status and drug susceptibility status of tuberculosis patients. RESULTS: Among 2274 culture-positive tuberculosis patients with genotyped isolates, there were 705 (31.0%) tuberculosis patients in 287 clusters. Multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.86; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-2.63) and infection with a Beijing family strain (aOR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.23-2.96) were associated with clustering. Eighty-four of 280 (30.0%) clusters had a putative source case that was sputum smear negative, and 30.6% of their secondary cases were attributed to transmission by sputum smear-negative patients. The relative transmission rate for sputum smear negative compared with sputum smear-positive patients was 0.89 (95% CI, .68-1.10), and was 1.51 (95% CI, 1.00-2.24) for MDR tuberculosis vs drug-susceptible tuberculosis. CONCLUSIONS: Recent transmission of M. tuberculosis, including MDR strains, contributes substantially to tuberculosis disease in China. Sputum smear-negative cases were responsible for at least 30% of the secondary cases. Interventions to reduce the transmission of M. tuberculosis should be implemented in China.
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/transmissão , Tuberculose Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/transmissão , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Antituberculosos , Pequim , China/epidemiologia , Análise por Conglomerados , DNA Bacteriano/genética , Feminino , Genótipo , Humanos , Masculino , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Repetições Minissatélites , Epidemiologia Molecular , Razão de Chances , Análise de Regressão , Fatores de Risco , Escarro/microbiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/microbiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/microbiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To identify a variable number of tandem repeats (VNTR) typing method that is suitable for molecular epidemiological study of tuberculosis in China. METHODS: We systematically evaluated the commonly used VNTR typing methods, including 4 methods (MIRU-12, VNTR-15/VNTR-24 and VNTR "24+4") proposed by foreign colleagues and 2 methods (VNTR-L15 and VNTR"9+3") developed by domestic researchers using population-based collection of 891 clinical isolates from 5 provinces across the country. RESULTS: The order (from high to low) of discriminatory power for the 6 VNTR typing methods was VNTR"24+4", VNTR"9+3", VNTR-24, VNTR-15, VNTR-L15 and MIRU-12. The discriminatory power of VNTR"9+3" was comparable with VNTR"24+4" and higher than that of VNTR-15/24. The concordance for defining clustered and unique genotypes between VNTR"9+3" and VNTR"24+4" was 96.59%. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that VNTR"9+3" is a suitable method for molecular typing of M. tuberculosis in China by considering its high discriminatory power, high consistency with VNTR"24+4" and relative small number of VNTR locus.
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis , China , Genótipo , Humanos , Repetições Minissatélites , Tipagem Molecular , TuberculoseRESUMO
Objective: Drug resistance is the critical determinant for appropriate tuberculosis (TB) treatment regimens and an important indicator of the local TB burden. We aimed to investigate and compare trends in TB drug resistance in the urban Songjiang District of Shanghai from 2011 to 2020, and the rural Wusheng County of Sichuan Province from 2009 to 2020, to assess the effectiveness of local TB control and treatment programs. Methods: Whole-genome sequencing data of Mycobacterium tuberculosis were used to predict drug-resistance profiles and identify genomic clusters. Clustered, retreated cases of drug-resistant TB with identical resistance mutations, as well as all new resistant cases, were defined as transmitted resistance. The Cochran-Armitage trend test was used to identify trends in the proportions. Differences between groups were tested using the Wilcoxon rank sum or chi-square tests. Results: The annual proportions of rifampicin-resistant (RR), isoniazid-resistant (INH-R) and multidrug-resistant (MDR) TB cases did not change significantly in Songjiang. In Wusheng, however, the percentage of total TB cases that were RR decreased from 13.2% in 2009 to 3.7% in 2020, the INH-R cases decreased from 16.5% to 7.3%, and the MDR cases decreased from 10.7% to 3.7%. In retreated cases, the percentage of drug resistance decreased in both Songjiang and Wusheng, suggesting improved treatment programs. Transmitted resistance accounted for more than two thirds of drug-resistant cases over the entire study periods, and in recent years this proportion has increased significantly in Songjiang. Conclusion: In both urban Songjiang and rural Wusheng, drug-resistant TB is mostly the result of transmission of drug resistant strains and the percentage of transmitted resistance will likely increase with on-going improvements in the TB treatment programs. Reducing the prevalence of drug resistance depends principally upon decreasing transmission through the prompt diagnosis and effective treatment of drug-resistant TB cases.
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Rapid and precise nucleic acid testing at the point-of-care (POC) is essential for effective screening and management of infectious diseases. Current polymerase-based molecular diagnostics often suffer from potential cross-contamination issues, particularly in POC settings. Here, we introduce DECODE, a contamination-free nucleic acid detection platform integrating digital microfluidics (DMF) for nucleic acid extraction and a digital CRISPR amplification-free assay for pathogen detection. The digital CRISPR assay demonstrates sensitivity, detecting target DNA and RNA in the reaction mixture at concentrations of 10 and 5 copies/µL, respectively. Leveraging DMF-extracted samples enhances the performance of the digital CRISPR amplification-free assay. DECODE offers a sample-to-result workflow of 75 min using compact devices. Validation studies using clinical samples confirm DECODE's robust performance, achieving 100% sensitivity and specificity in detecting HPV18 from cervical epithelial cells and influenza A from nasal swabs. DECODE represents a versatile, contamination-free detection platform poised to enhance integrated public health surveillance efforts.
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OBJECTIVE: To investigate the spatial heterogeneity of nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease (NTM-PD) in Shanghai. METHODS: A population-based retrospective study was conducted using presumptive pulmonary tuberculosis surveillance data of Shanghai between 2010 and 2019. The study described the spatial distribution of NTM-PD notification rates, employing hierarchical Bayesian mapping for high-risk areas and the Getis-Ord Gi* statistic to identify hot spots and explore associated factors. RESULTS: Of 1652 NTM-PD cases, the most common species was Mycobacterium kansasii complex (MKC) (41.9%), followed by Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) (27.1%) and Mycobacterium abscessus complex (MABC) (16.2%). MKC-PD patients were generally younger males with a higher incidence of pulmonary cavities, while MAC-PD patients were more often farmers or had a history of tuberculosis treatment. MKC-PD hot spots were primarily located in the areas alongside the Huangpu River, while MAC-PD hot spots were mainly in the western agricultural areas. Patients with MKC-PD and MAC-PD exhibited a higher risk of spatial clustering compared to those with MABC-PD. CONCLUSIONS: Different types of NTM-PD exhibit distinct patterns of spatial clustering and are associated with various factors. These findings underscore the importance of environmental and host factors in the epidemic of NTM-PD.
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Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas , Humanos , Masculino , Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas/epidemiologia , Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas/microbiologia , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Mycobacterium kansasii/isolamento & purificação , Micobactérias não Tuberculosas/isolamento & purificação , Teorema de Bayes , Incidência , Análise Espacial , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem , Complexo Mycobacterium avium/isolamento & purificação , Tuberculose Pulmonar/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Pulmonar/microbiologia , Mycobacterium abscessus/isolamento & purificaçãoRESUMO
The projected trajectory of multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) epidemics depends on the reproductive fitness of circulating strains of MDR M. tuberculosis (Mtb). Previous efforts to characterize the fitness of MDR Mtb have found that Mtb strains of the Beijing sublineage (Lineage 2.2.1) may be more prone to develop resistance and retain fitness in the presence of resistance-conferring mutations than other lineages. Using Mtb genome sequences from all culture-positive cases collected over two years in Moldova, we estimate the fitness of Ural (Lineage 4.2) and Beijing strains, the two lineages in which MDR is concentrated in the country. We estimate that the fitness of MDR Ural strains substantially exceeds that of other susceptible and MDR strains, and we identify several mutations specific to these MDR Ural strains. Our findings suggest that MDR Ural Mtb has been transmitting efficiently in Moldova and poses a substantial risk of spreading further in the region.
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Humanos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Moldávia/epidemiologia , Genótipo , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/microbiologia , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla/genéticaRESUMO
Background: Isoniazid-resistant, rifampicin-susceptible tuberculosis (Hr-TB) globally exhibits a high prevalence and serves as a potential precursor to multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). Recognizing the spatial distribution of Hr-TB and identifying associated factors can provide strategic entry points for interventions aimed at early detection of Hr-TB and prevention of its progression to MDR-TB. This study aims to analyze spatial patterns and identify socioeconomic, demographic, and healthcare factors associated with Hr-TB in Shanghai at the county level. Method: We conducted a retrospective study utilizing data from TB patients with available Drug Susceptible Test (DST) results in Shanghai from 2010 to 2016. Spatial autocorrelation was explored using Global Moran's I and Getis-Ord Gi∗ statistics. A Bayesian hierarchical model with spatial effects was developed using the INLA package in R software to identify potential factors associated with Hr-TB at the county level. Results: A total of 8,865 TB patients with DST were included in this analysis. Among 758 Hr-TB patients, 622 (82.06%) were new cases without any previous treatment history. The drug-resistant rate of Hr-TB among new TB cases in Shanghai stood at 7.20% (622/8014), while for previously treated cases, the rate was 15.98% (136/851). Hotspot areas of Hr-TB were predominantly situated in southwestern Shanghai. Factors positively associated with Hr-TB included the percentage of older adult individuals (RR = 3.93, 95% Crl:1.93-8.03), the percentage of internal migrants (RR = 1.35, 95% Crl:1.15-1.35), and the number of healthcare institutions per 100 population (RR = 1.17, 95% Crl:1.02-1.34). Conclusion: We observed a spatial heterogeneity of Hr-TB in Shanghai, with hotspots in the Songjiang and Minhang districts. Based on the results of the models, the internal migrant population and older adult individuals in Shanghai may be contributing factors to the emergence of areas with high Hr-TB notification rates. Given these insights, we advocate for targeted interventions, especially in identified high-risk hotspots and high-risk areas.
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Migrantes , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Humanos , Idoso , China/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Isoniazida/farmacologia , Isoniazida/uso terapêutico , Teorema de Bayes , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/diagnósticoRESUMO
Backgrounds: The diagnostic delay of tuberculosis (TB) contributes to further transmission and impedes the implementation of the End TB Strategy. Therefore, we aimed to describe the characteristics of patient delay, health system delay, and total delay among TB patients in Shanghai, identify areas at high risk for delay, and explore the potential factors of long delay at individual and spatial levels. Method: The study included TB patients among migrants and residents in Shanghai between January 2010 and December 2018. Patient and health system delays exceeding 14 days and total delays exceeding 28 days were defined as long delays. Time trends of long delays were evaluated by Joinpoint regression. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to analyze influencing factors of long delays. Spatial analysis of delays was conducted using ArcGIS, and the hierarchical Bayesian spatial model was utilized to explore associated spatial factors. Results: Overall, 61,050 TB patients were notified during the study period. Median patient, health system, and total delays were 12 days (IQR: 3-26), 9 days (IQR: 4-18), and 27 days (IQR: 15-43), respectively. Migrants, females, older adults, symptomatic visits to TB-designated facilities, and pathogen-positive were associated with longer patient delays, while pathogen-negative, active case findings and symptomatic visits to non-TB-designated facilities were associated with long health system delays (LHD). Spatial analysis revealed Chongming Island was a hotspot for patient delay, while western areas of Shanghai, with a high proportion of internal migrants and industrial parks, were at high risk for LHD. The application of rapid molecular diagnostic methods was associated with reduced health system delays. Conclusion: Despite a relatively shorter diagnostic delay of TB than in the other regions in China, there was vital social-demographic and spatial heterogeneity in the occurrence of long delays in Shanghai. While the active case finding and rapid molecular diagnosis reduced the delay, novel targeted interventions are still required to address the challenges of TB diagnosis among both migrants and residents in this urban setting.
Assuntos
Migrantes , Tuberculose , Feminino , Humanos , Idoso , Diagnóstico Tardio , Teorema de Bayes , China/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Tuberculose/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Fluoroquinolones (FQ) are essential for the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). The FQ resistance (FQ-R) rate in MDR-TB in China and its risk factors remain poorly understood. We conducted a retrospective, population-based genomic epidemiology study of MDR-TB patients in Shanghai, China, from 2009 to 2018. A genomic cluster was defined as strains with genetic distances ≤ 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms. The transmitted FQ-R was defined as the same FQ resistance-conferring mutations shared by ≥ 2 strains in a genomic cluster. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors for drug resistance. Among the total 850 MDR-TB patients included in the study, 72.8% (619/850) were male, the median age was 39 (interquartile range 28, 55) years, 52.7% (448/850) were migrants, and 34.5% (293/850) were previously treated patients. Most of the MDR-TB strains belong to the Beijing lineage (91.7%, 779/850). Overall, the genotypic resistance rate of FQ was 34.7% (295/850), and 47.1% (139/295) FQ-R patients were in genomic clusters, of which 98 (33.2%, 98/295) were presumed as transmitted FQ-R. Patients with treatment-naïve (aOR = 1.84; 95% CI: 1.09, 3.16), diagnosed in a district-level hospital (aOR = 2.69; 95% CI: 1.56, 4.75), and streptomycin resistance (aOR = 3.69; 95% CI: 1.65, 9.42) were significantly associated with the transmission of FQ-R. In summary, the prevalence of FQ-R among MDR-TB patients was high in Shanghai, and at least one-third were transmitted. Enforced interventions including surveillance of FQ drug susceptibility testing and screening among MDR-TB before initiation of treatment were urgently needed.
Assuntos
Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Fluoroquinolonas/farmacologia , Fluoroquinolonas/uso terapêutico , Antituberculosos/farmacologia , Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , China/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Resistente a Múltiplos Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Genômica , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana Múltipla/genéticaRESUMO
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1354515.].
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Drug-resistant tuberculosis poses a growing challenge to global public health. However, the diversity and dynamics of the bacterial population during acquisition of drug resistance have yet to be carefully examined. METHODS: Whole-genome sequencing was performed on 7 serial Mycobacterium tuberculosis (M. tuberculosis) populations from 3 patients during different stages in the development of drug resistance. The population diversity was assessed by the number and frequencies of unfixed mutations in each sample. RESULTS: For each bacterial population, 8-41 unfixed mutations were monitored by the fraction of single-nucleotide polymorphisms at specific loci. Among them, as many as 4 to 5 resistance-conferring mutations were transiently detected in the same single sputum, but ultimately only a single type of mutant was fixed. In addition, we identified 14 potential compensatory mutations that occurred during or after the emergence of resistance-conferring mutations. CONCLUSIONS: M. tuberculosis population within patients exhibited considerable genetic diversity, which underwent selections for most fit resistant mutant. These findings have important implications and emphasize the need for early diagnosis of tuberculosis to decrease the chance of evolving highly fit drug-resistant strains.