Comparative analysis of symptom profile and risk of death associated with infection by SARS-CoV-2 and its variants in Hong Kong.

The recurrent multiwave nature of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) necessitates updating its symptomatology. We characterize the effect of variants on symptom presentation, identify the symptoms predictive and protective of death, and quantify the effect of vaccination on symptom development. With the COVID-19 cases reported up to August 25, 2022 in Hong Kong, an iterative multitier text-matching algorithm was developed to identify symptoms from free text. Multivariate regression was used to measure associations between variants, symptom development, death, and vaccination status. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator technique was used to identify a parsimonious set of symptoms jointly associated with death. Overall, 70.9% (54 450/76 762) of cases were symptomatic with 102 symptoms identified. Intrinsically, the wild-type and delta variant caused similar symptoms among unvaccinated symptomatic cases, whereas the wild-type and omicron BA.2 subvariant had heterogeneous patterns, with seven symptoms (fatigue, fever, chest pain, runny nose, sputum production, nausea/vomiting, and sore throat) more frequent in the BA.2 cohort. With ≥2 vaccine doses, BA.2 was more likely than delta to cause fever among symptomatic cases. Fever, blocked nose, pneumonia, and shortness of breath remained jointly predictive of death among unvaccinated symptomatic elderly in the wild-type-to-omicron transition. Number of vaccine doses required for reducing occurrence varied by symptoms. We substantiate that omicron has a different clinical presentation compared to previous variants. Syndromic surveillance can be bettered with reduced reliance on symptom-based case identification, increased weighing on symptoms predictive of death in outcome prediction, individual-based risk assessment in care homes, and incorporating free-text symptom reporting.

Evaluating the impact of sugar-sweetened beverages tax on overweight, obesity, and type 2 diabetes in an affluent Asian setting: A willingness-to-pay survey and simulation analysis.

BACKGROUND: The potential health effects of taxing sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) has been insufficiently examined in Asian contexts. This study aimed to assess the impact of SSB taxation on the prevalence of obesity/overweight and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Hong Kong using a willingness-to-pay (WTP) survey and simulation analysis. METHODS: A random telephone survey was conducted with 1000 adults from May to June 2020. We used a contingent valuation approach to assess individuals' WTP for SSBs under four tax payment scenarios (5%, 10%, 40%, and 50% of the current market price). Based on the WTP, a simulation analysis was conducted to project changes in SSB purchase and associated reductions in the prevalence of obesity/overweight and T2DM over a 10-year simulation period. FINDINGS: When 5% and 10% taxation rates were introduced, approximately one-third of the population were unwilling to maintain their SSB purchase. Our simulation demonstrated a gradual decline in the prevalence of obesity/overweight and diabetes with a more pronounced decrease when higher taxation rates were introduced. 10% taxation resulted in a mean reduction of 1532.7 cases of overweight/obesity per 100 thousand population at the sixth year, while T2DM prevalence decreased by 267.1 (0.3%). CONCLUSIONS: This study underscores the effects of an SSB tax on purchase behaviors and health outcomes in an affluent Asia setting, with a more pronounced influence on adult population. These findings are expected to inform policymakers in making decisions regarding an effective and equitable tax rate on SSBs.

Association between asthma and COVID-19 severity during Omicron epidemic: a retrospective cohort study using real-world data.

BACKGROUND: The available evidence presented inconsistencies and inconclusive findings regarding the associations between co-existing asthma and mortality among COVID-19 patients. The objective of the current study is to investigate the relationship between asthma and severe outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infection in an infection-naïve population. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using propensity score matching was conducted. The COVID-19 patients requiring hospitalisation in Hong Kong from January 1, 2022, to November 13, 2022, an Omicron-predominated period, were identified. Severe clinical outcomes were defined as ICU admission and inpatient death after the first positive PCR results as well as a composite outcome of both. RESULTS: Of the 74,396 hospitalised COVID-19 patients admitted, 1,290 asthma patients and 18,641 non-asthma patients were included in the matched cohort. The rates of death and the composite outcome were 15·3% and 17·2%, respectively, among the non-asthma patients,12·2% and 13·6%, respectively, among the asthma patients, with adjusted hazard ratios equal to 0·775 (95% CI: 0·660-0·909) and 0·770 (95% CI: 0·662-0·895), respectively. The negative association was more apparent in the elderly and female groups. Asthma remained a factor that lowered the risk of disease severity even though the patients were not fully vaccinated with at least two doses. CONCLUSIONS: We used real-world data to demonstrate that asthma was not a risk factor for COVID-19 severity of the infections of Omicron variant, even though the patients were not fully vaccinated.

Implementing the information system for older adult patients post-discharge self-management: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: Discharging older adult patients from the hospital poses risks due to their vulnerable conditions, complex instructions and limited health literacy. Insufficient information about medication side effects adds to patient concerns. To address this, a post-discharge information summary system was developed. While it has shown positive impacts, concerns exist regarding implementation fidelity. OBJECTIVE: This study employed a theory-driven approach to understand health providers' perspectives on effective implementation. METHOD: Individual semi-structured interviews were conducted via telephone with nurses, doctors and pharmacists from local public hospitals. All interviews were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF) was applied for direct content analysis. Belief statements were generated by thematic synthesis under each of the TDF domains. RESULTS: A total of 98 participants were interviewed. Out of the 49 belief statements covering eight TDF domains, 19 were determined to be highly relevant to the implementation of the post-discharge information summary system. These TDF domains include knowledge, skills, social/professional role and identity, beliefs about consequences, intentions, memory, attention and decision processes, environmental context and resources and social influences. CONCLUSION: Our study contributes to the understanding of determinants in implementing discharge interventions for older adult patients' self-care. Our findings can inform tailored strategies for frontline staff, including aligning programme rationale with stakeholders, promoting staff engagement through co-creation, reinforcing positive programme outcomes and creating default settings. Future research should employ rigorous quantitative designs to examine the actual impact and relationships among these determinants.

The influence of written medication reminder on patient experience among older adult patients: a repeat cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Older adult patients are particularly vulnerable to medication-related issues during the discharge process. To enhance medication discharge education and patient experience, a written medication reminder, incorporating crucial medication side effects and warning signs, was implemented in medicine wards. This study aimed to examine the influence of this reminder on patient experience and medication-taking behaviors among older adults in public healthcare settings. METHODS: Two separate rounds of cross-sectional surveys were conducted before and after the program implementation among different discharged patients in each round. The study enrolled older adult patients aged ≥ 65 or their caregivers discharged from the medical wards of four pilot public hospitals in Hong Kong. A structured questionnaire was administered via telephone within 14 days of the patient's discharge. The survey assessed patients' experience with the provided medication information during discharge, including the clarity, adequacy, and usefulness of the information, as well as their overall experience with inpatient services. The self-reported medication-taken behaviors, including adherence and side-effect encounters, were also measured. RESULTS: A total of 1,265 responses were collected before the implementation of the medication reminder, and 1,426 responses were obtained after the implementation. Pre/post-implementation survey comparison showed significant improvement in patient experience regarding the clarity of the provided medication information (7.93 ± 1.84 vs. 8.18 ± 1.69, P = 0.002), adequacy (7.92 ± 1.93 vs. 8.15 ± 1.76, P = 0.014), and usefulness (8.06 ± 1.80 vs. 8.26 ± 1.70, P = 0.017), significantly positive experience on the overall discharge information (ß coefficient, 0.43 [95%CI, 0.30 to 0.56]) and inpatient service (ß coefficient, 0.47 [95%CI, 0.32 to 0.61]). In addition, the side effects encounters were significantly lower in the post-implementation survey group (11.6% vs. 9.0%, P = 0.04) and no statistical difference was found in self-reported medication adherence between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: The provision of written medication reminders on key medication risks effectively improved older adult patients' experience and reduced side effects without any unintended negative consequences. The findings can serve as a reference for similar settings seeking to enhance post-discharge care among older adult patients. Future studies could investigate the influence in other specialties and age groups and include clinical outcomes to test the program's effectiveness.

The Provision and Perceptions of Telemedicine Services Among Traditional Chinese Medicine Practitioners During COVID-19: A Cross-Sectional Study in Hong Kong, China.

Objectives: Telemedicine has been widely used during the COVID-19 pandemic. Among other health care professionals, Chinese medicine practitioners (CMPs) face practical challenges in providing telemedicine consultations. This study aims to explore CMPs' experience and perceptions of telemedicine service provision before and during the pandemic. Methods: A territory-wide cross-sectional online survey was conducted in Hong Kong between April and May 2022. A structured questionnaire with open-ended questions was used to investigate the provision of and perception on telemedicine service, as well as usability of telemedicine among CMPs. Results: A total of 195 CMPs participated the survey. Before COVID-19, 42% (81/195) had been providing telemedicine services, and the proportion doubled during COVID-19. CMPs in the private sector are the main providers. Mobile apps including WhatsApp, WeChat, and Zoom were commonly used for consultations (75%, 120/161). Barriers in providing telemedicine included inability of conducting physical examination on patients (69%, 134/195), legal and ethical concerns over medical negligence (61%, 118/195), and patients' incompetence on e-literacy (50%, 98/195). Respondents urged professional and regulatory bodies to provide an explicit clinical guideline that demonstrate best practice in traditional Chinese medicine telemedicine, and to clarify legal and ethical implications of such practice. Conclusions: CMPs demonstrated their competency in telemedicine, and most of them provided telemedicine during COVID-19. Development of appropriate guidelines on the provision of telemedicine would support CMPs to continue provision after the pandemic, whereas a user-friendly and comprehensive telemedicine e-platform would enhance quality of such service. Facilitating patients with lower e-literacy to access telemedicine is key to reduce disparities.

Estimation of the serial interval of monkeypox during the early outbreak in 2022.

With increased transmissibility and novel transmission mode, monkeypox poses new threats to public health globally in the background of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Estimates of the serial interval, a key epidemiological parameter of infectious disease transmission, could provide insights into the virus transmission risks. As of October 2022, little was known about the serial interval of monkeypox due to the lack of contact tracing data. In this study, public-available contact tracing data of global monkeypox cases were collected and 21 infector-infectee transmission pairs were identified. We proposed a statistical method applied to real-world observations to estimate the serial interval of the monkeypox. We estimated a mean serial interval of 5.6 days with the right truncation and sampling bias adjusted and calculated the reproduction number of 1.33 for the early monkeypox outbreaks at a global scale. Our findings provided a preliminary understanding of the transmission potentials of the current situation of monkeypox outbreaks. We highlighted the need for continuous surveillance of monkeypox for transmission risk assessment.

Comparing the incubation period, serial interval, and infectiousness profile between SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta variants.

In January 2022, the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants initiated major outbreaks and dominated the transmissions in Hong Kong, displacing an earlier outbreak seeded by the Delta variants. To provide insight into the transmission potential of the emerging variants, we aimed to compare the epidemiological characteristics of the Omicron and Delta variants. We analyzed the line-list clinical and contact tracing data of the SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases in Hong Kong. Transmission pairs were constructed based on the individual contact history. We fitted bias-controlled models to the data to estimate the serial interval, incubation period and infectiousness profile of the two variants. Viral load data were extracted and fitted to the random effect models to investigate the potential risk modifiers for the clinical viral shedding course. Totally 14 401 confirmed cases were reported between January 1 and February 15, 2022. The estimated mean serial interval (4.4 days vs. 5.8 days) and incubation period (3.4 days vs. 3.8 days) were shorter for the Omicron than the Delta variants. A larger proportion of presymptomatic transmission was observed for the Omicron (62%) compared to the Delta variants (48%). The Omicron cases had higher mean viral load over an infection course than the Delta cases, with the elder cases appearing more infectious than the younger cases for both variants. The epidemiological features of Omicron variants were likely an obstacle to contact tracing measures, imposed as a major intervention in settings like Hong Kong. Continuously monitoring the epidemiological feature for any emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in the future is needed to assist officials in planning measures for COVID-19 control.

Hepatitis B burden and population immunity in a high endemicity city - a geographically random household epidemiology study for evaluating achievability of elimination.

This study aimed to provide reference for evaluating the achievability of hepatitis B virus (HBV) elimination in a high endemicity city with universal neonatal vaccination in place for over 30 years. Between September 2018 and October 2020, 2085 citizens from 1143 geographically random households in Hong Kong completed a questionnaire and had blood-testing for HBV markers (anti-HBs, HBsAg, anti-HBc, HBeAg). We evaluated the epidemiology and examined factors associated with HBV exposure, vaccination and chronic diseases. The proportion of households with HBsAg positive index participants was 9.2% (95% CI 7.5%-10.9%). The age- and sex-adjusted HBsAg prevalence was 6.3% (95% CI 5.3%-7.4%), compared to >10% in those born in 1960-1970 and among non-local born citizens, and <1% in people born after introduction of neonatal vaccination. Among 155 HBsAg positive participants, 59% were aware of their infection status with 10% on treatment and 10/150 (6.7%) HBeAg positive. More than 40% (872/2064) tested negative for both HBsAg and anti-HBs, contributed by the lack of immunity in older adults and the waning immunity of vaccines. Hong Kong has remained at high-intermediate HBV endemicity state. The moderate level of anti-HBs positivity and very low treatment coverage (10%) among HBsAg positive participants pose challenges for achieving the HBV elimination target.

Experience of South and Southeast Asian minority women in Hong Kong during COVID-19 pandemic: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: Hong Kong has a relatively low incidence rate of COVID-19 across the globe. Nevertheless, ethnic minorities in Hong Kong, especially South Asians (SAs) and Southeast Asians (SEAs), face numerous physical, mental, social, economic, cultural and religious challenges during the pandemic. This study explores the experiences of SA and SEA women in a predominantly Chinese metropolitan city. METHODS: Ten SA and SEA women were recruited and face-to-face interviews were conducted. Questions about participants' daily life experience, physical and mental health conditions, economic situation and social interaction amid COVID-19 pandemic were asked to assess the impact of COVID-19. RESULTS: SAs and SEAs have a distinctive family culture, and women experienced significant physical and mental impact of COVID-19 due to their unique gender role in the family. In addition to taking care of their family in Hong Kong, SA and SEA women also had to mentally and financially support family members residing in their home countries. Access to COVID-related information was restricted due to language barrier. Public health measures including social distancing imposed extra burden on ethnic minorities with limited social and religious support. CONCLUSIONS: Even when COVID-19 incidence rate is relatively low in Hong Kong, the pandemic made life even more challenging for SAs and SEAs, which is a community already struggling with language barriers, financial woes, and discrimination. This in turn could have led to greater health inequalities. Government and civil organizations should take the social determinants of health inequalities into account when implementing COVID-19-related public health policies and strategies.

Experience of a demand-side subsidy scheme for residential long-term care: perspectives of elderly and their carers.

BACKGROUND: Vouchers, which are demand-side subsidies to targeted groups, are a type of consumer-led near-cash social transfer for specified benefits that have been used in education, health and other sectors. To provide better access to residential care services and an additional choice for elderly people in need, a novel means-tested residential care service voucher has been introduced in Hong Kong for elderly people to purchase places in the private sector to enable consumer-directed care. The objectives of this paper are to analyze the perspectives of voucher users and their carers toward the voucher scheme and to identify key elements in the design that will contribute to meeting the scheme's objectives. METHODS: An exploratory sequential mixed method design was adopted with initial explorative qualitative data collection of the perspectives of elderly people and their carers (Phase 1), which informed the design of the subsequent questionnaire survey (Phase 2). Thirty carers in 5 focus groups and 20 individual interviews with elderly people were conducted between April and May 2018. A total of 401 respondents (373 carers and 28 elderly people) completed the survey questionnaire. Findings from both phases were integrated both narratively and via a joint display. RESULTS: Five key themes summarized the features in two main elements of the design and implementation of the voucher scheme: awareness, meaning that inadequate knowledge and understanding of voucher schemes hinder participation; service needs and types, indicating that the urgent need for residential care services is the key reason for participation; shared responsibility, meaning that a high copayment level discourages participation; choice and flexibility, reflecting appreciation of the additional choices provided by voucher schemes although the availability of residential care beds limits choices; and service quality, indicating mixed perceptions of service quality and the impact of the voucher scheme. Voucher users believe that the voucher scheme is more helpful for relieving the financial burden (98.7%), reducing carers' stress (97.0%) and reducing the waiting time for subsidized homes for elderly people (89.0%) than for increasing choice and flexibility (78.1%) and improving service quality (62.1%). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates how the design of a voucher scheme affects its take-up by targeted beneficiaries. When a voucher scheme is implemented in a long-term care system, it must consider the congruence with existing policies in long-term care provision and financing. The voucher scheme in Hong Kong has been able to generate the utilization of nonsubsidized places in homes for elderly people that were underutilized, but its effectiveness is limited by inadequate knowledge and understanding of the voucher scheme and the availability of residential care places. Giving the purchasing power and choice of providers to beneficiaries has the potential to enhance the quality of services, which will contribute to meeting the objectives. The study findings carry significant implications for long-term care policies and provide insights into the key features of the voucher scheme for residential care services and how to best design and implement a voucher scheme for elderly people in the context of policy objectives and a long-term care policy.

Validation of the accident and emergency experience questionnaire: a cross-sectional survey.

BACKGROUND: Patient feedback is an important way for healthcare providers to understand patient experience and improve the quality of care effectively and facilitate patient-centered care in the healthcare system. This study aimed to suggest a validated instrument by evaluating the psychometric properties of the Accident and Emergency Experience Questionnaire (AEEQ) for measuring patient experience in the accident and emergency department (AED) service among the adult Chinese population. METHODS: Attendances aged 18 or above from all public hospitals with AEDs during 16-30 June 2016 were targeted and a cross-sectional telephone survey was conducted using AEEQ. Preliminary AEEQ consisted of 92 items, including 53 core evaluative items and 19 informative items, and the other 20 items covered socio-demographics, self-perceived health status, and free open-ended comments on AED service. Psychometric properties of the evaluative items were evaluated for practicability, content and structure validity, internal consistency, and test-retest reliability in this study. RESULTS: A total of 512 patients were recruited with a response rate of 54% and a mean age of 53.2 years old. The exploratory factor analysis suggested removing 7 items due to weak factor loadings and high cross-loading and then leaving 46 items grouped into 5 dimensions, which were care and treatment (14 items), environment and facilities (16 items), information on medication and danger signals (5 items), clinical investigation (3 items), and overall impression (8 items) to represent patient experience on AED service. The internal consistency and test-retest reliability were high with Cronbach's alpha coefficient and Spearman's correlation coefficient of the suggested scale of 0.845 and 0.838, respectively. CONCLUSION: The AEEQ is a valid and reliable instrument to evaluate the AED service which helps to build the engagement platform for promoting patient-centered care between patients and frontline healthcare professionals and improving healthcare quality in the future.

Shifts of SARS-CoV-2 exposure settings in the transmission clusters of 2 epidemic waves in Hong Kong.

Exposure setting is crucial in the formation and propagation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission clusters. In this cohort study, transmission networks of 2 waves were differentiated by exposure setting using territory-wide surveillance data with clinical and laboratory records in Hong Kong. Characteristically, the first wave had resulted from imported cases followed by local transmissions, while the second wave was constituted primarily by local infections. With a 4-fold higher caseload, the second wave featured predominance of epidemiologically linked, local, older and asymptomatic patients with higher viral loads and shorter inpatient days. The 1028 transmission clusters formed 155 cascades composing at least two clusters. Daily and social activities were exposure settings that bridged clusters while residences usually terminated transmission cascades. Regulatory restrictions on social activities extinguished cluster formation in bars, but shifted to private parties in the second wave. The results confirmed that strategic interventions targeting exposure settings could achieve effective epidemic control.

What determines Hong Kong South Asians' perceptions on COVID-19 vaccine? Implications on culturally appropriate vaccine messages for ethnic minority community.

Guided by the behavioral model of health service use, this study examined the effect of South Asians' perceptions of healthcare, religious belief, and socioeconomic status on their perceived benefits and risks of COVID-19 vaccines (N = 245). Cross-sectional survey was used. Logistic regressions results showed that higher levels of perceived involvement in South Asian community health and trust in the healthcare system were associated with higher odds of reporting perceived vaccine benefits. Permanent residents, students (vs. unemployed), and Pakistani (vs. Indians) also perceived the vaccine as beneficial. On the other hand, believing that the body was sacred and being Buddhist (vs. Hindu) were associated with higher odds of perceiving severe vaccination risk. Those who believed that God would cure COVID-19 and those with higher education tended to perceive the vaccine as having a limited effect. Implications on designing culturally appropriate COVID-19 vaccines messages in interethnic settings are discussed.

Contextualizing evidence-based nurse-led interventions for reducing 30-day hospital readmissions using GRADE evidence to decision framework: A Delphi study.

BACKGROUND: High 30-day readmission rates increase hospital costs and negatively impact patient outcomes in many healthcare systems, including Hong Kong. Evidence-based and local adaptable nurse-led interventions have not been established for reducing 30-day hospital readmissions among general medical patients in Hong Kong's public healthcare system. AIMS: The aim of this study was to select and refine evidence-based nurse-led interventions for reducing 30-day hospital readmissions among general medical patients in Hong Kong's public healthcare system using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) Evidence to Decision (EtD) framework. METHODS: Eighteen local healthcare stakeholders were recruited to carry out a two-step process. In step 1, stakeholders were invited to prioritize nurse-led interventions which were supported by existing evidence and suggest important combinations of different interventions. For all interventions prioritized in step 1, step 2 involved stakeholders performing a two-round Delphi questionnaire aiming to generate consensus-based interventions appropriate to the local context. GRADE EtD framework was applied to guide the decision-making process, taking into account certainty of evidence, benefits and harms, resource use, equity, acceptability, and feasibility. RESULTS: Four out of eight nurse-led interventions reached a positive consensus with percentage agreement ranging from 70.6% to 82.4%. GRADE EtD criteria ratings showed that over 70% of stakeholders agreed these four interventions were probably acceptable and feasible, though the certainty of evidence was low or moderate. Half of stakeholders believed their desirable effects compared to undesirable effects were large. However, the resources required and how these nurse-led interventions might affect health inequities when implemented were uncertain. Preliminary implementation issues included high complexity of delivering multiple nurse-led intervention components, and challenges of coordinating different involved parties in delivering the interventions. Appropriate resource allocation and training should be provided to address these potential problems, as suggested by stakeholders. LINKING EVIDENCE TO ACTION: Using the GRADE EtD framework, four nurse-led interventions were recommended by healthcare stakeholders as possible strategies for reducing 30-day hospital readmissions among general medical patients in Hong Kong. To address preliminary implementation issues, nurses' role as care coordinators should also be strengthened to ensure smooth delivery of nurse-led intervention components, and to facilitate multidisciplinary collaboration during service delivery.

The mediating role of individual-level social capital among worries, mental health and subjective well-being among adults in Hong Kong during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic has substantially induced worries and affected individual mental health and subjective well-being. Nonetheless, a high level of social capital could potentially protect individuals who suffer from mental health problems and thus promote their subjective well-being, especially under the social distancing policies during the pandemic. To this end, based on a random sample of 1053 Hong Kong adults, structural equation modeling was applied to study the path relationships between the worries of COVID-19, social capital, mental health problems, and subjective well-being. The study found that worries during the pandemic were associated with mental health and subjective well-being, through social capital as a mediator. Moreover, social capital exhibited a stronger influence on mental health and subjective well-being in the economically inactive group than in the economically active group. This study highlights the important role of social capital during the COVID-19 pandemic. While Hong Kong's COVID-19 response has primarily focused on disease prevention, it must be noted that social services and mutual-help activities are also crucial for people to withstand the crisis.

Sociodemographic moderation of the association between depression and stroke incidence in a retrospective cohort of 0.4 million primary care recipients with hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Previous research has suggested an association between depression and subsequent acute stroke incidence, but few studies have examined any effect modification by sociodemographic factors. In addition, no studies have investigated this association among primary care recipients with hypertension. METHODS: We examined the anonymized records of all public general outpatient visits by patients aged 45+ during January 2007-December 2010 in Hong Kong to extract primary care patients with hypertension for analysis. We took the last consultation date as the baseline and followed them up for 4 years (until 2011-2014) to observe any subsequent acute hospitalization due to stroke. Mixed-effects Cox models (random intercept across 74 included clinics) were implemented to examine the association between depression (ICPC diagnosis or anti-depressant prescription) at baseline and the hazard of acute stroke (ICD-9: 430-437.9). Effect modification by age, sex, and recipient status of social security assistance was examined in extended models with respective interaction terms specified. RESULTS: In total, 396 858 eligible patients were included, with 9099 (2.3%) having depression, and 10 851 (2.7%) eventually hospitalized for stroke. From the adjusted analysis, baseline depression was associated with a 17% increased hazard of acute stroke hospitalization [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.32]. This association was suggested to be even stronger among men than among women (hazard ratio = 1.29, 95% CI 1.00-1.67). CONCLUSION: Depression is more strongly associated with acute stroke incidence among male than female primary care patients with hypertension. More integrated services are warranted to address their needs.

Relationship between patient experience and hospital readmission: system-level survey with deterministic data linkage method.

BACKGROUND: Linkage of public healthcare data provides powerful resources for studying from a comprehensive view of quality of care than information for a single administrative database. It is believed that positive patient experiences reflect good quality of health care and may reduce patient readmission. This study aimed to determine the relationship between patient experience and hospital readmission at a system level by linking anonymous experience survey data with de-identified longitudinal hospital administrative admissions data. METHODS: Data were obtained by linking two datasets with anonymised individual-level records from seven largest-scale acute public hospitals over seven geographical clusters in Hong Kong. Selected records in the two datasets involving patient experience survey (PES) (2013 survey dataset) and healthcare utilization (admissions dataset) were used. Following data cleaning and standardization, a deterministic data linkage algorithm was used to identify pairs of records uniquely matched for a list of identifiers (10 selected variables) between two datasets. If patient's record from the survey dataset matched with the hospitalization records in the admissions dataset, they were included in the subsequent analyses. Bivariate analyses and multivariable logistic regression models were performed to evaluate the associations between hospital readmission in the next calendar month and patient experience. RESULTS: The overall matching rate was 62.1% (1746/2811) for PES participants aged 45 or above from the survey dataset. The average score for overall inpatient experience was 8.10 (SD = 1.53). There was no significant difference between matched patients and unmatched patients in terms of their score for the perception of overall quality of care received during hospitalization (X2 = 6.931, p-value = 0.14) and score for overall inpatient experience (X2 = 7.853, p-value = 0.25). In the multivariable model, readmission through the outpatient department (planned admission) in the next calendar month was significantly associated with a higher score given to the overall quality of care received (adjusted OR = 1.54, 95%CI = 1.09-2.17), while such association was absent for readmission through Accident and Emergency department (adjusted OR = 0.75, 95%CI = 0.50-1.12). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated the feasibility of routine record linkage, with the limited intrusion of patients' confidentiality, for evaluating health care quality. It also highlights the significant association between readmission through planned readmission and a higher score for overall quality of care received. A possible explanation might be the perceived better co-ordination between outpatient departments and inpatient service and the well-informed discharge plan given to this group of patients.

Impact of pre-event testing and quarantine on reducing the risk of COVID-19 epidemic rebound: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: With the evolving growth of the COVID-19 epidemic, travel restriction policies would need to be adjusted accordingly. Prohibition of mass event may be relaxed for social and economic benefits when virus transmission stops but could bear the risk of epidemic rebound. Against the background of the varied SARS-CoV-2 prevalence internationally, we modelled the potential impacts of pre-event interventions on epidemic risk of holding a mass event when COVID-19 is under control. METHODS: We developed a mathematical model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Guangdong Province, China, where local virus transmission ceased to occur. A large-scale international trade fair was assumed to be held, with influx of people from overseas and rest of China over a short period of time, who participated for 2-week. Scenarios of pre-event intervention (none, quarantine arrangement and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing for participants) were compared. The influence of contact pattern, SARS-CoV-2 prevalence outside the province and China, and testing coverage were examined in sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: In basecase scenario (no event), the epidemic has been under control since March 2020. The event would lead to the detection of 1% more confirmed cases by 31 July when community contact rate increases to pre-epidemic level. In event scenario without additional interventions, there would be 599 (93%) more new infections comparing with basecase scenario. To avert new infections, quarantining all participants before the event would be the most effective strategy, followed by quarantining all overseas participants and testing all other participants, and testing all participants before the event and on day 7. However, testing strategy is likely to be affected by the SARS-CoV-2 prevalence outside the event province. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-event interventions are effective for reducing the risk of epidemic rebound caused by an international large-scale event. Universal testing for participants is likely to be an effective and feasible intervention.

Differential associations among social support, health promoting behaviors, health-related quality of life and subjective well-being in older and younger persons: a structural equation modelling approach.

BACKGROUND: Extensive studies have confirmed social support as a critical protective factor of people's health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and subjective well-being (SWB). However, health promoting behaviors as a potential mechanism and age differences in this mechanism has received fewer attention. This study aims to examine the associations among social support, health promoting behaviors, HRQoL and SWB in older and younger persons in Hong Kong. METHOD: A convenience sample of both younger (12-35 years old) and older persons (55 years old and above) were recruited from three non-government organizations to complete a survey. Structural Equation Model (SEM) was conducted to test both the measurement model and structural models to examine the relationship between social support, health promoting behaviors, HRQoL and SWB. Multi-group SEM was also performed and compared to test whether there were significant age differences in the pathways between the key variables. RESULTS: A final sample of 408 participants (older-persons: N = 200 (mean age: 71.63 (8.16); 180/200 female), younger-persons: N = 208 (mean age: 18.10 (5.04); 155/208 female) were included in the final analysis. Results showed that social support was positively associated with SWB directly and indirectly through health promoting behaviors for the whole sample (CFI = .95, IFI = .94, RMSEA = .07, SRMR = 0.056). Results suggested that the association between the variables differed across age samples. While social support showed a positive association with health promoting behaviors for both younger and older persons, how each of them associated with HRQoL and SWB was different. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that the pathway which social support linked with HRQoL and SWB might differ across age groups. Age-specific strategies should be considered when promoting HRQoL and SWB among the younger and older population.