Feasibility of split-course stereotactic ablative radiotherapy for oligometastases.

BACKGROUND: There is growing interest in the use of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) for oligometastases. However, extreme caution should be exercised in treating tumors closely located to organs at risk (OARs) with SABR. To reduce complications, we have applied split-course SABR to oligometastases closely located to OARs or to those being retreated with radiotherapy. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the records of patients with oligometastases who were treated with planned split-course SABR between January 2012 and December 2016. RESULTS: A total of 23 patients with 29 oligometastatic lesions were enrolled. The primary diagnoses were bone and soft tissue cancers in 13 lesions, liver cancers in 12 lesions, and colorectal cancers in four lesions. The median tumor volume was 78 cm3 (range, 4-1781 cm3). The lesions were treated with 1-3 fractions in the first stage of SABR (first SABR), and one or two fractions in the second stage of SABR (second SABR). The time interval between the two stages was about 4 weeks. A partial response was noted in 16 lesions (55%) after the first SABR, and practical reductions in the doses to OARs were observed in the second SABR compared with the first SABR. The 1-, 2- and 3-year local control rates were 92%, 65% and 43%, respectively. No Grade 4 or 5 toxicities were observed during or after treatment. CONCLUSION: Split-course SABR appeared to be feasible for the treatment of oligometastases closely located to OARs.

Stereotactic body radiotherapy for oligometastases confined to the para-aortic region: clinical outcomes and the significance of radiotherapy field and dose.

We retrospectively reviewed 88 patients with oligometases in the para-aortic region from any controlled primary tumor site who were treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). The 5-year local control, disease-free survival, and overall survival rates were 83%, 31%, and 41%, respectively. A 90% tumor-control probability was predicted at a biological effective dose of 90 Gy. Severe gastrointestinal toxicities (grade ≥3) were observed in 2 of 88 patients (1%). The results of this study are limited by the retrospective nature of the study but could serve as the background and rationale for future prospective trials on SBRT-based treatment for oligometastses.

Low Hepatic Toxicity in Primary and Metastatic Liver Cancers after Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy Using 3 Fractions.

This study evaluated the incidence of hepatic toxicity after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) using 3 fractions to the liver, and identified the predictors for hepatic toxicity. We retrospectively reviewed 78 patients with primary and metastatic liver cancers, who underwent SABR using 3 fractions between 2003 and 2011. To examine the incidence of hepatic toxicity, we defined newly developed hepatic toxicity≥grade 2 according to the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v4.0 within 3 months after the end of SABR as a significant adverse event. To identify the predictors for hepatic toxicity, we analyzed several clinical and dosimetric parameters (rV5Gy-rV35Gy: normal liver volume receiving

Severe intestinal toxicity after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy for abdominopelvic malignancies.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to identify the predictors for severe intestinal toxicity (IT) in patients with abdominopelvic malignancies treated with three fractions of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR). METHODS: From 2001 to 2011, 202 patients with abdominopelvic malignancies were treated with curative-intent SABR. Among these, we retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 55 patients with the presence of the intestine that received a dose ≥20 % of the prescribed dose. The total dose ranged from 33 to 60 Gy in three fractionations (median dose, 45 Gy). We analyzed the clinical and dosimetric parameters for severe IT ≥ grade 3 according to the National Cancer Institute Common Toxicity Criteria v4.0: V(20-35) (volume of the intestine that received xGy) and D(max) (maximum point dose). RESULTS: Severe IT was found in six patients (the median time, 3 months). V(25) was the best dosimetric predictor for severe IT (P = 0.004). With V(25) ≤ 20 ml, severe IT decreased from 50 to 4 %. SABR duration was the best clinical predictor. Severe IT decreased in patients who received SABR at 4-8 days than on three consecutive days (0 vs. 18 %, P = 0.037). CONCLUSIONS: Following three fractions of SABR, V(25) is a valuable predictor of severe IT. And SABR would be conducted with a treatment interval of at least 48 h if possible.

Stereotactic body radiation therapy for inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma as a local salvage treatment after incomplete transarterial chemoembolization.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) as a local salvage treatment after incomplete transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS: The main eligibility criteria were a greatest tumor dimension (LD sum) <10 cm, inoperable HCC, and incomplete response after TACE. Prescribed SBRT doses were up to 60 gray (Gy) in 3 fractions, but doses were reduced until normal tissue constraints were allowed. RESULTS: Between May 2008 and February 2011, 50 patients were enrolled in this phase 2 trial, of which 47 patients were evaluable. Forty-one patients had Child-Pugh class A disease (A5/A6 were 32/9), 6 patients had class B7 disease, and 5 patients had portal vein tumor thrombosis. All patients underwent TACE 1 to 5 times before SBRT. SBRT doses ranged from 42 to 60 Gy in 3 fractions (median dose, 57 Gy), and the median LD sum was 29 mm (range, 13-78 mm). Eighteen patients (38.3%) achieved complete remission within 6 months of completing of SBRT, and 18 patients (38.3%) had a partial response. The 2-year local control rate was 94.6%, the overall survival rate was 68.7%, and the progression-free survival rate was 33.8%. Three patients (6.4%) experienced grade 3 gastrointestinal toxicity, and 2 patients (4.3%) experienced grade 4 gastric ulcer perforation. CONCLUSIONS: This trial demonstrated that SBRT after incomplete TACE for inoperable HCC achieves promising rates of response and local control. On the basis of these study results, a modified, multi-institutional, phase 2 trial to reduce gastrointestinal toxicity is recommended.

Clinical utilization of radiation therapy in Korea between 2017 and 2019.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate the clinical infrastructure and utilization of radiotherapy (RT) services in Korea between 2017 and 2019. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We extracted the data of patients who underwent RT between 2017 and 2019 from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. We further analyzed this data according to the diagnosis and treatment modalities of patients diagnosed with International Classification of Disease 10 (ICD-10) diagnostic codes C00-C97 and D00-D48. In addition, we collected statistics on RT facilities in Korea using a nationwide survey. RESULTS: The total number of patients who received RT in 2017, 2018, and 2019 were 77,901, 81,849, and 87,460, respectively. The number of patients diagnosed with ICD 10 C- and D-codes in 2019 was 86,339, of whom 39,467 were men and 46,872 women. The rate of utilization of RT among cancer patients was 30.4% in 2017 and 2018 and 30.9% in 2019. In 2019, the most common types of cancers treated with RT were breast, lung, prostate, colorectal, and liver cancers. Regarding the RT infrastructure in Korea, there were 95 radiation oncology centers, 237 megavoltage (MV) teletherapy units, 35 brachytherapy units, and two proton accelerators in 2019. There were 4.5 MV teletherapy machines per million. CONCLUSION: The number of patients treated with RT has increased consistently from 2017 to 2019. As the number of patients with cancer increases, it is expected that the RT infrastructure will be further expanded in Korea.

Chromosome aberration dynamics in breast cancer patients treated with radiotherapy: Implications for radiation biodosimetry.

Although radiological accidents often result in partial-body radiation exposure, most biodosimetry studies focus on estimating whole-body exposure doses. We have evaluated time-dependent changes in chromosomal aberrations before, during, and after localized fractionated radiotherapy. Twelve patients with carcinoma in situ of the breast who underwent identical adjuvant radiation therapy (50 Gy in 25 fractions) were included in the study. Lymphocytes were collected from patients before, during, and after radiotherapy, to measure chromosome aberrations, such as dicentric chromosomes and translocations. Chromosome aberrations were then used to calculate whole- and partial-body biological absorbed doses of radiation. Dicentric chromosome frequencies in all study participants increased during radiotherapy (p < 0.05 in Kruskal-Wallis test). Increases of translocation frequencies during radiotherapy were observed in seven of the twelve patients. The increased levels of dicentric chromosomes and translocations persisted throughout our 1-year follow-up, and evidence of partial-body exposure (such as Papworth's U-value > 1.96) was observed more than 1 year after radiotherapy. We found that cytogenetic biomarkers reflected partial-body fractionated radiation exposure more than 1 year post-exposure. Our findings suggest that chromosome aberrations can be used to estimate biological absorbed radiation doses and can inform medical intervention for individuals suspected of fractionated or partial-body radiation exposure.

Trends for the past 10 years and international comparisons of the structure of Korean radiation oncology.

OBJECTIVE: Study aims include determination of nationwide structural characteristics of radiation oncology facilities, types of radiation therapy equipment, availability of human resources and trends and comparisons with previous surveys. METHODS: An annual nationwide survey was conducted to collect the statistics of infrastructure since 1997. All requested questionnaires have been identical for 10 years. The questionnaires included status on basic radiation therapy facilities, human resources and radiation therapy equipment. Journal and statistical data reviews were performed to evaluate the structure of other countries. RESULTS: Radiation oncology facilities have steadily increased for 10 years and reached 60 sites in 2006. Also a steady increase of 1.5 times for linear accelerators, 5.8 times for computed tomography simulators and 3.0 times for radiation treatment planning systems was noted. Meanwhile, cobalt-60 teletherapy units and hyperthermia equipment had steadily deceased for 10 years. The number of human resources has steadily increased for the past 10 years, especially for radiation therapy technologists. However, radiation therapy equipment and human resources per population are relatively low compared with advanced countries. CONCLUSIONS: This study will assist preparation of the administrative planning policy of radiation oncology and should be useful to indicate the direction of future development and educational training programs in Korea and possibly in other countries.

Clinical utilization of radiation therapy in Korea, 2016.

Radiotherapy (RT) is one of the primary cancer treatment modalities. To estimate the actual utilization of RT and infrastructure in Korea, the current study was performed. Data from 2012 to 2016 were extracted from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service. In addition, a nationwide survey was conducted to collect the statistics of RT facilities, equipment and human resources in Korea. The total number of patients treated with RT was 72 563 in 2016. The five cancers that were most commonly treated with RT in 2016 were breast, lung, colorectal, liver and prostate cancer. According to analyses of specific treatment modalities, the number of patients treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), stereotactic radiation therapy (SRT) and proton therapy increased from 6670, 6306 and 50 in 2012 to 21584, 9048 and 703 in 2016, respectively. Ninety radiation oncology centers were working in 2015 and there were a total of 213 megavoltage teletherapy machines. In 2015, 310 patients were treated per megavoltage RT machine, 246 patients per radiation oncologist, 501 patients per medical physicist and 111 patients per radiotherapy technologist. In conclusion, the number of patients who underwent RT in Korea has increased steadily from 2012 to 2016. The IMRT utilization rate remarkably increased in 2016, and the number of patients treated with advanced treatment modalities such as IMRT, SRT and proton therapy is expected to increase.

Stereotactic body radiation therapy using three fractions for isolated lung recurrence from colorectal cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the feasibility of stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) using 3 fractions for isolated colorectal lung metastases. METHODS: From June 2003 to December 2006, 13 cases of isolated pulmonary metastasis from colorectal cancer were treated by SBRT due to an inoperable state (7 patients), or the patient's refusal to undergo surgical excision (6 patients). All patients underwent chemotherapy for salvage treatment. SBRT doses ranged from 39 to 51 Gy in 3 fractions. Nine patients had a solitary lesion, 3 patients had 2 lesions, and 1 patient had 3 lesions. Median tumor volume for the 18 lesions was 5.9 ml (range 1.6-45 ml). RESULTS: Follow-up duration was 15-57 months. Three-year overall survival, local control and progression-free survival rates were 64.7, 52.7 and 11.5%, respectively.Univariate analysis showed that total internal target volume was a significant prognostic factor for local control. During the follow-up, 11 of the 13 patients experienced local recurrence, distant metastasis or both. The most frequent site of failure was in a nontargeted lung region. No severe complication was attributed to SBRT. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests the potential feasibility of SBRT for selected patients with 1-3 small metastatic nodules. A further larger-scale study is required to define the indications for SBRT in cases with isolated pulmonary metastasis from colorectal cancer.

Treatment of stage I non-small cell lung cancer with CyberKnife, image-guided robotic stereotactic radiosurgery.

The object of our study was to evaluate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients with stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who underwent radiosurgery using the CyberKnife, a newly developed technology to deliver radiation from multiple angles with a real-time target tracking system. A retrospective analysis of eight patients with stage I NSCLC who were treated with curative intent using the CyberKnife between 2002 and 2007 at a cancer center in Korea was performed. Among eight patients (seven men and one woman), three patients were ineligible for surgery due to poor lung function while four patients refused surgical treatment. Tumor size ranged from 19 to 50 mm in the maximal diameter (12 to 113 ml in volume). The administered radiation dose varied from 36 to 54 Gy in three fractions. All of the patients tolerated the treatment very well without any significant side effects. Complete response was achieved and was sustained for almost two years in one male patient until the patient died from a cerebrovascular accident. Seven patients showed radiographic partial response at 1-3 months. Re-growth of tumor at the treated site was observed in only one patient demonstrating an excellent local control rate, although systemic spread or regional lymph node metastasis of disease occurred in six patients during follow-up. CyberKnife treatment is very safe and is able to achieve a high local control rate, suggesting its role as a reasonable alternative therapeutic modality in early lung cancer.

Stereotactic body radiotherapy for isolated para-aortic lymph node recurrence after curative resection in gastric cancer.

The aim of this study was to investigate whether stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) can salvage gastric cancer patients with para-aortic lymph node (PALN) recurrence. From January 2003 to December 2006, 7 patients were treated for isolated PALN recurrence from gastric cancer after curative resection. Follow up durations ranged from 19 to 33 months (median; 26 months), and SBRT doses from 45 Gy to 51 Gy (median 48 Gy) in 3 fractions. Disease progression-free and overall survivals and toxicities were recorded. Response to treatment was assessed by computed tomography. Final patient outcomes were as follows: 2 were alive without evidence of disease, 3 remained alive with disease, and 2 patients died of disease. Five of 7 patients showed complete response and 2 patients partial response between 3 and 11 months after SBRT. Three-year overall and disease progression-free survival rates post-SBRT were 43% and 29%, respectively. No severe complication was detected during follow-up. Selected patients with isolated PALN recurrence can be salvaged by SBRT without severe complications.

Prediction of Response to Stereotactic Radiosurgery for Brain Metastases Using Convolutional Neural Networks.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether radiomic phenotypes of brain metastases (BM) are related to radiation therapy prognosis. This study assessed whether a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based radiomics model which learned computer tomography (CT) image features with minimal preprocessing, could predict early response of BM to radiosurgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Tumor images of 110 BM post stereotactic-radiosurgery (SRS) (within 3 months) were assessed (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor, version 1.1) as responders (complete or partial response) or non-responders (stable or progressive disease). Datasets were axial planning CT images containing the tumor center, and the tumor response. Datasets were randomly assigned to training, validation, or evaluation groups repeatedly, to create 50 dataset combinations that were classified into five groups of 10 different dataset combinations with the same evaluation datasets. The CNN learned using training-group images and labels. Validation datasets were used to choose the model that best classified evaluation images as responders or non-responders. RESULTS: Of 110 tumors, 57 were classified as responders, and 53 as non-responders. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of each CNN model for 50 dataset combinations ranged from 0.602 [95% confidence interval (CI)=36.5-83.9%] to 0.826 [95% CI, 64.3-100%]. The AUC of ensemble models, which averaged prediction results of 10 individual models within the same group, ranged from 0.761 (95% CI=55.2-97.1%) to 0.856 (95% CI=68.2-100%). CONCLUSION: A CNN-based ensemble radiomics model accurately predicted SRS responses of unlearned BM images. Thus, CNN models are able to predict SRS prognoses from small datasets.

Feasibility of using stereotactic body radiation therapy for unresectable soft tissue tumors of the trunk.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the feasibility of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for unresectable soft tissue tumors of the trunk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between January 2002 and December 2008, 23 patients with 36 lesions of soft tissue tumors, which were located in the trunk and not suitable for resection, underwent SBRT. Among the 36 lesions, 31 were malignant and 5 were benign. The median tumor volume was 24 cm3 (range, 2.6-213 cm3). SBRT doses ranged from 20 to 48 Gy in 1-5 fractions. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 73 months, the overall survival (OS) and local control (LC) rates at 5 years were 39% and 52%, respectively. For malignant tumors, the OS and LC rates at 5 years were 28% and 47%, respectively. For benign tumors, the OS and LC rates at 5 years were 80% and 100%, respectively. There was no acute toxicity of grade ≥3. One case of grade 3 late skin toxicity was reported 10 months after SBRT. CONCLUSION: SBRT may be an effective and safe treatment modality for the local control of unresectable soft tissue tumors of the trunk including tumors of a benign nature.

The Clinical Utilization of Radiation Therapy in Korea between 2011 and 2015.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to estimate the clinical utilization of radiation therapy (RT) in Korea between 2011 and 2015. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed the claims data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service to estimate the clinical utilization of RT. The source population consisted of all patients who had any of the International Classification of Diseases 10th revision cancer diagnoses (C00-C97) and those with diagnostic codes D00-D48, who were also associated with at least one of the procedure codes related to RT. RESULTS: The total number of patients who received RT in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015 were 54,810, 59,435, 61,839, 64,062, and 66,183, respectively. Among them, the total numbers of male and female patients were 24,946/29,864 in 2011, 27,211/32,224 in 2012, 28,111/33,728 in 2013, 29,312/34,750 in 2014, and 30,266/35,917 in 2015. The utilization rate of RT in cancer patients has also increased steadily over the same period from 25% to 30%. The five cancers that were most frequently treated with RT between 2011 and 2012 were breast, lung, colorectal, liver, and uterine cervical cancers. However, the fifth most common cancer treated with RT that replaced uterine cervical cancer in 2013 was prostate cancer. More than half of cancer patients (64%) were treated with RT in the capital area (Seoul, Gyeonggi, and Incheon). CONCLUSION: The total number of patients who underwent RT increased steadily from 2011 to 2015 in Korea. The utilization rate of RT in cancer patients is also increasing.

EGFR mutations and human papillomavirus in squamous cell carcinoma of tongue and tonsil.

This study was performed to determine the clinical significance of mutations in the EGFR (epidermal growth factor receptor) along with their association with human papillomavirus (HPV) infections in patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck (HNSCC). Exons 18-21 of the EGFR tyrosine kinase domain were sequenced and HPV typing was carried out using the HPV DNA chip in tissues obtained from patients with tongue and tonsil cancer. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify the significant factors. One hundred and eight patients were enrolled. Ten patients (9%) were HPV positive and 17 (16%) had EGFR mutations. None of the patients with EGFR mutations were HPV positive. Gender, age (<60 years versus 60 years), and smoking history were not associated with EGFR mutations. A higher percentage of patients with tonsillar cancer were HPV positive than those with tongue cancer (26% and 0%, respectively; P<0.001). EGFR mutations were not a significant prognostic factor (P=0.746). HPV-positive patients had prolonged survival (P=0.025). Multivariate analysis revealed a longer overall survival in HPV-positive patients (P=0.007). EGFR mutations are not associated with the HPV-positive status, which may confer a better survival outcome. Clinical features of lung cancer patients with EGFR mutations were not observed in HNSCC. A further study will be needed to confirm these results.

Stereotactic body radiation therapy for liver oligo-recurrence and oligo-progression from various tumors.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the outcomes of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for patients with liver oligo-recurrence and oligo-progression from various primary tumors. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 2002 and 2013, 72 patients with liver oligo-recurrence (oligo-metastasis with a controlled primary tumor) and oligo-progression (contradictory progression of a few sites of disease despite an overall tumor burden response to therapy) underwent SBRT. Of these, 9 and 8 patients with uncontrollable distant metastases and patients immediate loss to follow-up, respectively, were excluded. The total planning target volume was used to select the SBRT dose (median, 48 Gy; range, 30 to 60 Gy, 3-4 fractions). Toxicity was evaluated using the Common Toxicity Criteria for Adverse Events v4.0. RESULTS: We evaluated 55 patients (77 lesions) treated with SBRT for liver metastases. All patients had controlled primary lesions, and 28 patients had stable lesions at another site (oligo-progression). The most common primary site was the colon (36 patients), followed by the stomach (6 patients) and other sites (13 patients). The 2-year local control and progression-free survival rates were 68% and 22%, respectively. The 2- and 5-year overall survival rates were 56% and 20%, respectively. The most common adverse events were grade 1-2 fatigue, nausea, and vomiting; no grade ≥3 toxicities were observed. Univariate analysis revealed that oligo-progression associated with poor survival. CONCLUSION: SBRT for liver oligo-recurrence and oligo-progression appears safe, with similar local control rates. For liver oligo-progression, criteria are needed to select patients in whom improved overall survival can be expected through SBRT.

Association between metformin use and mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and localized resectable pancreatic cancer: a nationwide population-based study in korea.

BACKGROUND: Preclinical studies support an antitumor effect of metformin. However, clinical studies have conflicting results and metformin's effect remains controversial. The aim of this study was to evaluate metformin's effect on clinical outcomes in diabetic patients with pancreatic cancer treated with curative resection. RESULTS: A total of 764 patients underwent curative resection, met none of the exclusion criteria, and were prescribed oral hypoglycemic agents. The cancer-specific survival (5-year, 31.9% vs. 22.2%, p < 0.001) was significantly higher in the 530 metformin users than in the 234 diabetic metformin non-users. After multivariable adjustments, metformin users had significantly lower cancer-specific mortality as compared with metformin non-users (hazard ratio, 0.727; 95% confidence interval, 0.611-0.868). Cubic spline regression analysis demonstrated significantly decreased cancer-specific mortality with increasing dose of metformin (p = 0.0047). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were provided from the Korea Central Cancer Registry and the National Health Insurance Service in the Republic of Korea. The study cohort consisted of 28,862 patients newly diagnosed with pancreatic cancer between 2005 and 2011. Metformin exposure was determined from prescription information from 6 months before the first diagnosis of pancreatic cancer to last follow-up. The main outcome was cancer-specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: This large study indicates that metformin might decrease cancer-specific mortality rates in localized resectable pancreatic cancer patients with pre-existing diabetes, independently of other factors, with a dose-response relationship.

The Clinical Status of Radiation Therapy in Korea in 2009 and 2013.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to estimate the clinical status of radiation therapy (RT) in Korea. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We analyzed open claims data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA). The subjects were patients with malignant neoplasms who had procedure codes concerning RT in 2009 and 2013. RESULTS: The total numbers of patients who underwent RT in 2009 and 2013 were 42,483 and 56,850, respectively. The numbers of men and women were 20,012 and 22,471 in 2009 and 26,936 and 29,914 in 2013, respectively. The five most frequent RT sites were metastatic, breast, gastrointestinal, thoracic, and gynecologic cancers in 2009, and metastatic, breast, gastrointestinal, thoracic and head and neck cancers in 2013. The three leading types of cancer among men were metastatic, gastrointestinal, and thoracic, and breast, metastatic, and gynecologic among women. According to age, the most common treatment site was the central nervous system for those aged 20 years or less, the breast for those in their 30s to 50s, and metastatic sites for those in their 60s or older. CONCLUSION: Data from this study provide an overview of the clinical status of RT in Korea.

Radiofrequency ablation versus stereotactic body radiotherapy for small hepatocellular carcinoma: a Markov model-based analysis.

The aim of this study is to compare radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) smaller than 3 cm. A Markov cohort model was developed to simulate a cohort of patients aged 60-65 years with small HCCs who had undergone either RFA or SBRT and were followed up over their remaining life expectancy. The inclusion criteria were: (1) HCC ≤3 cm in diameter with ≤ 3 nodules; (2) absence of extrahepatic metastasis or portal/hepatic vein invasion; (3) Child-Pugh Class A or B. Twenty thousand virtual patients were randomly assigned to undergo RFA or SBRT. Predicted life expectancy was 6.452 and 6.371 years in the RFA and SBRT groups, respectively. The probability distributions of the expected overall survival were nearly identical. The 95% confidence intervals were 6.25-6.66 and 6.17-6.58 years for RFA and SBRT, respectively. The difference between RFA and SBRT was insignificant (P = 0.2884). Two-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that if the tumor is 2-3 cm, SBRT is the preferred treatment option. Our Markov model has shown that expected overall survival of SBRT is nearly identical to RFA in HCCs smaller than 3 cm, but SBRT may have an advantage for tumors 2 cm and larger. A randomized trial is required to confirm these findings.