Prediction of intradialytic hypotension using pre-dialysis features-a deep learning-based artificial intelligence model.

BACKGROUND: Intradialytic hypotension (IDH) is a serious complication of hemodialysis (HD) that is associated with increased risks of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. However, its accurate prediction remains a clinical challenge. The aim of this study was to develop a deep learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) model to predict IDH using pre-dialysis features. METHODS: Data from 2007 patients with 943 220 HD sessions at seven university hospitals were used. The performance of the deep learning model was compared with three machine learning models (logistic regression, random forest and XGBoost). RESULTS: IDH occurred in 5.39% of all studied HD sessions. A lower pre-dialysis blood pressure (BP), and a higher ultrafiltration (UF) target rate and interdialytic weight gain in IDH sessions compared with non-IDH sessions, and the occurrence of IDH in previous sessions was more frequent among IDH sessions compared with non-IDH sessions. Matthews correlation coefficient and macro-averaged F1 score were used to evaluate both positive and negative prediction performances. Both values were similar in logistic regression, random forest, XGBoost and deep learning models, developed with data from a single session. When combining data from the previous three sessions, the prediction performance of the deep learning model improved and became superior to that of other models. The common top-ranked features for IDH prediction were mean systolic BP (SBP) during the previous session, UF target rate, pre-dialysis SBP, and IDH experience during the previous session. CONCLUSIONS: Our AI model predicts IDH accurately, suggesting it as a reliable tool for HD treatment.

Seasonality in hip fracture among haemodialysis patients and kidney transplant recipients in South Korea.

AIM: The seasonality of hip fracture in haemodialysis (HD) patients and kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) have not been reported. We assessed seasonal variations in hip fractures among patients with end-stage kidney disease who undergo maintenance HD and KTRs. METHODS: Using the Korean National Health Insurance System database from January 2012 to December 2017, monthly counts of hip fracture were calculated among HD patients (n = 77 420) and KTRs (n = 8921). The 6-year normalized monthly fraction and seasonal fractions of hip fractures were calculated. A cosinor analysis was performed to determine the seasonality of the monthly incidence of hip fractures. RESULTS: The 6-year average monthly fraction of hip fractures was lowest in June and highest in October in HD patients, and lowest in February and highest in November in KTRs. The 6-year average seasonal fraction among HD patients was lowest in summer and highest in winter, and lowest in summer and highest in autumn among KTRs, but there was no significant difference. The incidence ratio of hip fractures was lowest in June and highest in January in HD patients, and lowest in August and highest in November in KTRs. On cosinor analysis, HD patients showed significant seasonality in hip fracture incidence, with a trough in summer and a peak in winter (p = .031), whereas KTRs did not exhibit a significant trend (p = .44). CONCLUSION: Hip fractures occurred more frequently in winter and less frequently in summer in patients undergoing HD, whereas KTRs did not show a seasonal trend.

The combined prognostic significance of alkaline phosphatase and vascular calcification in patients with end-stage kidney disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Little is known about the interaction between serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and vascular calcification (VC) affecting cardiovascular events (CVE) and mortality in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients. This study investigated the combined effect of ALP and VC on prognosis in ESKD patients starting dialysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 587 ESKD patients treated at a single center between January 2006 and July 2017 were retrospectively evaluated. VC was assessed by the aortic calcification index (ACI) using abdominal computed tomography. Patients were stratified into four groups according to the median ACI (17.18) and serum ALP value (108.0 U/L) as low ACI-low ALP, low ACI-high ALP, high ACI-low ALP, or high ACI-high ALP. The association between ALP and VC and the composite of CVE and death was analyzed. During a median follow-up of 3.1 years (range, 1.5-5.6 years), 140 patients (23.8%) developed CVE and 130 deaths (22.1%) occurred. In the stratified analysis, patients with high ACI-low ALP had a greater risk of the composite endpoint than patients with low ACI-low ALP (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.09; 95% confidence interval, 1.58-2.60; P = 0.004). Patients with high ACI-high ALP had the greatest risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.25; 95% confidence interval, 1.77-2.72; P = 0.001). The interaction between ACI and ALP on CVE and mortality was statistically significant (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The combined effect of VC and higher ALP was associated with a greater risk of CVE and death, and high serum ALP amplified the risk associated with VC in ESKD patients starting dialysis.

Factors associated with low trabecular bone scores in patients with end-stage kidney disease.

The trabecular bone score (TBS) is a textural index that indirectly assesses bone trabecular microarchitecture using lumbar spine images obtained by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). This study compared the TBS of patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) with that of matched controls to identify risk factors associated with a low TBS. TBS and bone mineral density (BMD) were assessed in ESKD patients (n = 76) and age- and sex-matched control subjects (n = 76) using DXA. The TBS of both groups was then compared, and risk factors associated with a low TBS (defined as ≤ 1.31) were evaluated. The mean TBS in the ESKD group was significantly lower than that in the control group (1.34 ± 0.15 vs. 1.43 ± 0.08, respectively; p < 0.001). More subjects in the ESKD group had a low TBS [34.2% (ESRD) vs. 5.3% (controls); p < 0.001]. The TBS was negatively correlated with age, alkaline phosphatase and C-reactive protein levels, and dialysis vintage, and positively correlated with BMD at the lumbar spine, femoral neck, and hip. Multivariate analysis identified lower estimated glomerular filtration rate and increased C-reactive protein levels as being significantly associated with a low TBS. In conclusion, ESKD patients had abnormal bone microarchitecture (as assessed by the TBS). The TBS was positively correlated with BMD. Renal function and inflammatory marker levels were independently associated with a low TBS. Thus, TBS may be a useful clinical tool for assessing cancellous bone connectivity in ESKD patients.

Bioimpedance spectroscopy-guided fluid management in peritoneal dialysis patients with residual kidney function: A randomized controlled trial.

AIM: Bioimpedance spectroscopy (BIS) allows volume status to be assessed objectively. This study evaluated the effect of BIS-guided fluid management on residual kidney function (RKF), volume status, and cardiovascular events in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. METHODS: A multicenter, prospective, randomized, controlled trial was conducted over 12 months in 2013-2017. Non-anuric PD patients (urine volume ≥ 500 mL/day) were randomized to clinical method-guided management (n = 98) or BIS-guided management (n = 103). The volume in the BIS group was controlled with BIS, with the aim of achieving the target overhydration (OH) goal of -2.0 to +2.0 L. The volume in the control group was controlled by clinical assessment alone. The groups were compared in terms of change in RKF and volume status at 12 months relative to baseline and in terms of cardiovascular event rates during a median follow-up period of 36 months. RESULTS: Compared with the controls, the BIS group did not show a significant improvement in change in OH, after adjustments were made for covariates (P = 0.191). The two groups did not differ in terms of delta OH, renal creatinine and urea clearance, and 24 h urine volume. The control and BIS groups also did not differ significantly in terms of change in peritoneal ultrafiltration volume, blood pressure, body weight and echocardiographic variables or in cardiovascular event rates (10.2% vs 11.3%; P = 0.953). CONCLUSION: Bioimpedance spectroscopy-guided fluid management did not show an additional benefit to achieve euvolemia, and did not affect the decline in RKF in non-anuric PD patients.

The Adiponectin Receptor Agonist AdipoRon Ameliorates Diabetic Nephropathy in a Model of Type 2 Diabetes.

Adiponectin exerts renoprotective effects against diabetic nephropathy (DN) by activating the AMP-activated protein kinase (AMPK)/peroxisome proliferative-activated receptor-α (PPARα) pathway through adiponectin receptors (AdipoRs). AdipoRon is an orally active synthetic adiponectin receptor agonist. We investigated the expression of AdipoRs and the associated intracellular pathways in 27 patients with type 2 diabetes and examined the effects of AdipoRon on DN development in male C57BLKS/J db/db mice, glomerular endothelial cells (GECs), and podocytes. The extent of glomerulosclerosis and tubulointerstitial fibrosis correlated with renal function deterioration in human kidneys. Expression of AdipoR1, AdipoR2, and Ca2+/calmodulin-dependent protein kinase kinase-ß (CaMKKß) and numbers of phosphorylated liver kinase B1 (LKB1)- and AMPK-positive cells significantly decreased in the glomeruli of early stage human DN. AdipoRon treatment restored diabetes-induced renal alterations in db/db mice. AdipoRon exerted renoprotective effects by directly activating intrarenal AdipoR1 and AdipoR2, which increased CaMKKß, phosphorylated Ser431LKB1, phosphorylated Thr172AMPK, and PPARα expression independently of the systemic effects of adiponectin. AdipoRon-induced improvement in diabetes-induced oxidative stress and inhibition of apoptosis in the kidneys ameliorated relevant intracellular pathways associated with lipid accumulation and endothelial dysfunction. In high-glucose-treated human GECs and murine podocytes, AdipoRon increased intracellular Ca2+ levels that activated a CaMKKß/phosphorylated Ser431LKB1/phosphorylated Thr172AMPK/PPARα pathway and downstream signaling, thus decreasing high-glucose-induced oxidative stress and apoptosis and improving endothelial dysfunction. AdipoRon further produced cardioprotective effects through the same pathway demonstrated in the kidney. Our results show that AdipoRon ameliorates GEC and podocyte injury by activating the intracellular Ca2+/LKB1-AMPK/PPARα pathway, suggesting its efficacy for treating type 2 diabetes-associated DN.

Prognostic Utility of Soluble Suppression of Tumorigenicity 2 level as a Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in Incident Hemodialysis Patients.

Background: The suppression of tumorigenicity 2 (ST2) is associated with cardiac remodeling and tissue fibrosis. It is well known as a novel biomarker on predictor of cardiovascular events in patients with heart failure. In patients needed to start dialysis treatment, most of them had congestive heart failure. However, the prognostic implications of serum ST2 level are unknown in incident hemodialysis patients. Methods: A total 182 patients undergoing incident hemodialysis were consecutively enrolled from November 2011 to December 2014. These patients were classified into two groups according to their median ST2 levels. The two groups were subsequently compared with respect to their major adverse cerebro-cardiovascular events (MACCE) including all-cause mortality, heart failure admission, acute coronary syndrome, and nonfatal stroke. Results: The median duration of follow up was 628 days (interquartile range 382 to 1,052 days). ST2 was significant correlated with variable echocardiographic parameters. The parameters of diastolic function, deceleration time of the early filing velocity and maximal tricuspid regurgitation velocity were independently associated with the ST2 levels. High ST2 group had significantly higher incidence of all-cause mortality, and MACCE. High ST2 was a significant independent predictor of MACCE (adjusted hazard ratio 2.33, 95% confidence interval 1.12 to 4.87, p=0.024). Conclusion: The ST2 is associated with diastolic function and may be a predictor of clinical outcomes in incident hemodialysis patients.

Vascular calcification and left ventricular hypertrophy in hemodialysis patients: interrelationship and clinical impacts.

Background: We examined the relationship and combined effect of vascular calcification (VC) and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on deaths and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in hemodialysis (HD) patients. Methods: Maintenance HD patients (n=341) were included. Echocardiography data and plain chest radiographs were used to assess LVH and aortic arch VC. Results: VC was found in 100 patients (29.3%). LVH was more prevalent in patients with VC compared with those without VC (70% vs. 50.2%, P=0.001). VC was independently associated with a 2.42-fold increased risk of LVH (95% CI, 1.26-4.65). In multivariate analysis, compared with patients with neither VC nor LVH, the coexistence of VC and LVH was independently associated with CVE (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.09-3.72), whereas VC or LVH alone was not. Patients with both VC and LVH had the highest risk for a composite event of deaths or CVE (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.15-3.06). Significant synergistic interaction was observed between VC and LVH (P for interaction=0.039). Conclusions: VC was independently associated with LVH. The coexistence of VC and LVH was associated with higher risk of deaths and CVEs than either factor alone. VC and LVH showed a synergistic interaction for the risk of deaths and CVEs.

The Clinical Usefulness of Measurement of Visceral Fat Area Using Multi-Frequency Bioimpedance: The Association with Cardiac and Renal Function In General Population with Relatively Normal Renal Function.

Background: This study was performed to determine the clinical usefulness of measurement of visceral fat area (VFA) using bioimpedance analysis in relation with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), diastolic dysfunction parameters, and decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Methods: A cross-sectional analysis was performed on 1028 patients with eGFR≥60 ml/min/1.73m2, aged 40 - 64 years, and who underwent routine health check-ups. Subjects were divided into tertiles based on their VFA. Associations of VFA with echocardiographic parameters and eGFR were evaluated. Results: Across the VFA teriltes, there was a significant trend for increasing left ventricular mass index (LVMi), left atrial diameter (LAD), and ratio of early mitral inflow velocity to peak mitral annulus velocity (E/E' ratio) and that for decreasing ratio of early to late mitral inflow peak velocities (E/A ratio) and eGFR. In multivariate linear regression analysis, log-transformed VFA was significantly associated with increased LVMi, LAD, and E/E' ratio, and with decreased E/A ratio and eGFR. After adjustment for body mass index, log-transformed VFA remained as a significant determinant for E/A ratio. Conclusion: VFA may be associated with LV structure and diastolic function, and decreased eGFR in middle-aged adults with normal or mildly impaired renal function.

Gender-Specific Associations between Low Skeletal Muscle Mass and Albuminuria in the Middle-Aged and Elderly Population.

Objective This study assessed gender-specific associations between low muscle mass (LMM) and albuminuria. Methods Data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2011 were employed. The study consisted of 1,087 subjects (≥50 years old). Skeletal muscle index (SMI) was defined as the weight-adjusted appendicular skeletal muscle mass. Mild LMM and severe LMM were defined as SMI that were 1-2 and >2 standard deviations below the sex-specific mean appendicular skeletal muscle mass of young adults, respectively. Increased albuminuria was defined as albumin-to-creatinine ratio ≥30mg/g Results Men with mild and severe LMM were significantly more likely to have increased albuminuria (15.2% and 45.45%, respectively) than men with normal SMI (9.86%, P<0.0001), but not women. Severe LMM associated independently with increased albuminuria in men (OR=7.661, 95% CI=2.72-21.579) but not women. Severe LMM was an independent predictor of increased albuminuria in hypertensive males (OR=11.449, 95% CI=3.037-43.156), non-diabetic males (OR=8.782, 95% CI=3.046-25.322), and males without metabolic syndrome (MetS) (OR=8.183, 95% CI=1.539-43.156). This was not observed in males without hypertension, males with diabetes or MetS, and all female subgroups. Conclusion Severe LMM associated with increased albuminuria in men, especially those with hypertension and without diabetes or MetS.