The evolving knowledge on primary hemostasis in patients with cirrhosis: A comprehensive review.

Patients with cirrhosis develop complex alterations in primary hemostasis that include both hypocoagulable and hypercoagulable features. This includes thrombocytopenia, multiple alterations of platelet function, and increased plasma levels of von Willebrand factor. Contrary to the historical view that platelet dysfunction in cirrhosis might be responsible for an increased bleeding tendency, the current theory posits a rebalanced hemostasis in patients with cirrhosis. Severe thrombocytopenia is not indicative of the bleeding risk in patients undergoing invasive procedures and does not dictate per se the need for pre-procedural prophylaxis. A more comprehensive and individualized risk assessment should combine hemostatic impairment, the severity of decompensation and systemic inflammation, and the presence of additional factors that may impair platelet function, such as acute kidney injury and bacterial infections. Although there are multiple, complex alterations of platelet function in cirrhosis, their net effect is not yet fully understood. More investigations evaluating the association between alterations of platelet function and bleeding/thrombosis may improve risk stratification in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Besides hemostasis, the assessment of von Willebrand factor Ag and ADP-induced, whole-blood platelet aggregation normalized by platelet count (VITRO score and PLT ratio) are promising biomarkers to predict the risk of hepatic decompensation and survival in both compensated and decompensated patients. Further investigations into the in vivo interplay between platelets, circulating blood elements, and endothelial cells may help advance our understanding of cirrhotic coagulopathy. Here, we review the complex changes in platelets and primary hemostasis in cirrhosis and their potential clinical implications.

Role of nonneoplastic PVT in the natural history of patients with cirrhosis and first diagnosis of HCC.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: HCC can increase the risk of nonneoplastic PVT in cirrhosis. However, the natural history of PVT and its prognostic role in HCC patients are unknown. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Consecutive HCC patients with cirrhosis undergoing laparoscopic ablation were retrospectively evaluated and followed up to 36 months. HCC and PVT characteristics and evolution were reviewed. PVT was categorized according to lumen occupancy (≤50%, >50% <100%, and = 100%) and extension to other veins. The evolution of thrombosis was considered at 1 year from diagnosis. Variables associated with the presence of PVT and evolution patterns were analyzed, as well as their impact on survival. In all, 750 patients were included, 88 of whom had PVT. On multivariate analysis, the occurrence of PVT at HCC diagnosis was associated with pretreatment total tumor volume ( p < 0.001) and clinically significant portal hypertension ( p = 0.005). During the follow-up, 46 de novo PVT occurred, 27/46 (58.7%) in the presence of a viable tumor. Among 115 PVT diagnosed in the presence of HCC, 83 had available radiological follow-up, and 22 were anticoagulated. The "complete/progressive" evolution pattern was associated with nonresponse to HCC treatment in non-anticoagulated patients. The presence of PVT was independently associated with lower overall survival, particularly when progressive or occlusive ( p < 0.001). A higher competing risk of death emerged for "complete and progressive" PVT, both for HCC-related ( p < 0.001) and non-HCC-related ( p = 0.002) death. CONCLUSIONS: HCC represents an independent risk factor for the occurrence and progression of PVT in cirrhosis. Since progressive and occlusive PVT seems to be an independent factor associated with mortality, screening and prompt treatment of this complication should be considered.

Long-term outcome and risk stratification in compensated advanced chronic liver disease after HCV-cure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Around 750,000 patients per year will be cured of HCV infection until 2030. Those with compensated advanced chronic liver disease remain at risk for hepatic decompensation and de novo HCC. Algorithms have been developed to stratify risk early after cure; however, data on long-term outcomes and the prognostic utility of these risk stratification algorithms at later time points are lacking. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 2335 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (liver stiffness measurement≥10 kPa) who achieved HCV-cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centers (median age 60.2±11.9 y, 21.1% obesity, 21.2% diabetes).During a median follow-up of 6 years, first hepatic decompensation occurred in 84 patients (3.6%, incidence rate: 0.74%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 3.2%); 183 (7.8%) patients developed de novo HCC (incidence rate: 1.60%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 8.3%), with both risks being strictly linear over time.Baveno VII criteria to exclude (FU-liver stiffness measurement <12 kPa and follow-up platelet count >150 g/L) or rule-in (FU-liver stiffness measurement ≥25 kPa) clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) stratified the risk of hepatic decompensation with proportional hazards. Estimated probability of CSPH discriminated patients developing versus not developing hepatic decompensation in the gray zone (ie, patients meeting none of the above criteria).Published HCC risk stratification algorithms identified high-incidence and low-incidence groups; however, the size of the latter group varied substantially (9.9%-69.1%). A granular "HCC-sustained virologic response" model was developed to inform an individual patient's HCC risk after HCV-cure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease, the risks of hepatic decompensation and HCC remain constant after HCV-cure, even in the long term (>3 y). One-time post-treatment risk stratification based on noninvasive criteria provides important prognostic information that is maintained during long-term follow-up, as the hazards remain proportional over time.

Post-treatment LSM rather than change during treatment predicts decompensation in patients with cACLD after HCV cure.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Baveno VII has defined a clinically significant (i.e., prognostically meaningful) decrease in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in cACLD as a decrease of ≥20% associated with a final LSM <20 kPa or any decrease to <10 kPa. However, these rules have not yet been validated against direct clinical endpoints. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed patients with cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa) with paired liver stiffness measurement (LSM) before (BL) and after (FU) HCV cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centres. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation was compared according to these criteria, considering hepatocellular carcinoma and non-liver-related death as competing risks. RESULTS: A total of 2,335 patients followed for a median of 6 years were analysed. Median BL-LSM was 16.6 kPa with 37.1% having ≥20 kPa. After HCV cure, FU-LSM decreased to a median of 10.9 kPa (<10 kPa: 1,002 [42.9%], ≥20 kPa: 465 [19.9%]) translating into a median LSM change of -5.3 (-8.8 to -2.4) kPa corresponding to -33.9 (-48.0 to -15.9) %. Patients achieving a clinically significant decrease (65.4%) had a significantly lower risk of hepatic decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio: 0.12, 95% CI 0.04-0.35, p <0.001). However, these risk differences were primarily driven by a negligible risk in patients with FU-LSM <10 kPa (5-year cumulative incidence: 0.3%) compared to a high risk in patients with FU-LSM ≥20 kPa (16.6%). Patients with FU-LSM 10-19.9 kPa (37.4%) also had a low risk of hepatic decompensation (5-year cumulative incidence: 1.7%), and importantly, the risk of hepatic decompensation did not differ between those with/without an LSM decrease of ≥20% (p = 0.550). CONCLUSIONS: FU-LSM is key for risk stratification after HCV cure and should guide clinical decision making. LSM dynamics do not hold significant prognostic information in patients with FU-LSM 10-19.9 kPa, and thus, their consideration is not of sufficient incremental value in the specific context of HCV cure. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is increasingly applied as a prognostic biomarker and commonly decreases in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease achieving HCV cure. Although Baveno VII proposed criteria for a clinically significant decrease, little is known about the prognostic utility of LSM dynamics (changes through antiviral therapy). Interestingly, in those with a post-treatment LSM of 10-19.9 kPa, LSM dynamics did not provide incremental information, arguing against the consideration of LSM dynamics as prognostic criteria. Thus, post-treatment LSM should guide the management of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease achieving HCV cure.

ERS Statement on Benign Pleural Effusions in Adults.

The incidence of non-malignant pleural effusions (NMPE) far outweighs that of malignant pleural effusions (MPE) and is estimated to be at least 3-fold higher. These so called "benign" effusions do not follow a "benign course" in many cases, with mortality rates matching and sometimes exceeding that of MPEs. In addition to the impact on patients, healthcare systems are significantly affected, with recent US epidemiological data demonstrating that 75% of resource allocation for pleural effusion management is spent on NMPEs (excluding empyema). Despite this significant burden of disease, and by existing at the junction of multiple medical specialties, reflecting a heterogenous constellation of medical conditions, NMPEs are rarely the focus of research or the subject of management guidelines. With this ERS Taskforce, we assembled a multi-specialty collaborative across eleven countries and three continents to provide a Statement based on systematic searches of the medical literature to highlight evidence in the management of the following clinical areas: a diagnostic approach to transudative effusions, heart failure, hepatic hydrothorax, end stage renal failure, benign asbestos related pleural effusion, post-surgical effusion and non-specific pleuritis.

The role of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in patients with cirrhosis and ascites: Recent evolution and open questions.

In selected patients with cirrhosis and ascites, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement improves control of ascites and may reduce mortality. In this review, we summarize the current knowledge concerning the use of TIPS for the treatment of ascites in patients with cirrhosis, from pathophysiology of ascites formation to hemodynamic consequences, patient selection, and technical issues of TIPS insertion. The combination of these factors is important to guide clinical decision-making and identify the best strategy for each individual patient. There is still a need to identify the best timing for TIPS placement in the natural history of ascites (recurrent vs. refractory) as well as which type and level of renal dysfunction is acceptable when TIPS is proposed for the treatment of ascites in cirrhosis. Future studies are needed to define the optimal stent diameter according to patient characteristics and individual risk of shunt-related side effects, particularly hepatic encephalopathy and insufficient cardiac response to hemodynamic consequences of TIPS insertion.

Mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in older adult patients with cirrhosis: A validated prediction model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) improves survival in patients with cirrhosis with refractory ascites and portal hypertensive bleeding. However, the indication for TIPS in older adult patients (greater than or equal to 70 years) is debated, and a specific prediction model developed in this particular setting is lacking. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a multivariable model for an accurate prediction of mortality in older adults. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We prospectively enrolled 411 consecutive patients observed at four referral centers with de novo TIPS implantation for refractory ascites or secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding (derivation cohort) and an external cohort of 415 patients with similar indications for TIPS (validation cohort). Older adult patients in the two cohorts were 99 and 76, respectively. A cause-specific Cox competing risks model was used to predict liver-related mortality, with orthotopic liver transplant and death for extrahepatic causes as competing events. Age, alcoholic etiology, creatinine levels, and international normalized ratio in the overall cohort, and creatinine and sodium levels in older adults were independent risk factors for liver-related death by multivariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: After TIPS implantation, mortality is increased by aging, but TIPS placement should not be precluded in patients older than 70 years. In older adults, creatinine and sodium levels are useful predictors for decision making. Further efforts to update the prediction model with larger sample size are warranted.

Mortality related to HCV and other chronic liver diseases in Veneto (Italy), 2008-2021: Changes in trends and age-period-cohort effects.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The objective of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents on mortality related to chronic liver diseases (CLD). METHODS: Age-standardized mortality rates were computed based on CLD as the underlying cause of death (UCOD) and as any mention in death certificates (multiple causes of death-MCOD). Time trends in age-standardized mortality rates were investigated using generalized estimation equation models. Additionally, we conducted age, period, and birth cohort (APC) analyses on CLD-related mortality associated with alcohol and hepatitis C virus (HCV). RESULTS: Between 2008 and 2021, among residents in the Veneto region (Northeastern Italy) aged ≥35 years, there were 20 409 deaths based on the UCOD and 30 069 deaths based on MCOD from all CLD. We observed a 4% annual decline in age-standardized MCOD-based mortality throughout 2008-2021, with minor peaks corresponding to COVID-19 epidemic waves. Starting in 2016, the decline in HCV-related mortality accelerated further (p < .001). A peak in HCV-related mortality in the 1963-1967 birth cohort was observed, which levelled off by the end of the study period. Mortality related to alcoholic liver disease declined at a slower pace, becoming the most common aetiology mentioned in death certificates. CONCLUSIONS: The study demonstrates a significant decrease in HCV-related mortality at the population level in Italy with the introduction of DAAs. Continuous monitoring of MCOD data is warranted to determine if this favourable trend will continue. Further studies utilizing additional health records are needed to clarify the role of other CLD etiologies.

Profiling plasma alterations of extracellular vesicles in patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis and bacterial infection.

BACKGROUND: Extracellular vesicles (EVs) modulate inflammation, coagulation and vascular homeostasis in decompensated cirrhosis. AIM: To characterize the profile of plasmatic EVs in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and bacterial infections and evaluate the association between EVs and the development of hemostatic complications. METHODS: We measured the levels of EVs using high-sensitivity flow cytometry and phospholipid-dependent clotting time (PPL) in a prospective cohort of hospitalized patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis with versus without bacterial infections. A separate cohort of patients with bacterial infections without cirrhosis was also enrolled. We measured endothelium-, tissue factor (TF)-bearing, platelet- and leukocyte-derived EVs. In patients with infections, EVs were reassessed upon resolution of infection. Bleeding and thrombotic complications were recorded during 1-year follow-up. RESULTS: Eighty patients with decompensated cirrhosis were recruited (40 each with and without bacterial infections). Electron microscopy confirmed the presence of plasma EVs. Despite no difference in total EVs and PPL, patients with cirrhosis and infection had significantly higher TF+ EVs, P-Selectin+ EVs (activated platelet-derived), CD14+ EVs (monocyte/macrophages derived) and CD14+ TF+ EVs versus those with cirrhosis without infection. Upon infection resolution, levels of these EVs returned to those without infection. Patients with infections showed a significant association between reduced P-Selectin+ EVs and bleeding complications (HR 8.0 [95%CI 1.3-48.1]), whereas high levels of leukocyte-derived EVs (CD45+) and CD14+ EVs were significantly associated with thrombotic complications (HR 16.4 [95%CI 1.7-160] and 10.9 [95%CI 1.13-106], respectively). Results were confirmed in a validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Bacterial infections are associated with particular alterations of plasma EVs profile in decompensated cirrhosis. Bacterial infections trigger the release of EVs originating from various cell types, which may tip the precarious hemostatic balance of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis towards hyper- or hypocoagulability.

Evolution of Liver Transplantation Indications: Expanding Horizons.

Liver transplantation (LT) has significantly transformed the prognosis of patients with end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The traditional epidemiology of liver diseases has undergone a remarkable shift in indications for LT, marked by a decline in viral hepatitis and an increase in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), along with expanded indications for HCC. Recent advancements in surgical techniques, organ preservation and post-transplant patients' management have opened new possibilities for LT. Conditions that were historically considered absolute contraindications have emerged as potential new indications, demonstrating promising results in terms of patient survival. While these expanding indications provide newfound hope, the ethical dilemma of organ scarcity persists. Addressing this requires careful consideration and international collaboration to ensure equitable access to LT. Multidisciplinary approaches and ongoing research efforts are crucial to navigate the evolving landscape of LT. This review aims to offer a current overview of the primary emerging indications for LT, focusing on acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), acute alcoholic hepatitis (AH), intrahepatic and perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (i- and p-CCA), colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), and neuroendocrine tumor (NET) liver metastases.

Haemostasis in cirrhosis: Understanding destabilising factors during acute decompensation.

Hospitalised patients with decompensated cirrhosis are in a rebalanced haemostatic state due to a parallel decline in both pro- and anti-haemostatic pathways. However, this rebalanced haemostatic state is highly susceptible to perturbations and may easily tilt towards hypocoagulability and bleeding. Acute kidney injury, bacterial infections and sepsis, and progression from acute decompensation to acute-on-chronic liver failure are associated with additional alterations of specific haemostatic pathways and a higher risk of bleeding. Unfortunately, there is no single laboratory method that can accurately stratify an individual patient's bleeding risk and guide pre-procedural prophylaxis. A better understanding of haemostatic alterations during acute illness would lead to more rational and individualised management of hospitalised patients with decompensated cirrhosis. This review will outline the latest findings on haemostatic alterations driven by acute kidney injury, bacterial infections/sepsis, and acute-on-chronic liver failure in these difficult-to-treat patients and provide evidence supporting more tailored management of bleeding risk.

Liver transplantation in the patient with physical frailty.

Frailty is a decline in functional reserve across multiple physiological systems. A key component of frailty is sarcopenia, which denotes a loss of skeletal muscle mass and impaired contractile function that ultimately result in physical frailty. Physical frailty/sarcopenia are frequent and contribute to adverse clinical outcomes before and after liver transplantation. Frailty indices, including the liver frailty index, focus on contractile dysfunction (physical frailty), while cross-sectional image analysis of muscle area is the most accepted and reproducible measure to define sarcopenia. Thus, physical frailty and sarcopenia are interrelated. The prevalence of physical frailty/sarcopenia is high in liver transplant candidates and these conditions have been shown to adversely impact clinical outcomes including mortality, hospitalisations, infections, and cost of care both before and after transplantation. Data on the prevalence of frailty/sarcopenia and their sex- and age-dependent impact on outcomes are not consistent in patients on the liver transplant waitlist. Physical frailty and sarcopenic obesity are frequent in the obese patient with cirrhosis, and adversely affect outcomes after liver transplantation. Nutritional interventions and physical activity remain the mainstay of management before and after transplantation, despite limited data from large scale trials. In addition to physical frailty, there is recognition that a global evaluation including a multidisciplinary approach to other components of frailty (e.g., cognition, emotional, psychosocial) also need to be addressed in patients on the transplant waitlist. Recent advances in our understanding of the underlying mechanisms of sarcopenia and contractile dysfunction have helped identify novel therapeutic targets.

Severity of systemic inflammation is the main predictor of ACLF and bleeding in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hypercoagulability and hypofibrinolysis in acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) may be implicated in disease progression and haemostatic complications. We conducted a prospective study to: (1) characterise haemostatic alterations in AD; (2) evaluate whether such alterations can predict acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and bleeding/thrombosis. METHODS: Hospitalised individuals with AD were prospectively recruited and underwent an extensive haemostatic profiling including coagulation factors, thrombomodulin-modified thrombin generation assay with evaluation of endogenous thrombin potential (ETP; marker for plasmatic hypercoagulability), fibrinolytic factors, and plasmin-antiplasmin complex (fibrinolysis activation marker). Inflammation severity was assessed by C-reactive protein (CRP). In part 1 of the study, we compared haemostasis in AD vs. controls (stable decompensated and compensated cirrhosis). In part 2 of the study, we prospectively followed individuals with AD for 1 year and investigated predictors of ACLF and bleeding/thrombosis. RESULTS: A total of 169 individuals with AD were recruited (median model for end-stage liver disease score 20; CLIF-C AD 54). Compared with controls, AD was associated with more pronounced hypercoagulability (ETP: 871 vs. 750 vs. 605 nmol/L per min; p <0.0001), without differences in fibrinolysis activation. During follow-up, 55 individuals developed ACLF. CLIF-C AD, CRP, and Child-Pugh were independently associated with ACLF. A predictive model combining these variables (Padua model) accurately identified individuals at higher risk of ACLF (AUROC 0.857; 95% CI 0.798-0.915; sensitivity 74.5%, specificity 83.3%). Notably, CRP and progression to ACLF, but not baseline coagulopathy, were associated with bleeding (n = 11); CRP and antifibrinolytic factor PAI-1 >50 ng/ml were associated with thrombosis (n = 14). The prognostic value of the Padua model was validated in an independent, bicentric European cohort (N = 301). CONCLUSIONS: Inflammation severity, and not coagulopathy, is the most important predictor of ACLF and bleeding in AD. The Padua model can be used to identify individuals with AD at risk of ACLF. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A better understanding of haemostasis in individuals with acutely decompensated cirrhosis may help to identify those at higher risk of progression and complications. In this prospective study, we found no significant association between alterations of haemostasis and cirrhosis progression, indicating that the assessment of haemostatic alterations is not useful to identify those at risk. However, we found that C-reactive protein (a simple blood test that reflects severity of inflammation) and severity of chronic liver disease itself (as assessed by specific scores) were associated with cirrhosis progression and development of bleeding complications. Therefore, we developed a simple predictive model - based on C-reactive protein and liver disease scores - that, if validated by independent studies, could be used in clinical practice to assist physicians in identifying individuals with decompensated cirrhosis at higher risk of disease progression and death (i.e. in whom to consider an expedited evaluation for liver transplantation).

Increased platelet ratio in patients with decompensated cirrhosis indicates a higher risk of portal vein thrombosis.

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis are at risk of portal vein thrombosis (PVT). We prospectively investigated whether alterations of platelet aggregation can predict PVT in decompensated cirrhosis. At baseline, all patients underwent whole-blood aggregometry (Multiplate®) to assess ADP-induced platelet aggregation. Aggregometry results were expressed as the ratio between platelet aggregation and platelet count (PLT ratio). Then, patients with cirrhosis were prospectively followed for 1 year for PVT development. One-hundred and twenty-eight patients with decompensated cirrhosis were included (Child-Pugh A/B/C 12/39/49%). The cumulative incidence of PVT was 14%. On multivariate analysis, the PLT ratio (OR 4.5, 95% CI 2.63-7.67; p < .0001) and Child-Pugh C versus A/B (OR 4.1, 95% CI 1.18-14.80; p = .03) were independently associated with PVT. The discriminative ability of the PLT ratio was higher than Child-Pugh (AUC 0.92 vs 0.70, p < .0001). A PLT ratio > 0.75 had 83% sensitivity and 84% specificity for PVT. In conclusion, the PLT ratio by Multiplate® seems a promising thrombotic biomarker in decompensated cirrhosis.

Endovascular Assessment of Liver Hemodynamics in Patients with Cirrhosis Complicated by Portal Hypertension.

The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is currently considered the gold standard to assess portal hypertension (PH) in patients with cirrhosis. A meticulous technique is important to achieve accurate and reproducible results, and values obtained during measurement are applied in risk stratification of patients with PH, allocating treatment options, monitoring follow-up, and deciding management options in surgical patients. The use of portosystemic pressure gradients in patients undergoing placement of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts has been studied extensively and has great influence on decisions on shunt diameter. The purpose of this study was to describe the recommended technique to measure HVPG and portosystemic pressure gradient and to review the existing literature describing the importance of these hemodynamic measurements in clinical practice.

Hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after direct-acting antiviral therapy: an individual patient data meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The benefit of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) against HCV following successful treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. This meta-analysis of individual patient data assessed HCC recurrence risk following DAA administration. DESIGN: We pooled the data of 977 consecutive patients from 21 studies of HCV-related cirrhosis and HCC, who achieved complete radiological response after surgical/locoregional treatments and received DAAs (DAA group). Recurrence or death risk was expressed as HCC recurrence or death per 100 person-years (100PY). Propensity score-matched patients from the ITA.LI.CA. cohort (n=328) served as DAA-unexposed controls (no-DAA group). Risk factors for HCC recurrence were identified using random-effects Poisson. RESULTS: Recurrence rate and death risk per 100PY in DAA-treated patients were 20 (95% CI 13.9 to 29.8, I2=74.6%) and 5.7 (2.5 to 15.3, I2=54.3), respectively. Predictive factors for recurrence were alpha-fetoprotein logarithm (relative risk (RR)=1.11, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.19; p=0.01, per 1 log of ng/mL), HCC recurrence history pre-DAA initiation (RR=1.11, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.16; p<0.001), performance status (2 vs 0, RR=4.35, 95% CI 1.54 to 11.11; 2 vs 1, RR=3.7, 95% CI 1.3 to 11.11; p=0.01) and tumour burden pre-HCC treatment (multifocal vs solitary nodule, RR=1.75, 95% CI 1.25 to 2.43; p<0.001). No significant difference was observed in RR between the DAA-exposed and DAA-unexposed groups in propensity score-matched patients (RR=0.64, 95% CI 0.37 to 1.1; p=0.1). CONCLUSION: Effects of DAA exposure on HCC recurrence risk remain inconclusive. Active clinical and radiological follow-up of patients with HCC after HCV eradication with DAA is justified.

Increased platelet aggregation in patients with decompensated cirrhosis indicates higher risk of further decompensation and death.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Studies on platelet aggregation in cirrhosis are controversial because interpretation of platelet function is challenged by thrombocytopenia. We conducted a prospective study to investigate whole blood platelet aggregation in cirrhosis and its association with liver-related outcomes. METHODS: Platelet aggregation was assessed by whole blood aggregometry (Multiplate®). To overcome the influence of platelet count and compare cirrhosis with thrombocytopenia vs. controls with normal platelet count, we calculated a ratio between platelet aggregation and platelet count (PLT ratio). Then, we prospectively followed patients with cirrhosis and ascertained predictors of decompensation, transplantation, and death. RESULTS: Two-hundred and three patients with cirrhosis were prospectively recruited (77% decompensated). PLT ratio was significantly higher in cirrhosis than in those with chronic hepatitis and healthy individuals (0.44 vs. 0.25 and 0.26, respectively; p <0.0001). In cirrhosis, the ratio increased with disease severity (Child-Pugh class C>B>A) and was particularly elevated in decompensated patients with severe thrombocytopenia. Among decompensated patients, 65 had further decompensation, underwent transplantation, or died during a 6-month follow-up. On multivariate analysis, PLT ratio (odds ratio 1.87; 95% CI 1.23-2.84; p = 0.003) and MELD score (odds ratio 1.05; 95% CI 1.01-1.08; p = 0.01) were independently associated with outcome. The relative risk of events was 7.5-fold higher in patients with PLT ratio >0.75 vs. patients with PLT ratio <0.25 (95% CI 2.5-21.9; p = 0.003). The increased PLT ratio, its discriminative ability for composite outcome, and the prognostic value of PLT ratio >0.75 were confirmed in an independent cohort of hospitalized patients with decompensated cirrhosis (n = 41). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cirrhosis, particularly when decompensated, exhibit significantly increased whole blood platelet aggregation. Decompensated patients with a PLT ratio >0.75 have a >80% probability of further decompensation, transplantation, or liver-related death within 6 months. LAY SUMMARY: In patients with cirrhosis, previous studies have suggested that platelets (i.e. circulating blood cells that help form clots to stop bleeding) are dysfunctional. In particular, these studies suggested that platelet aggregation (the process by which platelets adhere to each other to form clots) is reduced. Since platelet aggregation is important for clot formation, it has been hypothesized that alterations of platelet aggregation may be responsible for the increased risk of bleeding observed in patients with cirrhosis. Our study demonstrates: i) that platelet aggregation in patients with cirrhosis is higher than in healthy individuals; ii) that platelet aggregation in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (i.e. those who have already experienced some complications of cirrhosis) is particularly elevated and associated with risk of further complications and death.

HCC risk stratification after cure of hepatitis C in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) caused by chronic hepatitis C who have achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). We developed risk stratification algorithms for de novo HCC development after SVR and validated them in an independent cohort. METHODS: We evaluated the occurrence of de novo HCC in a derivation cohort of 527 patients with pre-treatment ACLD and SVR to interferon-free therapy, in whom alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and non-invasive surrogates of portal hypertension including liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were assessed pre-/post-treatment. We validated our results in 1,500 patients with compensated ACLD (cACLD) from other European centers. RESULTS: During a median follow-up (FU) of 41 months, 22/475 patients with cACLD (4.6%, 1.45/100 patient-years) vs. 12/52 decompensated patients (23.1%, 7.00/100 patient-years, p <0.001) developed de novo HCC. Since decompensated patients were at substantial HCC risk, we focused on cACLD for all further analyses. In cACLD, post-treatment-values showed a higher discriminative ability for patients with/without de novo HCC development during FU than pre-treatment values or absolute/relative changes. Models based on post-treatment AFP, alcohol consumption (optional), age, LSM, and albumin, accurately predicted de novo HCC development (bootstrapped Harrel's C with/without considering alcohol: 0.893/0.836). Importantly, these parameters also provided independent prognostic information in competing risk analysis and accurately stratified patients into low- (~2/3 of patients) and high-risk (~1/3 of patients) groups in the derivation (algorithm with alcohol consumption; 4-year HCC-risk: 0% vs. 16.5%) and validation (3.3% vs. 17.5%) cohorts. An alternative approach based on alcohol consumption (optional), age, LSM, and albumin (i.e., without AFP) also showed a robust performance. CONCLUSIONS: Simple algorithms based on post-treatment age/albumin/LSM, and optionally, AFP and alcohol consumption, accurately stratified patients with cACLD based on their risk of de novo HCC after SVR. Approximately two-thirds were identified as having an HCC risk <1%/year in both the derivation and validation cohort, thereby clearly falling below the cost-effectiveness threshold for HCC surveillance. LAY SUMMARY: Simple algorithms based on age, alcohol consumption, results of blood tests (albumin and α-fetoprotein), as well as liver stiffness measurement after the end of hepatitis C treatment identify a large proportion (approximately two-thirds) of patients with advanced but still asymptomatic liver disease who are at very low risk (<1%/year) of liver cancer development, and thus, might not need to undergo 6-monthly liver ultrasound.

Non-invasive tests for clinically significant portal hypertension after HCV cure.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH; hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥10 mmHg) have predominantly been studied in patients with active HCV infection. Investigations after HCV cure are limited and have yielded conflicting results. We conducted a pooled analysis to determine the diagnostic/prognostic utility of liver stiffness measurement (LSM)/platelet count (PLT) in this setting. METHODS: A total of 418 patients with pre-treatment HVPG ≥6 mmHg who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) and underwent post-treatment HVPG measurement were assessed, of whom 324 (HVPG/NIT-cohort) also had paired data on pre-/post-treatment LSM/PLT. The derived LSM/PLT criteria were then validated against the direct endpoint decompensation in 755 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) with SVR (cACLD-validation-cohort). RESULTS: HVPG/NIT-cohort: Among patients with cACLD, the pre-/post-treatment prevalence of CSPH was 80%/54%. The correlation between LSM/HVPG increased from pre- to post-treatment (r = 0.45 vs. 0.60), while that of PLT/HVPG remained unchanged. For given LSM/PLT values, HVPG tended to be lower post- vs. pre-treatment, indicating the need for dedicated algorithms. Combining post-treatment LSM/PLT yielded a high diagnostic accuracy for post-treatment CSPH in cACLD (AUC 0.884; 95% CI 0.843-0.926). Post-treatment LSM <12 kPa & PLT >150 G/L excluded CSPH (sensitivity: 99.2%), while LSM ≥25 kPa was highly specific for CSPH (93.6%). cACLD-validation-cohort: the 3-year decompensation risk was 0% in the 42.5% of patients who met the LSM <12 kPa & PLT >150 G/L criteria. In patients with post-treatment LSM ≥25 kPa (prevalence: 16.8%), the 3-year decompensation risk was 9.6%, while it was 1.3% in those meeting none of the above criteria (prevalence: 40.7%). CONCLUSIONS: NITs can estimate the probability of CSPH after HCV cure and predict clinical outcomes. Patients with cACLD but LSM <12 kPa & PLT>150 G/L may be discharged from portal hypertension surveillance if no co-factors are present, while patients with LSM ≥25 kPa require surveillance/treatment. LAY SUMMARY: Measurement of liver stiffness by a specific ultrasound device and platelet count (a simple blood test) are broadly used for the non-invasive diagnosis of increased blood pressure in the veins leading to the liver, which drives the development of complications in patients with advanced liver disease. The results of our pooled analysis refute previous concerns that these tests are less accurate after the cure of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We have developed diagnostic criteria that facilitate personalized management after HCV cure and allow for a de-escalation of care in a high proportion of patients, thereby decreasing disease burden.

Noninvasive Risk Stratification After HCV Eradication in Patients With Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk stratification after cure from hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains a clinical challenge. We investigated the predictive value of noninvasive surrogates of portal hypertension (liver stiffness measurement [LSM] by vibration-controlled transient elastography and von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio [VITRO]) for development of hepatic decompensation and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with pretreatment advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) who achieved HCV cure. APPROACH AND RESULTS: A total of 276 patients with pretreatment ACLD and information on pretreatment and posttreatment follow-up (FU)-LSM and FU-VITRO were followed for a median of 36.6 months after the end of interferon-free therapy. FU-LSM (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.875 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.796-0.954]) and FU-VITRO (AUROC: 0.925 [95% CI: 0.874-0.977]) showed an excellent predictive performance for hepatic decompensation. Both parameters provided incremental information and were significantly associated with hepatic decompensation in adjusted models. A previously proposed combined approach (FU-LSM < 12.4 kPa and/or FU-VITRO < 0.95) to rule out clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH, hepatic venous pressure gradient ≥10 mm Hg) at FU assigned most (57.3%) of the patients to the low-risk group; none of these patients developed hepatic decompensation. In contrast, in patients in whom FU-CSPH was ruled in (FU-LSM > 25.3 kPa and/or FU-VITRO > 3.3; 25.0% of patients), the risk of hepatic decompensation at 3 years following treatment was high (17.4%). Patients within the diagnostic gray-zone for FU-CSPH (17.8% of patients) had a very low risk of hepatic decompensation during FU (2.6%). The prognostic value of this algorithm was validated in an internal (n = 86) and external (n = 162) cohort. CONCLUSION: FU-LSM/FU-VITRO are strongly and independently predictive of posttreatment hepatic decompensation in HCV-induced ACLD. An algorithm combining these noninvasive markers not only rules in or rules out FU-CSPH, but also identifies populations at negligible versus high risk for hepatic decompensation. FU-LSM/FU-VITRO are readily accessible and enable risk stratification after sustained virological response, and thus facilitate personalized management.