Predicting Severe Complications from Cytoreductive Surgery with Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy: A Data-Driven, Machine Learning Approach to Augment Clinical Judgment.

BACKGROUND: CRS-HIPEC provides oncologic benefit in well-selected patients with peritoneal carcinomatosis; however, it is a morbid procedure. Decision tools for preoperative patient selection are limited. We developed a risk score to predict severity of 90 day complications for cytoreductive surgery with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS-HIPEC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adults who underwent CRS-HIPEC at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (March 2001-April 2020) were analyzed as part of this study. Primary endpoint was severe complications within 90 days following CRS-HIPEC, defined using Comprehensive Complication Index (CCI) scores as a dichotomous (determined using restricted cubic splines) and continuous variable. Data were divided into training and test sets. Several machine learning and traditional algorithms were considered. RESULTS: For the 1959 CRS-HIPEC procedures included, CCI ranged from 0 to 100 (median 32.0). Adjusted restricted cubic splines model defined severe complications as CCI > 61. A minimum of 20 variables achieved optimal performance of any of the models. Linear regression achieved the highest area under the receiving operator characteristic curve (AUC, 0.74) and outperformed the NSQIP Surgical Risk calculator (AUC 0.80 vs. 0.66). Factors most positively associated with severe complications included peritoneal carcinomatosis index score, symptomatic status, and undergoing pancreatectomy, while American Society of Anesthesiologists 2 class, appendiceal diagnosis, and preoperative albumin were most negatively associated with severe complications. CONCLUSIONS: This study refines our ability to predict severe complications within 90 days of discharge from a hospitalization in which CRS-HIPEC was performed. This advancement is timely and relevant given the growing interest in this procedure and may have implications for patient selection, patient and referring provider comfort, and survival.

Developing a Novel Interactive Colorectal Cancer Educational Session for First-Year Medical Students to Enhance Interest in Public Health.

Medical students need more exposure to and a greater understanding of their role in public health throughout their training, which may influence more of them to pursue careers in public health or change how they practice medicine in the future. A novel colorectal cancer education session was created for first year medical students to attempt to increase public health interest, improve colorectal cancer knowledge and discuss barriers to colorectal cancer screening. We constructed a novel integrated interactive peer led colorectal cancer educational session of panelists with a wide range of experiences in colorectal cancer and colorectal cancer screening. The session involved a didactic component, case presentation, and group exercises followed by assembly discussion. We surveyed first-year medical students over two consecutive years to assess their interest in public health, knowledge of colorectal cancer, and perceptions of barriers to colorectal cancer screening before and after the educational session. We also evaluated student satisfaction with the session. We compared the pre- and post-survey results to assess for changes in interest, knowledge and perceptions. 74.63% of students in 2018 and 67.7% in 2019 evaluated the session as excellent or good, with knowledge regarding colorectal cancer screening markedly increased after the educational session. Students reported knowledge and access to healthcare among the biggest patient barriers to colorectal cancer screening. Interest in public health increased by 7.5% and 5.6% in 2018 and 2019, respectively. The implementation of this interactive educational peer led exercise can increase interest in public health, improve knowledge of colorectal cancer prevention and facilitate discussions of colorectal cancer screening barriers. We hope to encourage other programs to adopt this preliminary model.

Augmented early aged neutrophil infiltration contributes to late remodeling post myocardial infarction.

Neutrophils oscillate in number and phenotype after being released from bone marrow. Myocardial infarction (MI) outcome is associated with the time-of-day of ischemia onset. However, the underlying contributive factors of neutrophils to cardiac remodeling post MI remain unknown. We examined neutrophil infiltration into the heart and cardiac function and remodeling in C57BL/6J MI model created by permanent coronary ligation at different zeitgeber times (ZT). We found that cell surface markers (CD62L, CXCR2, CXCR4) of neutrophils in peripheral blood lost diurnal oscillation 24 h post MI. Meanwhile, circadian gene Bmal1, Nr1d1, and Clock mRNA expression displayed disrupted diurnal patterns. Flow cytometry showed augmented aged neutrophil (CD11b+Ly6G+CD62Llow) infiltration into the heart along with increased circulating aged neutrophils in MI groups with more infiltration at ZT5 (p < 0.05), but no difference for aged neutrophil infiltration at different ZT points in late stage. Infiltrated neutrophils had significantly higher CXCL2 and CXCR2 but lower CXCR4 gene expression (p < 0.05). Mice that underwent ligation at ZT5 had high mortality rate and large infarct size. Echocardiography showed that those mice had significantly larger end diastolic and systolic volume and lower ejection fraction (p < 0.05). Immunohistology revealed that those mice displayed more fibrosis, cardiomyocyte hypertrophy, and less angiogenesis compared to ZT13 or ZT21 group (p < 0.05). However, treatment with anti-CXCL2 antibody significantly reduced LV dilatation, fibrosis, hypertrophy and improved cardiac function. These results indicate greater aged neutrophil infiltration into the heart contributes to cardiac hypertrophy, fibrosis, and dysfunction which suggests that blocking neutrophil aging may be a therapeutic alternative following acute myocardial infarction.

Risk Factors for Opioid Utilization in Patients with Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Headache is a common presenting symptom of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and often necessitates treatment with opioid medications. However, opioid prescribing patterns in patients with ICH are not well described. We aimed to characterize the prevalence and risk factors for short and longer-term opioid use in patients with ICH. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from a single-center registry of patients with nontraumatic ICH. This registry included data on demographics, ICH-related characteristics, and premorbid, inpatient, and postdischarge medications. After excluding patients who died or received end-of-life care, we used multivariable regression models adjusted for premorbid opioid use to determine demographic and ICH-related risk factors for inpatient and postdischarge opioid use. RESULTS: Of 468 patients with ICH in our cohort, 15% (n = 70) had premorbid opioid use, 53% (n = 248) received opioids during hospitalization, and 12% (n = 53) were prescribed opioids at discharge. The most commonly used opioids during hospitalization were fentanyl (38%), oxycodone (30%), morphine (26%), and hydromorphone (7%). Patients who received opioids during hospitalization were younger (univariate: median [interquartile range] 64 [53.5-74] vs. 76 [67-83] years, p < 0.001; multivariable: odds ratio [OR] 0.96 per year, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.94-0.98) and had larger ICH volumes (univariate: median [interquartile range] 10.1 [2.1-28.6] vs. 2.7 [0.8-9.9] cm3, p < 0.001; multivariable: OR 1.05 per cm3, 95% CI 1.03-1.08) than those who did not receive opioids. All patients who had external ventricular drain placement and craniotomy/craniectomy received inpatient opioids. Additional risk factors for increased inpatient opioid use included infratentorial ICH location (OR 4.8, 95% CI 2.3-10.0), presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.2-7.0), underlying vascular lesions (OR 3.0, 95% CI 1.1-8.1), and other secondary ICH etiologies (OR 7.5, 95% CI 1.7-32.8). Vascular lesions (OR 4.0, 95% CI 1.3-12.5), malignancy (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.5-16.4), vasculopathy (OR 10.0, 95% CI 1.8-54.2), and other secondary etiologies (OR 7.2, 95% CI 1.8-29.9) were also risk factors for increased opioid prescriptions at discharge. Among patients who received opioid prescriptions at discharge, 43% (23 of 53) continued to refill their prescriptions at 3 months post discharge. CONCLUSIONS: Inpatient opioid use in patients with ICH is common, with some risk factors that may be mechanistically connected to primary headache pathophysiology. However, the lower frequency of opioid prescriptions at discharge suggests that inpatient opioid use does not necessarily lead to a high rate of long-term opioid dependence in patients with ICH.

Entinostat, a selective HDAC1/2 inhibitor, potentiates the effects of olaparib in homologous recombination proficient ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Poly ADP ribose polymerase inhibitors (PARPi) are most effective in BRCA1/2 mutated ovarian tumors. Better treatments are needed for homologous recombination HR-proficient cancer, including CCNE1 amplified subtypes. We have shown that histone deacetylase inhibitors (HDACi) sensitize HR-proficient ovarian cancer to PARPi. In this study, we provide complementary preclinical data for an investigator-initiated phase 1/2 clinical trial of the combination of olaparib and entinostat in recurrent, HR-proficient ovarian cancer. METHODS: We assessed the in vitro effects of the combination of olaparib and entinostat in SKOV-3, OVCAR-3 and primary cells derived from CCNE1 amplified high grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) patients. We then tested the combination in a SKOV-3 xenograft model and in a patient-derived xenograft (PDX) model. RESULTS: Entinostat potentiates the effect of olaparib in reducing cell viability and clonogenicity of HR-proficient ovarian cancer cells. The combination reduces peritoneal metastases in a SKOV-3 xenograft model and prolongs survival in a CCNE1 amplified HR-proficient PDX model. Entinostat also enhances olaparib-induced DNA damage. Further, entinostat decreases BRCA1, a key HR repair protein, associated with decreased Ki-67, a proliferation marker, and increased cleaved PARP, a marker of apoptosis. Finally, entinostat perturbs replication fork progression, which increases genome instability. CONCLUSION: Entinostat inhibits HR repair by reducing BRCA1 expression and stalling replication fork progression, leading to irreparable DNA damage and ultimate cell death. This work provides preclinical support for the clinical trial of the combination of olaparib and entinostat in HR-proficient ovarian cancer and suggests potential benefit even for CCNE1 amplified subtypes.

One prophage WO gene rescues cytoplasmic incompatibility in Drosophila melanogaster.

Wolbachia are maternally inherited, intracellular bacteria at the forefront of vector control efforts to curb arbovirus transmission. In international field trials, the cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) drive system of wMel Wolbachia is deployed to replace target vector populations, whereby a Wolbachia-induced modification of the sperm genome kills embryos. However, Wolbachia in the embryo rescue the sperm genome impairment, and therefore CI results in a strong fitness advantage for infected females that transmit the bacteria to offspring. The two genes responsible for the wMel-induced sperm modification of CI, cifA and cifB, were recently identified in the eukaryotic association module of prophage WO, but the genetic basis of rescue is unresolved. Here we use transgenic and cytological approaches to demonstrate that maternal cifA expression independently rescues CI and nullifies embryonic death caused by wMel Wolbachia in Drosophila melanogaster Discovery of cifA as the rescue gene and previously one of two CI induction genes establishes a "Two-by-One" model that underpins the genetic basis of CI. Results highlight the central role of prophage WO in shaping Wolbachia phenotypes that are significant to arthropod evolution and vector control.

Hippocampus-associated causal network of structural covariance measuring structural damage progression in temporal lobe epilepsy.

In mesial temporal lobe epilepsy (mTLE), the causal relationship of morphometric alterations between hippocampus and the other regions, that is, how the hippocampal atrophy leads to progressive morphometric alterations in the epileptic network regions remains largely unclear. In this study, a causal network of structural covariance (CaSCN) was proposed to map the causal effects of hippocampal atrophy on the network-based morphometric alterations in mTLE. It was hypothesized that if cross-sectional morphometric MRI data could be attributed temporal information, for example, by sequencing the data according to disease progression information, GCA would be a feasible approach for constructing a CaSCN. Based on a large cohort of mTLE patients (n = 108), the hippocampus-associated CaSCN revealed that the hippocampus and the thalamus were prominent nodes exerting causal effects (i.e., GM reduction) on other regions and that the prefrontal cortex and cerebellum were prominent nodes being subject to causal effects. Intriguingly, compensatory increased gray matter volume in the contralateral temporal region and post cingulate cortex were also detected. The method unraveled richer information for mapping network atrophy in mTLE relative to the traditional methods of stage-specific comparisons and structured covariance network. This study provided new evidence on the network spread mechanism in terms of the causal influence of hippocampal atrophy on progressive brain structural alterations in mTLE. Hum Brain Mapp 38:753-766, 2017. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Clinical study on the factors affecting the post-partum recovery of patients with hypertensive pregnancy disorders at a Chinese hospital.

AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate the post-partum recovery of blood pressure (BP) in women with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) and to evaluate HDP risk factors. METHODS: A total of 124 patients with gestational hypertension (n = 63) or pre-eclampsia (n = 61) who gave birth at Peking University People's Hospital between January and December 2013 were included in this study. The recorded clinical and laboratory parameters included the patients' general information, maternal pre-pregnancy body mass index, gestational weight gain, gestational age at onset and delivery, delivery mode and time taken for BP to return to normal level. Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the influence of various risk factors on post-partum BP recovery. RESULTS: The mean interval for BP normalization was 24.1 ± 22.8 days (median, 7 days). Forty-six percent of the patients recovered from hypertension within three days, and 75% recovered within six weeks of delivery. About 90% of the patients required 60 days for BP to normalize after delivery. After adjusting for confounding factors, post-partum recovery from hypertension was found to be influenced by hypertension severity, maternal serum albumin level, a family history of hypertension and gestational week at delivery. CONCLUSIONS: The BP of the majority of the patients with gestational hypertension or pre-eclampsia returned to normal within 60 days of delivery. Hypertension severity, maternal serum albumin level, a family history of family hypertension and gestational week at delivery influenced the time required for BP normalization.

Community practice patterns for bacterial corneal ulcer evaluation and treatment.

OBJECTIVE: To examine current practice patterns in the management of bacterial keratitis among U.S. ophthalmologists and differences in the management and opinions between cornea specialists and non-cornea specialists. METHODS: A questionnaire was distributed to randomly selected ophthalmologists in July 2011 using an online survey system. It inquired about the number of patients with corneal ulcers seen monthly, frequency of Gram staining and culturing corneal ulcers, maintenance of diagnostic supplies, opinions on when culturing is necessary for corneal ulcers, treatment preferences for different severities of bacterial corneal ulcers, and opinions regarding relative efficacy of fourth-generation fluoroquinolones and fortified broad-spectrum antibiotics. RESULTS: One thousand seven hundred one surveys were distributed, and 486 (28.6%) surveys were returned. A minority of corneal ulcers was Gram stained (23.7%±34.1%, mean±SD) or cultured (35.1%±38.0%), but cornea specialists were more likely to perform both. The most popular antibiotic for the treatment of less severe ulcers was moxifloxacin (55.4%), and the most popular treatment of more severe ulcers was fortified broad-spectrum antibiotics (62.7%). Cornea specialists were significantly more likely than non-cornea specialists to prescribe fortified antibiotics for more severe corneal ulcers (78.1% vs. 53.7%, P<0.0001). A greater number of cornea specialists stated that fourth-generation fluoroquinolones were less effective than fortified antibiotics for the treatment of more severe corneal ulcers (79.6% of cornea specialists vs. 60.9% of non-cornea specialists, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cornea specialists and non-cornea specialists manage bacterial keratitis differently, with cornea specialists more likely to perform diagnostic testing and prescribe fortified broad-spectrum antibiotics for severe bacterial keratitis. Additional prospective studies demonstrating visual outcomes after differential treatment of bacterial keratitis are needed.

Effect of prostaglandin E2 on multidrug resistance transporters in human placental cells.

Prostaglandin (PG) E2, a major product of cyclooxygenase (COX)-2, acts as an immunomodulator at the maternal-fetal interface during pregnancy. It exerts biologic function through interaction with E-prostanoid (EP) receptors localized to the placenta. The activation of the COX-2/PGE2/EP signal pathway can alter the expression of the ATP-binding cassette (ABC) transporters, multidrug resistance protein 1 [P-glycoprotein (Pgp); gene: ABCB1], and breast cancer resistance protein (BCRP; gene: ABCG2), which function to extrude drugs and xenobiotics from cells. In the placenta, PGE2-mediated changes in ABC transporter expression could impact fetal drug exposure. Furthermore, understanding the signaling cascades involved could lead to strategies for the control of Pgp and BCRP expression levels. We sought to determine the impact of PGE2 signaling mechanisms on Pgp and BCRP in human placental cells. The treatment of placental cells with PGE2 up-regulated BCRP expression and resulted in decreased cellular accumulation of the fluorescent substrate Hoechst 33342. Inhibiting the EP1 and EP3 receptors with specific antagonists attenuated the increase in BCRP. EP receptor signaling results in activation of transcription factors, which can affect BCRP expression. Although PGE2 decreased nuclear factor κ-light chain-enhancer of activated B activation and increased activator protein 1, chemical inhibition of these inflammatory transcription factors did not blunt BCRP up-regulation by PGE2. Though PGE2 decreased Pgp mRNA, Pgp expression and function were not significantly altered. Overall, these findings suggest a possible role for PGE2 in the up-regulation of placental BCRP expression via EP1 and EP3 receptor signaling cascades.

The receptor binding specificity of the live attenuated influenza H2 and H6 vaccine viruses contributes to vaccine immunogenicity and protection in ferrets.

To prepare for influenza pandemics that may be caused by the H2 and H6 subtype influenza viruses, live attenuated influenza virus (LAIV) H2 and H6 vaccines are being developed and evaluated. The H2 and H6 vaccine candidates with different receptor binding preferences specified by amino acid substitutions at residues 226 and 228 were generated and evaluated for their growth in embryonated chicken eggs and their immunogenicity and protection against wild-type virus challenge in the ferret model. The viruses containing Q226 and G228 in the hemagglutinin (HA) protein bound to the avian-like α2,3-sialic acid (SA) receptor and replicated efficiently in chicken eggs. The viruses with L226 and G228 bound preferentially to the human-like α2,6-SA receptor. The viruses containing L226 and S228 displayed dual binding to both α2,3-SA and α2,6-SA receptors and replicated efficiently in eggs. The strains containing L226/G228 or L226/S228 that preferentially bound to α2,6-SA receptors replicated efficiently in the upper respiratory tract of ferrets, induced high levels of neutralizing antibody, and conferred a high level of protection against wild-type virus challenge infection compared to the strain with the Q226/G228 residues. Our data suggest that pandemic vaccines with receptor binding preference to both avian- and human-like receptors might be desired for efficient viral replication in eggs and for inducing protective immune responses in humans.

Modulation of farnesoid X receptor results in post-translational modification of poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase 1 in the liver.

The farnesoid X receptor (FXR) is a bile acid-activated transcription factor belonging to the nuclear receptor superfamily. FXR deficiency in mice results in cholestasis, metabolic disorders, and tumorigenesis in liver and intestine. FXR is known to contribute to pathogenesis by regulating gene transcription; however, changes in the post-transcriptional modification of proteins associated with FXR modulation have not been determined. In the current study, proteomic analysis of the livers of wild-type (WT) and FXR knockout (FXR-KO) mice treated with a FXR synthetic ligand or vehicle was performed. The results identified five proteins as novel FXR targets. Since FXR deficiency in mice leads to liver tumorigenesis, poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase family, member 1 (Parp1) that is important for DNA repair, was validated in the current study by quantitative real-time PCR, and 1- and 2-dimensional gel electrophoresis/western blot. The results showed that Parp1 mRNA levels were not altered by FXR genetic status or by agonist treatment. However, total Parp1 protein levels were increased in FXR-KO mice as early as 3 month old. Interestingly, total Parp1 protein levels were increased in WT mice in an age-dependent manner (from 3 to 18 months), but not in FXR-KO mice. Finally, activation of FXR in WT mice resulted in reduction of phosporylated Parp1 protein in the liver without affecting total Parp1 protein levels. In conclusion, this study reveals that FXR genetic status and agonist treatment affects basal levels and phosphorylation state of Parp1, respectively. These alterations, in turn, may be associated with the hepatobiliary alterations observed in FXR-KO mice and participate in FXR agonist-induced protection in the liver.

Basket trials in oncology: a systematic review of practices and methods, comparative analysis of innovative methods, and an appraisal of a missed opportunity.

Background: Basket trials are increasingly used in oncology drug development for early signal detection, accelerated tumor-agnostic approvals, and prioritization of promising tumor types in selected patients with the same mutation or biomarker. Participants are grouped into so-called baskets according to tumor type, allowing investigators to identify tumors with promising responses to treatment for further study. However, it remains a question as to whether and how much the adoption of basket trial designs in oncology have translated into patient benefits, increased pace and scale of clinical development, and de-risking of downstream confirmatory trials. Methods: Innovation in basket trial design and analysis includes methods that borrow information across tumor types to increase the quality of statistical inference within each tumor type. We build on the existing systematic reviews of basket trials in oncology to discuss the current practices and landscape. We conceptually illustrate recent innovative methods for basket trials, with application to actual data from recently completed basket trials. We explore and discuss the extent to which innovative basket trials can be used to de-risk future trials through their ability to aid prioritization of promising tumor types for subsequent clinical development. Results: We found increasing adoption of basket trial design in oncology, but largely in the design of single-arm phase II trials with a very low adoption of innovative statistical methods. Furthermore, the current practice of basket trial design, which does not consider its impact on the clinical development plan, may lead to a missed opportunity in improving the probability of success of a future trial. Gating phase II with a phase Ib basket trial reduced the size of phase II trials, and losses in the probability of success as a result of not using innovative methods may not be recoverable by running a larger phase II trial. Conclusion: Innovative basket trial methods can reduce the size of early phase clinical trials, with sustained improvement in the probability of success of the clinical development plan. We need to do more as a community to improve the adoption of these methods.

Association of Minimal Residual Disease Negativity Rates With Progression Free Survival in Frontline Therapy Trials for Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma: A Meta-analysis.

Current frontline therapies for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients have significantly prolonged progression-free survival (PFS). This has led to interest in minimal residual disease negativity (MRDng) as an efficacy-response biomarker and possible surrogate endpoint. A meta-analysis was conducted to explore the surrogacy of MRD for PFS and quantify the relationship between MRDng rates and PFS at the trial level. A systematic search was conducted on phase II and III trials reporting MRDng rates along with median PFS (mPFS) or PFS hazard ratios (HR). Weighted linear regressions were conducted relating mPFS to MRDng rates, and relating PFS HRs to either odds ratios (OR) or rate differences (RD) for MRDng in comparative trials. A total of 14 trials were available for the mPFS analysis. log(MRDng rate) was moderately associated with log (mPFS), with a slope of ß = 0.37 (95% CI, 0.26 to 0.48) and R2 = 0.62. A total of 13 trials were available for the PFS HR analysis. Treatment effects on MRDng rates were correlated with the corresponding effects on PFS: log (PFS HR) and log (MRDng OR) had a moderate association with ß = -0.36 (95% CI, -0.56 to -0.17) and R2 = 0.53 (95% CI, 0.21 to 0.77); log (PFS HR) and the MRDng RD had a stronger association with slope ß = -0.03 (95% CI, -0.04 to -0.02) and R2 = 0.67 (95% CI, 0.31 to 0.86). MRDng rates moderately associate with PFS outcomes. MRDng RDs are more strongly associated with HRs than MRDng ORs, with evidence suggestive of potential surrogacy.

Maternal Plasma RNA in First Trimester Nullipara for the Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth ≤ 32 Weeks: Validation Study.

The first-trimester prediction of spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) has been elusive, and current screening is heavily dependent on obstetric history. However, nullipara lack a relevant history and are at higher risk for spontaneous (s)PTB ≤ 32 weeks compared to multipara. No available objective first-trimester screening test has proven a fair predictor of sPTB ≤ 32 weeks. We questioned whether a panel of maternal plasma cell-free (PCF) RNAs (PSME2, NAMPT, APOA1, APOA4, and Hsa-Let-7g) previously validated at 16-20 weeks for the prediction of sPTB ≤ 32 weeks might be useful in first-trimester nullipara. Sixty (60) nulliparous women (40 with sPTB ≤ 32 weeks) who were free of comorbidities were randomly selected from the King's College Fetal Medicine Research Institute biobank. Total PCF RNA was extracted and the expression of panel RNAs was quantitated by qRT-PCR. The analysis employed, primarily, multiple regression with the main outcome being the prediction of subsequent sPTB ≤ 32 weeks. The test performance was judged by the area under the curve (AUC) using a single threshold cut point with observed detection rates (DRs) at three fixed false positive rates (FPR). The mean gestation was 12.9 ± 0.5 weeks (range 12.0-14.1 weeks). Two RNAs were differentially expressed in women destined for sPTB ≤ 32 weeks: APOA1 (p < 0.001) and PSME2 (p = 0.05). APOA1 testing at 11-14 weeks predicted sPTB ≤ 32 weeks with fair to good accuracy. The best predictive model generated an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.66-0.91) with observed DRs of 41%, 61%, and 79% for FPRs of 10%, 20%, and 30%, including crown-rump length, maternal weight, race, tobacco use, and age.

Model-based meta-analysis of non-small cell lung cancer with standard of care PD-1 inhibitors and chemotherapy for early development decision making.

Single-arm cohorts/trials are often used in early phase oncology programs to support preliminary clinical activity assessments for investigational products, administered alone or in combination with standard of care (SOC) agents. Benchmarking clinical activity of those combinations against other treatments, including SOC, requires indirect comparisons against external trials, which presents challenges including cross-study differences in trial populations/other factors. To facilitate such nonrandomized comparisons, we developed a comprehensive model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) framework to quantitatively adjust for factors related to efficacy in metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC). Data were derived from 15 published studies assessing key programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors pembrolizumab (n = 8) and nivolumab (n = 7), representing current SOC in mNSCLC. In the first stage, a mixed-effects logistic regression model for overall response rate (ORR) was developed accounting for effects of various population covariates on ORR. The ORR model results indicated an odds ratio (OR) of 1.02 for squamous versus non-squamous histology and OR of 1.20 for PD-ligand 1 tumor proportion score (TPS) per every 10% increase of TPS level. Next, a nonparametric mixed-effects model for overall survival (OS) was developed with ORR/other clinical covariates as input. Subsequently, MBMA simulations of relevant hypothetical scenarios involving single-arm trial design predicted OS hazard ratios as a function of ORR with matched patient characteristics. Findings from this MBMA and derived parameter estimates can be generally applied by the reader as a framework for interpreting efficacy data from early phase trials to support ORR-based go/no-go decisions and futility rules, illustrated through examples in this report.

First-in-human phase I study of the OX40 agonist GSK3174998 with or without pembrolizumab in patients with selected advanced solid tumors (ENGAGE-1).

BACKGROUND: The phase I first-in-human study ENGAGE-1 evaluated the humanized IgG1 OX40 agonistic monoclonal antibody GSK3174998 alone (Part 1 (P1)) or in combination with pembrolizumab (Part 2 (P2)) in patients with advanced solid tumors. METHODS: GSK3174998 (0.003-10 mg/kg) ± pembrolizumab (200 mg) was administered intravenously every 3 weeks using a continuous reassessment method for dose escalation. Primary objectives were safety and tolerability; secondary objectives included pharmacokinetics, immunogenicity, pharmacodynamics, and clinical activity. RESULTS: 138 patients were enrolled (45 (P1) and 96 (P2, including 3 crossovers)). Treatment-related adverse events occurred in 51% (P1) and 64% (P2) of patients, fatigue being the most common (11% and 24%, respectively). No dose-toxicity relationship was observed, and maximum-tolerated dose was not reached. Dose-limiting toxicities (P2) included Grade 3 (G3) pleural effusion and G1 myocarditis with G3 increased troponin. GSK3174998 ≥0.3 mg/kg demonstrated pharmacokinetic linearity and >80% receptor occupancy on circulating T cells; 0.3 mg/kg was selected for further evaluation. Limited clinical activity was observed for GSK3174998 (P1: disease control rate (DCR) ≥24 weeks 9%) and was not greater than that expected for pembrolizumab alone (P2: overall response rate 8%, DCR ≥24 weeks 28%). Multiplexed immunofluorescence data from paired biopsies suggested that increased infiltration of natural killer (NK)/natural killer T (NKT) cells and decreased regulatory T cells (Tregs) in the tumor microenvironment may contribute to clinical responses: CD16+CD56-CD134+ NK /NKT cells and CD3+CD4+FOXP3+CD134+ Tregs exhibited the largest magnitude of change on treatment, whereas CD3+CD8+granzyme B+PD-1+CD134+ cytotoxic T cells were the least variable. Tumor gene expression profiling revealed an upregulation of inflammatory responses, T-cell proliferation, and NK cell function on treatment with some inflammatory cytokines upregulated in peripheral blood. However, target engagement, evidenced by pharmacologic activity in peripheral blood and tumor tissue, did not correlate with clinical efficacy. The low number of responses precluded identifying a robust biomarker signature predictive of response. CONCLUSIONS: GSK3174998±pembrolizumab was well tolerated over the dose range tested and demonstrated target engagement. Limited clinical activity does not support further development of GSK3174998±pembrolizumab in advanced cancers. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02528357.

Parallel Binary Image Cryptosystem Via Spiking Neural Networks Variants.

Due to the inefficiency of multiple binary images encryption, a parallel binary image encryption framework based on the typical variants of spiking neural networks, spiking neural P (SNP) systems is proposed in this paper. More specifically, the two basic units in the proposed image cryptosystem, the permutation unit and the diffusion unit, are designed through SNP systems with multiple channels and polarizations (SNP-MCP systems), and SNP systems with astrocyte-like control (SNP-ALC systems), respectively. Different from the serial computing of the traditional image permutation/diffusion unit, SNP-MCP-based permutation/SNP-ALC-based diffusion unit can realize parallel computing through the parallel use of rules inside the neurons. Theoretical analysis results confirm the high efficiency of the binary image proposed cryptosystem. Security analysis experiments demonstrate the security of the proposed cryptosystem.

Detection of Embryonic Trisomy 21 in the First Trimester Using Maternal Plasma Cell-Free RNA.

Prenatal trisomy 21 (T21) screening commonly involves testing a maternal blood sample for fetal DNA aneuploidy. It is reliable but poses a cost barrier to universal screening. We hypothesized maternal plasma RNA screening might provide similar reliability but at a lower cost. Discovery experiments used plasma cell-free RNA from 20 women 11−13 weeks tested by RNA and miRNA microarrays followed by qRT-PCR. Thirty-six mRNAs and 18 small RNAs of the discovery cDNA were identified by qPCR as potential markers of embryonic T21. The second objective was validation of the RNA predictors in 998 independent pregnancies at 11−13 weeks including 50 T21. Initial analyses identified 9−15 differentially expressed RNA with modest predictive power (AUC < 0.70). The 54 RNAs were then subjected to machine learning. Eleven algorithms were trained on one partition and tested on an independent partition. The three best algorithms were identified by Kappa score and the effects of training/testing partition size and dataset class imbalance on prediction were evaluated. Six to ten RNAs predicted T21 with AUCs up to 1.00. The findings suggest that maternal plasma collected at 11−13 weeks, tested by qRT-PCR, and classified by machine learning, may accurately predict T21 for a lower cost than plasma DNA, thus opening the door to universal screening.