Updated cost-effectiveness and risk-benefit analysis of two infant rotavirus vaccination strategies in a high-income, low-endemic setting.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Since 2013, a biennial rotavirus pattern has emerged in the Netherlands with alternating high and low endemic years and a nearly 50% reduction in rotavirus hospitalization rates overall, while infant rotavirus vaccination has remained below 1% throughout. As the rotavirus vaccination cost-effectiveness and risk-benefit ratio in high-income settings is highly influenced by the total rotavirus disease burden, we re-evaluated two infant vaccination strategies, taking into account this recent change in rotavirus epidemiology. METHODS: We used updated rotavirus disease burden estimates derived from (active) surveillance to evaluate (1) a targeted strategy with selective vaccination of infants with medical risk conditions (prematurity, low birth weight, or congenital conditions) and (2) universal vaccination including all infants. In addition, we added herd protection as well as vaccine-induced intussusception risk to our previous cost-effectiveness model. An age- and risk-group structured, discrete-time event, stochastic multi-cohort model of the Dutch pediatric population was used to estimate the costs and effects of each vaccination strategy. RESULTS: The targeted vaccination was cost-saving under all scenarios tested from both the healthcare payer and societal perspective at rotavirus vaccine market prices (€135/child). The cost-effectiveness ratio for universal vaccination was €51,277 at the assumed vaccine price of €75/child, using a societal perspective and 3% discount rates. Universal vaccination became cost-neutral at €32/child. At an assumed vaccine-induced intussusception rate of 1/50,000, an estimated 1707 hospitalizations and 21 fatal rotavirus cases were averted by targeted vaccination per vaccine-induced intussusception case. Applying universal vaccination, an additional 571 hospitalizations and <  1 additional rotavirus death were averted in healthy children per vaccine-induced intussusception case. CONCLUSION: While universal infant rotavirus vaccination results in the highest reductions in the population burden of rotavirus, targeted vaccination should be considered as a cost-saving alternative with a favorable risk-benefit ratio for high-income settings where universal implementation is unfeasible because of budget restrictions, low rotavirus endemicity, and/or public acceptance.

Health-care providers' perspectives on childhood cancer treatment in Manado, Indonesia.

BACKGROUND: Childhood cancer survival in low-income countries is low. OBJECTIVE: Our study investigated health-care providers' perspectives on childhood cancer treatment in Indonesia. Their health beliefs and attitudes toward parental financial difficulties, protocol adherence, parental education, and communication were explored. METHODS: A self-administered questionnaire was filled in by 222 health-care providers (156 doctors, 51 nurses, 6 social workers, 9 administrators) RESULTS: Health of children with cancer is beyond doctor's control and determined by luck, fate or God according to 35% of health-care providers, 30% were uncertain about this statement, and 35% disagreed. Combination of chemotherapy and alternative treatment is best to achieve cure according to 15% of health-care providers, 50% were uncertain, and 35% disagreed. Prosperous parents adhere better with treatment (67%). Doctors adhere better with cancer treatment for prosperous patients (55%). When dealing with poor families, less elaborate explanation is given (62%), more difficult vocabulary is used (49%), and less cooperation is offered (46%). Reasons for non-adherence with treatment protocol were as follows: financial difficulties parents (82%), side-effects (77%), lack of motivation parents (75%), and inadequate drugs supply at pharmacy (70%). Information about cancer and treatment makes parents more afraid or depressed about future, and parents prefer not to know according to 27% of health-care providers, 20% were uncertain, and 53% disagreed. Communication with parents is hindered by differences in status and social hierarchical structures (83%). CONCLUSIONS: Health-care providers' beliefs about childhood cancer treatment are characterized by much uncertainty and contradiction. This likely affects adherence of health-care providers, parents, and childhood cancer treatment outcome.

Impact analysis of rotavirus vaccination in various geographic regions in Western Europe.

BACKGROUND: Universal mass vaccination (UMV) against rotavirus has been implemented in many but not all European countries. This study investigated the impact of UMV on rotavirus incidence trends by comparing European countries with UMV: Belgium, England/Wales and Germany versus countries without UMV: Denmark and the Netherlands. METHODS: For this observational retrospective cohort study, time series data (2001-2016) on rotavirus detections, meteorological factors and population demographics were collected. For each country, several meteorological and population factors were investigated as possible predictors of rotavirus incidence. The final set of predictors were incorporated in negative binomial models accounting for seasonality and serial autocorrelation, and time-varying incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated for each age group and country separately. The overall vaccination impact two years after vaccine implementation was estimated by pooling the results using a random effects meta-analyses. Independent t-tests were used to compare annual epidemics in the pre-vaccination and post-vaccination era to explore any changes in the timing of rotavirus epidemics. RESULTS: The population size and several meteorological factors were predictors for the rotavirus epidemiology. Overall, we estimated a 42% (95%-CI 23;56%) reduction in rotavirus incidence attributable to UMV. Strongest reductions were observed for age-groups 0-, 1- and 2-years (IRR 0.47, 0.48 and 0.63, respectively). No herd effect induced by UMV in neighbouring countries was observed. In all UMV countries, the start and/or stop and corresponding peak of the rotavirus season was delayed by 4-7 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: The introduction of rotavirus UMV resulted in an overall reduction of 42% in rotavirus incidence in Western European countries two years after vaccine introduction and caused a change in seasonal pattern. No herd effect induced by UMV neighbouring countries was observed for Denmark and the Netherlands.

Long-term results of a randomized trial comparing breast-conserving therapy with mastectomy: European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer 10801 trial.

BACKGROUND: Breast-conserving therapy (BCT) has been shown to be as effective as mastectomy in the treatment of tumors 2 cm or smaller. However, evidence of its efficacy, over the long term, in patients with tumors larger than 2 cm is limited. From May 1980 to May 1986, the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer carried out a randomized, multicenter trial comparing BCT with modified radical mastectomy for patients with tumors up to 5 cm. In this analysis, we investigated whether the treatments resulted in different overall survival, time to distant metastasis, or time to locoregional recurrence. METHODS: Of 868 eligible breast cancer patients randomly assigned to the BCT arm or to the modified radical mastectomy arm, 80% had a tumor of 2.1-5 cm. BCT comprised lumpectomy with an attempted margin of 1 cm of healthy tissue and complete axillary clearance, followed by radiotherapy to the breast and a supplementary dose to the tumor bed. The median follow-up was 13.4 years. All P values are two-sided. RESULTS: At 10 years, there was no difference between the two groups in overall survival (66% for the mastectomy patients and 65% for the BCT patients; P =.11) or in their distant metastasis-free rates (66% for the mastectomy patients and 61% for the BCT patients; P =.24). The rate of locoregional recurrence (occurring before or at the same time as distant metastasis) at 10 years did show a statistically significant difference (12% of the mastectomy and 20% of the BCT patients; P =. 01). CONCLUSIONS: BCT and mastectomy demonstrate similar survival rates in a trial in which the great majority of the patients had stage II breast cancer.

Differences in risk factors for local and distant recurrence after breast-conserving therapy or mastectomy for stage I and II breast cancer: pooled results of two large European randomized trials.

PURPOSE: Risk factors for local and distant recurrence after breast-conserving therapy and mastectomy were compared to define guidelines for the decision making between both treatments. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The data of two randomized clinical trials for stage I and II breast cancer patients were pooled. The total number of patients in the study was 1,772, of whom 879 underwent breast conservation, and 893, modified radical mastectomy. Representative slides of the primary tumor were available for histopathologic review in 1,610 cases (91%). RESULTS: There were 79 patients with local recurrence after breast-conservation and 80 after mastectomy, the 10-year rates being 10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 8% to 13%) and 9% (95% CI, 7% to 12%), respectively. Age no more than 35 years (compared with age >60: hazard ratio [HR], 9.24; 95% CI, 3.74 to 22.81) and an extensive intraductal component (HR, 2.52; 95% CI, 1.26 to 5.00) were significantly associated with an increased risk of local recurrence after breast-conserving therapy. Vascular invasion was predictive of the risk of local recurrence, irrespective of the type of primary treatment (P <.01). Tumor size, nodal status, high histologic grade, and vascular invasion were all highly significant predictors of distant disease after breast-conserving therapy and mastectomy (P <.01). Age no more than 35 years and microscopic involvement of the excision margin were additional independent predictors of distant disease after breast-conserving therapy (P <.01). CONCLUSION: Age no more than 35 years and the presence of an extensive intraductal component are associated with an increased risk of local recurrence after breast-conserving therapy. Vascular invasion causes a higher risk of local recurrence after mastectomy as well as after breast-conserving therapy and should therefore not be used for deciding between the two treatments.

Telephone-based nursing intervention improves the effectiveness of the informed consent process in cancer clinical trials.

PURPOSE: Here we report the results of a randomized study undertaken to test the efficacy of a supplementary, telephone-based nursing intervention in increasing patients' awareness and understanding of the clinical trials in which they are asked to participate. METHODS: During a 12-month period, 180 cancer patients who were approached to participate in a phase II or III clinical trial were randomized to undergo either of the following: (1) standard informed consent procedures based on verbal explanations from the treating physician plus written information (controls); or (2) standard informed consent procedures plus a supplementary, telephone-based contact with an oncology nurse (intervention). For purposes of evaluation, face-to-face interviews were conducted with all patients approximately 1 week after the informed consent process had been completed. RESULTS: The two groups were comparable with regard to sociodemographic and clinical variables. Both groups had a high level of awareness of the diagnosis and of the nature and objectives of the proposed treatments. The intervention group was significantly (P < .01) better informed about the following: (1) the risks and side effects of treatment; (2) the clinical trial context of the treatment; (3) the objectives of the clinical trial; (4) where relevant, the use of randomization in allocating treatment; (5) the availability of alternative treatments; (6) the voluntary nature of participation; and (7) the right to withdraw from the clinical trial. The intervention did not have any significant effect on patients' anxiety levels or on rates of clinical trial participation. Patients reported high levels of satisfaction with the intervention. CONCLUSION: The use of a supplementary, telephone-based nursing intervention is a feasible and effective means to increase cancer patients' awareness and understanding of the salient issues that surround the clinical trials in which they are asked to participate.

Randomized clinical trial to assess the value of breast-conserving therapy in stage I and II breast cancer, EORTC 10801 trial.

In a prospective randomized clinical trial conducted by the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC), mastectomy was compared with breast-conserving therapy in 903 stage I and stage II breast cancer patients entering the study between 1980 and 1986. The main participating centers were: Guy's Hospital, London; The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam; University Hospital, Leuven; Radiotherapy Institute, Rotterdam; Breast Unit, Tijgerberg, S.A. The data were collected in the EORTC Data Center, Brussels. Treatment in the study arm consisted of lumpectomy, axillary clearance, and radiotherapy to the breast (50 Gy external irradiation in 5 weeks followed by boost with iridium implant of 25 Gy). Important in this study is the large number of TNM stage II patients (755). Most patients were stage II because of the size of the tumor (2-5 cm). The patient and tumor characteristics in the study and control groups were well balanced. So far the survival curves and local recurrence rates are not statistically different for the two study arms. Tumor size was found in univariate analysis to be a significant risk factor for local recurrence in the breast-conserving therapy group but not in the mastectomy group. Results of salvage treatment for local recurrence were not better for the breast-conserving therapy group compared with the mastectomy group. Measurements of quality of life and cosmesis show a clear benefit for the breast-conserving therapy group.

Factors influencing local relapse and survival and results of salvage treatment after breast-conserving therapy in operable breast cancer: EORTC trial 10801, breast conservation compared with mastectomy in TNM stage I and II breast cancer.

A (modified) radical mastectomy (RM) was compared with breast-conserving therapy (BCT) in stage I and stage II breast cancer patients. Treatment of the study arm comprised lumpectomy, axillary clearance and radiotherapy to the breast (50 Gy in 5 weeks external irradiation and a boost with iridium implant of 25 Gy). 902 patients were included. There were 734 TNM stage II patients. Patients with microscopically incomplete excision of the tumour were not excluded. After a median follow-up of 6 years, overall survival and local recurrence rates do not differ significantly between the two study arms. Actuarial survival at 8 years was 73% after RM and 71% after BCT; actuarial local recurrence at 8 years was 9% and 15%, respectively. In the mastectomy group tumour size did not affect local relapse, but after BCT the incidence of local recurrences was higher for tumours of 2-5 cm (16%) than for smaller tumours (7%) (at 8 years, P = 0.08). Results of salvage treatment for local recurrence so far were similar in both the BCT and the mastectomy group.

Reasons for non-entry of patients with DCIS of the breast into a randomised trial (EORTC 10853).

In EORTC trial 10853, patients with histologically confirmed surgical clearance of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) are being randomised to observation alone or to receive external radiation to the breast (50 Gy). So far, 190 patients have been entered from 27 centres. An analysis has been conducted of patients with DCIS presenting to 6 of the participating hospitals. Within these centres there was a total of 216 patients with biopsy confirmed DCIS, without invasion, between 1985 and 1989. However only 77 (36%) were entered into the trial. The major reason for non-entry was that DCIS was too extensive (76/139, 55%), so that in situ disease extended to the margins of excision. Other reasons for exclusion included prior breast cancer (18%), delay in histological diagnosis (6%) and a lump measuring more than 3 cm in diameter (4%). Only 6 patients (4%) refused to take part in the trial. Thus the eventual results of the trial may be applicable only to a minority of patients with DCIS.

Results of a double perfusion schedule with melphalan in patients with melanoma of the lower limb.

From 1985 to 1990 43 patients with measurable locally inoperable or recurrent melanoma of the lower limb were treated according to a double perfusion schedule. The dose of melphalan given in the first perfusion was low (6 mg/l; 1 h; normothermic) in order to make it possible to carry out a second perfusion (9 mg/l; 1 h; normothermic) with a planned short interval of 3-4 weeks. The toxicity after the first perfusion was slight; after the second it was higher with a Wieberdink grade III reaction in 15 patients. A clinical complete remission (CR) was seen in 33 patients (77%) and a partial one in 6 patients. 16 of the 33 patients with a CR recurred in the perfused area after 5 months (range 1-29); the others remained limb recurrence-free (7-44+ months). The overall 3-year survival rate is 50%, 19 patients are alive with no evidence of disease. The double perfusion schedule shows a high CR rate, an acceptable toxicity and is technically feasible.

The prognostic significance of the axillary apex biopsy in clinically operable breast cancer.

To evaluate the prognostic significance of the axillary apex biopsy and its impact on clinical practice, a retrospective analysis was performed in 875 patients with clinically operable breast cancer who underwent this procedure from 1977 to 1985 (165 TNM stage I; 512 TNM stage II; 198 TNM stage IIIA). Apex biopsy is performed as a staging procedure. Apex biopsy positive patients are treated by radiotherapy alone, while apex biopsy negative patients are treated with breast conserving therapy or mastectomy, both including complete axillary dissection. The apex biopsy was tumour positive in 4% of TNM stage I patients; 17% of stage II patients and 40% of stage IIIA patients. Among patients with clinically node-negative disease, the apex biopsy was positive in 12%; in patients with palpable suspected lymph nodes this figure was 45%. Actuarial 8 y survival rates for patients with stage I, II and III disease and a negative apex biopsy were 83, 70 and 50%, respectively. The corresponding figures for patients with a positive apex biopsy were 60, 28 and 14%. In a multivariate analysis, a positive apex biopsy, clinical N classification and T classification were independent prognostic factors for survival (P < 0.0001). We conclude that a positive apex biopsy is rare in clinical stage I breast cancer, and that in patients with TNM stage II and III disease the procedure is an important tool to assess prognosis pre-operatively.

Clinical heterogeneity of hereditary breast cancer and its impact on screening protocols: the Dutch experience on 24 families under surveillance.

We investigated 24 families who satisfied a set of criteria for hereditary breast cancer. Five families had only breast cancer, four a combination of breast and ovarian cancer and the remaining 15 had also a variety of other cancers. The families include 86 patients, 78 of which had a malignant tumour and the rest had a benign lesion in the breast. The median age at diagnosis of the breast cancer was 47 years. Three of the 24 families were of a late onset variant. 58 of the 86 patients were symptomatic while 18 were identified during presymptomatic screening because of a positive family history. In 10 cases the reason for referral was not known. 56 of the symptomatic patients had a malignant breast lesion, 52% of which were with lymph node metastasis whereas 12 of the screening group had breast cancer with 2 patients showing lymph node involvement (P = 0.06). 22 of the symptomatic patients and none of the screening patients died of breast cancer after a median observation period of 6 and 7 years, respectively (P < 0.05).

Prognosis after treatment for loco-regional recurrence after mastectomy or breast conserving therapy in two randomised trials (EORTC 10801 and DBCG-82TM). EORTC Breast Cancer Cooperative Group and the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group.

The aim of this study was to investigate and compare the prognosis after treatment for loco-regional recurrences (LR) after (modified) radical mastectomy (MRM) or breast conserving therapy (BCT), in terms of overall survival and time to subsequent LR, in patients originally treated in two European randomised trials. In EORTC trial 10801 and DBCG trial 82-TM, 1,807 patients with stage I and II breast cancer were randomised to receive MRM or BCT from 1980 to 1989. All patients with a LR in these trials were analysed for survival and time to subsequent LR after salvage treatment. Of these, 133 patients had their LR as a first event, the majority within 5 years after initial treatment. The prognostic significance for survival and time to subsequent LR after salvage treatment was analysed in uni-, and multivariate analyses for a number of original tumour- and recurrence-related variables. After salvage treatment of LR after MRM or BCT, actuarial survival curves and the actuarial locoregional control curves were similar. The 5-year survival rates were 58% and 59% and the 5-year subsequent loco-regional control rates 62% and 63%, respectively. In a multivariate analysis, pN category (P = 0.03), pT category (P = 0.01) and vascular invasion (P = 0.02) of the primary tumour were the only independent prognostic factors for survival, whereas extensive LR (P < 0.001), interval < or = 2 years (P < 0.002) and pN+ at primary treatment (P = 0.004) were significant predictive factors for time to subsequent LR. The type of original treatment (MRM or BCT) did not have any prognostic impact. It is concluded that the survival and time to subsequent LR after treatment for an early loco-regional recurrence after MRM or BCT was similar in these two European randomised trials. This suggests that both after MRM and BCT an early LR is an indicator of a biologically aggressive tumour; early loco-regional relapse carries a poor prognosis and salvage treatment only cures a limited number of patients, whether treated by MRM or BCT originally.

Validation of the methods of cosmetic assessment after breast-conserving therapy in the EORTC "boost versus no boost" trial. EORTC Radiotherapy and Breast Cancer Cooperative Groups. European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer.

PURPOSE: To evaluate both qualitative and quantitative scoring methods for the cosmetic result after breast-conserving therapy (BCT), and to compare the usefulness and reliability of these methods. METHODS AND MATERIALS: In EORTC trial 22881/10882, stage I and II breast cancer patients were treated with tumorectomy and axillary dissection. A total of 5318 patients were randomized between no boost and a boost of 16 Gy following whole-breast irradiation of 50 Gy. The cosmetic result was assessed for 731 patients in two ways. A panel scored the qualitative appearance of the breast using photographs taken after surgery and 3 years later. Digitizer measurements of the displacement of the nipple were also made using these photographs in order to calculate the breast retraction assessment (BRA). The cosmetic results after 3-year follow-up were used to analyze the correlation between the panel evaluation and digitizer measurements. RESULTS: For the panel evaluation the intraobserver agreement for the global cosmetic score as measured by the simple Kappa statistic was 0.42, considered moderate agreement. The multiple Kappa statistic for interobserver agreement for the global cosmetic score was 0.28, considered fair agreement. The specific cosmetic items scored by the panel were all significantly related to the global cosmetic score; breast size and shape influenced the global score most. For the digitizer measurements, the standard deviation from the average value of 30.0 mm was 2.3 mm (7.7%) for the intraobserver variability and 2.6 mm (8.7%) for the interobserver variability. The two methods were significantly, though moderately, correlated; some items scored by the panel were only correlated to the digitizer measurements if the tumor was not located in the inferior quadrant of the breast. CONCLUSIONS: The intra- and interobserver variability of the digitizer evaluation of cosmesis was smaller than that of the panel evaluation. However, there are some treatment sequelae, such as disturbing scars and skin changes, that can not be evaluated by BRA measurements. Therefore, the methods of cosmetic evaluation used in a study must be chosen in a way that balances reliability and comprehensiveness.

The impact of tumor size and histology on local control after breast-conserving therapy.

To investigate possible contraindications for breast-conserving therapy (BCT) a retrospective clinicopathological study was carried out in 585 patients treated conservatively in The Netherlands Cancer Institute from 1979 to 1984. The local recurrence rate in the breast was 2% at 6 years and was similar in stages I and II breast cancer. Invasive cancer with extensive ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) component appeared to be the only main prognostic factor when local failure in the breast was considered. A multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size, microscopically incomplete excision of the primary tumor and age did not have a significant influence on local control alone, when this was corrected for extensive DCIS. When breast and axillary recurrences were taken together, age and extensive DCIS component appeared to be two independent prognostic factors according to a multivariate analysis. Especially patients younger than 40 years with an extensive DCIS component had a higher locoregional recurrence rate.

Primary radiotherapy of breast cancer: treatment results in locally advanced breast cancer and in operable patients selected by positive axillary apex biopsy.

To evaluate the efficacy of radiotherapy without surgery, treatment results in patients treated for locally advanced breast cancer (n = 209) and those selected by positive axillary apex biopsy (n = 289) in the period between 1977 and 1985 have been analysed retrospectively. Treatment consisted of primary irradiation to the breast and regional lymph nodes followed by a boost to the primary breast tumour and palpable regional disease to a mean normalised total dose (NTD) of 64.7 Gy with a range of 33.4-93 Gy (2 Gy fractions, alpha/beta = 5 Gy). Adjuvant systemic treatment was given in 30% of the locally advanced and in 40% of the apex positive patients. Thirty percent of the apex positive patients had an excisional biopsy of the breast tumour. By multivariate analysis a prognostic index is constructed for locoregional control, overall survival and distant disease-free interval. Primary tumour size and clinical nodal status are independent prognostic factors for locoregional control. Based on the prognostic index for local control four different groups can be identified with 5 year local control rates varying from 47 to 86%. Patients treated with adjuvant chemotherapy and patients irradiated to a NTD of 60 Gy or more had significantly better local control. For overall survival primary tumour size, clinical nodal size and age are independent prognostic factors. Patients irradiated to a NTD above 60 Gy had significantly better results. Survival according to the prognostic index for survival varies between 20 and 50% at 5 years for the four groups subdivided according to the index for survival. Primary tumour size, clinical node size and age are independent prognostic factors for distant disease-free interval. Patients treated with adjuvant hormonal therapy had significantly better results. In the four groups subdivided according to the prognostic index for distant disease-free interval results vary from 17 to 30% at 5 years.

Cancer screening in the elderly.

Population-based cancer screening is effective only for a few tumour types. For these categories the screening programs have upper age limits. Arguments are provided for why population-based cancer screening is contraproductive in the elderly, even for cancers with a high incidence in old age.

Chest wall resection in the treatment of local recurrence of breast cancer.

Chest wall resection has been carried out in 30 patients with chest wall recurrences of breast cancer after previous mastectomy and irradiation. Patients were carefully selected. Twenty-eight patients were treated with curative intent, two patients underwent palliative resections for extremely painful ulcerating recurrences. The operation consists of a full thickness chest wall resection and immediate reconstruction. A variety of reconstructive techniques have been used. Based on this experience we prefer reconstruction of rigidity by means of a vicryl mesh and of soft tissue coverage by omentum transposition and split skin grafting. Using this technique post operative complications have been acceptable. Long term results have been encouraging with 50% disease free survival at 5 years. A disease free interval after mastectomy longer than 5 years correlates with a long disease free survival after chest wall resection. Chest wall resection is very effective in the palliation of pain caused by ulcerating chest wall recurrence.

Recurrence of breast carcinoma after breast conserving treatment.

Clinicopathologic data were analysed of 15 patients with recurrence of carcinoma after breast conserving treatment and who underwent salvage mastectomy with curative intent. Twelve recurred in the same site as the original tumor after an average interval of 29 months; the remaining three arose elsewhere in the breast after an average, 83 months. Ten patients presented with palpable lumps, one with Paget's disease of the nipple and four with mammographical microcalcifications. Thirteen patients are alive without evidence of disease (mean follow-up 20 months), one patient died of chest wall recurrence 10 months after mastectomy and one is alive with metastatic disease 9 months after mastectomy. Extensive ductal carcinoma in situ, which was found in 53% of the initial excisions in this series, may be associated with a high risk of local recurrence.