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1.
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol ; 44(3): 545-557, 2024 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38235557

RESUMO

Trauma currently accounts for 10% of the total global burden of disease and over 5 million deaths per year, making it a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Although recent advances in early resuscitation have improved early survival from critical injury, the mortality rate in patients with major hemorrhage approaches 50% even in mature trauma systems. A major determinant of clinical outcomes from a major injury is a complex, dynamic hemostatic landscape. Critically injured patients frequently present to the emergency department with an acute traumatic coagulopathy that increases mortality from bleeding, yet, within 48 to 72 hours after injury will switch from a hypocoagulable to a hypercoagulable state with increased risk of venous thromboembolism and multiple organ dysfunction. This review will focus on the role of platelets in these processes. As effectors of hemostasis and thrombosis, they are central to each phase of recovery from injury, and our understanding of postinjury platelet biology has dramatically advanced over the past decade. This review describes our current knowledge of the changes in platelet behavior that occur following major trauma, the mechanisms by which these changes develop, and the implications for clinical outcomes. Importantly, supported by research in other disease settings, this review also reflects the emerging role of thromboinflammation in trauma including cross talk between platelets, innate immune cells, and coagulation. We also address the unresolved questions and significant knowledge gaps that remain, and finally highlight areas that with the further study will help deliver further improvements in trauma care.


Assuntos
Transtornos da Coagulação Sanguínea , Trombose , Humanos , Inflamação/complicações , Trombose/complicações , Hemostasia , Hemorragia/etiologia , Plaquetas
2.
Stroke ; 55(6): 1543-1553, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38591228

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Stroke is one of the leading causes of death among children, yet evidence on stroke incidence and prognosis in this population is largely neglected worldwide. The aim of this study was to estimate the latest burden of childhood stroke, as well as trends, risk factors, and inequalities from 1990 to 2019, at the global, regional, and national levels. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was utilized to evaluate the prevalence, incidence, years lived with disability, years of life lost (YLLs), and average annual percentage changes in stroke among populations aged 0 to 19 years from 1990 to 2019. RESULTS: The global age-standardized incidence of stroke increased (average annual percentage change, 0.15% [95% uncertainty interval, 0.09%-0.21%]), while YLLs decreased substantially (average annual percentage change, -3.33% [95% uncertainty interval, -3.38% to -3.28%]) among children and adolescents between 1990 and 2019. Ischemic stroke accounted for 70% of incident cases, and intracerebral hemorrhage accounted for 63% of YLLs. Children under 5 years of age had the highest incidence of ischemic stroke, while adolescents aged 15 to 19 years had the highest incidence of hemorrhagic stroke. In 2019, low-income and middle-income countries were responsible for 84% of incident cases and 93% of YLLs due to childhood stroke. High-sociodemographic index countries had a reduction in YLLs due to stroke that was more than twice as fast as that of low-income and middle-income. CONCLUSIONS: Globally, the burden of childhood stroke continues to increase, especially among females, children aged <5 years, and low-sociodemographic index countries, such as sub-Saharan Africa. The burden of childhood stroke is likely undergoing a significant transition from being fatal to causing disability. Global public health policies and the deployment of health resources need to respond rapidly and actively to this shift.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Masculino , Lactente , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença/tendências , Adulto Jovem , Incidência , Recém-Nascido , Saúde Global , Fatores de Risco , Prevalência , Acidente Vascular Cerebral Hemorrágico/epidemiologia , AVC Isquêmico/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Cerebral/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença
3.
Stroke ; 55(1): 59-68, 2024 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38047351

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether high systolic blood pressure had a similar effect on the disease burden of stroke subtypes. The aim of our study is to compare the long-term trends of stroke subtypes and sex groups attributable to high systolic blood pressure in China from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: Data about the age-standardized mortality rate and the age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year rate of stroke subtypes attributable to high systolic blood pressure in China were extracted in GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2019. The trends in the age-standardized mortality rate and the age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year rate were calculated using the liner regression and age-period-cohort method, adjusted for age, period, and cohort. RESULTS: The estimated annual percentage change for mortality of stroke attributable to high systolic blood pressure was different from subtypes, with an estimated annual percentage change and 95% CI of 0.56 (0.37-0.74) for ischemic stroke (IS), -1.52 (-1.97 to -1.07) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and -7.02 (-7.86 to -6.17) for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The curve of the net drifts showed a downward trend for intracerebral hemorrhage and SAH, but that showed a stable trend for IS. The curve of local drifts showed a slow upward trend with age for IS, a slow downward trend for intracerebral hemorrhage, and a sharp downward trend for SAH. The drift curves showed different trends for males and females. The proportion of stroke mortality in young males was gradually increasing. The cohort rate ratio varied by subtypes, with the greatest decline for SAH, a slight decrease for intracerebral hemorrhage, and a slight increase for IS. The period rate ratio had decreased over the past 3 decades, with the greatest decline for SAH and the weakest decrease for IS. Moreover, both the period and cohort rate ratios for IS mortality due to high systolic blood pressure in males have increased significantly over the past 3 decades. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provided strong evidence that the disease burden of stroke attributable to high systolic blood pressure varied by subtypes and sex in China from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized mortality rate and the age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year rate decreased for hemorrhagic stroke but increased for IS. Males had a higher mortality and exposure risk but a slighter decreasing trend than females. Our study suggested that greater attention should be given to the prevention of the burden of IS attributable to systolic blood pressure in China, especially for males.


Assuntos
AVC Isquêmico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Hemorragia Subaracnóidea , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Pressão Sanguínea , China/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Cerebral/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Carga Global da Doença
4.
Stroke ; 2024 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38920043

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to quantify the global stroke burden attributable to low physical activity and high body mass index in adults aged ≥55 years using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. METHODS: We extracted data on stroke mortality, disability-adjusted life years, and risk factor exposure from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study for people aged ≥55 years. We calculated the population-attributable fraction and absolute number of stroke cases and disability-adjusted life years attributable to low physical activity and high body mass index by location, age group, sex, and year. RESULTS: Globally, body mass index and physical inactivity-attributable stroke burden have declined modestly since 1990, but with diverging escalatory regional trajectories. Population growth and aging drive this rising burden. CONCLUSIONS: Multidimensional, context-specific strategies focused on modifiable lifestyle risks are imperative to address the modest declines and escalatory regional trajectories in body mass index and physical inactivity-attributable stroke burden.

5.
Stroke ; 55(2): 432-442, 2024 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38252754

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: While most European Regions perform well in global comparisons, large discrepancies within stroke epidemiological parameters exist across Europe. The objective of this analysis was to evaluate the stroke burden across European regions and countries in 2019 and its difference to 2010. METHODS: The GBD 2019 analytical tools were used to evaluate regional and country-specific estimates of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years of stroke for the European Region as defined by the World Health Organization, with its 53 member countries (EU-53) and for European Union as defined in 2019, with its 28 member countries (EU-28), between 2010 and 2019. Results were analyzed at a regional, subregional, and country level. RESULTS: In EU-53, the absolute number of incident and prevalent strokes increased by 2% (uncertainty interval [UI], 0%-4%), from 1 767 280 to 1 802 559 new cases, and by 4% (UI, 3%-5%) between 2010 and 2019, respectively. In EU-28, the absolute number of prevalent strokes and stroke-related deaths increased by 4% (UI, 2%-5%) and by 6% (UI, 1%-10%), respectively. All-stroke age-standardized mortality rates, however, decreased by 18% (UI, -22% to -14%), from 82 to 67 per 100 000 people in the EU-53, and by 15% (UI, -18% to -11%), from 49.3 to 42.0 per 100 000 people in EU-28. Despite most countries presenting reductions in age-adjusted incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life year rates, these rates remained 1.4×, 1.2×, 1.6×, and 1.7× higher in EU-53 in comparison to the EU-28. CONCLUSIONS: EU-53 showed a 2% increase in incident strokes, while they remained stable in EU-28. Age-standardized rates were consistently lower for all-stroke burden parameters in EU-28 in comparison to EU-53, and huge discrepancies in incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-year rates were observed between individual countries.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Incerteza , Organização Mundial da Saúde
6.
Int J Cancer ; 154(4): 615-625, 2024 Feb 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37750191

RESUMO

The burden of digestive cancers is increasing worldwide. The Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) 2020 and the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 are two primary cancer databases, which have a significant impact on policy formulation and resource allocation. We aim to compare the incidence and mortality of digestive cancers between them. Digestive cancer (esophageal, stomach, colorectal, liver, gallbladder and pancreatic cancer) incidence was obtained from the Cancer Today and GBD 2019 result tool. The top five countries with the most or minor difference between GLOBOCAN 2020 and GBD 2019 in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) of digestive cancers were identified. A systematic search on the incidence of specific digestive cancer in selected countries from PubMed and Embase was conducted, and 20 of 281 publications were included. The most significant differences in digestive cancers incidence were commonly found in Asian countries (70%), particularly Indonesia, Vietnam and Myanmar, located in Southeast Asia. The ASIRs for most digestive cancers, except liver cancer, in GLOBOCAN 2020 were higher than those in GBD 2019. Gallbladder cancer had the highest average ratio, followed by liver cancer. The most commonly used standard population was Segi's standard population, followed by the World Health Organization standard population. The data sources nor the processing methods of GLOBOCAN 2020 and GBD 2019 were not similar. Low- and middle-income countries without population-based cancer registries were more likely to have selection bias in data collection and amplify regional variations of etiological factors. Better judgments on the quality of cancer data can be made.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Vesícula Biliar , Neoplasias Gastrointestinais , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carga Global da Doença , Incidência , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Saúde Global
7.
J Med Virol ; 96(6): e29724, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38837426

RESUMO

Although the burden of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in the Asia-Pacific region is increasingly severe, comprehensive evidence of the burden of HIV is scarce. We aimed to report the burden of HIV in people aged 15-79 years from 1990 to 2019 using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We analyzed rates of age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDR), age-standardized mortality (ASMR), and age-standardized incidence (ASIR) in our age-period-cohort analysis by sociodemographic index (SDI). According to HIV reports in 2019 from 29 countries in the Asia-Pacific region, the low SDI group in Papua New Guinea had the highest ASDR, ASMR, and ASIR. From 1990 to 2019, the ASDR, ASIR, and ASMR of persons with acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) increased in 21 (72%) of the 29 countries in the Asia-Pacific region. During the same period, the disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of AIDS patients in the low SDI group in the region grew the fastest, particularly in Nepal. The incidence of HIV among individuals aged 20-30 years in the low-middle SDI group was higher than that of those in the other age groups. In 2019, unsafe sex was the main cause of HIV-related ASDR in the region's 29 countries, followed by drug use. The severity of the burden of HIV/AIDS in the Asia-Pacific region is increasing, especially among low SDI groups. Specific public health policies should be formulated based on the socioeconomic development level of each country to alleviate the burden of HIV/AIDS.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Infecções por HIV , Humanos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Carga Global da Doença/tendências , Ásia/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Incidência , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Deficiência , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença
8.
Rheumatology (Oxford) ; 63(3): 689-697, 2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37279721

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The relationship between smoking and RA has been confirmed. Most nations have ratified the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. However, there are considerable regional differences in how effectively tobacco control measures were implemented. This study was carried out to estimate the spatiotemporal trends of smoking-related RA burdens. METHODS: Data were available from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 and were analysed by age, sex, year and region. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to the analysis of temporal trends in the RA burden resulting from smoking over 30 years. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the number of global RA cases increased each year. The age-standardized prevalence, death and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates also increased. However, there was a wave in the changing trend of the age-standardized death rate, with the lowest point in 2012 and the highest point in 1990. Smoking, in particular, was responsible for 11.9% of total RA deaths and 12.8% of total DALYs in 1990 but only 8.5% of total RA deaths and 9.6% of total DALYs in 2019. A greater burden from smoking exposure was borne by men, older adults and people living in high-middle and high sociodemographic index (SDI) countries and regions. Moreover, the UK demonstrated the highest reduction in age-standardized death and DALY rates over the three decades. CONCLUSION: There were reductions in the age-standardized burdens of RA caused by smoking worldwide. Nevertheless, this continues to be an issue in some areas, and efforts to reduce smoking should be made to lessen this growing burden.


Assuntos
Artrite Reumatoide , Procedimentos de Cirurgia Plástica , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Fumar/epidemiologia , Artrite Reumatoide/epidemiologia , Percepção Social
9.
Hum Reprod ; 39(1): 108-118, 2024 Jan 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38011904

RESUMO

STUDY QUESTION: What is the current burden of infertility attributable to PCOS at global, regional, and national levels by age and socio-demographic index (SDI) across 21 regions and 204 countries and territories? SUMMARY ANSWER: The burden of infertility attributable to PCOS increased from 6.00 million prevalent cases in 1990 to 12.13 million in 2019 globally and increased sharply in most regions and nations. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: PCOS is the most common cause of anovulatory infertility, affecting up to 80% of women with anovulation. No comprehensive and detailed epidemiological estimates of infertility attributable to PCOS in reproductive women aged 15-49 years by age and SDI, at the global, regional, and national level, have been reported. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: An age- and SDI-stratified systematic analysis of the prevalence and years lived with disability (YLD) of infertility attributable to PCOS across 21 regions and 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 has been performed. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The prevalence and YLD of female infertility attributable to PCOS in reproductive women aged 15-49 years from 1990 to 2019 were retrieved directly from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019. The number, rates per 100 000 persons, and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of prevalence and YLD were estimated at the global, regional, and national levels. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Globally, the prevalent cases of infertility attributable to PCOS among women of reproductive age (15-49 years) doubled from 1990 to 2019, with 6.00 million prevalent cases in 1900 and 12.13 million in 2019. The global age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPRs) of infertility attributable to PCOS were 223.50/100 000 persons in 1990 and 308.25/100 000 persons in 2019. At global level, the YLDs of infertility attributable to PCOS increased by 98.0% from 35.20 thousand in 1990 to 69.70 thousand in 2019. The burden of infertility attributable to PCOS in the high SDI region was significantly higher than that in the other four SDI regions. The greatest annual increases in rates of ASPR and age-standardized YLD rate were observed in the middle SDI region (AAPC 1.96 [95% CI 1.87-2.06], 1.94 [1.87-2.00], respectively) and the low-middle SDI region (AAPC 1.96 [1.90-2.03], 1.90 [1.85-1.94], respectively). The regional highest ASPR and the age-standardized YLD rate of infertility were observed in High-income Asia Pacific. The national highest ASPR and the age-standardized YLD rate of infertility were observed in Italy. Positive associations were observed between these burden estimates and the SDI level (all P < 0.001). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: Although the Global Burden of Diseases 2019 has tried its best to collect all available data, some countries have limited data, which may result in an underestimation of the burden of infertility attributable to PCOS. The diagnostic criteria of PCOS are constantly changing, which may induce bias in infertility attributable to PCOS. No information on the PCOS phenotype is provided in the Global Burden of Diseases 2019, so we cannot estimate the infertility attributable to a specific PCOS phenotype. Detection bias would lead to a higher prevalence of PCOS and infertility attributable to PCOS in developed countries with well-established medical systems and greater willingness of the populace to seek medical attention. Thus, health resource allocation for infertility attributable to PCOS in low-prevalence areas should not be ignored. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The global burden of infertility attributable to PCOS increased sharply from 1990 to 2019. Effective health interventions and efficient preventative and managerial strategies should be established to reduce the burden of infertility attributable to PCOS. Weight control is suggested to reduce the burden of infertility attributable to PCOS, especially in the high SDI region. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (grant number, 2022YFC2704100) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos 82001498 and 82371648). The authors declare no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.


Assuntos
Infertilidade , Síndrome do Ovário Policístico , Humanos , Feminino , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Síndrome do Ovário Policístico/complicações , Síndrome do Ovário Policístico/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Prevalência , Saúde Global
10.
Hum Reprod ; 39(6): 1303-1315, 2024 Jun 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38689567

RESUMO

STUDY QUESTION: What is the burden of premenstrual syndrome (PMS) at the global, regional, and national levels across 21 regions and 204 countries and territories? SUMMARY ANSWER: Over the past few decades, the global prevalent cases of PMS have grown significantly from 652.5 million in 1990 to 956.0 million in 2019, representing a 46.5% increase. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: PMS, which affects almost half of reproductive women worldwide, has substantial social, occupational, academic, and psychological effects on women's lives. However, no comprehensive and detailed epidemiological estimates of PMS by age and socio-demographic index (SDI) at global, regional, and national levels have been reported. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: An age- and SDI-stratified systematic analysis of the prevalence and years lived with disability (YLD) of PMS by age and SDI across 21 regions and 204 countries and territories has been performed. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The prevalence and YLD of PMS from 1990 to 2019 were retrieved directly from the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2019 study. The number, rates per 100 000 persons, and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of prevalence and YLD were estimated at the global, regional, and national levels. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Globally, the prevalent cases of PMS increased by 46.5% from 652.5 million in 1990 to 956.0 million in 2019; in contrast, however, the age-standardized prevalence rate was approximately stable at 24 431.15/100 000 persons in 1990 and 24 406.51/100 000 persons in 2019 (AAPC, 0[95% CI: -0.01 to 0.01]). Globally, the YLD was 8.0 million in 2019 and 5.4 million in 1990, with a sizable increase over the past 30 years. The age-standardized YLD rate was stable (AAPC 0.01, P = 0.182), at 203.45/100 000 persons in 1990 and 203.76/100 000 persons in 2019. The age-standardized burden estimates were the highest in the low-middle SDI regions and the lowest in the high SDI regions. Peaks in burden rate estimates were all observed in the 40-44 years age group. Regional age-standardized burden estimates were the highest in South Asia and the lowest in Western Sub-Saharan Africa. The national age-standardized burden estimates were the highest in Pakistan and the lowest in Niger. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The accuracy of the results depended on the quality and quantity of the GBD 2019 data. Fortunately, the GBD study endeavoured to retrieve data globally and applied multiple models to optimize the completeness, accuracy, and reliability of the data. In addition, the GBD study took the country as its basic unit and neglected the influence of race. Further study is warranted to compare differences in PMS burden associated with race. Finally, no data are available on the aetiology and risk information related to PMS, which might help us to better understand the trends and age distribution of PMS and help local governments formulate more detailed policies and comprehensive interventions. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: Although the age-standardized prevalence/YLD rate has been stable over the past 30 years, the absolute number of prevalent cases and YLD grew significantly worldwide from 1990 to 2019. Public health-related policies should be implemented to reduce the prevalence and alleviate the symptoms of PMS. Lifestyle changes and cognitive-behavioral therapy are critical in helping to reduce the burden of PMS. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): This study was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (grant number 2022YFC2704100) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82001498, No. 82371648). The authors declare no conflict of interest. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global , Síndrome Pré-Menstrual , Humanos , Feminino , Síndrome Pré-Menstrual/epidemiologia , Adulto , Prevalência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Adolescente , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença
11.
Diabetes Metab Res Rev ; 40(4): e3802, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38634501

RESUMO

AIMS: To systematically clarify the spatiotemporal trends, and age-sex-specific blindness and vision loss (BVL) burden due to high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) from 1990 to 2019, and project this burden over the next decade. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We obtained the number and rate of years lived with disability (YLDs) for the BVL burden attributable to HFPG by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and location between 1990 and 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were calculated to assess the temporal trends of HFPG-attributable BVL burden. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to predict the HFPG-attributable BVL burden. RESULTS: In 2019, the global number and age-standardized rate (ASR) for YLDs of BVL attributable to HFPG were 673.13 (95% UI: 159.52 to 1565.34) thousand and 8.44 (95% UI: 2.00 to 19.63) per 100,000 people, respectively. The highest burdens were found in Oceania, South Asia, and Southeast Asia, and the BVL burden due to HFPG was higher in the elderly and lower SDI regions. From 1990 to 2019, the global ASR of HFPG-attributable BVL gradually increased with AAPC (95% CI) being 0.80 (0.74 to 0.86). In addition, the HFPG-attributable BVL burden will slightly increase in the future decade. CONCLUSIONS: The HFPG remains the important cause of BVL worldwide, placing a substantial disease burden. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized burden of BVL due to HFPG increased, and will consistently increase in the future decade, particularly in the elderly and in regions with middle SDI or below.


Assuntos
Glicemia , Carga Global da Doença , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , Idoso , Teorema de Bayes , Saúde Global , Cegueira , Jejum , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
12.
Nephrol Dial Transplant ; 39(2): 317-327, 2024 Jan 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37587021

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) imposes a heavy obscure burden on individuals and health systems. Besides its burden, the quality of care of CKD is less well investigated. In this study, we aimed to explore the global, regional and national trends of CKD burden and quality of care. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 data were used. Trends of incidence, prevalence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years were studied for the 1990-2019 period in the global aspect. By generating four secondary indices to assess different aspects of quality of care the quality of care index (QCI) was developed to explore the care provided for CKD. Inequities and disparities between various geographic, socio-demographic and age stratifications, and sex were studied using the QCI values. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 18 986 903 (95% uncertainty interval 17 556 535 to 20 518 156) incident cases of CKD, globally. The overall global QCI score had increased slightly from 78.4 in 1990 to 81.6 in 2019, and it was marginally better in males (QCI score 83.5) than in females (80.3). The highest QCI score was observed in the European region with a score of 92.5, while the African region displayed the lowest QCI with 61.7. Among the age groups, the highest QCI was for children aged between 5 and 9 years old (92.0), and the lowest was in the age group of 20-24 year olds (65.5). CONCLUSIONS: This study revealed that significant disparities remain regarding the quality of care of CKD, and to reach better care for CKD, attention to and care of minorities should be reconsidered. The evidence presented in this study would benefit health policymakers toward better and more efficient control of CKD burden alongside improving the care of this condition.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Masculino , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pré-Escolar , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Incidência , Prevalência , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/terapia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/etiologia , Saúde Global
13.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 2024 Jul 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38957939

RESUMO

AIM: Our study aims to provide an updated estimate of age- and sex-specific deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with high body mass index (BMI) from 1990 to 2019 at the global, regional and national levels, and to forecast the global burden of disease attributed to high BMI from 2020 to 2035. METHODS: We used the data for the number of deaths, DALYs, age-standardized rate (per 100 000 population), percentage change and population attributable fraction from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) to examine the disease burden attributable to high BMI. We further applied an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict the disease burden for the period 2020-2035. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the deaths and DALYs attributable to high BMI increased by 148% and 155.86% for men, and by 111.67% and 121.78% for women, respectively. In 2019, high BMI directly accounted for 8.52% [95% uncertainty intervals (UI) 0.05, 0.12] of all-cause deaths and 5.89% (95% UI 0.04, 0.08) of global DALYs. The highest death rates were observed in men aged 65-69 and women aged 75-79. The highest DALY rates were observed in the age group of 60-64 for both sexes. In 2019, the highest age-standardized deaths and DALY rates were observed in the Central Asia region [163.15 (95% UI 107.72, 223.58) per 100 000 people] and the Oceania region [4643.33 (95% UI 2835.66, 6902.6) per 100 000 people], respectively. Fiji [319.08 (95% UI 213.77, 444.96) per 100 000 people] and Kiribati [10 000.58 (95% UI 6266.55, 14159.2) per 100 000 people] had the highest age-standardized deaths and DALY rates, respectively. In 2019, the highest age-standardized rates of high BMI-related deaths and DALYs were observed in the middle-high socio-demographic index quintile and in the middle socio-demographic index quintile. The age-standardized deaths and DALY rates attributable to high BMI are projected to increase in both sexes from 2020 to 2035. The death rates are projected to rise from 62.79 to 64.31 per 100 000 people, while the DALY rates are projected to rise from 1946 to 2099.54 per 100 000 people. CONCLUSIONS: High BMIs significantly contribute to the global disease burden. The projected rise in deaths and DALY rates attributable to high BMI by 2035 highlights the critical need to address the impact of obesity on public health. Our study provides policymakers with up-to-date and comprehensive information.

14.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 26(1): 85-96, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37743825

RESUMO

AIMS: To analyse spatial and temporal changes in the global burden of diabetes mellitus (DM) attributable to dietary factors from 1990 to 2019. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The burden of DM was analysed in terms of age-standardized disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates and age-standardized death rates (ASDRs), which were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, and their corresponding estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs). RESULTS: The ASDR exhibited a decreasing trend (EAPC = -0.02), while the age-standardized DALY rate exhibited an increasing trend (EAPC = 0.65). Forty-four percent of the burden of DM was attributable to dietary factors, with the three largest contributors being high intake of red meat, high intake of processed meat, and low intake of fruit. Residence in a region with a high sociodemographic index (SDI) was associated with a diet low in whole grains and high in red meat and processed meat, while residence in a low-SDI region was associated with a diet low in whole grains and fruits, and high in red meat. CONCLUSIONS: The age-standardized DALYs of DM attributable to dietary factors increased between 1990 and 2019 but differed among areas. The three largest dietary contributors to the burden of DM were high intake of red meat, high intake of processed meat, and low intake of fruit.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Carga Global da Doença , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Carne/efeitos adversos , Frutas , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
15.
Br J Nutr ; : 1-30, 2024 Jun 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38826087

RESUMO

The epidemiological and burden characteristics of nutritional deficiencies (NDs) have been evolving, and it is crucial to identify geographical disparities and emerging trends. This study aimed to analyze the global, regional, and national trends in the burden of NDs over the past 30 years. Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database for the period 1990-2019. The study examined the incidence rates and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of NDs at various levels. Globally, the incidence rate of NDs decreased from 2226.2 per 100,000 in 2019 to 2096.3 per 100,000 in the same year, indicating a decline of 5.8%. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was -0.21 (-0.31 to -0.11). Similarly, DALYs, prevalence, and mortality rates of NDs exhibited significant declines (AAPC = -3.21 [-3.45 to -2.96], AAPC = -0.53 [-0.55 to -0.51], and AAPC = -4.97 [-5.75 to -4.19], respectively). The incidence rate of NDs varied based on age group, gender, cause, and geographical area. Moreover, a negative association was observed between incidence and the sociodemographic index. At the regional level, the South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa regions had the highest incidence rates of NDs. In conclusion, the global incidence rate of NDs showed a mixed pattern, while the DALY rate consistently declined. Additionally, prevalence and mortality rates of NDs decreased between 1990 and 2019.

16.
Pediatr Blood Cancer ; : e31177, 2024 Jul 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38967594

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Thalassemia represents a significant public health challenge globally. However, the global burden of thalassemia and the disparities associated with it remain poorly understood. Our study aims to uncover the long-term spatial and temporal trends in thalassemia at global, regional, and national levels, analyze the impacts of age, time periods, and birth cohorts, and pinpoint the global disparities in thalassemia burden. METHODS: We extracted data on the thalassemia burden from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We employed a joinpoint regression model to assess temporal trends in thalassemia burden and an age-period-cohort model to evaluate the effects of age, period, and cohort on thalassemia mortality. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the number of thalassemia incident cases, prevalent cases, mortality cases, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) decreased by 20.9%, 3.1%, 38.6%, and 43.1%, respectively. Age-standardized rates of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY declined across regions with high, high-middle, middle, and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI), yet remained the highest in regions with low SDI and low-middle SDI as well as in Southeast Asia, peaking among children under five years of age. The global prevalence rate was higher in males than in females. The global mortality rate showed a consistent decrease with increasing age. CONCLUSION: The global burden of thalassemia has significantly declined, yet notable disparities exist in terms of gender, age groups, periods, birth cohorts, SDI regions, and GBD regions. Systemic interventions that include early screening, genetic counseling, premarital health examinations, and prenatal diagnosis should be prioritized in regions with low, and low-middle SDI, particularly in Southeast Asia. Future population-based studies should focus specifically on thalassemia subtypes and transfusion requirements, and national registries should enhance data capture through newborn screening.

17.
Europace ; 2024 Jul 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38984719

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To devise effective preventive measures, a profound understanding of the evolving patterns and trends in atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL) burdens is pivotal. Our study was designed to quantify the burden and delineate the risk factors associated with AF and AFL across 204 countries and territories spanning 1990 to 2021. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data pertaining to AF and AFL were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 study. The burden of AF/AFL was evaluated using metrics such as incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), deaths, and their corresponding age-standardized rates (ASRs), stratified by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI). The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was employed to quantify changes in ASRs. Population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated to determine the proportional contributions of major risk factors to age-standardized AF/AFL deaths. RESULTS: This analysis encompassed the period from 1990 to 2021. Globally, in 2021, there were 4.48 million incident cases (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 3.61 to 5.70), 8.36 million DALYs (95% UI: 6.97 to 10.13), and 0.34 million deaths (95% UI: 0.29 to 0.37) attributed to AF/AFL. The AF/AFL burden in 2021, as well as its trends from 1990 to 2021, displayed substantial variations based on gender, SDI quintiles, and geographical regions. High systolic blood pressure emerged as the leading contributor to age-standardized AF/AFL incidence, prevalence, death, and DALYs rate globally among all potential risk factors, followed closely by high body mass index. CONCLUSION: Our study underscores the enduring significance of AF/AFL as a prominent public health concern worldwide, marked by profound regional and national variations. Despite the substantial potential for prevention and management of AF/AFL, there is a pressing imperative to adopt more cost-effective strategies and interventions to target modifiable risk factors, particularly in areas where the burden of AF/AFL is high or escalating.

18.
Int J Equity Health ; 23(1): 125, 2024 Jun 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38898437

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) and Parkinson's disease (PD), pose growing global health challenges. Socio-demographic and economic development acts paradoxically, complicating the process that determines how governments worldwide designate policies and allocate resources for healthcare. METHODS: We extracted data on ADRD and PD in 204 countries from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database. Health disparities were estimated using the slope index of inequality (SII), and concentration index (CIX) based on the socio-demographic index. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were employed to evaluate temporal trends. RESULTS: Globally, the SII increased from 255.4 [95% confidence interval (CI), 215.2 to 295.5)] in 1990 to 559.3 (95% CI, 497.2 to 621.3) in 2019 for ADRD, and grew from 66.0 (95% CI, 54.9 to 77.2) in 1990 to 132.5 (95% CI, 118.1 to 147.0) in 2019 for PD; CIX rose from 33.7 (95% CI, 25.8 to 41.6) in 1990 to 36.9 (95% CI, 27.8 to 46.1) in 2019 for ADRD, and expanded from 22.2 (95% CI, 21.3 to 23.0) in 1990 to 29.0 (95% CI, 27.8 to 30.3) in 2019 for PD. Age-standardized disability-adjusted life years displayed considerable upward trends for ADRD [EAPC = 0.43 (95% CI, 0.27 to 0.59)] and PD [0.34 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.38)]. CONCLUSIONS: Globally, the burden of ADRD and PD continues to increase with growing health disparities. Variations in health inequalities and the impact of socioeconomic development on disease trends underscored the need for targeted policies and strategies, with heightened awareness, preventive measures, and active management of risk factors.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer , Saúde Global , Doença de Parkinson , Humanos , Doença de Alzheimer/epidemiologia , Doença de Parkinson/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Carga Global da Doença/tendências , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Desigualdades de Saúde
19.
Int J Colorectal Dis ; 39(1): 73, 2024 May 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38760622

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is rising worldwide, but epidemiological data on children and adolescents are lacking. Understanding the global burden of IBD among children and adolescents is essential for global standardization of methodology and treatment options. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study based on aggregated data. We estimated the prevalence and incidence of IBD in children and adolescents between 1990 and 2019 according to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Age-standardized rates (ASRs) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were used to compare the burden and trends between different regions and countries. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 25,659 new cases and 88,829 prevalent cases of IBD among children and adolescents globally, representing an increase of 22.8% and 18.5%, respectively, compared to 1990. Over the past 30 years, the incidence and prevalence of IBD among children and adolescents have been highest in high SDI regions, with the most significant increases in East Asia and high-income Asia Pacific. At the age level, incidence and prevalence were significantly higher in the 15-19-year-old age group, while the < 5-year-old group showed the most significant increase in incidence and prevalence. CONCLUSION: The incidence of IBD in children and adolescents is significantly on the rise in some countries and regions, and IBD will remain an important public health issue with extensive healthcare and economic costs in the future. The reported IBD burden in children and adolescents at the global, regional, and national levels will assist in the development of more precise health policies.


Assuntos
Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais , Humanos , Adolescente , Criança , Doenças Inflamatórias Intestinais/epidemiologia , Incidência , Prevalência , Pré-Escolar , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Transversais , Adulto Jovem , Saúde Global , Lactente
20.
Environ Res ; 241: 117678, 2024 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37984788

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Ambient PM2.5 pollution (APMP2.5) was the leading environmental risk factor for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) worldwide. An up-to-date comprehensive study is needed to provide global epidemiological patterns. METHODS: Detailed data on CVDs burden attributable to APMP2.5 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. We calculated the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to assess temporal trends in age-standardized rates of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) over 30 years. RESULTS: Globally, CVDs attributable to APMP2.5 resulted in 2.48 million deaths and 60.91 million DALYs, with an increase of 122%, respectively from 1990 to 2019. In general, men suffered markedly higher burden than women, but the gap will likely turn narrow. As for age distribution, CVDs deaths and DALYs attributable to APMP2.5 mainly occurred in the elder group (>70 years). Low- and middle-income regions endured the higher CVDs burden due to the higher exposure to APMP2.5, and the gap may potentially expand further compared with high-income regions. For regions, the highest age-standardized rates of APMP2.5-related CVDs deaths and DALYs were observed mainly in Central Asia, while the lowest was observed in Australasia. At the national level, countries with the largest ASDR decline were clustered in western Europe, while Equatorial Guinea, Timor-Leste and Bhutan exhibited relatively rapid increases over this period. CONCLUSIONS: The global CVDs burden attributable to APMP2.5 has contributed to the heterogeneity of spatial and temporal distribution. APMP2.5-related CVDs deaths have largely shifted from higher SDI regions to those with a lower SDI. Globally, APMP2.5-attributable CVDs pose a significant threat to public health and diseases burden has increased over time, particularly in male, old-aged populations. The governments and health systems should take measures to reduce air pollution to impede this rising trend.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/induzido quimicamente , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Saúde Global , Material Particulado/toxicidade
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