Vaccine Effectiveness Against Influenza A-Associated Hospitalization, Organ Failure, and Death: United States, 2022-2023.

BACKGROUND: Influenza circulation during the 2022-2023 season in the United States largely returned to pre-coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-pandemic patterns and levels. Influenza A(H3N2) viruses were detected most frequently this season, predominately clade 3C.2a1b.2a, a close antigenic match to the vaccine strain. METHODS: To understand effectiveness of the 2022-2023 influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failure, and death, a multicenter sentinel surveillance network in the United States prospectively enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness between 1 October 2022, and 28 February 2023. Using the test-negative design, vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimates against influenza-associated hospitalization, organ failures, and death were measured by comparing the odds of current-season influenza vaccination in influenza-positive case-patients and influenza-negative, SARS-CoV-2-negative control-patients. RESULTS: A total of 3707 patients, including 714 influenza cases (33% vaccinated) and 2993 influenza- and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-negative controls (49% vaccinated) were analyzed. VE against influenza-associated hospitalization was 37% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27%-46%) and varied by age (18-64 years: 47% [30%-60%]; ≥65 years: 28% [10%-43%]), and virus (A[H3N2]: 29% [6%-46%], A[H1N1]: 47% [23%-64%]). VE against more severe influenza-associated outcomes included: 41% (29%-50%) against influenza with hypoxemia treated with supplemental oxygen; 65% (56%-72%) against influenza with respiratory, cardiovascular, or renal failure treated with organ support; and 66% (40%-81%) against influenza with respiratory failure treated with invasive mechanical ventilation. CONCLUSIONS: During an early 2022-2023 influenza season with a well-matched influenza vaccine, vaccination was associated with reduced risk of influenza-associated hospitalization and organ failure.

Immunopathogenesis of acute on chronic liver failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure is a well-established description of a high-mortality syndrome of chronic liver disease (usually cirrhosis) with organ failure. While the exact definition is under refinement, the accepted understanding of this entity is in patients with chronic liver disease and various organs in failure and where systemic inflammation is a major component of the pathobiology. There are limited therapies for a disease with such a poor prognosis, and while improvements in the critical care management and for very few patients, liver transplantation, mean 50% can survive to hospital discharge, rapid application of new therapies is required. Here we explain the current understanding of the immunologic abnormalities seen in acute-on-chronic liver failure across the innate and adaptive immune systems, the role of the hepatic cell death and the gut-liver axis, and recommendations for future research and treatment paradigms.

One-year transplant-free survival following hospital discharge after ICU admission for ACLF in the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis or acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) often require intensive care unit (ICU) admission for organ support. Existing research, mostly from specialized liver transplant centers, largely addresses short-term outcomes. Our aim was to evaluate in-hospital mortality and 1-year transplant-free survival after hospital discharge in the Netherlands. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide observational cohort study, including patients with a history of cirrhosis or first complications of cirrhotic portal hypertension admitted to ICUs in the Netherlands between 2012 and 2020. The influence of ACLF grade at ICU admission on 1-year transplant-free survival after hospital discharge among hospital survivors was evaluated using unadjusted Kaplan-Meier survival curves and an adjusted Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: Out of the 3,035 patients, 1,819 (59.9%) had ACLF-3. 1,420 patients (46.8%) survived hospitalization after ICU admission. The overall probability of 1-year transplant-free survival after hospital discharge was 0.61 (95% CI 0.59-0.64). This rate varied with ACLF grade at ICU admission, being highest in patients without ACLF (0.71; 95% CI 0.66-0.76) and lowest in those with ACLF-3 (0.53 [95% CI 0.49-0.58]) (log-rank p <0.0001). However, after adjusting for age, malignancy status and MELD score, ACLF grade at ICU admission was not associated with an increased risk of liver transplantation or death within 1 year after hospital discharge. CONCLUSION: In this nationwide cohort study, ACLF grade at ICU admission did not independently affect 1-year transplant-free survival after hospital discharge. Instead, age, presence of malignancy and the severity of liver disease played a more prominent role in influencing transplant-free survival after hospital discharge. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure often require intensive care unit (ICU) admission for organ support. In these patients, short-term mortality is high, but long-term outcomes of survivors remain unknown. Using a large nationwide cohort of ICU patients, we discovered that the severity of acute-on-chronic liver failure at ICU admission does not influence 1-year transplant-free survival after hospital discharge. Instead, age, malignancy status and overall severity of liver disease are more critical factors in determining their long-term survival.

Long-term outcome following liver transplantation of patients with ACLF grade 3.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Utility, a major principle for allocation in the context of transplantation, is questioned in patients with acute-on chronic liver failure grade 3 (ACLF-3) who undergo liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to explore long-term outcomes of patients included the three-center retrospective French experience published in 2017. METHOD: All patients with ACLF-3 (n=73) as well as their transplanted matched controlled with ACLF-2 (n=145), 1 (n=119) and no ACLF (n=292) that have participated in the princeps study published in 2017 were included. We explored 5- and 10-year patient and graft survivals, causes of death and their predictive factors. RESULTS: Median follow-up of patients ACLF-3 patients was 7.5 years. At LT, median MELD was 40. In patients with ACLF-3, 2, 1 and no ACLF, 5-year patients' survivals were respectively 72.6% vs. 69.7% vs. 76.4% vs. 77.0% (p=0.31). Ten-year patients' survival ACLF-3 was 56.8% and was not different other groups (p=0.37) Leading causes of death in ACLF-3 patients were infections (33.3%), and cardiovascular events (23.3%). After exclusion of early death, UCLA futility risk score, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF score were independently associated with 10-year patients' survival. Long-term grafts' survivals were not different across the groups. Clinical frailty scale and WHO performance status improved over time in patients alive after 5 years. CONCLUSION: 5- and 10-year patients' and grafts' survivals in ACLF-3 patients were not different from their controls. 5-year patients' survival is higher than that of the 50%-70% threshold defining the utility of liver graft. Efforts should focus on candidates' selection based on comorbidities as well as the prevention of infection and cardiovascular events standing as the main cause of death. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: While short-term outcomes following liver transplantation in the most severely ill cirrhotic patients (ACLF-3) are known, long-term data are limited, raising questions about the utility of graft allocation in the context of scarce medical resources. This study provides a favorable long-term update, confirming no differences in 5- and 10-year patient and graft survival following liver transplantation in ACLF-3 patients compared to matched ACLF-2, ACLF-1, and no-ACLF patients. The study highlights the risk of dying from infection and cardiovascular causes in the long-term and identifies scores including comorbidities evaluation, such as the age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index, as independently associated with long-term survival. Therefore, physicians should consider the cumulative burden of comorbidities when deciding to transplant these patients. Additionally, after transplantation, the study encourages mitigating infectious risk with tailored immunosuppressive regimens and managing tightly cardiovascular risk over time.

Cytoprotection as an Innovative Therapeutic Strategy to Cardiogenic Shock: Exploring the Potential of Cytidine-5-Diphosphocholine to Mitigate Target Organ Damage.

BACKGROUND: Preservation of organ function and viability is a crucial factor for survival in cardiogenic shock (CS) patients. There is not information enough on cytoprotective substances that may delay organs damage in CS. We hypothesize that cytidine-5-diphosphocholine (CDP-choline) can act as a cytoprotective pharmacological measure that diminishes the target organ damage. So, we aimed to perform a review of works carried out in our institution to evaluate the effect of therapeutic cytoprotection of the CDP-choline. SUMMARY: CDP-choline is an intermediate metabolite in the synthesis of phosphatidylcholine. It is also a useful drug for the treatment of acute ischaemic stroke, traumatic brain injury, and neurodegenerative diseases and has shown an excellent pharmacological safety profile as well. We review our institution's work and described the cytoprotective effects of CDP-choline in experimental models of heart, liver, and kidney acute damage, where this compound was shown to diminish reperfusion-induced ventricular arrhythmias, oxidative stress, apoptotic cell death, inflammation, lactic acid levels and to preserve mitochondrial function. KEY MESSAGES: We propose that additional research is needed to evaluate the impact of cytoprotective therapy adjuvant to mitigate target organ damage in patients with CS.

Machine learning improves early prediction of organ failure in hyperlipidemia acute pancreatitis using clinical and abdominal CT features.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate and validate machine-learning predictive models combining computed tomography and clinical data to early predict organ failure (OF) in Hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis (HLAP). METHODS: Demographics, laboratory parameters and computed tomography imaging data of 314 patients with HLAP from the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University between 2017 and 2021, were retrospectively analyzed. Sixty-five percent of patients (n = 204) were assigned to the training group and categorized as patients with and without OF. Parameters were compared by univariate analysis. Machine-learning methods including random forest (RF) were used to establish model to predict OF of HLAP. Areas under the curves (AUCs) of receiver operating characteristic were calculated. The remaining 35% patients (n = 110) were assigned to the validation group to evaluate the performance of models to predict OF. RESULTS: Ninety-three (45.59%) and fifty (45.45%) patients from the training and the validation cohort, respectively, developed OF. The RF model showed the best performance to predict OF, with the highest AUC value of 0.915. The sensitivity (0.828) and accuracy (0.814) of RF model were both the highest among the five models in the study cohort. In the validation cohort, RF model continued to show the highest AUC (0.820), accuracy (0.773) and sensitivity (0.800) to predict OF in HLAP, while the positive and negative likelihood ratios and post-test probability were 3.22, 0.267 and 72.85%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Machine-learning models can be used to predict OF occurrence in HLAP in our pilot study. RF model showed the best predictive performance, which may be a promising candidate for further clinical validation.

Remission of organ failure in patients with predicted severe acute pancreatitis treated by somatostation, octreotide and cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: /Objectives: Persistent organ failure (OF) in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is caused by activation of cytokine cascades, resulting in inflammatory injury. Anti-inflammation may be helpful in OF remission in early SAP. To assess the efficacy of anti-inflammatory regimens for OF prevention and remission in patients with predicted SAP and display clinical doctors' acceptance of these strategies, we conducted this retrospective study in the real world. METHODS: Clinical data of patients with predicted SAP from 2010 to 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Cases were divided into conventional support (C), C+ somatostatin/octreotide (C + S/O), and C + S/O + Cyclooxygenase-2-inhibitors (C + S/O + COX-2-I). The occurrence of SAP, OF, changes of proportion for three strategies, length of hospital stay, meperidine injection, and cytokine levels were compared. The constituent ratios of the three schemes over eight years were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 580 cases (C = 124, C + S/O = 290, C + S/O + COX-2-I = 166) were included. The occurrences of SAP in the C + S/O (28.3 %) and C + S/O + COX-2-I (18.1 %) groups were significantly lower than that in C group (60.5 %, P < 0.001), mainly by reducing persistent respiratory failure (P < 0.001) and renal failure (P = 0.002). C + S/O and C + S/O + COX-2-I regimens significantly decreased new onset OF and enhanced OF amelioration within 48 h when compared with C treatment (P < 0.001) in patients with OF score <2 and ≥ 2 on admission, respectively. C + S/O and C + S/O + COX-2-I as compared with C group significantly decrease OF occurrences in a multivariate logistic regression analysis (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Somatostatin or its analogs and cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors are promising for OF prevention and remission in patients with predicted SAP. The acceptance of combined strategies in the real world has increased, and the occurrence of SAP has decreased annually.

Macrophage activation markers are associated with infection and mortality in patients with acute liver failure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Acute liver failure is a multisystem disorder with a high mortality and frequent need for emergency liver transplantation. Following massive innate immune system activation, soluble markers of macrophage activation are released during liver damage and their association with disease severity and prognosis requires exploration. METHODS: Patients ALF from the United States Acute Liver Failure Study Group (USALFSG, n = 224) and King's College Hospital (n = 40) together with healthy controls (HC, n = 50) were recruited. Serum from early (Days 1-3) and late (>Day 3) time points were analysed for MAMs by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay correlated to markers of illness severity and 21-day spontaneous survival. Surface expression phenotyping was performed via Flow Cytometry on CD14+ monocytes. RESULTS: All MAMs serum concentrations were significantly higher in ALF compared to controls (p < .0001). sCD206 concentration was higher in early and late stages of the disease in patients with bacteraemia (p = .002) and infection in general (p = .006). In MELD-adjusted multivariate modelling, sCD206 and sCD163 were independently associated with mortality. CD14+ monocyte expression of CD206 (p < .001) was higher in patients with ALF compared with controls and correlated with SOFA score (p = .018). sCD206 was independently validated as a predictor of infection in an external cohort. CONCLUSIONS: sCD206 is increased in serum of ALF patients with infections and poor outcome and is upregulated on CD14+ monocytes. Later measurements of sCD163 and sCD206 during the evolution of ALF have potential as mechanistic predictors of mortality. sCD206 should be explored as a biomarker of sepsis and mortality in ALF.

Novel biomarkers to identify complicated course of febrile neutropenia in hematological patients receiving intensive chemotherapy.

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is a common consequence of intensive chemotherapy in hematological patients. More than 90% of the patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) develop FN, and 5%-10% of them die from subsequent sepsis. FN is very common also in autologous stem cell transplant recipients, but the risk of death is lower than in AML patients. In this review, we discuss biomarkers that have been evaluated for diagnostic and prognostic purposes in hematological patients with FN. In general, novel biomarkers have provided little benefit over traditional inflammatory biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein and procalcitonin. The utility of most biomarkers in hematological patients with FN has been evaluated in only a few small studies. Although some of them appear promising, much more data is needed before they can be implemented in the clinical evaluation of FN patients. Currently, close patient follow-up is key to detect complicated course of FN and the need for further interventions such as intensive care unit admission. Scoring systems such as q-SOFA (Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) or NEWS (National Early Warning Sign) combined with traditional and/or novel biomarkers may provide added value in the clinical evaluation of FN patients.

Severe hepatic encephalopathy with mechanical ventilation may inform waitlist priority in acute liver failure: A UNOS database analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with acute liver failure (ALF) awaiting liver transplantation (LT) may develop multiorgan failure, but organ failure does not impact waitlist prioritization. The aim of this study was to examine the impact of organ failure on waitlist mortality risk and post LT outcomes in patients with ALF. METHODS: We studied adults waitlisted for ALF in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database (2002-2019). Organ failures were defined using a previously described Chronic Liver Failure modified sequential organ failure score assessment adapted to UNOS data. Regression analyses of the primary endpoints, 30-day waitlist mortality (Competing risk), and post-LT mortality (Cox-proportional hazards), were performed. Latent class analysis (LCA) was used to determine the organ failures most closely associated with 30-day waitlist mortality. RESULTS: About 3212 adults with ALF were waitlisted, for hepatotoxicity (41%), viral (12%) and unspecified (36%) etiologies. The median number of organ failures was three (interquartile range 1-3). Having ≥3 organ failures (vs. ≤2) was associated with a sub hazard ratio (HR) of 2.7 (95%CI 2.2-3.4)) and a HR of 1.5 (95%CI 1.1-2.5)) for waitlist and post-LT mortality, respectively. LCA identified neurologic and respiratory failure as most impactful on 30-day waitlist mortality. The odds ratios for both organ failures (vs. neither) were higher for mortality 4.5 (95% CI 3.4-5.9) and lower for delisting for spontaneous survival .5 (95%CI .4-.7) and LT .6 (95%CI .5-.7). CONCLUSION: Cumulative organ failure, especially neurologic and respiratory failure, significantly impacts waitlist and post-LT mortality in patients with ALF and may inform risk-prioritized allocation of organs.

Early encapsulation of peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections on imaging (CECT) in acute pancreatitis: influential factors and clinical significance for prognosis.

BACKGROUND: To identify the factors influencing the early encapsulation of peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections via contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) and to determine the clinical significance of early encapsulation for determining the prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP) patients. METHODS: AP patients who underwent CECT between 4 and 10 days after disease onset were enrolled in this study. Early encapsulation was defined as a continuous enhancing wall around peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections on CECT. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the associations between the variables and early encapsulation. Clinical outcomes were compared between the non-encapsulation and early encapsulation groups with 1:1 propensity score matching. RESULTS: A total of 289 AP patients were enrolled. The intra-observer and inter-observer agreement were considered good (kappa statistics of 0.729 and 0.614, respectively) for identifying early encapsulation on CECT. The ratio of encapsulation increased with time, with a ratio of 12.5% on day 5 to 48.7% on day 9. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the longer time from onset to CECT examination (OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.23-1.97), high alanine aminotransferase level (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-0.99), and high APACHE II score (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.98) were found to be independent factors associated with delayed encapsulation. The incidence of persistent organ failure was significantly lower in the early encapsulation group after matching (22.4% vs 6.1%, p = 0.043). However, there was no difference in the incidence of infected pancreatic necrosis, surgical intervention, or in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: AP patients without early encapsulation of peripancreatic fluid/necrosis collections have a greater risk of persistent organ failure. In addition to longer time, the high APACHE II score and elevated alanine aminotransferase level are factors associated with delayed encapsulation.

Persistent high sepsis-induced coagulopathy and sequential organ failure assessment scores can predict the 28-day mortality of patients with sepsis: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND: The performance of the sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores in predicting the prognoses of patients with sepsis has been validated. This study aimed to investigate the time course of SIC and SOFA scores and their association with outcomes in patients with sepsis. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled 209 patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency department. The SIC and SOFA scores of the patients were assessed on days 1, 2, and 4. Patients were categorized into survivor or non-survivor groups based on their 28-day survival. We conducted a generalized estimating equation analysis to evaluate the time course of SIC and SOFA scores and the corresponding differences between the two groups. The predictive value of SIC and SOFA scores at different time points for sepsis prognosis was evaluated. RESULTS: In the non-survivor group, SIC and SOFA scores gradually increased during the first 4 days (P < 0.05). In the survivor group, the SIC and SOFA scores on day 2 were significantly higher than those on day 1 (P < 0.05); however, they decreased on day 4, dropping below the levels observed on day 1 (P < 0.05). The non-survivors showed higher SIC scores on days 2 (P < 0.05) and 4 (P < 0.001) than the survivors, whereas no significant differences were found between the two groups on day 1 (P > 0.05). The performance of SIC scores on day 4 for predicting mortality was more accurate than that on day 2, with areas under the curve of 0.749 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.674-0.823), and 0.601 (95% CI: 0.524-0.679), respectively. The SIC scores demonstrated comparable predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality to the SOFA scores on days 2 and 4. Cox proportional hazards models indicated that SIC on day 4 (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.736; 95% CI: 2.025-6.891) was an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The time course of SIC and SOFA scores differed between surviving and non-surviving patients with sepsis, and persistent high SIC and SOFA scores can predict 28-day mortality.

Association between urea trajectory and protein dose in critically ill adults: a secondary exploratory analysis of the effort protein trial (RE-EFFORT).

BACKGROUND: Delivering higher doses of protein to mechanically ventilated critically ill patients did not improve patient outcomes and may have caused harm. Longitudinal urea measurements could provide additional information about the treatment effect of higher protein doses. We hypothesised that higher urea values over time could explain the potential harmful treatment effects of higher doses of protein. METHODS: We conducted a reanalysis of a randomised controlled trial of higher protein doses in critical illness (EFFORT Protein). We applied Bayesian joint models to estimate the strength of association of urea with 30-day survival and understand the treatment effect of higher protein doses. RESULTS: Of the 1301 patients included in EFFORT Protein, 1277 were included in this analysis. There were 344 deaths at 30 days post-randomisation. By day 6, median urea was 2.1 mmol/L higher in the high protein group (95% CI 1.1-3.2), increasing to 3.0 mmol/L (95% CI 1.3-4.7) by day 12. A twofold rise in urea was associated with an increased risk of death at 30 days (hazard ratio 1.34, 95% credible interval 1.21-1.48), following adjustment of baseline characteristics including age, illness severity, renal replacement therapy, and presence of AKI. This association persisted over the duration of 30-day follow-up and in models adjusting for evolution of organ failure over time. CONCLUSIONS: The increased risk of death in patients randomised to a higher protein dose in the EFFORT Protein trial was estimated to be mediated by increased urea cycle activity, of which serum urea is a biological signature. Serum urea should be taken into consideration when initiating and continuing protein delivery in critically ill patients. CLINICALTRIALS: gov Identifier: NCT03160547 (2017-05-17).

Facial appearance associates with longitudinal multi-organ failure: an ICU cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Facial appearance, whether consciously or subconsciously assessed, may affect clinical assessment and treatment strategies in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Nevertheless, the association between objective clinical measurement of facial appearance and multi-organ failure is currently unknown. The objective of this study was to examine whether facial appearance at admission is associated with longitudinal evaluation of multi-organ failure. METHODS: This was a sub-study of the Simple Intensive Care Studies-II, a prospective observational cohort study. All adult patients acutely admitted to the ICU between March 26, 2019, and July 10, 2019, were included. Facial appearance was assessed within three hours of ICU admission using predefined pictograms. The SOFA score was serially measured each day for the first seven days after ICU admission. The association between the extent of eye-opening and facial skin colour with longitudinal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores was investigated using generalized estimation equations. RESULTS: SOFA scores were measured in 228 patients. Facial appearance scored by the extent of eye-opening was associated with a higher SOFA score at admission and follow-up (unadjusted 0.7 points per step (95%CI 0.5 to 0.9)). There was no association between facial skin colour and a worse SOFA score over time. However, patients with half-open or closed eyes along with flushed skin had a lower SOFA score than patients with a pale or normal facial skin colour (P-interaction < 0.1). CONCLUSIONS: The scoring of patients' facial cues, primarily the extent of eye-opening and facial colour, provided valuable insights into the disease state and progression of the disease of critically ill patients. The utilization of advanced monitoring techniques that incorporate facial appearance holds promise for enhancing future intensive care support.

Weighted thyroid-stimulating hormone disturbance in prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.

AIM: To weight the prognostic value of thyroid hormones in catastrophic acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). METHODS: A retrospective cohort (n = 635) and two prospective cohorts (n = 353, and 198) were enrolled in this study. The performance of a novel developed prognostic score was assessed from aspects of reliability, discrimination, and clinical net benefit. RESULTS: Thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) was identified to have the most potential as a prognostic predictor for hepatitis B virus-related ACLF among thyroid hormones. The novel score (modified chronic liver failure-organ failure score [mCLIF-OFs]) was developed with weighted TSH and other scored organs in the CLIF-OFs using the retrospective cohort (n = 635). The predicted risk and observed probabilities of death were comparable across the deciles of mCLIF-OFs (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2  = 4.28, p = 0.83; Brier scaled = 11.9). The C-index of mCLIF-OFs (0.885 [0.883-0.887]) for 30-day mortality was significantly higher than that of the CLIF-OFs, chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score (CLIF-SOFAs), CLIF-C ACLFs, Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), and Child-Pugh (all p < 0.001). The absolute improvements of prediction error rates of the mCLIF-OFs compared to the above five scores were from 19.0% to 61.1%. After the analysis of probability density function, the mCLIF-OFs showed the least overlapping coefficients (27.9%) among the above prognostic scores. Additionally, the mCLIF-OFs showed greater net benefit than the above five prognostic scores over a wide range of risk threshold of death. Similar results were validated in two prospective ACLF cohorts with HBV and non-HBV etiologies. CONCLUSION: Weighted TSH portended the outcome of ACLF patients, which could be treated as a "damaged organ" of the hypothalamic-pituitary-thyroid axis. The novel mCLIF-OFs is a reliable prognostic score with better discrimination power and clinical net benefit than CLIF-OFs, CLIF-SOFAs, CLIF-C ACLFs, MELD, and Child-Pugh.

Circulating Markers of Necroptosis in Acute Pancreatitis.

OBJECTIVES: Necroptosis, a programmed inflammatory cell death, is involved in the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis (AP). We compared levels of interleukin (IL)-33 (released upon necroptosis), sST2 (soluble IL-33 receptor), MLKL, RIPK1 and RIPK3 (necroptosis executioner proteins), and proinflammatory cytokines IL-6, TNF and IL-1ß at various severity categories and stages of AP. METHODS: Plasma from 20 patients with early mild AP (MAP) (symptom onset < 72 h), 7 with severe AP (SAP) without and 4 with persistent organ failure (OF) at sampling, 8 patients with late SAP and 20 healthy controls (HC) were studied by ELISAs. RESULTS: Early sST2 and IL-6 levels predicted the development of SAP and were higher in both MAP and early and late SAP than in HC. RIPK3 levels were higher than in HC in the patients who had or would later have SAP. MLKL levels were associated with the presence of OFs, particularly in the late phase, but were also higher in MAP than in HC. CONCLUSIONS: sST2, RIPK3 and IL-6 levels may have prognostic value in AP. Elevated MLKL levels are associated with OF in AP. Better understanding of necroptosis in AP pathophysiology is needed to evaluate whether inhibiting and targeting necroptosis is a potential therapeutic option in AP.

Modifiability of surgical timing in postinjury multiple organ failure patients.

BACKGROUND: Postinjury multiple organ failure (MOF) is the leading cause of late trauma deaths, with primarily non-modifiable risk factors. Timing of surgery as a potentially modifiable risk factor is frequently proposed, but has not been quantified. We aimed to compare mortality, hospital length of stay (LOS), and ICU LOS between MOF patients who had surgery that preceded MOF with modifiable timings versus those with non-modifiable timings. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of an ongoing 17-year prospective cohort study of ICU polytrauma patients at-risk of MOF. Among MOF patients (Denver score>3), we identified patients who had surgery that preceded MOF, determined whether the timing of these operation(s) were modifiable(M) or non-modifiable (non-M), and evaluated the change in physiological parameters as a result of surgery. RESULTS: Of 716 polytrauma patients at-risk of MOF, 205/716 (29%) developed MOF, and 161/205 (79%) had surgery during their ICU admission. Of the surgical MOF patients, 147/161 (91%) had one or more operation(s) that preceded MOF, and 65/161 (40%) of them had operation(s) with modifiable timings. There were no differences in age (mean (SD) 52 (19) vs 53 (21)years), injury severity score (median (IQR) 34 (26-41)vs34 (25-44)), admission physiological and resuscitation parameters, between M and non-M-patients. M patients had longer ICU LOS (median (IQR) 18 (12-28)versus 11 (8-16)days, p < 0.0001) than non-M-patients, without difference in mortality (14%vs16%, p = 0.7347), or hospital LOS (median (IQR) 32 (18-52)vs27 (17-47)days, p = 0.3418). M-patients had less fluids and transfusions intraoperatively. Surgery did not compromise patient physiology. CONCLUSION: Operations preceding MOF are common in polytrauma and seem to be safe in maintaining physiology. The margin for improvement from optimizing surgical timing is modest, contrary to historical assumptions.

Clinical characteristics and analysis of prognostic factors in methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus endocarditis: A retrospective multicenter study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Infective endocarditis (IE) caused by MRSA (methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus) is associated with a high mortality rate. This study aimed to elucidate the characteristics of patients with MRSA-IE in Japan and identify the factors associated with prognosis. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with a confirmed diagnosis of IE caused by MRSA, between January 2015 and April 2019. RESULTS: A total of 65 patients from 19 centers were included, with a mean age of 67 years and 26 % were female. Fifty percent of the patients with IE were had nosocomial infections and 25 % had prosthetic valve involvement. The most common comorbidities were hemodialysis (20 %) and diabetes (20 %). Congestive heart failure was present in 86 % of patients (NYHA class I, II: 48 %; III, IV: 38 %). The 30-day and in-hospital mortality rates were 29 % and 46 %, respectively. Multi-organ failure was the primary cause of death, accounting for 43 % of all causes of death. Prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality were age, disseminated intravascular coagulation, daptomycin and/or linezolid as initial antibiotic therapy, and surgery. Surgical treatment was associated with a lower mortality rate (odds ratio [OR], 0.026; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.002-0.382; p = 0.008 for 30-day mortality and OR, 0.130; 95 % CI; 0.029-0.584; p = 0.008 for in-hospital mortality). CONCLUSION: Mortality due to MRSA-IE remains high. Surgical treatment is a significant prognostic predictor of MRSA-IE.

Application of Nanoparticles as Novel Adsorbents in Blood Purification Strategies.

BACKGROUND: Blood purification therapy for patients overloaded with metabolic toxins or drugs still needs improvement. Blood purification therapies, such as in hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis can profit from a combined application with nanoparticles. SUMMARY: In this review, the published literature is analyzed with respect to nanomaterials that have been customized and functionalized as nano-adsorbents during blood purification therapy. Liposomes possess a distinct combined structure composed of a hydrophobic lipid bilayer and a hydrophilic core. The liposomes which have enzymes in their aqueous core or obtain specific surface modifications of the lipid bilayer can offer appreciated advantages. Preclinical and clinical experiments with such modified liposomes show that they are highly efficient and generally safe. They may serve as indirect and direct adsorption materials both in hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis treatment for patients with renal or hepatic failure. Apart from dialysis, nanoparticles made of specially designed metal and activated carbon have also been utilized to enhance the removal of solutes during hemoadsorption. Results are a superior adsorption capacity and good hemocompatibility shown during the treatment of patients with toxication or end-stage renal disease. In summary, nanomaterials are promising tools for improving the treatment efficacy of organ failure or toxication. KEY MESSAGES: (i) The pH-transmembrane liposomes and enzyme-loaded liposomes are two representatives of liposomes with modified aqueous inner core which have been put into practice in dialysis. (ii) Unmodified or physiochemically modified liposomal bilayers are ideal binders for lipophilic protein-bound uremic toxins or cholestatic solutes, thus liposome-supported dialysis could become the next-generation hemodialysis treatment of artificial liver support system. (iii) Novel nano-based sorbents featuring large surface area, high adsorption capacity and decent biocompatibility have shown promise in the treatment of uremia, hyperbilirubinemia, intoxication, and sepsis. (vi) A major challenge of production lies in avoiding changes in physical and chemical properties induced by manufacturing and sterilizing procedures.

The usefulness of lactate/albumin ratio, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, procalcitonin/albumin ratio, SOFA, and qSOFA in predicting the prognosis of patients with sepsis who presented to EDs.

PURPOSE: Early identification of sepsis with a poor prognosis in the emergency department (ED) is crucial for prompt management and improved outcomes. This study aimed to examine the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), quick SOFA (qSOFA), lactate to albumin ratio (LAR), C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR), and procalcitonin to albumin ratio (PAR), obtained in the ED, as predictors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis and septic shock. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included 3499 patients (aged ≥19 years) from multicenter registry of the Korean Shock Society between October 2015 and December 2019. The SOFA score, qSOFA score, and lactate level at the time of registry enrollment were used. Albumin, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin levels were obtained from the initial laboratory results measured upon ED arrival. We evaluated the predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. A multivariable logistic regression analysis of the independent predictors of 28-day mortality was performed. The SOFA score, LAR, CAR, and PAR were converted to categorical variables using Youden's index and analyzed. Adjusting for confounding factors such as age, sex, comorbidities, and infection focus, adjusted odds ratios (aOR) were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 3499 patients, 2707 (77.4%) were survivors, whereas 792 (22.6%) were non-survivors. The median age of the patients was 70 (25th-75th percentiles, 61-78), and 2042 (58.4%) were male. LAR for predicting 28-day mortality had the highest AUROC, followed by the SOFA score (0.715; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69-0.74 and 0.669; 95% CI: 0.65-0.69, respectively). The multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the aOR of LAR >1.52 was 3.75 (95% CI: 3.16-4.45), and the aOR, of SOFA score at enrollment >7.5 was 2.67 (95% CI: 2.25-3.17). CONCLUSION: The results of this study showed that LAR is a relatively strong predictor of sepsis prognosis in the ED setting, indicating its potential as a straightforward and practical prognostic factor. This finding may assist healthcare providers in the ED by providing them with tools to risk-stratify patients and predict their mortality.