A One Health Perspective on Salmonella enterica Serovar Infantis, an Emerging Human Multidrug-Resistant Pathogen.

Salmonella enterica serovar Infantis presents an ever-increasing threat to public health because of its spread throughout many countries and association with high levels of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). We analyzed whole-genome sequences of 5,284 Salmonella Infantis strains from 74 countries, isolated during 1989-2020 from a wide variety of human, animal, and food sources, to compare genetic phylogeny, AMR determinants, and plasmid presence. The global Salmonella Infantis population structure diverged into 3 clusters: a North American cluster, a European cluster, and a global cluster. The levels of AMR varied by Salmonella Infantis cluster and by isolation source; 73% of poultry isolates were multidrug resistant, compared with 35% of human isolates. This finding correlated with the presence of the pESI megaplasmid; 71% of poultry isolates contained pESI, compared with 32% of human isolates. This study provides key information for public health teams engaged in reducing the spread of this pathogen.

Predicting Hospital Survival in Patients Admitted to ICU with Pulmonary Embolism.

OBJECTIVE: The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and simplified PESI (sPESI) predict mortality for patients with PE. We compared PESI/sPESI to the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE-IV) in predicting mortality in patients with PE admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Additionally, we assessed the performance of a novel ICU-sPESI score created by adding three clinical variables associated with acuity of PE presentation (intubation, confusion [altered mental status], use of vasoactive infusions) to sPESI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using the eICU Collaborative Research Database from 2014 to 2015, we conducted a large retrospective cohort study of adult patients admitted to the ICU with a primary diagnosis of PE. We calculated APACHE-IV, PESI, sPESI, and ICU-sPESI scores and compared their performance for predicting in-hospital mortality using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Score thresholds for >99% negative predictive values (NPV) were calculated for each score. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: We included 1424 PE cases. In-hospital mortality was 6.3% [95% CI: 5.1%-7.6%]. AUROC for APACHE-IV, PESI, and sPESI were 0.870, 0.848, and 0.777, respectively. APACHE-IV and PESI outperformed sPESI (P < 0.01 for both comparisons), while APACHE-IV and PESI demonstrated similar performance (P = 0.322). The ICU-sPESI performance was similar to APACHE-IV and PESI (AUROC = 0.847; AUROC comparison: APACHE-IV vs ICU-sPESI: P = 0.396; PESI vs ICU-sPESI: P = 0.945). Hospital mortality for ICU-sPESI scores 0-2 was 1.1%, and for scores 3, 4, 5, 6, and ≥7 was 8.6%, 11.7%, 29.2%, 37.5%, and 76.9%, respectively. Score thresholds for >99% NPV were ≤48 for APACHE-IV, ≤115 for PESI, and 0 points for sPESI and ICU-sPESI. CONCLUSIONS: By accounting for severity of PE presentation, our newly proposed ICU-sPESI score provided improved PE mortality prediction compared to the original sPESI score and offered excellent discrimination of mortality risk.

Emergence of Salmonella Infantis carrying the pESI-like plasmid from eggs in egg grading and packing plants in Korea.

The plasmid of emerging S. Infantis (pESI) or pESI-like plasmid in Salmonella enterica Infantis are consistently reported in poultry and humans worldwide. However, there has been limited research on these plasmids of S. Infantis isolated from eggs. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze the prevalence and characteristics of S. Infantis carrying the pESI-like plasmid from eggs in egg grading and packing plants. In this study, the pESI-like plasmid was only detected in 18 (78.3%) of 23 S. Infantis isolates, and it was absent in the other 9 Salmonella serovars. In particular, S. Infantis isolates carrying the pESI-like plasmid showed the significantly higher resistance to ß-lactams, phenicols, cephams, aminoglycosides, quinolones, sulfonamides, and tetracyclines than Salmonella isolates without the pESI-like plasmid (p < 0.05). Moreover, all S. Infantis isolates carrying the pESI-like plasmid were identified as extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL) producer, harboring the blaCTX-M-65 and blaTEM-1 genes, and carried non-ß-lactamase resistance genes (ant(3'')-Ia, aph(4)-Ia, aac(3)-IVa, aph(3')-Ic, sul1, tetA, dfrA14, and floR) against five antimicrobial classes. However, all isolates without the pESI-like plasmid only carried the blaTEM-1 gene among the ß-lactamase genes, and either had no non-ß-lactamase resistance genes or harbored non-ß-lactamase resistance genes against one or two antimicrobial classes. Furthermore, all S. Infantis isolates carrying the pESI-like plasmid carried class 1 and 2 integrons and the aadA1 gene cassette, but none of the other isolates without the pESI-like plasmid harbored integrons. In particular, D87Y substitution in the gyrA gene and IncP replicon type were observed in all the S. Infantis isolates carrying the pESI-like plasmid but not in the S. Infantis isolates without the pESI-like plasmid. The distribution of pulsotypes between pESI-positive and pESI-negative S. Infantis isolates was clearly distinguished, but all S. Infantis isolates were classified as sequence type 32, regardless of whether they carried the pESI-like plasmid. This study is the first to report the characteristics of S. Infantis carrying the pESI-like plasmid isolated from eggs and can provide valuable information for formulating strategies to control the spread of Salmonella in the egg industry worldwide.

Polymerase chain reaction for the in vitro detection of the pESI plasmid associated with the globally circulating Salmonella Infantis outbreak strain.

A globally circulating strain of Salmonella enterica serotype Infantis containing the pESI plasmid has increased in prevalence in poultry meat samples and cases of human infections. In this study, a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) protocol was designed to detect the pESI plasmid and confirm the Infantis serotype of Salmonella isolates. Primers were tested bioinformatically to predict specificity, sensitivity, and precision. A total of 54 isolates of Salmonella serotypes Infantis, Senftenberg, and Alachua were tested, with and without the pESI plasmid carriage. Isolates of 31 additional serotypes were also screened to confirm specificity to Infantis. Specificity, sensitivity, and precision of each primer were >0.95. All isolates tested produced the expected band sizes. This PCR protocol provides a rapid and clear result for the detection of the pESI plasmid and serotype Infantis and will allow for the in vitro detection for epidemiological studies where whole-genome sequencing is not available.

Utility of Combining High-Sensitive Cardiac Troponin I and PESI Score for Risk Management in Patients with Pulmonary Embolism in the Emergency Department.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary embolism (PE) has a major burden of morbidity and mortality, consequently the need for a prompt risk stratification for these subjects is crucial. In order to evaluate the risk management and final disposition of patients with PE in the Emergency Department (ED), we conducted a study that was divided in two phases: Phase I retrospective study (RS), Phase II prospective study (PS). MATERIALS AND METHODS: In Phase I, 291 patients were enrolled while in Phase II, 83 subjects were evaluated. In both study phases, the enrolled subjects were analyzed for final disposition in ED using PESI score, right ventricle (RV) imaging, and high-sensitive cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) data. The RS patients were divided into low risk and high risk according to the sPESI score, while PS patients were grouped in low, intermediate, and high risk classes according to PESI score. In both study phases, all the studied patients were further divided into negative (hs-cTnI-) or positive (hs-cTnI+) groups according to hs-cTnI levels within normal or above cutoff values, respectively. For all enrolled subjects, CT pulmonary angiography was analyzed to assess the RV/LV diameter and volume ratio as an indicator of RV involvement. RESULTS: In both RS and PS phases, hs-cTnI+ group showed a higher PESI score. Nevertheless, a significant percentage of hs-cTnI+ patients resulted to be in the low-risk PESI class. Patients with a positive RV/LV ratio were more likely to have a hs-cTnI+ (p < 0.01), while among those with a negative ratio, 24 to 32% showed as hs-cTnI+. In the hs-cTnI+ group from both study phases, patients were more likely to be admitted in an ICU (RR 3.7, IC: 2.1-6.5). CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, in patients with PE in the ED compared PESI score alone, the combination of hs-cTnI and PESI seems to be of greater utility in improving risk stratification and final disposition decision-making.

Infection dynamics of Salmonella Infantis vary considerably between chicken lines.

ABSTRACTSalmonella (S.) Infantis is the most common serovar in broilers and broiler meat in the European Union. In the field, fast-growing broilers are reported to be more affected than slow-growing and layer birds. The present study investigated the infection dynamics and immunological response of four chicken lines in the course of a S. Infantis infection. Two commercial chicken lines, Ross 308 and Hubbard ISA-JA-757, and two experimental chicken lines, specific pathogen free (SPF) layers and broilers, were infected at 2 days of age. Investigations focused on faecal shedding, bacterial colonization, humoral and cellular immune response. Ross and SPF broilers proved mainly as high shedders followed by Hubbard. SPF layers showed the least shedding. This is in agreement with the caecal colonization; SPF layers harboured significantly less bacteria. Systemic spread of S. Infantis to liver and spleen was highest in Ross broilers compared to the other lines. Spread of infection to in-contact birds, was noticed 5 days post infection in every line. Antibody response occurred in every chicken line from 21 days of age onwards. In contrast to the other chicken lines, significant differences in T cell subsets and monocytes/macrophages were found between infected and negative Hubbard birds at 7 days of age. Uninfected SPF birds had significantly higher immune cell counts than uninfected commercial birds, a fact important for future experimental settings. The results illustrate that the infection dynamics of S. Infantis is influenced by the chicken line resulting in a higher risk of transmission to humans from fast-growing broilers.RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS Infection dynamics of Salmonella Infantis differs between chicken lines.Layers showed less faecal shedding and caecal colonization compared to broilers.Fast-growing broilers proved more susceptible than slow-growing broilers.

PESI score for predicting clinical outcomes in PE patients with right ventricular involvement.

Pulmonary embolism (PE) patients with right ventricular (RV) involvement are a heterogenous group who mandate further risk stratification. Our objective was to evaluate the efficacy of the PE severity index (PESI) for predicting adverse clinical outcomes among PE patients with RV involvement. Consecutive normotensive PE patients with RV involvement were allocated according to admission PESI score (PESI ≤ III vs. PESI ≥ IV). The primary outcome included hemodynamic instability and in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included each component of the primary outcome as well as mechanical ventilation, thrombolytic therapy, acute kidney injury, and major bleeding. Multivariable logistic regression model was performed to assess the independent association between the PESI score and primary outcome. C-Statistic was used to compare the PESI with the BOVA score. A total of 253 patients were evaluated: 95 (38%) with a PESI ≥ IV. Of them, 82 (32%) patients were classified as intermediate-low risk and 171 (68%) as intermediate-high risk. Fifty (20%) patients had at least 1 adverse event. Multivariate analysis demonstrated the PESI to be an independent predictor for the primary outcome (HR 4.81, CI 95%, 1.15-20.09, p = 0.031), which was increased with a concomitant increase of the PESI score (PESI I 4.2%, PESI II 3.4%, PESI III 12%, PESI IV 16.3%, PESI V 23.1%, p for trend < 0.001). C-Statistic analysis for the PESI score yielded an AUC-0.746 (0.637-0.854), p = 0.001, compared to the BOVA score: AUC-0.679 (0.584-0.775), p = 0.011. PESI score was found to predict adverse outcomes among normotensive PE patients with RV involvement.

Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index Predicts Adverse Events in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary embolism is one of the leading causes of death in patients with COVID-19. Autopsy findings showed that the incidence of thromboembolic events was higher than clinically suspected. In this study, the authors investigated the relationship between pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) and simplified PESI (sPESI) on admission to the hospital, as well as adverse events in hospitalized COVID-19 patients without clinically documented venous and/or pulmonary embolism. The adverse events investigated were the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome, the need for intensive care unit admission, invasive or noninvasive mechanical ventilation, and in-hospital mortality. DESIGN: A retrospective and observational study. SETTING: Two large-volume tertiary hospitals in the same city. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 720 hospitalized COVID-19 patients with a positive polymerase chain reaction were evaluated. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of the study population, 48.6% (350) were women, and the median age was 66 years (19-96). The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 20.5%. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, a significant relationship was found between the whole adverse events considered and PESI, as well as sPESI (p < 0.001). According to the results, sPESI ≥2 predicts in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 61.4% and specificity of 83.3% (area under the curve = 0.817, 95% confidence interval 0.787-0.845, p < 0.001). Similarly, PESI classes IV and V also were found as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality (for PESI class IV, odds ratio = 2.81, p < 0.017; for PESI class V, odds ratio = 3.94, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: PESI and sPESI scoring systems were both found to be associated with adverse events, and they can be used to predict in-hospital mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients without documented venous and/or pulmonary embolism.

The Prognostic Value of C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio in Acute Pulmonary Embolism.

Background: Serum C-reactive protein (CRP) to albumin ratio (CAR) has been defined as an inflammation-based prognostic marker. We evaluated the association and prognostic value of CRP/albumin ratio in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). Methods: A total of 256 patients with acute PE who were hospitalized between March 2016 and December 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. PE severity index (PESI) was calculated. Serum levels of CRP and albumin that were obtained at the time of admission were used for calculation. CAR was evaluated for correlation with PESI, and thus, foresee the risk of death due to PE. Results: There were 186 patients eligible for inclusion. 54 patients were in intermediate, 34 patients were in high risk and 98 patients were in very high-risk group according to PESI score. In the correlation analysis, we observed moderate positive correlations between CRP/albumin ratio, troponin and PESI score (r = 0.584, p < 0.0001; r = 521, p < 0.0001, respectively). Regression analysis revealed that only CRP/albumin ratio and PESI score were independent risk factors associated with 6-month mortality of acute PE patients. The AUC for CRP/albumin ratio was 0.643, 0.751, and 0.763 for 30-day, 90-day, and 6-month mortality, respectively (95% CI: 0.550-0.737, 0.672-0.830, 0.687-0.838]. A cut-off value of 5.33 for CRP/albumin ratio was associated with 65.3% sensitivity and 65.6% specificity in predicting 6-month mortality. Conclusion: The CRP/albumin ratio, an inexpensive and easily measurable laboratory variable, may be a useful prognostic marker of PE, especially when other causes that alter serum levels are excluded from the study.

Can a modified-simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (m-sPESI) be used to predict the need for intensive care in hospitalized COVID-19 patients?

Severe acute respiratory syndrome-associated coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which has been considered a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO). Clinical manifestations of COVID-19 disease may differ, most cases are mild, but a significant minority of patients may develop moderate to severe respiratory symptoms, with the most severe cases requiring intensive care and/or mechanical ventilatory support. In this study, we aimed to identify validity of our modified scoring system for foreseeing the approach to the COVID-19 patient and the disease, the treatment plan, the severity of morbidity and even the risk of mortality from the clinician's point of view. In this single center study, we examined the patients hospitalized with the diagnosis of COVID-19 between 01/04/2020 and 01/06/2020, of the 228 patients who were between 20 and 90 years of age, and whose polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests of nasal and pharyngeal swab samples were positive. We evaulated 228 (92 male and 136 female) PCR (+) patients. Univariate analysis showed that advanced age (p < 0.001), hemoglobin (p < 0.001), troponin-I (p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) (p < 0.001), fibrinogen (p < 0.001), HT (p = 0.01), CAD (p = 0.001), DM (p < 0.001), history of malignancy (p = 0.008), along with m-sPESI scores (p < 0.001) were significantly higher in patients that needed intensive care due to COVID-19 infection. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, only the m-sPESI score higher than ≥ 2 was found to be highly significant in terms of indicating the need for ICU admission (AUC 0.948; 84.6% sensitivity and 94.6% specificity) (p < 0.001). With an increasing number of hospitalized patients, healthcare providers are confronting a deluge of lab results in the process of caring for COVID-19 patients. It is imperative to identify risk factors for mortality and morbidity development. The modified sPESI scoring system, which we put forward, is successful in predicting the course of the disease at the presentation of the patient with COVID-19 disease and predicting the need for intensive care with high specificity and sensitivity, can detect the need for intensive care with high specificity and sensitivity.

Outpatient management of patients presenting with venous thromboembolism: Retrospective cohort study at 11 community hospitals.

A gap exists between clinical practice guidelines and real-world practice. We aim to investigate hospital admissions among patients presenting to emergency departments of 11 hospitals with venous thromboembolism (VTE). Eligible patients' first emergency department VTE visit were retrospectively collected between 2013 and 2018 from electronic medical records (EMR). Patients were categorized at low risk of VTE complications if they were diagnosed with deep vein thrombosis (DVT) of the leg or if they were diagnosed with pulmonary embolism (PE) and had a PE score index < 85. Multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to measure the adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of hospital admissions before and after clinical practice guidelines were updated to recommend outpatient management of DVT and PE with low risk of complications. A total of 13,677 patients were included in the analysis, of which 55% were diagnosed with DVT. Mean age was 65  ±  17 years, 54% were females, and 62% were Caucasian. Overall, 9281 patients were categorized at low risk VTE complications, of whom 77% were admitted for in-hospital management. The rate of in-hospital management declined from 81% in 2013 to 73% in 2018. Patients visiting emergency departments between 2016 and 2018 (post-guidelines) were equally likely to be admitted compared to patients visiting the emergency departments between 2013 and 2015 (pre-guidelines; OR = 0.99; 95% CI: 0.88, 1.11). Results from this real-world study indicate that most low-risk VTE patients are admitted for in-hospital management, despite recommendations in clinical practice guidelines.

The new prognostic factor for pulmonary embolism: The ratio of monocyte count to HDL cholesterol.

PURPOSE: Aim of this study is to investigate effectiveness of the monocyte to HDL cholesterol ratio in patients diagnosed with pulmonary embolism for predicting intra-hospital mortality. METHOD: A total of 269 patients diagnosed with pulmonary embolism in the emergency clinic were included in the study. Study was conducted retrospectively. Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), Monocyte count and high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) values were determined. MHR values of the patients were calculated. SPSS 26 package program was used to investigate the effectiveness of MHR in predicting mortality. FINDINGS: Mean age of the patients was 64.51 ± 12.4 years. PESI, Number of monocytes and MHR were significantly higher in the group with mortality than the group without mortality (p < .05). HDL values were significantly lower (p < .05) in mortality group. Sensitivity of MHR 19 cut off value was 89.3%, and its specificity was 82.0%. CONCLUSION: Use of predictors for mortality estimation in patients diagnosed with acute pulmonary embolism is important for faster administration of treatment modalities. We think MHR values can be used as a strong predictor according to the hemogram parameters and biochemical results.

Cost-effectiveness of managing low-risk pulmonary embolism patients without hospitalization. The low-risk pulmonary embolism prospective management study.

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the cost-effectiveness and difference in length-of-stay when patients in the ED diagnosed with low-risk pulmonary embolism (PE) are managed with early discharge or observation. METHODS: Single cohort prospective management study from January 2013 to October 2016 of patients with PE diagnosed in the ED and evaluated for a primary composite endpoint of mortality, recurrent venous thromboembolism, and/or major bleeding event at 90 days. Low-risk patients had a PE Severity Index score < 86, no evidence of proximal deep vein thrombosis on venous compression ultrasonography of both lower extremities, and no evidence of right heart strain on echocardiography. Patients were managed either in the ED or in the hospital on observation status. Primary outcomes were total length of stay, total encounter costs, and 30-day costs. RESULTS: 213 patients were enrolled. 13 were excluded per the study protocol. Of the remaining 200, 122 were managed with emergency department observation (EDO) and 78 with hospital observation (HO). One patient managed with EDO met the composite outcome due to a major bleeding event on day 61. The mean length of stay for EDO was 793.4 min (SD -169.7, 95% CI:762-823) and for HO was 1170 (SD -211.4, 95% CI:1122-1218) with a difference of 376.8 (95% CI: 430-323, p < 0.0001). Total encounter mean costs for EDO were $1982.95 and $2759.59 for HO, with a difference of $776.64 (95% CI: 972-480, p > 0.0001). 30-day total mean costs for EDO were $2864.14 and $3441.52 for HO, with a difference of $577.38 (95% CI: -1372-217, p = 0.15). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with low-risk PE managed with ED-based observation have a shorter length of stay and lower total encounter costs than patients managed with Hospital-based observation.

Right ventricular dysfunction is superior and sufficient for risk stratification by a pulmonary embolism response team.

Several risk stratification tools are available to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The presence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is an independent predictor of mortality and may be a more efficient way to stratify risk for patients assessed by a Pulmonary Embolism Response Team (PERT). We evaluated 571 patients presenting with acute PE, then stratified them by the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI), by the BOVA score, or categorically as low risk (no RV dysfunction by imaging), intermediate risk/submassive (RV dysfunction by imaging), or high risk/massive PE (RV dysfunction with sustained hypotension). Using imaging data to firstly define the presence of RV strain, and plasma cardiac biomarkers as additional evidence for myocardial dysfunction, we evaluated whether PESI, BOVA, or RV strain by imaging were more appropriate for determining patient risk by a PERT where rapid decision making is important. Cardiac biomarkers poorly distinguished between PESI classes and BOVA stages in patients with acute PE. Cardiac TnT and NT-proBNP easily distinguished low risk from submassive PE with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.73-0.95, p < 0.0001), and 0.88 (95% CI 0.79-0.97, p < 0.0001), respectively. Cardiac TnT and NT-proBNP easily distinguished low risk from massive PE with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.89 (95% CI 0.78-1.00, p < 0.0001), and 0.89 (95% CI 0.82-0.95, p < 0.0001), respectively. In patients with RV dysfunction, the predicted short-term mortality by PESI score or BOVA stage was lower than the observed mortality by a two-fold order of magnitude. The presence of RV dysfunction alone in the context of acute PE is sufficient for the purposes of risk stratification. More complicated risk stratification tools which require the consideration of multiple clinical variables may under-estimate short-term mortality risk.

A narrative review of red blood cell distribution width as a marker for pulmonary embolism.

Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a marker of variability in red blood cell size, and is routinely reported as part of a patient's complete blood count. RDW has been shown to be associated with the prediction, severity and prognosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) in recent studies. The underlying biomolecular mechanism of the relationship of RDW to PE is largely unknown, but is thought to be due to the relationship of RDW with acute inflammatory markers and variations in blood viscosity. This review substantiates that a high RDW level, defined using either an arbitrary number or according to receiver operator curve statistics, is associated with a higher risk of acute PE, increased severity (massive vs. submassive) of PE and increased mortality in patients with PE. Nevertheless, the comparison of current studies is limited due to the definition of high RDW (each study uses a different RDW cutoff level), the broad range of exclusion criteria and the inclusion of differing modalities used to diagnose a PE (computed tomography angiogram, ventilation-perfusion study, or clinical diagnosis). Despite the above limitations, these studies provide a promising future clinical use for RDW as a marker of PE.

Simplified PESI score and sex difference in prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism: a brief report from a real life study.

Prognostic stratification of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) remains a challenge in clinical practice. Simplified PESI (sPESI) score is a practical validated score aimed to stratify 30-day mortality risk in acute PE. Whether prognostic value of sPESI score differs according to sex has not been previously investigated. Therefore the aim of our study was to provide information about it. Data records of 452 patients, 180 males (39.8 %) and 272 females (60.2 %) discharged for acute PE from Internal Medicine wards of Tuscany (Italy) were analysed. sPESI was retrospectively calculated. Variables enclosed in sPESI score, all cause in-hospital mortality and overall bleedings were compared between sexes. Moreover, predictive ability of sPESI score as prognosticator of all cause in-hospital mortality was tested and compared between sexes. sPESI score 0 (low risk) was found in 17.7 % of males and 13.6 % of females (p = 0.2323). We didn't find significant difference in sPESI scoring distribution. Age ≥80 years (51.4 vs. 33.8 %, p = 0.0003) and heart rate ≥110 bpm (23.5 vs. 14.4 %, p = 0.0219) were found significantly more prevalent in females, whereas active cancer (23.8 vs. 39.4 %, p = 0.0004) and cardio-respiratory diseases (19.8 vs. 27.7 %, p = 0.0416) were in males. All cause in-hospital mortality was 0 % in both genders for sPESI score 0, whereas it was 5.4 % in females and 13.6 % in males with sPESI score 1-2 (p = 0.0208) and 22 % in females and 19.3 % in males with sPESI score ≥3 (p = 0.7776). Overall bleedings were significantly more frequent in females compared with males (4.77 vs. 0.55 %, p = 0.0189). In females overall bleedings ranged from 2.7 % in sPESI score 0 to 6 % in sPESI score ≥3. Predictive ability of sPESI score as prognosticator of all cause in-hospital mortality was higher in females compared to males (AUC 0.72 vs. 0.67, respectively). In real life different co-morbidity burdens in females compared to males. Females seems to be at lower risk of all cause in-hospital mortality for sPESI score ≤2 but at higher risk of bleeding, irrespective from sPESI scoring. Predictive ability of sPESI score seems better in females.

Utilization of a Novel Scoring System in Predicting 30-day Mortality in Acute Pulmonary Embolism, the CLOT-5 Pilot Study.

OBJECTIVES: To construct a new scoring system utilizing biomarkers, vitals, and imaging data to predict 30-day mortality in acute pulmonary embolism (PE). BACKGROUND: Acute PE, a well-known manifestation of venous thromboembolic disease, is responsible for over 100,000 deaths worldwide yearly. Contemporary management algorithms rely on a multidisciplinary approach to care via PE response teams (PERT) in the identification of low, intermediate, and high-risk patients. The PESI and sPESI scores have been used as cornerstones of the triage process in assigning risk of 30-day mortality for patients presenting with acute PE; however, the specificity of these scoring systems has often come into question. METHODS: This study retrospectively analyzed 488 patients with acute PE who were managed at a tertiary care institution with either conservative therapy consisting of low molecular weight or unfractionated heparin, advanced therapies consisting of catheter directed therapies, aspiration thrombectomy, or a combination of these therapies, or surgical embolectomy. The CLOT-5 score was designed to include vital signs, biomarkers, and imaging data to predict 30-day mortality in patients presenting with acute PE. RESULTS: The CLOT-5 score had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.901 with a standard error of 0.29, while the PESI and sPESI scores had an AUC and standard errors of 0.793 ±- 0.43 and 0.728 ± 0.55, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: When incorporated into the management algorithms of national PERT programs, the CLOT-5 score may allow for rapid and comprehensive assessment of patients with acute PE at high risk for clinical decompensation, leading to early escalation of care where appropriate.

Perfusion index: could it be a new tool for early identification of pulmonary embolism severity?

Perfusion index (PI) is a promising indicator for monitoring peripheral perfusion. The present study aimed to compare the efficiency of PI and PESI score in estimating the 30-day mortality and treatment needs of patients diagnosed with pulmonary embolism in the emergency department. This study was prospective and observational. The demographic features of the patients, comorbidities, vital signs, PESI score, PI, treatment applied to the patient and airway management, right ventricular diameter/left ventricular diameter ratio, length of hospital stay, outcome, and 30-day mortality were recorded. A total of 94 patients were included. All patients' vital signs and PI values were recorded on admission. The mean pulse rate (p = 0.001) and shock index (p = 0.017) values of deceased patients were statistically significantly higher, while the mean PI (p = 0.034) was statistically significantly lower. PESI score and PI were statistically significant to predict the need for mechanical ventilation (PI, p = 0.004; PESI score, p < 0.001), inotropic treatment (PI, p = 0.047; PESI score p = 0.005), and thrombolytic therapy (PI, p = 0.035; PESI score p = 0.003). According to the ROC curve, the mortality prediction power of both PESI (AUC: 0.787, 95% CI 0.688-0.886, cutoff: 109.5, p < 0.001) and PI index (AUC: 0.668, 95% CI 0.543-0.793, cutoff: 1, p = 0.011) were determined as statistically significant. PI might be helpful in clinical practice as a tool that can be applied to predict mortality and treatment needs in PE.

Can GRACE Risk Score Predict Mortality and the Need for Thrombolytic Treatment in Acute Pulmonary Embolism?

Acute coronary syndrome and pulmonary embolism (PE) are clinical entities sharing similar presentation and risk factors. Risk scores and indexes help to identify disease severity in both diseases. In this study, we aimed to evaluate if the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score could predict 30-day mortality and the need for thrombolytic treatment in patients with acute PE. Patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of PE in our tertiary center between January 2018 and May 2022 were included in this retrospective study. Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and GRACE risk scores on admission were calculated using clinical, electrocardiographic, and laboratory parameters for each patient. A total of 197 patients were included. The 30-day mortality rate was 28.4% whereas 32.5% of the patients required thrombolytic treatment. GRACE and PESI scores were found independent risk factors associated with 30-day mortality and the need for thrombolytic treatment. A cut-off value of 160.5 for GRACE score was associated with 88.5% sensitivity and 89.4% specificity in prediction of 30-day mortality. In contrast, GRACE score had 61.0% sensitivity and 60.0% specificity in the prediction of the need for thrombolytic treatment when the cut-off value was 147. In conclusion, GRACE risk score has an effective discriminating power in determining the early mortality of patients with acute PE. The incidence of short-term PE-related mortality was significantly increased in patients with high GRACE risk scores. Concomitant use of GRACE and PESI risk scores may aid in defining patients with high-risk PE and help predict poor prognosis with high specificity and probability.

Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting short-term prognosis in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

BACKGROUND: Accurate assessment and timely intervention play a crucial role in ameliorating poor short-term prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE) patients. The currently employed scoring models exhibit a degree of complexity, and some models may not comprehensively incorporate relevant indicators, thereby imposing limitations on the evaluative efficacy. Our study aimed to construct and externally validate a nomogram that predicts 30-day all-cause mortality risk in APE patients. METHODS: Clinical data from APE patients in Intensive Care-IV database was included as a training cohort. Additionally, we utilized our hospital's APE database as an external validation cohort. The nomogram was developed, and its predictive ability was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: A collective of 1332 patients and 336 patients were respectively enrolled as the training cohort and the validation cohort in this study. Five variables including age, malignancy, oxygen saturation, blood glucose, and the use of vasopressor, were identified based on the results of the multivariate Cox regression model. The ROC value for the nomogram in the training cohort yielded 0.765, whereas in the validation group, it reached 0.907. Notably, these values surpassed the corresponding ROC values for the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index, which were 0.713 in the training cohort and 0.754 in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram including five indicators had a good performance in predicting short-term prognosis in patients with APE, which was easier to apply and provided better recommendations for clinical decision-making.