A Circulating Panel of circRNA Biomarkers for the Noninvasive and Early Detection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most fatal malignancies. Delayed manifestation of symptoms and lack of specific diagnostic markers lead patients being diagnosed with PDAC at advanced stages. This study aimed to develop a circular RNA (circRNA)-based biomarker panel to facilitate noninvasive and early detection of PDAC. METHODS: A systematic genome-wide discovery of circRNAs overexpressed in patients with PDAC was conducted. Subsequently, validation of the candidate markers in the primary tumors from patients with PDAC was performed, followed by their translation into a plasma-based liquid biopsy assay by analyzing 2 independent clinical cohorts of patients with PDAC and nondisease controls. The performance of the circRNA panel was assessed in conjunction with the plasma levels of cancer antigen 19-9 for the early detection of PDAC. RESULTS: Initially, a panel of 10 circRNA candidates was identified during the discovery phase. Subsequently, the panel was reduced to 5 circRNAs in the liquid biopsy-based assay, which robustly identified patients with PDAC and distinguished between early-stage (stage I/II) and late-stage (stage III/IV) disease. The areas under the curve of this diagnostic panel for the detection of early-stage PDAC were 0.83 and 0.81 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Moreover, when this panel was combined with cancer antigen 19-9 levels, the diagnostic performance for identifying patients with PDAC improved remarkably (area under the curve, 0.94) for patients in the validation cohort. Furthermore, the circRNA panel could also efficiently identify patients with PDAC (area under the curve, 0.85) who were otherwise deemed clinically cancer antigen 19-9-negative (<37 U/mL). CONCLUSIONS: A circRNA-based biomarker panel with a robust noninvasive diagnostic potential for identifying patients with early-stage PDAC was developed.

Protein biomarkers and alternatively methylated cell-free DNA detect early stage pancreatic cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is commonly diagnosed at an advanced stage. Liquid biopsy approaches may facilitate detection of early stage PDAC when curative treatments can be employed. DESIGN: To assess circulating marker discrimination in training, testing and validation patient cohorts (total n=426 patients), plasma markers were measured among PDAC cases and patients with chronic pancreatitis, colorectal cancer (CRC), and healthy controls. Using CA19-9 as an anchor marker, measurements were made of two protein markers (TIMP1, LRG1) and cell-free DNA (cfDNA) pancreas-specific methylation at 9 loci encompassing 61 CpG sites. RESULTS: Comparative methylome analysis identified nine loci that were differentially methylated in exocrine pancreas DNA. In the training set (n=124 patients), cfDNA methylation markers distinguished PDAC from healthy and CRC controls. In the testing set of 86 early stage PDAC and 86 matched healthy controls, CA19-9 had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.94), which was increased by adding TIMP1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.06), LRG1 (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02) or exocrine pancreas-specific cfDNA methylation markers at nine loci (AUC 0.92; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.96; p=0.02). In the validation set of 40 early stage PDAC and 40 matched healthy controls, a combined panel including CA19-9, TIMP1 and a 9-loci cfDNA methylation panel had greater discrimination (AUC 0.86, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.95) than CA19-9 alone (AUC 0.82; 95% CI 0.72 to 0.92). CONCLUSION: A combined panel of circulating markers including proteins and methylated cfDNA increased discrimination compared with CA19-9 alone for early stage PDAC.

Serum ITIH5 as a novel diagnostic biomarker in cholangiocarcinoma.

Cholangiocarcinoma often remains undetected until advanced stages due to the lack of reliable diagnostic markers. Our goal was to identify a unique secretory protein for cholangiocarcinoma diagnosis and differentiation from other malignancies, benign hepatobiliary diseases, and chronic liver conditions. We conducted bulk RNA-seq analysis to identify genes specifically upregulated in cholangiocarcinoma but not in most other cancers, benign hepatobiliary diseases, and chronic liver diseases focusing on exocrine protein-encoding genes. Single-cell RNA sequencing examined subcellular distribution. Immunohistochemistry and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays assessed tissue and serum expression. Diagnostic performance was evaluated via receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Inter-alpha-trypsin inhibitor heavy chain family member five (ITIH5), a gene encoding an extracellular protein, is notably upregulated in cholangiocarcinoma. This elevation is not observed in most other cancer types, benign hepatobiliary diseases, or chronic liver disorders. It is specifically expressed by malignant cholangiocytes. ITIH5 expression in cholangiocarcinoma tissues exceeded that in nontumorous bile duct, hepatocellular carcinoma, and nontumorous hepatic tissues. Serum ITIH5 levels were elevated in cholangiocarcinoma compared with controls (hepatocellular carcinoma, benign diseases, chronic hepatitis B, and healthy individuals). ITIH5 yielded areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) from 0.839 to 0.851 distinguishing cholangiocarcinoma from controls. Combining ITIH5 with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) enhanced CA19-9's diagnostic effectiveness. In conclusion, serum ITIH5 may serve as a novel noninvasive cholangiocarcinoma diagnostic marker.

Minimum and Optimal CA19-9 Response After Two Months Induction Chemotherapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer: A Nationwide Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVE: This nationwide multicenter study aimed to define clinically relevant thresholds of relative serum CA19-9 response after 2 months of induction chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). BACKGROUND: CA19-9 is seen as leading biomarker for response evaluation in patients with LAPC, but early clinically useful cut-offs are lacking. METHODS: All consecutive patients with LAPC after 4 cycles (m)FOLFIRINOX or 2 cycles gemcitabine-nab-paclitaxel induction chemotherapy (±radiotherapy) with CA19-9 ≥5 U/mL at baseline were analyzed (2015-2019). The association of CA19-9 response with median OS (mOS) was evaluated for different CA19-9 cut-off points. Minimum and optimal CA19-9 response were established via log-rank test. Predictors for OS were analyzed using COX regression analysis. RESULTS: Overall, 212 patients were included, of whom 42 (19.8%) underwent resection. Minimum CA19-9 response demonstrating a clinically significant median OS difference (12.7 vs. 19.6 months) was seen at ≥40% CA19-9 decrease. The optimal cutoff for CA19-9 response was ≥60% decrease (21.7 vs. 14.0 mo, P =0.021). Only for patients with elevated CA19-9 levels at baseline (n=184), CA19-9 decrease ≥60% [hazard ratio (HR)=0.59, 95% CI, 0.36-0.98, P =0.042] was independently associated with prolonged OS, as were SBRT (HR=0.42, 95% CI, 0.25-0.70; P =0.001), and resection (HR=0.25, 95% CI, 0.14-0.46, P <0.001), and duration of chemotherapy (HR=0.75, 95% CI, 0.69-0.82, P <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CA19-9 decrease of ≥60% following induction chemotherapy as optimal response cut-off in patients with LAPC is an independent predictor for OS when CA19-9 is increased at baseline. Furthermore, ≥40% is the minimum cut-off demonstrating survival benefit. These cut-offs may be used when discussing treatment strategies during early response evaluation.

Dynamics of Serum CA19-9 in Patients Undergoing Pancreatic Cancer Resection.

BACKGROUND: Carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 is an established perioperative prognostic biomarker for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, it is unclear how CA19-9 monitoring should be used during postoperative surveillance to detect recurrence and to guide the initiation of recurrence-focused therapy. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to elucidate the value of CA19-9 as a diagnostic biomarker for disease recurrence in patients who underwent PDAC resection. METHODS: Serum CA19-9 levels at diagnosis, after surgery, and during postoperative follow-up were analyzed in patients who underwent PDAC resection. All patients with at least two postoperative follow-up CA19-9 measurements before recurrence were included. Patients deemed to be nonsecretors of CA19-9 were excluded. The relative increase in postoperative CA19-9 was calculated for each patient by dividing the maximum postoperative CA19-9 value by the first postoperative value. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to identify the optimal threshold for the relative increase in CA19-9 levels to identify recurrence in the training set using Youden's index. The performance of this cutoff was validated in a test set by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) and was compared to the performance of the optimal cutoff for postoperative CA19-9 measurements as a continuous value. In addition, sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were assessed. RESULTS: In total, 271 patients were included, of whom 208 (77%) developed recurrence. Receiver operating characteristic analysis demonstrated that a relative increase in postoperative serum CA19-9 of 2.6× was predictive of recurrence, with 58% sensitivity, 83% specificity, 95% positive predictive value, and 28% negative predictive value. The AUC for a 2.6× relative increase in the CA19-9 level was 0.719 in the training set and 0.663 in the test set. The AUC of postoperative CA19-9 as a continuous value (optimal threshold, 52) was 0.671 in the training set. In the training set, the detection of a 2.6-fold increase in CA19-9 preceded the detection of recurrence by a mean difference of 7 months ( P <0.001) and in the test set by 10 months ( P <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A relative increase in the postoperative serum CA19-9 level of 2.6-fold is a stronger predictive marker for recurrence than a continuous CA19-9 cutoff. A relative CA19-9 increase can precede the detection of recurrence on imaging for up to 7 to 10 months. Therefore, CA19-9 dynamics can be used as a biomarker to guide the initiation of recurrence-focused treatment.

A Liquid Biopsy Signature for the Early Detection of Gastric Cancer in Patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Diagnosing gastric cancer (GC) while the disease remains eligible for surgical resection is challenging. In view of this clinical challenge, novel and robust biomarkers for early detection thus improving prognosis of GC are necessary. The present study is to develop a blood-based long noncoding RNA (LR) signature for the early-detection of GC. METHODS: The present 3-step study incorporated data from 2141 patients, including 888 with GC, 158 with chronic atrophic gastritis, 193 with intestinal metaplasia, 501 healthy donors, and 401 with other gastrointestinal cancers. The LR profile of stage I GC tissue samples were analyzed using transcriptomic profiling in discovery phase. The extracellular vesicle (EV)-derived LR signature was identified with a training cohort (n = 554) and validated with 2 external cohorts (n = 429 and n = 504) and a supplemental cohort (n = 69). RESULTS: In discovery phase, one LR (GClnc1) was found to be up-regulated in both tissue and circulating EV samples with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.9369 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.9073-0.9664) for early-stage GC (stage I/II). The diagnostic performance of this biomarker was further confirmed in 2 external validation cohorts (Xi'an cohort, AUC: 0.8839; 95% CI: 0.8336-0.9342; Beijing cohort, AUC: 0.9018; 95% CI: 0.8597-0.9439). Moreover, EV-derived GClnc1 robustly distinguished early-stage GC from precancerous lesions (chronic atrophic gastritis and intestinal metaplasia) and GC with negative traditional gastrointestinal biomarkers (CEA, CA72-4, and CA19-9). The low levels of this biomarker in postsurgery and other gastrointestinal tumor plasma samples indicated its GC specificity. CONCLUSIONS: EV-derived GClnc1 serves as a circulating biomarker for the early detection of GC, thus providing opportunities for curative surgery and improved survival outcomes.

Double-Amplified Electrochemiluminescence Immunoassay Sensor for Highly Sensitive Detection of CA19-9 Using a Ternary Semiconductor CdSSe.

In this paper, an electrochemiluminescence (ECL) immunosensor for ultrasensitive detection of CA19-9 was constructed using ternary compound CdSSe nanoparticles as ECL emitter. The immunosensor employs Cu2S and gold-doped diindium trioxide (Au-In2O3) nanocubes as coreaction accelerators to achieve a double-amplification strategy. In general, a hexagonal maple leaf-shaped Cu2S with a large surface area was selected as the template, and the in situ growth of CdSSe on its surface was achieved using a hydrothermal method. The presence of Cu2S not only inhibited the aggregation of CdSSe nanoparticles to reduce their surface energy but also acted as an ECL cathode coreaction promoter, facilitating the generation of SO4•-. Consequently, the ECL intensity of CdSSe was significantly enhanced, and the reduction potential was significantly lower. In addition, the template method was employed to synthesize Au-In2O3 nanocubes, which offers the advantage of directly connecting materials with antibodies, resulting in a more stable construction of the immunosensor. Furthermore, In2O3 serves as a coreaction promoter, enabling the amplification strategy for ECL intensity of CdSSe, thus contributing to the enhanced sensitivity and performance of the immunosensor. The constructed immunosensor exhibited a wide linear range (100 µU mL-1 to 100 U mL-1) and a low detection limit of 80 µU mL-1, demonstrating its high potential and practical value for sensitive detection of CA19-9.

High somatic mutations in circulating tumor DNA predict response of metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma to first-line nab-paclitaxel plus S-1: prospective study.

AIMS: We previously showed that the nab-paclitaxel plus S-1 (NPS) regimen had promising effects against metastatic pancreatic ducal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC), whose efficacy however could not be precisely predicted by routine biomarkers. This prospective study aimed to investigate the values of mutations in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and their dynamic changes in predicting response of mPDAC to NPS chemotherapy. METHODS: Paired tumor tissue and blood samples were prospectively collected from patients with mPDAC receiving first-line NPS chemotherapy, and underwent next-generation sequencing with genomic profiling of 425 genes for ctDNA. High mutation allelic frequency (MAF) was defined as ≥ 30% and ≥ 5% in tumor tissue and blood, respectively. Kappa statistics were used to assess agreement between mutant genes in tumor and ctDNA. Associations of mutations in ctDNA and their dynamic changes with tumor response, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression, and longitudinal data analysis. RESULTS: 147 blood samples and 43 paired tumor specimens from 43 patients with mPDAC were sequenced. The most common driver genes with high MAF were KRAS (tumor, 35%; ctDNA, 37%) and TP53 (tumor, 37%; ctDNA, 33%). Mutation rates of KRAS and TP53 in ctDNA were significantly higher in patients with liver metastasis, with baseline CA19-9 ≥ 2000 U/mL, and/or without an early CA19-9 response. κ values for the 5 most commonly mutated genes between tumor and ctDNA ranged from 0.48 to 0.76. MAFs of the genes mostly decreased sequentially during subsequent measurements, which significantly correlated with objective response, with an increase indicating cancer progression. High mutations of KRAS and ARID1A in both tumor and ctDNA, and of TP53, CDKN2A, and SMAD4 in ctDNA but not in tumor were significantly associated with shorter survival. When predicting 6-month OS, AUCs for the 5 most commonly mutated genes in ctDNA ranged from 0.59 to 0.84, larger than for genes in tumor (0.56 to 0.71) and for clinicopathologic characteristics (0.51 to 0.68). Repeated measurements of mutations in ctDNA significantly differentiated survival and tumor response. Among the 31 patients with ≥ 2 ctDNA tests, longitudinal analysis of changes in gene MAF showed that ctDNA progression was 60 and 58 days ahead of radiologic and CA19-9 progression for 48% and 42% of the patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: High mutations of multiple driving genes in ctDNA and their dynamic changes could effectively predict response of mPDAC to NPS chemotherapy, with promising reliable predictive performance superior to routine clinicopathologic parameters. Inspiringly, longitudinal ctDNA tracking could predict disease progression about 2 months ahead of radiologic or CA19-9 evaluations, with the potential to precisely devise individualized therapeutic strategies for mPDAC.

Investigating the Current Harmonization Status of Tumor Markers Using Global External Quality Assessment Programs: A Feasibility Study.

BACKGROUND: The harmonization status of most tumor markers (TMs) is unknown. We report a feasibility study performed to determine whether external quality assessment (EQA) programs can be used to obtain insights into the current harmonization status of the tumor markers α-fetoprotein (AFP), prostate specific antigen (PSA), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen (CA)125, CA15-3 and CA19-9. METHODS: EQA sample results provided by 6 EQA providers (INSTAND [Germany], Korean Association of External Quality Assessment Service [KEQAS, South Korea], National Center for Clinical Laboratories [NCCL, China], United Kingdom National External Quality Assessment Service [UK NEQAS, United Kingdom], Stichting Kwaliteitsbewaking Medische Laboratoriumdiagnostiek [SKML, the Netherlands], and the Royal College of Pathologists of Australasia Quality Assurance Programs [RCPAQAP, Australia]) between 2020 and 2021 were used. The consensus means, calculated from the measurement procedures present in all EQA programs (Abbott Alinity, Beckman Coulter DxI, Roche Cobas, and Siemens Atellica), was used as reference values. Per measurement procedure, the relative difference between consensus mean for each EQA sample and the mean of all patient-pool-based EQA samples were calculated and compared to minimum, desirable, and optimal allowable bias criteria based on biological variation. RESULTS: Between 19040 (CA15-3) and 25398 (PSA) individual results and 56 (PSA) to 76 (AFP) unique EQA samples were included in the final analysis. The mean differences with the consensus mean of patient-pool-based EQA samples for all measurement procedures were within the optimum bias criterion for AFP, the desirable bias for PSA, and the minimum bias criterion for CEA. However, CEA results <8 µg/L exceeded the minimum bias criterion. For CA125, CA15-3, and CA19-9, the harmonization status was outside the minimum bias criterion, with systematic differences identified. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides relevant information about the current harmonization status of 6 tumor markers. A pilot harmonization investigation for CEA, CA125, CA15-3, and CA19-9 would be desirable.

Tumour-associated antigens in systemic lupus erythematosus: association with clinical manifestations and serological indicators.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the relationship of tumour-associated antigens (TAAs) with the clinical manifestations and serological markers of SLE. METHODS: This was a retrospective study. Clinical data of SLE patients were extracted from the electronic medical records, including serum levels of TAAs such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen (CA) 19-9, CA125, CA15-3 and cytokeratin 19-fragments (CYFRA21-1). TAA positivity was defined as serum level exceeding the upper limit of the corresponding reference range. RESULTS: A total of 149 SLE patients (SLE group) and 149 age- and sex-matched healthy subjects (control group) were enrolled. Compared with healthy controls, the SLE group had higher positivity rates for CA19-9 and CYFRA21-1, and elevated serum levels of CA125, CA15-3 and CYFRA21-1. SLE patients with TAA positivity were older, had a higher prevalence of serous effusion, pericardial effusion, albuminuria and thrombocytopenia, and lower positivity rate for anti-dsDNA than patients without TAA positivity. The levels of serum creatinine (SCR), blood urea nitrogen, glutamic oxalate transaminase and 24-h urinary protein were also higher in SLE patients with TAA positivity, but platelet count and serum albumin levels were lower. On logistic regression, thrombocytopenia and SCR levels were identified as independent risk factors for TAA positivity. CA125 positivity rate and serum levels of CA125 were associated with SLE disease activity. CONCLUSION: The positivity rates and serum levels of some TAAs were elevated in SLE, and thrombocytopenia and SCR levels were independent risk factors for TAA positivity.

Using a CA19-9 Tumor Marker Gene Test to Assess Outcome After Pancreatic Cancer Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) is widely used as a marker of pancreatic cancer tumor burden and response to therapy. Synthesis of CA19-9 and its circulating levels are determined by variants encoding the fucosyltransferases, FUT2 and FUT3. Individuals can be grouped into one of four functional FUT groups (FUT3-null, FUT-low, FUT-intermediate, FUT-high), each with its own CA19-9 reference range based on its predicted capacity to produce CA19-9. The authors hypothesized that a FUT variant-based CA19-9 tumor marker gene test could improve the prognostic performance of CA19-9. METHODS: Preoperative and pre-treatment CA19-9 levels were measured, and FUT variants were determined in 449 patients who underwent surgery for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) at Johns Hopkins Hospital between 2010 and 2020, including 270 patients who underwent neoadjuvant therapy. Factors associated with recurrence-free and overall survival were determined in Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Higher preoperative CA19-9 levels were associated with recurrence and mortality for patients in the higher-FUT groups (FUT-intermediate, FUT-high for mortality, with adjustment for other prognostic factors; hazard ratio [HR], 1.34 and 1.58, respectively; P < 0.001), but not for those in the lower-FUT groups (FUT3-null, FUT-low). As a tumor marker, CA19-9 levels of 100 U/ml or lower after neoadjuvant therapy and normalization of CA19-9 based on FUT group were more sensitive but less specific predictors of evidence for a major pathologic response to therapy (little/no residual tumor) and of early recurrence (within 6 months). CONCLUSION: Among patients undergoing pancreatic cancer resection, a CA19-9 tumor marker gene test modestly improved the prognostic performance of CA19-9.

Prognostic Significance of Biologic Factors in Patients with a Modest Radiologic Response to Neoadjuvant Treatment for Resectable and Borderline Resectable Pancreatic Cancers: Impact of the Combination Index of Sialyl-Lewis Antigen-Related Tumor Markers.

BACKGROUND: Appropriate re-evaluation after neoadjuvant treatment (NAT) is important for optimal treatment selection. Nonetheless, determining the operative eligibility of patients with a modest radiologic response remains controversial. This study aimed to assess the prognostic significance of biologic factors for patients showing a modest radiologic response to NAT and investigate the tumor markers (TMs), CA19-9 alone, DUPAN-II alone, and their combination, to create an index that combines these sialyl-Lewis antigen-related TMs associated with treatment outcomes. METHODS: This study enrolled patients deemed to have a "stable disease" by RECIST classification with slight progression (tumor size increase rate, ≤20%) as their radiologic response after NAT. A sialyl-Lewis-related index (sLe index), calculated by adding one fourth of the serum DUPAN-II value to the CA19-9 value, was created. The prognostic significances of CA19-9, DUPAN-II, and the sLe index were assessed in relation to postoperative outcomes. RESULTS: An sLe index lower than the cutoff value (45.25) was significantly associated with favorable disease-free survival. Moreover, the post-NAT sLe index had a higher area under the curve value for recurrence within 24 months than the post-NAT levels of CA19-9 or DUPAN-II alone. Multivariable analysis showed that a post-NAT sLe index higher than 45.25 was the single independent predictive factor for recurrence within 24 months. CONCLUSIONS: Additional evaluation of biologic factors can potentially enhance patient selection, particularly for patients showing a limited radiologic response to NAT. The authors' index is a simple indicator for the biologic evaluation of multiple combined sialyl-Lewis antigen-related TMs and may offer a better predictive significance.

Serum CEA as a Prognostic Marker for Overall Survival in Patients with Localized Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma and Non-Elevated CA19-9 Levels Treated with FOLFIRINOX as Initial Treatment: A TAPS Consortium Study.

INTRODUCTION: About 25% of patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma have non-elevated serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 levels at baseline, hampering evaluation of response to preoperative treatment. Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a potential alternative. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study from five referral centers included consecutive patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma (2012-2019), treated with one or more cycles of (m)FOLFIRINOX, and non-elevated CA19-9 levels (i.e., < 37 U/mL) at baseline. Cox regression analyses were performed to assess prognostic factors for overall survival (OS), including CEA level at baseline, restaging, and dynamics. RESULTS: Overall, 277 patients were included in this study. CEA at baseline was elevated (≥5 ng/mL) in 53 patients (33%) and normalized following preoperative therapy in 14 patients (26%). In patients with elevated CEA at baseline, median OS in patients with CEA normalization following preoperative therapy was 33 months versus 19 months in patients without CEA normalization (p = 0.088). At time of baseline, only elevated CEA was independently associated with (worse) OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.98). At time of restaging, elevated CEA at baseline was still the only independent predictor for (worse) OS (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.04-1.98), whereas elevated CEA at restaging (HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.77-1.77) was not. CONCLUSIONS: Serum CEA was elevated in one-third of patients with localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma having non-elevated CA19-9 at baseline. At both time of baseline and time of restaging, elevated serum CEA measured at baseline was the only predictor for (worse) OS. Therefore, serum CEA may be a useful tool for decision making at both initial staging and time of restaging in patients with non-elevated CA19-9.

Postoperative Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Level as a Good Indicator of Ineffective Response to the Currently Recommended S-1 Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Single-Center, Retrospective Study.

PURPOSE: The intensity of adjuvant treatment for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) has not been stratified according to the risk after resection. This study was designed to identify patients with PDACs in whom the current S-1 adjuvant treatment is ineffective. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective study included patients who underwent pancreatectomy for PDACs from 2009 to 2020 at Sendai Open Hospital and were receiving S-1 adjuvant treatment. The independent risk factors for recurrence and survival were determined by using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. The effects of S-1 adjuvant treatment and detailed patterns of recurrence were evaluated in patients with high-risk factors. RESULTS: Overall, 118 patients with PDAC received S-1 adjuvant treatment. Postoperative nonnormalized carbohydrate antigen (CA19-9) was a predictive risk factor for recurrence (p < 0.010; hazard ratio [HR], 3.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.26-6.62) and survival (p = 0.008; HR, 2.25; 95% CI, 1.24-4.11) after S-1 adjuvant treatment. In 24 patients with nonnormalized postoperative CA19-9, S-1 monotherapy was ineffective in preventing recurrence, even during the treatment period, compared with that noted in patients who did not receive adjuvant treatment. The recurrence rate during adjuvant treatment was 41.7%; in all cases, recurrence was caused by distant metastasis. The total recurrence rate was up to 95.8%, and distant recurrence was especially frequent. CONCLUSIONS: The current S-1 adjuvant treatment regimen is ineffective for patients with postoperative nonnormalized CA19-9. The postoperative CA19-9 level may be a good indicator for further aggressive treatment. This study may lead to further discussions on intensity stratification of adjuvant treatments for PDAC.

Clinical Utility of the Combined Use of CA19-9 and DUPAN-2 in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma.

PURPOSE: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients with normal carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 levels can have early-stage cancer or advanced cancer without elevation of CA19-9 level; estimating their malignant potential is difficult. This study investigated the clinical utility of the combined use of preoperative CA 19-9 and Duke pancreatic monoclonal antigen type 2 (DUPAN-2) levels in patients with PDAC. METHODS: Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for PDAC between November 2005 and December 2021 were investigated. Eligible patients were classified into four groups based on these two markers. Among patients with normal CA19-9 levels, those with normal and high DUPAN-2 levels were classified into normal/normal (N/N) and normal/high (N/H) groups, respectively. Among patients with high CA19-9 levels, those with normal and high DUPAN-2 levels were classified into high/normal (H/N) and high/high (H/H) groups, respectively. Survival rates were compared between the groups. RESULTS: Among 521 patients, the N/N, N/H, H/N, and H/H groups accounted for 25.0%, 10.6%, 35.1%, and 29.4% of patients, respectively. The proportions of resectable PDAC in the N/N and H/N groups (71.5% and 66.7%) were significantly higher than those in the N/H and H/H groups (49.1% and 54.9%) (P < 0.01). The 5-year survival rates in the N/N, N/H, H/N, and H/H groups were 66.0%, 31.1%, 34.9%, and 29.7%, respectively; the rate in the N/N group was significantly better than those in the other three groups (P < 0.0001, P < 0.0001, and P < 0.0001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Only patients with normal CA19-9 and DUPNA-2 values should be diagnosed with early-stage PDAC.

Predicting the unpredictable: a robust nomogram for predicting recurrence in patients with ampullary carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To screen the risk factors affecting the recurrence risk of patients with ampullary carcinoma (AC)after radical resection, and then to construct a model for risk prediction based on Lasso-Cox regression and visualize it. METHODS: Clinical data were collected from 162 patients that received pancreaticoduodenectomy treatment in Hebei Provincial Cancer Hospital from January 2011 to January 2022. Lasso regression was used in the training group to screen the risk factors for recurrence. The Lasso-Cox regression and Random Survival Forest (RSF) models were compared using Delong test to determine the optimum model based on the risk factors. Finally, the selected model was validated using clinical data from the validation group. RESULTS: The patients were split into two groups, with a 7:3 ratio for training and validation. The variables screened by Lasso regression, such as CA19-9/GGT, AJCC 8th edition TNM staging, Lymph node invasion, Differentiation, Tumor size, CA19-9, Gender, GPR, PLR, Drinking history, and Complications, were used in modeling with the Lasso-Cox regression model (C-index = 0.845) and RSF model (C-index = 0.719) in the training group. According to the Delong test we chose the Lasso-Cox regression model (P = 0.019) and validated its performance with time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curves(tdROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The areas under the tdROC curves for 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.855, 0.888, and 0.924 in the training group and 0.841, 0.871, and 0.901 in the validation group, respectively. The calibration curves performed well, as well as the DCA showed higher net returns and a broader range of threshold probabilities using the predictive model. A nomogram visualization is used to display the results of the selected model. CONCLUSION: The study established a nomogram based on the Lasso-Cox regression model for predicting recurrence in AC patients. Compared to a nomogram built via other methods, this one is more robust and accurate.

Development and validation of a novel preoperative clinical model for predicting lymph node metastasis in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma.

BACKGROUD: We aimed to develop a novel preoperative nomogram to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) patients. METHODS: 160 pCCA patients were enrolled at Lihuili Hospital from July 2006 to May 2022. A novel nomogram model was established to predict LNM in pCCA patients based on the independent predictive factors selected by the multivariate logistic regression model. The precision of the nomogram model was evaluated through internal and external validation with calibration curve statistics and the concordance index (C-index). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate and determine the clinical utility of the nomogram. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that age (OR = 0.963, 95% CI: 0.930-0.996, P = 0.030), CA19-9 level (> 559.8 U/mL vs. ≤559.8 U/mL: OR = 3.162, 95% CI: 1.519-6.582, P = 0.002) and tumour diameter (OR = 1.388, 95% CI: 1.083-1.778, P = 0.010) were independent predictive factors of LNM in pCCA patients. The C-index was 0.763 (95% CI: 0.667-0.860) and 0.677 (95% CI: 0.580-0.773) in training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. ROC curve analysis indicated the comparative stability and adequate discriminative ability of nomogram. The sensitivity and specificity were 0.820 and 0.652 in training cohort and 0.704 and 0.649 in validation cohort, respectively. DCA revealed that the nomogram model could augment net benefits in the prediction of LNM in pCCA patients. CONCLUSIONS: The novel prediction model is useful for predicting LNM in pCCA patients and showed adequate discriminative ability and high predictive accuracy.

Relevance of blood tumor markers in inpatients with significant involuntary weight loss and elevated levels of inflammation biomarkers.

PURPOSE: To assess the diagnostic performance of a panel of standard tumor markers (TMs) in patients hospitalized with significant involuntary weight loss (IWL) and elevated levels of inflammation biomarkers, and a combination of the TM panel and the finding of the computed tomography (CT) scan. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study in the internal medicine department at Amiens-Picardie University Medical Center (Amiens, France) between January 1st, 2015, and November 1st, 2021. The inclusion criteria were age 18 or over, significant IWL (≥ 5 kg over 6 months), elevated inflammation biomarkers (e.g. C-reactive protein), and assay data on two or more standard TMs (carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19 - 9, CA 15 - 3, CA 125, neuron-specific enolase (NSE), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), calcitonin, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA)). The result of each TM assay was interpreted qualitatively (as positive or negative), according to our central laboratory's usual thresholds. RESULTS: Cancer was diagnosed in 50 (37.0%) of the 135 patients included. Positivity for one or more TMs had a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.55 [0.43-0.66], and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.84 [0.75-0.93] for cancer diagnosis. When combined with the presence of suspicious CT findings (e.g. a mass, enlarged lymph nodes and/or effusion), positivity for one or more TMs had a PPV of 0.92 [0.08-0.30]. In the absence of suspicious CT findings, a fully negative TM panel had an NPV of 0.96 [0.89-1.00]. CONCLUSION: A negative TM panel argues against the presence of a cancer, especially in the absence of suspicious CT findings.

A preliminary study on the reference intervals of serum tumor marker in apparently healthy elderly population in southwestern China using real-world data.

BACKGROUND: The aim is to establish and verify reference intervals (RIs) for serum tumor markers for an apparently healthy elderly population in Southwestern China using an indirect method. METHODS: Data from 35,635 apparently healthy elderly individuals aged 60 years and above were obtained in West China Hospital from April 2020 to December 2021. We utilized the Box-Cox conversion combined with the Tukey method to normalize the data and eliminate outliers. Subgroups are divided according to gender and age to examine the division of RIs. The Z-test was used to compare differences between groups, and 95% distribution RIs were calculated using a nonparametric method. RESULTS: In the study, we observed that the RIs for serum ferritin and Des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) were wider for men, ranging from 64.18 to 865.80 ng/ml and 14.00 to 33.00 mAU/ml, respectively, compared to women, whose ranges were 52.58 to 585.88 ng/ml and 13.00 to 29.00 mAU/ml. For other biomarkers, the overall RIs were established as follows: alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) 0-6.75 ng/ml, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) 0-4.85 ng/ml, carbohydrate antigen15-3 (CA15-3) for females 0-22.00 U/ml, carbohydrate antigen19-9 (CA19-9) 0-28.10 U/ml, carbohydrate antigen125 (CA125) 0-20.96 U/ml, cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA21-1) 0-4.66 U/ml, neuron-specific enolase (NSE) 0-19.41 ng/ml, total and free prostate-specific antigens (tPSA and fPSA) for males 0-5.26 ng/ml and 0-1.09 ng/ml. The RIs for all these biomarkers have been validated through our rigorous processes. CONCLUSION: This study preliminarily established 95% RIs for an apparently healthy elderly population in Southwestern China. Using real-world data and an indirect method, simple and reliable RIs for an elderly population can be both established and verified, which are suitable for application in various clinical laboratories.

Reconsideration of the clinical impact of neoadjuvant therapy in resectable and borderline resectable pancreatic cancer: A dual-institution collaborative clinical study.

PURPOSE: We investigated true indication of neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) in resectable pancreatic cancer and the optimal surgical timing in borderline resectable pancreatic cancer. METHODS: A total of 687 patients with resectable or borderline resectable pancreatic cancer were enrolled. Survival analysis was performed by intention-to-treat analysis and propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted. RESULTS: In resectable disease, the NAT group showed better overall survival (OS) compared with the upfront group. Multivariate analysis identified CA19-9 level (≥100 U/mL) and lymph node metastasis to be prognostic factors, and a tumor size of 25 mm was the optimal cut-off value to predict lymph node metastasis. There was no significant survival difference between patients with a tumor size ≤25 mm and CA19-9 < 100 U/mL and those in the NAT group. In borderline resectable disease, OS in the NAT group was significantly better than that in the upfront group. CEA (≥5 ng/mL) and CA19-9 (≥100 U/mL) were identified as prognostic factors; however, the OS of patients fulfilling these factors was worse than that of the NAT group. CONCLUSIONS: NAT could be unnecessary in patients with tumor size ≤25 mm and CA19-9 < 100 U/mL in resectable disease. In borderline resectable disease, surgery should be delayed until tumor marker levels are well controlled.