Endless fascination.

Each of us fortunate enough to have had a career in experimental science has a tale to tell, often one with surprising twists and turns, full of lessons that can help guide those embarking on a similar journey. At the very least, a well-written recounting of a career can be entertaining. I offer my memory's version of my career in immunology and hope the readers will find it of value or at least of interest.

Wild Mouse Gut Microbiota Promotes Host Fitness and Improves Disease Resistance.

Laboratory mice, while paramount for understanding basic biological phenomena, are limited in modeling complex diseases of humans and other free-living mammals. Because the microbiome is a major factor in mammalian physiology, we aimed to identify a naturally evolved reference microbiome to better recapitulate physiological phenomena relevant in the natural world outside the laboratory. Among 21 distinct mouse populations worldwide, we identified a closely related wild relative to standard laboratory mouse strains. Its bacterial gut microbiome differed significantly from its laboratory mouse counterpart and was transferred to and maintained in laboratory mice over several generations. Laboratory mice reconstituted with natural microbiota exhibited reduced inflammation and increased survival following influenza virus infection and improved resistance against mutagen/inflammation-induced colorectal tumorigenesis. By demonstrating the host fitness-promoting traits of natural microbiota, our findings should enable the discovery of protective mechanisms relevant in the natural world and improve the modeling of complex diseases of free-living mammals. VIDEO ABSTRACT.

Retrospective Monkeypox Virus Surveillance Among Male Users of I Want the Kit in Maryland, United States.

Retrospective surveillance leveraging male rectal swab sample remnants from I Want the Kit from July 2021 through October 2023 identified 1 symptomatic and 1 asymptomatic mpox case at the peak of transmission in 2022. Although sporadic cases continue to be reported in Maryland, additional asymptomatic cases were not identified in this leveraged surveillance.

Characterizing Patients Presenting on Hospital Admission With Central Line-Associated Bloodstream Infections: A Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: There are no systematic measures of central line-associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs) in patients maintaining central venous catheters (CVCs) outside acute care hospitals. To clarify the burden of CLABSIs in these patients, we characterized patients with CLABSI present on hospital admission (POA). METHODS: Retrospective cross-sectional analysis of patients with CLABSI-POA in 3 health systems covering 11 hospitals across Maryland, Washington DC, and Missouri from November 2020 to October 2021. CLABSI-POA was defined using an adaptation of the acute care CLABSI definition. Patient demographics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes were collected via record review. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to assess factors associated with the all-cause mortality rate within 30 days. RESULTS: A total of 461 patients were identified as having CLABSI-POA. CVCs were most commonly maintained in home infusion therapy (32.8%) or oncology clinics (31.2%). Enterobacterales were the most common etiologic agent (29.2%). Recurrent CLABSIs occurred in a quarter of patients (25%). Eleven percent of patients died during the hospital admission. Among patients with CLABSI-POA, mortality risk increased with age (hazard ratio vs age <20 years by age group: 20-44 years, 11.2 [95% confidence interval, 1.46-86.22]; 45-64 years, 20.88 [2.84-153.58]; ≥65 years, 22.50 [2.98-169.93]) and lack of insurance (2.46 [1.08-5.59]), and it decreased with CVC removal (0.57 [.39-.84]). CONCLUSIONS: CLABSI-POA is associated with significant in-hospital mortality risk. Surveillance is required to understand the burden of CLABSI in the community to identify targets for CLABSI prevention initiatives outside acute care settings.

Antibiotic resistance trends among Vibrio vulnificus and Vibrio parahaemolyticus isolated from the Chesapeake Bay, Maryland: a longitudinal study.

Antibiotics are often used to treat severe Vibrio infections, with third-generation cephalosporins and tetracyclines combined or fluoroquinolones alone being recommended by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Increases in antibiotic resistance of both environmental and clinical vibrios are of concern; however, limited longitudinal data have been generated among environmental isolates to inform how resistance patterns may be changing over time. Hence, we evaluated long-term trends in antibiotic resistance of vibrios isolated from Chesapeake Bay waters (Maryland) across two 3-year sampling periods (2009-2012 and 2019-2022). Vibrio parahaemolyticus (n = 134) and Vibrio vulnificus (n = 94) toxR-confirmed isolates were randomly selected from both sampling periods and tested for antimicrobial susceptibility against eight antibiotics using the Kirby-Bauer disk diffusion method. A high percentage (94%-96%) of V. parahaemolyticus isolates from both sampling periods were resistant to ampicillin and only 2%-6% of these isolates expressed intermediate resistance or resistance to third-generation cephalosporins, amikacin, tetracycline, and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole. Even lower percentages of resistant V. vulnificus isolates were observed and those were mostly recovered from 2009 to 2012, however, the presence of multiple virulence factors was observed. The frequency of multi-drug resistance was relatively low (6%-8%) but included resistance against antibiotics used to treat severe vibriosis in adults and children. All isolates were susceptible to ciprofloxacin, a fluoroquinolone, indicating its sustained efficacy as a first-line agent in the treatment of severe vibriosis. Overall, our data indicate that antibiotic resistance patterns among V. parahaemolyticus and V. vulnificus recovered from the lower Chesapeake Bay have remained relatively stable since 2009.IMPORTANCEVibrio spp. have historically been susceptible to most clinically relevant antibiotics; however, resistance and intermediate-resistance have been increasingly recorded in both environmental and clinical isolates. Our data showed that while the percentage of multi-drug resistance and resistance to antibiotics was relatively low and stable across time, some Vibrio isolates displayed resistance and intermediate resistance to antibiotics typically used to treat severe vibriosis (e.g., third-generation cephalosporins, tetracyclines, sulfamethoxazole-trimethoprim, and aminoglycosides). Also, given the high case fatality rates observed with Vibrio vulnificus infections, the presence of multiple virulence factors in the tested isolates is concerning. Nevertheless, the continued susceptibility of all tested isolates against ciprofloxacin, a fluoroquinolone, is indicative of its use as an effective first-line treatment of severe Vibrio spp. infections stemming from exposure to Chesapeake Bay waters or contaminated seafood ingestion.

Increased incidence of vibriosis in Maryland, U.S.A., 2006-2019.

BACKGROUND: Vibrio spp. naturally occur in warm water with moderate salinity. Infections with non-cholera Vibrio (vibriosis) cause an estimated 80,000 illnesses and 100 fatalities each year in the United States. Climate associated changes to environmental parameters in aquatic ecosystems are largely promoting Vibrio growth, and increased incidence of vibriosis is being reported globally. However, vibriosis trends in the northeastern U.S. (e.g., Maryland) have not been evaluated since 2008. METHODS: Vibriosis case data for Maryland (2006-2019; n = 611) were obtained from the COVIS database. Incidence rates were calculated using U.S. Census Bureau population estimates for Maryland. A logistic regression model, including region, age group, race, gender, occupation, and exposure type, was used to estimate the likelihood of hospitalization. RESULTS: Comparing the 2006-2012 and 2013-2019 periods, there was a 39% (p = 0.01) increase in the average annual incidence rate (per 100,000 population) of vibriosis, with V. vulnificus infections seeing the greatest percentage increase (53%, p = 0.01), followed by V. parahaemolyticus (47%, p = 0.05). The number of hospitalizations increased by 58% (p = 0.01). Since 2010, there were more reported vibriosis cases with a hospital duration ≥10 days. Patients from the upper eastern shore region and those over the age of 65 were more likely (OR = 6.8 and 12.2) to be hospitalized compared to other patients. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term increases in Vibrio infections, notably V. vulnificus wound infections, are occurring in Maryland. This trend, along with increased rates in hospitalizations and average hospital durations, underscore the need to improve public awareness, water monitoring, post-harvest seafood interventions, and environmental forecasting ability.

Understanding social needs screening and demographic data collection in primary care practices serving Maryland Medicare patients.

BACKGROUND: Health outcomes are strongly impacted by social determinants of health, including social risk factors and patient demographics, due to structural inequities and discrimination. Primary care is viewed as a potential medical setting to assess and address individual health-related social needs and to collect detailed patient demographics to assess and advance health equity, but limited literature evaluates such processes. METHODS: We conducted an analysis of cross-sectional survey data collected from n = 507 Maryland Primary Care Program (MDPCP) practices through Care Transformation Requirements (CTR) reporting in 2022. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize practice responses on social needs screening and demographic data collection. A stepwise regression analysis was conducted to determine factors predicting screening of all vs. a targeted subset of beneficiaries for unmet social needs. RESULTS: Almost all practices (99%) reported conducting some form of social needs screening and demographic data collection. Practices reported variation in what screening tools or demographic questions were employed, frequency of screening, and how information was used. More than 75% of practices reported prioritizing transportation, food insecurity, housing instability, financial resource strain, and social isolation. CONCLUSIONS: Within the MDPCP program there was widespread implementation of social needs screenings and demographic data collection. However, there was room for additional supports in addressing some challenging social needs and increasing detailed demographics. Further research is needed to understand any adjustments to clinical care in response to identified social needs or application of data for uses such as assessing progress towards health equity and the subsequent impact on clinical care and health outcomes.

Susceptibility of shellfish aquaculture species in the Chesapeake Bay and Maryland coastal bays to ostreid herpesvirus 1 microvariants.

Ostreid herpesvirus 1 (OsHV-1) and its microvariants (µVars) cause economically devastating mass mortalities of oysters and pose a threat to the shellfish aquaculture industry globally. OsHV-1 outbreaks can cause up to 100% mortality in the Pacific oyster Crassostrea gigas. However, OsHV-1 and its variants have a broad host range and can infect at least 7 bivalve species, including bay scallops Argopecten irradians and eastern oysters C. virginica. Determining the susceptibility of economically and ecologically important bivalve species to OsHV-1 is critical for improving biosecurity and disease management to protect the aquaculture industry. Surveys of eastern oysters were conducted in June to August 2021 in the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay to determine the prevalence and viral load of OsHV-1 at 5 aquaculture farms. Using quantitative PCR, OsHV-1 was not detected at any sites. Experiments examined the susceptibility of single stocks of eastern oysters and hard clams Mercenaria mercenaria to the virus and their ability to horizontally transmit it using OsHV-1 µVar SD (San Diego, California) and OsHV-1 µVar FRA (Marennes-Olreon, France). Results showed that OsHV-1 µVars did not cause mortality or symptomatic infection in the single stocks of eastern oysters and hard clams used in these experiments using natural infection pathways. However, the eastern oyster stock, when injected with OsHV-1, did transmit the virus to naïve Pacific oysters. Further experimentation using additional stocks and lines and establishment of surveillance programs along the east and Gulf coasts of the USA are necessary to prepare for the potential spread and impact of OsHV-1 related disease.

Utilizing Disease Prediction Models to Time Fungicide Applications for Controlling Ripe Rot, Caused by Colletotrichum spp., in Maryland Vineyards.

Two previously published ripe rot prediction models, DF2-NN and GH2-DT, were evaluated for fungicide application timing efficacy in Maryland vineyards. Both models utilize leaf wetness duration (LWD), temperature, and grape cluster phenological stages as model parameters. These three parameters were tracked throughout the 2021 to 2023 seasons in three vineyards. The fungicide efficacy trials started at the veraison phenological stage and included a nontreated control, a 12-day interval treatment, and two model-triggered treatments when risk predicted by the models crossed a threshold. The severity of ripe rot on the clusters in each treatment was assessed when the fruit were mature. Ripe rot severity in the nontreated controls was higher during seasons with more LWD and more precipitation. Days in which the models were triggered by the environmental conditions primarily coincided with precipitation events and lengthy LWDs. The model-triggered treatments never had significantly higher ripe rot severity than the 12-day interval treatment but had significantly lower severities than the nontreated control in most trials which had high ripe rot pressure. Furthermore, the model-triggered treatments resulted in fewer fungicide applications than the 12-day interval treatment on average. The DF2-NN model appeared to be more accurate and useful for ripe rot prediction and treatment than the GH2-DT model because it triggered fewer fungicide applications while reducing ripe rot. This model may be useful for improving or maintaining ripe rot control with fewer fungicide inputs, which may be beneficial for the environment and the reduction of fungicide resistance selection.

The efficacy of 1-allyloxy-4-propoxybenzene (3c{3,6}) against Varroa destructor mites in honey bee colonies from Maryland, USA.

Varroa destructor Oud (Acari: Varroidae) is a harmful ectoparasite of Apis mellifera L. honey bees causing widespread colony losses in Europe and North America. To control populations of these mites, beekeepers have an arsenal of different treatments, including both chemical and nonchemical options. However, nonchemical treatments can be labor intensive, and Varroa has gained resistance to some conventional pesticides, and the use of other chemical treatments is restricted temporally (e.g., cannot be applied during periods of honey production). Thus, beekeepers require additional treatment options for controlling mite populations. The compound 1-allyloxy-4-propoxybenzene (3c{3,6}) is a diether previously shown to be a strong feeding deterrent against Lepidopteran larvae and a repellent against mosquitoes and showed promise as a novel acaricide from laboratory and early field trials. Here we test the effect of the compound, applied at 8 g/brood box on wooden release devices, on honey bees and Varroa in field honey bee colonies located in Maryland, USA, and using a thymol-based commercial product as a positive control. 3c{3,6} had minimal effect on honey bee colonies, but more tests are needed to determine whether it affected egg production by queens. Against Varroa3c{3,6} had an estimated efficacy of 78.5%, while the positive control thymol product showed an efficacy of 91.3%. 3c{3,6} is still in the development stage, and the dose or application method needs to be revisited.

Causal inference approaches reveal both positive and negative unintended effects of agricultural and urban management practices on instream biological condition.

Agricultural and urban management practices (MPs) are primarily designed and implemented to reduce nutrient and sediment concentrations in streams. However, there is growing interest in determining if MPs produce any unintended positive effects, or co-benefits, to instream biological and habitat conditions. Identifying co-benefits is challenging though because of confounding variables (i.e., those that affect both where MPs are applied and stream biota), which can be accounted for in novel causal inference approaches. Here, we used two causal inference approaches, propensity score matching (PSM) and Bayesian network learning (BNL), to identify potential MP co-benefits in the Chesapeake Bay watershed portion of Maryland, USA. Specifically, we examined how MPs may modify instream conditions that impact fish and macroinvertebrate indices of biotic integrity (IBI) and functional and taxonomic endpoints. We found evidence of positive unintended effects of MPs for both benthic macroinvertebrates and fish indicated by higher IBI scores and specific endpoints like the number of scraper macroinvertebrate taxa and lithophilic spawning fish taxa in a subset of regions. However, our results also suggest MPs have negative unintended effects, especially on sensitive benthic macroinvertebrate taxa and key instream habitat and water quality metrics like specific conductivity. Overall, our results suggest MPs offer co-benefits in some regions and catchments with largely degraded conditions but can have negative unintended effects in some regions, especially in catchments with good biological conditions. We suggest the number and types of MPs drove these mixed results and highlight carefully designed MP implementation that incorporates instream biological data at the catchment scale could facilitate co-benefits to instream biological conditions. Our study underscores the need for more research on identifying effects of individual MP types on instream biological and habitat conditions.

Evaluation of the Maryland Next Gen Test Bank Project: Implications and Recommendations.

AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate the development and impact of a project to create a statewide test bank of Next Generation NCLEX®-style items. BACKROUND: Using a train-the-trainer model, champions created an open access resource of Next Generation NCLEX-style items to use to teach clinical judgment and then trained peers on item writing and test bank use. METHOD: Stufflebeam's CIPP (context, inputs, process, and products) model provided the framework for the evaluation. Data were synthesized from multiple sources including participation rates, item utilization, and survey data. RESULTS: Twenty faculty from 13 schools were trained as champions and submitted 54 case studies, 33 bowties, and 21 trend items to the test bank. Items were used over 60,000 times in the first year. CONCLUSION: The statewide test bank met a need for more teaching resources. The train-the-trainer model was an effective strategy for helping faculty learn to prepare for Next Generation NCLEX.

Quantification of referrals received at two emergency-capable hyperbaric medicine centers.

Emergency hyperbaric oxygen treatment capability is limited in the United States, and there is little documentation of calls received by centers available 24 hours a day, seven days a week, 365 days a year. Our study aimed to calculate the number of calls received for urgent hyperbaric oxygen (HBO2). We logged calls from two HBO2 chambers on the East Coast of the United States that serve a densely populated region in 2021. The total number of emergency calls was 187 at the University of Maryland (UMD) and 127 at the University of Pennsylvania (UPenn). There were calls on 180/365 (46%) days during the study period at UMD and 239/365 (63%) days at UPenn. The most common indication was carbon monoxide toxicity. The peak month of calls was March. Emergency HBO2 calls are common, and more centers must accept emergency cases. Data from geographically diverse centers would add generalizability to these results and capture more diving-related emergencies.

A Framework for Developing and Assessing Custom Case Definitions: A Demonstration Applied to Opioid Overdose in Maryland.

CONTEXT: Public health epidemiologists monitor data sources for disease outbreaks and other events of public health concern, but manual review of records to identify cases of interest is slow and labor-intensive and may not reflect evolving data practices. To automatically identify cases from electronic data sources, epidemiologists must use "case definitions" or formal logic that captures the criteria used to identify a record as a case of interest. OBJECTIVE: To establish a methodology for development and evaluation of case definitions. A logical evaluation framework to approach case definitions will allow jurisdictions the flexibility to implement a case definition tailored to their goals and available data. DESIGN: Case definition development is explained as a process with multiple logical components combining free-text and categorical data fields. The process is illustrated with the development of a case definition to identify emergency medical services (EMS) call records related to opioid overdoses in Maryland. SETTING: The Maryland Department of Health (MDH) installation of the Electronic Surveillance System for Early Notification of Community-Based Epidemics (ESSENCE), which began capturing EMS call records in ESSENCE in 2019 to improve statewide coverage of all-hazards health issues. RESULTS: We describe a case definition evaluation framework and demonstrate its application through development of an opioid overdose case definition to be used in MDH ESSENCE. We show the iterative process of development, from defining how a case can be identified conceptually to examining each component of the conceptual definition and then exploring how to capture that component using available data. CONCLUSION: We present a framework for developing and qualitatively assessing case definitions and demonstrate an application of the framework to identifying opioid overdose incidents from MDH EMS data. We discuss guidelines to support jurisdictions in applying this framework to their own data and public health challenges to improve local surveillance capability.

Increasing Access to Cardiac Rehabilitation Services Among Disadvantaged Populations.

The Prince George's County Health Department encountered several challenges to increasing access to cardiac rehabilitation (CR) services among disadvantaged populations. They include excessive patient out-of-pocket costs; requirements that CR orders must be signed by a physician; provider reluctance to refer patients to CR, with most primary care providers preferring to refer clients to cardiologists for the latter to determine whether the patient needs CR referral; limited availability of CR programs; and difficulty identifying patients eligible for CR services. Discussions with other local health departments and public health practitioners indicate that these challenges are not unique to Maryland but are indicative of policy and system barriers that prevent the optimal delivery of cardiovascular health services. This practice report documents the challenges and the Prince George's County Health Department's efforts to resolve them and provides recommendations for decision-makers seeking to make CR programs more accessible to disadvantaged populations.

Effects of the First Year of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Utilization of Emergency Medical Services in Maryland.

BACKGROUND: The opioid epidemic in the United States has devastated the lives of individuals and imposed decades-long opportunity costs on the community. METHODS: We analyzed Emergency Medical Services (EMS) data from the Maryland Department of Health installation of the Electronic Surveillance System for Early Notification of Community-Based Epidemics (ESSENCE) to assess the impact of COVID-19 on EMS call volume and how COVID-19 impacted patients' decisions whether to accept transport to a hospital following an EMS call. RESULTS: The rate of patients accepting transportation via EMS to a hospital emergency department (ED) declined for both opioid-related and non-opioid-related calls from prepandemic (before April 2020) to mid-pandemic (mid-March 2020 to mid-April 2020). The opioid-related call volume increased more from pre- to mid-pandemic for male patients than for female patients, and this "gender gap" had not returned to prepandemic levels by April 2021. CONCLUSION: Consistent with reports from other states, the pandemic worsened the opioid crisis in Maryland, impacting some populations more than others while also decreasing the likelihood that individuals experiencing an opioid-related overdose would seek further medical care following an EMS call.

Air or Ground Transport to the Critical Care Resuscitation Unit: Does It Really Matter?

OBJECTIVE: Critically ill patients requiring urgent interventions or subspecialty care often require transport over significant distances to tertiary care centers. The optimal method of transportation (air vs. ground) is unknown. We investigated whether air transport was associated with lower mortality for patients being transferred to a specialized critical care resuscitation unit (CCRU). METHODS: This was a retrospective study of all adult patients transferred to the CCRU at the University of Maryland Medical Center in 2018. Our primary outcome was hospital mortality. The secondary outcomes included the length of stay and the time to the operating room (OR) for patients undergoing urgent procedures. We performed optimal 1:2 propensity score matching for each patient's need for air transport. RESULTS: We matched 198 patients transported by air to 382 patients transported by ground. There was no significant difference between demographics, the initial Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, or hospital outcomes between groups. One hundred sixty-four (83%) of the patients transported via air survived to hospital discharge compared with 307 (80%) of those transported by ground (P = .46). Patients transported via air arrived at the CCRU more quickly (127 [100-178] vs. 223 [144-332] minutes, P < .001) and were more likely (60 patients, 30%) to undergo urgent surgical operation within 12 hours of CCRU arrival (30% vs. 17%, P < .001). For patients taken to the OR within 12 hours of arriving at the CCRU, patients transported by air were more likely to go to the OR after 200 minutes since the transfer request (P = .001). CONCLUSION: The transportation mode used to facilitate interfacility transfer was not significantly associated with hospital mortality or the length of stay for critically ill patients.

A Single Case Observation: Is the Ebola Virus Soluble Glycoprotein an Indicator of Viral Recrudescence?

This case study investigated the long-term expression dynamics of Ebola virus (EBOV) soluble glycoprotein (sGP) in the serum of a patient who was infected with EBOV in West Africa and recovered from acute Ebola virus disease (EVD) at the National Institutes of Health Clinical Center in Bethesda, Maryland. Samples from this patient were collected during acute EVD and during convalescence up to day 361 following illness onset. Although blood samples were negative by reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction after recovery from acute EVD, we detected small amounts of EBOV sGP in the serum of the patient long after recovery, potentially indicating viral recrudescence. As this was only observed in a single patient, additional longitudinal patient samples are needed to confirm our hypothesis that EBOV sGP may be an indicator of viral recrudescence long after recovery from acute EVD.

Epidemiology of Human Parainfluenza Virus Type 3 and Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections in the Time of Coronavirus Disease 2019: Findings From a Household Cohort in Maryland.

BACKGROUND: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, human parainfluenza type 3 (HPIV-3) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) circulation increased as nonpharmaceutical interventions were relaxed. Using data from 175 households (n = 690 members) followed between November 2020 and October 2021, we characterized HPIV-3 and RSV epidemiology in children aged 0-4 years and their households. METHODS: Households with ≥1 child aged 0-4 years were enrolled; members collected weekly nasal swabs (NS) and additional NS with respiratory illnesses (RI). We tested NS from RI episodes in children aged 0-4 years for HPIV-3, RSV, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) using reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Among children with HPIV-3 or RSV infection, we tested contemporaneous NS from household members. We compared incidence rates (IRs) of RI with each virus during epidemic periods and identified household primary cases (the earliest detected household infection), and associated community exposures. RESULTS: 41 of 175 (23.4%) households had individuals with HPIV-3 (n = 45) or RSV (n = 46) infections. Among children aged 0-4 years, RI IRs /1000 person-weeks were 8.7 [6.0, 12.2] for HPIV-3, 7.6 [4.8, 11.4] for RSV, and 1.9 [1.0, 3.5] for SARS-CoV-2. Children aged 0-4 years accounted for 35 of 36 primary HPIV-3 or RSV cases. Children attending childcare or preschool had higher odds of primary infection (odds ratio, 10.81; 95% confidence interval, 3.14-37.23). CONCLUSIONS: Among children aged 0-4 years, RI IRs for HPIV-3 and RSV infection were 4-fold higher than for SARS-CoV-2 during epidemic periods. HPIV-3 and RSV were almost exclusively introduced into households by young children.

Is the Centralization of Complex Surgical Procedures an Unintended Spillover Effect of Global Capitation? - Insights from the Maryland Global Budget Revenue Program.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if global budget revenue (GBR) models incent the centralization of complex surgical care. SUMMARY BACKGROUND: In 2014, Maryland initiated a statewide GBR model. While prior research has shown improvements in cost and outcomes for surgical care post-GBR implementation, the mechanism remains unclear. METHODS: Utilizing state inpatient databases, we compared the proportion of adults undergoing elective complex surgeries (gastrectomy, pneumonectomy/lobectomy, proctectomies, and hip/knee revision) at high-concentration hospitals (HCHs) in Maryland and control states. Annual concentration, per procedure, was defined as hospital volume divided by state volume. HCHs were defined as hospitals with a concentration at least at the 75 th percentile in 2010. We estimated the difference-in-differences (DiD) of the probability of patients undergoing surgery at HCHs before and after GBR implementation. FINDINGS: Our sample included 122,882 surgeries. Following GBR implementation, all procedures were increasingly performed at HCHs in Maryland. States satisfied the parallel trends assumption for the centralization of gastrectomy and pneumonectomy/lobectomy. Post-GBR, patients were more likely to undergo gastrectomy (DiD: 5.5 p.p., 95% CI [2.2, 8.8]) and pneumonectomy/lobectomy (DiD: 12.4 p.p., 95% CI [10.0, 14.8]) at an HCH in Maryland compared with control states. For our hip/knee revision analyses, we assumed persistent counterfactuals and noted a positive DiD post-GBR implementation (DiD: 4.8 p.p., 95% CI [1.3, 8.2]). No conclusion could be drawn for proctectomy due to different pre-GBR trends. CONCLUSIONS: GBR implementation is associated with increased centralization for certain complex surgeries. Future research is needed to explore the impact of centralization on patient experience and access.