The genetic legacy of the expansion of Bantu-speaking peoples in Africa.

The expansion of people speaking Bantu languages is the most dramatic demographic event in Late Holocene Africa and fundamentally reshaped the linguistic, cultural and biological landscape of the continent1-7. With a comprehensive genomic dataset, including newly generated data of modern-day and ancient DNA from previously unsampled regions in Africa, we contribute insights into this expansion that started 6,000-4,000 years ago in western Africa. We genotyped 1,763 participants, including 1,526 Bantu speakers from 147 populations across 14 African countries, and generated whole-genome sequences from 12 Late Iron Age individuals8. We show that genetic diversity amongst Bantu-speaking populations declines with distance from western Africa, with current-day Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo as possible crossroads of interaction. Using spatially explicit methods9 and correlating genetic, linguistic and geographical data, we provide cross-disciplinary support for a serial-founder migration model. We further show that Bantu speakers received significant gene flow from local groups in regions they expanded into. Our genetic dataset provides an exhaustive modern-day African comparative dataset for ancient DNA studies10 and will be important to a wide range of disciplines from science and humanities, as well as to the medical sector studying human genetic variation and health in African and African-descendant populations.

Evidence for the earliest structural use of wood at least 476,000 years ago.

Wood artefacts rarely survive from the Early Stone Age since they require exceptional conditions for preservation; consequently, we have limited information about when and how hominins used this basic raw material1. We report here on the earliest evidence for structural use of wood in the archaeological record. Waterlogged deposits at the archaeological site of Kalambo Falls, Zambia, dated by luminescence to at least 476 ± 23 kyr ago (ka), preserved two interlocking logs joined transversely by an intentionally cut notch. This construction has no known parallels in the African or Eurasian Palaeolithic. The earliest known wood artefact is a fragment of polished plank from the Acheulean site of Gesher Benot Ya'aqov, Israel, more than 780 ka (refs. 2,3). Wooden tools for foraging and hunting appear 400 ka in Europe4-8, China9 and possibly Africa10. At Kalambo we also recovered four wood tools from 390 ka to 324 ka, including a wedge, digging stick, cut log and notched branch. The finds show an unexpected early diversity of forms and the capacity to shape tree trunks into large combined structures. These new data not only extend the age range of woodworking in Africa but expand our understanding of the technical cognition of early hominins11, forcing re-examination of the use of trees in the history of technology12,13.

Optimised prevention of postnatal HIV transmission in Zambia and Burkina Faso (PROMISE-EPI): a phase 3, open-label, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Transmission through breastfeeding accounts for more than half of the unacceptably high number of new paediatric HIV infections worldwide. We hypothesised that, in addition to maternal antiretroviral therapy (ART), extended postnatal prophylaxis with lamivudine, guided by point-of-care assays for maternal viral load, could reduce postnatal transmission. METHODS: We did a phase 3, open-label, randomised controlled trial at four health-care facilities in Zambia and four health-care facilities in Burkina Faso. Mothers with HIV and their breastfed infants without HIV attending the second visit of the Expanded Programme of Immunisation (EPI-2; infant age 6-8 weeks) were randomly assigned 1:1 to intervention or control groups. In the intervention group, maternal viral load was measured using Xpert HIV viral load assay at EPI-2 and at 6 months, with results provided immediately. Infants whose mothers had a viral load of 1000 copies per mL or higher were started on lamivudine syrup twice per day for 12 months or 1 month after breastfeeding discontinuation. The control group followed national guidelines for prevention of postnatal transmission of HIV. The primary outcome assessed by modified intention to treat was infant HIV infection at age 12 months, with HIV DNA point-of-care testing at 6 months and at 12 months. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03870438). FINDINGS: Between Dec 12, 2019 and Sept 30, 2021, 34 054 mothers were screened for HIV. Among them, 1506 mothers with HIV and their infants without HIV, including 1342 mother and infant pairs from Zambia and 164 from Burkina Faso, were eligible and randomly assigned 1:1 to the intervention (n=753) or control group (n=753). At baseline, the median age of the mothers was 30·6 years (IQR 26·0-34·7), 1480 (98·4%) of 1504 were receiving ART, and 169 (11·5%) of 1466 had a viral load ≥1000 copies/mL. There was one case of HIV transmission in the intervention group and six in the control group, resulting in a transmission incidence of 0·19 per 100 person-years (95% CI 0·005-1·04) in the intervention group and 1·16 per 100 person-years (0·43-2·53) in the control group, which did not reach statistical significance (p=0·066). HIV-free survival and serious adverse events were similar in both groups. INTERPRETATION: Our intervention, initiated at EPI-2 and based on extended single-drug postnatal prophylaxis guided by point-of-care maternal viral load could be an important strategy for paediatric HIV elimination. FUNDING: The EDCTP2 programme with the support of the UK Department of Health & Social Care.

The effect of tranexamic acid on postpartum bleeding in women with moderate and severe anaemia (WOMAN-2): an international, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Tranexamic acid, given within 3 h of birth, reduces bleeding deaths in women with postpartum haemorrhage. We examined whether giving tranexamic acid shortly after birth can prevent postpartum haemorrhage in women with moderate or severe anaemia. METHODS: This international, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was done in 34 hospitals across four countries (Nigeria, Pakistan, Tanzania, and Zambia). We recruited women of any age in active labour with moderate or severe anaemia (haemoglobin <100 g/L). We randomly assigned women (1:1) who had given birth vaginally to receive 1 g of tranexamic acid or matching placebo by slow intravenous injection (over 10 min) within 15 min of the umbilical cord being cut or clamped. Women were randomly assigned by selection of the lowest numbered treatment pack from a box containing 20 packs that were identical apart from the pack number. Participants, care givers, and those assessing outcomes were masked to group assignment. The primary outcome was a clinical diagnosis of primary postpartum haemorrhage, which might be an estimated blood loss of more than 500 mL or any blood loss sufficient to compromise haemodynamic stability within 24 h of randomisation, analysed on an intention-to-treat basis. Safety analyses were performed in all participants included in the intention-to-treat population. This trial was registered on ISRCTN (ISRCTN62396133), ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03475342), and the Pan African Clinical Trial Registry (PACTR201909735842379) and is closed to recruitment. FINDINGS: From Aug 24, 2019, to Sept 19, 2023, 16 586 women aged 14-50 years were invited to take part and 1518 were excluded. 7580 women were randomly assigned to receive tranexamic acid and 7488 to receive placebo. Primary outcome data were unavailable for one woman in each group. The median time interval from the start of the administration of the trial treatment to the diagnosis of postpartum haemorrhage was 18·5 min (IQR 5-58); 20 min (8-64) in women with moderate anaemia and 13 min (7-44) in women with severe anaemia. 358 (35%) of 1024 with postpartum haemorrhage for whom time data were available were diagnosed before the trial treatment had been fully administered. Clinically diagnosed postpartum haemorrhage occurred in 530 (7·0%) of 7579 in the tranexamic acid group and in 497 (6·6%) of 7487 in the placebo group (risk ratio [RR] 1·05, 95% CI 0·94-1·19). There was no strong evidence against the null hypothesis of homogeneity of effects for any of the prespecified subgroup analyses: severity of anaemia (p=0·44), antepartum haemorrhage (p=0·044), birth canal trauma (p=0·37), use of pain control (p=0·37), and baseline risk of postpartum haemorrhage (p=0·31). There were no vascular occlusive events (pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis, stroke, and myocardial infarction) reported in either group. There were no adverse events related to the treatment and no treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: In women with moderate and severe anaemia, giving tranexamic acid within 15 min of the umbilical cord being clamped did not reduce the risk of clinically diagnosed postpartum haemorrhage. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the Wellcome Trust.

Cannabis Use Associates With Reduced Proviral Burden and Inflammatory Cytokine in Tissues From Men With Clade C HIV-1 on Suppressive Antiretroviral Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Human immunodeficiency virus 1 (HIV-1) tissue reservoirs remain the main obstacle against an HIV cure. Limited information exists regarding cannabis's effects on HIV-1 infections in vivo, and the impact of cannabis use on HIV-1 parenchymal tissue reservoirs is unexplored. METHODS: To investigate whether cannabis use alters HIV-1 tissue reservoirs, we systematically collected 21 postmortem brain and peripheral tissues from 20 men with subtype C HIV-1 and with suppressed viral load enrolled in Zambia, 10 of whom tested positive for cannabis use. The tissue distribution and copies of subtype C HIV-1 LTR, gag, env DNA and RNA, and the relative mRNA levels of cytokines IL-1ß, IL-6, IL-10, and TGF-ß1 were quantified using PCR-based approaches. Utilizing generalized linear mixed models we compared persons with HIV-1 and suppressed viral load, with and without cannabis use. RESULTS: The odds of tissues harboring HIV-1 DNA and the viral DNA copies in those tissues were significantly lower in persons using cannabis. Moreover, the transcription levels of proinflammatory cytokines IL-1ß and IL-6 in lymphoid tissues of persons using cannabis were also significantly lower. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggested that cannabis use is associated with reduced sizes and inflammatory cytokine expression of subtype C HIV-1 reservoirs in men with suppressed viral load.

Antimicrobial resistance and heterogeneity of Neisseria gonorrhoeae isolated from patients attending sexually transmitted infection clinics in Lusaka, Zambia.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) of Neisseria gonorrhoeae is a threat to public health as strains have developed resistance to antimicrobials available for the treatment of gonorrhea. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) can detect and predict antimicrobial resistance to enhance the control and prevention of gonorrhea. Data on the molecular epidemiology of N. gonorrhoeae is sparse in Zambia. This study aimed to determine the genetic diversity of N. gonorrhoeae isolated from patients attending sexually transmitted infection (STI) clinics in Lusaka, Zambia. METHODS: A cross-sectional study that sequenced 38 N. gonorrhoeae isolated from 122 patients with gonorrhea from 2019 to 2020 was conducted. The AMR profiles were determined by the E-test, and the DNA was extracted using the NucliSens easyMaG magnetic device. Whole genome sequencing was performed on the Illumina NextSeq550 platform. The Bacterial analysis pipeline (BAP) that is readily available at: https://cge.cbs.dtu.dk/services/CGEpipeline-1.1 was used for the identification of the species, assembling the genome, multi-locus sequence typing (MLST), detection of plasmids and AMR genes. Phylogeny by single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) was determined with the CCphylo dataset. RESULTS: The most frequent STs with 18.4% of isolates each were ST7363, ST1921 and ST1582, followed by ST1583 (13%), novel ST17026 (7.9%), ST1588 (7.9%), ST1596 (5.3%), ST11181 (5.3%), ST11750 (2.6/%) and ST11241 (2.6%) among the 38 genotyped isolates. The blaTeM-1B and tetM (55%) was the most prevalent combination of AMR genes, followed by blaTeM-1B (18.4%), tetM (15.8%), and the combination of blaTeM-1B, ermT, and tetL was 2.6% of the isolates. The AMR phenotypes were predicted in ciprofloxacin, penicillin, tetracycline, azithromycin, and cefixime. The combination of mutations 23.7% was gryA (S91F), parC (E91G), ponA (L421) and rpsJ (V57M), followed by 18.4% in gyrA (S91F), ponA (L421P), rpsJ (V57M), and 18.4% in gyrA (D95G, S91F), ponA (L421P), and rpsJ (V57M). The combinations in gyrA (D95G, S91F) and rpsJ (V57M), and gyrA (D95G, S91F), parC (E91F), ponA (L421P) and rpsJ (V57M) were 13.2% each of the isolates. Plasmid TEM-1 (84.2%), tetM (15.8%), and gonococcal genetic island (GGI) was detected in all isolates. CONCLUSION: This study revealed remarkable heterogeneity of N. gonorrhoeae with blaTEM-1, tetM, ponA, gyrA, and parC genes associated with high resistance to penicillin, tetracycline, and ciprofloxacin demanding revision of the standard treatment guidelines and improved antimicrobial stewardship in Zambia.

Three-year survival of breast cancer patients attending a one-stop breast care clinic nested within a primary care health facility in sub-Saharan Africa-Zambia.

In Zambia, women with breast symptoms travel through multiple levels of the healthcare system before obtaining a definitive diagnosis. To eradicate this critical barrier to care, we nested a novel breast specialty service platform inside a large public-sector primary healthcare facility in Lusaka, Zambia to offer clinical breast examination, breast ultrasound, and ultrasound-guided core needle biopsy in a one-stop format, tightly linked to referral for treatment. The objective of the study was to determine the life expectancy and survival outcomes of a prospective cohort of women diagnosed with breast cancer who were attended to and followed up at the clinic. The effect of breast cancer stage on prognosis was determined by estimating stage-specific crude survival using the Kaplan-Meier method. Survival analysis was used to estimate mean lifespan according to age and stage at diagnosis. We enrolled 302 women with histologically confirmed breast cancer. The overall 3-year survival was 73%. An increase in patients presenting with early breast cancer and improvements in their survival were observed. Women with early-stage breast cancer had a lifespan similar to the general population, while loss of life expectancy was significant at more advanced stages of disease. Our findings suggest that implementing efficient breast care services at the primary care level can avert a substantial proportion of breast cancer-related deaths. The mitigating factor appears to be stage of disease at the time of diagnosis, the cause of which is multifactorial, with the most influential being delays in the referral process.

Incidence of self-reported tuberculosis treatment with community-wide universal testing and treatment for HIV and tuberculosis screening in Zambia and South Africa: A planned analysis of the HPTN 071 (PopART) cluster-randomised trial.

BACKGROUND: HIV is a potent risk factor for tuberculosis (TB). Therefore, community-wide universal testing and treatment for HIV (UTT) could contribute to TB control, but evidence for this is limited. Community-wide TB screening can decrease population-level TB prevalence. Combining UTT with TB screening could therefore significantly impact TB control in sub-Saharan Africa, but to our knowledge there is no evidence for this combined approach. METHODS AND FINDINGS: HPTN 071 (PopART) was a community-randomised trial conducted between November 2013 to July 2018; 21 Zambian and South African communities (with a total population of approximately 1 million individuals) were randomised to arms A (community-wide UTT and TB screening), B (community-wide universal HIV testing with treatment following national guidelines and TB screening), or C (standard-of-care). In a cohort of randomly selected adults (18 to 44 years) enrolled between 2013 and 2015 from all 21 communities (total size 38,474; 27,139 [71%] female; 8,004 [21%] HIV positive) and followed-up annually for 36 months to measure the population-level impact of the interventions, data on self-reported TB treatment in the previous 12 months (self-reported TB) were collected by trained research assistants and recorded using a structured questionnaire at each study visit. In this prespecified analysis of the trial, self-reported TB incidence rates were measured by calendar year between 2014 and 2017/2018. A p-value ≤0.05 on hypothesis testing was defined as reaching statistical significance. Between January 2014 and July 2018, 38,287 individuals were followed-up: 494 self-reported TB during 104,877 person-years. Overall incidence rates were similar across all arms in 2014 and 2015 (0.33 to 0.46/100 person-years). In 2016 incidence rates were lower in arm A compared to C overall (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 0.48 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.28 to 0.81; p = 0.01]), with statistical significance reached. In 2017/2018, while incidence rates were lower in arm A compared to C, statistical significance was not reached (aRR 0.58 [95% CI 0.27 to 1.22; p = 0.13]). Among people living with HIV (PLHIV) incidence rates were lower in arm A compared to C in 2016 (RR 0.56 [95% CI 0.29 to 1.08; p = 0.08]) and 2017/2018 (RR 0.50 [95% CI 0.26 to 0.95; p = 0.04]); statistical significance was only reached in 2017/2018. Incidence rates in arms B and C were similar, overall and among PLHIV. Among HIV-negative individuals, there were too few events for cross-arm comparisons. Study limitations include the use of self-report which may have been subject to under-reporting, limited covariate adjustment due to the small number of events, and high losses to follow-up over time. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, community-wide UTT and TB screening resulted in substantially lower TB incidence among PLHIV at population-level, compared to standard-of-care, with statistical significance reached in the final study year. There was also some evidence this translated to a decrease in self-reported TB incidence overall in the population. Reduction in arm A but not B suggests UTT drove the observed effect. Our data support the role of UTT in TB control, in addition to HIV control, in high TB/HIV burden settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01900977.

Rapid mini-chromosome divergence among fungal isolates causing wheat blast outbreaks in Bangladesh and Zambia.

The fungal pathogen, Magnaporthe oryzae Triticum pathotype, causing wheat blast disease was first identified in South America and recently spread across continents to South Asia and Africa. Here, we studied the genetic relationship among isolates found on the three continents. Magnaporthe oryzae strains closely related to a South American field isolate B71 were found to have caused the wheat blast outbreaks in South Asia and Africa. Genomic variation among isolates from the three continents was examined using an improved B71 reference genome and whole-genome sequences. We found strong evidence to support that the outbreaks in Bangladesh and Zambia were caused by the introductions of genetically separated isolates, although they were all close to B71 and, therefore, collectively referred to as the B71 branch. In addition, B71 branch strains carried at least one supernumerary mini-chromosome. Genome assembly of a Zambian strain revealed that its mini-chromosome was similar to the B71 mini-chromosome but with a high level of structural variation. Our findings show that while core genomes of the multiple introductions are highly similar, the mini-chromosomes have undergone marked diversification. The maintenance of the mini-chromosome and rapid genomic changes suggest the mini-chromosomes may serve important virulence or niche adaptation roles under diverse environmental conditions.

A first report of rotavirus B from Zambian pigs leading to the discovery of a novel VP4 genotype P[9].

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus B (RVB) causes diarrhea in humans and pigs. Although various RVB strains were identified in humans and various animals globally, little is known about the epidemiology RVB infection in Africa. In this study, we attempted to examine the prevalence of RVB infection in pig populations in Zambia. METHODS: Metagenomic analyses were conducted on pig feces collected in Zambia to detect double stranded RNA viruses, including RVB. To clarify the prevalence of RVB infection in pig populations in Zambia, 147 fecal samples were screened for the RVB detection by RT-qPCR. Full genome sequence of a detected RVB was determined by Sanger sequencing and genetically analyzed. RESULTS: The metagenomic analyses revealed that RVB sequence reads and contigs of RVB were detected from one fecal sample collected from pigs in Zambia. RT-qPCR screening detected RVB genomes in 36.7% (54/147) of fecal samples. Among 54 positive samples, 13 were positive in non-diarrheal samples (n = 48, 27.1%) and 41 in diarrheal samples (n = 99, 41.4%). Genetic analyses demonstrated that all the segments of ZP18-18, except for VP4, had high nucleotide sequence identities (80.6-92.6%) with all other known RVB strains detected in pigs. In contrast, the VP4 sequence of ZP18-18 was highly divergent from other RVB strains (< 64.6% identities) and formed a distinct lineage in the phylogenetic tree. Notably, the VP8 subunit of the VP4 showed remarkably low amino acid identities (33.3%) to those of known RVB strains, indicating that the VP8 subunit of ZP18-18 was unique among RVB strains. According to the whole genome classification for RVB, ZP18-18 was assigned to a genotype constellation, G18-P[9]-I12-R4-C4-M4-A8-N10-T5-E4-H7 with the newly established VP4 genotype P[9]. CONCLUSIONS: This current study updates the geographical distribution and the genetic diversity of RVB. Given the lack of information regarding RVB in Africa, further RVB surveillance is required to assess the potential risk to humans and animals.

Fire facilitates ground layer plant diversity in a Miombo ecosystem.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Little is known about the response of ground layer plant communities to fire in Miombo ecosystems, which is a global blind spot of ecological understanding. We aimed: (1) to assess the impact of three experimentally imposed fire treatments on ground layer species composition and compare it with patterns observed for trees; and (2) to analyse the effect of fire treatments on species richness to assess how responses differ among plant functional groups. METHODS: At a 60-year-long fire experiment in Zambia, we quantified the richness and diversity of ground layer plants in terms of taxa and functional groups across three experimental fire treatments of late dry-season fire, early dry-season fire and fire exclusion. Data were collected in five repeat surveys from the onset of the wet season to the early dry season. KEY RESULTS: Of the 140 ground layer species recorded across the three treatments, fire-maintained treatments contributed most of the richness and diversity, with the least number of unique species found in the no-fire treatment. The early-fire treatment was more similar in composition to the no-fire treatment than to the late-fire treatment. C4 grass and geoxyle richness were highest in the late-fire treatment, and there were no shared sedge species between the late-fire and other treatments. At a plot level, the average richness in the late-fire treatment was twice that of the fire exclusion treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Heterogeneity in fire seasonality and intensity supports diversity of a unique flora by providing a diversity of local environments. African ecosystems face rapid expansion of land- and fire-management schemes for carbon offsetting and sequestration. We demonstrate that analyses of the impacts of such schemes predicated on the tree flora alone are highly likely to underestimate impacts on biodiversity. A research priority must be a new understanding of the Miombo ground layer flora integrated into policy and land management.

Entomological effects of attractive targeted sugar bait station deployment in Western Zambia: vector surveillance findings from a two-arm cluster randomized phase III trial.

BACKGROUND: Attractive targeted sugar bait (ATSB) stations are a novel tool with potential to complement current approaches to malaria vector control. To assess the public health value of ATSB station deployment in areas of high coverage with standard vector control, a two-arm cluster-randomized controlled trial (cRCT) of Sarabi ATSB® stations (Westham Ltd., Hod-Hasharon, Israel) was conducted in Western Province, Zambia, a high-burden location were Anopheles funestus is the dominant vector. The trial included 70 clusters and was designed to measure the effect of ATSBs on case incidence and infection prevalence over two 7-month deployments. Reported here are results of the vector surveillance component of the study, conducted in a subset of 20 clusters and designed to provide entomological context to guide overall interpretation of trial findings. METHODS: Each month, 200 paired indoor-outdoor human landing catch (HLC) and 200 paired light trap (LT) collections were conducted to monitor An. funestus parity, abundance, biting rates, sporozoite prevalence, and entomological inoculation rates (EIR). RESULTS: During the study 20,337 female An. funestus were collected, 11,229 from control and 9,108 from intervention clusters. A subset of 3,131 HLC specimens were assessed for parity: The mean non-parous proportion was 23.0% (95% CI 18.2-28.7%, total n = 1477) in the control and 21.2% (95% CI 18.8-23.9%, total n = 1654) in the intervention arm, an OR = 1.05 (95% CI 0.82-1.34; p = 0.688). A non-significant reduction in LT abundance (RR = 0.65 [95% CI 0.30-1.40, p = 0.267]) was associated with ATSB deployment. HLC rates were highly variable, but model results indicate a similar non-significant trend with a RR = 0.68 (95%CI 0.22-2.00; p = 0.479). There were no effects on sporozoite prevalence or EIR. CONCLUSIONS: Anopheles funestus parity did not differ across study arms, but ATSB deployment was associated with a non-significant 35% reduction in vector LT density, results that are consistent with the epidemiological impact reported elsewhere. Additional research is needed to better understand how to maximize the potential impact of ATSB approaches in Zambia and other contexts. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: This trial was registered with Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04800055, 16 March 2021).

Deployment of attractive targeted sugar baits in western Zambia: installation, monitoring, removal, and disposal procedures during a Phase III cluster randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Attractive Targeted Sugar Baits (ATSBs) offer a complementary vector control strategy to interventions targeting blood feeding or larval control by attacking the sugar feeding behaviour of adult mosquitoes using an attract-and-kill approach. Western Zambia was the first location to receive and deploy ATSB Sarabi version 1.2 stations in a Phase III cluster randomized controlled trial. This paper describes ATSB station installation, monitoring, removal, and disposal, quantifies ATSB station coverage, and reports major reasons for ATSB station replacement. METHODS: ATSB stations were deployed during two annual transmission seasons, through scheduled installation and removal campaigns. During deployment, monitoring was conducted per protocol to maintain high coverage of the ATSB stations in good condition. Routine monitoring visits during the trial captured details on ATSB station damage necessitating replacement following pre-defined replacement criteria. Annual cross-sectional household surveys measured ATSB station coverage during peak malaria transmission. RESULTS: A total of 67,945 ATSB stations were installed in Year 1 (41,695 initially installed+ 26,250 installed during monitoring) and 69,494 ATSB stations were installed in Year 2 (41,982 initially installed+ 27,512 installed during monitoring) across 35 intervention clusters to maintain high coverage of two ATSB stations in good condition per eligible household structure. The primary reasons for ATSB station replacement due to damage were holes/tears and presence of mold. Cross-sectional household surveys documented high coverage of ATSB stations across Year 1 and Year 2 with 93.1% of eligible structures having ≥ 2 ATSB stations in any condition. DISCUSSION: ATSB station deployment and monitoring efforts were conducted in the context of a controlled cRCT to assess potential product efficacy. Damage to ATSB stations during deployment required replacement of a subset of stations. High coverage of eligible structures was maintained over the two-year study despite replacement requirements. Additional research is needed to better understand the impact of damage on ATSB station effectiveness under programmatic conditions, including thresholds of threats to physical integrity and biological deterioration on product efficacy. CONCLUSIONS: Optimizing ATSB stations to address causes of damage and conducting implementation research to inform optimal delivery and cost-effective deployment will be important to facilitate scale-up of ATSB interventions.

Community acceptance of a novel malaria intervention, Attractive Targeted Sugar Baits, in the Zambia phase III trial.

BACKGROUND: Community acceptance is an important criterion to assess in community trials, particularly for new tools that require high coverage and use by a target population. Installed on exterior walls of household structures, the attractive targeted sugar bait (ATSB) is a new vector control tool designed to attract and kill mosquitoes. ATSBs were evaluated in Western Zambia during a two-year cluster randomized controlled trial to assess the efficacy of ATSBs in reducing malaria transmission. Community acceptance of ATSBs was critical for successful trial implementation. METHODS: A community engagement strategy outlined activities and key messages to promote acceptance. Annual cross-sectional surveys, conducted during the peak transmission period, assessed households for presence of ATSBs as well as perceived benefits, concerns, and willingness to use ATSBs. Sixteen focus group discussions and 16 in-depth interviews, conducted at the end of each ATSB station deployment period, obtained a range of perceptions and household experiences with ATSB stations, as well as ITN use in the context of ATSB deployment. RESULTS: Methods used during the study to promote acceptance and continued use of ATSBs were effective in achieving greater than 90% coverage, a high (greater than 70%) level of perceived benefits, and fewer than 10% of households reporting safety concerns. Common facilitators of acceptance included the desire for protection against malaria and reduction of mosquitoes, trust in health initiatives, and understanding of the product. Common barriers to acceptance included misconceptions of product impact on mosquitoes, continued cases of malaria, association with satanism, and damage to household structures. DISCUSSION: Future use of the ATSB intervention will likely require activities that foster community acceptance before, during, and after the intervention is introduced. Additional research may be needed to understand the impact of different levels of community engagement on ATSB station coverage, ATSB station perception, and ITN use. CONCLUSION: There was high acceptance of ATSB stations during the trial in Western Zambia. Continuous and intense community engagement efforts contributed to sustained ATSB coverage and trust in the product. Acceptance of ATSBs during programmatic delivery requires further research.

Malaria community case management usage and quality of malaria care in a moderate Plasmodium falciparum burden region of Chadiza District, Zambia.

BACKGROUND: Malaria community case management (CCM) can improve timely access to healthcare, and CCM programmes in sub-Saharan Africa are expanding from serving children under 5 years (CU5) only to all ages. This report characterizes malaria case management in the setting of an age-expanded CCM programme in Chadiza District, Zambia. METHODS: Thirty-three households in each of 73 eligible communities were randomly selected to participate in a household survey preceding a trial of proactive CCM (NCT04839900). All household members were asked about fever in the prior two weeks and received a malaria rapid diagnostic test (RDT); those reporting fever were asked about healthcare received. Weighted population estimates were calculated and mixed effects regression was used to assess factors associated with malaria care seeking. RESULTS: Among 11,030 (98.6%) participants with RDT results (2,357 households), parasite prevalence was 19.1% by RDT; school-aged children (SAC, 5-14 years) had the highest prevalence (28.8%). Prior fever was reported by 12.4% of CU5, 7.5% of SAC, and 7.2% of individuals ≥ 15 years. Among those with prior fever, 34.0% of CU5, 56.0% of SAC, and 22.6% of individuals ≥ 15 years had a positive survey RDT and 73.7% of CU5, 66.5% of SAC, and 56.3% of individuals ≥ 15 years reported seeking treatment; 76.7% across all ages visited a CHW as part of care. Nearly 90% (87.8%) of people who visited a CHW reported a blood test compared with 73.5% seen only at a health facility and/or pharmacy (p < 0.001). Reported malaria treatment was similar by provider, and 85.9% of those with a reported positive malaria test reported getting malaria treatment; 66.9% of the subset with prior fever and a positive survey RDT reported malaria treatment. Age under 5 years, monthly or more frequent CHW home visits, and greater wealth were associated with increased odds of receiving healthcare. CONCLUSIONS: Chadiza District had high CHW coverage among individuals who sought care for fever. Further interventions are needed to increase the proportion of febrile individuals who receive healthcare. Strategies to decrease barriers to healthcare, such as CHW home visits, particularly targeting those of all ages in lower wealth strata, could maximize the benefits of CHW programmes.

Evaluating trends in damage to attractive targeted sugar baits (ATSBs) deployed during the second year of a two-year Phase III trial in Western Zambia.

BACKGROUND: Attractive Targeted Sugar Baits (ATSBs) are a proposed new vector control tool for malaria that contain sugar and an ingestion toxicant, and are designed to attract and kill sugar-feeding mosquitoes. During a two-arm cluster randomized Phase III trial conducted in Zambia to test the efficacy of ATSB stations on malaria incidence, ATSB stations deployed on eligible household structures within intervention clusters were routinely monitored to ensure their good physical condition and high coverage. This study investigates trends in prevalence and rate of damage to ATSB stations during year 2 of the two-year trial. METHODS: The analysis was conducted using monitoring data collected in year 2, which included types of damage observed, location, and date of removal and/or replacement of ATSB stations. The study evaluated temporal trends in the prevalence of overall damage and different damage types among 68,299 ATSB stations deployed. A profile of all ATSB stations installed on each structure was constructed, and spatial analyses conducted on overall damage and different damage types observed on 18,890 structures. Mixed effects regression analyses were conducted to investigate drivers of damage to ATSB stations on these structures. RESULTS: Prevalence of overall damage and different damage types was temporally and spatially heterogeneous. Among damaged ATSB stations observed during monitoring, tears and mold had the highest prevalences on average, with tears maintaining above 50.0% prevalence through most of the monitoring period, while mold prevalence increased steadily during the first few months, peaking in February. Overall, 45.6% of structures had at least one damaged ATSB station, however this varied spatially across the trial site. Both structure characteristics and environmental factors significantly impacted the odds and rate of damage to ATSB stations on structures, including: ATSB stations' level of protection from rainfall and sunshine; roof and wall material of the structure; night-time temperature; rainfall; enhanced vegetation index, and land cover. CONCLUSION: Damage to ATSB stations in this setting was common and was temporally and spatially heterogeneous. This has implications on operational feasibility, sustainability, and cost of future deployment. Further research is required to understand the mechanisms of damage, and to minimize prevalence and rate of damage to ATSB stations.

Characteristics of the Western Province, Zambia, trial site for evaluation of attractive targeted sugar baits for malaria vector control.

BACKGROUND: The attractive targeted sugar bait (ATSB) is a novel malaria vector control tool designed to attract and kill mosquitoes using a sugar-based bait, laced with oral toxicant. Western Province, Zambia, was one of three countries selected for a series of phase III cluster randomized controlled trials of the Westham ATSB Sarabi version 1.2. The trial sites in Kenya, Mali, and Zambia were selected to represent a range of different ecologies and malaria transmission settings across sub-Saharan Africa. This case study describes the key characteristics of the ATSB Zambia trial site to allow for interpretation of the results relative to the Kenya and Mali sites. METHODS: This study site characterization incorporates data from the trial baseline epidemiological and mosquito sugar feeding surveys conducted in 2021, as well as relevant literature on the study area. RESULTS: CHARACTERIZATION OF THE TRIAL SITE: The trial site in Zambia was comprised of 70 trial-designed clusters in Kaoma, Nkeyema, and Luampa districts. Population settlements in the trial site were dispersed across a large geographic area with sparsely populated villages. The overall population density in the 70 study clusters was 65.7 people per square kilometre with a total site population of 122,023 people living in a geographic area that covered 1858 square kilometres. However, the study clusters were distributed over a total area of approximately 11,728 square kilometres. The region was tropical with intense and seasonal malaria transmission. An abundance of trees and other plants in the trial site were potential sources of sugar meals for malaria vectors. Fourteen Anopheles species were endemic in the site and Anopheles funestus was the dominant vector, likely accounting for around 95% of all Plasmodium falciparum malaria infections. Despite high coverage of indoor residual spraying and insecticide-treated nets, the baseline malaria prevalence during the peak malaria transmission season was 50% among people ages six months and older. CONCLUSION: Malaria transmission remains high in Western Province, Zambia, despite coverage with vector control tools. New strategies are needed to address the drivers of malaria transmission in this region and other malaria-endemic areas in sub-Saharan Africa.

Residual bioefficacy of attractive targeted sugar bait stations targeting malaria vectors during seasonal deployment in Western Province of Zambia.

BACKGROUND: The primary vector control interventions in Zambia are long-lasting insecticidal nets and indoor residual spraying. Challenges with these interventions include insecticide resistance and the outdoor biting and resting behaviours of many Anopheles mosquitoes. Therefore, new vector control tools targeting additional mosquito behaviours are needed to interrupt transmission. Attractive targeted sugar bait (ATSB) stations, which exploit the sugar feeding behaviours of mosquitoes, may help in this role. This study evaluated the residual laboratory bioefficacy of Westham prototype ATSB® Sarabi v.1.2.1 Bait Station (Westham Ltd., Hod-Hasharon, Israel) in killing malaria vectors in Western Province, Zambia, during the first year of a large cluster randomized phase-III trial (Clinical Trials.gov Identifier: NCT04800055). METHODS: This was a repeat cross-sectional study conducted within three districts, Nkeyema, Kaoma, and Luampa, in Western Province, Zambia. The study was conducted in 12 intervention clusters among the 70 trial clusters (35 interventions, 35 controls) between December 2021 and June 2022. Twelve undamaged bait stations installed on the outer walls of households were collected monthly (one per cluster per month) for bioassays utilizing adult female and male Anopheles gambiae sensu stricto (Kisumu strain) mosquitoes from a laboratory colony. RESULTS: A total of 84 field-deployed ATSB stations were collected, and 71 ultimately met the study inclusion criteria for remaining in good condition. Field-deployed stations that remained in good condition (intact, non-depleted of bait, and free of dirt as well as mold) retained high levels of bioefficacy (mean induced mortality of 95.3% in males, 71.3% in females, 83.9% combined total) over seven months in the field but did induce lower mortality rates than non-deployed ATSB stations (mean induced mortality of 96.4% in males, 87.0% in females, 91.4% combined total). There was relatively little variation in corrected mortality rates between monthly rounds for those ATSB stations that had been deployed to the field. CONCLUSION: While field-deployed ATSB stations induced lower mortality rates than non-deployed ATSB stations, these stations nonetheless retained relatively high and stable levels of bioefficacy across the 7-month malaria transmission season. While overall mean mosquito mortality rates exceeded 80%, mean mortality rates for females were 24 percentage points lower than among males and these differences merit attention and further evaluation in future studies. The duration of deployment was not associated with lower bioefficacy. Westham prototype ATSB stations can still retain bioefficacy even after deployment in the field for 7 months, provided they do not meet predetermined criteria for replacement.

The effect of COVID-19 on malaria cases in Zambia: a mixed effect multilevel analysis.

BACKGROUND: The burden of Malaria in Zambia remains a challenge, with the entire population at risk of contracting this infectious disease. Despite concerted efforts by African countries, including Zambia, to implement malaria policies and strategies aimed at reducing case incidence, the region faces significant hurdles, especially with emerging pandemics such as COVID-19. The efforts to control malaria were impacted by the constraints imposed to curb its transmission during the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of the study was to assess the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on malaria cases in Zambia and the factors associated by comparing the COVID-19 period and the pre-COVID-19 era. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional panel study in which routinely collected programmatic data on malaria was used. The data were extracted from the Health Management Information System (HMIS) for the period January 2018 to January 2022. The period 2018 to 2022 was selected purely due to the availability of data and to avoid the problem of extrapolating too far away from the period of interest of the study. A summary of descriptive statistics was performed in which the number of cases were stratified by province, age group, and malaria cases. The association of these variables with the COVID-19 era was checked using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test and Kruskal‒Wallis test as applicable. In establishing the factors associated with the number of malaria cases, a mixed-effect multilevel model using the Poisson random intercept and random slope of the COVID-19 panel. The model was employed to deal with the possible correlation of the number of cases in the non-COVID-19 panel and the expected correlation of the number of cases in the COVID-19 panel. RESULTS: A total of 18,216 records were extracted from HMIS from January 2018 to January 2022. Stratifying this by the COVID-19 period/era, it was established that 8,852 malaria cases were recorded in the non-COVID-19 period, whereas 9,364 cases were recorded in the COVID-19 era. Most of the people with malaria were above the age of 15 years. Furthermore, the study found a significant increase in the relative incidence of the COVID-19 panel period compared to the non-COVID-19 panel period of 1.32, 95% CI (1.18, 1.48, p < 0.0001). The observed numbers, as well as the incident rate ratio, align with the hypothesis of this study, indicating an elevated incidence rate ratio of malaria during the COVID-19 period. CONCLUSION: This study found that there was an increase in confirmed malaria cases during the COVID-19 period compared to the non-COVID-19 period. The study also found Age, Province, and COVID-19 period to be significantly associated with malaria cases.

HIV estimation using population-based surveys with non-response: A partial identification approach.

HIV estimation using data from the demographic and health surveys (DHS) is limited by the presence of non-response and test refusals. Conventional adjustments such as imputation require the data to be missing at random. Methods that use instrumental variables allow the possibility that prevalence is different between the respondents and non-respondents, but their performance depends critically on the validity of the instrument. Using Manski's partial identification approach, we form instrumental variable bounds for HIV prevalence from a pool of candidate instruments. Our method does not require all candidate instruments to be valid. We use a simulation study to evaluate and compare our method against its competitors. We illustrate the proposed method using DHS data from Zambia, Malawi and Kenya. Our simulations show that imputation leads to seriously biased results even under mild violations of non-random missingness. Using worst case identification bounds that do not make assumptions about the non-response mechanism is robust but not informative. By taking the union of instrumental variable bounds balances informativeness of the bounds and robustness to inclusion of some invalid instruments. Non-response and refusals are ubiquitous in population based HIV data such as those collected under the DHS. Partial identification bounds provide a robust solution to HIV prevalence estimation without strong assumptions. Union bounds are significantly more informative than the worst case bounds without sacrificing credibility.