A new tissue Doppler index to predict cardiac death in patients with heart failure.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: It has been shown that a new tissue Doppler index, E/(E'×S'), including the ratio between early diastolic transmitral and mitral annular velocity (E/E'), and the systolic mitral annular velocity (S'), has a good accuracy to predict left ventricular filling pressure. OBJECTIVES: We investigated the value of E/(E'×S') to predict cardiac death in patients with heart failure. METHODS: Echocardiography was performed in 339 consecutive hospitalized patients with heart failure, in sinus rhythm, after appropriate medical treatment, at discharge and after one month. Worsening of E/(E'×S') was defined as any increase of baseline value. The end point was cardiac death. RESULTS: During the follow-up period (35.2 ± 8.8 months), cardiac death occurred in 51 patients (15%). The optimal cut-off value for the initial E/(E'×S') to predict cardiac death was 2.83 (76% sensitivity, 85% specificity). At discharge, 252 patients (74.3%) presented E/(E'×S') ≤ 2.83 (group I) and 87 (25.7%) presented E/(E'×S') > 2.83 (group II), respectively. Cardiac death was significantly higher in group II than in group I (38 deaths, 43.7% vs 13 deaths, 5.15%, p < 0.001). By multivariate Cox regression analysis, including variables that affected outcome in univariate analysis, E/(E'×S') at discharge was the best independent predictor of cardiac death (hazard ratio = 3.09, 95% confidence interval = 1.81-5.31, p = 0.001). Patients with E/(E'×S') > 2.83 at discharge and its worsening after one month presented the worst prognosis (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with heart failure, the E/(E'×S') ratio is a powerful predictor of cardiac death, particularly if it is associated with its worsening.