The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa.
Nat Med
; 26(9): 1411-1416, 2020 09.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-32770167
ABSTRACT
The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising1. In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-22,3. Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed4. Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)5, with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Banco de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Neumonía Viral
/
Infecciones por Coronavirus
/
Pandemias
/
Malaria
/
Antimaláricos
Tipo de estudio:
Prognostic_studies
Límite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Nat Med
Asunto de la revista:
BIOLOGIA MOLECULAR
/
MEDICINA
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Reino Unido