Medial meniscus extrusion as a predictor for a poor prognosis in patients with spontaneous osteonecrosis of the knee.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Risk factors for the progression of spontaneous osteonecrosis of the knee (SONK) remain unclear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings of the meniscus and the prognosis of SONK. METHODS: A total of 78 consecutive patients (female 85%; mean age 75.6 ± 7.2 years old) diagnosed with SONK were included. Of these, 30 patients did not receive surgery within 1 year from the onset of SONK (conservative group), while the remaining 48 patients underwent unicompartmental knee arthroplasty due to worsening of symptoms (UKA group). Using MRI findings obtained within 3 months of the onset, we compared the types of meniscus tear and medial meniscus extrusion between the conservative group and UKA group. We performed a receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis to estimate the cut-off value. RESULTS: Patients in the UKA group showed greater medial meniscus extrusion (absolute value, 4.2 mm ± 1.9 vs. 2.8 mm ± 1.2, P = 0.001; relative percentage of extrusion (RPE), 45.7% ± 21.5 vs. 30.7% ± 12.9, P = 0.001) and a higher prevalence of radial tear (P = 0.021) than those in the conservative group. In the multivariate analysis, RPE remained a relevant independent factor (P = 0.035) for future UKA. An ROC analysis found that the cut-off point of RPE was 33% (sensitivity, 81.2%; specificity, 63.3%). CONCLUSION: RPE was a predictor of the prognosis of patients who underwent UKA within 1 year after the onset of SONK. Our results suggest that patients with RPE ≥ 33% are at high risk for progression.