Political violence, risk aversion, and population health: Evidence from the US Capitol riot.
J Popul Econ
; 35(4): 1345-1384, 2022.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-35855728
ABSTRACT
This study is the first to explore the impact of the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot on risk avoidance behavior and the spread of COVID-19. First, using anonymized smartphone data from SafeGraph, Inc., and an event-study approach, we document a substantial increase on January 6 in non-resident smartphone pings at the sites of the protest the Ellipse, the National Mall, and the US Capitol Building. Then, using data from the same source and a synthetic control approach, we find that the Capitol riot led to an increase in stay-at-home behavior among District of Columbia residents, consistent with risk avoidance behavior and post-riot policies designed to limit large in-person gatherings. Finally, while we find no evidence that the Capitol riot substantially increased the spread of COVID-19 in the District of Columbia, we do find that counties with the highest inflows of out-of-town protesters experienced a 0.004 to 0.010 increase in the rate of daily cumulative COVID-19 case growth during the month following the event. These findings are exacerbated in counties without COVID-19 mitigation policies in place. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00148-022-00914-0.
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Banco de datos:
MEDLINE
Tipo de estudio:
Etiology_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Idioma:
En
Revista:
J Popul Econ
Año:
2022
Tipo del documento:
Article