Small intracranial aneurysms of the anterior circulation: A negligible risk?

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: According to the International Study of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms, small (<7 mm) unruptured intracranial aneurysms (IAs) of the anterior circulation (aC) carry a neglectable 5-year rupture risk. In contrast, some studies report frequencies of >20% of all ruptured IAs being small IAs of the aC. This contradiction was addressed in this study by analyzing the rates and risk factors for rupture of small IAs within the aC. METHODS: Of the institutional observational cohort, 1676 small IAs of the aC were included. Different demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiographic characteristics were collected. A rupture risk score was established using all independent prognostic factors. The score performance was checked using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: Of all registered small IAs of the aC, 20.1% were ruptured. The developed small IAs of the aC (SIAAC) score (range = -4 to +13 points) contained five major risk factors IA location and size, arterial hypertension, alcohol abuse, and chronic renal failure. In addition, three putative protective factors were also included in the score hypothyroidism, dyslipidemia, and peripheral arterial disease. Increasing rates of ruptured IA with increasing SIAAC scores were observed, from 0% (≤-1 points) through >50% (≥8 points) and up to 100% in patients scoring ≥12 points. The SIAAC score achieved excellent discrimination (area under the curveSIAAC  = 0.803) and performed better than the PHASES (Population,Hypertension, Age, Size of the aneurysm, Earlier SAH from another aneurysm, Site of aneurysm) score. CONCLUSIONS: Small IAs of the aC carry a considerable rupture risk. After external validation, the proposed rupture risk score might provide a basis for better decision-making regarding the treatment of small unruptured IAs of the aC.