Fat Intake Modifies the Association between Restricted Carbohydrate Diets and Prevalent Cardiometabolic Diseases among Adults in the United States: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999-2018.

Background: Cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs), which include heart disease, stroke, and diabetes, account for over one-third of the mortality burden in the United States annually. Nearly one-half of all deaths from CMD are attributable to suboptimal diet quality, and many Americans are turning to special diets for general health improvement. Among the most popular of these diets restrict daily carbohydrate intake to <45% of energy, yet their association with CMD is not well understood. Objectives: This study evaluated the association between restricted carbohydrate diets and prevalent CMD, stratified by fat intake. Methods: Dietary and CMD data were retrieved from 19,078 participants aged ≥20 y in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1999-2018. The National Cancer Institute methodology was used to assess usual dietary intake. Results: Compared to participants that met recommendations for all macronutrients, those that consumed restricted carbohydrate diets were 1.15 (95% CI: 1.14, 1.16) times as likely to have CMD; and those that met recommendations for carbohydrates, but not all macronutrients, were 1.02 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.03) times as likely to have CMD. Higher intakes of saturated and polyunsaturated fat were associated with greater prevalence of CMD in restricted and recommended carbohydrate intake groups. Higher intake of monounsaturated fat was associated with lower prevalence of CMD among participants that met carbohydrate, but not all macronutrient, recommendations. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first nationally representative study to evaluate the relationship between carbohydrate restriction and CMD, stratifying by fat intake. Greater efforts are needed to understand longitudinal relationships between carbohydrate restriction and CMD.