Higher temperature sensitivity of retrogressive thaw slump activity in the Arctic compared to the Third Pole.

ABSTRACT

Climate change exacerbates permafrost thawing, resulting exceptionally intense retrogressive thaw slump (RTS) activity in the Arctic and Third Pole. However, comparative assessments of permafrost characteristics and RTS sensitivity under warming climate at both poles are still lacking. Here, the severity and temperature sensitivity of RTS were presented and compared using Tasselled Cap (TC) trend analysis of time-series Landsat images and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) measurement. RTS has a more severe growth trend in the Arctic cold permafrost region, also with a deformation rate of approximately 70 mm/year and cumulative displacement up to 120 mm. In comparison, the deformation rate in the Third Pole is approximately 50 mm/year. The RTS severity in the Arctic is about 1.5 times higher than in the Third Pole, primarily owing to different sensitivities of cold and warm permafrost under warming climate. The intensification and vulnerability of RTS have global implications on climatological processes, hydrology, carbon release and ground stability, thus calling for attention and effective governance action.