Establishing pediatric age-adjusted shock index cut points in trauma patients younger than 1 year.

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: Shock Index is used to predict injury severity and adverse outcomes in trauma patients, but pediatric age-adjusted shock index (SIPA) has superior performance in pediatric patients older than 1 year. Pediatric age-adjusted shock index scores younger than 1 year have not been well studied. This project aimed to establish and evaluate SIPA cut point data points for patients younger than 1 year. METHODS: Using age-based vital signs, we developed cut point values for patients younger than 1 year using our institutional trauma data. All trauma patients younger than 12 months were included, and clinical outcomes were recorded. Pediatric age-adjusted shock index cut points were defined using age-specific vital sign limits (SIPA-VS) and tested against optimal cut points defined by receiver operating characteristic analysis (SIPA-ROC) and a cut point of 1.2 (SIPA-Nordin), which is used for patients aged 1 to 4 years. Student's t test, χ 2 tests, analysis of variance, and test characteristics were used to analyze groups. RESULTS: A total of 609 pediatric trauma patients younger than 12 months were identified from 2018 to 2022. Pediatric age-adjusted shock index scores were calculated for 483 patients. There were 406 patients with blunt trauma and 17 with penetrating. SIPA-Nordin was elevated in 81.6% (n = 397) of patients, compared with SIPA-VS 21% (n = 101) and SIPA-ROC 31% (n = 150). In comparison with SIPA-Nordin, both SIPA-VS and SIPA-ROC score exhibited superior specificity and negative predictive values for multiple outcomes. Elevated SIPA-ROC scores had statistically significant associations with intensive care unit admission, mechanical ventilation, severe anemia, transfusion during hospital admission, and in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: Pediatric age-adjusted shock index is a useful tool in identifying patients at risk for several complications of severe traumatic injury. Pediatric age-adjusted shock index cut points had high negative predictive value and specificity for many outcomes. This study proposes cut point values that may aid in clinical decision making for trauma patients younger than 1 year. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Diagnostic Test/Criteria; Level IV.