Factors Affecting Late Atrial Fibrillation and Its Association With Coronary Artery Bypass Outcomes.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although predictors and outcomes of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) are well studied, evidence is lacking concerning postdischarge late/recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF). This study evaluated factors affecting late/recurrent AF and its association with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) outcomes in a real-world setting. METHODS: From 2012 through 2016, 5175 patients were included. Independent factors associated with late/recurrent AF were identified in a competing risk setting. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to evaluate the association between late/recurrent AF and study outcomes, consisting of all-cause mortality, major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events, acute coronary syndrome, cerebrovascular events, and heart failure admissions. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 60 months (quartile 1-quartile 3, 59.3-60.7 months), late/recurrent AF developed in 85 patients (1.64%). Independent factors associated with late/recurrent AF were age (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07), left-ventricular ejection fraction (sHR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.95-0.99), length of stay (sHR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04), and POAF (sHR, 4.02; 95% CI, 2.50-6.45). Late/recurrent AF was not significantly associated with all-cause mortality and major adverse cardio-cerebrovascular events at unadjusted or adjusted levels (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.50-1.28] and 0.74 [95% CI, 0.48-1.13], respectively). Nevertheless, it significantly increased the unadjusted risk of cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 2.28; 95% CI, 01.07-4.87), which disappeared after adjustments. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with advanced age, a lower left-ventricular ejection fraction, and POAF are more likely to have late/recurrent clinical AF. Albeit counterintuitive, late/recurrent AF was not independently associated with worse midterm post-CABG outcomes. These observations need to be further elucidated in larger-scale studies and interpreted in the context of a developing country with limited resources for late AF surveillance.