Predictive value of an ultrasound-based radiomics model for central lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

ABSTRACT

Purpose: We aimed to explore the predictive value of an ultrasound-based radiomics model for the central lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma. Methods: A total of 126 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma treated between February 2021 and February 2023 were retrospectively enrolled and assigned into metastasis group (n=59, with cervical central lymph node metastasis) or non-metastasis group (n=67, without metastasis) based on surgical and pathological findings. Intergroup comparisons were conducted on the results of contrast-enhanced ultrasonography, preoperative conventional ultrasonography, as well as real-time shear wave elastography. Results: The maximum lesion diameter, echo, margin, capsule invasion, calcification, average elasticity modulus (Eavg), rising time (RT), and peak intensity (PI) had diagnostic value for papillary thyroid carcinoma, and their combination exhibited higher diagnostic value (area under the curve 0.817). The logistic regression model was built, and the maximum lesion diameter, hypoechoic/extremely hypoechoic, lobulated or irregular margin (95% confidence interval 1.451-6.755), capsule invasion, microcalcification/macrocalcification or peripheral calcification, high-level Eavg, low-level RT and high-level PI served as risk elements affecting papillary thyroid carcinoma from the aspect of central lymph node metastasis (odds ratio>1, P<0.05). According to the logistic regression model, the model was reliable and stable (area under the curve 0.889, P<0.05). Conclusion: The established ultrasound-based radiomics model can be utilized for early identifying the central lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma.