Free p-cresyl sulfate shows the highest association with cardiovascular outcome in chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Several protein-bound uraemic toxins (PBUTs) have been associated with cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD) but the degree to which this is the case per individual PBUT and the pathophysiological mechanism have only partially been unraveled. METHODS: We compared the prognostic value of both total and free concentrations of five PBUTs [p-cresyl sulfate (pCS), p-cresyl glucuronide, indoxyl sulfate, indole acetic acid and hippuric acid] in a cohort of 523 patients with non-dialysis CKD Stages G1-G5. Patients were followed prospectively for the occurrence of a fatal or non-fatal CV event as the primary endpoint and a number of other major complications as secondary endpoints. In addition, association with and the prognostic value of nine markers of endothelial activation/damage was compared. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 5.5 years, 149 patients developed the primary endpoint. In multivariate Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diabetes mellitus and estimated glomerular filtration rate, and corrected for multiple testing, only free pCS was associated with the primary endpoint {hazard ratio [HR]1.39 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14-1.71]; P = 0.0014}. Free pCS also correlated with a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with a thrombospondin type 1 motif, member 13 (r = -0.114, P < 0.05), angiopoietin-2 (ANGPT2) (r = 0.194, P < 0.001), matrix metallopeptidase 7 (MMP-7; (r = 0.238, P < 0.001) and syndecan 1 (r = 0.235, P < 0.001). Of these markers of endothelial activation/damage, ANGPT2 [HR 1.46 (95% CI 1.25-1.70); P < 0.0001] and MMP-7 [HR 1.31 (95% CI 1.08-1.59); P = 0.0056] were also predictive of the primary outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Among PBUTs, free pCS shows the highest association with CV outcome in non-dialysed patients with CKD. Two markers of endothelial activation/damage that were significantly correlated with free pCS, ANGPT2 and MMP-7 were also associated with CV outcome. The hypothesis that free pCS exerts its CV toxic effects by an adverse effect on endothelial function deserves further exploration.