Mathematically aggregating experts' predictions of possible futures.

Hanea, A M; Wilkinson, D P; McBride, M; Lyon, A; van Ravenzwaaij, D; Singleton Thorn, F; Gray, C; Mandel, D R; Willcox, A; Gould, E; Smith, E T; Mody, F; Bush, M; Fidler, F; Fraser, H; Wintle, B C

Hanea, A M; Wilkinson, D P; McBride, M; Lyon, A; van Ravenzwaaij, D; Singleton Thorn, F; Gray, C; Mandel, D R; Willcox, A; Gould, E; Smith, E T; Mody, F; Bush, M; Fidler, F; Fraser, H; Wintle, B C.

Afiliação

Hanea AM; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Wilkinson DP; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
McBride M; Centre for Environmental Policy, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Lyon A; DelphiCloud, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
van Ravenzwaaij D; Faculty of Behavioural and Social Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Singleton Thorn F; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Gray C; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Mandel DR; Cognimotive Consulting Inc., Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Willcox A; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Gould E; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Smith ET; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Mody F; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Bush M; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Fidler F; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Fraser H; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Wintle BC; MetaMelb Lab, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

PLoS One ; 16(9): e0256919, 2021.

Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34473784

Assuntos

Agregação de Dados; Prova Pericial; Processos Grupais; Julgamento; Modelos Estatísticos; Conscientização; Teorema de Bayes; Previsões/métodos; Humanos; Psicologia/métodos; Opinião Pública; Pesquisadores/psicologia; Estudantes/psicologia

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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Modelos Estatísticos / Prova Pericial / Agregação de Dados / Processos Grupais / Julgamento Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: PLoS One Assunto da revista: CIENCIA / MEDICINA Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Austrália

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