Radiomics Multifactorial in Silico Model for Spatial Prediction of Glioblastoma Progression and Recurrence: A Proof-of-Concept.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Radiomics-based prediction of glioblastoma spatial progression and recurrence may improve personalized strategies. However, most prototypes are based on limited monofactorial Gompertzian models of tumor growth. The present study consists of a proof of concept on the accuracy of a radiomics multifactorial in silico model in predicting short-term spatial growth and recurrence of glioblastoma. METHODS: A radiomics-based biomathematical multifactorial in silico model was developed using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data from a 53-year-old patient with newly diagnosed glioblastoma of the right supramarginal gyrus. Raw and optimized models were derived from the MRI at diagnosis and matched to the preoperative MRI obtained 28 days after diagnosis to test the accuracy in predicting the short-term spatial growth of the tumor. An additional optimized model was derived from the early postoperative MRI and matched to the MRI documenting tumor recurrence to test spatial accuracy in predicting the location of recurrence. The spatial prediction accuracy of the model was reported as an average Jaccard index. RESULTS: Optimized models yielded an average Jaccard index of 0.69 and 0.26 for short-term tumor growth and long-term recurrence site, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The present radiomics-based multifactorial in silico model was feasible, reliable, and accurate for short-term spatial prediction of glioblastoma progression. The predictive value for the spatial location of recurrence was still low, and refinements in the description of tissue reorganization in the peritumoral and resected areas may be critical to optimize accuracy further.