Racial-ethnic differences in liver transplant waitlist outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma before and after recent changes to allocation policy.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: In May 2019, liver transplant (LT) allocation policy changed to limit MELD exception points for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to median MELD at transplant minus three (MMaT-3). We evaluated this policy's impact on waitlist outcomes for HCC candidates, by race and ethnicity, hypothesizing that the introduction of the MMaT-3 reduced inequities in waitlist outcomes. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of the Scientific Registry for Transplant Recipients, including all adult LT candidates (N = 10 751) who received HCC exception points from May 17, 2017 to May 18, 2019 (pre-policy; N = 6627) to May 19, 2019 to March 1, 2021 (post-policy; N = 4124). We compared incidence of LT and waitlist removal for death or becoming too sick pre- and post-policy for non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic/Latinx, and Asian patients using competing risk regression adjusted for candidate characteristics. RESULTS: One-year cumulative incidence of LT decreased significantly pre-/post-policy among White (77.4% vs. 64.5%; p < .01) and Black (76.2% vs. 63.1%; p < .01) candidates only, while a 1-year incidence of death/non-LT waitlist removal decreased significantly only among Hispanics (13.4% vs. 7.5%; p < .01). After covariate adjustment, the effect of the policy change was a significantly decreased incidence of LT for White (SHR .63 compared to pre-policy; p < .001), Black (SHR .62; p < .001), and Asian (SHR .68; p = .002), but no change for Hispanic patients. Only Hispanic patients had a significant decrease in death/waitlist removal after the policy change (SHR  .69; p = .04). Compared to White patients in the pre-policy era, Hispanic (SHR  .88, p < .007) and Asian candidates (SHR  .72; p < .001) had lower unadjusted incidence of LT. This disparity was mitigated in the post-policy era where Hispanic patients had higher likelihood of LT than Whites (SHR 1.22; p = .002). For the outcome of death/non-LT waitlist removal, the only significant difference was a 42% lower incidence of waitlist removal for Asian compared to White patients in the post-policy era (SHR  .58; p = .03). CONCLUSION: Among LT recipients with HCC, racial/ethnic subpopulations were differentially affected by the MMAT-3 policy, resulting in a post-policy reduction of some of the previous disparities.