How to improve epidemiological trustworthiness concerning abdominal aortic aneurysms.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Research on degenerative abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is hampered by complex pathophysiology, sub-optimal pre-clinical models, and lack of effective medical therapies. In addition, trustworthiness of existing epidemiological data is impaired by elements of ambiguity, inaccuracy, and inconsistency. Our aim is to foster debate concerning the trustworthiness of AAA epidemiological data and to discuss potential solutions. METHODS: We searched the literature from the last five decades for relevant epidemiological data concerning AAA development, rupture, and repair. We then discussed the main issues burdening existing AAA epidemiological figures and proposed suggestions potentially beneficial to AAA diagnosis, prognostication, and management. RESULTS: Recent data suggest a heterogeneous scenario concerning AAA epidemiology with rates markedly varying by country and study cohorts. Overall, AAA prevalence seems to be decreasing worldwide while mortality is apparently increasing regardless of recent improvements in aortic-repair techniques. Prevalence and mortality are decreasing in high-income countries, whereas low-income countries show an increase in both. However, several pieces of information are missing or outdated, thus systematic renewal is necessary. Current AAA definition and surgical criteria do not consider inter-individual variability of baseline aortic size, further decreasing their reliability. CONCLUSIONS: Switching from flat aortic-size thresholds to relative aortic indices would improve epidemiological trustworthiness regarding AAAs. Aortometry standardization focusing on simplicity, univocity, and accuracy is crucial. A patient-tailored approach integrating clinical data, multi-adjusted indices, and imaging parameters is desirable. Several novel imaging modalities boast promising profiles for investigating the aortic wall. New contrast agents, computational analyses, and artificial intelligence-powered software could provide further improvements.