The KNee OsteoArthritis Prediction (KNOAP2020) challenge: An image analysis challenge to predict incident symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis from MRI and X-ray images.

OBJECTIVES: The KNee OsteoArthritis Prediction (KNOAP2020) challenge was organized to objectively compare methods for the prediction of incident symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis within 78 months on a test set with blinded ground truth. DESIGN: The challenge participants were free to use any available data sources to train their models. A test set of 423 knees from the Prevention of Knee Osteoarthritis in Overweight Females (PROOF) study consisting of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and X-ray image data along with clinical risk factors at baseline was made available to all challenge participants. The ground truth outcomes, i.e., which knees developed incident symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis (according to the combined ACR criteria) within 78 months, were not provided to the participants. To assess the performance of the submitted models, we used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROCAUC) and balanced accuracy (BACC). RESULTS: Seven teams submitted 23 entries in total. A majority of the algorithms were trained on data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. The model with the highest ROCAUC (0.64 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.57-0.70)) used deep learning to extract information from X-ray images combined with clinical variables. The model with the highest BACC (0.59 (95% CI: 0.52-0.65)) ensembled three different models that used automatically extracted X-ray and MRI features along with clinical variables. CONCLUSION: The KNOAP2020 challenge established a benchmark for predicting incident symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis. Accurate prediction of incident symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis is a complex and still unsolved problem requiring additional investigation.

Automated detection of patellofemoral osteoarthritis from knee lateral view radiographs using deep learning: data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST).

OBJECTIVE: To assess the ability of imaging-based deep learning to detect radiographic patellofemoral osteoarthritis (PFOA) from knee lateral view radiographs. DESIGN: Knee lateral view radiographs were extracted from The Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) public use datasets (n = 18,436 knees). Patellar region-of-interest (ROI) was first automatically detected, and subsequently, end-to-end deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) were trained and validated to detect the status of patellofemoral OA. Patellar ROI was detected using deep-learning-based object detection method. Atlas-guided visual assessment of PFOA status by expert readers provided in the MOST public use datasets was used as a classification outcome for the models. Performance of classification models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC) and the average precision (AP) obtained from the Precision-Recall (PR) curve in the stratified 5-fold cross validation setting. RESULTS: Of the 18,436 knees, 3,425 (19%) had PFOA. AUC and AP for the reference model including age, sex, body mass index (BMI), the total Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Arthritis Index (WOMAC) score, and tibiofemoral Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade to detect PFOA were 0.806 and 0.478, respectively. The CNN model that used only image data significantly improved the classifier performance (ROC AUC = 0.958, AP = 0.862). CONCLUSION: We present the first machine learning based automatic PFOA detection method. Furthermore, our deep learning based model trained on patella region from knee lateral view radiographs performs better at detecting PFOA than models based on patient characteristics and clinical assessments.

Adaptive segmentation of knee radiographs for selecting the optimal ROI in texture analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The purposes of this study were to investigate: 1) the effect of placement of region-of-interest (ROI) for texture analysis of subchondral bone in knee radiographs, and 2) the ability of several texture descriptors to distinguish between the knees with and without radiographic osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: Bilateral posterior-anterior knee radiographs were analyzed from the baseline of Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) (9012 knee radiographs) and Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) (3,644 knee radiographs) datasets. A fully automatic method to locate the most informative region from subchondral bone using adaptive segmentation was developed. Subsequently, we built logistic regression models to identify and compare the performances of several texture descriptors and each ROI placement method using 5-fold cross validation. Importantly, we also investigated the generalizability of our approach by training the models on OAI and testing them on MOST dataset. We used area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC) and average precision (AP) obtained from the precision-recall (PR) curve to compare the results. RESULTS: We found that the adaptive ROI improves the classification performance (OA vs non-OA) over the commonly-used standard ROI (up to 9% percent increase in AUC). We also observed that, from all texture parameters, Local Binary Pattern (LBP) yielded the best performance in all settings with the best AUC of 0.840 [0.825, 0.852] and associated AP of 0.804 [0.786, 0.820]. CONCLUSION: Compared to the current state-of-the-art approaches, our results suggest that the proposed adaptive ROI approach in texture analysis of subchondral bone can increase the diagnostic performance for detecting the presence of radiographic OA.